4. “As we have written for
some time, we expect all
car companies would
eventually see nearly 100
percent of their revenues
shift from the sale of
human-driven/
individually-owned cars to
robot-driven/shared cars.”
- Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanley,
Aug. 17, 2015
- www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/tesla-uber-
rival_55d1e72fe4b0ab468d9db3fd
9. social driving forces...
❏ U.S. middle class squeeze - global growth
❏ millennials come of age, 75% of workforce in 2025
❏ intelligence in everything
❏ power of connectivity
❏ regulation and cheaper renewable energy
10. key driving technologies...
❏ energy efficiency
❏ demand side management
❏ smart grids and cities
❏ convergence of IT and distribution
❏ falling solar prices
11. • STEEP
• society & demographics
• technology & science
• economy & markets
• environment & energy
• politics, regulation &
government
13. people of the screen...
will not accept old limitations
14. world population growth, by age, to 2050
Percent
Under 15
15-64
Over 65
0 50 100 150 200
Photo http://blogs.ft.com/photo-diary/2013/10/older-persons-day/
16. nano | bio | info | cogno | robo | space
3D | connectivity | convergence
17. internet of everything
In the next 20 years PC’s will be replaced by
millions of tiny intelligent systems embedded in
our clothes, jewelry, cars, furniture, and walls.
They will recognize voice commands and carry
out simple wishes. They will cost less than a
penny, less than scrap paper, so companies which
do not put chips [intelligence] in all their
products will be at a severe disadvantage.
Michio Kaku, 1998
18. what is internet of everything?
platform for devices to communicate with the world around
them and to integrate human, natural and built worlds
21. when things are smart
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3659201/Rolls-Royce-reveals-remote-controlled-roboship-augmented-reality-central-control-deck-hundreds-miles-away-sea-2020.html
35. cost trends plus technology plus
environment issues plus optimizing
resources suggest continued energy
turbulence, transitions…
requiring great resilience and continuous
examination of your mission and
business models and lean operations in
the coming years