Beat Simon, Agility Logistics on 'Managing the Downturn'
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Jacky Gervis, Co-CEO, FM Logistic speaks on 'Managing the Downturn' at a session on The Economy: Get Ready for the Rebound at the 7th European 3PL Summit in Brussels, November 25th 2009. To download all of the slides from the conference for free visit www.3PLsummit.com/eu_2009ppts
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Beat Simon, Agility Logistics on 'Managing the Downturn'
- 1. 3PL Summit, 2009 in Brussels Managing the Downturn November 2009
- 2. Content Business cycle Entering the recession Managing the curve Accelerating out of the curve What are we learning?
- 3. Business Cycle The four parts of a business cycle Slow- Expan- down sion Business Cycle Down- Reco- turn very An entire cycle generally lasts from 2 to 10 years Source: NY Times and OECD
- 4. Content Business cycle Entering the recession Managing the curve Accelerating out of the curve What are we learning?
- 5. Entering the recession Set up of the company — Investment strategy — Lifecycle stage — Business portfolio (Geographic, Industries, Customers, Suppliers) Early Identification & Planning — Lookout for signs of downturn — Planning “what if” scenarios — Know the conditions and apply the right amount of “brakes”
- 6. Content Business cycle Entering the recession Managing the curve Accelerating out of the curve What are we learning?
- 7. Managing the curve Recognize the signs early enough Have a Comprehensive Plan —Plan for worst case scenario —Systematic communication approach —Boost the people Work with government and labor organizations —Implement flexible working hours —Short-time work Government —Avoid redundancies now / and re-training costs later Be with your customers Agility Employee Competitors hyper-aggressive Resist the inward focus
- 8. Content Business cycle Entering the recession Managing the curve Accelerating out of the curve What are we learning?
- 9. Accelerating out of the curve “Even though from a technical perspective the recession is very likely over at this point, it’s still going to feel like a very weak economy for some time,” FED Chairman Ben S. Bernanke “The world economy is stabilizing, helped by unprecedented macroeconomic and financial policy support. However, the recession is not over and the recovery is likely to be sluggish.” IMF World Economic Outlook Update
- 10. Content Business cycle Entering the recession Managing the curve Accelerating out of the curve What are we learning?
- 11. What are we learning from this and prior crises? Keep strategic initiatives going — Focus on long term profitability and growth — Avoid short term thinking Keep balanced portfolio with diversified exposure to the various industry sectors Close cooperation with customers and suppliers is essential Work with governments and labor representatives to find innovative solutions Prepare for the next one! — Analyze what worked and what didn’t — Know what “car” you are driving — Management is art, not science
- 12. Thank you for your time Beat Simon CEO Agility Europe St. Jakobsstrasse 220 4002 Basel Switzerland www.agilitylogistics.com