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TAX INCIDENCE, BURDEN, DWL of TAX May 13, 2011
QUIZ 1. A tax on sales of goods and services, domestically produced or imported, at each stage of the production and distribution process 2. The EVAT Law of 2005 increased EVAT from 10% to ______.
QUIZ 3. Reformed structure of the Sin Taxes wherein a fixed amount is charged per unit of good sold.  4. True economic weight of a tax 5. Measures who actually pays the tax BONUS: Peso-dollar exchange rate (May 12)
REVIEW Utilitarianism  Social U = MU1 = MU2 = MU3 = MU4= MUN Rawlsian Social U = UPoorest
VALUE-ADDED TAX (VAT) A tax on sale of goods  and services, domestically produced or imported, at each stage of the production and distribution process Destination Principle Self-policing Feature
EXPANDED VAT (2005) Why: addt’l revenue, cut budget deficits New VAT Rate Shift in nature of VAT VAT coverage Non-VAT provisions
EXPANDED VAT (2005) Output-reducing effect from increasing VAT 1012% Additional burden on firms from input VAT credits for capital equipment distributed over
SIN TAXES Levied on certain socially undesirable goods and services to discourage the public’s consumption. E.g. alcohol, tobacco Converted from ad valorem to specific taxes
SIN TAXES Ad Valorem – percentage of Adjusts to inflation, keeps real value Misdeclaration of value of product Specific Taxes - Fixed amount per unit Prevents misdeclaration Fails to adjust to inflation Sol’n: indexation
TAX ISSUES Tax performance - degree at which tax base has been exploited to mobilize gov’t resources Indices of Tax performance Tax ratio – taxes/GNP Tax effort index (taxable capacity)– actual/predicted ratios
ACTIVITY
TAX ISSUES Tax burden – true economic weight of a tax Diff bet real income before and after tax Tax incidence – whose real income is lowered Who actually pays Equivalent taxes – same effect
TAX ISSUES Tax incidence in competitive markets No diff if tax is imposed on consumer or on producer Does not matter if ad valorem or specific  Shifting down the demand curve
TAX BURDEN Borne by consumers Tax decreases consumption Income effect: Less money Borne by producers Producer surplus = between SC and P Rev – TVC
EFFECTS OF A TAX Consumer surplus – amount buyers are willing to pay for the good and amount they actually pay for it Area above the price line and below the demand curve
No tax consumer surplus: A+B+C No tax producer surplus: D+E+F
EFFECTS OF A TAX Producer Surplus – Amount sellers receive for a good minus their costs Area below the price line, above the supply curve Consumer+Producer surplus measures the welfare in society
No tax consumer surplus: A+B+C No tax producer surplus: D+E+F
EFFECTS OF A TAX After tax, total welfare is now divided into Consumer Surplus and Producer Surplus Gov’t Tax Revenue (TQ) Deadweight Loss – fall in total surplus that results from a market distortion such as a tax
Supply Size of tax Price buyers pay Price without tax Price sellers receive Demand Quantity Quantity without tax with tax Buyers’ PriceSellers’ price Quantity 0
Supply A Price buyers PB = pay B C Price P1 = without tax E D Price sellers PS = receive F Demand Q2 Q1 Price Quantity 0
EFFECTS OF A TAX Incentive for consumers to buy less Incentive for producers to produce less Both are worse off Market is below optimum
EFFECTS OF A TAX
EXAMPLE When you ride a tricycle and pay P25 Tricycle driver – value for ride is P20 Tricycle rider – value for ride is P30 Both receive P5 benefit Total surplus – P10 Both gain from the trade
EXAMPLE Suppose gov’t levies a P20 tax on tricyle rides Most that riders are willing to pay is P30 But then tricycle would be left with P10 after paying tax (P30-20=P10), less than his willingness which is P20 For driver to receive P20, rider should pay P40 but willingness is only P30
EXAMPLE Result: No trade happens Riders will prefer not to ride anymore Each loss surplus of P5 Total deadweight loss is P10 No tax revenue since trade was cancelled
DETERMINANT OF DWL Price elasticities of supply and demand The greater the elasticities of demand and supply  the larger the decline in equilibrium quantity and,  the greater the deadweight loss of a tax
Supply When supply is relatively inelastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is small. Size of tax Demand INELASTIC SUPPLY  Price 0 Quantity
When supply is relatively elastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is large. Supply Size of tax Demand ELASTIC SUPPLY  Price Quantity 0
Supply Size of tax When demand is relatively inelastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is small. Demand INELASTIC DEMAND Price Quantity 0
Supply Size of tax Demand When demand is relatively elastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is large. ELASTIC DEMAND Price Quantity 0
DEADWEIGHT LOSS AND TAX REVENUE AS TAXES VARY With each increase in the tax rate, the deadweight loss of the tax rises even more rapidly than the size of the tax.
Deadweight loss Supply PB Tax revenue PS Demand Q1 Q2 SMALL TAX Price Quantity 0 Copyright © 2004  South-Western
Deadweight loss PB Supply Tax  revenue PS Demand Q2 Q1 MEDIUM TAX Price When the tax rate doubles, the deadweight loss quadruples Quantity 0
PB Deadweight loss Supply Tax revenue Demand PS Q1 Q2 LARGE TAX Price Quantity 0
36 DEADWEIGHT LOSS AND TAX REVENUE AS TAXES VARY Tax revenue = tax rate × quantity bought and sold TR = T × Q T↑ causes Q↓ Therefore, the effect of T↑ on TR is ambiguous T↑ causes TR↑ when the tax rate (T) is low T↑ causes TR↓ when the tax rate (T) is high This gives us the Laffer Curve
T1 LAFFER CURVE Note that it makes no sense at all to make the tax size bigger than T1. Tax Revenue Tax Size 0
IMPROVING TAX COMPLIANCE Tax Evasion – illegal means to avoid paying taxes Underdeclaration of sales Overdeclaration of claims for input VAT Misdeclaration of income Tax Avoidance – legal means to avoid paying taxes
RANDOM NUMBERS Will be called in groups of five Line up and sign up Remember your schedule Show up on the day itself MOVE FAST! :D
RANDOM NUMBERS Kross, Kim Go, Gabe, Jer, Carlo Daryll, Berna, Patty, Duane, JL Sean, Enzo, Therese, Ramon, Sela DBC, Mari, Lizzie, Deanna, Rico Belli, Raissa, Andro, Papu, Leo Bianca, Carol, Jaime, Neo, Zablar Suar, Pam, Em, Josh, Nica

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Ec102 may 13

  • 1. TAX INCIDENCE, BURDEN, DWL of TAX May 13, 2011
  • 2. QUIZ 1. A tax on sales of goods and services, domestically produced or imported, at each stage of the production and distribution process 2. The EVAT Law of 2005 increased EVAT from 10% to ______.
  • 3. QUIZ 3. Reformed structure of the Sin Taxes wherein a fixed amount is charged per unit of good sold. 4. True economic weight of a tax 5. Measures who actually pays the tax BONUS: Peso-dollar exchange rate (May 12)
  • 4. REVIEW Utilitarianism Social U = MU1 = MU2 = MU3 = MU4= MUN Rawlsian Social U = UPoorest
  • 5. VALUE-ADDED TAX (VAT) A tax on sale of goods and services, domestically produced or imported, at each stage of the production and distribution process Destination Principle Self-policing Feature
  • 6. EXPANDED VAT (2005) Why: addt’l revenue, cut budget deficits New VAT Rate Shift in nature of VAT VAT coverage Non-VAT provisions
  • 7. EXPANDED VAT (2005) Output-reducing effect from increasing VAT 1012% Additional burden on firms from input VAT credits for capital equipment distributed over
  • 8. SIN TAXES Levied on certain socially undesirable goods and services to discourage the public’s consumption. E.g. alcohol, tobacco Converted from ad valorem to specific taxes
  • 9. SIN TAXES Ad Valorem – percentage of Adjusts to inflation, keeps real value Misdeclaration of value of product Specific Taxes - Fixed amount per unit Prevents misdeclaration Fails to adjust to inflation Sol’n: indexation
  • 10. TAX ISSUES Tax performance - degree at which tax base has been exploited to mobilize gov’t resources Indices of Tax performance Tax ratio – taxes/GNP Tax effort index (taxable capacity)– actual/predicted ratios
  • 12. TAX ISSUES Tax burden – true economic weight of a tax Diff bet real income before and after tax Tax incidence – whose real income is lowered Who actually pays Equivalent taxes – same effect
  • 13. TAX ISSUES Tax incidence in competitive markets No diff if tax is imposed on consumer or on producer Does not matter if ad valorem or specific Shifting down the demand curve
  • 14. TAX BURDEN Borne by consumers Tax decreases consumption Income effect: Less money Borne by producers Producer surplus = between SC and P Rev – TVC
  • 15. EFFECTS OF A TAX Consumer surplus – amount buyers are willing to pay for the good and amount they actually pay for it Area above the price line and below the demand curve
  • 16. No tax consumer surplus: A+B+C No tax producer surplus: D+E+F
  • 17. EFFECTS OF A TAX Producer Surplus – Amount sellers receive for a good minus their costs Area below the price line, above the supply curve Consumer+Producer surplus measures the welfare in society
  • 18. No tax consumer surplus: A+B+C No tax producer surplus: D+E+F
  • 19. EFFECTS OF A TAX After tax, total welfare is now divided into Consumer Surplus and Producer Surplus Gov’t Tax Revenue (TQ) Deadweight Loss – fall in total surplus that results from a market distortion such as a tax
  • 20. Supply Size of tax Price buyers pay Price without tax Price sellers receive Demand Quantity Quantity without tax with tax Buyers’ PriceSellers’ price Quantity 0
  • 21. Supply A Price buyers PB = pay B C Price P1 = without tax E D Price sellers PS = receive F Demand Q2 Q1 Price Quantity 0
  • 22. EFFECTS OF A TAX Incentive for consumers to buy less Incentive for producers to produce less Both are worse off Market is below optimum
  • 24. EXAMPLE When you ride a tricycle and pay P25 Tricycle driver – value for ride is P20 Tricycle rider – value for ride is P30 Both receive P5 benefit Total surplus – P10 Both gain from the trade
  • 25. EXAMPLE Suppose gov’t levies a P20 tax on tricyle rides Most that riders are willing to pay is P30 But then tricycle would be left with P10 after paying tax (P30-20=P10), less than his willingness which is P20 For driver to receive P20, rider should pay P40 but willingness is only P30
  • 26. EXAMPLE Result: No trade happens Riders will prefer not to ride anymore Each loss surplus of P5 Total deadweight loss is P10 No tax revenue since trade was cancelled
  • 27. DETERMINANT OF DWL Price elasticities of supply and demand The greater the elasticities of demand and supply the larger the decline in equilibrium quantity and, the greater the deadweight loss of a tax
  • 28. Supply When supply is relatively inelastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is small. Size of tax Demand INELASTIC SUPPLY Price 0 Quantity
  • 29. When supply is relatively elastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is large. Supply Size of tax Demand ELASTIC SUPPLY Price Quantity 0
  • 30. Supply Size of tax When demand is relatively inelastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is small. Demand INELASTIC DEMAND Price Quantity 0
  • 31. Supply Size of tax Demand When demand is relatively elastic, the deadweight loss of a tax is large. ELASTIC DEMAND Price Quantity 0
  • 32. DEADWEIGHT LOSS AND TAX REVENUE AS TAXES VARY With each increase in the tax rate, the deadweight loss of the tax rises even more rapidly than the size of the tax.
  • 33. Deadweight loss Supply PB Tax revenue PS Demand Q1 Q2 SMALL TAX Price Quantity 0 Copyright © 2004 South-Western
  • 34. Deadweight loss PB Supply Tax revenue PS Demand Q2 Q1 MEDIUM TAX Price When the tax rate doubles, the deadweight loss quadruples Quantity 0
  • 35. PB Deadweight loss Supply Tax revenue Demand PS Q1 Q2 LARGE TAX Price Quantity 0
  • 36. 36 DEADWEIGHT LOSS AND TAX REVENUE AS TAXES VARY Tax revenue = tax rate × quantity bought and sold TR = T × Q T↑ causes Q↓ Therefore, the effect of T↑ on TR is ambiguous T↑ causes TR↑ when the tax rate (T) is low T↑ causes TR↓ when the tax rate (T) is high This gives us the Laffer Curve
  • 37. T1 LAFFER CURVE Note that it makes no sense at all to make the tax size bigger than T1. Tax Revenue Tax Size 0
  • 38. IMPROVING TAX COMPLIANCE Tax Evasion – illegal means to avoid paying taxes Underdeclaration of sales Overdeclaration of claims for input VAT Misdeclaration of income Tax Avoidance – legal means to avoid paying taxes
  • 39. RANDOM NUMBERS Will be called in groups of five Line up and sign up Remember your schedule Show up on the day itself MOVE FAST! :D
  • 40. RANDOM NUMBERS Kross, Kim Go, Gabe, Jer, Carlo Daryll, Berna, Patty, Duane, JL Sean, Enzo, Therese, Ramon, Sela DBC, Mari, Lizzie, Deanna, Rico Belli, Raissa, Andro, Papu, Leo Bianca, Carol, Jaime, Neo, Zablar Suar, Pam, Em, Josh, Nica