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Agile, intelligent marketing

Jason Juma-Ross
@ideasoc
AdTech Sydney, 2013
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture.
2013: another digital media watershed
$000s                                            2012 Australian Media Spend & YOY Δ
                   ($24m)
4,000,000
                                                                                                                                $516m
3,000,000
                                    ($476m)

2,000,000

1,000,000                                              ($18m)             $21m                          $11m
                                                                                                $8m                ($41m)
            0
                   Television           Press         Magazines            Radio            Cinema    Out of Home Direct Mail   Digital



ROI
Basis

                                                          >                                           >
                              Historical                                        Marginal                              Optimal

Source: AQX Monthly, Jan 2011 – Jan 2013, IAB Online Advertising Expenditure Report, Dec 2012
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                                                           2
2013: another digital media watershed
$000s                                            2012 Australian Media Spend & YOY Δ
                   ($24m)
4,000,000
                                                                                                                                           $516m
3,000,000
                                    ($476m)

2,000,000

1,000,000                                              ($18m)             $21m                                $11m
                                                                                             $8m                                  ($41m)
            0
                   Television           Press          Magazines            Radio            Cinema        Out of Home Direct Mail         Digital



ROI
Basis                                                                                         25%                                           8%
(example
)



                     (2%)                      (28%)                      (60%)                               (10%)



Source: AQX Monthly, Jan 2011 – Jan 2013, IAB Online Advertising Expenditure Report, Dec 2012, Accenture analysis: APAC region.
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                                                                      3
Two types of organisations; two types of
marketing processes
                                                                                   20,000


                                                                ANZ Bank           18,000


                                                                                   16,000   Toyota

                                                                                   14,000
Interactive (Online & Direct) Spend ($ 000s)




                                                   AMEX
                                                                          Relatively
                                                            NAB        unknown: 12,000
                                                                                iterative
                                                   Origin
                                                                                       Telstra
                                                                                   10,000

                                                     Westpac         Optus                                                                         MEAN: 9%
                                                                                    8,000

                                                                       VW CBA
                                                                            Hyundai
                                               0            20,000           40,000 6,000           60,000                     80,000           100,000         120,000
                                                                             Holden                                                                   MEDIAN:
                                                                                                                                        Coles           4%
                                                                                    4,000      Relatively known:
                                                                                                stable process
                                                                                                                           Woolworths
                                                                                    2,000
                                                                                                                      McDonalds
                                                                              Target
                                                                                   0
                                                                                                                               Reckitt B.
                                                                                  Broadcast (non-interactive) Spend ($ 000s)                    Harvey Norman
Source: AQX Monthly, Feb 2012 – Jan 2013                                     Top 10 Traditional                   Top 10 Digital & Interactive
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                                                                                           4
Marketing performance varies enormously
across digital campaigns
                                                                           • Return (campaign performance) varies
                                                                             enormously
                                                                              – CTR median of 0.0005, range of
                                                                                0.05 (100 times the median)
                                                                              – Skewed distribution. Only a
                   Campaign CTR
                                                                                few, very high CTRs in the >1%
                                                                                range
                                                                              – Base scenarios becoming more
                                                                                costly (having lower ROI)
                                                                           • Cost (CPX) is even more varied

                                                                            How can we consistently improve
                                                                              marketing performance in the
                                                                             ‘relatively unknown’ territory of
                      Media CPX                                                           digital?


Source: Accenture analysis, example digital campaigns aggregate 12m data
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                                     5
Use ‘fast transients’ to deliver relevance at
scale & speed


                                                          Search                   Display Media


                                                  KWG 1   KWG 2        KWG N   Seg 1     Seg 2   Seg N
                         de-averaging
                                                                  Dynamic Landing Pages




                                                                  Product/Detail Pages

 • Integrated data
 • Intelligent conversion paths                                   Checkout / Conversion

 • Industrialised automation &
   decisioning
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                          6
Delivering relevance has a high cost of
complexity
Customers demand a more granular and continuous content and functionality
development cycle than is possible in the current paradigm


                                                                                                New Paradigm
 Complexity Dimensions
                                                                                                Platform based,
                                                                                                componentised dev.,
                5 Cust. Segments                                            12,150 Treatments   flexible architecture with
                                                                                                analytics linking
                                                                            2,430
                                                                                                content, usage, and
                3 Channels                                                                      value
    +
    Relevance




                6 Regions                                             810
                                                                                                Current Paradigm
                                                                135                             Monolithic web
                27 Brands                                                                       development & digital
                                                                                    Current     supply chain. Analytics
                                                        5 Treatments                            used primarily for
                5 Product categories                                                            reporting purposes
                                                  1 Treatment


                                                                 Unit Delivery Cost +



Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                                              7
Known user profiling to drive content
targeting at the last millisecond
              Profile Data                        Context Cloud   Digital Data Warehouse




              Repository

        Onsite Behaviours                                           Demographic Data




           Social Profiles                                         Custom Data Stores




NB. Example ‘Context Cloud’ from Adobe CQ5
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                            8
Intent can be estimated through combining
unknown user context data
                                                   Environmental Variables
                                                  • IP address                    Referrer Variables
                                                  • Country of origin         •   Referring domain
   Site Behaviour Variables                       • Time zone                 •   Campaign ID
   • Customer/prospect                            • Operating system          •   Affiliate
   • New/return visitor                           • Browser type              •   PPC
   • Previous visit patterns                      • Screen resolution         •   Natural search
   • Previous Product                                                         •   Direct/bookmark
      interests – top level
   • Previous Product
      interests – low level                                                           Temporal Variables
   • Searches                                                                     •   Time of day
   • Previous online                                                              •   Day of week
      purchases
                                                                                  •   Recency
   • Previous Campaign
      exposure                                                                    •   Frequency
   • Previous Campaign
      responses                                         Highly Predictive
                                                           Anonymous
                                                        Profile For Testing        Offline
                                                                                  Variables



Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                            9
Delivering individual relevance: no average
user experience




Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.   10
Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.   11
Lagging                              Leading               Emerging


             STATIC ‘ONE-SIZE FITS                PERIODIC, EMPIRICALLY-    AGILE, INTELLIGENT
                ALL’ WEB SITES                      DRIVEN ITERATION            DELIVERY




                 Search Social Display                 Personalisation
                                                           (HTML)

                        Web Skin                        Core Systems         Componentised
                                                          (Aligned)
                      (HTML Layer)                                            Architecture
                                                    Search Social Display

                      Foundational
                      Components                      Intelligence Driven
                                                          (Analytics)           Intelligent
                                                                                Adaptation
                        Analytics                        Applications,
                        (Reporting)                   transactional, and
                                                       service platforms

                                                                                Customer
                                                                                Data Cloud




Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                  12
Relevance = business de-averaged
                       1960                        1980      2000                  2020


                 Broadcast Paradigm                                              Intent Paradigm
                                                                                                   Campaigns
            Demand




                                           Campaign




                                                                      Demand
             Profile




                                                                       Profile
                               Population                                                 Population

          Demog.        Simple       Single        Uniform            Intent      Multiple   Fragmented Campaign
          Segment        Offer      Channel       Campaign          Segments      Offers      Channels Relevance
                                                                                                Local
                                                                                               Mobile
                                                                                               Social




                                                                                 Bundle
                                                                                               Search
                                                                                                 Web
                                                                                              eDM/DM
                                                                                                IPTV,
                                                                                                 etc




                Hindsight based business                                 Relevance, scale, & speed


Copyright © 2012 Accenture All Rights Reserved.                                                                    13
Thank you



Jason Juma-Ross
Regional Managing Director
Accenture Interactive

jason.juma-ross@accenture.com
@ideasoc




Copyright © 2012 Accenture All Rights Reserved.   14

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Jason Juma-Ross - Accenture

  • 1. Agile, intelligent marketing Jason Juma-Ross @ideasoc AdTech Sydney, 2013 Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture.
  • 2. 2013: another digital media watershed $000s 2012 Australian Media Spend & YOY Δ ($24m) 4,000,000 $516m 3,000,000 ($476m) 2,000,000 1,000,000 ($18m) $21m $11m $8m ($41m) 0 Television Press Magazines Radio Cinema Out of Home Direct Mail Digital ROI Basis > > Historical Marginal Optimal Source: AQX Monthly, Jan 2011 – Jan 2013, IAB Online Advertising Expenditure Report, Dec 2012 Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 2
  • 3. 2013: another digital media watershed $000s 2012 Australian Media Spend & YOY Δ ($24m) 4,000,000 $516m 3,000,000 ($476m) 2,000,000 1,000,000 ($18m) $21m $11m $8m ($41m) 0 Television Press Magazines Radio Cinema Out of Home Direct Mail Digital ROI Basis 25% 8% (example ) (2%) (28%) (60%) (10%) Source: AQX Monthly, Jan 2011 – Jan 2013, IAB Online Advertising Expenditure Report, Dec 2012, Accenture analysis: APAC region. Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 3
  • 4. Two types of organisations; two types of marketing processes 20,000 ANZ Bank 18,000 16,000 Toyota 14,000 Interactive (Online & Direct) Spend ($ 000s) AMEX Relatively NAB unknown: 12,000 iterative Origin Telstra 10,000 Westpac Optus MEAN: 9% 8,000 VW CBA Hyundai 0 20,000 40,000 6,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 Holden MEDIAN: Coles 4% 4,000 Relatively known: stable process Woolworths 2,000 McDonalds Target 0 Reckitt B. Broadcast (non-interactive) Spend ($ 000s) Harvey Norman Source: AQX Monthly, Feb 2012 – Jan 2013 Top 10 Traditional Top 10 Digital & Interactive Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 4
  • 5. Marketing performance varies enormously across digital campaigns • Return (campaign performance) varies enormously – CTR median of 0.0005, range of 0.05 (100 times the median) – Skewed distribution. Only a Campaign CTR few, very high CTRs in the >1% range – Base scenarios becoming more costly (having lower ROI) • Cost (CPX) is even more varied How can we consistently improve marketing performance in the ‘relatively unknown’ territory of Media CPX digital? Source: Accenture analysis, example digital campaigns aggregate 12m data Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 5
  • 6. Use ‘fast transients’ to deliver relevance at scale & speed Search Display Media KWG 1 KWG 2 KWG N Seg 1 Seg 2 Seg N de-averaging Dynamic Landing Pages Product/Detail Pages • Integrated data • Intelligent conversion paths Checkout / Conversion • Industrialised automation & decisioning Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 6
  • 7. Delivering relevance has a high cost of complexity Customers demand a more granular and continuous content and functionality development cycle than is possible in the current paradigm New Paradigm Complexity Dimensions Platform based, componentised dev., 5 Cust. Segments 12,150 Treatments flexible architecture with analytics linking 2,430 content, usage, and 3 Channels value + Relevance 6 Regions 810 Current Paradigm 135 Monolithic web 27 Brands development & digital Current supply chain. Analytics 5 Treatments used primarily for 5 Product categories reporting purposes 1 Treatment Unit Delivery Cost + Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 7
  • 8. Known user profiling to drive content targeting at the last millisecond Profile Data Context Cloud Digital Data Warehouse Repository Onsite Behaviours Demographic Data Social Profiles Custom Data Stores NB. Example ‘Context Cloud’ from Adobe CQ5 Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 8
  • 9. Intent can be estimated through combining unknown user context data Environmental Variables • IP address Referrer Variables • Country of origin • Referring domain Site Behaviour Variables • Time zone • Campaign ID • Customer/prospect • Operating system • Affiliate • New/return visitor • Browser type • PPC • Previous visit patterns • Screen resolution • Natural search • Previous Product • Direct/bookmark interests – top level • Previous Product interests – low level Temporal Variables • Searches • Time of day • Previous online • Day of week purchases • Recency • Previous Campaign exposure • Frequency • Previous Campaign responses Highly Predictive Anonymous Profile For Testing Offline Variables Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 9
  • 10. Delivering individual relevance: no average user experience Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 10
  • 11. Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 11
  • 12. Lagging Leading Emerging STATIC ‘ONE-SIZE FITS PERIODIC, EMPIRICALLY- AGILE, INTELLIGENT ALL’ WEB SITES DRIVEN ITERATION DELIVERY Search Social Display Personalisation (HTML) Web Skin Core Systems Componentised (Aligned) (HTML Layer) Architecture Search Social Display Foundational Components Intelligence Driven (Analytics) Intelligent Adaptation Analytics Applications, (Reporting) transactional, and service platforms Customer Data Cloud Copyright © 2013 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 12
  • 13. Relevance = business de-averaged 1960 1980 2000 2020 Broadcast Paradigm Intent Paradigm Campaigns Demand Campaign Demand Profile Profile Population Population Demog. Simple Single Uniform Intent Multiple Fragmented Campaign Segment Offer Channel Campaign Segments Offers Channels Relevance Local Mobile Social Bundle Search Web eDM/DM IPTV, etc Hindsight based business Relevance, scale, & speed Copyright © 2012 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 13
  • 14. Thank you Jason Juma-Ross Regional Managing Director Accenture Interactive jason.juma-ross@accenture.com @ideasoc Copyright © 2012 Accenture All Rights Reserved. 14

Editor's Notes

  1. Performance-based shifts in marketing spendExample: deltas for APAC advertisers based on MMM projectsExample: shift in Australia spend from Nielsen data or IAB dataQuestion: how do you do digital well?First, you establish baseline effectiveness…
  2. Performance-based shifts in marketing spendExample: deltas for APAC advertisers based on MMM projectsExample: shift in Australia spend from Nielsen data or IAB data
  3. Media landscape polarisationThe media landscape is polarising into those that invest and execute well in digital and those that do notA key issue is that digital is a relatively unknown process so effectiveness varies
  4. Execution is criticalTremendous variation within channels. How many standard deviations in ANZ Banner CTR dataCTRs vary across media types
  5. Integrated: maximise data and reach synergies across media typesIntelligent: optimise full conversion paths for each visitor with full accountabilityIndustrialized: leverage high levels of automation and machine decisioningThe result: de-averaged, scalable digital marketing
  6. How to deliver relevance @ scale & speed- Automation platforms- Data-driven decisioning & machine learning- Scale, low cost message & creative developmentDigital & direct processes & mindset