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Hirel Patel & Sandip Patel

               Hirel & Sandip
Hirel & Sandip
Mr. A   Mr. B                    Mr. C

                Hirel & Sandip
 The land of this
   country was the tiny
   island itself. The total
   money in circulation
   was 2 dollar as there
   were only two pieces of
   1 dollar coins
   circulating around.
                              $1 $1
Hirel & Sandip
Mr. A      Mr. B                   Mr. C


         $1                           $1
                     Hirel & Sandip
Mr. A                                               Mr. B




                     $1
 B decided to purchase the land from A for 1
 dollar.
                                 Hirel & Sandip
Mr. A      Mr. B                        Mr. C


$1             = $1
                                       $1

                      Hirel & Sandip
C thought that since there is only one piece of land in the
country and land is non produceable asset, its value must
definitely go up. So, he borrowed 1 dollar from A and
together with his own 1 dollar, he bought the land from B for
2 dollar.




         Mr. B          $1+$1=$2                           Mr. C




                             Mr. A     Hirel & Sandip
 Mr. A



              B sold his land and got 2 dollar, so his net asset
              is 2 dollar
   Mr. B

             C owned the piece of land worth 2 dollar but with hi
             1 dollar debt to A, his net asset is 1 dollar.
    Mr. C


    The net asset of the country = 4 dollar.Hirel & Sandip
A saw that the land he once owned has risen in value. He
regretted selling it. Luckily, he has a 1 dollar loan to C. He
then borrowed 2 dollar from B and acquired the land back
from C for 3 dollar. The payment is by 2 dollar cash (which
he borrowed) and cancellation of the 1 dollar loan to C.




    Mr. C                $2+$1=$3                          Mr. A




         Mr. B                           Hirel & Sandip
 Mr. A


                 B loaned 2 dollar to A. So his net asset is 2 dollar.


        Mr. B

                 C now has the 2 coins. His net asset is also 2 dollar.


       Mr. C


The net asset of the country = 5 dollar. A bubble is building up.
                                            Hirel & Sandip
B saw that the value of land kept rising. He also wanted to
own the land. So he bought the land from A for 4 dollar.
The payment is by borrowing 2 dollar from C and
cancellation of his 2 dollar loan to A.




     Mr. A
                         $2+$2=$4                           Mr. B




      Mr. C                            Hirel & Sandip
 Mr. A


             B owned a piece of land that is worth 4 dollar but since
             he has a debt of 2 dollar with C,  his net Asset is 2
             dollar.
   Mr. B

             C loaned 2 dollar to B, so his net asset is 2 dollar.


   Mr. C
               The net asset of the country = 6 dollar. Even
        though, the country has only one piece of land and 2
        Dollar in circulation.              Hirel & Sandip
Everybody has made money and everybody felt
 happy and prosperous.

 One day an evil wind blowed. An evil thought
 came to C's mind. quot;Hey, what if the land price
 stop going up, how could B repay my loan.
 There is only 2 dollar in circulation, I think after
 all the land that B owns is worth at most 1
 dollar only. quot;A also thought the same.


                                   Hirel & Sandip
 Mr. A


                 B owed C 2 dollar and the land he owned which he
                 thought worth 4 dollar is now 1 dollar. His net asset
                 become -1 dollar.
        Mr. B

                 C has a loan of 2 dollar to B. But it is a bad debt. Although
                 his net asset is still 2 dollar, his Heart is palpitating.
       Mr. C



The net asset of the country = 3 dollar again.        Hirel & Sandip
   Who has stolen the 3 dollar from the country? Of
    course, before the bubble burst B thought his
    land worth 4 dollar.

    Actually, right before the collapse, the net asset
    of the country was 6 dollar in paper. his net
    asset is still 2 dollar, his heart is palpitating. The
    net asset of the country = 3 dollar again.

   B had no choice but to declare bankruptcy. C as
    to relinquish his 2 dollar bad debt to B but in
    return he acquired the land which is worth 1
    dollar now.
                                        Hirel & Sandip
 Mr. A


               B is bankrupt, his net asset is 0 dollar. ( B lost
               everything )
   Mr. B
               C got no choice but end up with a land worth only 1 dollar (C
               lost one dollar)

   Mr. C



            The net asset of the country = 3 dollar.Hirel & Sandip
A is the winner. A owns the 2 coins              $1 $1
   Mr. A



            B is the loser. B is bankrupt

   Mr. B

            C is lucky that he is spared.
            End up with a land worth only 1 dollar

   Mr. C                                   Hirel & Sandip
A few points worth noting

   When a bubble is building up, the debt of individual in a
    country to one another is also building up.
    This case of the island is a close system whereby there is no
    other country and hence no foreign debt. The worth of the
    asset can only be calculated using the island's own currency.
    Hence, there is no net loss.
   An over-damped system is assumed when the bubble burst,
    meaning the land's value did not go down to below 1 dollar.
   When the bubble burst, the fellow with cash is the winner. The
    fellows having the land or extending loan to others are the
    loser. The asset could shrink or in worst case, they go
    bankrupt.


                                           Hirel & Sandip
A few points worth noting

    When the bubble was in the growing phase, everybody
    made money.
    If you are smart and know that you are living in a
    growing bubble, it is worthwhile to borrow money (like A )
    and take part in the game. But you must know when you
    should change everything back to cash.
   Instead of land, the above applies to stocks as well.
   The actual worth of land or stocks depend largely on
    psychology




                                         Hirel & Sandip
Thank You

                   By
Hirel Patel & Sandip Patel
hiraljk@yahoo.co.in
sandip_jp@yahoo.co.in

                        Hirel & Sandip

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Asset Bubble

  • 1. Hirel Patel & Sandip Patel Hirel & Sandip
  • 3. Mr. A Mr. B Mr. C Hirel & Sandip
  • 4.  The land of this country was the tiny island itself. The total money in circulation was 2 dollar as there were only two pieces of 1 dollar coins circulating around. $1 $1 Hirel & Sandip
  • 5. Mr. A  Mr. B  Mr. C $1 $1 Hirel & Sandip
  • 6. Mr. A  Mr. B $1 B decided to purchase the land from A for 1 dollar. Hirel & Sandip
  • 7. Mr. A  Mr. B  Mr. C $1 = $1 $1 Hirel & Sandip
  • 8. C thought that since there is only one piece of land in the country and land is non produceable asset, its value must definitely go up. So, he borrowed 1 dollar from A and together with his own 1 dollar, he bought the land from B for 2 dollar.  Mr. B $1+$1=$2  Mr. C  Mr. A Hirel & Sandip
  • 9.  Mr. A B sold his land and got 2 dollar, so his net asset is 2 dollar  Mr. B C owned the piece of land worth 2 dollar but with hi 1 dollar debt to A, his net asset is 1 dollar.  Mr. C The net asset of the country = 4 dollar.Hirel & Sandip
  • 10. A saw that the land he once owned has risen in value. He regretted selling it. Luckily, he has a 1 dollar loan to C. He then borrowed 2 dollar from B and acquired the land back from C for 3 dollar. The payment is by 2 dollar cash (which he borrowed) and cancellation of the 1 dollar loan to C.  Mr. C $2+$1=$3  Mr. A  Mr. B Hirel & Sandip
  • 11.  Mr. A B loaned 2 dollar to A. So his net asset is 2 dollar.  Mr. B C now has the 2 coins. His net asset is also 2 dollar.  Mr. C The net asset of the country = 5 dollar. A bubble is building up. Hirel & Sandip
  • 12. B saw that the value of land kept rising. He also wanted to own the land. So he bought the land from A for 4 dollar. The payment is by borrowing 2 dollar from C and cancellation of his 2 dollar loan to A.  Mr. A $2+$2=$4  Mr. B  Mr. C Hirel & Sandip
  • 13.  Mr. A B owned a piece of land that is worth 4 dollar but since he has a debt of 2 dollar with C,  his net Asset is 2 dollar.  Mr. B C loaned 2 dollar to B, so his net asset is 2 dollar.  Mr. C The net asset of the country = 6 dollar. Even though, the country has only one piece of land and 2 Dollar in circulation. Hirel & Sandip
  • 14. Everybody has made money and everybody felt happy and prosperous.  One day an evil wind blowed. An evil thought came to C's mind. quot;Hey, what if the land price stop going up, how could B repay my loan. There is only 2 dollar in circulation, I think after all the land that B owns is worth at most 1 dollar only. quot;A also thought the same. Hirel & Sandip
  • 15.  Mr. A B owed C 2 dollar and the land he owned which he thought worth 4 dollar is now 1 dollar. His net asset become -1 dollar.  Mr. B C has a loan of 2 dollar to B. But it is a bad debt. Although his net asset is still 2 dollar, his Heart is palpitating.  Mr. C The net asset of the country = 3 dollar again. Hirel & Sandip
  • 16. Who has stolen the 3 dollar from the country? Of course, before the bubble burst B thought his land worth 4 dollar.  Actually, right before the collapse, the net asset of the country was 6 dollar in paper. his net asset is still 2 dollar, his heart is palpitating. The net asset of the country = 3 dollar again.  B had no choice but to declare bankruptcy. C as to relinquish his 2 dollar bad debt to B but in return he acquired the land which is worth 1 dollar now. Hirel & Sandip
  • 17.  Mr. A B is bankrupt, his net asset is 0 dollar. ( B lost everything )  Mr. B C got no choice but end up with a land worth only 1 dollar (C lost one dollar)  Mr. C The net asset of the country = 3 dollar.Hirel & Sandip
  • 18. A is the winner. A owns the 2 coins $1 $1  Mr. A B is the loser. B is bankrupt  Mr. B C is lucky that he is spared. End up with a land worth only 1 dollar  Mr. C Hirel & Sandip
  • 19. A few points worth noting  When a bubble is building up, the debt of individual in a country to one another is also building up.  This case of the island is a close system whereby there is no other country and hence no foreign debt. The worth of the asset can only be calculated using the island's own currency. Hence, there is no net loss.  An over-damped system is assumed when the bubble burst, meaning the land's value did not go down to below 1 dollar.  When the bubble burst, the fellow with cash is the winner. The fellows having the land or extending loan to others are the loser. The asset could shrink or in worst case, they go bankrupt. Hirel & Sandip
  • 20. A few points worth noting  When the bubble was in the growing phase, everybody made money.  If you are smart and know that you are living in a growing bubble, it is worthwhile to borrow money (like A ) and take part in the game. But you must know when you should change everything back to cash.  Instead of land, the above applies to stocks as well.  The actual worth of land or stocks depend largely on psychology Hirel & Sandip
  • 21. Thank You By Hirel Patel & Sandip Patel hiraljk@yahoo.co.in sandip_jp@yahoo.co.in Hirel & Sandip