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Netflix Can’t Predict the Future
So How Can You?
Mike Lingle | mike@tonicstudios.com | @mike_lingle
Founded in 1997
Bankruptcy in 2010
So Netflix’s business model
was validated
Right?
Primarily shipping DVDs
Streaming
37% of peak download traffic in 2015
First original series in 2013
“We don’t really know where we’ll be
in another five years.
We’re figuring out every year how to use the
Internet to make a great consumer experience.
Every year is an experiment.”
How?
Create /
Adjust
Assumptions
Validate
Everything Is An
Assumption
Everything Is An
Experiment
“Move fast and break things”
How to Experiment
Time-box
Predict
Take Little Bets
Awesomeness
What’s the
Goal?
All About
Assembly Lines
Assembly Line
Everything is Changing
Your Product
Your Market
Your IP
Product “Assembly Line”
Market “Assembly Line”
Here Are Four
Strategies
Strategy 1
Measure Everything
Revenue “Assembly Line”
Analytics tell you what
But they don’t tell you why
Strategy 2
Listen to Your Customers
Google Ventures
Design Sprint
Design Sprint
& Book
People
for Friday
Image from Reflecting on Our First Design Sprint
“I sat down with
three people today…”
Strategy 3
Set 10x Goals
Set 10x Goals
Strategy 4
Make Buying Easier
Make Buying Easier
Make Buying Easier
Image from Starbucks Mobile Pay App: Gift for Caffeine Fiends Who Also Hate Lines
Strategies
1. Measure Everything
2. Listen to Customers
3. Set 10x Goals
4. Make Buying Easier
Create /
Adjust
Assumptions
Validate
Netflix Can’t Predict the Future
So How Can You?
Mike Lingle | mike@tonicstudios.com | @mike_lingle

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Netflix can't predict the future, so how can you?

Editor's Notes

  1. In 2010 Netflix was shipping DVDs and forced Blockbuster to declare bankruptcy. A few short years later it's winning multiple Emmy awards for developing original content. CEO Reed Hastings says, “It’s not Netflix that’s making the changes. It’s the Internet. We’re figuring out every year how to use the Internet to make a great consumer experience. Every year is an experiment.” This talk will cover how to constantly position your company to benefit from change instead of being put out of business by it.
  2. http://appleinsider.com/articles/16/01/20/netflix-boasts-37-share-of-internet-traffic-in-north-america-compared-with-3-for-apples-itunes