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Future-Proofing Your Travel
Business
Harish Shah
Stratserv Consultancy
Future-Proofing
The Basics
The Future
• Uncertain
• Ambiguous
• Non-linear
• Shaped by the Broadest Spectrum of Factors
• Businesses still need to be ready for it
• We work today, for the results of tomorrow
• Our efforts today worthwhile?
• Cannot be known, but can be studied
How the Future Happens
• Nothing happens in a Silo
• The Future is a result of Convergences
• Multiple Developments
• Across Multiple Domains, Fields, Industries and Spaces
• Shaped by Inter-related Synergies and Cross-Impacts
• A story of Domino Effects
• Butterfly Effect
Future-Proofing
• Intertwining the Focus on the Future with the Organisation’s Human
Resource Activities/Efforts; Future-Oriented HR Strategy
• Developing/Redeveloping Organisational Plans & Strategies with a
long-term view; Around Strategic Foresight
• Permeating a Culture of Systems Thinking Application across the
Organisation; Starting with the end in Mind
• Adopting Foresight Based Decision-Making Models & Processes
• What can happen?
• What will likely happen?
• Best possibilities (And worst)
A Future-Proof Organisation
•The most important resource (Human Resource) is;
• Adequate & Appropriate to meet Future Needs
• Empowered & Enabled to meet Future Challenges
• Well Managed to Adapt in, Endure through and Foresee Future Changes &
Disruptions
•The organisation is able to operate Proactively as opposed to
Reactively
• The Organisation minimises situations of having to “catch-up” or “keep-up”
with elements in the external environment
• By staying ahead
• By developing the necessary internal resources
A Future-Proof Organisation
•Less at Risk;
• Reduced possibility of being caught “Off-guard”
• Threats are mitigated in advance or pre-empted
• Management/Staff prepared for various possibilities through Scenario
Planning
• Opportunities are Foreseen and Capitalised upon before they pass
• Possible threats to continuity are Factored/Mitigated in Strategies and Plans
before they arise
A Future-Proof Organisation
• Has high endurance
• Adaptable to constantly changing conditions and environments
• Flexible
• Will be relevant for a long time ahead (yet)
• Decades if not centuries
• Evolutionary
• Business Model
• Product Lines
Measures
• Regular Scenario & Contingency Planning
• Strategic Foresight (Ongoing)
• Regular Revaluations and Reviews
• Constant Vigilance
• Environmental Scanning
• Monitoring
• Long-term Competency Building (Organisational)
• All HR needs to be geared to this end
• Innovation Culture
• Systems Thinking Culture
Systems Thinking
System
Systems Thinking
Understanding the process of
each system interacting with
other systems within a larger
system
Travel Industry
The Critical
Numbers
• 1.035 Billion International Tourists in 2012
(Jump of 52 million from previous year)
• 983 Million International Tourists in 2011
(Jump of 43 million from previous year)
• 940 Million International Tourists in 2010
• The 10 most visited countries in the world saw 492 million tourist
arrivals in 2014
• 7 of the 10 most visited countries in the world at present are in
Europe
• France is the top destination by tourist arrivals
Growth Areas
• Space Tourism
• Sports Tourism
• Allocated Sporting Tickets sold in Packages with Flights, Hotels, Excursions and
Other Activities
• Doom Tourism
• Tourism to places that are environmentally or otherwise threatened
• Experiential Tourism
• Cultural Tourism
Growth Areas
• Agritourism
• i.e., Farm Stay
• Culinary Tourism
• Nautical Tourism
• Wellness Tourism
• The fastest Growth Area
• Destination Weddings
• Medical Tourism
What is Happening?
Examples
TripIt
• SAP Created Application
• Now available for Apple Smart Watches
• Allows users to keep their travel itineraries on their wrists
• Allows users instant access
Apple’s “Time Travel” Feature
• watchOS 2
• Users view scheduled Calendar Events + Weather Forecasts
• Forecast if planned event or meeting will be disrupted by Weather
Complications
• Can be used to forecast Weather when Flight Lands
• Uses Rotating Digital Crown
Function Space Revenue Management
• Launched by IDeaS
• Allows Hotels to capitalise on non-room revenue streams
• Increase group and Function Space profits
• Forecasts and Validates Expected Demand
• Day by Day parts
• Uses advanced analytics
• Enables Hoteliers to make Demand-Based Changes
• Strategic Pricing Decisions
Zuji.com
• Game Changer in the Travel Industry
• Set a new precedent
• Broad and Diverse Options to Travellers
• Destinations
• Accommodation
• Flights
• Favourable Rates
• Dates
• Combinations
Threats or Opportunities
Examples
Virtual Reality
• 360 Degree Cameras
• Civilian Drones
• 3D, 4D, 5D relay Technology
• HMDs
• Oculus Rift Headsets
• Teleporter Stations (You feel the experience)
• Marriot Case Study
• Holographic Projection
• Enhanced with Augmented Reality Technology
Fuel
• Prices
• Greater Energy Efficiency World Wide
• Lower Demand = Lower Price?
• Emergence of Green Aviation
• Long-term hope of Solar Powered Aircraft
• Significant Oil Sources are in Middle-East/Africa
• Plagued by Conflict
• ME-West Politics
Terrorism
• Islamic State
• Al Qaeda
• Taliban
• Al Shabaab
• Jemaaiyah Islamiah
• Boko Haram
• Abu Sayyaf
• Moro Islamic Liberation Front
Changing World of Work
• Virtual Offices / Virtual Work Environments
• Work-from-Anywhere
• Online Work
• Tele-conferencing Technology (More accessible than ever)
• Work Possible on Mobile Smart Devices
• Leaner Organisations (Less Employees / Increasing Job Cuts)
• Unemployment?
• No Job = No Money for Travel
• Increasing Automation
Generational Changes – The Millennials
• More Informed
• Hungrier for Content
• More Connected – Relationships Across Borders
• More Vocal
• Not Loyal Customers
• More Demands
• Fast
• Easy
• Hassle-free
Changing Economic Landscape
• Poorer West
• Wealthier East
• Next Growth Frontiers
• Africa
• Southeast Asia
• South America
• Rise of BRICS:
• Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa
• Transition from Worker Society to Entrepreneur Society
Let’s Talk
Call +65 94510637 or email harish_shah@stratservconsultancy.com to enquiry for a
detailed presentation or in-house talk.

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Future-Proofing Your Travel Business

  • 1. Future-Proofing Your Travel Business Harish Shah Stratserv Consultancy
  • 3. The Future • Uncertain • Ambiguous • Non-linear • Shaped by the Broadest Spectrum of Factors • Businesses still need to be ready for it • We work today, for the results of tomorrow • Our efforts today worthwhile? • Cannot be known, but can be studied
  • 4. How the Future Happens • Nothing happens in a Silo • The Future is a result of Convergences • Multiple Developments • Across Multiple Domains, Fields, Industries and Spaces • Shaped by Inter-related Synergies and Cross-Impacts • A story of Domino Effects • Butterfly Effect
  • 5. Future-Proofing • Intertwining the Focus on the Future with the Organisation’s Human Resource Activities/Efforts; Future-Oriented HR Strategy • Developing/Redeveloping Organisational Plans & Strategies with a long-term view; Around Strategic Foresight • Permeating a Culture of Systems Thinking Application across the Organisation; Starting with the end in Mind • Adopting Foresight Based Decision-Making Models & Processes • What can happen? • What will likely happen? • Best possibilities (And worst)
  • 6. A Future-Proof Organisation •The most important resource (Human Resource) is; • Adequate & Appropriate to meet Future Needs • Empowered & Enabled to meet Future Challenges • Well Managed to Adapt in, Endure through and Foresee Future Changes & Disruptions •The organisation is able to operate Proactively as opposed to Reactively • The Organisation minimises situations of having to “catch-up” or “keep-up” with elements in the external environment • By staying ahead • By developing the necessary internal resources
  • 7. A Future-Proof Organisation •Less at Risk; • Reduced possibility of being caught “Off-guard” • Threats are mitigated in advance or pre-empted • Management/Staff prepared for various possibilities through Scenario Planning • Opportunities are Foreseen and Capitalised upon before they pass • Possible threats to continuity are Factored/Mitigated in Strategies and Plans before they arise
  • 8. A Future-Proof Organisation • Has high endurance • Adaptable to constantly changing conditions and environments • Flexible • Will be relevant for a long time ahead (yet) • Decades if not centuries • Evolutionary • Business Model • Product Lines
  • 9. Measures • Regular Scenario & Contingency Planning • Strategic Foresight (Ongoing) • Regular Revaluations and Reviews • Constant Vigilance • Environmental Scanning • Monitoring • Long-term Competency Building (Organisational) • All HR needs to be geared to this end • Innovation Culture • Systems Thinking Culture
  • 11. Systems Thinking Understanding the process of each system interacting with other systems within a larger system
  • 13. Numbers • 1.035 Billion International Tourists in 2012 (Jump of 52 million from previous year) • 983 Million International Tourists in 2011 (Jump of 43 million from previous year) • 940 Million International Tourists in 2010 • The 10 most visited countries in the world saw 492 million tourist arrivals in 2014 • 7 of the 10 most visited countries in the world at present are in Europe • France is the top destination by tourist arrivals
  • 14. Growth Areas • Space Tourism • Sports Tourism • Allocated Sporting Tickets sold in Packages with Flights, Hotels, Excursions and Other Activities • Doom Tourism • Tourism to places that are environmentally or otherwise threatened • Experiential Tourism • Cultural Tourism
  • 15. Growth Areas • Agritourism • i.e., Farm Stay • Culinary Tourism • Nautical Tourism • Wellness Tourism • The fastest Growth Area • Destination Weddings • Medical Tourism
  • 17. TripIt • SAP Created Application • Now available for Apple Smart Watches • Allows users to keep their travel itineraries on their wrists • Allows users instant access
  • 18. Apple’s “Time Travel” Feature • watchOS 2 • Users view scheduled Calendar Events + Weather Forecasts • Forecast if planned event or meeting will be disrupted by Weather Complications • Can be used to forecast Weather when Flight Lands • Uses Rotating Digital Crown
  • 19. Function Space Revenue Management • Launched by IDeaS • Allows Hotels to capitalise on non-room revenue streams • Increase group and Function Space profits • Forecasts and Validates Expected Demand • Day by Day parts • Uses advanced analytics • Enables Hoteliers to make Demand-Based Changes • Strategic Pricing Decisions
  • 20. Zuji.com • Game Changer in the Travel Industry • Set a new precedent • Broad and Diverse Options to Travellers • Destinations • Accommodation • Flights • Favourable Rates • Dates • Combinations
  • 22. Virtual Reality • 360 Degree Cameras • Civilian Drones • 3D, 4D, 5D relay Technology • HMDs • Oculus Rift Headsets • Teleporter Stations (You feel the experience) • Marriot Case Study • Holographic Projection • Enhanced with Augmented Reality Technology
  • 23. Fuel • Prices • Greater Energy Efficiency World Wide • Lower Demand = Lower Price? • Emergence of Green Aviation • Long-term hope of Solar Powered Aircraft • Significant Oil Sources are in Middle-East/Africa • Plagued by Conflict • ME-West Politics
  • 24. Terrorism • Islamic State • Al Qaeda • Taliban • Al Shabaab • Jemaaiyah Islamiah • Boko Haram • Abu Sayyaf • Moro Islamic Liberation Front
  • 25. Changing World of Work • Virtual Offices / Virtual Work Environments • Work-from-Anywhere • Online Work • Tele-conferencing Technology (More accessible than ever) • Work Possible on Mobile Smart Devices • Leaner Organisations (Less Employees / Increasing Job Cuts) • Unemployment? • No Job = No Money for Travel • Increasing Automation
  • 26. Generational Changes – The Millennials • More Informed • Hungrier for Content • More Connected – Relationships Across Borders • More Vocal • Not Loyal Customers • More Demands • Fast • Easy • Hassle-free
  • 27. Changing Economic Landscape • Poorer West • Wealthier East • Next Growth Frontiers • Africa • Southeast Asia • South America • Rise of BRICS: • Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa • Transition from Worker Society to Entrepreneur Society
  • 28. Let’s Talk Call +65 94510637 or email harish_shah@stratservconsultancy.com to enquiry for a detailed presentation or in-house talk.