Exploring the role of water security in regional economic development 2010 CONSULTING PARTNERS MEETING Dr Mohamed AIT KADI Technical Committee Chair Stockholm, September 2010

1. 2010 CONSULTING PARTNERS MEETINGExploring the role of water security in regional economic development Dr Mohamed AIT KADI Technical Committee Chair Stockholm, September 2010

2. Creating platforms for regional cooperation 13 Regional Water Partnerships 73 Country Water Partnerships 2,069 Partners in 149 countries

3. Water as a catalyst for regional cooperation

4. «but the water problems of our world need not be only a cause of tension; they can also be a catalyst for cooperation…If we work together, a secure and sustainable water future can be ours… » Kofi Annan

6. What are the drivers of Regional Water Cooperation?

7. What are the key implications for GWP? 5

9. Cannot be solved by 1 country Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

11. 8 Agriculture-Water-Climate Change nexus WATER Rainfed / Irrigation Green Water/Blue Water IWRM Scarcity/Droughts/Floods FS Mitigation / Adaptation Ag. Reforms Yield declines Crop and livestock losses Change in agricultural geography Biofuels CLIMATE CHANGE AGRICULTURE Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

13. Diverse policy responses to food crisis Source: von Braun 2008 with data from IMF, FAO, and news reports, 2007-08.

14. The age of consequences Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

15. The volatility in food prices in 2008 should be treated as a warning sign of what is to come! Riots Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

16. Opportunities for Water Cooperation C.W. Sadoff, D. Grey / Water Policy (2002)

18. What are the drivers of Regional Water Cooperation?

19. What are the key implications for GWP? 14

20. Geography Resources endowment/variability Trade Democracy & Governance Power asymmetries Diplomatic relations Political regimes Colonial heritages…. Drivers of regional water cooperation Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

21. Resources endowments coopCoop wsS

22. Climate change impact on resources endowment & variability Model-Projected Runoff Change (%) [(2041-2060)-(1900-1970)] Coop (Milly et al., 2005) WS

23. Increasing risk Global Development Center

24. Trade

25. Trade

26. Geography Resources endowment/variability Trade Democracy & Governance Power asymmetries Diplomatic relations Political regimes Colonial heritages…. Drivers of regional water cooperation Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

28. What are the drivers of Regional Water Cooperation?

29. What are the key implications for GWP? 22

31. Identify opportunities for building regional cooperation.

32. Encourage the inclusion of water on regional economic integration agendas. Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

34. Catalyse multisectoral platforms on development challenges and their solutions.

35. Nurture shared visions of the future that can serve as a basis for cooperation.Mohamed AIT KADI GWP/TEC

36. Comment nourrir l’humanité?