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New Industrial Revolution for NXT Oslo

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Slides from https://nxtnordic.com/program/

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New Industrial Revolution for NXT Oslo

  1. 1. The New Industrial Revolution? Exploring future scenarios of value creation Professor Robin Teigland www.robinteigland.com | www.slideshare.net/eteigland | robin.teigland@gmail.com | @RobinTeigland
  2. 2. People • “Net generation” • 24x7 “mobile” workforce • Gig economy • Online learning • Sharing not owning • Sustainability Technology • Broadband/wifi • Cloud, fog • Internet of Things • AI/ML/DL/NN • Autonomous vehicles • Smart robotics • VR/AR/Holography • 3D/4D printing/ALM • Blockchains • Nanotechnology • Quantum computing Open Source • Software • Hardware • Physibles Convergence of….. Finance • Microlending/microfinance • Crowdfunding/equity/P2P lending • Cryptocurrencies, tokens • Blockchains, smart contracts • Mobile money and payments • M2M/R2R payments
  3. 3. If the rate of change on the outside (of an organization) exceeds the rate of change on the inside, the end is near.... -Jack Welch
  4. 4. Digital is the main reason just over half the Fortune 500 companies have disappeared since the year 2000. -Pierre Nanterme, CEO Accenture, 2016 Yet..Digital disruption has only just begun.
  5. 5. While 63% of CEOs believe AI will have a larger impact on the world than the internet,…. https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/ceo-survey/2019/report/pwc-22nd-annual-global-ceo-survey.pdf …only 3% have AI as fundamental to the organization’s operations.
  6. 6. All our knowledge is about the past, but all our strategic decisions are about the future Conway 2003 What we don’t know we don’t know about the future What we know What we know we don’t know
  7. 7. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
  8. 8. Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
  9. 9. We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. - Bill Gates, The Road Ahead, 1996
  10. 10. My robot Sparky
  11. 11. H.I.S. Co. Hotels run by robots Check-in Other Automated Tasks Concierge, Porters, Cleaning, Lawnmowing, Room Service, Robot Trashcan, Robot Fish Food Deliveries
  12. 12. Exploitation Exploration
  13. 13. FIRM FOUNDED EMPLOYEES MKT CAP BMW 1916 130,000 $56B UBER 2009 16,000 $72B MARRIOTT 1927 177,000 $40B AIRBNB 2008 10,000 $38B WALT DISNEY 1923 199,000 $171B FACEBOOK 2004 25,000 $422B WALMART 1962 2,200,000 $300B ALIBABA 1999 66,000 $353B Adapted from Parker & Van Alstyne, with Choudary, 2016, updated November 2018 Something fundamental is changing
  14. 14. Shifting market logics – The rise of platforms Ericsson & Augur 2011
  15. 15. • Supplier credit checks • Fake merchandise recognition • Product recommendations to shoppers, then communicated with retailers to increase inventory • Chatbots answering customer queries and understanding emotion to bring in human when necessary • Supply chain optimization • Robots pack and drones deliver AI and ML at the core
  16. 16. Merging e-commerce and brick’n mortar Over 1 mln Mom & Pop stores digitalized Hema cashless supermarkets with chefs & online order delivery
  17. 17. http://marketrealist.com/2016/01/fourth-industrial-revolution-need-know/
  18. 18. https://www.inc.com/glenn-leibowitz/meet-the-ceo-running-a-billion-dollar-company-with-no-offices-or-email.html
  19. 19. Co-living/co-working for giggers, entrepreneurs & FTEs https://www.outsite.co/
  20. 20. Transformation of economic activity Centralized, hierarchical organizations Decentralized, self-organizing organizations
  21. 21. Scheveningen Harbor – The Hague
  22. 22. 3D printer workshop on Lisette’s boat Knowledge: RepRap community E-commerce: Aliexpress
  23. 23. My first attempt at 3D printing – Successful!
  24. 24. Do-it-yourself (DIY) microfactories
  25. 25. From 30,000 parts to 50 parts with 3D printing
  26. 26. Looking into the future? • Forecast –How we think the future will be • Vision –How we want the future to be • Scenarios –What the future can be –“Alternative memories” from the future ? ? ? ?
  27. 27. http://www.hui.se/nyheter/arets-julklapp-2018
  28. 28. Sustainable entrepreneurship through upcycling and the blockchain
  29. 29. Increasing forces for local community and sharing, circular economies
  30. 30. Smart cities and microgrids
  31. 31. Sustainable, circular shrimp ”Jag har inte sett så här fina räkor i Sverige sedan….. Nä jag har ALDRIG sett så här fina räkor.. Smaken den är underbar, köttet jag kan inte ens beskriva det, det är som en blandning mellan hummer och havskräfta” -Tareq Taylor
  32. 32. ReGen Villages – Fully self-sufficient http://www.regenvillages.com/
  33. 33. http://marketrealist.com/2016/01/fourth-industrial-revolution-need-know/
  34. 34. BA Two individuals (organizations) with the same number of contacts…
  35. 35. …but with very different access to signals, ideas, and resources BA
  36. 36. Peniche, Portugal One hour north of Lisbon
  37. 37. A Broken Economic Model
  38. 38. To be a hotspot for entrepreneurial activity, a flagship in ocean innovation, and a showcase in circular economy
  39. 39. Go4Surf 2Rodas Makerspace The Green Warehouse Port SmartOcean ESTM
  40. 40. Ocean Tech Hub ”The Green Warehouse” Coworking space
  41. 41. 2Rodas Makerspace for sustainable entrepreneurs Environmentally friendly wooden surfboards
  42. 42. Mapping Ocean Litter with AI and Underwater Drones Recycling Ocean Waste with Graphene and 3D Printing Recovering Ocean Litter with Repurposed Fishing Vessels Manufacturing combined with Blockchain PENICHE OCEAN WATCH A Blue Circular Economy Based on Ocean Litter Sustainable Ocean Entrepreneurship
  43. 43. Boundary spanning -> Future success 1. Build relationships across diverse networks, avoid echo chambers 2. Practice scenario thinking and look for signals from the periphery 3. Ask “What if?”, challenge basic assumptions, and experiment 4. Ensure access to resources, not ownership, through your networks Boundary spanner
  44. 44. Robin Teigland www.robinteigland.com www.slideshare.net/eteigland robin.teigland@gmail.se @RobinTeigland http://www.go4surf.pt/ Trond Gunnar Teigland tgteigland94@gmail.com https://www.facebook.com/PenicheOceanWatch @penicheoceanwatch If you love knowledge, set it free! OCEAN TECH HUB