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2012’S STORM TRACKS
   (as of September 8)
THE 2012 ATLANTIC BASIN
HURRICANE SEASON SUDDENLY
BECAME ACTIVE WITH
  4 ADDITIONAL HURRICANES
         SECOND HALF
  September 5 –November 30, 2012
NAMED STORMS IN 2012
            (Continued)
•   ISAAC – Hurricane, August 21
•   JOYCE –Tropical Storm, Aug. 25
•   KIRK –Hurricane, Aug. 27
•   LESLIE –Hurricane, Sept. 3
•   MICHAEL – Hurricane, Sept. 4
•   NADINE – Tropical Storm, Sept. 12
NAMED STORMS IN 2012

•   OSCAR – Tropical Storm, Oct. 4
•   PATTY – Tropical Storm, Oct. 11
•   RAFAEL – Hurricane, Oct. 12
•   SANDY – Hurricane, Oct. 22
•   TONY – Tropical Storm, Oct. 24
•   VALERIE
•   WILLIAM
The 2012 season is lagging behind
            past seasons:
By Sept. 5, 2005, we had three major
   hurricanes (Dennis, Emily, and
  Katrina),and by Sept. 5, 2011, we
  had one major hurricane (Katia).
  This year, we have one-- Michael.
ISAAC: FROM TS ON AUG, 21
 TO HURRICANE ON AUG. 26
ISAAC DID NOT RETURN IN THE
 GULF AS TS NADINE: SEPT 12
LESLIE: FROM A TS ON SEPT
3 TO HURRICANE ON SEPT 5
SEPT 8: CAT 1 HURRICANE
   LESLIE IS HEADED
 SLOWLY NORTHWARD
TOWARDS BERMUDA AND
         CANADA
SEPT 9: LESLIE PASSES 120
 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL:
FAR OUT IN ATLANTIC—SEPT. 4
Between 5 a.m. on Wednesday
and 5 a.m. Thursday, Michael’s
 pressure suddenly fell 40 mb
 and the maximum sustained
 winds increased by 63 mph,
  truly a remarkable case of
     rapid intensification
MICHAEL BECOMES CAT 3
  HURRICANE: SEPT. 6
Michael, the 7th hurricane of
 2012 and located 980 miles
west-southwest of the Azores
 and heading northeast at 7
 mph, will likely weaken as it
 encounters colder waters..
MICHAEL’S PATH: SEPT. 6
MICHAEL’S ULTIMATE PATH
On Sept. 7th, the seasonal
ACE (Accumulated Cyclone
  Energy) (using the 1981-
2010 data base), stood at 61,
   or 143% of an average
         season.
BUT---
ON SEPTEMBER 12, 2012
 A LULL IN ACTIVITY OCCURED
                AS
    EL NINO BEGAN AGAIN
SEPT. 12: EL NINO BEGINS
          AGAIN
Depending on how quickly El
 Niño develops, there could be
 a quick shutdown of tropical
 systems during the latter part
 of the Atlantic season and an
extended season on the Pacific
              side.
TROPICAL STORM NADINE:
       SEPT. 12
TROPICAL STORM NADINE
   BECAME A CAT 1
HURRICANE ON SEPT. 14 th




 Because of its location in the Azores,
Nadine, the 8th hurricane of the season,
 did not cause any major concerns in
    spite of its unusually long life.
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR
 FORMED WEST OF THE CAPE
 VERDE ISLANDS ON OCT. 4th


Oscar, the 15th storm of 2012, was not
expected to last very long or to cause
         any major problems.
TROPICAL STORM OSCAR
  DIED ON OCTOBER 5
TROPICAL STORM PATTY
FORMED NORTH OF THE
BAHAMAS ON OCT. 11th


Patty is the 16th storm of 2012.
TROPICAL STORM PATTY
TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL
 FORMED ON OCT. 12TH



Rafael was the 18th storm and 9th
    hurricane of the season
HURRICANE RAFAEL: A CAT
 1 STORM ON OCTOBER 16
TROPICAL STORM SANDY AKA
“FRANKENSTORM” FORMED ON
        OCT. 22ND


Sandy, the 19th storm of the season,
quickly became a CAT 2 hurricane.
SANDY left 39 dead in the Caribbean
        enroute to the USA.
TROPICAL STORM SANDY:
      OCTOBER 22
CAT I HURRICANE SANDY:
       OCTOBER 24
OCTOBER 24:
CAT I HURRRICANE SANDY MADE
LANDFALL NEAR KINGSTON, THE
     CAPITOL OF JAMACIA

Schools and businesses were closed
and people in low-lying areas at risk
   from flooding were evacuated
FORECAST FOR SANDY:
    OCTOBER 24
TROPICAL STORM TONY FORMED
       ON OCT. 24TH



  Tony, the 20th storm of the season,
formed in the Atlantic, and is not likely
            to be a threat
TROPICAL STORM TONY:
     OCTOBER 24
SANDY: OCTOBER 24

    Sandy, now the season’s ninth
 hurricane, became a huge storm with
wind and rain bands reaching out 500
  km or more from the storm center,
producing 15-50 cm of rain in Jamaica,
 Bermuda, Haiti, Dominican Republic,
              and Cuba
LIKELY IMPACTS OF SANDY ON
“FLORIDA SATURDAY”-- OCTOBER 27

• Miami, Florida, which is already water-
  logged from 1 ½ meters of rain this
  summer, is expected to experience
  more rain, gusty winds, huge waves,
  and dangerous rip tides as a likely
  weakened Sandy continues to move
  northward.
CAT I HURRICANE SANDY:
       OCTOBER 24
SANDY: RAIN IN HAITI
SANDY IMPACTS HAVANA.
  CUBA: OCTOBER 25
SANDY: RAIN IN CUBA
SANDY: RAIN BEGINS IN FT
LAUDERDALE, FLORIDA; OCT. 26
POSSIBILITIES AFTER
    “FLORIDA SATURDAY”
• Sandy could veer northeastward and
  eventually die in the Atlantic, OR,
  MORE LIKELY …
• As Sandy moves northward, it could
  become a powerful “SUPERSTORM
  causing losses of $ 1 billion dollars +
  bringing heavy rain, high winds, and
  power outages along Eastern
  seaboard
OCEAN CITY, MARYLAND
REHOBOTH BEACH,
DELAWARE: OCT. 29
SUPER STORM SANDY:
OCT. 29-30, 2012
$360 MILLION STORM SURGE,
  NEW HAVEN, CT: OCT. 30
OCT. 29 HIGHLIGHTS: NEW
 YORK AND NEW JERSEY
THE SUDDENNESS AND THE RECORD
  HEIGHT OF THE STORM SURGE
    CAUSED A HUGE DISASTER
STORM SURGE SET NEW
 RECORD WITHOUT BENEFIT
  OF FULL-MOON HIGH TIDE

 13 ft (4 1/3 m); a new record
Sustained winds of 133 kph
            (80 mph).
FLOODING IN BROOKLYN
NEW JERSEY: ATLANTIC
 CITY UNDER WATER
NEW JERSEY: OCEAN
 FRONT FLOODING
NEW JERSEY: STREET
     FLOODING
2012 ATLANTIC BASIN STORM
   TRACKS AS OF NOV. 22
2012’S CUMMULATIVE
        IMPACTS
         320 DEATHS
ECONOMIC LOSSES: ESTIMATED AT
        $68 BILLION +

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