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J., and Warren, K. (1979). "Selective PHC -an interim
         strategy for disease control in developing countries." The New
         England Journal of Medicine 30(18): 967 -974




Walsh,
Vol. 301     No    18       DISEASE     CONTROL         IN DEVELOPING          COUNTRIES     -WALSH       A:--'D WARREN



                                                             SPECIAL ARTICLE

                                               SELECTIVE            PRIMARY        HEALTH        CARE

                            An Interim         Strategy for Disease Control             in Developing          Countries

                                     JULIA A. WALSH, M.D.,                AND KENNETH S. WARREN, Yt.D.

 Abstract    Priorities among the infectious diseases af-                       tussis-tetanus    vaccination,   treatment    for febrile
fecting the three billion people in the less developed                          malaria and oral rehydration       for diarrhea   in chil-
world have been based on prevalence. morbidity. mor-                            dren, and tetanus      toxoid  and encouragement         of
tality and feasibility of control. With these priorities in                     breast feeding in mothers. Other interventions      might
mind a program         of selective   primary     health care                   be added on the basis of regional needs and new de-
 is compared     with other approaches          and suggest-                    velopments.    For major diseases        for which con-
ed as the most cost-effective       form of medical inter-                      trol mea?ures are inadequate.       research is an inex-
vention in the least developed           countries.    A flexi-                 pensive approach     on the basis of cost per infect-
ble program       delivered   by either fixed or mobile                         ed person per year. (N Engl J Med 301:967-974,
units might include         measles    and diphtheria-per-                       1979)

T HE three billion people of the less developed                                   Absolute poverty is a condition of life so characterized by
       world suffer from a plethora of infectious dis-                            malnutrition, illiteracy. disease, high infant mortality and low life
                                                                                  exp~ctancy as to b~ beneath any reasonable definition of human
.,eases. Because these infections tend to nourish at the
                                                                                  decency'
poverty. level, they are important indicators of a vast
~ate of collectiv,= ill health. The concomitant dis-                               How then, in an age of diminishing resources, can
'ability has an adverse effect on agricultural and in-                          the health and well-being of those "trapped at the bot-
 dustrial development, and the infant and child mor-                             tom of the scale" be improved before the year 2OOO?   A
 tality inhibits attempts to control population growth.                         valid approach to this overwhelming problem can be
    What can be done to help alleviate a nearly un-                             based on the realization that the state of collective ill
 broken cycle of exposure, disability and death? The                             health in many of the less developed countries is not a
 ~t solution, of cQurse, is comprehensive primary                               single problem. Traditional indicators, such as infant
health care, defined at the World Health Organiza-                               mortality or life expectancy, do not permit a grasp of
 tion conference held at Alma Ata in 1978 as                                    the issues involved, since they are actually composites
                                                                                of many different health problems and disorders.
   the attainment by all peoples of the world by the year 2000 of a
                                                                                 Each of the many diseases endemic to the less
   ~l     of health that will pcnnit them to lead a socially and
 .economically     productive life. Primary health ~      includes at           developed countries (Table 1) has its own unique
   lcast: education concerning prevailing health problems and the               cause and its own complex societal and scientific
   methods of preventing and controlling them; promotion of food                facets; there may be several points in the process for
   supply and proper nutrition, an adequate supply of safe water                which interventions could be considered.'-s
   &nd basic sanitation; maternal and child health ca~, including
   family planning; immunization against the major infectious dis-
                                                                                   Thus, a rationally conceived, best-data-based,
c cases; prevention and control of 1~lIy     endemic diseases; ap-              selective attack on the most severe public-health
, propriate t~tmcnt      of common diseases and injuries; and provi-            problems facing a region might maximize improve-
    sion of essential drugs.'                                                   ment of health and medical care in less developed
    The goal set at Alma Ata is above reproach, yet its                         countries. In the discussion that follows, we try to
very scope makes it unattainable because of the cost                            show the rationale and need for instituting selective
and numbers of trained personnel required. Indeed,                              primary health care directed at preventing or treating
the World Bank has estimated that it would cost bil-                            the few diseases that are responsible for the greatest
 lions of dollars to provide minimal, basic (not com-                           mortality and morbidity in less developed areas and
 prthtnsive) health services by the year 2000 to all the                        for which interventions of proved efficacy exist.
 poor in developing countries. Tht bank 's pr~sident,
                                                                                    ESTABLISilINC      PRIORITIES      FOR HEALTH        CARE
 Robert McNamara, offered this somber prognosis in
~ annual report in 1978:                                                           Faced with the vast number of health problems of
                                                                                mankind, one immediately becomes aware that all of
    Even if the projected -and    optimistic -growth    rates in the            them cannot be attacked simultaneously. In many
    developing world arc achieved, some 600 million individuals at
    the end of the century will remain trapped in absolute poverty
                                                                                regions priorities for instituting control measures
                                                                                must be assigned, and measures that use the limited
0

~                                                                               human and financial resources available most effec-
~ From Ibe Rockefeller Foundation,       1133 Avenue of Ihe Americas, New
                                                                                tively and efficiently must be chosen. Health planning
'!rOfk. NY 10036, whcre reprint requests may bc addressed 10 Dr Warren.         for the developing world thus requires two essential
~   Pracnlcd     al a meeting on Heallh and Population         in Dcveloping    steps: selection of diseases for control and evaluation
       lrics, cosponsored by Ihe Ford Foundalion,lhe International Dcvelop-
~.1 Research Center and the Rockefeller Foundation and held at Ihe Bel-
                                                                                of different levels of medical intervention from the
 ~      Study and Confcrencc Center. lake Como. Iiaiv. April. 1979              most comprehensive to the most selective.
968                                                THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL                         OF MEDICINE                                        Noy I, 197~~
                                                                                                                                                                      .
Selecting       Diseases    for Control                                                     long-~erm improvem~nts i~ sanitary and agricultural
                                                                                            practices to reduce reinfection. In View of the difficulty
   In selecting the health problems that should receive                                     of eliminating exposure to the roundworm and the low
the highest priorities for prevention and treatment,                                        morbidity associated with the infection, ascariasis
four factors should be assessed for each disease:                                           deserves less attention than its ubiquity seems to sug-
prevalence, morbidity,     mortality and feasibility of                                     gest.
control (including efficacy and cost).                                                           Malaria is associated with a far smaller mortality
   Table 2 illcorporates these factors into an analysis                                     rate than that of Lassa fever and a far lower
of three representative illnesses of the less developed                                     prevalence that that of ascariasis. Yet its mode of
world. The newly discovered Lassa fever was as-                                              transmission is well known, and it produces much
sociated with a 30 to 66 per cent mortality rate in the                                     recurring       illness and death; about one milliQn
few limited outbreaks recorded in Nigeria, Liberia                                          children in Africa alone die annually from malaria.'
and Sierra Leone. Those who survived recovered fully                                         What also distinguishes malaria from Lassa fever and
after an illness lasting seven to 21 days. Although this                                    ascariasis is that it can be controlled through regular
fatality rate seems to suggest giving Lassa fever high                                      mosquito-spraying programs or chemoprophylaxis.'.'
priority in a major health program, the prevalence of                                       Of these three infections, then, malaria would be as-
overt disease appears to be low. Furthermore, the only                                      signed the highest priority for prevention in the mOSt
treatment available      is injections  of serum from                                       effective approach to reducing morbidity and mor-
patients who have recovered. Since its mode of trans-                                       tality.
mission is unknown and there is no vaccine, Lassa                                                By means of the process outlined above for Lassa
fever is impossible to control at present.' Therefore,                                      fever, ascariasis and malaria, the major infections
concentration on preventing Lassa fever would be                                            endemic to the developing world (Table 1) wC!"t
neither efficient nor efficacious.                                                          evaluated and assigned high (I), medium (II) or low
   Ascaris, the giant intestinal roundworm, causes the                                       (III) priorities. Within categories exact rank is not d
most prevalent infection of man, with one billion cases                                     major importance, and rank may change or items may
throughout the world.7 Yet disability appears to be                                         be added or deleted, depending on the geographic
minor and death relatively rare.)" Treatment. howev-                                        area under consideration. For instance, schistosomia-
er, requires periodic chemotherapy for an indefinite                                        sis, to which a high priority was assigned, does not
period.).'"   Control may ultimately require massive,                                       occur in many areas of the developing world. Our ~


Table 1. Prevalence.        Mortality     and Morbidity        of the Major Infectious Diseases of Africa. Asia and Latin America. 1977-1978..

IN'ECTION                                    l"nc-no1'S                          D.."'.             (THO~"'OS
                                                                                                       0          Of        AVE""'E ~O. Of
                                                                                                                           D.n Of LJfElosT
                                                                                                                                                          RounO£
                                           (THO"..,,"osfYa)             (THOVS"'OS/V,)                                                                   PtaSOMAl.
                                                                                                      c..ES/Ya)               (PE. ~E)                  Dt...aIUTTf

Diarrheas                                        !-5,OOO,000                 5-10,000                3-5,CXXJ,CXXJ                3-S                        2
Respiratory inrcctions                                                           4-SOOO                                           5-7                       2-3
Malaria                                              800,000                     1200                    1SO,CXXJ                 3-S                        2
Measles                                               85,000                      900                     80,CXXJ                I~I~                        2
Schist~omiasis                                       200,000                500-1 000                     20,CXXJ              6(»-1    (XX)               3-4
Whooping cough                                        70,000                 2s0..450                     2O,CXXJ                21-28                       2
Tuberculosis                                       1,000.000                      400                       7CXXJ               200-400                      3
NeonatalteLanus                                     120-180                  100-150                    120-180                   7-10                       I
Diphtheria                                           40,000                       ~                     700-900                   7-10                       3
Hookworm                                          7-900,000                       S(}-6()                   1500                    100                      4
South American trypan-                               12,000                           60                    1200                    600                      2
    osomiasis
Onchocerciasis
  Skin disease                                                                   Low                      ':CJ.~:-
                                                                                                          2 -)XX)                     3M
                                                                                                                                       ---3
                                                      3O,CXXJ
   River blindness                                                                20-50                 200-500                      J<XX!                  1-2
Meningitis                                              I SO                         30                      ISO                   7-10                       1
Amebiasis                                          400,CXXJ                          30                     1500                   7-10                      3
Ascariasis                                800,OOO-I,CXXJ,OOO                         20                     I<XX>                  7-10                      3
Poliomyelitis                                        80,000                       10-20                     2<XX>                     J<XX!+                 2
Typhoid                                                1000                           25                    500                   14-28                      2
leishmaniasis                                        12,000                             5                 12.
                                                                                                            <XX>                I100-200                     3
Arrican trypanosomiasis                                1000                                                      10                   ISO                    I
leprosy                                                                      Very low                     12.<XX>                5OQ-J<XX!                 2-:
Trichuriasis                                         500,000                   Low                            100                  7-10                     ,
Filariasis                                           2SO,OOO                   Low                       2- )<XX)                    1000                    3
Giardiasis                                           200,000                 Very low                           500                5-7                       J
Dengue                                                3~                              0.1                 1-2<XX>                 5-7                        2
 Malnutrition                                      5-800,000                       2(XXJ
                        -
   °S.oed on c",mol« from .he World Hc.ilh Orl.no.."on .nd it, Spc.-,.1 PrOlr...mc lor Rcscorch.nd fr.,n,nl onfropoc.. 0,     confirmedor modifIedbyc.,r.pot..
from publ.'hcd cp,dcm,olo"c ..ud... perlormcd ;n well dcr.ncd popul."on, (!CO,clc,cnc«) f'IU'« du nol .1.." m..ch ,h.". ofT.:i.lly rC'Ortcd.
                                                                                                                                            b..: ."'"rrcpo"'"
,rc..
  'I dcno,c, bcdr,ddcn. 2 .blc 10 I.nc"on on own '° "'.., c"C.'   ..,mo.t.,or)    " ..m,no,
Vol 301    No 18        DISEASE CONTROL         IN DEVELOPING     COUNTRIES           -WALSH       AND WARREN
                                                                                                                                                       969


      Table 2. An Approach      to the Establishment of Priorities for Disease Control, Based on Prevalence,              Mortality,    Morbidity and
                                           Feasibility of Control of Three Representative Infections.

        cno..               Po.,V4UNCO                MOOT.un              Mo'.,Oln                       FE.SI8tUTV                         ~IOOITY
                                                                                                          Of CONTaOL


     La... rever        Unknown                   High (3(}..66%)       Moderate                     Extremely poor                    Low: prcvllCDce
                         (lhoughllo                                      (bedridden                    at present                        low, fcasibility
                          below)                                         7-21 days)                                                      of coDlrol poor
                        Exlrcmcly high            Extrcmcly low         Low (minor dIs-              Poor(conlinuous                   Low: morulily
                          (lhoughllo .ffect         (approximately        ability &.                  drug lrcalmen!                     &I.morbidilY
                          I billion pcoplc)         0.001%)               orten asymp-                required)                          low, fcasibilily
                                                                         tomatic)                                                        of CODlrolpoor
     Malaria            High (morc than           Low (approxi-         High (severe,                Good (chcmoprophy-                High: prcvalcnce
                          300 million in-          matelyO.I%)            many compli-                laxis avaibble;                    high, morbidity
                          fcctcd annually)                                ~Iions, orten               regular spraying                   high. fcasibilily
                                                                         recurrcnt)                   programs(or                        of CODlrolload
                                                                                                      vectorspratticol)


      suits and rationale for the proposed hierarchy are list-             A medium or low priority was assigned if control
      ed in Table 3.                                                     measures were inadequate. For example, there is no
         Group I contains the infections causing the greatest            acceptable therapy for chronic Chagas' disease.}"
     'amount of most readily preventable illness and death:              Only toxic drugs and procedures of unknown efficacy,
     ~diarrhealdiseases,malaria, measles,whooping cough,                 such as nodulectomy, are available for treatment of
    !schistosomiasis   and neonatal tetanus. With the excep-             onchocerciasis.}" Leprosy and tuberculosis require
      tion of schistosomiasis, all the infections receiving              years of drug therapy and even longer follow-up
     ~~hest priority for health-care planning affect young
      :hildren more than adults. 10-14  Together with respira-
      tory infections and malnutrition, they account for                 Table 3. Priorities for Disease Control in the Developing
             of the morbidity and mortality among infants                World. Based on Prevalence. Mortality. Morbidity and Feasi-
    and young children.II.ls-11Members of this age group                                        bility of Control.
    (five years old or less) have a death rate many times                               PR'ORrn                REASONS
                                                                                                                     ro. ASS'GN"E'"     TO THIS CARGO.T
     greater than that of their counterparts in Western                                 GROUP

    countries -accounting         for 40 to 60 per cent of all           I High                               High prcvalence, high mortalily or high
    mortality in most less dc:velopedcountries.II,J1-1' in-
                                                          If                                                    morbidilY, clTcx:tivccontrol
                                                                           DiarThcal diseascs
     fant and child deaths from these infections are                       Mcaslcs
     reduced, a large declinc: in the overall death rate will              Malaria
    :result. Such a situation would bc:an optimal outcome                  Whooping cough
                                                                           Schistosomiasis
        -a selective disease-control program.                              NconalaltCUnus
         Groups II and III contain health problems that are
     ~itherless important or more difficult to control. Res-             I( Medium
                                                                            Respir2tory infections            H~h prevalence, high monalilY, no
     Jlratory infections, a major cause of disability and                                                       e/f..:tive control
        ~th, are not listed in Group I because of the dif-                 Poliomyelitis                      Higb prevakn<X, low monality,
                                                                                                                e/f..:tive control
    [Iculties involved in preventing and managing them. A                  Tuberculosis                       High preva1coce, high mortality,
     Mae variety of viruses and bacteria are associated                                                        <:antra!difrocult
r    with pulmonary infections, and no specific causative                  Onchocerciasis                    Medium prnalen<x, high morbidity, low
                                                                                                               mortalitY, control difrlCUll
     igent has been found in most patients.I,,20As in the                  Meningitis                        Medium prnaJen<x, higb mortality,
    lI1dustrialized world, where pneumonia is frequently                                                       control difficull
      ne tenninal episode in elderly patients weakened by                 Typhoid                            Medium prnalen<x, high monality,

r     ;ancer or cardiova~lar
     :Tact
                                   disease, lower-respiratory-
           infections affect children in developing countries
                                                                           Hookwonn
                                                                                                               conlrol difficult
                                                                                                             High prnalen<x,low mortality,
                                                                                                               conlrol difficult
                                                                           Malnutrition
     Whoare already afflicted with chronic malnutrition                                                      High prevalen<x, high morbidity,
                                                                                                               control complex
      Ind parasitic infections. I' Pneumococcal and in-
     luenza vaccines prevent only a small percentage of                 III low
                                                                           South American trypanoso-         Control difficult
     :ases,and influenza immunization must be given                          miasis (Chagas' disease)
      lmost yearly because the virus changes antigenical-                  Arrican trypanosomiasis           low prevalcncc. control difficult
     y. When penicillin injections were given to all                      leprosy                            Contro! difficult
                                                                          Ascariasis                         low mortality, low morbidity,
      hildren with clinical signs of pneumonia in the                                                           rontrol difficult
     ~,arangwal Project in India, the mortality rate                      Diphtheria                          Low mortality, low morbidity
                                                                          Amebiasis                          Control difficult
    ~~reased by SO per cent,21 but this method must be                    leishmaniasis                      Control difficult
    ~aJuate? ~ore extensivel.ybefore it. can be re~arded                  Giardiasis                         Control difficult
    !~~ ffiaJor Improvement In prevention of respiratory                  Filariasis                         Control difficult
                                                                          Dengue                             Control difficult
    ~sc:.
970                                THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL         OF MEDICINE                             Nov.   1979



pcriods to cnsure cure.4.22.23In~tcad of attempting im-       poor in developing countries by the year 2000 will b6
mcdiate, large-scale trcatment programs for these in-         $5.4to $9.3 billion (in 1975 prices).26This investmentj
fections, the most efficient approach may be to invest        which includes only initial capital investment and
in rcsearch and developmcnt of lcss costly and morc          training costs, would provide one community healt
efficacious means of prevention and thcrapy. To               worker or aux.iliary nurse-midwife for every 1500 t~
reiterate, the most important factor in e~tablishing          2000 people and one health facility for every 8000 t
priorities for endemic infections, even when evaluating       12,000people or every 10 km2, whichever is g~ater. In!
discaseswith high case rates, is a knowlcdge of which        the model area in Africa, the World Bank estimateul
diseases  contribute most to the burden of illness in an     that supplying the minimum ca~ offe~d by buildi~
area and which arc rcasonably controllablc.                  one health post with one vehicle per 10,000people and
                                                             train.ing 125 auxiliary nurse-midwives and 250 coml
                                                             mumty health workers would cost $2,500,000, or $S
 EVALUATING AND SELEcTING MEDICAL        INTERVENTIONS
                                                             per capita. To this figure must be added the recurren~
    Once diseases al'e selected for prevention and treat-   costs of salaries, drugs, supplies and maintenance;
ment, the next step is to devise intervention programs       Other costs not included are for training facilities;
of reasonable cost and practicability.     The interven-    continuing education, expansion of referral services
tions relevant to the world's developing areas that are     and development of communication, transportation
considered below are comprehensive primary health           and administrative networks to supply and manage
care (which includes general development as well as         the health facilities. Furthermo~, the effectivenessof
all systems of disease control), basic primary health       this model program for averting deaths or applying
care, multiple disease-control measures (e.g., insec-        such preventive measures as education in sanitation
ticides, water supplies), selective primary health care,    and nutrition has not been clearly established.
and research. Below is a discussion of each approach,          The pilot projects for providing basic health-care
with emphasis on the relative cost involved in undel'-      services that have been evaluated vary in their effec-,
taking and maintaining these programs and on the            tiveness in improving the general level of health care.!
bendits that have accrued.                                   For example, an outside evaluation of primary health!
    This section of our analysis relies on reported         service in Ghana revealed that a third to half the pop.4
 results from individual studies conducted in various       ulation of the districts lived outside the effective reach!
parts of the world. In addition, we have examined es-       of health units providing primary care. Only abou~
 timates of cost and effectiveness in terms of expected     one fifth of the births were supervised by traine~
                                                                                                                    ~
                                                            of five years had been seenin a child.,health clinic, an ..,
deaths averted by each intervention for a model area        midwives; only one fifth of the children under the a
 in Africa. The model area is an agricultural, rural por-
 tion of Sub-Saharan tropical Africa with a population      two thirds of the population lacked environment
 of about 500,000 (100,000 are five years old or less).     sanitation services. Furthermore, the services we
 For reference purposes, the average figures for Sub-       often of poor quality, notably in the crucial area oB
Saharan Africa will be used: the birth rate is 46 per       child care.21.2.                                        i
thousand total population, the crude de3th rate 19 per         The cost and effectiveness of several experiment
thousand total population, and the infant mortality         programs providing primary health care in localize    ~
rate 147 per thousand live births.24.%S                     areas have been compared in Imesi, Nigeria2'
Comprehensive versus Basic Primary Health Care              Etimesgut, Turkey]O,)I; Narangwal, India21;jamkhedJ
                                                            Indian.)); Guatemalan villages"; Hanover, jamai~
   Comprehensive primary health care for everyone is        ca)5-)1;and Kavar, Iran.» The estimated cost ped
the best available means of conquering global dis-          capita varied widely among the programs, partiCUl
ease, the humane and noble goal declared at Alma            ly because they were initiated at different times ove~
Ata. As defined by the World Health Organization,           the past 15 to 20 years and furnished different servic
this system encompasses development of all segments         to their communities. In general, however, the cos
of the economy, ready and universal access to curative      per capita ranged between 1 and 2 per cent of thCJ
care, prevention of endemic disease, proper sanitation      national per capita income of the particular countrvJ
and safe water supplies, immunization,        nutrition,    The cost for infant deaths averted were difficult r
health education, maternal and child care and family        compare because of the paucity of control groups an"
planning. Since resources available for health pro-         inconsistency of the population groups monitored~
grams are usually limited, the provision of compre-         Figures ranged from $144 to $20,000, with a media
                                                                                                                  ~ 1


hensive primary health care to everyone in the near fu-     of 1700. The only precise calculations for the costs pe
ture remains unlikely.                                      infant death averted ($ 144) or child death averte
   Basic'primary health-care systems are far more cir-      (1988 per one to three-year-old child) were for
cumscribed in their goals, which are to provide health      medical-care and nutrition-supplementation projec~
workers and establish clinics for treating all illnesses    in Narangwal, India.21 The estimates were muc
within a population. Nevertheless, this approach is far     higher for deaths averted by nutrition supplements.   ~
from inexpensive. The World Bank has estimated that            Under some circumstances, programs of basi
tht: cost of furnishing basic health services to all the    primary health care have been successful,but the cos
Vol   301   No.   18   DISEASE CONTROL   IN DEVELOPING       COUNTRIES   -WALSH       AND WARREN


      and the degree of improvement in community health             about $3.70 and good r~sults hav~ b~en r~port~d: th~
      have varied markedly enough that refinements in the           preval~nc~ of th~ inf~ction has d~cr~as~d from 45 to 35
      approach are still needed.                                    p~r c~nt in adults and from 21 to 4 p~r c~nt in
                                                                    childr~n. D~spit~ th~s~ h~art~ning figur~s, ~radication
      Multiple Dlsease-Control   Measures                           of th~ v~ctor cannot b~ consid~r~d on th~ horizon.
        These interventions, which include vector control,          Schistosomiasis is a long-t~rm, chronic inf~ction and
      water and sanitation programs and nutrition sup-              th~ d~ath rate will not b~gin to d~clin~ until many
      plementation, are more specific and easily managed            y~ars aft~r continuous mollusk control.
      than primary health-care programs, and they control
      many similarly transmitted diseasessimultaneously.            Water and Sanitation   Programs
      They can decrease mortality and morbidity and have                Proper sanitation and clean water make a substan-
      served as interim strategies for health care in less          tial difference in the amount of disease in an area, but
      developed countries.                                          the financial investment involved is enormous. The
                                                                    success of such projects also depends on rigorous
       VectorControl                                                maintenance and alteration of engrained cultural
           Vcctor control is directcd at managing thc insects       habits.
       and mollusks that carry human disease. 111is ap-                With the installation of community water supplies
        proach has thc advantagc of bcing comparativcly in-         and sanitation      in developing areas, deaths from
       cxpcnsive, but it must be continucd indcfinitcly and         typhoid can be expected to decrease 60 to 80 per
        may be cphemcral sincc thc vcctors tcnd to bccome           cent,') deaths from cholera 0 to 70 per cent,')'" from
       rcsistant. Thc cxamplcs bclow rcvcal somc of thc com-        other diarrheas 0 to 5 per cent,"-SI from ascaris and
       plcxities of maintaining vector control.                     other intestinal helminths 0 to 50 per cent'.10.S2-S.
                                                                                                                        and
           Thc control of malaria transmission through inscc-       from schistosomiasis 50 per cent'2.S2 (after 15 to 20
      ,ticides has becn highly cffectivc. In thc tropical           years). The World Bank has estimated that the cost of
      'regions and savannas of Africa, twicc-ycarly spraying        providing community water supplies and sanitation to
      ~ dccrcased thc crude dcath ratc by approximatcly             all those in need by the year 2000 will be $135 to $260
      ~ pcr ccnt and infant mortality by 50 pcr ccnt.)""            billion.26.ss Construction of a rural community stand-
      "I11cWorld Hcalth Organization has cstimatcd that             pipe costs 120 to 126 per capita, and rural sanitation
       thc avcrage cost for housc-to-house spraying with            costs $4 to $5 per capita. In urban areas the costs are
       chlorophenothanc (DDT) is $2 pcr capita annual-              $31 and $23, respectively. In our model area of Sub-
       ly.' Thcrcforc, thc cost pcr adult and infant dcath          Saharan Africa the initial investment would be $12 to
       avcrtcd is $250, and the cost pcr infant dcath               S15 million. If amortization and annual maintenance
       avcrtcd is $600. Unfortunatcly, cradication of malaria       costs are only 10 per cent of this sum, the annual cost
       with insccticides is bccoming morc difficult to ac-          per deaths averted will be $2400 to $2900, and the cost
       complish. Bccausc mosquitocs can bc cxpcctcd to              per infant and child deaths averted will be $3600 to
       bccomc rcsistant to DDT within a few years, othcr,           14300.
       :muchmore expcnsivc pcsticidcs must bc substituted;             What must be realized is that the above sums are
      ithc usc of propoxur or fcnctrithion will raisc the cost      largely for public standpipes, which are not highly ef-
       :Of chemicals fivc to 10 tim~s.' Furthcrmorc, th~rc
           thc                                                      fective in reducing morbidity and mortality from
       is no way of knowing how long thcs~ ins~cticidcs will        water-related diseases. It is well documented that con-
       :remain 'toxic to thc mosquitocs. Among th~ mos-             nections inside the house are necessary to encourage
      :quitocsin which widcsprcad rcsistance to insecticidcs        the hygienic use of water. so For example, shigella-
      ~ dcvclop~d arc Culex      pipims fatigans,th~ major yec-     caused diarrheas decreased 5 per cent with outside
       ~or of urban filariasis, and Aedes  aegypti,thc vector of    house connections but fell 50 per cent when sanitation
       yellow fev~r and d~ngue.s                                    and washing facilities were available within the
           Two othcr vector-control programs illustrate thc         home.sl
        Drolong~d   maintenance required by this type of hcalth       All these estimates depend on exclusive use of
        mtcrvcntion. Onchocerciasis, a potentially blinding         protectcd sanitation and water supplies, without con-
        ilelminth infection affecting 30 million people in          tinuing use of environmental sources. In Bangladesh,
         Inca, is bcing managed in the Volta River Basin           for example, there was no reduction in cholera in
          !Tough a 20-y~ar larvicide operation to control the       areas supplied with tube wells, primarily because of
         Ilackfly vcctor. The program is cstimated to cost $18      the use of contaminated surface water as well as the
         ~r capita for thc cntire 20-year period or $.90 pcr        protected water supply." In St. Lucia, contact with
         apita pcr year.2' Disability will be prcvcnted, and        surface water could not be discouraged until house-
         conomic activity in the arca may increase if the           hold water supplies and then swimming pools and
         Irogram is successful, but continuous, indefinite          laundry units were installed, and an intensive health-
         Ipplications of insecticide will be nec~ssary. Since       education campaign was instituted.'2 In other words,
         965, St. Lucia has had a program to control the            changing peoples' habits in excretion and water usage
         uail-transmitted helminth infcction schistosomiasis        takes more than introducing an adequate, dependable
          Lroughmolluscicides. An annual cost p~r capita of         and convenient new source. Realistically speaking, a




971
972                                THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL Of MEDICINE                                    Nov. I. 1979.

pervasive and effective health-education campaigns"s,         patient clinics" and recently in the home's." to treat
is required.                                                 diarrheas   of numerous causes.
                                                                 These services could be provided by fixed units or
 Nutrition Supplementation                                     by mobile teams visiting once every four to six mont~
    Nutrition programs have been advocated as among            in areas where resources were more limited. Mobil~
 the most efficient means of decreasing morbidity and         units have been successfully used in immunization
 mortality in children, but supplementation alone has         programs for smallpox and measles,la.11 treatment
                                                                                                         in
 had no notable effect. Malnutrition is an underlying         servicesdirected against African trypanosomiasis and;
 or associated factor in many deaths from infections in       meningitis"2 and in provision of child care in rural!
 children; in a group of Latin American children, it          areas.'}-8S
was associated in 50 per cent of the cases.s' Poor nutri-        The cost of fixed units would be similar to that 0;
 tion may also increase susceptibility to disease or          basic primary health care, although efficienc;:y ShoUld
predispose an infccted child to more sevcre illness.60-42 be much greater. Cost estimates for a mobile health]
 Conversely, infection may be a prominent cause of            unit used in the model area in Africa for malaria con.1
 poor nutrition".')'" since less food is ingested and ab-     trol and water and sanitation programs werebasedOnJ
sorbed by a sick child. Therefore, if infections could be     an extensive study of the Botswana health servicesby
controlled it is probable that the nutritional status of      Gish and Walker."s They estimated $1.26 as the cost
 children would improve greatly. There have been              per patient contact in 1974, on a sample 306-km trip!
some situations, however, in which malnutrition has           that reached 753 patients; the estimated cost per in.'
 been reported to protect against certain infections,         fant and child death averted was $200 to $250.1
e.g., the Sahel famine was thought to suppress                Medications accounted for 30 to 50 per cent of th,
 malaria, and iron deficiency was reported to protect        cost, but this figure could be decreasedwith contrib~j
 against bacterial infections."-'o                            tions of drugs from abroad or their manufacture!
    In view of these findings, it is not surprising that few within the country.                                       j
 nutrition-supplementation programs alone have ef-               Whether the system is fixed or mobile, flexibility is;
fected a major decrease in the death rate. The               necessary.The care package can be modified at any;
 Narangwal Project is one of these few, but even in that     time according to the patterns of mortality and mor-:
program the cost per death averted in infants was            bidity in the area served. Chemotherapy for intestinal;
1213. In children one to three years old the cost was        helminths, treatment of schistosomiasis and sup-
$3000 -1.5 to three times higher than the cost of            plementation with new vaccines or treatments as they!
medical care alonc.21                                        become available are all types of selective primary
                                                             health care that could be added or subtracted to t~
SelectivePrimaryHealthCare                                   core of basic preventive care. It is important, however,~
    The selective approach to controlling endemic dis-       for the service to concentrate on a minimum number      ,
ease in the developing countries is potentially the most     of severe problems that affect iarge numbers of people;
cost-effective 'type of medical intervention. On the         and for which interventions of established efficacy can
basis of high morbidity and mortality and of                 be provided at low cost.
feasibility of control, a circumscribed number of dis-
                                                             Research
easesare selected for prevention in a clearly defined
population. Since fewprograms based on this selective            For a number of prevalent infections, treatment or
model of prevention and treatment have been at-              preventive measures are expensive, difficult to ad-
tempted, the following approach is proposed. The             minister, toxic or ineffective. These infections, which
principal recipients of care would be children up to         include Chagas' disease, African trypanosomiasis,
three years old and women in the childbearing years.         leprosy and tuberculosis, may better be dealt with
The care provided would be measles and diph-                  through an investment in research. In terms of the
theria-pertussis-tetanus (DPT) vaccination for chil-         potential benefits, the cost of researchis low. Indeed,
dren over six months old, tetanus toxoid to all women        the total amount now being spent on research in all
of childbearing age, encouragement of long-term              tropical diseases is approximately $60 million, ex-
breast feeding, provision of chloroquine for episodesof      ceedingly small in relation to the number of people in-
fever in children under three years old in areas where       fected. As Table 4 shows,expenditures for researchon
malaria is prevalent and, finally, oral rehydration          some of the major diseases in the developing world
packets and instruction.                                     have by far the lowest per-capita cost of all medica! in-
    If even50 per cent of the children and their mothers     terventions discussed."
and 50 per cent of the pregnant women in a com-                  The estimated cost for the research and develop-
munity were contacted, deaths from measleswould be            ment leading to the pneumococcalvaccine licensed in
expected to decrease at least 50 per cent,',.'2 deaths       the United States in 1978 was $3 to $4 million
from whooping cough 30 per cent, ') from neonatal             (Austrian R: personal communication). Death and
tetanus 45 per cent, '4 from diarrhea 25 to 30 per           disability in developing countries would be reduced
cent's." and from malaria 25 per cent.' Oral rehydra-        by heat-stable vaccines for measles,malaria, leprosy
tion has been used successfully in hospitals,"." in out-     and rota virus and Eschenchia    coli-induced diarrheas.
Vol. 301 No. 18                              DISEASE CONTROL                     IN DEVELOPING             COUNTRIES            WALSH AND WARREN


                                                                                                                  adult population of the area covered by the service.As
                                                                                                                  the table suggests.selective primary health care may
                                                                                                                  be a cost-effective interim intervention for many less
                                                                                                                  developed areas.
                                                                                                                                                 REFERENCES
                                                                                                                   I.    World Health Organization: Declaration or Alma Ata (Repon on
                                                                                                                         the International Conrerence on Primary Health Care, Alma Ata,
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                                                                                                                        and management or exotic diseases. Edited by KS Warren, AAF
 by improved chemotherapy for leprosy, tuberculosis,                                                                    Mahmoud. Chicago, Univenity or Chicago Press. 1978
 American and African trypanosomiasis, onchocercia-                                                                 ~. Tropical Medicine. Edited by GW Hunter III, JC Swanzwelder, DF
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                                                  CONCLUSIONS                                                       6. Yirallnrections or Humans: Epidemiology and control. Edited by AS
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~ ased           ?ur        analysis          of cost        effective,ness           on changes           in     10. Preston SH, Keyfiu N, Schoen R: Causes or D'tath: Ljrc tables ror
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                                                                                                                       1971
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:responsible were measured because they are much                                                                       Sc/rutosoma "'ansoni inrection in West Nile, Uganda. I. Field studies or
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r



                                                              HE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL                      OF MEDICINE                                            Noy       1979



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                  Univenity School of Medicine, Institute of Communily Medicine,                      1978
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1 selective phc interimstrategy

  • 1. J., and Warren, K. (1979). "Selective PHC -an interim strategy for disease control in developing countries." The New England Journal of Medicine 30(18): 967 -974 Walsh,
  • 2. Vol. 301 No 18 DISEASE CONTROL IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES -WALSH A:--'D WARREN SPECIAL ARTICLE SELECTIVE PRIMARY HEALTH CARE An Interim Strategy for Disease Control in Developing Countries JULIA A. WALSH, M.D., AND KENNETH S. WARREN, Yt.D. Abstract Priorities among the infectious diseases af- tussis-tetanus vaccination, treatment for febrile fecting the three billion people in the less developed malaria and oral rehydration for diarrhea in chil- world have been based on prevalence. morbidity. mor- dren, and tetanus toxoid and encouragement of tality and feasibility of control. With these priorities in breast feeding in mothers. Other interventions might mind a program of selective primary health care be added on the basis of regional needs and new de- is compared with other approaches and suggest- velopments. For major diseases for which con- ed as the most cost-effective form of medical inter- trol mea?ures are inadequate. research is an inex- vention in the least developed countries. A flexi- pensive approach on the basis of cost per infect- ble program delivered by either fixed or mobile ed person per year. (N Engl J Med 301:967-974, units might include measles and diphtheria-per- 1979) T HE three billion people of the less developed Absolute poverty is a condition of life so characterized by world suffer from a plethora of infectious dis- malnutrition, illiteracy. disease, high infant mortality and low life exp~ctancy as to b~ beneath any reasonable definition of human .,eases. Because these infections tend to nourish at the decency' poverty. level, they are important indicators of a vast ~ate of collectiv,= ill health. The concomitant dis- How then, in an age of diminishing resources, can 'ability has an adverse effect on agricultural and in- the health and well-being of those "trapped at the bot- dustrial development, and the infant and child mor- tom of the scale" be improved before the year 2OOO? A tality inhibits attempts to control population growth. valid approach to this overwhelming problem can be What can be done to help alleviate a nearly un- based on the realization that the state of collective ill broken cycle of exposure, disability and death? The health in many of the less developed countries is not a ~t solution, of cQurse, is comprehensive primary single problem. Traditional indicators, such as infant health care, defined at the World Health Organiza- mortality or life expectancy, do not permit a grasp of tion conference held at Alma Ata in 1978 as the issues involved, since they are actually composites of many different health problems and disorders. the attainment by all peoples of the world by the year 2000 of a Each of the many diseases endemic to the less ~l of health that will pcnnit them to lead a socially and .economically productive life. Primary health ~ includes at developed countries (Table 1) has its own unique lcast: education concerning prevailing health problems and the cause and its own complex societal and scientific methods of preventing and controlling them; promotion of food facets; there may be several points in the process for supply and proper nutrition, an adequate supply of safe water which interventions could be considered.'-s &nd basic sanitation; maternal and child health ca~, including family planning; immunization against the major infectious dis- Thus, a rationally conceived, best-data-based, c cases; prevention and control of 1~lIy endemic diseases; ap- selective attack on the most severe public-health , propriate t~tmcnt of common diseases and injuries; and provi- problems facing a region might maximize improve- sion of essential drugs.' ment of health and medical care in less developed The goal set at Alma Ata is above reproach, yet its countries. In the discussion that follows, we try to very scope makes it unattainable because of the cost show the rationale and need for instituting selective and numbers of trained personnel required. Indeed, primary health care directed at preventing or treating the World Bank has estimated that it would cost bil- the few diseases that are responsible for the greatest lions of dollars to provide minimal, basic (not com- mortality and morbidity in less developed areas and prthtnsive) health services by the year 2000 to all the for which interventions of proved efficacy exist. poor in developing countries. Tht bank 's pr~sident, ESTABLISilINC PRIORITIES FOR HEALTH CARE Robert McNamara, offered this somber prognosis in ~ annual report in 1978: Faced with the vast number of health problems of mankind, one immediately becomes aware that all of Even if the projected -and optimistic -growth rates in the them cannot be attacked simultaneously. In many developing world arc achieved, some 600 million individuals at the end of the century will remain trapped in absolute poverty regions priorities for instituting control measures must be assigned, and measures that use the limited 0 ~ human and financial resources available most effec- ~ From Ibe Rockefeller Foundation, 1133 Avenue of Ihe Americas, New tively and efficiently must be chosen. Health planning '!rOfk. NY 10036, whcre reprint requests may bc addressed 10 Dr Warren. for the developing world thus requires two essential ~ Pracnlcd al a meeting on Heallh and Population in Dcveloping steps: selection of diseases for control and evaluation lrics, cosponsored by Ihe Ford Foundalion,lhe International Dcvelop- ~.1 Research Center and the Rockefeller Foundation and held at Ihe Bel- of different levels of medical intervention from the ~ Study and Confcrencc Center. lake Como. Iiaiv. April. 1979 most comprehensive to the most selective.
  • 3. 968 THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE Noy I, 197~~ . Selecting Diseases for Control long-~erm improvem~nts i~ sanitary and agricultural practices to reduce reinfection. In View of the difficulty In selecting the health problems that should receive of eliminating exposure to the roundworm and the low the highest priorities for prevention and treatment, morbidity associated with the infection, ascariasis four factors should be assessed for each disease: deserves less attention than its ubiquity seems to sug- prevalence, morbidity, mortality and feasibility of gest. control (including efficacy and cost). Malaria is associated with a far smaller mortality Table 2 illcorporates these factors into an analysis rate than that of Lassa fever and a far lower of three representative illnesses of the less developed prevalence that that of ascariasis. Yet its mode of world. The newly discovered Lassa fever was as- transmission is well known, and it produces much sociated with a 30 to 66 per cent mortality rate in the recurring illness and death; about one milliQn few limited outbreaks recorded in Nigeria, Liberia children in Africa alone die annually from malaria.' and Sierra Leone. Those who survived recovered fully What also distinguishes malaria from Lassa fever and after an illness lasting seven to 21 days. Although this ascariasis is that it can be controlled through regular fatality rate seems to suggest giving Lassa fever high mosquito-spraying programs or chemoprophylaxis.'.' priority in a major health program, the prevalence of Of these three infections, then, malaria would be as- overt disease appears to be low. Furthermore, the only signed the highest priority for prevention in the mOSt treatment available is injections of serum from effective approach to reducing morbidity and mor- patients who have recovered. Since its mode of trans- tality. mission is unknown and there is no vaccine, Lassa By means of the process outlined above for Lassa fever is impossible to control at present.' Therefore, fever, ascariasis and malaria, the major infections concentration on preventing Lassa fever would be endemic to the developing world (Table 1) wC!"t neither efficient nor efficacious. evaluated and assigned high (I), medium (II) or low Ascaris, the giant intestinal roundworm, causes the (III) priorities. Within categories exact rank is not d most prevalent infection of man, with one billion cases major importance, and rank may change or items may throughout the world.7 Yet disability appears to be be added or deleted, depending on the geographic minor and death relatively rare.)" Treatment. howev- area under consideration. For instance, schistosomia- er, requires periodic chemotherapy for an indefinite sis, to which a high priority was assigned, does not period.).'" Control may ultimately require massive, occur in many areas of the developing world. Our ~ Table 1. Prevalence. Mortality and Morbidity of the Major Infectious Diseases of Africa. Asia and Latin America. 1977-1978.. IN'ECTION l"nc-no1'S D.."'. (THO~"'OS 0 Of AVE""'E ~O. Of D.n Of LJfElosT RounO£ (THO"..,,"osfYa) (THOVS"'OS/V,) PtaSOMAl. c..ES/Ya) (PE. ~E) Dt...aIUTTf Diarrheas !-5,OOO,000 5-10,000 3-5,CXXJ,CXXJ 3-S 2 Respiratory inrcctions 4-SOOO 5-7 2-3 Malaria 800,000 1200 1SO,CXXJ 3-S 2 Measles 85,000 900 80,CXXJ I~I~ 2 Schist~omiasis 200,000 500-1 000 20,CXXJ 6(»-1 (XX) 3-4 Whooping cough 70,000 2s0..450 2O,CXXJ 21-28 2 Tuberculosis 1,000.000 400 7CXXJ 200-400 3 NeonatalteLanus 120-180 100-150 120-180 7-10 I Diphtheria 40,000 ~ 700-900 7-10 3 Hookworm 7-900,000 S(}-6() 1500 100 4 South American trypan- 12,000 60 1200 600 2 osomiasis Onchocerciasis Skin disease Low ':CJ.~:- 2 -)XX) 3M ---3 3O,CXXJ River blindness 20-50 200-500 J<XX! 1-2 Meningitis I SO 30 ISO 7-10 1 Amebiasis 400,CXXJ 30 1500 7-10 3 Ascariasis 800,OOO-I,CXXJ,OOO 20 I<XX> 7-10 3 Poliomyelitis 80,000 10-20 2<XX> J<XX!+ 2 Typhoid 1000 25 500 14-28 2 leishmaniasis 12,000 5 12. <XX> I100-200 3 Arrican trypanosomiasis 1000 10 ISO I leprosy Very low 12.<XX> 5OQ-J<XX! 2-: Trichuriasis 500,000 Low 100 7-10 , Filariasis 2SO,OOO Low 2- )<XX) 1000 3 Giardiasis 200,000 Very low 500 5-7 J Dengue 3~ 0.1 1-2<XX> 5-7 2 Malnutrition 5-800,000 2(XXJ - °S.oed on c",mol« from .he World Hc.ilh Orl.no.."on .nd it, Spc.-,.1 PrOlr...mc lor Rcscorch.nd fr.,n,nl onfropoc.. 0, confirmedor modifIedbyc.,r.pot.. from publ.'hcd cp,dcm,olo"c ..ud... perlormcd ;n well dcr.ncd popul."on, (!CO,clc,cnc«) f'IU'« du nol .1.." m..ch ,h.". ofT.:i.lly rC'Ortcd. b..: ."'"rrcpo"'" ,rc.. 'I dcno,c, bcdr,ddcn. 2 .blc 10 I.nc"on on own '° "'.., c"C.' ..,mo.t.,or) " ..m,no,
  • 4. Vol 301 No 18 DISEASE CONTROL IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES -WALSH AND WARREN 969 Table 2. An Approach to the Establishment of Priorities for Disease Control, Based on Prevalence, Mortality, Morbidity and Feasibility of Control of Three Representative Infections. cno.. Po.,V4UNCO MOOT.un Mo'.,Oln FE.SI8tUTV ~IOOITY Of CONTaOL La... rever Unknown High (3(}..66%) Moderate Extremely poor Low: prcvllCDce (lhoughllo (bedridden at present low, fcasibility below) 7-21 days) of coDlrol poor Exlrcmcly high Extrcmcly low Low (minor dIs- Poor(conlinuous Low: morulily (lhoughllo .ffect (approximately ability &. drug lrcalmen! &I.morbidilY I billion pcoplc) 0.001%) orten asymp- required) low, fcasibilily tomatic) of CODlrolpoor Malaria High (morc than Low (approxi- High (severe, Good (chcmoprophy- High: prcvalcnce 300 million in- matelyO.I%) many compli- laxis avaibble; high, morbidity fcctcd annually) ~Iions, orten regular spraying high. fcasibilily recurrcnt) programs(or of CODlrolload vectorspratticol) suits and rationale for the proposed hierarchy are list- A medium or low priority was assigned if control ed in Table 3. measures were inadequate. For example, there is no Group I contains the infections causing the greatest acceptable therapy for chronic Chagas' disease.}" 'amount of most readily preventable illness and death: Only toxic drugs and procedures of unknown efficacy, ~diarrhealdiseases,malaria, measles,whooping cough, such as nodulectomy, are available for treatment of !schistosomiasis and neonatal tetanus. With the excep- onchocerciasis.}" Leprosy and tuberculosis require tion of schistosomiasis, all the infections receiving years of drug therapy and even longer follow-up ~~hest priority for health-care planning affect young :hildren more than adults. 10-14 Together with respira- tory infections and malnutrition, they account for Table 3. Priorities for Disease Control in the Developing of the morbidity and mortality among infants World. Based on Prevalence. Mortality. Morbidity and Feasi- and young children.II.ls-11Members of this age group bility of Control. (five years old or less) have a death rate many times PR'ORrn REASONS ro. ASS'GN"E'" TO THIS CARGO.T greater than that of their counterparts in Western GROUP countries -accounting for 40 to 60 per cent of all I High High prcvalence, high mortalily or high mortality in most less dc:velopedcountries.II,J1-1' in- If morbidilY, clTcx:tivccontrol DiarThcal diseascs fant and child deaths from these infections are Mcaslcs reduced, a large declinc: in the overall death rate will Malaria :result. Such a situation would bc:an optimal outcome Whooping cough Schistosomiasis -a selective disease-control program. NconalaltCUnus Groups II and III contain health problems that are ~itherless important or more difficult to control. Res- I( Medium Respir2tory infections H~h prevalence, high monalilY, no Jlratory infections, a major cause of disability and e/f..:tive control ~th, are not listed in Group I because of the dif- Poliomyelitis Higb prevakn<X, low monality, e/f..:tive control [Iculties involved in preventing and managing them. A Tuberculosis High preva1coce, high mortality, Mae variety of viruses and bacteria are associated <:antra!difrocult r with pulmonary infections, and no specific causative Onchocerciasis Medium prnalen<x, high morbidity, low mortalitY, control difrlCUll igent has been found in most patients.I,,20As in the Meningitis Medium prnaJen<x, higb mortality, lI1dustrialized world, where pneumonia is frequently control difficull ne tenninal episode in elderly patients weakened by Typhoid Medium prnalen<x, high monality, r ;ancer or cardiova~lar :Tact disease, lower-respiratory- infections affect children in developing countries Hookwonn conlrol difficult High prnalen<x,low mortality, conlrol difficult Malnutrition Whoare already afflicted with chronic malnutrition High prevalen<x, high morbidity, control complex Ind parasitic infections. I' Pneumococcal and in- luenza vaccines prevent only a small percentage of III low South American trypanoso- Control difficult :ases,and influenza immunization must be given miasis (Chagas' disease) lmost yearly because the virus changes antigenical- Arrican trypanosomiasis low prevalcncc. control difficult y. When penicillin injections were given to all leprosy Contro! difficult Ascariasis low mortality, low morbidity, hildren with clinical signs of pneumonia in the rontrol difficult ~,arangwal Project in India, the mortality rate Diphtheria Low mortality, low morbidity Amebiasis Control difficult ~~reased by SO per cent,21 but this method must be leishmaniasis Control difficult ~aJuate? ~ore extensivel.ybefore it. can be re~arded Giardiasis Control difficult !~~ ffiaJor Improvement In prevention of respiratory Filariasis Control difficult Dengue Control difficult ~sc:.
  • 5. 970 THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE Nov. 1979 pcriods to cnsure cure.4.22.23In~tcad of attempting im- poor in developing countries by the year 2000 will b6 mcdiate, large-scale trcatment programs for these in- $5.4to $9.3 billion (in 1975 prices).26This investmentj fections, the most efficient approach may be to invest which includes only initial capital investment and in rcsearch and developmcnt of lcss costly and morc training costs, would provide one community healt efficacious means of prevention and thcrapy. To worker or aux.iliary nurse-midwife for every 1500 t~ reiterate, the most important factor in e~tablishing 2000 people and one health facility for every 8000 t priorities for endemic infections, even when evaluating 12,000people or every 10 km2, whichever is g~ater. In! discaseswith high case rates, is a knowlcdge of which the model area in Africa, the World Bank estimateul diseases contribute most to the burden of illness in an that supplying the minimum ca~ offe~d by buildi~ area and which arc rcasonably controllablc. one health post with one vehicle per 10,000people and train.ing 125 auxiliary nurse-midwives and 250 coml mumty health workers would cost $2,500,000, or $S EVALUATING AND SELEcTING MEDICAL INTERVENTIONS per capita. To this figure must be added the recurren~ Once diseases al'e selected for prevention and treat- costs of salaries, drugs, supplies and maintenance; ment, the next step is to devise intervention programs Other costs not included are for training facilities; of reasonable cost and practicability. The interven- continuing education, expansion of referral services tions relevant to the world's developing areas that are and development of communication, transportation considered below are comprehensive primary health and administrative networks to supply and manage care (which includes general development as well as the health facilities. Furthermo~, the effectivenessof all systems of disease control), basic primary health this model program for averting deaths or applying care, multiple disease-control measures (e.g., insec- such preventive measures as education in sanitation ticides, water supplies), selective primary health care, and nutrition has not been clearly established. and research. Below is a discussion of each approach, The pilot projects for providing basic health-care with emphasis on the relative cost involved in undel'- services that have been evaluated vary in their effec-, taking and maintaining these programs and on the tiveness in improving the general level of health care.! bendits that have accrued. For example, an outside evaluation of primary health! This section of our analysis relies on reported service in Ghana revealed that a third to half the pop.4 results from individual studies conducted in various ulation of the districts lived outside the effective reach! parts of the world. In addition, we have examined es- of health units providing primary care. Only abou~ timates of cost and effectiveness in terms of expected one fifth of the births were supervised by traine~ ~ of five years had been seenin a child.,health clinic, an .., deaths averted by each intervention for a model area midwives; only one fifth of the children under the a in Africa. The model area is an agricultural, rural por- tion of Sub-Saharan tropical Africa with a population two thirds of the population lacked environment of about 500,000 (100,000 are five years old or less). sanitation services. Furthermore, the services we For reference purposes, the average figures for Sub- often of poor quality, notably in the crucial area oB Saharan Africa will be used: the birth rate is 46 per child care.21.2. i thousand total population, the crude de3th rate 19 per The cost and effectiveness of several experiment thousand total population, and the infant mortality programs providing primary health care in localize ~ rate 147 per thousand live births.24.%S areas have been compared in Imesi, Nigeria2' Comprehensive versus Basic Primary Health Care Etimesgut, Turkey]O,)I; Narangwal, India21;jamkhedJ Indian.)); Guatemalan villages"; Hanover, jamai~ Comprehensive primary health care for everyone is ca)5-)1;and Kavar, Iran.» The estimated cost ped the best available means of conquering global dis- capita varied widely among the programs, partiCUl ease, the humane and noble goal declared at Alma ly because they were initiated at different times ove~ Ata. As defined by the World Health Organization, the past 15 to 20 years and furnished different servic this system encompasses development of all segments to their communities. In general, however, the cos of the economy, ready and universal access to curative per capita ranged between 1 and 2 per cent of thCJ care, prevention of endemic disease, proper sanitation national per capita income of the particular countrvJ and safe water supplies, immunization, nutrition, The cost for infant deaths averted were difficult r health education, maternal and child care and family compare because of the paucity of control groups an" planning. Since resources available for health pro- inconsistency of the population groups monitored~ grams are usually limited, the provision of compre- Figures ranged from $144 to $20,000, with a media ~ 1 hensive primary health care to everyone in the near fu- of 1700. The only precise calculations for the costs pe ture remains unlikely. infant death averted ($ 144) or child death averte Basic'primary health-care systems are far more cir- (1988 per one to three-year-old child) were for cumscribed in their goals, which are to provide health medical-care and nutrition-supplementation projec~ workers and establish clinics for treating all illnesses in Narangwal, India.21 The estimates were muc within a population. Nevertheless, this approach is far higher for deaths averted by nutrition supplements. ~ from inexpensive. The World Bank has estimated that Under some circumstances, programs of basi tht: cost of furnishing basic health services to all the primary health care have been successful,but the cos
  • 6. Vol 301 No. 18 DISEASE CONTROL IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES -WALSH AND WARREN and the degree of improvement in community health about $3.70 and good r~sults hav~ b~en r~port~d: th~ have varied markedly enough that refinements in the preval~nc~ of th~ inf~ction has d~cr~as~d from 45 to 35 approach are still needed. p~r c~nt in adults and from 21 to 4 p~r c~nt in childr~n. D~spit~ th~s~ h~art~ning figur~s, ~radication Multiple Dlsease-Control Measures of th~ v~ctor cannot b~ consid~r~d on th~ horizon. These interventions, which include vector control, Schistosomiasis is a long-t~rm, chronic inf~ction and water and sanitation programs and nutrition sup- th~ d~ath rate will not b~gin to d~clin~ until many plementation, are more specific and easily managed y~ars aft~r continuous mollusk control. than primary health-care programs, and they control many similarly transmitted diseasessimultaneously. Water and Sanitation Programs They can decrease mortality and morbidity and have Proper sanitation and clean water make a substan- served as interim strategies for health care in less tial difference in the amount of disease in an area, but developed countries. the financial investment involved is enormous. The success of such projects also depends on rigorous VectorControl maintenance and alteration of engrained cultural Vcctor control is directcd at managing thc insects habits. and mollusks that carry human disease. 111is ap- With the installation of community water supplies proach has thc advantagc of bcing comparativcly in- and sanitation in developing areas, deaths from cxpcnsive, but it must be continucd indcfinitcly and typhoid can be expected to decrease 60 to 80 per may be cphemcral sincc thc vcctors tcnd to bccome cent,') deaths from cholera 0 to 70 per cent,')'" from rcsistant. Thc cxamplcs bclow rcvcal somc of thc com- other diarrheas 0 to 5 per cent,"-SI from ascaris and plcxities of maintaining vector control. other intestinal helminths 0 to 50 per cent'.10.S2-S. and Thc control of malaria transmission through inscc- from schistosomiasis 50 per cent'2.S2 (after 15 to 20 ,ticides has becn highly cffectivc. In thc tropical years). The World Bank has estimated that the cost of 'regions and savannas of Africa, twicc-ycarly spraying providing community water supplies and sanitation to ~ dccrcased thc crude dcath ratc by approximatcly all those in need by the year 2000 will be $135 to $260 ~ pcr ccnt and infant mortality by 50 pcr ccnt.)"" billion.26.ss Construction of a rural community stand- "I11cWorld Hcalth Organization has cstimatcd that pipe costs 120 to 126 per capita, and rural sanitation thc avcrage cost for housc-to-house spraying with costs $4 to $5 per capita. In urban areas the costs are chlorophenothanc (DDT) is $2 pcr capita annual- $31 and $23, respectively. In our model area of Sub- ly.' Thcrcforc, thc cost pcr adult and infant dcath Saharan Africa the initial investment would be $12 to avcrtcd is $250, and the cost pcr infant dcath S15 million. If amortization and annual maintenance avcrtcd is $600. Unfortunatcly, cradication of malaria costs are only 10 per cent of this sum, the annual cost with insccticides is bccoming morc difficult to ac- per deaths averted will be $2400 to $2900, and the cost complish. Bccausc mosquitocs can bc cxpcctcd to per infant and child deaths averted will be $3600 to bccomc rcsistant to DDT within a few years, othcr, 14300. :muchmore expcnsivc pcsticidcs must bc substituted; What must be realized is that the above sums are ithc usc of propoxur or fcnctrithion will raisc the cost largely for public standpipes, which are not highly ef- :Of chemicals fivc to 10 tim~s.' Furthcrmorc, th~rc thc fective in reducing morbidity and mortality from is no way of knowing how long thcs~ ins~cticidcs will water-related diseases. It is well documented that con- :remain 'toxic to thc mosquitocs. Among th~ mos- nections inside the house are necessary to encourage :quitocsin which widcsprcad rcsistance to insecticidcs the hygienic use of water. so For example, shigella- ~ dcvclop~d arc Culex pipims fatigans,th~ major yec- caused diarrheas decreased 5 per cent with outside ~or of urban filariasis, and Aedes aegypti,thc vector of house connections but fell 50 per cent when sanitation yellow fev~r and d~ngue.s and washing facilities were available within the Two othcr vector-control programs illustrate thc home.sl Drolong~d maintenance required by this type of hcalth All these estimates depend on exclusive use of mtcrvcntion. Onchocerciasis, a potentially blinding protectcd sanitation and water supplies, without con- ilelminth infection affecting 30 million people in tinuing use of environmental sources. In Bangladesh, Inca, is bcing managed in the Volta River Basin for example, there was no reduction in cholera in !Tough a 20-y~ar larvicide operation to control the areas supplied with tube wells, primarily because of Ilackfly vcctor. The program is cstimated to cost $18 the use of contaminated surface water as well as the ~r capita for thc cntire 20-year period or $.90 pcr protected water supply." In St. Lucia, contact with apita pcr year.2' Disability will be prcvcnted, and surface water could not be discouraged until house- conomic activity in the arca may increase if the hold water supplies and then swimming pools and Irogram is successful, but continuous, indefinite laundry units were installed, and an intensive health- Ipplications of insecticide will be nec~ssary. Since education campaign was instituted.'2 In other words, 965, St. Lucia has had a program to control the changing peoples' habits in excretion and water usage uail-transmitted helminth infcction schistosomiasis takes more than introducing an adequate, dependable Lroughmolluscicides. An annual cost p~r capita of and convenient new source. Realistically speaking, a 971
  • 7. 972 THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL Of MEDICINE Nov. I. 1979. pervasive and effective health-education campaigns"s, patient clinics" and recently in the home's." to treat is required. diarrheas of numerous causes. These services could be provided by fixed units or Nutrition Supplementation by mobile teams visiting once every four to six mont~ Nutrition programs have been advocated as among in areas where resources were more limited. Mobil~ the most efficient means of decreasing morbidity and units have been successfully used in immunization mortality in children, but supplementation alone has programs for smallpox and measles,la.11 treatment in had no notable effect. Malnutrition is an underlying servicesdirected against African trypanosomiasis and; or associated factor in many deaths from infections in meningitis"2 and in provision of child care in rural! children; in a group of Latin American children, it areas.'}-8S was associated in 50 per cent of the cases.s' Poor nutri- The cost of fixed units would be similar to that 0; tion may also increase susceptibility to disease or basic primary health care, although efficienc;:y ShoUld predispose an infccted child to more sevcre illness.60-42 be much greater. Cost estimates for a mobile health] Conversely, infection may be a prominent cause of unit used in the model area in Africa for malaria con.1 poor nutrition".')'" since less food is ingested and ab- trol and water and sanitation programs werebasedOnJ sorbed by a sick child. Therefore, if infections could be an extensive study of the Botswana health servicesby controlled it is probable that the nutritional status of Gish and Walker."s They estimated $1.26 as the cost children would improve greatly. There have been per patient contact in 1974, on a sample 306-km trip! some situations, however, in which malnutrition has that reached 753 patients; the estimated cost per in.' been reported to protect against certain infections, fant and child death averted was $200 to $250.1 e.g., the Sahel famine was thought to suppress Medications accounted for 30 to 50 per cent of th, malaria, and iron deficiency was reported to protect cost, but this figure could be decreasedwith contrib~j against bacterial infections."-'o tions of drugs from abroad or their manufacture! In view of these findings, it is not surprising that few within the country. j nutrition-supplementation programs alone have ef- Whether the system is fixed or mobile, flexibility is; fected a major decrease in the death rate. The necessary.The care package can be modified at any; Narangwal Project is one of these few, but even in that time according to the patterns of mortality and mor-: program the cost per death averted in infants was bidity in the area served. Chemotherapy for intestinal; 1213. In children one to three years old the cost was helminths, treatment of schistosomiasis and sup- $3000 -1.5 to three times higher than the cost of plementation with new vaccines or treatments as they! medical care alonc.21 become available are all types of selective primary health care that could be added or subtracted to t~ SelectivePrimaryHealthCare core of basic preventive care. It is important, however,~ The selective approach to controlling endemic dis- for the service to concentrate on a minimum number , ease in the developing countries is potentially the most of severe problems that affect iarge numbers of people; cost-effective 'type of medical intervention. On the and for which interventions of established efficacy can basis of high morbidity and mortality and of be provided at low cost. feasibility of control, a circumscribed number of dis- Research easesare selected for prevention in a clearly defined population. Since fewprograms based on this selective For a number of prevalent infections, treatment or model of prevention and treatment have been at- preventive measures are expensive, difficult to ad- tempted, the following approach is proposed. The minister, toxic or ineffective. These infections, which principal recipients of care would be children up to include Chagas' disease, African trypanosomiasis, three years old and women in the childbearing years. leprosy and tuberculosis, may better be dealt with The care provided would be measles and diph- through an investment in research. In terms of the theria-pertussis-tetanus (DPT) vaccination for chil- potential benefits, the cost of researchis low. Indeed, dren over six months old, tetanus toxoid to all women the total amount now being spent on research in all of childbearing age, encouragement of long-term tropical diseases is approximately $60 million, ex- breast feeding, provision of chloroquine for episodesof ceedingly small in relation to the number of people in- fever in children under three years old in areas where fected. As Table 4 shows,expenditures for researchon malaria is prevalent and, finally, oral rehydration some of the major diseases in the developing world packets and instruction. have by far the lowest per-capita cost of all medica! in- If even50 per cent of the children and their mothers terventions discussed." and 50 per cent of the pregnant women in a com- The estimated cost for the research and develop- munity were contacted, deaths from measleswould be ment leading to the pneumococcalvaccine licensed in expected to decrease at least 50 per cent,',.'2 deaths the United States in 1978 was $3 to $4 million from whooping cough 30 per cent, ') from neonatal (Austrian R: personal communication). Death and tetanus 45 per cent, '4 from diarrhea 25 to 30 per disability in developing countries would be reduced cent's." and from malaria 25 per cent.' Oral rehydra- by heat-stable vaccines for measles,malaria, leprosy tion has been used successfully in hospitals,"." in out- and rota virus and Eschenchia coli-induced diarrheas.
  • 8. Vol. 301 No. 18 DISEASE CONTROL IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES WALSH AND WARREN adult population of the area covered by the service.As the table suggests.selective primary health care may be a cost-effective interim intervention for many less developed areas. REFERENCES I. World Health Organization: Declaration or Alma Ata (Repon on the International Conrerence on Primary Health Care, Alma Ata, USSR, September 6-12, 1978). Geneva, World Health Organiution. 1978 2 McNamara RS: Address to the Board or Governon orthe World Bank. Washington, DC, World Bank, 1978 3. Geographic Medicine ror the Practitioner: Algorithms in the diagnosis and management or exotic diseases. Edited by KS Warren, AAF by improved chemotherapy for leprosy, tuberculosis, Mahmoud. Chicago, Univenity or Chicago Press. 1978 American and African trypanosomiasis, onchocercia- ~. Tropical Medicine. Edited by GW Hunter III, JC Swanzwelder, DF sis and filariasis and by depot drugs for malaria and Clyde. Firth edition. 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