INSIDE JOB with Wouter van der Stok

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IBS-U and the ALUMNI PROJECT TEAM presented INSIDE JOB with Wouter van der Stok on the 24 March @'the IBS Groningen. Mr. Van der Stok gave a personal statement about the Oscar winning movie Inside Job directed by Charles Ferguson. Furthermore he did an analysis of this Crisis due to the movie and how all this affectected us. Afterwards there was a discussion round with him.

Economy & Finance

FINANCIAL/ECONOMIC SITUATION IN THE WORLD WOUTER VAN DER STOK

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CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES OF THE TRADE DEFICIT: AN OVERVIEW March 2000 In recent years, the U.S. trade deficit has grown very large by historical standards, prompting concerns that it is damaging or may pose a threat to the economy. The Senate Committee on Finance asked the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) to carry out a study of the trade deficit, its causes, and its effects on the economy. The committee also asked CBO to examine the effects of various federal policies on the trade deficit—especially those that might be considered to reduce or eliminate it. This memorandum summarizes the results of that effort. Bruce Arnold of CBO's Microeconomic and Financial Studies Division wrote the memorandum under the direction of Roger Hitchner, Robert Dennis, and David Moore. Helpful comments were received from Doug Hamilton, Juann Hung, Kim Kowalewski, Preston Miller, John Peterson, John Sabelhaus and Tom Woodward, within CBO, and from Paul Wonnacott of Middlebury College and Catherine Mann of the Institute for International Economics. Jenny Au prepared the figures. Sherry Snyder edited the memorandum, Leah Mazade proofread it, and Rae Wiseman prepared it for publication. Laurie Brown prepared the electronic versions for CBO's World Wide Web site (www.cbo.gov). Questions about the analysis should be addressed to Bruce Arnold. CONTENTS INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY 1 WHAT IS THE CURRENT-ACCOUNT BALANCE? 5 WHAT CAUSES THE CURRENT-ACCOUNT DEFICIT? 6 A Long Decline in Domestic Saving 7 The Business Cycle 12 Growth of Investment in the 1990s 12 DO INFLOWS OF FOREIGN CAPITAL HARM THE ECONOMY? 14 Effects on GDP, GNP, and Wages 14 Effects on Different Sectors of the Economy 15 Concerns About Foreign Finance and Economic Stability 16 SHOULD ANYTHING BE DONE ABOUT THE CURRENT-ACCOUNT DEFICIT? 19 CONCLUSION 24 TABLES 1. Effects of Various Trade-Related Policies on the Current-Account Deficit 21 FIGURES 1. The U.S. Balance of Trade, 1970-1999 2 2. Saving, Investment, and the Current-Account Balance 8 INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY Since World War II, the United States has supported agreements among nations to eliminate barriers to international trade and investment. Despite occasional resistance, that support has generally reflected a public consensus about the benefits to be gained from free trade. Since long before the war, the United States had run an almost unbroken string of trade surpluses—that is, an excess of exports over imports—and the war damaged or destroyed much of the most significant international competition for U.S. industry. Consequently, before 1970, U.S. industry seemed to have little to fear and much to gain from free trade. After 1970, however, the almost unbroken string of trade surpluses turned into one of trade deficits, and in the 1980s and 1990s, those deficits grew quite large (see Figure 1). Opponents of freer U.S. trade point to the deficits as evidence of mistaken U.S. and unfair foreign trad ...

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Case studY Chapter 3 On February 28, 2012, the United States Department of Justice announced a criminal investigation into abuse of the LIBOR, an important interest rate regulated by the British Bankers’ Administration. Four months later, London- based Barclays Bank was fined more than $440 million by United States and English financial regulatory agencies for knowingly manipulating the LIBOR to its own advantage. The political and economic uproar that followed the ex- posure of Barclays’ actions led to several resignations (including that of Barclays’ CEO Bob Diamond) and further criminal investigations. Former governor of New York Eliot Spitzer called the incident “the mega-scandal of mega- scandals,” while journalist Robert Scheer christened it “the crime of the century.” The LIBOR, short for “London Interbank Offered Rate,” is the interest rate banks pay when they borrow money from each other. To calculate this rate, up to 20 influen- tial British banks report their own proposed bank-to-bank lending rates. The highest and lowest rates are trimmed off, and the remaining rates are averaged, creating the LIBOR. A low LIBOR often points to financial stability, while a high LIBOR indicates that banks lack confidence in each other’s economic health. What Barclays was fined for was proposing artificially low bank-to-bank rates to make itself appear more stable than it actually was. However, further investigations indicated that Barclays colluded with other banks— and perhaps even the British government— to impact the LIBOR itself. An unnaturally low LIBOR would suggest greater economic stability than actually existed, misleading investors and loan-seekers in a potentially volatile market, and thus creating profit for the banks in- volved in the collusion. The rate manipulation carried out by Barclays affects not only London banks and business executives, but also small businesses and individuals— perhaps even you yourself. Because it has historically been considered trustworthy and economically accurate, the LIBOR is used all around the world as an interest rate and financial instrument benchmark. Everything from currency values (including the United States dollar) to multimillion-dollar corporate debts to home mortgages to individual stu- dent loans depend on the LIBOR. While it may not seem like it, each of these is a product that is marketed and sold. As loans and exchanges of varying types are banks’ primary sources of profit, banks compete to exchange these products within a market. At the consumer level, consider how many car and credit card commercials you have seen advertising a low interest rate. Hundreds of trillions of dollars worth of these financial products have been sold based on the LIBOR— a rate that may not in fact accurately reflect the world’s shaky economic standing. Journalists and economic analysts have been quick to reject the ethicality of Barclays’ actions. As informati ...

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