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BRAIN
WAVES
7th Annual
ASU GSV
Summit
April 18, 2016
Michael Moe, CFA Co-Founder, GSV @michaelmoe
2010 Mission:
To Accelerate
Innova!on in Educa!on
and Op!mize Impact
2010
300
A!endees
2010
35
Companies
3,000+
A!endees
350+
Companies
Sold Out
5th Year in a Row
April 2010…
iPad
Released April
2010…
First UBER
Ride S!ll 2
Months Away
Snapchat
July, 2011
8 Billion
Videos Per
Day
Series A
7 Months
A"er First
Summit
2015
80 Million
Nights
Booked
$1.6 Billion
Series E
$25 Billion
Market Value
EdTech VC Investment
$550
Million
2010
Source: GSV Advisors
EdTech VC Investment
$550
Million
$2.1
Billion
2010
2015
31% CAGR
Source: GSV Advisors
Weapons of Mass Instruction
KNEWTON Founded 2008
10+ Million Students
16+ Billion Recommenda"ons
+
Pass Rates 17%
+
Source: Knewton
Dropouts 56%
+
Source: Knewton
Technology
Vendors
2010
5
Technology
Vendors
Today
130
5
2U Founded 2008
15+ Partners
$1+ Billion Tui"on Generated
CLASS DOJO Founded 2011
50+ Million
Users
REMIND Founded 2011
35+ Million Users
3/4 U.S. Schools
CLEVER Founded 2012
20+ Million
Users
2011
160,000
Students,
Stanford AI
MOOC
4 Million Students
168 Countries
COURSERA Founded 2012
18+ Million
Students
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
160K 1.5M
10M
18M
35M
194% CAGR
MOOC Enrollments
Map oft the colonies
United States 1800
A!endees
“As GM goes, so
goes the na!on.”
— CHARLES WILSON
CEO, General Motors (1953)
$0
$45
$90
$135
$180
1964 1969 1974 1979 1984 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009
GM Market Value, 1964-2009
Source: Capital IQ
Moore’s Law
2000 2015
$0.04
$7.03
Cost of Compu!ng (per MM transistors)
98% decline
Source: Deloitte
2000 2015
$0.02
$4.77
Cost of Storage (per GB)
99% decline
Source: Deloitte
Internet Access: 2000
371 Million
Internet Access:
Source: Gartner, Nielsen, A.T. Kearney, eMarketer, KPCB, GSV Asset Management
Internet Access: Today
3.1 Billion
371 Million
Internet Access:
Source: Gartner, Nielsen, A.T. Kearney, eMarketer, KPCB, GSV Asset Management
2000
60 Million
Broadband Access:
Source: Gartner, Nielsen, A.T. Kearney, eMarketer, KPCB, GSV Asset Management
Today
2.3 Billion2
60 Million
Broadband Access:
Source: Gartner, Nielsen, A.T. Kearney, eMarketer, KPCB, GSV Asset Management
2000
180 Million
PC Penetra!on:
Source: Gartner, Nielsen, A.T. Kearney, eMarketer, KPCB, GSV Asset Management
Today
1.4 Billion
180 Million
PC Penetra!on:
Source: Gartner, Nielsen, A.T. Kearney, eMarketer, KPCB, GSV Asset Management
Internet Access: 2000
740 Million
Mobile Penetra!on:
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report (2015)
Internet Access: Today
7 Billion
740 Million
Mobile Penetra!on:
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report (2015)
Smartphones: 2000
0
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report (2015)
Smartphones: Today
2.6 billion
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report (2015)
App Downloads: 2000
0
Source: Forrester
App Downloads: Today
226 billion
Source: Forrester
Internet Access: 2000
9 Million
Digital Na!ves Workforce:
Source: KPCB, GSV Asset Management
Internet Access: Today
56 Million
9 Million
Digital Na!ves Workforce:
Source: KPCB, GSV Asset Management
Global Middle Class: 2000
1.4
Billion
Source: OECD
Global Middle Class: Today
2.5
Billion +80%
Source: OECD
College Educa!on (OECD): 2000
14%
Source: OECD
29%
+2x
College Educa!on (OECD): Today
Source: OECD
50%+ Low Income Students 2000: 4
56%
60%
63%
51%
Source: The Atlantic, Southern Education Foundation, New York Times
50%+ Low Income Students Today: 20
55%
51%
59%
50% 68%
60%
61% 61%
65%
71%
58%
51%
50%
52%
53%
58%
60%58%
59%
51%
Source: The Atlantic, Southern Education Foundation, New York Times
40%+ Low Income Students Today: 39
55%
51%
59%
50% 68%
60%
61% 61%
65%
71%
58%
51%
50%
52%
53%
58%
60%58%
59%
51%
49%
45%
47%
42%
40%
44%
48% 45%
40%
49%
47%
40%
48%
43%
46%
43%
41%
42%
40%
Source: The Atlantic, Southern Education Foundation, New York Times
Low-Income Students
5x More Likely to
Drop out of High School
Source: American Psychological Association
Source: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, National Education Association
Dropouts
8x More Likely to
Go to Prison
Source: National Education Association
80%
U.S. Prison Popula"on
High School Dropouts
400
450
500
550
600
< $20K $40K - $60K $80K - $100K $120K - $140K $160K - $200K
Reading Math Wri!ng
SAT Scores and Family Income
Source: College Board
0%
19%
38%
56%
75%
No College Community College Compe!!ve Most Compe!!ve
Enrollment from Top Quar!le
Enrollment from Bo#om Quar!le
Locked Out of Elite Colleges
Source: Pew Research Center
Income Quartile Graduate from College
Top 75%
Second 33%
Third 20%
Bottom 8%
Source: Pew Research Center
70% of Poor Americans Never Make it to
the Middle Class.
Move to Middle+ Stay Put
70%
30%
Source: Pew Research Center
30,000
Amazon
Warehouse
Robots
350+ Million
Global Manufacturing +
Warehouse Workers
Source: McKinsey, GSV Asset Management
12 Million
U.S. Middle Skills Jobs
Eliminated by 2025
Source: McKinsey
$7 Trillion
Managed by
Robo-Financial Advisors
by 2025
Source: Deloitte
3,000+
Financial
Reports Per Quarter
Source: New York Times
50%
Jobs At Risk of
Replacement in
20 Years
Source: The Economist, Oxford University
“Our policy is to hire as
many talented computer
engineers as we can
find. There aren't
enough people who
have these skills today.”
— MARK ZUCKERBERG
1.2 Million
Computer Science
Job Openings by 2020
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Fortune
“Data Science
— The sexiest
job of the 21st
Century.”
1060
Time
Humans
Knowledge, Skills, Abili!es
Computers
We Are Here
Digital Marke!ng
Visual Design
iOS + Android
Development
Data Analy!cs
Cybersecurity
Killer Jobs Today…
Killed Tomorrow
1967
1967
“We could be looking
at a society in which
all the gains in wealth
accrue to whoever
owns the robots.”
— PAUL KRUGMAN
“The obvious
conclusion is that
the government
will just have to
give these
people money.”
— SAM ALTMAN
“New disease…
technological
unemployment.”
— JOHN MAYNARD
KEYNES, 1930
Agriculture is our wisest
pursuit, because it will in
the end contribute most
to real wealth, good
morals, and happiness.
— THOMAS JEFFERSON, 1787
Automa!on Eats Jobs
Farming
Factory
Informa!on
Knowledge
2x
Increase in
GDP Per Capita
Source: US. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2x
Increase in
Corporate Profits
Source: US. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
2.5x
Increase in
Labor Produc"vity
Source: US. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Median Income Stalls in 1967…
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2015Source: U.S. Census Bureau
…Decreases for men
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2015Source: U.S. Census Bureau
Winner Take
All Economy
Value
Scale
10M
Users
1.6B
Users
Source: New York Times, GSV Asset Management
Value
Scale
21%
Search
64%
Search
Source: Yahoo Finance
Value
Scale
170M
Users
1.1B
Users
Source: YouTube, Vimeo
Value
Scale
$125M
Revenue
$107B
Revenue
Source: Yahoo Finance, Fortune
Source: Economic Policy Institute
CEO Compensa!on
$20
$5,015
$10,010
$15,005
$20,000
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Median Income $27K
303x
23x
Source: Forbes
Major League Baseball
$20
$1,140
$2,260
$3,380
$4,500
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Median Income $27K
MLB Salary $4.3M
Inequality is
the parent of
revolu!on.
— ARISTOTLE
Talent is equally
distributed by zip
code…
but opportunity
is not.
Our B.H.A.G:
Ensure that every person has
an equal opportunity to
par!cipate in the future.
Magic of Silicon Valley =

Exponential Ideas
Auto
Industry?
Annual R&D
Spend:
$7.2 Billion
Source: Company Disclosures
1060
Auto Innova"on
Time
Value
1060
Tesla = Exponen!al Innova!on
Time
Value
ImagiNation
1060
Time
Value
Communica!on + Collabora!on
Time
Value
Travel + Hospitality
Energy
Time
Value
1060
1055
1050
1045
1040
1035
1030
1025
1020
1015
1010
105
1
10-5
Healthcare
Time
Value
Educa!on Innova!on…
Time
Value
?
…Exponen!al Opportunity
OPPORTUNITY GAP
Time
Value
$27 Trillion
U.S. Economic Gains with
Basic PISA Improvement
Source: OECD
$200+ Trillion
Global Economic Gains
with Basic PISA
Improvement
Source: OECD
Hollywood
Meets
Harvard
1967
Super Bowl I
60,000
A!endees
Source: Wikipedia
$12
Ticket Price
Source: CBS (2016 USD)
$6 Million
Avg. Team Value
Source: CBS (2016 USD)
$25,000
Avg. Salary
Source: US News & World Report
2016
Super Bowl 50
80,000
A!endees
$1,500
Ticket Price
167+ Million
Remote Viewers
FREE
$5 Million
Per 30-Second Ad
$360+ Million
Ad Sales
$2 Billion
Avg. Team Value
Source: Forbes
$2.2 Million
Avg. Salary
Source: CNN
Spor"ng Event
MEDIA MODEL
Access
Quality
Value
60,000
Ivy+ Enrollment, 1967
Source: University Disclosures
80,000
Ivy+ Enrollment, Today
Source: University Disclosures
$15,000
Cost to Graduate, 1967
Source: University Disclosures
$250,000
Cost to Graduate,
Today
Source: University Disclosures
138 Million
U.S. Higher Ed Gap
Source: NCES, U.S. Census Bureau
$35 Trillion
Price Tag
Source: GSV Asset Management
Superbowl vs. Ivy League
1967
Value
Super
Bowl I
Ivy
League
Superbowl vs. Ivy League
1967
Value Super
Bowl 50
Ivy
League
Today
media
mEDia
magic leap
Magic Leap
AR/VR Industry
$90
Million
$5.2
Billion
2014
2018
176% CAGR
Source: Statista
Big Data
50%
Programs
Watched Were
Recommended
Source: Company Disclosures
50%
Accuracy
Lung Cancer
Diagnosis
Source: The Fourth Industrial Revolution (Klaus Schwab), FortuneSource: IBM
90%
Accuracy
Lung Cancer
Diagnosis
Source: The Fourth Industrial Revolution (Klaus Schwab), Fortune
ADAPTIVE
Technology
ADAPTIVE
Technology + DIAGNOSTIC
Technology =
Personal Robot Tutor
10,000 Hours
of Prac"ce
Makes Perfect
Healthy
10,000
Steps
Wealthy
10,000
Dollars
Wise
10,000
Neurons
Time to Learn!
10,000 Hours
Classroom Time
K-12
Source: U.S. Department of Education
10,000 Hours
Video Games
K-12
Source: U.S. Department of Education
MEGAWINNERS
Engagement
Efficacy
KaizenEDU
1/3
Babies
Live to
100+
Source: United Kingdom Office of National Statistics (ONS)
Digital
Natives
64%
Would Work
for Less than
Half at a Job
They Love
15+
Lifetime
Careers
Job Benefits Millennials Value Most
Source: KPCB
#1 Training + Development (22%)
#2 Flexible Hours (19%)
#3 Cash Bonuses (14%)
Old System, 1900
PLAY LEARN JOB RETIRE
New System
LEARN
PLAY SCHOOL JOB JOB JOB
Adaptability
Grit
Cri!cal Thinking
Empathy
Communica!on
Entrepreneurship
Learn to Learn
Skills for an
Exponen!al
Economy
Learn to Learn
Entrepreneurship
Communica!on
Empathy
Cri!cal Thinking
Grit
Adaptability
Knowledge
as a
Currency
NEWS to Knowledge
Informa"on
Knowledge
Old
Knowledge
Currency
Knowledge
Por"olio
4 Minute
Mile


Impossible is not
a fact. It’s an
opinion.
— MUHAMMAD ALI
Imagine what it
would look like to
“MIND the gap”.
Imagine what would
happen if everybody
had an EQUAL
OPPORTUNITY to
par"cipate in the future.
Imagine how
we could use
EXPONENTIAL
IDEAS applied to
this challenge.
Imagine what
GREAT looks like.
DARE TO BE
GREAT!!!
Brain Waves - 2016 ASU GSV Summit Keynote

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