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© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 1
Iulia Pencea, GfK
Group Account Manager
Custom Research & Strategy
Bucharest, April 2015
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 2
XTREME SHOPPER
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 3
Agenda
2 Shopping, we are online
3 A New Shopper has emerged
1 Economical climate...ready for some good news?
4 What now?
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 4
Economical climate...
ready for some GOOD NEWS?
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 5
1,866
RON 0
RON 400
RON 800
RON 1,200
RON 1,600
RON 2,000
Monthly net salary (RON)
0.8%
6%
5%
6%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
ian.11
feb.11
mar.11
apr.11
mai.11
iun.11
iul.11
aug.11
sep.11
oct.11
nov.11
dec.11
ian.12
feb.12
mar.12
apr.12
mai.12
iun.12
iul.12
aug.12
sep.12
oct.12
nov.12
dec.12
ian.13
feb.13
mar.13
apr.13
mai.13
iun.13
iul.13
aug.13
sep.13
oct.13
nov.13
dec.13
ian.14
feb.14
mar.14
apr.14
mai.14
iun.14
iul.14
Aug.14
Sep.14
Oct.14
Nov.14
Dec.14
Salary evolution and the impact of inflation
Inflation - vs. same month previous year
Real salary evolution (% change vs. same month previous year)
Real salary evolution (% change vs. same month in 2009)
Source: GfK Pulse Survey
Purchasing Power Evolution
2013 2014
% change
20122011
Bigger salaries & inflation decreasing
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 6
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
ian.-11
feb.-11
mar.-11
apr.-11
mai.-11
iun.-11
iul.-11
aug.-11
sep.-11
oct.-11
nov.-11
dec.-11
ian.-12
feb.-12
mar.-12
apr.-12
mai.-12
iun.-12
iul.-12
aug.-12
sep.-12
oct.-12
nov.-12
dec.-12
ian.-13
feb.-13
mar.-13
apr.-13
mai.-13
iun.-13
iul.-13
aug.-13
sep.-13
oct.-13
nov.-13
dec.-13
ian.-14
feb.-14
mar.-14
apr.-14
mai.-14
iun.-14
iul.-14
aug.-14
sep.-14
oct.-14
nov.-14
dec.-14
ian.-15
feb.-15
Consumer confidence index Romania vs. EU
Romania European Union (average)
Source: GfK Pulse Survey
Partial recovery of the
salaries of state
administration
employees. Pre-election
Political crisis,
increased inflation,
increased euro-RON
exchange rate.
Second partial
recovery of the
salaries of state
administration
employees.
Introduction of
co-payment for
hospital services
NET confidence
(positive – negative)
2013 201420122011
Minimum salary
+ 50 RON,
cheaper energy.
Income increases
announcements,
presidential
elections*, which
usually bring a
surge of optimism.
2015
Minimum salary
+ 75 RON,
pensions +5%
Consumer Confidence Evolution
Specialists and official institutions expect the Romanian economy to grow by 2.5 - 3.7% in 2015
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 7
50 47 46
8 9 9
15 13 14
26 28 27
2012 2013 2014
Hypermarkets
Supermarkets
Discounters
Cash & Carry
Modern Proximity
Stores
Traditional Trade
FMCG Markets
Modern
Trade:
50% 54%
Value change, 2014 vs 2013
0.4
6
0.4
4
0.4
2
Personal Care
Home Care
Beverages
Food, other than fresh
products
Fresh & Dairy
FMCG
53%
Extra income is likely to be spent rather than set aside
Source: GfK Household Panel
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 8
Technical Goods Market
+14% vs. 2013 and surpassed €700 mil
Source: GfK Retail of technology
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Total Consumer
electronics
Photo Major
domestic
appliances
Small
domestic
appliances
IT Telecom-
munication
Office
Equipment and
consumables
Evolution by category (in Q4 2014 vs. Q4 2013)
23%
19%
18%
Mil Euro
Q4 2014 vs. Q4 2013
% change
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2011Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2012Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2014
Technical goods market evolution
Mil. Euro
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 9
Shopping nowadays means...
The process of browsing, comparison shopping,
information gathering OR the actual
purchase of items.
Willing to buy more but...
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 10
73
72
64
64
I’m learning how to shop better and more efficiently
I feel like I am in more control than ever before when
choosing the best products to buy
I am now less loyal to any one retailer, because I have to
shop around more to find the best values
Retailers, advertisers, and brands have less influence on my
purchase decisions than ever before
Retailers and
brands
lose
more and more
influence
on
Purchase decision
Whats different in shopping?
(+9)
(+8)
Learning
Control
Less influence
Best value
GfK Xtreme Shopper Online Survey
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 11
The role social networks in the shopping experience is undeniable
77
61
58
47
46
I am more concerned about the security of my personal
information when shopping online than I am when
shopping in a store
I like it when a website keeps track of my visits and then
recommends things to me
Shopping online saves money
My social networks have become as important as other
information sources for me to make the best product
choices
I like it when I can pay for something using my mobile
device
Even if they are still
at a high level,
customized
recommendations
based on
previous behavior
are decreasing in
importance
(-5)
(+7)
(+3)
Technology
Online
GfK Xtreme Shopper Online Survey
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 12
We are online
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 13
Split of digital profiles in Romania
DIGITAL
NATIVE
DIGITAL
VOYEUR
DIGITAL
SETTLER
DIGITAL
MONK
DIGITAL
IMMIGRANT
Live in land, far from the sea
Watch the people in the water,
swim to cool off
Fishermen use the water but live on land
Penguins same in or out of the water
Like fish in the sea6%
7%
16%
30%
36%
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 14
A New Shopper has emerged
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 15
Economy meets tehnology
The rise of the Xtreme Shopper
Competitive 11h/week
searching for
product info
Wired
Xtreme Shoppers are a global and growing phenomenon,
empowered by being proactive and in control.
“Win” at the game of finding the best value
Higher
education&
income
equal
in Romania are mostly
25-34, highly educated
and more affluent
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 16
Xtreme shoppers % Ro is a bit above the regional average
25%
52%
33%
35%
18%
22%
25%
Australia
APAC
LATAM
US
WE
CEE
Romania
Note: incidence measured in 15-45 years old urban Internet users
* In the past 6 months
80%
74%
71%
67%
58%
36%
Searching for the best price
Check for general product information
Finding products I want
Purchase a product
Read product reviews
Use a social networking site to request /exchange/post
information about the product
Used
smartphone and/or
tablet
to shop*
Actively using
Internet
in shopping*
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 17
61
60
46
53
Previous experience with retailer or brand
Online reviews from experts
Online reviews from other shoppers/users
Opinions of family/friends/colleagues
Retailer websites
Price comparison/discount websites
Xtreme Shoppers (N=250) Non-Xtremes (N=750)
Xtreme Shoppers value most touchpoints more
compared to Non-Xtremes
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 18
88
88
68
38
36
26
18
16
14
Xtreme Non-Xtreme
95 85
95 86
78 64
43 36
51 32
30 24
27 15
25 14
17 13
7 6
2 4
Family member
Friends
Neighbors
Colleagues/people I know
To whom I share a hobby/interest
People I know through a community
People I know through my kids’
activities
People who may have read a
recommendation I posted online
People I don’t know
Significantly higher than Non-Xtreme at 95%
confidence level
People recommend products and services mainly to family and
friends, Xtreme shoppers are reccomending to everybody
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 19
What now?
1. Are all shoppers going Xtreme?
2. How classic retail affected?
3. How touchpoints are affected?
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 20
Is online shopping bound to replace physical stores?
Different experieces
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 21
Previous
Experience
Brand websites
Price comparison sites
Coupons Retailer websites
Store flyers
Brochures/flyers
Product packaging
In store displays
Online advertising
General shopping sites
TV or print advertising
Social media
Shelf info
WOM-friends and family
Product samples/demos
Consumer opinion sites
Online experts reviews
Manufacturer apps
Ability to pay with my mobile device
Geo-locater
Shopping /retailer apps your smartphone or tablet
Traditional in-store tactics remain vital influencers, yet
online/ mobile touchpoints influence is growing
Brand Retailer
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 22
MORE IN CONTROL, ENGAGED, DEMANDING
MORE EMPOWERED
CRITICAL NEED FOR
SHOPPER-CENTRIC SOLUTIONS
 Know me
 Engage me
 Provide
information
 Give me good
value for my
money
 Make it easy
for me
 Follow me
Favorable climate
Digital boom
Omnichanel shopping gaining importance
Off and online - different experiences coexisting
→ Purchasing Power and markets increasing
→ Turned shopping to procces: browsing, comparing, purchase
→ More complexity in bussines
→ Touchpoints have to adress both, coherently
Wired, higher education
and income
Increased in incidence
with +5pp in one year
online looking for „best
value” - INFORMATION
Values online
expressed reviews
Can be an informal
brand ambassador
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 23
DID YOU THINK I'D FORGOTTEN YOU?
An algorithm can help you shop the entire wardrobe from “House of Cards”
© GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 24
THANK YOU!
Iulia Pencea
Group Account Manager
Custom Research & Strategy
GfK Romania
www.gfk-ro.com

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Retail Revolution 2015-Iulia Pencea-GfK

  • 1. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 1 Iulia Pencea, GfK Group Account Manager Custom Research & Strategy Bucharest, April 2015
  • 2. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 2 XTREME SHOPPER
  • 3. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 3 Agenda 2 Shopping, we are online 3 A New Shopper has emerged 1 Economical climate...ready for some good news? 4 What now?
  • 4. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 4 Economical climate... ready for some GOOD NEWS?
  • 5. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 5 1,866 RON 0 RON 400 RON 800 RON 1,200 RON 1,600 RON 2,000 Monthly net salary (RON) 0.8% 6% 5% 6% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% ian.11 feb.11 mar.11 apr.11 mai.11 iun.11 iul.11 aug.11 sep.11 oct.11 nov.11 dec.11 ian.12 feb.12 mar.12 apr.12 mai.12 iun.12 iul.12 aug.12 sep.12 oct.12 nov.12 dec.12 ian.13 feb.13 mar.13 apr.13 mai.13 iun.13 iul.13 aug.13 sep.13 oct.13 nov.13 dec.13 ian.14 feb.14 mar.14 apr.14 mai.14 iun.14 iul.14 Aug.14 Sep.14 Oct.14 Nov.14 Dec.14 Salary evolution and the impact of inflation Inflation - vs. same month previous year Real salary evolution (% change vs. same month previous year) Real salary evolution (% change vs. same month in 2009) Source: GfK Pulse Survey Purchasing Power Evolution 2013 2014 % change 20122011 Bigger salaries & inflation decreasing
  • 6. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 6 -80 -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 ian.-11 feb.-11 mar.-11 apr.-11 mai.-11 iun.-11 iul.-11 aug.-11 sep.-11 oct.-11 nov.-11 dec.-11 ian.-12 feb.-12 mar.-12 apr.-12 mai.-12 iun.-12 iul.-12 aug.-12 sep.-12 oct.-12 nov.-12 dec.-12 ian.-13 feb.-13 mar.-13 apr.-13 mai.-13 iun.-13 iul.-13 aug.-13 sep.-13 oct.-13 nov.-13 dec.-13 ian.-14 feb.-14 mar.-14 apr.-14 mai.-14 iun.-14 iul.-14 aug.-14 sep.-14 oct.-14 nov.-14 dec.-14 ian.-15 feb.-15 Consumer confidence index Romania vs. EU Romania European Union (average) Source: GfK Pulse Survey Partial recovery of the salaries of state administration employees. Pre-election Political crisis, increased inflation, increased euro-RON exchange rate. Second partial recovery of the salaries of state administration employees. Introduction of co-payment for hospital services NET confidence (positive – negative) 2013 201420122011 Minimum salary + 50 RON, cheaper energy. Income increases announcements, presidential elections*, which usually bring a surge of optimism. 2015 Minimum salary + 75 RON, pensions +5% Consumer Confidence Evolution Specialists and official institutions expect the Romanian economy to grow by 2.5 - 3.7% in 2015
  • 7. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 7 50 47 46 8 9 9 15 13 14 26 28 27 2012 2013 2014 Hypermarkets Supermarkets Discounters Cash & Carry Modern Proximity Stores Traditional Trade FMCG Markets Modern Trade: 50% 54% Value change, 2014 vs 2013 0.4 6 0.4 4 0.4 2 Personal Care Home Care Beverages Food, other than fresh products Fresh & Dairy FMCG 53% Extra income is likely to be spent rather than set aside Source: GfK Household Panel
  • 8. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 8 Technical Goods Market +14% vs. 2013 and surpassed €700 mil Source: GfK Retail of technology 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Total Consumer electronics Photo Major domestic appliances Small domestic appliances IT Telecom- munication Office Equipment and consumables Evolution by category (in Q4 2014 vs. Q4 2013) 23% 19% 18% Mil Euro Q4 2014 vs. Q4 2013 % change 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2011Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2012Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3 2013Q4 2013Q1 2014Q2 2014Q3 2014Q4 2014 Technical goods market evolution Mil. Euro
  • 9. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 9 Shopping nowadays means... The process of browsing, comparison shopping, information gathering OR the actual purchase of items. Willing to buy more but...
  • 10. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 10 73 72 64 64 I’m learning how to shop better and more efficiently I feel like I am in more control than ever before when choosing the best products to buy I am now less loyal to any one retailer, because I have to shop around more to find the best values Retailers, advertisers, and brands have less influence on my purchase decisions than ever before Retailers and brands lose more and more influence on Purchase decision Whats different in shopping? (+9) (+8) Learning Control Less influence Best value GfK Xtreme Shopper Online Survey
  • 11. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 11 The role social networks in the shopping experience is undeniable 77 61 58 47 46 I am more concerned about the security of my personal information when shopping online than I am when shopping in a store I like it when a website keeps track of my visits and then recommends things to me Shopping online saves money My social networks have become as important as other information sources for me to make the best product choices I like it when I can pay for something using my mobile device Even if they are still at a high level, customized recommendations based on previous behavior are decreasing in importance (-5) (+7) (+3) Technology Online GfK Xtreme Shopper Online Survey
  • 12. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 12 We are online
  • 13. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 13 Split of digital profiles in Romania DIGITAL NATIVE DIGITAL VOYEUR DIGITAL SETTLER DIGITAL MONK DIGITAL IMMIGRANT Live in land, far from the sea Watch the people in the water, swim to cool off Fishermen use the water but live on land Penguins same in or out of the water Like fish in the sea6% 7% 16% 30% 36%
  • 14. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 14 A New Shopper has emerged
  • 15. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 15 Economy meets tehnology The rise of the Xtreme Shopper Competitive 11h/week searching for product info Wired Xtreme Shoppers are a global and growing phenomenon, empowered by being proactive and in control. “Win” at the game of finding the best value Higher education& income equal in Romania are mostly 25-34, highly educated and more affluent
  • 16. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 16 Xtreme shoppers % Ro is a bit above the regional average 25% 52% 33% 35% 18% 22% 25% Australia APAC LATAM US WE CEE Romania Note: incidence measured in 15-45 years old urban Internet users * In the past 6 months 80% 74% 71% 67% 58% 36% Searching for the best price Check for general product information Finding products I want Purchase a product Read product reviews Use a social networking site to request /exchange/post information about the product Used smartphone and/or tablet to shop* Actively using Internet in shopping*
  • 17. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 17 61 60 46 53 Previous experience with retailer or brand Online reviews from experts Online reviews from other shoppers/users Opinions of family/friends/colleagues Retailer websites Price comparison/discount websites Xtreme Shoppers (N=250) Non-Xtremes (N=750) Xtreme Shoppers value most touchpoints more compared to Non-Xtremes
  • 18. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 18 88 88 68 38 36 26 18 16 14 Xtreme Non-Xtreme 95 85 95 86 78 64 43 36 51 32 30 24 27 15 25 14 17 13 7 6 2 4 Family member Friends Neighbors Colleagues/people I know To whom I share a hobby/interest People I know through a community People I know through my kids’ activities People who may have read a recommendation I posted online People I don’t know Significantly higher than Non-Xtreme at 95% confidence level People recommend products and services mainly to family and friends, Xtreme shoppers are reccomending to everybody
  • 19. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 19 What now? 1. Are all shoppers going Xtreme? 2. How classic retail affected? 3. How touchpoints are affected?
  • 20. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 20 Is online shopping bound to replace physical stores? Different experieces
  • 21. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 21 Previous Experience Brand websites Price comparison sites Coupons Retailer websites Store flyers Brochures/flyers Product packaging In store displays Online advertising General shopping sites TV or print advertising Social media Shelf info WOM-friends and family Product samples/demos Consumer opinion sites Online experts reviews Manufacturer apps Ability to pay with my mobile device Geo-locater Shopping /retailer apps your smartphone or tablet Traditional in-store tactics remain vital influencers, yet online/ mobile touchpoints influence is growing Brand Retailer
  • 22. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 22 MORE IN CONTROL, ENGAGED, DEMANDING MORE EMPOWERED CRITICAL NEED FOR SHOPPER-CENTRIC SOLUTIONS  Know me  Engage me  Provide information  Give me good value for my money  Make it easy for me  Follow me Favorable climate Digital boom Omnichanel shopping gaining importance Off and online - different experiences coexisting → Purchasing Power and markets increasing → Turned shopping to procces: browsing, comparing, purchase → More complexity in bussines → Touchpoints have to adress both, coherently Wired, higher education and income Increased in incidence with +5pp in one year online looking for „best value” - INFORMATION Values online expressed reviews Can be an informal brand ambassador
  • 23. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 23 DID YOU THINK I'D FORGOTTEN YOU? An algorithm can help you shop the entire wardrobe from “House of Cards”
  • 24. © GfK Romania | Retail Revolution Conference | April 2015 24 THANK YOU! Iulia Pencea Group Account Manager Custom Research & Strategy GfK Romania www.gfk-ro.com