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25/11/2011




    HPC AS A DRIVER OF INNOVATION




                      CELSO GARRIDO
                    UAM AZCAPOTZALCO


         RISC Workshop. November 23 and 24, Conacyt, Mexico




TOPICS

I. Main questions
II. Science and innovation
III. New approaches to innovation
IV. Innovation risk management and HPC
V. Economics of HPC for innovation
VI. HPC and development
A final remark




                                                                      1
25/11/2011




MAIN QUESTIONS
 Why the biggest transnational are doing an
 increasing use of High-Performance Computing
 (HPC) in its strategic management of
 innovation?
 Can the HPC be a tool to improve innovation
 practices of Latin American SME?
 Which shall be the responsibility of public and
 private sector to promote the use of HPG for
 the development of the region?




II. SCIENCE AND INNOVATION

 A first clarification
   Science:
      Invest money to produce knowledge
   Economic innovation:
      Apply knowledge to produce money
   Scientific and entrepreneurs use HPC, but in this
   presentation, we will focus on the second one




                                                               2
25/11/2011




NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION
    Some basic statements on innovation
     Firms innovate to create value for themselves and
     its clients.
     Economic innovation by firms is an outcome of a
     systemic process applied by them in the context of
     certain economic ecosystem. Their, they combine
     competition and cooperation with other actors
     The innovation is a strategic process, so firm of any
     size can and has to manage it.




NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION
     Innovation management
    According to Total Innovation Management (TIM)
    approach, economic innovation is a continuous
    process of the firm. It includes all the internal and
    external factors and actors of the ecosystem, under
    the pressure of competition
•    In the most dynamic industries, competition
    accelerates the timing of innovation and shortens
    the life cycle of its outcomes.




                                                                     3
25/11/2011




NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION
     This innovation process, begin with a business
     model and finish when it arrives at the desired goal
     of value creation (product, process, organization,
     etc)

     Business models define the new ways the firm will
     undertake to create value based on innovations.

     After this, managers will make a decision about
     how to concrete the model (R&D, technology,
     design, organization, marketing, etc)




NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION
•   Along the innovation process, the firms develop
    learning curves guided by a “try and fail” practice

•   This process creates risks due to the nature of
    innovation, that not make possible to assure a priory
    a successful outcome

•   This means that firms will have to learn how to
    manage risks along the learning curve, improving its
    conditions and timing




                                                                    4
25/11/2011




INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC
HPC provides a number of powerful tools to manage
  the innovation process
Distributed and Grid Computing    Design, testing and quality
                                  production

Virtualization                    Visualization and Data
                                  Management.

Graphics Processing Units         Parallelism and Data Sharing on
                                  Multi-core Architectures


Tools and Environments for High   Modeling, simulation and analytics
Performance System Engineering    (MS&A)




INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC

The use of these tools has a different impact on
  the economic activity
  Lower design and production costs
  Increase quality
  Enhance capabilities offered in bidding
  Create highly-skilled technical workforces
  Improve collaboration with the Original
  Equipment Manufacturer (OEM)




                                                                               5
25/11/2011




INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC
  All of these create an effect on “time to
  market”




INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC
   Benefits of management based on HPC
     Turn around time in a lab is about nine months; on a
     computer, it is less than one week.
     It would cost about $50,000 per compound to analyse in
     a lab. Computationally, we can do it for about $3,000.
     HPC based virtual prototyping and large scale modelling,
     dramatically accelerate and streamline
     Not only “upstream” R&D, design and engineering but
     also “downstream” business process (data mining,
     logistic, CRM, etc)




                                                                        6
25/11/2011




INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC
 Main barriers for the use of HPC
   Educational and training hurdles (shortage of
   computational scientists)
   Technical obstacles (e.g., legacy codes need updating,
   new code development lags, growing performance gap
   between fast processors and other system
   technologies)
   Firms often see HPC as a cost, rather than a value
   investment, largely due to the difficulty businesses had
   in determining the return on investment (ROI) of HPC
   systems




ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION

 Evolution of the HCP industry at a global level
   Accelerated technological changes required by the
   international competition
   Servers were the largest segment but declined as a
   percentage throughout the forecast period
   The highest growth rates will be in storage and
   services




                                                                      7
25/11/2011




ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION

    Different configurations




ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION

•   The total HPC market in 2010 was $25.6
    billion, reaching $36.0 billion in 2015
    New business models with the Internet and
    cloud computing
    HPC resources “in the cloud” are becoming
    increasingly available and allow users to
    consider the cloud as a service




                                                        8
25/11/2011




ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION
  Cloud as a Service business:
     dynamically scalable and virtualizes resources
     as a service over the Internet
             IaaS                      PaaS                    Saas

  Infrastructure as a Service   Platform as a Service   Software as a Service

                    Accessible on line, anytime, anywhere
                            Pay for what you use
                            Available on demand
                         Service level agreements
                       Automated scalability, failover
                         Concurrency management




ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION
 HPC operates in an economic ecosystem




                                                                                        9
25/11/2011




ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION
  HPC is an innovation accelerator that
  propels productivity, competitiveness and
  economic development




HPC AND DEVELOPMENT

 However, to make such competitiveness
 change, it is necessary to consider that the
 relation HPC- innovation shall apply in a
 National Innovation System (NIS)




                                                       10
25/11/2011




 HPC AND DEVELOPMENT
  Conceptual diagram of the NIS
                                                          Products
                                                          and
                                                          services
                  Development in terms of
                                                                                   Market
  Market        both science/technology and
                          industry
                                                                                          Innovators
                   Universities                               Companies
  Industry                                                 Utilize knowledge
                                                                                                Demand
                Produce knowledge
                                        Collaboration
Knowledge
     base                         Knowledge base
                       Develop social           Labour                     Tax and
   Policy              Infrastructure
                                                 policy                financial policy
             Economy               Education                Science and
              policy                 policy               technology policy
                                    Government
   Society
                           Politics and economy
             Environment, culture, tradition, national character




 HPC AND DEVELOPMENT
    To increase the impact of HPC on innovation,
    we have to consider three key elements
    Cooperation among public- private sector to
    enhance the use of HPC as a tool for innovation
     Cooperation among university and firms to
    share HPC facilities
    Develop the use of HPC in the manufacturing
    supply chain for modelling, simulation and
    analytics (MS&A)




                                                                                                                11
25/11/2011




FINAL REMARK



    IF A COUNTRY WANTS OUT COMPETE

         IT MUST OUT COMPUTE




          ¡¡¡ THANKS ¡¡¡

        garridocelso@hotmail.com




                                            12

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Celso garrido

  • 1. 25/11/2011 HPC AS A DRIVER OF INNOVATION CELSO GARRIDO UAM AZCAPOTZALCO RISC Workshop. November 23 and 24, Conacyt, Mexico TOPICS I. Main questions II. Science and innovation III. New approaches to innovation IV. Innovation risk management and HPC V. Economics of HPC for innovation VI. HPC and development A final remark 1
  • 2. 25/11/2011 MAIN QUESTIONS Why the biggest transnational are doing an increasing use of High-Performance Computing (HPC) in its strategic management of innovation? Can the HPC be a tool to improve innovation practices of Latin American SME? Which shall be the responsibility of public and private sector to promote the use of HPG for the development of the region? II. SCIENCE AND INNOVATION A first clarification Science: Invest money to produce knowledge Economic innovation: Apply knowledge to produce money Scientific and entrepreneurs use HPC, but in this presentation, we will focus on the second one 2
  • 3. 25/11/2011 NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION Some basic statements on innovation Firms innovate to create value for themselves and its clients. Economic innovation by firms is an outcome of a systemic process applied by them in the context of certain economic ecosystem. Their, they combine competition and cooperation with other actors The innovation is a strategic process, so firm of any size can and has to manage it. NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION Innovation management According to Total Innovation Management (TIM) approach, economic innovation is a continuous process of the firm. It includes all the internal and external factors and actors of the ecosystem, under the pressure of competition • In the most dynamic industries, competition accelerates the timing of innovation and shortens the life cycle of its outcomes. 3
  • 4. 25/11/2011 NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION This innovation process, begin with a business model and finish when it arrives at the desired goal of value creation (product, process, organization, etc) Business models define the new ways the firm will undertake to create value based on innovations. After this, managers will make a decision about how to concrete the model (R&D, technology, design, organization, marketing, etc) NEW APPROACHES TO INNOVATION • Along the innovation process, the firms develop learning curves guided by a “try and fail” practice • This process creates risks due to the nature of innovation, that not make possible to assure a priory a successful outcome • This means that firms will have to learn how to manage risks along the learning curve, improving its conditions and timing 4
  • 5. 25/11/2011 INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC HPC provides a number of powerful tools to manage the innovation process Distributed and Grid Computing Design, testing and quality production Virtualization Visualization and Data Management. Graphics Processing Units Parallelism and Data Sharing on Multi-core Architectures Tools and Environments for High Modeling, simulation and analytics Performance System Engineering (MS&A) INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC The use of these tools has a different impact on the economic activity Lower design and production costs Increase quality Enhance capabilities offered in bidding Create highly-skilled technical workforces Improve collaboration with the Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) 5
  • 6. 25/11/2011 INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC All of these create an effect on “time to market” INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC Benefits of management based on HPC Turn around time in a lab is about nine months; on a computer, it is less than one week. It would cost about $50,000 per compound to analyse in a lab. Computationally, we can do it for about $3,000. HPC based virtual prototyping and large scale modelling, dramatically accelerate and streamline Not only “upstream” R&D, design and engineering but also “downstream” business process (data mining, logistic, CRM, etc) 6
  • 7. 25/11/2011 INNOVATION RISK MANAGEMENT AND HPC Main barriers for the use of HPC Educational and training hurdles (shortage of computational scientists) Technical obstacles (e.g., legacy codes need updating, new code development lags, growing performance gap between fast processors and other system technologies) Firms often see HPC as a cost, rather than a value investment, largely due to the difficulty businesses had in determining the return on investment (ROI) of HPC systems ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION Evolution of the HCP industry at a global level Accelerated technological changes required by the international competition Servers were the largest segment but declined as a percentage throughout the forecast period The highest growth rates will be in storage and services 7
  • 8. 25/11/2011 ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION Different configurations ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION • The total HPC market in 2010 was $25.6 billion, reaching $36.0 billion in 2015 New business models with the Internet and cloud computing HPC resources “in the cloud” are becoming increasingly available and allow users to consider the cloud as a service 8
  • 9. 25/11/2011 ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION Cloud as a Service business: dynamically scalable and virtualizes resources as a service over the Internet IaaS PaaS Saas Infrastructure as a Service Platform as a Service Software as a Service Accessible on line, anytime, anywhere Pay for what you use Available on demand Service level agreements Automated scalability, failover Concurrency management ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION HPC operates in an economic ecosystem 9
  • 10. 25/11/2011 ECONOMICS OF HPC FOR INNOVATION HPC is an innovation accelerator that propels productivity, competitiveness and economic development HPC AND DEVELOPMENT However, to make such competitiveness change, it is necessary to consider that the relation HPC- innovation shall apply in a National Innovation System (NIS) 10
  • 11. 25/11/2011 HPC AND DEVELOPMENT Conceptual diagram of the NIS Products and services Development in terms of Market Market both science/technology and industry Innovators Universities Companies Industry Utilize knowledge Demand Produce knowledge Collaboration Knowledge base Knowledge base Develop social Labour Tax and Policy Infrastructure policy financial policy Economy Education Science and policy policy technology policy Government Society Politics and economy Environment, culture, tradition, national character HPC AND DEVELOPMENT To increase the impact of HPC on innovation, we have to consider three key elements Cooperation among public- private sector to enhance the use of HPC as a tool for innovation Cooperation among university and firms to share HPC facilities Develop the use of HPC in the manufacturing supply chain for modelling, simulation and analytics (MS&A) 11
  • 12. 25/11/2011 FINAL REMARK IF A COUNTRY WANTS OUT COMPETE IT MUST OUT COMPUTE ¡¡¡ THANKS ¡¡¡ garridocelso@hotmail.com 12