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The Clean Local Power Puzzle
John Farrell, Director
Energy Self-Reliant States and Communities program
jfarrell@ilsr.org




April 2, 2012 presentation to the Pedernales Electric Coop
Energy Transformation
  Yesterday                                       Tomorrow
Centralized power                                 Clean, local power
                                                                            Solar PV
                                                                           power plant



                                                              Storage   Storage
      Transmission network


                                                        Storage

                                                                          Storage
  House
                                      Local CHP plant

          Distribution network                                                            House with
                                                                                         domestic CHP




                                                                        Wind
                                                                        power
Factory                  Commercial                                      plant
                          building
Good Sun




           Solar Insolation
            (kWh/m2/day)
                4.5 - 5.0
                5.0 - 5.5
                5.5 - 6.0
Good Wind
Renewable Energy Cost
      Cost per kWh over project lifetime
15¢
                                   15¢
12¢


9¢                                                                 Avoided Cost
                                                                   Wind Power
                                                                   Solar Power
6¢
      6.4¢
3¢                 4.5¢

0¢

                                   Wind speed of 7 m/s; solar insolation 5.4 kWh/m2/day
                                   Wind project installed at $2,000/kW; solar at $5,000/kW
                                   Calculations include federal tax credits and depreciation
Renewable Energy Cost
       Cost per kWh over project lifetime
15¢
                                         15¢
                   Cost
12¢


9¢                                                                        Avoided Cost
                                                                          Wind Power
                                                                          Solar Power
6¢
      6.4¢
 “The Cooperative will pay a price for distributed
                4.5¢
3¢
 renewable generation that reflects its value”
0¢

                          Wind speed of 7 m/s; solar insolation 5.4 kWh/m2/day
                          Wind project installed at $2,000/kW; solar at $5,000/kW
                          Calculations include federal tax credits and depreciation
The Clean Energy Puzzle

        Cost      Value




       Scale   Ownership
The Issue of Scale




       Scale
Distributed Solar
                             Cost per kWh After Tax Incentives
$0.15

$0.12

$0.09

$0.06

$0.03

  $0
        100 kW       500 kW           1 MW       1 MW          5 MW               50 MW
                     Rooftop                                  Ground

                 Electricity generation              Transmission cost

                                                         Calculations by the CLEAN Coalition
Distributed Wind
                            Installed Cost per kW
$3,000


$2,400


$1,800


$1,200


 $600


   $0
         < 5 MW   5-20 MW   20-50 MW   50-100 MW 100-200 MW > 200 MW

                                              2009 Wind Technologies Market Report (LBNL)
The Issue of Value

                Value
Renewable Energy Value
      Cost per kWh over project lifetime
15¢
                                        15¢
12¢


9¢                                                                       Avoided Cost
                                                                         Wind Power
                                                                         Solar Power
6¢
      6.4¢
3¢                 4.5¢

0¢

                         Wind speed of 7 m/s; solar insolation 5.4 kWh/m2/day
                         Wind project installed at $2,000/kW; solar at $5,000/kW
                         Calculations include federal tax credits and depreciation
Renewable Energy Value
        Value of Distributed Solar
$0.15
                                                                   6 cents per kWh in
$0.12                                                             addition to electricity

$0.09


$0.06
                                                                              Local capacity value
                                                                              Avoided transmission access
$0.03                                                                         Environmental
                                                                              Avoided transmission losses
                                                                              Brown energy replacement
  $0


          Palo Alto, CA, municipal utility
            Feed-In Tariff for PV in Palo Alto, Calif. Imminent: http://tinyurl.com/72sxgsb
The Issue of Ownership




             Ownership
PEC Wind Power
Local Ownership

           Absentee


           Community                   1.1x (low)

           Community                                                            2.8x (high)


                                   Total Jobs
 Economic Development Impacts of Community Wind Projects: A Review and Empirical Evaluation (NREL)
Local Ownership

           Absentee


           Community                    1.5x (low)

           Community                                                            3.4x (high)


                        Total Economic Impact
 Economic Development Impacts of Community Wind Projects: A Review and Empirical Evaluation (NREL)
The Whole Puzzle

        Cost      Value




      Scale    Ownership
Cost          Value




Public Support                                                              Scale      Ownership




No local ownership    60% negative


  Local ownership                                     45% positive

                     0%              25%             50%              75%            100%

     very negative        negative         neutral         positive         very positive
Your Own Pigs Don’t Stink
Sol Partners Community Solar


 10 kW solar array
 Financed by utility
 Members buy panel shares
 ($5/Watt)
SunSmart Community Solar


100 kW solar array
Financed by utilities
Members buy panel shares
($6/Watt)
S.D. Wind Partners


12 MW wind project
7 turbines
600 owner-financiers
Questions?
Solving the Clean Energy Puzzle


John Farrell                    Cost      Value
 energyselfreliantstates.org
 jfarrell@ilsr.org
 johnffarrell



                               Scale   Ownership

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Solving the Local Clean Energy Puzzle

  • 1. The Clean Local Power Puzzle John Farrell, Director Energy Self-Reliant States and Communities program jfarrell@ilsr.org April 2, 2012 presentation to the Pedernales Electric Coop
  • 2. Energy Transformation Yesterday Tomorrow Centralized power Clean, local power Solar PV power plant Storage Storage Transmission network Storage Storage House Local CHP plant Distribution network House with domestic CHP Wind power Factory Commercial plant building
  • 3. Good Sun Solar Insolation (kWh/m2/day) 4.5 - 5.0 5.0 - 5.5 5.5 - 6.0
  • 5. Renewable Energy Cost Cost per kWh over project lifetime 15¢ 15¢ 12¢ 9¢ Avoided Cost Wind Power Solar Power 6¢ 6.4¢ 3¢ 4.5¢ 0¢ Wind speed of 7 m/s; solar insolation 5.4 kWh/m2/day Wind project installed at $2,000/kW; solar at $5,000/kW Calculations include federal tax credits and depreciation
  • 6. Renewable Energy Cost Cost per kWh over project lifetime 15¢ 15¢ Cost 12¢ 9¢ Avoided Cost Wind Power Solar Power 6¢ 6.4¢ “The Cooperative will pay a price for distributed 4.5¢ 3¢ renewable generation that reflects its value” 0¢ Wind speed of 7 m/s; solar insolation 5.4 kWh/m2/day Wind project installed at $2,000/kW; solar at $5,000/kW Calculations include federal tax credits and depreciation
  • 7. The Clean Energy Puzzle Cost Value Scale Ownership
  • 8. The Issue of Scale Scale
  • 9. Distributed Solar Cost per kWh After Tax Incentives $0.15 $0.12 $0.09 $0.06 $0.03 $0 100 kW 500 kW 1 MW 1 MW 5 MW 50 MW Rooftop Ground Electricity generation Transmission cost Calculations by the CLEAN Coalition
  • 10. Distributed Wind Installed Cost per kW $3,000 $2,400 $1,800 $1,200 $600 $0 < 5 MW 5-20 MW 20-50 MW 50-100 MW 100-200 MW > 200 MW 2009 Wind Technologies Market Report (LBNL)
  • 11. The Issue of Value Value
  • 12. Renewable Energy Value Cost per kWh over project lifetime 15¢ 15¢ 12¢ 9¢ Avoided Cost Wind Power Solar Power 6¢ 6.4¢ 3¢ 4.5¢ 0¢ Wind speed of 7 m/s; solar insolation 5.4 kWh/m2/day Wind project installed at $2,000/kW; solar at $5,000/kW Calculations include federal tax credits and depreciation
  • 13. Renewable Energy Value Value of Distributed Solar $0.15 6 cents per kWh in $0.12 addition to electricity $0.09 $0.06 Local capacity value Avoided transmission access $0.03 Environmental Avoided transmission losses Brown energy replacement $0 Palo Alto, CA, municipal utility Feed-In Tariff for PV in Palo Alto, Calif. Imminent: http://tinyurl.com/72sxgsb
  • 14. The Issue of Ownership Ownership
  • 16. Local Ownership Absentee Community 1.1x (low) Community 2.8x (high) Total Jobs Economic Development Impacts of Community Wind Projects: A Review and Empirical Evaluation (NREL)
  • 17. Local Ownership Absentee Community 1.5x (low) Community 3.4x (high) Total Economic Impact Economic Development Impacts of Community Wind Projects: A Review and Empirical Evaluation (NREL)
  • 18. The Whole Puzzle Cost Value Scale Ownership
  • 19. Cost Value Public Support Scale Ownership No local ownership 60% negative Local ownership 45% positive 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% very negative negative neutral positive very positive
  • 20. Your Own Pigs Don’t Stink
  • 21. Sol Partners Community Solar 10 kW solar array Financed by utility Members buy panel shares ($5/Watt)
  • 22. SunSmart Community Solar 100 kW solar array Financed by utilities Members buy panel shares ($6/Watt)
  • 23. S.D. Wind Partners 12 MW wind project 7 turbines 600 owner-financiers
  • 25. Solving the Clean Energy Puzzle John Farrell Cost Value energyselfreliantstates.org jfarrell@ilsr.org johnffarrell Scale Ownership