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Learning in 2020

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  • Abundance 'will challenge decision-support processes which are based on ordered knowledge' (Slide43) A powerful statement for institutions of learning.
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Nade Oslo

  1. 1. Learning in 2020 George Siemens November 17, 2009 Oslo, Norway
  2. 2. Me
  3. 3. <ul><li>https://tekri.athabascau.ca/ </li></ul><ul><li>www.elearnspace.org (weekly newsletter) </li></ul><ul><li>http://twitter.com/gsiemens </li></ul>
  4. 4. It’s getting crazy out there.
  5. 5. Universities transitioning to an information era <ul><li>Freedman, G. (2008). Unlocking the global education imperative: Core challenges & critical response </li></ul>
  6. 6. But our current system has a dim future
  7. 7. India calls for 27,000 HE institutions <ul><li>http://www.sindhtoday.net/news/1/68995.htm </li></ul>
  8. 8. Funding reductions in public education <ul><li>http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/19562 </li></ul>
  9. 9. Tremendous growth of online education <ul><li>http://www.sloan-c.org/publications/survey/staying_course </li></ul>
  10. 10. Growth of for-profit education <ul><li>http://www.insidehighered.com/news/2009/10/28/phoenix </li></ul>
  11. 11. What will 2020 look like?
  12. 12. Population growth (extra 1 B+)
  13. 13. Globalized, integrated world (legal) Pelton, Toward a Global Rule of Law: A Practical Step Toward World Peace. WFS
  14. 14. West to east money/power transfer
  15. 15. Climate change
  16. 16. Resource scarcity
  17. 17. Women as agents of geopolitical change <ul><ul><li>DCDC, National Intelligence Council </li></ul></ul>
  18. 18. Technologies of transformation
  19. 19. Traceable & recordable everything <ul><li>Gene Stephens, “Cybercrime in the Year 2025,” July-Aug 2008, p. 34 World Future Society </li></ul>
  20. 20. Cognitive augmentation (technological, biological)
  21. 21. Identity/presence tools
  22. 22. (with accompanying privacy /security/ethics concerns)
  23. 23. Physical/virtual integration
  24. 24. Aggregation at point of search/use
  25. 25. Prominence of indirect internet access (i.e. apps)
  26. 26. Rise of Things <ul><li>Internet of things </li></ul><ul><li>Robot in every home </li></ul><ul><li>http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2006/09/060906-robots.html </li></ul>
  27. 27. Global, complex future requires a connected, educated populace
  28. 28. Why is change so hard in education??
  29. 29. Trailing ideologies
  30. 30. Ideologies of an era are embedded into its systems
  31. 31. Eras change. Systems stay.
  32. 32. Anomalies of a transition period
  33. 33. The Dynamo
  34. 34. How will we learn in 2020?
  35. 35. Institutions
  36. 38. Learners
  37. 39. Course design <ul><li>Adaptive </li></ul><ul><li>Contextual </li></ul><ul><li>Aggregation-driven </li></ul>
  38. 40. Learning is elimination
  39. 41. Technology is about addition
  40. 42. Trend of information is abundance <ul><li>Do you really need a citation? Look at your inbox. </li></ul>
  41. 43. <ul><li>Abundance “ will challenge decision-support processes which are based on ‘ordered’ knowledge” </li></ul><ul><li>DCDC Global Strategic Trends </li></ul>
  42. 45. How do we handle it? <ul><li>Technology </li></ul><ul><li>Social networks </li></ul>
  43. 46. Wayfinding through social systems
  44. 47. Human/machine learning and sensemaking
  45. 48. Matching systems to society’s needs
  46. 49. Farmer
  47. 50. Greeks
  48. 51. Religious
  49. 52. Schools & Institutions
  50. 53. Networks
  51. 55. <ul><li>https://tekri.athabascau.ca/ </li></ul><ul><li>www.elearnspace.org (weekly newsletter) </li></ul><ul><li>http://twitter.com/gsiemens </li></ul>

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