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RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia

                    Prepared for


        National RFID 2009 Roadmap
              Planning Workshop




                                   2nd December 2009
Agenda

 Part 1 - Economic Impact of RFID to Other National or International Level Projects
  •   Analysis of National and International Level RFID Programmes
  •   Financial Impact of RFID – Country or Industry
  •   Investigation of Broadband, GDP and RFID Relationship



 Part 2 - Assess RFID’s Economic Impact to Malaysia
  •   RFID Value Creation Analysis to the Malaysian Economy
  •   RFID Investment Analysis
  •   Analyzing ROI for Key Sectors
  •   Evaluation of Total Factor Productivity and Labor Competitiveness
  •   Snapshot of Socio-Economic Gains to Overall Economy



  Part 3 – Outlook and Conclusion



                                                                                      2
Quick Introduction to RFID



                                                Stakeholders / Adopters
                                                •   Increase margins
                                                •   Increased efficiency
                                                •   Increased productivity
                                                •   Increased resource utilization
                                                •   Increased flexibility and efffectiveness
                                                •   Timely project execution and delivery
                                                •   Improved safety
                                                •   Enhanced security
                                                •   Improved safety
                                                •   Reduced cost
                                                •   Reduced wastage

                                            Society / Public
                                            •   Enhanced customer experience
                                            •   Better quality of service
                                            •   Improved quality of products
                                            •   Safer environment & consumables
                                            •   Potential cheaper products & services

     • Real-time, dynamic track and trace   Nation / Country
                                            •   Increase national competitiveness
     • Complete and real-time visibility    •   Enabler of knowledge-based economy
                                            •   Creation of new jobs
     • Complete and real-time accuracy      •    Greener environment




                                                                                           3
Analysis of National and International Level RFID
                  Programmes




                                                    4
Level of Activeness between Regional Programmes

                       Summary of Level of Activeness for National RFID Programmes (World), 2009

         Parameter /                                                                                                          Africa & Middle
                                       Europe                   Asia Pacific       North America        South America
           Region                                                                                                                   East
         Creation &
       Participation of
                                       Highest                      High              Medium                Low                   Lowest
       National Level
        Programme
                                Tier 1                     Tier 1              •    United States   •   Brazil            •    UAE
                                • Germany                  • China                                  •   Argentina         •    South Africa
                                • Spain                    • Japan                                  •   Chile             •    Swaziland
                                • France                   • South Korea                                                  •    Botswana
                                • The Netherlands          • Hong Kong                                                    •    Namibia
      Active Countries
                                Tier 2                     Tier 2
                                • Austria                  • Australia
                                • Finland                  • New Zealand
                                • UK                       • Singapore
                                • Italy
                                •   Animal Tracking                            •    Animal          •   Animal Tracking   •    Animal Tracking
                                •   Aviation                                        Tracking
                                •   Defense                                    •    Defense
                                •   Government / Public Services               •    Government /
                                •   Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals                    Public
       Areas of Focus           •   Hospitality Services                            Services
                                •   Manufacturing
                                •   Postal
                                •   Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods
                                •   Ticketing & Access Control
                                •   Transportation
Note:
Tier 1 refers to countries considered more active in national level RFID                                            Source: Frost & Sullivan,2009
rollouts compared to those countries under Tier 2


                                                                                                                                                    5
Lifecycle Analysis for Level of Activeness of Regional RFID
Programmes

                                          Market Life Cycle Analysis on Level of Activeness of National RFID Programmes by Region (World), 2009
 Activeness of National RFID Programmes




                                                                                                        •   Asia Pacific has the potential to overtake
                                                                                          Europe            Europe by 2020 in level of activeness
                                                                                                            provided structured national RFID
                                                                    Asia Pacific                            programmes are implemented.
                                                                                                        •   The region’s standing as the global hub for
                                                                                                            manufacturing related activities where
                                                                               North America                RFID has tremendous potential.
                                                    Latin America

                                           Middle East
                                                              Africa                                                                                      Time
                                                   Development                                 Growth            Maturity                        Decline

                                                                                                                                     Source: Frost & Sullivan,2009

                                                                                                                                                                 6
Financial Impact of RFID to Country, Industry or
             International Projects




                                                   7
Case Study 1
Gross Value Added to Germany via RFID Initiative
                           Model Calculation: Portion of Value Added due to RFID Technology (Germany), 2007




                                                                                                                          Retailing (Except
                                                       Textile Products




                                                                                                                                              Communication
                                                                                                                          Motor Vehicles)
                                      Manufacture of



                                                       Manufacture of



                                                                          Manufacture of




                                                                                           Manufacture of




                                                                                                                                                               Health & Social
                                                                                            Machinery &




                                                                                                            Wholesaling
                                                                           Chemicals &




                                                                                                            Commercial
                                                         Textile and
                                       Equipment




                                                                                            Equipment




                                                                                                                                                Transport,
                                                                                                                                                Storage &
                                        Transport




                                                                            Chemical
                                                                            Products




                                                                                                             Agents /




                                                                                                                                                                   Work
                              Year                                                                                                                                               Total



Gross Value Added (EUR,       2004       73.1             37.4                45.6            67.2           89.5          84.0                 116.4          141.2             654.4
        billions)             2010       71.4             34.4                55.4            85.5           133.5         88.1                 148.1          148.1             764.5
   Percentage of RFID         2004       10.0             5.0                 5.0             2.0            10.0          10.0                  7.0            1.0
      Adopters (%)            2010       40.0             20.0                15.0            15.0           40.0          40.0                 25.0           15.0
  RFID Adopter's Value        2004        7.3              1.9                2.3              1.3             9.0           8.4                 8.1             1.4              39.7
  Added (EUR, billion)
                              2010       28.6              6.9                8.3             12.8            53.4         35.2                  37.0           22.2             204.5
  Percentage of Output        2004       10.0              5.0                10.0             2.0            10.0         10.0                  5.0             1.0
 Influenced by RFID (%)
                              2010       35.0             30.0                20.0            20.0            30.0         30.0                  40.0           20.0
 Portion of Value Added
                              2004        0.7              0.1                0.2              0.0             0.9           0.8                 0.4             0.0              3.2
Influenced by RFID (EUR,
         billions)
                              2010       10.0              2.1                1.7              2.6            16.0         10.6                  14.8            4.4              62.1

Total Gross Value Added
  with Portion of Value       2004       73.8             37.5                45.8            67.2            90.4         84.8                 116.8          141.2             657.6
Added Influenced by RFID
      (EUR, billions)
                              2010      145.2             71.9               101.2           152.7           223.9        172.9                 264.9          289.3             1422.1
                                                                                                                                                              Source: FMET, 2007

         •       The CAGR for portion of value added influenced by RFID from 2004 to 2010 is
                 expected to be 63.6% .

                                                                                                                                                                                          8
Gross Value Added Difference with RFID in Germany

                                              Model Analysis: Gross Value Added with and without RFID (Germany), 2007
                                                  850.0

            Gross Value Added (EUR billion)
                                                  800.0



                                                  750.0
                                                                                                              Gross Value Added
                                                                                                              Influenced by RFID
                                                  700.0                                                       Gross Value Added



                                                  650.0



                                                  600.0
                                                                 2004       Year         2010

                                                                                                         Source: FMET, 2007

    •   The projected value added influenced by RFID in 2010 is expected to significantly
        increase to EUR 62.1 billion (4.31% of total gross value added).

    •   This translates to nearly 20 times the gross value added influenced by RFID in just 6
        years.

                                                                                                                                   9
Case Study 2
RFID in the Global Healthcare Industry
           Financial Impact of RFID to the Healthcare Industry based on Adoption Levels (World), 2006


                 Financial Gains (USD billion)

                                                 150



                                                 100

                                                                                                                  103.60
                                                 50
                                                                                           54.50
                                                                   27.95

                                                  0
                                                       Current Adoption Levels   50% Adoption Levels    100% Adoption Levels
                                                               (2006)
                                                                                 Financial Impact of RFID


  •       A study conducted by the University of Texas in Austin (UTA) in 2006 ROI of USD 27.95 billion
          based on a total RFID investment of USD 2.37 billion.
  •       This signified a return on investment (ROI) of over 1,300%.
  •       The 3 sectors analyzed within the healthcare industry to understand the benefits gained was:
      •        pharmaceuticals

      •       healthcare distribution
      •       hospitals

                                                                                                                               10
Investigation of Broadband, GDP and RFID
               Relationship




                                           11
Broadband and GDP Correlation

                      Asia Pacific Broadband Penetration and GDP per Capita (Asia Pacific), 2008
  More                                                             Broadband penetration (subscribers per 100
             Broadband penetration, December 2008
developed                                                          inhabitants, Dec 2008)                             GDP per capita, 2008 (USD)
                                                                   GDP per capita (USD PPP, 2008)
 nations     100   92.8                                                                                                                   50,000
             90             85.0                                                                                                          45,000
                                    78.5
             80                                                                                                                           40,000
             70                              66.0   63.7   62.7
                                                                                  Simple correlation = 0.82.                              35,000
             60                                                   55.7                                                                    30,000
             50                                                                                                                           25,000
             40                                                                                                                           20,000
             30                                                            21.4                                                           15,000
                                                                                      19.9
             20                                                                                11.9                                       10,000
                                                                                                          7.4
             10                                                                                                 4.1       2.3             5,000
                                                                                                                                   1.3
              0                                                                                                                           0




                                                                           Source: Frost & Sullivan, IMF and National Sources, 2008

  •    Malaysia’s current broadband penetration as of end of 2008 is 21.4%.
  •    Its till lags behind in broadband penetration compared to other more developed nations in
       Asia Pacific e.g. South Korea (92.8%), Hong Kong (85%), Singapore (78.5), Taiwan (66%), Australia
       (63.7%), Japan (62.7%) and New Zealand (55.7%).
  •    A high correlation factor of 0.82 is found, which is in-line with previous research studies conducted
       by others to highlight the direct link between GDP growth and broadband penetration.
                                                                                                                                                   12
Broadband and RFID Correlation

                          Asia Pacific Broadband Penetration and RFID Market (Asia Pacific), 2008



    Broadband penetration, December 2008                                                                                                RFID Market, 2008 (USD million)
                                                                   Broadband penetration (subscribers per 100 inhabitants, Dec 2008)
      100                                                                                                                                                           350
              92.8
                                                                   RFID Market (USD million)
       90               85.0
                                                                                                                                                                    300
                                  78.5
       80

       70                                  66.0                                                                                                                     250
                                                  63.7   62.7                   Simple correlation = 0.22.

       60                                                       55.7
                                                                                                                                                                    200
       50
                                                                                                                                                                    150
       40

       30                                                                                                                                                           100
                                                                            21.4          19.9
       20
                                                                                                        11.9
                                                                                                                                                                    50
       10                                                                                                             7.4
                                                                                                                                       4.1      2.3        1.3
        0                                                                                                                                                           0




                                                                                                                Source: Frost & Sullivan, and IMF, 2008

•    A correlation factor of only 0.22 is found between broadband penetration and the RFID market
     (adoption) suggesting there is minimal correlation between these two parameters.

                                                                                                                                                                          13
Broadband and RFID Correlation


           Possible Factors for Low Broadband-RFID Correlation (Asia Pacific), 2008



                                  • Level of adoption differs greatly between each
        Nascent                     country globally
      technology                  • Sporadic levels of deployment in Asia Pacific -
                                    mostly in the early phases of deployment



     More closed-                 • Mostly closed loop projects, hence does not
                                    require need for broadband infrastructure
     loop projects

    Leveraging on
                                  • Leveraging on narrowband or other types of
    other forms of                  network for transfer of data
       network
                                                                      Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                       14
Agenda

 Part 1 - Economic Impact of RFID to Other National or International Level Projects
  •   Analysis of National and International Level RFID Programmes
  •   Financial Impact of RFID – Country or Industry
  •   Investigation of Broadband, GDP and RFID Relationship



 Part 2 - Assess RFID’s Economic Impact to Malaysia
  •   RFID Value Creation Analysis to the Malaysian Economy
  •   RFID Investment Analysis
  •   Analyzing ROI for Key Sectors
  •   Evaluation of Total Factor Productivity and Labor Competitiveness with RFID
  •   Snapshot of Socio-Economic Gains to Overall Economy



  Part 3 – Outlook and Conclusion



                                                                                      15
RFID Value Creation Analysis to the Malaysian
                  Economy




                                                16
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
 Adoption


                      Total Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Adoption (Malaysia), 2011-2015
                                                                             Wholesale                 Finance,
                 Agriculture                                                 and Retail               Insurance,
                               Mining                Electricity,                          Transport,                                          Total
                 , Livestock,           Manufacturin                          Trade,                  Real Estate      Other Government
                                and                   Gas and Construction                Storage and                                        (2011 to
                   Forestry                  g                             Accommodati                   and          Services Services
                              Quarrying                Water                            Communication                                         2015)
                 and Fishing                                                  on and                   Business
                                                                            Restaurants                Services

Nominal GDP
(USD, million)
                 168,078 273,245 414,289 41,428                48,191      291,853       121,807      165,397 60,174 136,890 1,701,431

Total Portion
   of Value
    Added
Influenced by     1,890      1,390       4,761        218        251         3,477        1,424          836           292        1,568      15,965
  RFID (USD
    million)
  Total Gross
 Value Added
 with Portion
   of Value
    Added
                 169,968 274,636 419,050 41,646                48,442      295,330       123,231      166,233 60,467 138,458 1,717,396
Influenced by
  RFID (USD
    million)

                                                                                                                    Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                                     17
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
    Adoption
               Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Adoption (Malaysia), 2011 - 2015
                                                                                                 Nominal GDP Malaysia (USD million)
                                                                                                        Wholesale                Finance,
                                          Agriculture,                                                  and Retail Transport, Insurance,
                                                                             Electricity,                                                                         Less :       Plus :
                                           Livestock, Mining and Manufacturi              Constructio     Trade,   Storage and Real Estate    Other Government
                               Year                                           Gas and                                                                          Undistribute   Import      Total
                                          Forestry and Quarrying     ng                       n       Accommodati Communica        and       Services Services
                                                                               Water                                                                             d FISIM      Duties
                                             Fishing                                                      on and       tion      Business
                                                                                                       Restaurants               Services
                               2011          27,273     45,658     64,958      6,519        7,672         42,303      18,424      28,330     10,855    21,381     6,744       2,908      269,536
                               2012          30,000     49,538     72,298      7,269        8,554         49,071      20,874      30,171     11,408    23,990     7,142       3,225      299,258
                               2013          33,120     53,997     81,046      8,141        9,512         56,824      23,796      32,404     11,979    26,965     7,577       3,583      333,790
Nominal GDP (USD, million)
                               2014          36,730     59,073     91,582      9,150        10,616        66,200      27,270      35,321     12,613    30,335     8,047       3,984      374,829
                               2015          40,954     64,980    104,404      10,349       11,837        77,454      31,443      39,170     13,320    34,218     8,546       4,435      424,018
                               Total        168,078     273,245   414,289      41,428       48,191       291,853     121,807     165,397     60,174    136,890    38,055      18,136    1,701,431
                               2011            0.75      0.50       0.75        0.50         0.50          0.75        0.75        0.50       0.50       0.75      0.63        0.63        0.00
                               2012            1.50      1.00       1.50        1.00         1.00          1.50        1.50        1.00       1.00       1.50      1.25        1.25        0.00
    Percentage of RFID
                               2013            4.00      2.25       4.00        2.25         2.25          4.00        4.00        2.25       2.25       4.00      3.13        3.13        0.00
       Adopters (%)
                               2014            6.00      3.75       6.00        3.75         3.75          6.00        6.00        3.75       3.75       6.00      4.88        4.88        0.00
                               2015           10.00      5.50      10.00        5.50         5.50         10.00       10.00        5.50       5.50      10.00      7.75        7.75        0.00
                             2011; 1.10        225        251       536          36           42           349         152         156         60        176        46          20         1,957
                             2012; 1.10        495        545      1,193         80           94           810         344         332         125       396        98          44         4,360
RFID Adopter's Value Added
                             2013; 1.10       1,457      1,336     3,566        201          235          2,500       1,047        802         296      1,186      260         123        12,492
       (USD million)
                             2014; 1.10       2,424      2,437     6,044        377          438          4,369       1,800       1,457        520      2,002      432         214        21,651
                             2015; 1.10       4,505      3,931     11,484       626          716          8,520       3,459       2,370        806      3,764      729         378        39,831
                               2011            5.00      4.00       5.00        4.00         4.00          5.00        5.00        4.00       4.00       5.00      4.50        4.50        0.00
                               2012           10.00      8.00      10.00        8.00         8.00         10.00       10.00        8.00       8.00      10.00      9.00        9.00        0.00
   Percentage of Output
                               2013           15.00      12.00     15.00       12.00        12.00         15.00       15.00       12.00       12.00     15.00     13.50       13.50        0.00
  Influenced by RFID (%)
                               2014           20.00      16.00     20.00       16.00        16.00         20.00       20.00       16.00       16.00     20.00     18.00       18.00        0.00
                               2015           25.00      20.00     25.00       20.00        20.00         25.00       25.00       20.00       20.00     25.00     22.50       22.50        0.00
                               2011             11        10         27           1           2             17           8          6           2         9         2           1           93
                               2012             50        44        119           6           8             81          34          27         10         40        9           4           413
  Portion of Value Added
                               2013            219        160       535          24           28           375         157          96         36        178        35          17         1,790
 Influenced by RFID (USD
                               2014            485        390      1,209         60           70           874         360         233         83        400        78          38         4,125
          million)
                               2015           1,126       786      2,871        125          143          2,130        865         474         161       941       164          85         9,544
                               Total          1,890      1,390     4,761        218          251          3,477       1,424        836         292      1,568      288         145        15,965
                               2011          27,284     45,668     64,985      6,520        7,674         42,320      18,431      28,336     10,857    21,390     6,746       2,909      269,629
 Total Gross Value Added       2012          30,050     49,582     72,417      7,275        8,562         49,152      20,908      30,198     11,418    24,030     7,150       3,229      299,671
   with Portion of Value       2013          33,339     54,157     81,581      8,165        9,541         57,199      23,953      32,500     12,014    27,143     7,612       3,600      335,580
 Added Influenced by RFID      2014          37,215     59,463     92,791      9,211        10,686        67,074      27,630      35,554     12,697    30,736     8,125       4,023      378,954
       (USD million)           2015          42,080     65,766    107,275      10,474       11,980        79,584      32,308      39,644     13,481    35,159     8,710       4,520      433,562
                               Total        169,968     274,636   419,050      41,646       48,442       295,330     123,231     166,233     60,467    138,458    38,343      18,281    1,717,396

                                                                                                                                        Source: EPU, SD and Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                  18
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
Adoption

                                        Comparison of Total Gross Value Added with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015

                                       450,000

                                                      0.93% difference for total                                                                 2.25% difference
                                       425,000      value added with and without                                                                  in 2015 = USD
                                                     RFID from 2011 to 2015 =                                                                      9,544 million
                                                      USD 15,965 million (RM                                                                    (RM33,404 million)
     Gross Value Added (USD million)




                                       400,000             55,878 million)


                                       375,000


                                       350,000


                                       325,000


                                       300,000


                                       275,000


                                       250,000
                                                   2011                2012                 2013                2014                2015
                                                  Nominal GDP (USD million)
                                                  Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million)

                                                                                                               Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                     19
RFID Investment Analysis




                           20
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Investment

•   The following summary can be deduced based from the model observed in the following slide for total
    value added influenced by RFID expected in Malaysia from 2011 to 2015 with an RM 100 million
    (USD 28.57 million) investment in the core sectors.

             Total Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Investment (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015

                                                   Wholesale and
                         Agriculture,                                Transport,
                                                     Retail Trade,
                          Livestock,                                Storage and Government      Total (2011
     Core Sectors                     Manufacturing Accommodati
                         Forestry and                              Communicatio Services         to 2015)
                                                       on and
                            Fishing                                      n
                                                     Restaurants
    Nominal GDP (USD,
        million)
                           168,078     414,289       291,853      121,807        136,890         1,132,916
      Total Portion of
        Value Added
    Influenced by RFID      249          310           24           170            351             1,105
       (USD million)
     Total Gross Value
    Added with Portion
      of Value Added       168,327     414,599       291,877      121,977        137,241         1,134,021
    Influenced by RFID
       (USD million)

                                                                                 Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009




                                                                                                                  21
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
Investment
                  Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment
                                  in Core Sectors (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
                                                                               Wholesale and
                                                    Agriculture,                                Transport,
                                                                                Retail Trade,
                                                     Livestock,                                Storage and Government
                                         Year                    Manufacturing Accommodatio                               Total
                                                    Forestry and                              Communicatio   Services
                                                                                    n and
                                                       Fishing                                      n
                                                                                Restaurants
                                         2011          27,273       64,958         42,303         18,424      21,381     174,338
                                         2012          30,000       72,298         49,071         20,874      23,990     196,233
                                         2013          33,120       81,046         56,824         23,796      26,965     221,752
      Nominal GDP (USD, million)
                                         2014          36,730       91,582         66,200         27,270      30,335     252,119
                                         2015          40,954      104,404         77,454         31,443      34,218     288,474
                                         Total        168,078      414,289        291,853        121,807     136,890    1,132,916
        Number of enterprises            2011          12,000       24,000        219,000         13,000       7,000     275,000
     Number of Projects Deployed
                                         2011          103           103          103           103          103          515
         through Investment
     Percentage of RFID Adopters
                                         2011          0.86          0.43         0.05          0.79         1.47
      based on Invested Sum (%)
                                       2011; 1.05      246           293            21          153           330        1,043
                                       2012; 1.06      273           329            24          175           374        1,176
   RFID Adopters Value Added (USD
                                       2013; 1.07      304           372            29          202           425        1,331
              million)
                                       2014; 1.08      340           424            34          233           482        1,514
                                       2015; 1.09      383           488            40          272           549        1,732
                                         2011           5             5              5           5             5
                                         2012           10            10            10           10            10
   Percentage of Output Influenced
                                         2013           15            15            15           15            15
            by RFID (%)
                                         2014           20            20            20           20            20
                                         2015           25            25            25           25            25
                                         2011           12            15             1           8             17           52
                                         2012           27            33             2           18            37          118
                                                                                                                                    Total portion of value
   Portion of Value Added Influenced     2013           46            56             4           30            64          200      added influenced by
         by RFID (USD million)           2014           68            85             7           47            96          303       RFID from 2011 to
                                         2015           96           122            10           68           137          433       2015 is USD 1,105
                                         Total         249           310            24          170           351         1,105
                                         2011         27,285        64,973        42,304       18,431        21,398      174,391
                                                                                                                                     million (RM 3,867.5
                                         2012         30,027        72,331        49,074       20,891        24,027      196,351            million)
     Total Gross Value Added with
                                         2013         33,166        81,102        56,829       23,826        27,028      221,951
   Portion of Value Added Influenced
                                         2014         36,798        91,667        66,207       27,317        30,432      252,422
         by RFID (USD million)
                                         2015         41,050       104,526        77,464       31,511        34,355      288,906
                                         Total       168,327       414,599       291,877      121,977       137,241     1,134,021

                                                                             Source: EPU, SD and Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                         22
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
Investment

            Gross Value Added by Selected Core Sectors with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015


                                                                                             42,000
•   Each sector show a difference
                                                                                                                                                                Agriculture, livestock, for
    with and without RFID from
                                                                                                                                                                 estry & fishing: 0.23%
    0.22% to 0.40% for 2015 based
                                                                                                                                                                   difference in 2015
    on an investment of USD 5.71
    million (RM 20 million) per sector                                                       37,000
    in 2011.                                                                                                                                                     Government services:
•   This difference in values                              Gross Value Added (USD million)                                                                      0.40% difference in 2015
    observed is due to the number of
    enterprises found in each sector                                                         32,000
                                                                                                                                                                 Transport, storage &
    resulting in a difference to                                                                                                                                communication: 0.22%
    percentage of adopters.                                                                                                                                       difference in 2015


                                                                                             27,000




                                                                                             22,000




                                                                                             17,000
                                                                                                      2011     2012     2013            2014         2015
                     Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing                                     27,273   30,000   33,120          36,730      40,954
                     Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry, and Fishing with RFID                          27,285   30,027   33,166          36,798      41,050
                     Transport, Storage and Communication                                             18,424   20,874   23,796          27,270      31,443
                     Transport, Storage and Communication with RFID                                   18,431   20,891   23,826          27,317      31,511
                     Government Services                                                              21,381   23,990   26,965          30,335      34,218
                     Government Services with RFID                                                    21,398   24,027   27,028          30,432      34,355

                                                                                                                               Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                       23
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
Investment

            Gross Value Added by Selected Core Sectors with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015


•   Each sector show a difference                                                      110,000

    with and without RFID from                                                                                                                           Manufacturing: 0.12%
    0.01% to 0.12% for 2015 based                                                                                                                         difference in 2015
    on an investment of USD 5.71                                                       100,000
    million (RM 20 million) per sector
    in 2011.
•   This difference in values                                                           90,000
    observed is due to the number of
                                                     Gross Value Added (USD million)


    enterprises found in each sector                                                                                                                            Wholesale &
    resulting in a difference to                                                                                                                        retail, trade, accommoda
                                                                                        80,000
    percentage of adopters.                                                                                                                             tion & restaurants: 0.01%
                                                                                                                                                            difference in 2015
                                                                                        70,000




                                                                                        60,000




                                                                                        50,000




                                                                                        40,000
                                                                                                 2011     2012     2013       2014         2015
                        Manufacturing                                                            64,958   72,298   81,046     91,582      104,404
                        Manufacturing with RFID                                                  64,973   72,331   81,102     91,667      104,526
                        Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and
                                        Restaurants                                              42,303   49,071   56,824     66,200      77,454

                        Wholesale and Retail, Trade, Accommodation and
                                    Restaurants with RFID                                        42,304   49,074   56,829     66,207      77,464


                                                                                                                            Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                               24
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
Investment
                                                              Gross Value Added by Core Sectors with RFID Investment (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015


                                                              150
                                                                                                                                                                                     •   The Government Services sector show the
                                                                                                                                                                                         largest returns. This is followed by the
                                                                                                                                                                                         Manufacturing
                                                                                                                                                                                         sector, Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry &
                                                                                                                                                                                         Fishing sector, and Transport, Storage &
                                                                                                                                                                                         Communication sector.
                                                                                                                                                                                     •   The Wholesale & Retail
    Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million)




                                                                                                                                                                                         Trade, Accommodation & Restaurants
                                                              100                                                                                                                        sector showcases the lowest returns.
                                                                                                                                                                                     •   Each sector highlights a difference in
                                                                                                                                                                                         returns due the number of enterprises found
                                                                                                                                                                                         for the corresponding sectors which will
                                                                                                                                                                                         influence the overall percentage of adoption
                                                                                                                                                                                         through the planned sum of investment of
                                                                                                                                                                                         USD 5.71 million (RM 20 million) per sector.


                                                               50




                                                                0
                                                                           2011                                2012             2013                   2014                   2015

                                                                    Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing                       Manufacturing

                                                                    Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants          Transport, Storage and Communication

                                                                    Government Services



                                                                                                                                                  Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 25
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
    Investment

              Total Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Investment (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015

                                                                                 Wholesale             Finance,
                             Agricultur
                                                                                 and Retail Transport Insurance
                                  e,                                                                                               Less :
                                         Mining            Electricity             Trade, , Storage , Real               Governm             Plus :
                             Livestock,           Manufact             Construct                                 Other            Undistrib
                     Year                 and              , Gas and             Accommod and           Estate             ent              Import    Total
                              Forestry             uring                  ion                                   Services            uted
                                        Quarrying            Water                ation and Communi and                  Services           Duties
                                 and                                                                                               FISIM
                                                                                 Restaurant cation Business
                               Fishing
                                                                                      s                Services

                     2011    27,273 45,658 64,958           6,519     7,672    42,303    18,424 28,330        10,855 21,381 6,744 2,908 269,536
                     2012    30,000 49,538 72,298           7,269     8,554    49,071    20,874 30,171        11,408 23,990 7,142 3,225 299,258
Nominal GDP (USD,    2013    33,120 53,997 81,046           8,141     9,512    56,824    23,796 32,404        11,979 26,965 7,577 3,583 333,790
    million)         2014    36,730 59,073 91,582           9,150    10,616    66,200    27,270 35,321        12,613 30,335 8,047 3,984 374,829
                     2015    40,954 64,980 104,404         10,349    11,837    77,454    31,443 39,170        13,320 34,218 8,546 4,435 424,018
                     Total   168,078 273,245 414,289       41,428    48,191    291,853   121,807 165,397      60,174 136,890 38,055 18,136 1,701,431          Total portion
                     2011       24      10     41             1         2         18        15      6            2      25     2        1      145                of value
                     2012       77      44     152            6         8         83        52      27          10      77     9        4      531                 added
 Portion of Value
                     2013      264     160     591            24        28       379       187      96          36     242     35      17     1,989             influenced
Added Influenced
                                                                                                                                                                 by RFID
  by RFID (USD       2014      553     390    1,294           60        70       881       407     233          83     497     78      38     4,428           from 2011 to
     million)        2015     1,222    786    2,993          125       143      2,140      933     474         161    1,078   164      85     9,977           2015 is USD
                     Total    2,140 1,390 5,071              218       251      3,502     1,594    836         292    1,919   288     145     17,070              17,070
                     2011    27,296 45,668 64,999           6,520     7,674    42,321    18,439 28,336        10,857 21,407 6,746 2,909 269,681                million (RM
 Total Gross Value                                                                                                                                                59,745
                     2012    30,077 49,582 72,450           7,275     8,562    49,155    20,926 30,198        11,418 24,067 7,150 3,229 299,788
Added with Portion                                                                                                                                                million)
                     2013    33,384 54,157 81,637           8,165     9,541    57,204    23,984 32,500        12,014 27,206 7,612 3,600 335,780
  of Value Added
Influenced by RFID   2014    37,283 59,463 92,876           9,211    10,686    67,081    27,677 35,554        12,697 30,832 8,125 4,023 379,257
   (USD million)     2015    42,176 65,766 107,397         10,474    11,980    79,594    32,375 39,644        13,481 35,296 8,710 4,520 433,995
                     Total   170,217 274,636 419,360       41,646    48,442    295,355   123,401 166,233      60,467 138,809 38,343 18,281 1,718,501
                                                                                                                   Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                                                       26
Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of
Investment

                                                    Total Value Added with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
                                       450,000

                                                                                                                                                       2.25% difference
                                       425,000              0.99% difference for total                                                                  in 2015 = USD
                                                          value added with and without                                                                9,544 million (USD
                                                           RFID from 2011 to 2015 =                                                                     33,404 million)
                                       400,000
                                                            USD 17,070 million (RM
     Gross Value Added (USD million)




                                                                 59,745 million)
                                       375,000


                                       350,000


                                       325,000


                                       300,000


                                       275,000


                                       250,000
                                                          2011                2012               2013                2014              2015
                                                 Nominal GDP (USD million)

                                                 Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD
                                                 million)

                                                                                                                     Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                       27
RFID Generates Value Added to the National GDP

 Portion of Value Added influenced by RFID to Nominal
               GDP (Malaysia), 2011-2015


450,000


400,000


350,000


300,000
                                                                           Total Contribution of RFID Value Added to Total Nominal
250,000                                                                                    GDP (Malaysia), 2011-2015
               2011          2012         2013          2014        2015

          Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million)
          Nominal GDP (USD, million)




                                                                                                                     Total Portion of
                                                                             Total Nominal                             Value Added
                                                                               GDP; 99%                               Influenced by
                                                                                                                         RFID; 1%


                                                                                                     Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                        28
Analyzing the ROI for Selected Sectors




                                         29
Deriving the Total Returns Factor


                                RFID Investment Return Analysis by Sector (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015

                                                                                  Wholesale
                                                       Agriculture,               and Retail  Transport,
                                                        Livestock, Manufacturin    Trade,    Storage and Government
                                         Year                                                                           Total
                                                       Forestry and     g       Accommodati Communicati Services
                                                          Fishing                  on and         on
                                                                                 Restaurants


   RM 20 million Investment per
                                        2011              5.71        5.71        5.71           5.71       5.71        28.57
      Sector in USD million

                                       2011              12.3          14.6       1.0          7.7          16.5         52.2
                                       2012              27.3          32.9       2.4          17.5         37.4        117.6
      Portion of Value Added
                                       2013              45.6          55.8       4.3          30.3         63.7        199.7
     Influenced by RFID (USD
              million)
                                       2014              68.1          84.9       6.7          46.7         96.4        302.8
                                       2015              95.8         122.1       9.9          67.9        137.2        432.9
                                       Total             249.1        310.3       24.4        170.0        351.2       1,105.1
                                    2011; year 1         2.15          2.56       0.18         1.34         2.89         1.83
   Total Returns Factor for USD     2012; year 2         4.78          5.76       0.43         3.07         6.55         4.12      Total returns
   5.7 million Initial Investment   2013; year 3         7.98          9.77       0.75         5.30        11.14         6.99       factor from
  per Sector (Returns for every 1   2014; year 4         11.92        14.86       1.18         8.17        16.87        10.60      2011 to 2015
             USD spent)             2015; year 5         16.76        21.37       1.74        11.88        24.01        15.15      by sector with
                                       Total             43.59        54.31       4.28        29.75        61.47        38.68        the use of
   Total Returns Factor for RM 100 million (USD                                                                                        RFID
  28.6 million) initial investment after end of Year                                     38.68
                            5

                                                                                                  Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009



                                                                                                                                              30
Investment Returns Factor by Sector

                                                                                                              RFID Investment Return Analysis by Sector (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015


                                                                                                  25.00
    Total Returns Factor for USD 5.7 million Initial Investment per Sector (Returns for every 1




                                                                                                          •     The factor return value derived from each sector is
                                                                                                                influenced by the number of enterprises found in the
                                                                                                                corresponding sector.
                                                                                                          •     The number of enterprises found within the Government
                                                                                                  20.00         Services sector is lower, hence a higher factor return
                                                                                                                value is observed as compared to the Wholesale &
                                                                                                                Retail, Accommodation & Restaurants sector which has
                                                                                                                more number of enterprises, hence a lower factor return
                                                                                                                value is obtained.
                                                                                                  15.00
                                            USD spent)




                                                                                                  10.00




                                                                                                   5.00




                                                                                                   0.00
                                                                                                              2011                                2012                2013                   2014                       2015
                                                                                                          Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing                       Manufacturing

                                                                                                          Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants          Transport, Storage and Communication
                                                                                                          Government Services                                                Total

                                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            31
ROI for Government Services

 •           This section will evaluate the potential return on investment based on the identified investment factor
             for each of the 5 core thrust sectors as per observed in the following chart.
                            RFID Investment Return Analysis for Government Services (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
Investmen     RM          50     100.00    150.0     200.0     300.0     500.0
 t in 2011
              USD
 (million)               14.29   28.57     42.86     57.14     85.71     142.86
            2011; year
                         2.89     2.89      2.89      2.89      2.89      2.89
                1
    Total
            2012; year
  Returns                6.55     6.55      6.55      6.55      6.55      6.55                                          4,000.0
                2
 Factor for
            2013; year
 based on
                3
                         11.14   11.14     11.14     11.14     11.14     11.14                                          3,500.0            Return on Investment:
   Initial                                                                                                                                Approximately 5 months
            2014; year




                                                                                   Return on Investment (USD million)
Investmen                16.87   16.87     16.87     16.87     16.87     16.87
                4                                                                                                       3,000.0
t (Returns
            2015; year
 for every               24.01   24.01     24.01     24.01     24.01     24.01
                5                                                                                                       2,500.0
   1 USD
   spent) Total from
                         61.47   61.47     61.47     61.47     61.47     61.47
            2011-2015                                                                                                   2,000.0
              2011       41.3    82.6       123.9     165.2     247.8     412.9
              2012       93.5    187.1      280.6     374.2     561.3     935.4                                         1,500.0
  Total
              2013       159.2   318.4      477.6     636.8     955.2    1,592.0
Expected
              2014       241.0   482.1      723.1     964.1    1,446.2   2,410.4                                        1,000.0
 Returns
              2015       343.0   686.0     1,029.0   1,372.0   2,058.0   3,430.1
  (USD
 million) Total from                                                                                                     500.0
                         878.1   1,756.2   2,634.2   3,512.3   5,268.5   8,780.8
          2011-2015
                                                                                                                            0.0
                                                                                                                                    2011              2012       2013             2014             2015
                                                                                                                                  USD 14.29 million Investment          USD 28.57 million Investment
                                                                                                                                  USD 42.86 million Investment          USD 57.14 million Investment
                                                                                                                                  USD 85.17 million Investment          USD 142.86 million Investment

                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                                                                                          32
ROI for Manufacturing

                                                   RFID Investment Manufacturing (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
Investmen     RM          50     100.00    150.0       200.0     300.0     500.0
 t in 2011
              USD
 (million)               14.29   28.57     42.86       57.14     85.71     142.86
            2011; year
                         2.56     2.56      2.56        2.56      2.56      2.56
   Total        1
  Returns   2012; year
                         5.76     5.76      5.76        5.76      5.76      5.76
 Factor for     2
 based on 2013; year     9.77     9.77      9.77        9.77      9.77      9.77
   Initial      3
Investmen   2014; year
                         14.86   14.86     14.86       14.86     14.86     14.86
t (Returns      4
 for every 2015; year    21.37   21.37     21.37       21.37     21.37     21.37                                          3,500.0
   1 USD        5
  spent) Total from
                    54.31        54.31     54.31       54.31     54.31     54.31                                          3,000.0                 Return on Investment:
         2011-2015
                                                                                                                                                 Approximately 5 months




                                                                                     Return on Investment (USD million)
             2011        36.6    73.2      109.8        146.4     219.5     365.9
  Total      2012        82.2    164.4     246.7        328.9     493.3     822.2                                         2,500.0
Expected     2013        139.6   279.1     418.7        558.3     837.4    1,395.6
 Returns     2014        212.2   424.5     636.7        849.0    1,273.5   2,122.4                                        2,000.0
  (USD       2015        305.2   610.5     915.7       1,221.0   1,831.5   3,052.5
 million) Total from
                     775.9       1,551.7   2,327.6     3,103.5   4,655.2   7,758.7                                        1,500.0
          2011-2015

                                                                                                                          1,000.0


                                                                                                                           500.0


                                                                                                                              0.0
                                                                                                                                        2011             2012      2013           2014             2015
                                                                                                                                    USD 14.29 million Investment          USD 28.57 million Investment
                                                                                                                                    USD 42.86 million Investment          USD 57.14 million Investment
                                                                                                                                    USD 85.17 million Investment          USD 142.86 million Investment

                                                                                                                                                                      Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                          33
ROI for Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing

  •         This section will evaluate the potential return on investment based on the identified investment factor
            for each of the 5 core thrust sectors as per observed in the following chart.
                   RFID Investment Return Analysis for Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
  Investment in       RM         50     100.00   150.0   200.0   300.0      500.0
  2011 (million)      USD       14.29   28.57    42.86   57.14   85.71     142.86
                   2011; year
                                2.15     2.15    2.15    2.15     2.15      2.15
                       1
                   2012; year
                                4.78     4.78    4.78    4.78     4.78      4.78
   Total Returns       2
 Factor for based 2013; year    7.98     7.98    7.98    7.98     7.98      7.98
      on Initial       3
    Investment     2014; year
                                11.92   11.92    11.92   11.92   11.92     11.92                                          3,000.0
(Returns for every     4
   1 USD spent) 2015; year      16.76   16.76    16.76   16.76   16.76     16.76
                       5
                                                                                                                          2,500.0               Return on Investment:
                   Total from




                                                                                     Return on Investment (USD million)
                                43.59   43.59    43.59   43.59   43.59     43.59                                                               Approximately 6 months
                   2011-2015
                     2011       30.7    61.4     92.2    122.9    184.3     307.2                                         2,000.0
                     2012       68.2    136.5    204.7   273.0    409.4     682.4
  Total Expected     2013       114.1   228.1    342.2   456.3    684.4    1,140.7
   Returns (USD      2014       170.2   340.5    510.7   681.0   1,021.5   1,702.4                                        1,500.0
      million)       2015       239.5   479.0    718.4   957.9   1,436.9   2,394.8
                   Total from
                                622.8   1,245.5 1,868.3 2,491.0 3,736.5    6,227.5                                        1,000.0
                   2011-2015

                                                                                                                           500.0


                                                                                                                              0.0
                                                                                                                                        2011              2012   2013             2014               2015
                                                                                                                               USD 14.29 million Investment             USD 28.57 million Investment
                                                                                                                               USD 42.86 million Investment             USD 57.14 million Investment
                                                                                                                               USD 85.17 million Investment             USD 142.86 million Investment

                                                                                                                                                                  Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                            34
ROI for Transport, Storage and Communication

                   RFID Investment Return Analysis for Transport, Storage and Communication (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
Investmen       RM         50     100.00   150.0   200.0   300.0    500.0
 t in 2011
                USD
 (million)                14.29   28.57    42.86   57.14   85.71   142.86
            2011; year
                1
                          1.34    1.34     1.34    1.34    1.34     1.34
     Total
  Returns   2012; year
                2
                          3.07    3.07     3.07    3.07    3.07     3.07
 Factor for
 based on 2013; year      5.30    5.30     5.30    5.30    5.30     5.30
    Initial     3
Investmen   2014; year                                                                                            1,800.0
                4
                          8.17    8.17     8.17    8.17    8.17     8.17
 t (Returns
for every 1 2015; year                                                                                            1,600.0
     USD        5
                          11.88   11.88    11.88   11.88   11.88   11.88                                                        Return on Investment:




                                                                             Return on Investment (USD million)
    spent) Total from                                                                                             1,400.0      Approximately 9 months
            2011-2015
                          29.75   29.75    29.75   29.75   29.75   29.75
                                                                                                                  1,200.0
               2011       19.2    38.3     57.5    76.6   115.0     191.6
  Total
               2012       43.8    87.7     131.5   175.3 263.0      438.3                                         1,000.0
Expected       2013       75.7    151.3    227.0   302.6 453.9      756.5
 Returns       2014       116.7   233.4    350.0   466.7 700.1     1,166.8                                         800.0
  (USD         2015       169.7   339.4    509.1   678.9 1,018.3   1,697.2
 million)                                                                                                          600.0
             Total from
             2011-2015
                          425.0   850.1 1,275.1 1,700.1 2,550.2 4,250.3
                                                                                                                   400.0

                                                                                                                   200.0

                                                                                                                      0.0
                                                                                                                            2011            2012           2013         2014            2015

                                                                                                                            USD 14.29 million Investment          USD 28.57 million Investment
                                                                                                                            USD 42.86 million Investment          USD 57.14 million Investment
                                                                                                                            USD 85.17 million Investment          USD 142.86 million Investment

                                                                                                                                                             Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                                                                                  35
ROI for Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and
 Restaurants

                 RFID Investment Return Analysis for Wholesale and Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants
                                                  (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
Investme     RM          50     100.00   150.0   200.0   300.0   500.0
   nt in
  2011       USD
 (million)              14.29   28.57    42.86   57.14   85.71   142.86
           2011; year
   Total                0.18     0.18    0.18    0.18    0.18     0.18
               1
 Returns 2012; year
Factor for              0.43     0.43    0.43    0.43    0.43     0.43
               2
based on
           2013; year                                                                                          300.0
   Initial              0.75     0.75    0.75    0.75    0.75     0.75
               3
Investme
           2014; year
     nt                 1.18     1.18    1.18    1.18    1.18     1.18                                                           Return on Investment:
               4                                                                                               250.0
 (Returns




                                                                          Return on Investment (USD million)
           2015; year                                                                                                         Approximately 27 months or
for every               1.74     1.74    1.74    1.74    1.74     1.74
  1 USD
               5                                                                                                                       2.3 years
  spent)   Total from                                                                                          200.0
                        4.28     4.28    4.28    4.28    4.28     4.28
           2011-2015
             2011       2.6      5.2     7.8     10.4    15.7    26.1
   Total     2012       6.1      12.2    18.3    24.5    36.7    61.2                                          150.0
Expected     2013       10.7     21.4    32.2    42.9    64.3    107.2
 Returns     2014       16.8     33.6    50.4    67.3    100.9   168.1
                                                                                                               100.0
    (USD     2015       24.8     49.6    74.5    99.3    148.9   248.2
  million) Total from
                        61.1    122.2    183.2   244.3   366.5   610.8
           2011-2015
                                                                                                                50.0


                                                                                                                 0.0
                                                                                                                           2011             2012      2013              2014             2015
                                                                                                                       USD 14.29 million Investment          USD 28.57 million Investment
                                                                                                                       USD 42.86 million Investment          USD 57.14 million Investment
                                                                                                                       USD 85.17 million Investment          USD 142.86 million Investment

                                                                                                                                                             Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                                                                                36
ROI for All Sectors (5 Core Sectors Average)

                                 RFID Investment Return Analysis for All Sectors Average (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015
Investmen     RM          50      100.00    150.0     200.0     300.0     500.0
 t in 2011
              USD
 (million)               14.29     28.57    42.86     57.14     85.71     142.86
            2011; year
                         1.83      1.83      1.83      1.83      1.83      1.83
                1
     Total
            2012; year
  Returns                4.12      4.12      4.12      4.12      4.12      4.12
                2
 Factor for
 based on 2013; year     6.99      6.99      6.99      6.99      6.99      6.99
    Initial     3
Investmen   2014; year
                         10.60     10.60    10.60     10.60     10.60     10.60                                          2,500.0
 t (Returns     4
for every 1 2015; year   15.15     15.15    15.15     15.15     15.15     15.15                                                            Return on Investment:
     USD        5
                                                                                                                                          Approximately 7 months




                                                                                    Return on Investment (USD million)
    spent) Total from                                                                                                    2,000.0
                         38.68     38.68    38.68     38.68     38.68     38.68
            2011-2015
            2011         26.1      52.2     78.2      104.3      156.5     260.8
                                                                                                                         1,500.0
  Total     2012         58.8      117.6    176.4     235.2      352.7     587.9
Expected    2013         99.8      199.7    299.5     399.4      599.1     998.4
 Returns    2014         151.4     302.8    454.2     605.6      908.4    1,514.0
            2015         216.5     432.9    649.4     865.8     1,298.7   2,164.5                                        1,000.0
  (USD
 million) Total from
                         552.6    1,105.1   1,657.7   2,210.2   3,315.4   5,525.6
          2011-2015
                                                                                                                          500.0



                                                                                                                             0.0
                                                                                                                                   2011           2012             2013        2014             2015
                                                                                                                                    USD 14.29 million Investment          USD 28.57 million Investment
                                                                                                                                    USD 42.86 million Investment          USD 57.14 million Investment
                                                                                                                                    USD 85.17 million Investment          USD 142.86 million Investment

                                                                                                                                                                     Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009


                                                                                                                                                                                                          37
Evaluation of Total Factor Productivity and Labor
           Competitiveness with RFID




                                                    38
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia
RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia

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RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia

  • 1. RFID Economic Impact and Benefits for Malaysia Prepared for National RFID 2009 Roadmap Planning Workshop 2nd December 2009
  • 2. Agenda Part 1 - Economic Impact of RFID to Other National or International Level Projects • Analysis of National and International Level RFID Programmes • Financial Impact of RFID – Country or Industry • Investigation of Broadband, GDP and RFID Relationship Part 2 - Assess RFID’s Economic Impact to Malaysia • RFID Value Creation Analysis to the Malaysian Economy • RFID Investment Analysis • Analyzing ROI for Key Sectors • Evaluation of Total Factor Productivity and Labor Competitiveness • Snapshot of Socio-Economic Gains to Overall Economy Part 3 – Outlook and Conclusion 2
  • 3. Quick Introduction to RFID Stakeholders / Adopters • Increase margins • Increased efficiency • Increased productivity • Increased resource utilization • Increased flexibility and efffectiveness • Timely project execution and delivery • Improved safety • Enhanced security • Improved safety • Reduced cost • Reduced wastage Society / Public • Enhanced customer experience • Better quality of service • Improved quality of products • Safer environment & consumables • Potential cheaper products & services • Real-time, dynamic track and trace Nation / Country • Increase national competitiveness • Complete and real-time visibility • Enabler of knowledge-based economy • Creation of new jobs • Complete and real-time accuracy • Greener environment 3
  • 4. Analysis of National and International Level RFID Programmes 4
  • 5. Level of Activeness between Regional Programmes Summary of Level of Activeness for National RFID Programmes (World), 2009 Parameter / Africa & Middle Europe Asia Pacific North America South America Region East Creation & Participation of Highest High Medium Low Lowest National Level Programme Tier 1 Tier 1 • United States • Brazil • UAE • Germany • China • Argentina • South Africa • Spain • Japan • Chile • Swaziland • France • South Korea • Botswana • The Netherlands • Hong Kong • Namibia Active Countries Tier 2 Tier 2 • Austria • Australia • Finland • New Zealand • UK • Singapore • Italy • Animal Tracking • Animal • Animal Tracking • Animal Tracking • Aviation Tracking • Defense • Defense • Government / Public Services • Government / • Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals Public Areas of Focus • Hospitality Services Services • Manufacturing • Postal • Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods • Ticketing & Access Control • Transportation Note: Tier 1 refers to countries considered more active in national level RFID Source: Frost & Sullivan,2009 rollouts compared to those countries under Tier 2 5
  • 6. Lifecycle Analysis for Level of Activeness of Regional RFID Programmes Market Life Cycle Analysis on Level of Activeness of National RFID Programmes by Region (World), 2009 Activeness of National RFID Programmes • Asia Pacific has the potential to overtake Europe Europe by 2020 in level of activeness provided structured national RFID Asia Pacific programmes are implemented. • The region’s standing as the global hub for manufacturing related activities where North America RFID has tremendous potential. Latin America Middle East Africa Time Development Growth Maturity Decline Source: Frost & Sullivan,2009 6
  • 7. Financial Impact of RFID to Country, Industry or International Projects 7
  • 8. Case Study 1 Gross Value Added to Germany via RFID Initiative Model Calculation: Portion of Value Added due to RFID Technology (Germany), 2007 Retailing (Except Textile Products Communication Motor Vehicles) Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Manufacture of Health & Social Machinery & Wholesaling Chemicals & Commercial Textile and Equipment Equipment Transport, Storage & Transport Chemical Products Agents / Work Year Total Gross Value Added (EUR, 2004 73.1 37.4 45.6 67.2 89.5 84.0 116.4 141.2 654.4 billions) 2010 71.4 34.4 55.4 85.5 133.5 88.1 148.1 148.1 764.5 Percentage of RFID 2004 10.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 7.0 1.0 Adopters (%) 2010 40.0 20.0 15.0 15.0 40.0 40.0 25.0 15.0 RFID Adopter's Value 2004 7.3 1.9 2.3 1.3 9.0 8.4 8.1 1.4 39.7 Added (EUR, billion) 2010 28.6 6.9 8.3 12.8 53.4 35.2 37.0 22.2 204.5 Percentage of Output 2004 10.0 5.0 10.0 2.0 10.0 10.0 5.0 1.0 Influenced by RFID (%) 2010 35.0 30.0 20.0 20.0 30.0 30.0 40.0 20.0 Portion of Value Added 2004 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 3.2 Influenced by RFID (EUR, billions) 2010 10.0 2.1 1.7 2.6 16.0 10.6 14.8 4.4 62.1 Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value 2004 73.8 37.5 45.8 67.2 90.4 84.8 116.8 141.2 657.6 Added Influenced by RFID (EUR, billions) 2010 145.2 71.9 101.2 152.7 223.9 172.9 264.9 289.3 1422.1 Source: FMET, 2007 • The CAGR for portion of value added influenced by RFID from 2004 to 2010 is expected to be 63.6% . 8
  • 9. Gross Value Added Difference with RFID in Germany Model Analysis: Gross Value Added with and without RFID (Germany), 2007 850.0 Gross Value Added (EUR billion) 800.0 750.0 Gross Value Added Influenced by RFID 700.0 Gross Value Added 650.0 600.0 2004 Year 2010 Source: FMET, 2007 • The projected value added influenced by RFID in 2010 is expected to significantly increase to EUR 62.1 billion (4.31% of total gross value added). • This translates to nearly 20 times the gross value added influenced by RFID in just 6 years. 9
  • 10. Case Study 2 RFID in the Global Healthcare Industry Financial Impact of RFID to the Healthcare Industry based on Adoption Levels (World), 2006 Financial Gains (USD billion) 150 100 103.60 50 54.50 27.95 0 Current Adoption Levels 50% Adoption Levels 100% Adoption Levels (2006) Financial Impact of RFID • A study conducted by the University of Texas in Austin (UTA) in 2006 ROI of USD 27.95 billion based on a total RFID investment of USD 2.37 billion. • This signified a return on investment (ROI) of over 1,300%. • The 3 sectors analyzed within the healthcare industry to understand the benefits gained was: • pharmaceuticals • healthcare distribution • hospitals 10
  • 11. Investigation of Broadband, GDP and RFID Relationship 11
  • 12. Broadband and GDP Correlation Asia Pacific Broadband Penetration and GDP per Capita (Asia Pacific), 2008 More Broadband penetration (subscribers per 100 Broadband penetration, December 2008 developed inhabitants, Dec 2008) GDP per capita, 2008 (USD) GDP per capita (USD PPP, 2008) nations 100 92.8 50,000 90 85.0 45,000 78.5 80 40,000 70 66.0 63.7 62.7 Simple correlation = 0.82. 35,000 60 55.7 30,000 50 25,000 40 20,000 30 21.4 15,000 19.9 20 11.9 10,000 7.4 10 4.1 2.3 5,000 1.3 0 0 Source: Frost & Sullivan, IMF and National Sources, 2008 • Malaysia’s current broadband penetration as of end of 2008 is 21.4%. • Its till lags behind in broadband penetration compared to other more developed nations in Asia Pacific e.g. South Korea (92.8%), Hong Kong (85%), Singapore (78.5), Taiwan (66%), Australia (63.7%), Japan (62.7%) and New Zealand (55.7%). • A high correlation factor of 0.82 is found, which is in-line with previous research studies conducted by others to highlight the direct link between GDP growth and broadband penetration. 12
  • 13. Broadband and RFID Correlation Asia Pacific Broadband Penetration and RFID Market (Asia Pacific), 2008 Broadband penetration, December 2008 RFID Market, 2008 (USD million) Broadband penetration (subscribers per 100 inhabitants, Dec 2008) 100 350 92.8 RFID Market (USD million) 90 85.0 300 78.5 80 70 66.0 250 63.7 62.7 Simple correlation = 0.22. 60 55.7 200 50 150 40 30 100 21.4 19.9 20 11.9 50 10 7.4 4.1 2.3 1.3 0 0 Source: Frost & Sullivan, and IMF, 2008 • A correlation factor of only 0.22 is found between broadband penetration and the RFID market (adoption) suggesting there is minimal correlation between these two parameters. 13
  • 14. Broadband and RFID Correlation Possible Factors for Low Broadband-RFID Correlation (Asia Pacific), 2008 • Level of adoption differs greatly between each Nascent country globally technology • Sporadic levels of deployment in Asia Pacific - mostly in the early phases of deployment More closed- • Mostly closed loop projects, hence does not require need for broadband infrastructure loop projects Leveraging on • Leveraging on narrowband or other types of other forms of network for transfer of data network Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 14
  • 15. Agenda Part 1 - Economic Impact of RFID to Other National or International Level Projects • Analysis of National and International Level RFID Programmes • Financial Impact of RFID – Country or Industry • Investigation of Broadband, GDP and RFID Relationship Part 2 - Assess RFID’s Economic Impact to Malaysia • RFID Value Creation Analysis to the Malaysian Economy • RFID Investment Analysis • Analyzing ROI for Key Sectors • Evaluation of Total Factor Productivity and Labor Competitiveness with RFID • Snapshot of Socio-Economic Gains to Overall Economy Part 3 – Outlook and Conclusion 15
  • 16. RFID Value Creation Analysis to the Malaysian Economy 16
  • 17. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Adoption Total Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Adoption (Malaysia), 2011-2015 Wholesale Finance, Agriculture and Retail Insurance, Mining Electricity, Transport, Total , Livestock, Manufacturin Trade, Real Estate Other Government and Gas and Construction Storage and (2011 to Forestry g Accommodati and Services Services Quarrying Water Communication 2015) and Fishing on and Business Restaurants Services Nominal GDP (USD, million) 168,078 273,245 414,289 41,428 48,191 291,853 121,807 165,397 60,174 136,890 1,701,431 Total Portion of Value Added Influenced by 1,890 1,390 4,761 218 251 3,477 1,424 836 292 1,568 15,965 RFID (USD million) Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value Added 169,968 274,636 419,050 41,646 48,442 295,330 123,231 166,233 60,467 138,458 1,717,396 Influenced by RFID (USD million) Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 17
  • 18. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Adoption Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Adoption (Malaysia), 2011 - 2015 Nominal GDP Malaysia (USD million) Wholesale Finance, Agriculture, and Retail Transport, Insurance, Electricity, Less : Plus : Livestock, Mining and Manufacturi Constructio Trade, Storage and Real Estate Other Government Year Gas and Undistribute Import Total Forestry and Quarrying ng n Accommodati Communica and Services Services Water d FISIM Duties Fishing on and tion Business Restaurants Services 2011 27,273 45,658 64,958 6,519 7,672 42,303 18,424 28,330 10,855 21,381 6,744 2,908 269,536 2012 30,000 49,538 72,298 7,269 8,554 49,071 20,874 30,171 11,408 23,990 7,142 3,225 299,258 2013 33,120 53,997 81,046 8,141 9,512 56,824 23,796 32,404 11,979 26,965 7,577 3,583 333,790 Nominal GDP (USD, million) 2014 36,730 59,073 91,582 9,150 10,616 66,200 27,270 35,321 12,613 30,335 8,047 3,984 374,829 2015 40,954 64,980 104,404 10,349 11,837 77,454 31,443 39,170 13,320 34,218 8,546 4,435 424,018 Total 168,078 273,245 414,289 41,428 48,191 291,853 121,807 165,397 60,174 136,890 38,055 18,136 1,701,431 2011 0.75 0.50 0.75 0.50 0.50 0.75 0.75 0.50 0.50 0.75 0.63 0.63 0.00 2012 1.50 1.00 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.50 1.00 1.00 1.50 1.25 1.25 0.00 Percentage of RFID 2013 4.00 2.25 4.00 2.25 2.25 4.00 4.00 2.25 2.25 4.00 3.13 3.13 0.00 Adopters (%) 2014 6.00 3.75 6.00 3.75 3.75 6.00 6.00 3.75 3.75 6.00 4.88 4.88 0.00 2015 10.00 5.50 10.00 5.50 5.50 10.00 10.00 5.50 5.50 10.00 7.75 7.75 0.00 2011; 1.10 225 251 536 36 42 349 152 156 60 176 46 20 1,957 2012; 1.10 495 545 1,193 80 94 810 344 332 125 396 98 44 4,360 RFID Adopter's Value Added 2013; 1.10 1,457 1,336 3,566 201 235 2,500 1,047 802 296 1,186 260 123 12,492 (USD million) 2014; 1.10 2,424 2,437 6,044 377 438 4,369 1,800 1,457 520 2,002 432 214 21,651 2015; 1.10 4,505 3,931 11,484 626 716 8,520 3,459 2,370 806 3,764 729 378 39,831 2011 5.00 4.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 5.00 5.00 4.00 4.00 5.00 4.50 4.50 0.00 2012 10.00 8.00 10.00 8.00 8.00 10.00 10.00 8.00 8.00 10.00 9.00 9.00 0.00 Percentage of Output 2013 15.00 12.00 15.00 12.00 12.00 15.00 15.00 12.00 12.00 15.00 13.50 13.50 0.00 Influenced by RFID (%) 2014 20.00 16.00 20.00 16.00 16.00 20.00 20.00 16.00 16.00 20.00 18.00 18.00 0.00 2015 25.00 20.00 25.00 20.00 20.00 25.00 25.00 20.00 20.00 25.00 22.50 22.50 0.00 2011 11 10 27 1 2 17 8 6 2 9 2 1 93 2012 50 44 119 6 8 81 34 27 10 40 9 4 413 Portion of Value Added 2013 219 160 535 24 28 375 157 96 36 178 35 17 1,790 Influenced by RFID (USD 2014 485 390 1,209 60 70 874 360 233 83 400 78 38 4,125 million) 2015 1,126 786 2,871 125 143 2,130 865 474 161 941 164 85 9,544 Total 1,890 1,390 4,761 218 251 3,477 1,424 836 292 1,568 288 145 15,965 2011 27,284 45,668 64,985 6,520 7,674 42,320 18,431 28,336 10,857 21,390 6,746 2,909 269,629 Total Gross Value Added 2012 30,050 49,582 72,417 7,275 8,562 49,152 20,908 30,198 11,418 24,030 7,150 3,229 299,671 with Portion of Value 2013 33,339 54,157 81,581 8,165 9,541 57,199 23,953 32,500 12,014 27,143 7,612 3,600 335,580 Added Influenced by RFID 2014 37,215 59,463 92,791 9,211 10,686 67,074 27,630 35,554 12,697 30,736 8,125 4,023 378,954 (USD million) 2015 42,080 65,766 107,275 10,474 11,980 79,584 32,308 39,644 13,481 35,159 8,710 4,520 433,562 Total 169,968 274,636 419,050 41,646 48,442 295,330 123,231 166,233 60,467 138,458 38,343 18,281 1,717,396 Source: EPU, SD and Frost & Sullivan, 2009 18
  • 19. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Adoption Comparison of Total Gross Value Added with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 450,000 0.93% difference for total 2.25% difference 425,000 value added with and without in 2015 = USD RFID from 2011 to 2015 = 9,544 million USD 15,965 million (RM (RM33,404 million) Gross Value Added (USD million) 400,000 55,878 million) 375,000 350,000 325,000 300,000 275,000 250,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Nominal GDP (USD million) Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million) Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 19
  • 21. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Investment • The following summary can be deduced based from the model observed in the following slide for total value added influenced by RFID expected in Malaysia from 2011 to 2015 with an RM 100 million (USD 28.57 million) investment in the core sectors. Total Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Investment (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Wholesale and Agriculture, Transport, Retail Trade, Livestock, Storage and Government Total (2011 Core Sectors Manufacturing Accommodati Forestry and Communicatio Services to 2015) on and Fishing n Restaurants Nominal GDP (USD, million) 168,078 414,289 291,853 121,807 136,890 1,132,916 Total Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID 249 310 24 170 351 1,105 (USD million) Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value Added 168,327 414,599 291,877 121,977 137,241 1,134,021 Influenced by RFID (USD million) Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 21
  • 22. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment in Core Sectors (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Wholesale and Agriculture, Transport, Retail Trade, Livestock, Storage and Government Year Manufacturing Accommodatio Total Forestry and Communicatio Services n and Fishing n Restaurants 2011 27,273 64,958 42,303 18,424 21,381 174,338 2012 30,000 72,298 49,071 20,874 23,990 196,233 2013 33,120 81,046 56,824 23,796 26,965 221,752 Nominal GDP (USD, million) 2014 36,730 91,582 66,200 27,270 30,335 252,119 2015 40,954 104,404 77,454 31,443 34,218 288,474 Total 168,078 414,289 291,853 121,807 136,890 1,132,916 Number of enterprises 2011 12,000 24,000 219,000 13,000 7,000 275,000 Number of Projects Deployed 2011 103 103 103 103 103 515 through Investment Percentage of RFID Adopters 2011 0.86 0.43 0.05 0.79 1.47 based on Invested Sum (%) 2011; 1.05 246 293 21 153 330 1,043 2012; 1.06 273 329 24 175 374 1,176 RFID Adopters Value Added (USD 2013; 1.07 304 372 29 202 425 1,331 million) 2014; 1.08 340 424 34 233 482 1,514 2015; 1.09 383 488 40 272 549 1,732 2011 5 5 5 5 5 2012 10 10 10 10 10 Percentage of Output Influenced 2013 15 15 15 15 15 by RFID (%) 2014 20 20 20 20 20 2015 25 25 25 25 25 2011 12 15 1 8 17 52 2012 27 33 2 18 37 118 Total portion of value Portion of Value Added Influenced 2013 46 56 4 30 64 200 added influenced by by RFID (USD million) 2014 68 85 7 47 96 303 RFID from 2011 to 2015 96 122 10 68 137 433 2015 is USD 1,105 Total 249 310 24 170 351 1,105 2011 27,285 64,973 42,304 18,431 21,398 174,391 million (RM 3,867.5 2012 30,027 72,331 49,074 20,891 24,027 196,351 million) Total Gross Value Added with 2013 33,166 81,102 56,829 23,826 27,028 221,951 Portion of Value Added Influenced 2014 36,798 91,667 66,207 27,317 30,432 252,422 by RFID (USD million) 2015 41,050 104,526 77,464 31,511 34,355 288,906 Total 168,327 414,599 291,877 121,977 137,241 1,134,021 Source: EPU, SD and Frost & Sullivan, 2009 22
  • 23. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment Gross Value Added by Selected Core Sectors with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 42,000 • Each sector show a difference Agriculture, livestock, for with and without RFID from estry & fishing: 0.23% 0.22% to 0.40% for 2015 based difference in 2015 on an investment of USD 5.71 million (RM 20 million) per sector 37,000 in 2011. Government services: • This difference in values Gross Value Added (USD million) 0.40% difference in 2015 observed is due to the number of enterprises found in each sector 32,000 Transport, storage & resulting in a difference to communication: 0.22% percentage of adopters. difference in 2015 27,000 22,000 17,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing 27,273 30,000 33,120 36,730 40,954 Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry, and Fishing with RFID 27,285 30,027 33,166 36,798 41,050 Transport, Storage and Communication 18,424 20,874 23,796 27,270 31,443 Transport, Storage and Communication with RFID 18,431 20,891 23,826 27,317 31,511 Government Services 21,381 23,990 26,965 30,335 34,218 Government Services with RFID 21,398 24,027 27,028 30,432 34,355 Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 23
  • 24. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment Gross Value Added by Selected Core Sectors with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 • Each sector show a difference 110,000 with and without RFID from Manufacturing: 0.12% 0.01% to 0.12% for 2015 based difference in 2015 on an investment of USD 5.71 100,000 million (RM 20 million) per sector in 2011. • This difference in values 90,000 observed is due to the number of Gross Value Added (USD million) enterprises found in each sector Wholesale & resulting in a difference to retail, trade, accommoda 80,000 percentage of adopters. tion & restaurants: 0.01% difference in 2015 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Manufacturing 64,958 72,298 81,046 91,582 104,404 Manufacturing with RFID 64,973 72,331 81,102 91,667 104,526 Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants 42,303 49,071 56,824 66,200 77,454 Wholesale and Retail, Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants with RFID 42,304 49,074 56,829 66,207 77,464 Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 24
  • 25. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment Gross Value Added by Core Sectors with RFID Investment (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 150 • The Government Services sector show the largest returns. This is followed by the Manufacturing sector, Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry & Fishing sector, and Transport, Storage & Communication sector. • The Wholesale & Retail Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million) Trade, Accommodation & Restaurants 100 sector showcases the lowest returns. • Each sector highlights a difference in returns due the number of enterprises found for the corresponding sectors which will influence the overall percentage of adoption through the planned sum of investment of USD 5.71 million (RM 20 million) per sector. 50 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing Manufacturing Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants Transport, Storage and Communication Government Services Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 25
  • 26. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment Total Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Level of Investment (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Wholesale Finance, Agricultur and Retail Transport Insurance e, Less : Mining Electricity Trade, , Storage , Real Governm Plus : Livestock, Manufact Construct Other Undistrib Year and , Gas and Accommod and Estate ent Import Total Forestry uring ion Services uted Quarrying Water ation and Communi and Services Duties and FISIM Restaurant cation Business Fishing s Services 2011 27,273 45,658 64,958 6,519 7,672 42,303 18,424 28,330 10,855 21,381 6,744 2,908 269,536 2012 30,000 49,538 72,298 7,269 8,554 49,071 20,874 30,171 11,408 23,990 7,142 3,225 299,258 Nominal GDP (USD, 2013 33,120 53,997 81,046 8,141 9,512 56,824 23,796 32,404 11,979 26,965 7,577 3,583 333,790 million) 2014 36,730 59,073 91,582 9,150 10,616 66,200 27,270 35,321 12,613 30,335 8,047 3,984 374,829 2015 40,954 64,980 104,404 10,349 11,837 77,454 31,443 39,170 13,320 34,218 8,546 4,435 424,018 Total 168,078 273,245 414,289 41,428 48,191 291,853 121,807 165,397 60,174 136,890 38,055 18,136 1,701,431 Total portion 2011 24 10 41 1 2 18 15 6 2 25 2 1 145 of value 2012 77 44 152 6 8 83 52 27 10 77 9 4 531 added Portion of Value 2013 264 160 591 24 28 379 187 96 36 242 35 17 1,989 influenced Added Influenced by RFID by RFID (USD 2014 553 390 1,294 60 70 881 407 233 83 497 78 38 4,428 from 2011 to million) 2015 1,222 786 2,993 125 143 2,140 933 474 161 1,078 164 85 9,977 2015 is USD Total 2,140 1,390 5,071 218 251 3,502 1,594 836 292 1,919 288 145 17,070 17,070 2011 27,296 45,668 64,999 6,520 7,674 42,321 18,439 28,336 10,857 21,407 6,746 2,909 269,681 million (RM Total Gross Value 59,745 2012 30,077 49,582 72,450 7,275 8,562 49,155 20,926 30,198 11,418 24,067 7,150 3,229 299,788 Added with Portion million) 2013 33,384 54,157 81,637 8,165 9,541 57,204 23,984 32,500 12,014 27,206 7,612 3,600 335,780 of Value Added Influenced by RFID 2014 37,283 59,463 92,876 9,211 10,686 67,081 27,677 35,554 12,697 30,832 8,125 4,023 379,257 (USD million) 2015 42,176 65,766 107,397 10,474 11,980 79,594 32,375 39,644 13,481 35,296 8,710 4,520 433,995 Total 170,217 274,636 419,360 41,646 48,442 295,355 123,401 166,233 60,467 138,809 38,343 18,281 1,718,501 Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 26
  • 27. Value Added Influenced by RFID Through Anticipated Level of Investment Total Value Added with and without RFID (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 450,000 2.25% difference 425,000 0.99% difference for total in 2015 = USD value added with and without 9,544 million (USD RFID from 2011 to 2015 = 33,404 million) 400,000 USD 17,070 million (RM Gross Value Added (USD million) 59,745 million) 375,000 350,000 325,000 300,000 275,000 250,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Nominal GDP (USD million) Total Gross Value Added with Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million) Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 27
  • 28. RFID Generates Value Added to the National GDP Portion of Value Added influenced by RFID to Nominal GDP (Malaysia), 2011-2015 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 Total Contribution of RFID Value Added to Total Nominal 250,000 GDP (Malaysia), 2011-2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Portion of Value Added Influenced by RFID (USD million) Nominal GDP (USD, million) Total Portion of Total Nominal Value Added GDP; 99% Influenced by RFID; 1% Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 28
  • 29. Analyzing the ROI for Selected Sectors 29
  • 30. Deriving the Total Returns Factor RFID Investment Return Analysis by Sector (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Wholesale Agriculture, and Retail Transport, Livestock, Manufacturin Trade, Storage and Government Year Total Forestry and g Accommodati Communicati Services Fishing on and on Restaurants RM 20 million Investment per 2011 5.71 5.71 5.71 5.71 5.71 28.57 Sector in USD million 2011 12.3 14.6 1.0 7.7 16.5 52.2 2012 27.3 32.9 2.4 17.5 37.4 117.6 Portion of Value Added 2013 45.6 55.8 4.3 30.3 63.7 199.7 Influenced by RFID (USD million) 2014 68.1 84.9 6.7 46.7 96.4 302.8 2015 95.8 122.1 9.9 67.9 137.2 432.9 Total 249.1 310.3 24.4 170.0 351.2 1,105.1 2011; year 1 2.15 2.56 0.18 1.34 2.89 1.83 Total Returns Factor for USD 2012; year 2 4.78 5.76 0.43 3.07 6.55 4.12 Total returns 5.7 million Initial Investment 2013; year 3 7.98 9.77 0.75 5.30 11.14 6.99 factor from per Sector (Returns for every 1 2014; year 4 11.92 14.86 1.18 8.17 16.87 10.60 2011 to 2015 USD spent) 2015; year 5 16.76 21.37 1.74 11.88 24.01 15.15 by sector with Total 43.59 54.31 4.28 29.75 61.47 38.68 the use of Total Returns Factor for RM 100 million (USD RFID 28.6 million) initial investment after end of Year 38.68 5 Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 30
  • 31. Investment Returns Factor by Sector RFID Investment Return Analysis by Sector (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 25.00 Total Returns Factor for USD 5.7 million Initial Investment per Sector (Returns for every 1 • The factor return value derived from each sector is influenced by the number of enterprises found in the corresponding sector. • The number of enterprises found within the Government 20.00 Services sector is lower, hence a higher factor return value is observed as compared to the Wholesale & Retail, Accommodation & Restaurants sector which has more number of enterprises, hence a lower factor return value is obtained. 15.00 USD spent) 10.00 5.00 0.00 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing Manufacturing Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants Transport, Storage and Communication Government Services Total Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 31
  • 32. ROI for Government Services • This section will evaluate the potential return on investment based on the identified investment factor for each of the 5 core thrust sectors as per observed in the following chart. RFID Investment Return Analysis for Government Services (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Investmen RM 50 100.00 150.0 200.0 300.0 500.0 t in 2011 USD (million) 14.29 28.57 42.86 57.14 85.71 142.86 2011; year 2.89 2.89 2.89 2.89 2.89 2.89 1 Total 2012; year Returns 6.55 6.55 6.55 6.55 6.55 6.55 4,000.0 2 Factor for 2013; year based on 3 11.14 11.14 11.14 11.14 11.14 11.14 3,500.0 Return on Investment: Initial Approximately 5 months 2014; year Return on Investment (USD million) Investmen 16.87 16.87 16.87 16.87 16.87 16.87 4 3,000.0 t (Returns 2015; year for every 24.01 24.01 24.01 24.01 24.01 24.01 5 2,500.0 1 USD spent) Total from 61.47 61.47 61.47 61.47 61.47 61.47 2011-2015 2,000.0 2011 41.3 82.6 123.9 165.2 247.8 412.9 2012 93.5 187.1 280.6 374.2 561.3 935.4 1,500.0 Total 2013 159.2 318.4 477.6 636.8 955.2 1,592.0 Expected 2014 241.0 482.1 723.1 964.1 1,446.2 2,410.4 1,000.0 Returns 2015 343.0 686.0 1,029.0 1,372.0 2,058.0 3,430.1 (USD million) Total from 500.0 878.1 1,756.2 2,634.2 3,512.3 5,268.5 8,780.8 2011-2015 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USD 14.29 million Investment USD 28.57 million Investment USD 42.86 million Investment USD 57.14 million Investment USD 85.17 million Investment USD 142.86 million Investment Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 32
  • 33. ROI for Manufacturing RFID Investment Manufacturing (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Investmen RM 50 100.00 150.0 200.0 300.0 500.0 t in 2011 USD (million) 14.29 28.57 42.86 57.14 85.71 142.86 2011; year 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 2.56 Total 1 Returns 2012; year 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.76 5.76 Factor for 2 based on 2013; year 9.77 9.77 9.77 9.77 9.77 9.77 Initial 3 Investmen 2014; year 14.86 14.86 14.86 14.86 14.86 14.86 t (Returns 4 for every 2015; year 21.37 21.37 21.37 21.37 21.37 21.37 3,500.0 1 USD 5 spent) Total from 54.31 54.31 54.31 54.31 54.31 54.31 3,000.0 Return on Investment: 2011-2015 Approximately 5 months Return on Investment (USD million) 2011 36.6 73.2 109.8 146.4 219.5 365.9 Total 2012 82.2 164.4 246.7 328.9 493.3 822.2 2,500.0 Expected 2013 139.6 279.1 418.7 558.3 837.4 1,395.6 Returns 2014 212.2 424.5 636.7 849.0 1,273.5 2,122.4 2,000.0 (USD 2015 305.2 610.5 915.7 1,221.0 1,831.5 3,052.5 million) Total from 775.9 1,551.7 2,327.6 3,103.5 4,655.2 7,758.7 1,500.0 2011-2015 1,000.0 500.0 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USD 14.29 million Investment USD 28.57 million Investment USD 42.86 million Investment USD 57.14 million Investment USD 85.17 million Investment USD 142.86 million Investment Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 33
  • 34. ROI for Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry and Fishing • This section will evaluate the potential return on investment based on the identified investment factor for each of the 5 core thrust sectors as per observed in the following chart. RFID Investment Return Analysis for Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Investment in RM 50 100.00 150.0 200.0 300.0 500.0 2011 (million) USD 14.29 28.57 42.86 57.14 85.71 142.86 2011; year 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 2.15 1 2012; year 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 4.78 Total Returns 2 Factor for based 2013; year 7.98 7.98 7.98 7.98 7.98 7.98 on Initial 3 Investment 2014; year 11.92 11.92 11.92 11.92 11.92 11.92 3,000.0 (Returns for every 4 1 USD spent) 2015; year 16.76 16.76 16.76 16.76 16.76 16.76 5 2,500.0 Return on Investment: Total from Return on Investment (USD million) 43.59 43.59 43.59 43.59 43.59 43.59 Approximately 6 months 2011-2015 2011 30.7 61.4 92.2 122.9 184.3 307.2 2,000.0 2012 68.2 136.5 204.7 273.0 409.4 682.4 Total Expected 2013 114.1 228.1 342.2 456.3 684.4 1,140.7 Returns (USD 2014 170.2 340.5 510.7 681.0 1,021.5 1,702.4 1,500.0 million) 2015 239.5 479.0 718.4 957.9 1,436.9 2,394.8 Total from 622.8 1,245.5 1,868.3 2,491.0 3,736.5 6,227.5 1,000.0 2011-2015 500.0 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USD 14.29 million Investment USD 28.57 million Investment USD 42.86 million Investment USD 57.14 million Investment USD 85.17 million Investment USD 142.86 million Investment Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 34
  • 35. ROI for Transport, Storage and Communication RFID Investment Return Analysis for Transport, Storage and Communication (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Investmen RM 50 100.00 150.0 200.0 300.0 500.0 t in 2011 USD (million) 14.29 28.57 42.86 57.14 85.71 142.86 2011; year 1 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.34 1.34 Total Returns 2012; year 2 3.07 3.07 3.07 3.07 3.07 3.07 Factor for based on 2013; year 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 5.30 Initial 3 Investmen 2014; year 1,800.0 4 8.17 8.17 8.17 8.17 8.17 8.17 t (Returns for every 1 2015; year 1,600.0 USD 5 11.88 11.88 11.88 11.88 11.88 11.88 Return on Investment: Return on Investment (USD million) spent) Total from 1,400.0 Approximately 9 months 2011-2015 29.75 29.75 29.75 29.75 29.75 29.75 1,200.0 2011 19.2 38.3 57.5 76.6 115.0 191.6 Total 2012 43.8 87.7 131.5 175.3 263.0 438.3 1,000.0 Expected 2013 75.7 151.3 227.0 302.6 453.9 756.5 Returns 2014 116.7 233.4 350.0 466.7 700.1 1,166.8 800.0 (USD 2015 169.7 339.4 509.1 678.9 1,018.3 1,697.2 million) 600.0 Total from 2011-2015 425.0 850.1 1,275.1 1,700.1 2,550.2 4,250.3 400.0 200.0 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USD 14.29 million Investment USD 28.57 million Investment USD 42.86 million Investment USD 57.14 million Investment USD 85.17 million Investment USD 142.86 million Investment Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 35
  • 36. ROI for Wholesale and Retail Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants RFID Investment Return Analysis for Wholesale and Trade, Accommodation and Restaurants (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Investme RM 50 100.00 150.0 200.0 300.0 500.0 nt in 2011 USD (million) 14.29 28.57 42.86 57.14 85.71 142.86 2011; year Total 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 1 Returns 2012; year Factor for 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 2 based on 2013; year 300.0 Initial 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 3 Investme 2014; year nt 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.18 Return on Investment: 4 250.0 (Returns Return on Investment (USD million) 2015; year Approximately 27 months or for every 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1 USD 5 2.3 years spent) Total from 200.0 4.28 4.28 4.28 4.28 4.28 4.28 2011-2015 2011 2.6 5.2 7.8 10.4 15.7 26.1 Total 2012 6.1 12.2 18.3 24.5 36.7 61.2 150.0 Expected 2013 10.7 21.4 32.2 42.9 64.3 107.2 Returns 2014 16.8 33.6 50.4 67.3 100.9 168.1 100.0 (USD 2015 24.8 49.6 74.5 99.3 148.9 248.2 million) Total from 61.1 122.2 183.2 244.3 366.5 610.8 2011-2015 50.0 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USD 14.29 million Investment USD 28.57 million Investment USD 42.86 million Investment USD 57.14 million Investment USD 85.17 million Investment USD 142.86 million Investment Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 36
  • 37. ROI for All Sectors (5 Core Sectors Average) RFID Investment Return Analysis for All Sectors Average (Malaysia), 2011 to 2015 Investmen RM 50 100.00 150.0 200.0 300.0 500.0 t in 2011 USD (million) 14.29 28.57 42.86 57.14 85.71 142.86 2011; year 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 1 Total 2012; year Returns 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.12 4.12 2 Factor for based on 2013; year 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 6.99 Initial 3 Investmen 2014; year 10.60 10.60 10.60 10.60 10.60 10.60 2,500.0 t (Returns 4 for every 1 2015; year 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 15.15 Return on Investment: USD 5 Approximately 7 months Return on Investment (USD million) spent) Total from 2,000.0 38.68 38.68 38.68 38.68 38.68 38.68 2011-2015 2011 26.1 52.2 78.2 104.3 156.5 260.8 1,500.0 Total 2012 58.8 117.6 176.4 235.2 352.7 587.9 Expected 2013 99.8 199.7 299.5 399.4 599.1 998.4 Returns 2014 151.4 302.8 454.2 605.6 908.4 1,514.0 2015 216.5 432.9 649.4 865.8 1,298.7 2,164.5 1,000.0 (USD million) Total from 552.6 1,105.1 1,657.7 2,210.2 3,315.4 5,525.6 2011-2015 500.0 0.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 USD 14.29 million Investment USD 28.57 million Investment USD 42.86 million Investment USD 57.14 million Investment USD 85.17 million Investment USD 142.86 million Investment Source: Frost & Sullivan, 2009 37
  • 38. Evaluation of Total Factor Productivity and Labor Competitiveness with RFID 38