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An“Impressionist”Snapshot of
Lowell’s 2012 - 2014 Turnout
“Lowell Votes”Public Meeting
April 1, 2015
Slides by Christopher Glenn Hayes, chris.g.hayes@gmail.com
Note: All data is approximate, intended to create an order-of-magnitude snapshot of voting behavior in Lowell, MA
Voting Age Population
82,856
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Voting Age
Population
(2013)
Registered
Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thousands
Chart Title
Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey.
Note: Voting Age Population includes all residents age 18+, including noncitizens and others not eligible to vote.
Registered Voters
57,686
70% of V.A.P.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Voting Age
Population
(2013)
Registered
Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thousands
Chart Title
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2014 Voter List” Excel Table.
Last Presidential
32,928
40% of V.A.P.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Voting Age
Population
(2013)
Registered
Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thousands
Chart Title
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” 2012 Federal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Voting Age
Population
(2013)
Registered
Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thousands
Chart Title
Last Midterm
20,910
25% of V.A.P.
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_4_14” 2014 State General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Voting Age
Population
(2013)
Registered
Voters (2014)
2012 2014 2013
Thousands
Chart Title
Last Local
11,526
14% of V.A.P.
20% of registered voters, 35% of 2012 turnout
Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” 2013 Municipal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
14%
11%
28%
19% 19%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Lowell Worcester Lawrence Cambridge Medford
Plan E
Council -
Manager
Plan E*
Council -
Manager
Plan B
Strong
Mayor
Plan E
Council -
Manager
Special
Strong
Mayor
2013 Election Turnout as % of V.A.P.
V.A.P. Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey.
Turnout Sources: Election Offices of each municipality. “Ballots Cast” in each municipality’s 2013 local election.
* Special Charter Modified Plan E
Registered Voters as % of V.A.P.
10-3
13%
11-3
32%
1-3
53%
1-2
77%1-1
22%
2-3
30%
7-2
19%
2-2
19%
2-1
5% 9-3
24%
9-2
34%9-1
22%
5-2
18%
5-3
29%
4-3
17%4-2
17%
3-3
21%
7-3
15%
7-1
15%
5-1
23%6-3
37%
8-1
15%
8-2
30%
3-1
22%
11-2
35%
11-1
24%
10-1
27%
6-2
34%
6-1
31%
3-2
18%
10-2
14%
8-3
50%
4-1
27%
¯
0 1 20.5
Miles
Registered
5.1% - 15%
15.1% - 19.5%
19.6% - 23.9%
24% - 36.6%
36.7% - 77.2%
Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“2014VoterList”ExcelTable,geocoded.
V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.
2012 Voters as % of V.A.P.
10-3
26%
11-3
51%
1-3
69%
1-2
98%1-1
38%
2-3
45%
7-2
29%
2-2
37%
2-1
18%
9-3
41%
9-2
51%9-1
40%
5-2
34%
5-3
46%
4-3
30%4-2
29%
3-3
31%
7-3
27%
7-1
26%
5-1
37%6-3
61%
8-1
41%
8-2
44%
3-1
35%
11-2
54%
11-1
38%
10-1
43%
6-2
54%
6-1
46%
3-2
30%
10-2
26%
8-3
65%
4-1
40%
¯
0 1 20.5
Miles
2012 Vote
18% - 27%
28% - 35%
36% - 46%
47% - 69%
70% - 98%
Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11_6_2012”ExcelTable,geocoded.
V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.
Note: 44 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
2013 Voters as % of V.A.P.
10-3
6%
11-3
18%
1-3
37%
1-2
52%1-1
12%
2-3
12%
7-2
9%
2-2
9%
2-1
4% 9-3
13%
9-2
18%9-1
10%
5-2
9%
5-3
14%
4-3
8%4-2
10%
3-3
11%
7-3
9%
7-1
8%
5-1
11%6-3
23%
8-1
13%
8-2
16%
3-1
12%
11-2
16%
11-1
13%
10-1
13%
6-2
19%
6-1
16%
3-2
9%
10-2
8%
8-3
31%
4-1
17%
¯
0 1 20.5
Miles
2013 Vote
4% - 6%
7% - 10%
11% - 14%
15% - 23%
24% - 52%
Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11-5-2013”ExcelTable,geocoded.
V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.
Note: 14 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
2013 Voters as % of 2012 Voters
10-3
11-3
1-3
1-2
1-12-3
7-2
2-2
2-1
9-3
9-2
9-1
5-2
5-3
4-3
4-23-3
7-3
7-1
5-16-3
8-1
8-2
3-1
11-2
11-110-1
6-2
6-1
3-2
10-2
8-3
4-1
¯
0 1 20.5
Miles
2013 Vote
21% - 26%
27% - 31%
32% - 33%
34% - 43%
44% - 53%
2013Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11-5-2013”ExcelTable,geocoded.
2012Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11_6_2012”ExcelTable,geocoded.
Note: 58 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
33%
8%
11% 12% 12%
19%
8%
20%
14%
9%
16%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2013 Turnout by Ward as % of V.A.P.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
V.A.P. Source: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.
Turnout Source: LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“2013 - Lowell City Elections”2013LowellMunicipalElectionResults.

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Voting Trends in Lowell, MA

  • 1. An“Impressionist”Snapshot of Lowell’s 2012 - 2014 Turnout “Lowell Votes”Public Meeting April 1, 2015 Slides by Christopher Glenn Hayes, chris.g.hayes@gmail.com Note: All data is approximate, intended to create an order-of-magnitude snapshot of voting behavior in Lowell, MA
  • 2. Voting Age Population 82,856 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Voting Age Population (2013) Registered Voters (2014) 2012 2014 2013 Thousands Chart Title Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey. Note: Voting Age Population includes all residents age 18+, including noncitizens and others not eligible to vote.
  • 3. Registered Voters 57,686 70% of V.A.P. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Voting Age Population (2013) Registered Voters (2014) 2012 2014 2013 Thousands Chart Title Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “2014 Voter List” Excel Table.
  • 4. Last Presidential 32,928 40% of V.A.P. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Voting Age Population (2013) Registered Voters (2014) 2012 2014 2013 Thousands Chart Title Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_6_2012” 2012 Federal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
  • 5. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Voting Age Population (2013) Registered Voters (2014) 2012 2014 2013 Thousands Chart Title Last Midterm 20,910 25% of V.A.P. Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11_4_14” 2014 State General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
  • 6. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Voting Age Population (2013) Registered Voters (2014) 2012 2014 2013 Thousands Chart Title Last Local 11,526 14% of V.A.P. 20% of registered voters, 35% of 2012 turnout Source: Lowell Election and Census Office. “11-5-2013” 2013 Municipal General Election Voter List, Excel Table.
  • 7. 14% 11% 28% 19% 19% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Lowell Worcester Lawrence Cambridge Medford Plan E Council - Manager Plan E* Council - Manager Plan B Strong Mayor Plan E Council - Manager Special Strong Mayor 2013 Election Turnout as % of V.A.P. V.A.P. Source: United States Census Bureau. “S0101 : Age and Sex.” 2009 – 2013 American Community Survey. Turnout Sources: Election Offices of each municipality. “Ballots Cast” in each municipality’s 2013 local election. * Special Charter Modified Plan E
  • 8. Registered Voters as % of V.A.P. 10-3 13% 11-3 32% 1-3 53% 1-2 77%1-1 22% 2-3 30% 7-2 19% 2-2 19% 2-1 5% 9-3 24% 9-2 34%9-1 22% 5-2 18% 5-3 29% 4-3 17%4-2 17% 3-3 21% 7-3 15% 7-1 15% 5-1 23%6-3 37% 8-1 15% 8-2 30% 3-1 22% 11-2 35% 11-1 24% 10-1 27% 6-2 34% 6-1 31% 3-2 18% 10-2 14% 8-3 50% 4-1 27% ¯ 0 1 20.5 Miles Registered 5.1% - 15% 15.1% - 19.5% 19.6% - 23.9% 24% - 36.6% 36.7% - 77.2% Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“2014VoterList”ExcelTable,geocoded. V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data.
  • 9. 2012 Voters as % of V.A.P. 10-3 26% 11-3 51% 1-3 69% 1-2 98%1-1 38% 2-3 45% 7-2 29% 2-2 37% 2-1 18% 9-3 41% 9-2 51%9-1 40% 5-2 34% 5-3 46% 4-3 30%4-2 29% 3-3 31% 7-3 27% 7-1 26% 5-1 37%6-3 61% 8-1 41% 8-2 44% 3-1 35% 11-2 54% 11-1 38% 10-1 43% 6-2 54% 6-1 46% 3-2 30% 10-2 26% 8-3 65% 4-1 40% ¯ 0 1 20.5 Miles 2012 Vote 18% - 27% 28% - 35% 36% - 46% 47% - 69% 70% - 98% Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11_6_2012”ExcelTable,geocoded. V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data. Note: 44 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
  • 10. 2013 Voters as % of V.A.P. 10-3 6% 11-3 18% 1-3 37% 1-2 52%1-1 12% 2-3 12% 7-2 9% 2-2 9% 2-1 4% 9-3 13% 9-2 18%9-1 10% 5-2 9% 5-3 14% 4-3 8%4-2 10% 3-3 11% 7-3 9% 7-1 8% 5-1 11%6-3 23% 8-1 13% 8-2 16% 3-1 12% 11-2 16% 11-1 13% 10-1 13% 6-2 19% 6-1 16% 3-2 9% 10-2 8% 8-3 31% 4-1 17% ¯ 0 1 20.5 Miles 2013 Vote 4% - 6% 7% - 10% 11% - 14% 15% - 23% 24% - 52% Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11-5-2013”ExcelTable,geocoded. V.A.P.: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data. Note: 14 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
  • 11. 2013 Voters as % of 2012 Voters 10-3 11-3 1-3 1-2 1-12-3 7-2 2-2 2-1 9-3 9-2 9-1 5-2 5-3 4-3 4-23-3 7-3 7-1 5-16-3 8-1 8-2 3-1 11-2 11-110-1 6-2 6-1 3-2 10-2 8-3 4-1 ¯ 0 1 20.5 Miles 2013 Vote 21% - 26% 27% - 31% 32% - 33% 34% - 43% 44% - 53% 2013Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11-5-2013”ExcelTable,geocoded. 2012Turnout:LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“11_6_2012”ExcelTable,geocoded. Note: 58 voters unable to be geocoded and not represented on map.
  • 12. 33% 8% 11% 12% 12% 19% 8% 20% 14% 9% 16% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2013 Turnout by Ward as % of V.A.P. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 V.A.P. Source: MassGIS. “PL94-171 P3 Redistricting data.” 2010 Redistricting Data. Turnout Source: LowellElectionandCensusOffice.“2013 - Lowell City Elections”2013LowellMunicipalElectionResults.