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Enrique	
  Betancourt	
  G.	
  
twi$er:	
  @betancourt_e	
  
	
  
La	
  An3gua,	
  Guatemala	
  
Apr	
  29th,	
  2014	
  
Intervenciones	
  
focalizadas	
  para	
  
reducción	
  y	
  prevención	
  
de	
  violencia	
  
Legi3midad	
  del	
  Estado	
  
y	
  
Contrato	
  Social	
  
3	
  cosas	
  que	
  sabemos	
  sobre	
  
la	
  violencia	
  armada	
  en	
  la	
  
región.	
  
1.	
  Es	
  urbana.	
  
	
  
90%	
  sucede	
  
fuera	
  de	
  
contextos	
  de	
  
conflicto	
  
armado.	
  
2.	
  Se	
  concentra	
  
geográficamente.
	
  
Asociada	
  a	
  otros	
  
indicadores	
  de	
  
vulnerabilidad	
  
social.	
  
3.	
  Vic3mas	
  y	
  
perpetradores:	
  
	
  
•  Varones	
  Jóvenes.	
  
•  Operando	
  en	
  grupos.	
  
•  Ejecutada	
  por	
  menos	
  
del	
  5%	
  de	
  los	
  
jóvenes	
  de	
  alto	
  
riesgo	
  en	
  el	
  barrio	
  .	
  
Homicidios	
  por	
  grupos	
  de	
  edad	
  y	
  género,	
  INEGI,	
  2010.	
  
3	
  conceptos	
  para	
  su	
  
atención.	
  	
  
(lecciones	
  sobre	
  casos	
  de	
  
implementación)	
  
focalización	
  Focalización	
  
•  Territorial	
  
•  Demográfica	
  
•  Temporal	
  
•  Delic3va	
  y	
  de	
  comportamiento	
  social	
  
Teoría	
  de	
  Cambio	
  
Teoría de Cambio
ResultadosPre-condicionesEnfoques y
Herramientas programas
Premisas
12345
Impacto	
  Colec3vo	
  
•  Gerencia	
  Centralizada	
  
•  Agenda	
  Común	
  
•  Sistema	
  de	
  Evaluación	
  compar3do	
  
•  Ac3vidades	
  mutuamente	
  reforzantes	
  
Center	
  for	
  Crime	
  Preven3on	
  and	
  Control	
  |	
  John	
  Jay	
  College	
  of	
  Criminal	
  Jus3ce	
  |	
  524	
  West	
  59th	
  Street	
  Suite	
  600,	
  New	
  York,	
  NY	
  10019	
  
Ceasefire	
  University	
  
GROUP	
  VIOLENCE	
  INTERVENTION	
  	
  
AN	
  OVERVIEW	
  
Groups	
  drive	
  a	
  huge	
  share	
  of	
  the	
  ac3on	
  
§  Around	
  0.5%	
  of	
  overall	
  popula3on	
  
§  Regularly	
  associated	
  with	
  75%	
  of	
  serious	
  violence	
  in	
  a	
  city	
  
§  Doesn’t	
  ma$er	
  if	
  they’re	
  “gangs,”	
  and	
  most	
  aren’t	
  
In	
  most	
  dangerous	
  neighborhoods	
  
§  About	
  5%	
  of	
  high-­‐risk	
  male	
  age	
  group	
  
§  Only	
  about	
  10-­‐20%	
  of	
  those	
  are	
  impact	
  players	
  
	
  
	
  
16	
  
Core	
  offenders	
  are	
  group	
  involved,	
  small	
  in	
  number,	
  
and	
  iden3fiable	
  
17	
  
Street	
  group	
  members	
  face	
  extremely	
  high	
  risk	
  
na3onal	
  homicide:	
  4	
  in	
  100,000	
  
homicides	
  for	
  core	
  group-­‐involved	
  network:	
  1,500-­‐3,000	
  in	
  
100,000	
  
for	
  those	
  close	
  to	
  vic3ms	
  of	
  homicide	
  and	
  shoo3ng,	
  the	
  risk	
  increases	
  by	
  up	
  to	
  900%	
  
18	
  
Connec3on	
  between	
  violence	
  &	
  groups	
  
The	
  most	
  important	
  finding	
  here	
  is	
  simple:	
  there	
  is	
  a	
  profound	
  and	
  so	
  far	
  invariant	
  
connec3on	
  between	
  serious	
  violence,	
  and	
  highly	
  ac3ve	
  criminal	
  groups.	
  
Representa3on	
  in	
  popula3on	
   Representa3on	
  in	
  homicides	
  
0.5%	
   50-­‐75%	
  
Framework	
  
19	
  
Direct,	
  sustained	
  engagement	
  with	
  core	
  offenders	
  by	
  a	
  
partnership	
  standing	
  and	
  ac3ng	
  together:	
  	
  
Community	
  leaders	
  	
  
Social	
  service	
  providers	
  
Law	
  enforcement	
  
Explicit	
  focus	
  on	
  homicide	
  and	
  serious	
  violence	
  
Core	
  elements:	
  
Moral	
  engagement	
  
Offer	
  of	
  help	
  
Swis,	
  certain,	
  legi3mate	
  consequences	
  
An	
  approach,	
  not	
  a	
  program	
  
STRATEGIC	
  INTERVENTION	
  
Framework	
  
21	
  
Direct,	
  sustained	
  engagement	
  with	
  core	
  offenders	
  by	
  a	
  
partnership	
  standing	
  and	
  ac3ng	
  together:	
  	
  
Community	
  leaders	
  	
  
Social	
  service	
  providers	
  
Law	
  enforcement	
  
Explicit	
  focus	
  on	
  homicide	
  and	
  serious	
  violence	
  
Core	
  elements:	
  
Moral	
  engagement	
  
Offer	
  of	
  help	
  
Swis,	
  certain,	
  legi3mate	
  consequences	
  
An	
  approach,	
  not	
  a	
  program	
  
1	
  Focused	
  law	
  enforcement	
  
22	
  
Group	
  accountability	
  for	
  group	
  violence	
  by	
  any	
  legal	
  means:	
  
“Pulling	
  levers”	
  
Specifying	
  Enforcement	
  Trigger	
  
“First	
  group/worst	
  group”	
  promise	
  
First	
  homicide	
  aser	
  call-­‐in	
  
Most	
  violent	
  group	
  
Aser	
  each	
  call-­‐in,	
  if	
  no	
  group	
  wants	
  to	
  be	
  first	
  or	
  worst,	
  
everybody	
  stops	
  
Formal	
  no3ce	
  of	
  legal	
  exposure	
  
Formal	
  no3ce	
  of	
  law	
  enforcement	
  intent	
  
Deterrence	
  
23	
  
We	
  want	
  compliance,	
  not	
  arrests	
  and	
  sentences	
  
Actual	
  enforcement	
  is	
  (mostly)	
  a	
  sign	
  of	
  failure	
  
When	
  something	
  dras3c	
  is	
  about	
  to	
  happen,	
  it’s	
  in	
  
everyone’s	
  interest	
  to	
  avoid	
  it	
  
Goal:	
  make	
  consequences	
  so	
  clear	
  and	
  certain	
  	
  that	
  nobody	
  
wants	
  them	
  
Keep	
  offenders	
  and	
  communi3es	
  safe	
  
Provide	
  “honorable	
  exit”	
  
not	
  enforcement	
  
2	
  Moral	
  engagement	
  with	
  offenders	
  
24	
  
Offenders	
  can	
  and	
  will	
  choose,	
  should	
  be	
  treated	
  as	
  
responsible	
  human	
  beings	
  
Challenge	
  the	
  street	
  code	
  
There’s	
  right,	
  there’s	
  wrong:	
  no	
  gray	
  area	
  
Ac3vates	
  agency:	
  offender	
  is	
  now	
  in	
  control	
  
Treats	
  offender	
  with	
  respect:	
  procedural	
  jus3ce	
  
Enhances	
  law	
  enforcement	
  legi3macy	
  
Mobilizes	
  community	
  partners	
  
Community	
  moral	
  voice	
  
25	
  
Clear,	
  direct	
  community	
  stand	
  from	
  respected	
  local	
  figures,	
  
parents,	
  ministers,	
  mothers,	
  ac3vists:	
  
“We	
  need	
  you	
  alive	
  and	
  out	
  of	
  prison.”	
  
“You’re	
  be$er	
  than	
  this.”	
  
“We	
  hate	
  the	
  violence.”	
  
Offenders	
  and	
  ex-­‐offenders:	
  
“Who	
  helped	
  your	
  mother	
  last	
  3me	
  you	
  were	
  locked	
  up?	
  
“How	
  long	
  before	
  one	
  of	
  your	
  boys	
  sleeps	
  with	
  your	
  girlfriend?”	
  
“Who	
  thinks	
  it’s	
  okay	
  for	
  li$le	
  kids	
  to	
  get	
  killed?”	
  
Outreach	
  workers	
  are	
  among	
  the	
  very	
  best	
  at	
  all	
  of	
  this	
  
Outreach	
  workers	
  
26	
  
Have	
  more	
  respect	
  on	
  the	
  street	
  than	
  just	
  about	
  anybody	
  else	
  
Have	
  unques3onable	
  authen3city	
  
Can	
  reach	
  the	
  core	
  group	
  popula3on	
  
Can	
  say	
  things	
  that	
  nobody	
  else	
  can	
  say	
  
Can	
  help	
  replace	
  the	
  toxic	
  street	
  code	
  with	
  something	
  
alterna3ve	
  and	
  affirma3ve	
  
Can	
  work	
  closely	
  with	
  other	
  partners	
  to	
  broker	
  help,	
  convey	
  
law	
  enforcement	
  warnings,	
  defuse	
  disputes,	
  control	
  rumors,	
  
help	
  save	
  face	
  
3	
  Help	
  as	
  a	
  moral	
  and	
  prac3cal	
  obliga3on	
  	
  
27	
  
“We	
  are	
  here	
  to	
  keep	
  you	
  alive	
  and	
  out	
  of	
  prison.”	
  
“You	
  have	
  been	
  targeted	
  –	
  to	
  be	
  saved.”	
  
Address	
  trauma	
  
Protect	
  from	
  enemies	
  
Offer	
  “big	
  small	
  stuff”	
  –	
  crucial	
  real-­‐3me	
  needs	
  
Save	
  havens	
  
New	
  rela3onships	
  and	
  “sponsors”	
  
New	
  ideas	
  to	
  replace	
  “street	
  code”	
  
Links	
  to	
  tradi3onal	
  social	
  services	
  –	
  educa3on,	
  work,	
  etc.	
  
Street	
  outreach	
  an	
  important	
  way	
  to	
  do	
  all	
  this	
  
	
  
28	
  
Law	
  enforcement,	
  communi3es,	
  and	
  the	
  
streets	
  all	
  want…	
  
§  the	
  community	
  to	
  be	
  safe	
  
§  the	
  most	
  dangerous	
  offenders	
  controlled	
  	
  
§  chao3c	
  crime	
  to	
  stop	
  (including	
  many	
  offenders)	
  
§  ineffec3ve	
  enforcement	
  to	
  stop	
  
§  community	
  standards	
  to	
  take	
  over	
  
§  help	
  for	
  those	
  who	
  want	
  it	
  
§  a	
  close,	
  respeczul	
  rela3onship	
  between	
  law	
  
enforcement,	
  communi3es,	
  and	
  offenders	
  
Common	
  ground	
  
29	
  
Results	
  
Group	
  Violence	
  Interven:on	
  
A	
  recent	
  Campbell	
  Collabora:on	
  
Systema:c	
  Review	
  of	
  the	
  
strategies,	
  and	
  others	
  related	
  to	
  
them,	
  concluded	
  that	
  there	
  is	
  now	
  
“strong	
  empirical	
  evidence”	
  for	
  
their	
  crime	
  preven3on	
  
effec3veness.	
  
63%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  youth	
  homicide	
  
Boston	
  (MA)	
  Opera0on	
  Ceasefire	
  
42%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  gun	
  homicide	
  
Stockton	
  (CA)	
  Opera0on	
  Peacekeeper	
  
37%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  homicide	
  
Chicago	
  (IL)	
  Project	
  Safe	
  Neighborhoods	
  
44%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  gun	
  assaults	
  
Lowell	
  (MA)	
  Project	
  Safe	
  
Neighborhoods	
  
34%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  homicide	
  
Indianapolis	
  (IN)	
  Violence	
  Reduc0on	
  
Partnership	
  
41%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  gang	
  member-­‐involved	
  homicide	
  
Cincinna0	
  (OH)	
  Ini0a0ve	
  to	
  Reduce	
  Violence	
  
Drug	
  Market	
  Interven:on	
  
41-­‐56%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  part	
  1	
  UCR	
  crime	
  in	
  3	
  out	
  
of	
  4	
  DMI	
  neighborhoods;	
  4-­‐74%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  drug	
  offenses	
  in	
  all	
  4	
  
neighborhoods	
  
High	
  Point	
  (NC)	
  DMIs	
  
55%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  drug	
  offenses	
  
Nashville	
  (TN)	
  DMI	
  
22%	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  non-­‐violent	
  offenses	
  
Rockford	
  (IL)	
  DMI	
  
26%	
  	
  
reduc3on	
  in	
  recidivism	
  
Hawaii	
  Opportunity	
  Proba0on	
  
with	
  Enforcement	
  (HOPE)	
  
Related	
  

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Reducing and Preventing Violence Through Focused Interventions

  • 1. Enrique  Betancourt  G.   twi$er:  @betancourt_e     La  An3gua,  Guatemala   Apr  29th,  2014   Intervenciones   focalizadas  para   reducción  y  prevención   de  violencia  
  • 2. Legi3midad  del  Estado   y   Contrato  Social  
  • 3. 3  cosas  que  sabemos  sobre   la  violencia  armada  en  la   región.  
  • 4. 1.  Es  urbana.     90%  sucede   fuera  de   contextos  de   conflicto   armado.  
  • 5. 2.  Se  concentra   geográficamente.   Asociada  a  otros   indicadores  de   vulnerabilidad   social.  
  • 6. 3.  Vic3mas  y   perpetradores:     •  Varones  Jóvenes.   •  Operando  en  grupos.   •  Ejecutada  por  menos   del  5%  de  los   jóvenes  de  alto   riesgo  en  el  barrio  .  
  • 7.
  • 8. Homicidios  por  grupos  de  edad  y  género,  INEGI,  2010.  
  • 9. 3  conceptos  para  su   atención.     (lecciones  sobre  casos  de   implementación)  
  • 10. focalización  Focalización   •  Territorial   •  Demográfica   •  Temporal   •  Delic3va  y  de  comportamiento  social  
  • 11.
  • 12. Teoría  de  Cambio   Teoría de Cambio ResultadosPre-condicionesEnfoques y Herramientas programas Premisas 12345
  • 13.
  • 14. Impacto  Colec3vo   •  Gerencia  Centralizada   •  Agenda  Común   •  Sistema  de  Evaluación  compar3do   •  Ac3vidades  mutuamente  reforzantes  
  • 15. Center  for  Crime  Preven3on  and  Control  |  John  Jay  College  of  Criminal  Jus3ce  |  524  West  59th  Street  Suite  600,  New  York,  NY  10019   Ceasefire  University   GROUP  VIOLENCE  INTERVENTION     AN  OVERVIEW  
  • 16. Groups  drive  a  huge  share  of  the  ac3on   §  Around  0.5%  of  overall  popula3on   §  Regularly  associated  with  75%  of  serious  violence  in  a  city   §  Doesn’t  ma$er  if  they’re  “gangs,”  and  most  aren’t   In  most  dangerous  neighborhoods   §  About  5%  of  high-­‐risk  male  age  group   §  Only  about  10-­‐20%  of  those  are  impact  players       16   Core  offenders  are  group  involved,  small  in  number,   and  iden3fiable  
  • 17. 17   Street  group  members  face  extremely  high  risk   na3onal  homicide:  4  in  100,000   homicides  for  core  group-­‐involved  network:  1,500-­‐3,000  in   100,000   for  those  close  to  vic3ms  of  homicide  and  shoo3ng,  the  risk  increases  by  up  to  900%  
  • 18. 18   Connec3on  between  violence  &  groups   The  most  important  finding  here  is  simple:  there  is  a  profound  and  so  far  invariant   connec3on  between  serious  violence,  and  highly  ac3ve  criminal  groups.   Representa3on  in  popula3on   Representa3on  in  homicides   0.5%   50-­‐75%  
  • 19. Framework   19   Direct,  sustained  engagement  with  core  offenders  by  a   partnership  standing  and  ac3ng  together:     Community  leaders     Social  service  providers   Law  enforcement   Explicit  focus  on  homicide  and  serious  violence   Core  elements:   Moral  engagement   Offer  of  help   Swis,  certain,  legi3mate  consequences   An  approach,  not  a  program  
  • 21. Framework   21   Direct,  sustained  engagement  with  core  offenders  by  a   partnership  standing  and  ac3ng  together:     Community  leaders     Social  service  providers   Law  enforcement   Explicit  focus  on  homicide  and  serious  violence   Core  elements:   Moral  engagement   Offer  of  help   Swis,  certain,  legi3mate  consequences   An  approach,  not  a  program  
  • 22. 1  Focused  law  enforcement   22   Group  accountability  for  group  violence  by  any  legal  means:   “Pulling  levers”   Specifying  Enforcement  Trigger   “First  group/worst  group”  promise   First  homicide  aser  call-­‐in   Most  violent  group   Aser  each  call-­‐in,  if  no  group  wants  to  be  first  or  worst,   everybody  stops   Formal  no3ce  of  legal  exposure   Formal  no3ce  of  law  enforcement  intent  
  • 23. Deterrence   23   We  want  compliance,  not  arrests  and  sentences   Actual  enforcement  is  (mostly)  a  sign  of  failure   When  something  dras3c  is  about  to  happen,  it’s  in   everyone’s  interest  to  avoid  it   Goal:  make  consequences  so  clear  and  certain    that  nobody   wants  them   Keep  offenders  and  communi3es  safe   Provide  “honorable  exit”   not  enforcement  
  • 24. 2  Moral  engagement  with  offenders   24   Offenders  can  and  will  choose,  should  be  treated  as   responsible  human  beings   Challenge  the  street  code   There’s  right,  there’s  wrong:  no  gray  area   Ac3vates  agency:  offender  is  now  in  control   Treats  offender  with  respect:  procedural  jus3ce   Enhances  law  enforcement  legi3macy   Mobilizes  community  partners  
  • 25. Community  moral  voice   25   Clear,  direct  community  stand  from  respected  local  figures,   parents,  ministers,  mothers,  ac3vists:   “We  need  you  alive  and  out  of  prison.”   “You’re  be$er  than  this.”   “We  hate  the  violence.”   Offenders  and  ex-­‐offenders:   “Who  helped  your  mother  last  3me  you  were  locked  up?   “How  long  before  one  of  your  boys  sleeps  with  your  girlfriend?”   “Who  thinks  it’s  okay  for  li$le  kids  to  get  killed?”   Outreach  workers  are  among  the  very  best  at  all  of  this  
  • 26. Outreach  workers   26   Have  more  respect  on  the  street  than  just  about  anybody  else   Have  unques3onable  authen3city   Can  reach  the  core  group  popula3on   Can  say  things  that  nobody  else  can  say   Can  help  replace  the  toxic  street  code  with  something   alterna3ve  and  affirma3ve   Can  work  closely  with  other  partners  to  broker  help,  convey   law  enforcement  warnings,  defuse  disputes,  control  rumors,   help  save  face  
  • 27. 3  Help  as  a  moral  and  prac3cal  obliga3on     27   “We  are  here  to  keep  you  alive  and  out  of  prison.”   “You  have  been  targeted  –  to  be  saved.”   Address  trauma   Protect  from  enemies   Offer  “big  small  stuff”  –  crucial  real-­‐3me  needs   Save  havens   New  rela3onships  and  “sponsors”   New  ideas  to  replace  “street  code”   Links  to  tradi3onal  social  services  –  educa3on,  work,  etc.   Street  outreach  an  important  way  to  do  all  this    
  • 28. 28   Law  enforcement,  communi3es,  and  the   streets  all  want…   §  the  community  to  be  safe   §  the  most  dangerous  offenders  controlled     §  chao3c  crime  to  stop  (including  many  offenders)   §  ineffec3ve  enforcement  to  stop   §  community  standards  to  take  over   §  help  for  those  who  want  it   §  a  close,  respeczul  rela3onship  between  law   enforcement,  communi3es,  and  offenders   Common  ground  
  • 29. 29   Results   Group  Violence  Interven:on   A  recent  Campbell  Collabora:on   Systema:c  Review  of  the   strategies,  and  others  related  to   them,  concluded  that  there  is  now   “strong  empirical  evidence”  for   their  crime  preven3on   effec3veness.   63%   reduc3on  in  youth  homicide   Boston  (MA)  Opera0on  Ceasefire   42%   reduc3on  in  gun  homicide   Stockton  (CA)  Opera0on  Peacekeeper   37%   reduc3on  in  homicide   Chicago  (IL)  Project  Safe  Neighborhoods   44%   reduc3on  in  gun  assaults   Lowell  (MA)  Project  Safe   Neighborhoods   34%   reduc3on  in  homicide   Indianapolis  (IN)  Violence  Reduc0on   Partnership   41%   reduc3on  in  gang  member-­‐involved  homicide   Cincinna0  (OH)  Ini0a0ve  to  Reduce  Violence   Drug  Market  Interven:on   41-­‐56%   reduc3on  in  part  1  UCR  crime  in  3  out   of  4  DMI  neighborhoods;  4-­‐74%   reduc3on  in  drug  offenses  in  all  4   neighborhoods   High  Point  (NC)  DMIs   55%   reduc3on  in  drug  offenses   Nashville  (TN)  DMI   22%   reduc3on  in  non-­‐violent  offenses   Rockford  (IL)  DMI   26%     reduc3on  in  recidivism   Hawaii  Opportunity  Proba0on   with  Enforcement  (HOPE)   Related