160155061 project-monitoring-control

E
Project Monitoring and Control
1
Project Monitoring and Control
 Monitoring – collecting, recording,
and reporting information
concerning project performance
that project manger and others
wish to know
 Controlling – uses data from monitor
activity to bring actual performance
to planned performance
2
Project Monitoring and Control
 Why do we monitor?
 What do we monitor?
 When to we monitor?
 How do we monitor?
3
Why do we monitor?
 Simply because we know that things don’t always go
according to plan (no matter how much we prepare)
 To detect and react appropriately to deviations and
changes to plans
4
What do we monitor?
 Men (human resources)
 Machines
 Materials
 Money
 Space
 Time
 Tasks
 Quality/Technical
Performance
5
What do we monitor?
Inputs
 Time
 Money
 Resources
 Material Usage
 Tasks
 Quality/Technical
Performance
6
Outputs
Progress
Costs
Job starts
Job completion
Engineering / Design
changes
Variation order (VO)
When do we monitor?
 End of the project
 Continuously
 Regularly
 Logically
 While there is still time to react
 As soon as possible
 At task completion
 At pre-planned decision points (milestones)
7
Where do we monitor?
 At head office?
 At the site office?
 On the spot?
 Depends on situation and the ‘whats’
8
How do we monitor
 Through meetings with clients, parties involved in
project (Contractor, supplier,etc.)
 For schedule – Update CPA, PERT Charts, Update Gantt
Charts
 Using Earned Value Analysis
 Calculate Critical Ratios
 Milestones
 Reports
 Tests and inspections
 Delivery or staggered delivery
 PMIS (Project Management Info Sys) Updating
9
Meetings – Some monitoring issues
 What problems do you have and what is being done
to correct them?
 What problems do you anticipate in the future?
 Do you need any resources you do not yet have?
 Do you need information you do not have yet?
 Do you know anything that will give you schedule
difficulties?
 Any possibility your task will finish early/late?
 Will your task be completed under/over/on budget?
10
Project Control Cycle
11
PLAN
Specifications
Project Schedule
Project budget
Resource plan
Vendor contracts MONITOR
Record status
Report progress
Report cost
COMPARE
Actual status
against plan
-Schedule
-Cost
ACTION
Correct
deviations
from plan
RE-PLAN as
necessary
Project Control
 Control – process and activities
needed to correct deviations from
plan
 Control the triple constraints
 time (schedule)
 cost (budget, expenses, etc)
 performance (specifications, testing
results, etc.)
12
Techniques for monitoring and
control
 Earned Value Analysis
 Critical Ratio
13
Earned Value Analysis
 A way of measuring overall performance
(not individual task) is using an aggregate
performance measure - Earned Value
 Earned value of work performed (value
completed) for those tasks in progress
found by multiplying the estimated
percent physical completion of work for
each task by the planned cost for those
tasks. The result is amount that should be
spent on the task so far. This can be
compared with actual amount spent.
14
Earned Value Analysis
 Methods for estimating percent completion
 The 50-50 estimate. 50% is assumed when task is begun, and
remaining 50% when work completed.
 0-100% rule. This rule allows no credit for work until task is
complete, highly conservative rule, project always seem late
until the very end of project when everything appears to
suddenly catch up
 Critical input rule. This rule assigns progress according to
amount of critical input that has been used. Labor or skilled
dependent, machine critical input – buy machine complete
task – may be misinformation
 Proportional rule. This rule divides planned (or actual) time-
to-date by total scheduled time(or budgeted (or actual ) cost-
to-date by total budgeted cast] to calculate percent complete.
This is commonly used rule.
15
Earned Value Analysis
 Refer to earned value chart – basis for
evaluating cost and performance to date
 If total value of the work accomplished is
in balance with the planned (baseline)
cost, and actual cost then top mgmt has
no particular need for a detailed analysis
of individual tasks
 Earned value concept – combines cost
reporting & aggregate performance
reporting into one comprehensive chart
16
Earned Value Analysis
 Baseline cost to completion – referred to as
budget at completion (BAC)
 Actual cost to date – referred to as estimated
cost at completion (EAC)
 Identify several variances according to two
guidelines
1. A negative variance is ‘bad’
2. Cost and schedule variances are calculated as earned
value minus some other measure
17
Earned Value Chart – basis for
evaluating cost & performance to
date
18
Earned Value Analysis -
Variances
 4 types of variances;
 Cost (spending) variance (CV) – difference between
budgeted cost of work performed (earned value)
(BCWP) and actual cost of that work (ACWP)
 Schedule variance (SV) – difference between
earned value (BCWP) and cost of work we scheduled
to perform to date (BCWS)
 Time variance (TV) –difference between time
scheduled for work performed (STWP) and actual
time to perform it (ATWP)
19
Earned Value Variance - Formula
CV = BCWP – ACWP (negative value - cost overrun)
SV = BCWP – BCWS (negative value - behind schedule)
TV = STWP – ATWP (negative value - delay)
Index (Ratios)
Cost Performance Index (CPI) = BCWP/ACWP
Schedule Performance Index (SPI) = BCWP/BCWS
Time Performance Index (TPI) = STWP/ATWP
20
EXAMPLE
Assume that operations on a Work Package cost RM 1,500 to
complete. They were originally scheduled to finish today. At
this point, we actually spent RM1,350. And we estimate that
we have completed two thirds (2/3) of the work. What are the
cost and schedule variances?
CV = BCWP – ACWP = 1500 (2/3) – 1350 = - 350
SV = BCWP – BCWS = 1500 (2/3) – 1500 = - 500
CPI = BCWP/ACWP = 1500(2/3)/1350 = 0.74
SPI = BCWP/BCWS = 1500(2/3)/1500 = 0.67
Spending higher than budget, and given what we have spent,
we are not as far along as we should be (have not completed
as much work as we should have)
21
 Possible to have one of indicators to be favorable while
the other unfavorable
 Might be ahead of schedule and behind costs
 Six possibilities (see figure next slide)
22
6 Possibilities Earned Value Analysis
23
Critical ratio
 Sometimes, especially large projects, it may
be worthwhile calculating a set of critical
ratios for all project activities
 The critical ratio is
actual progress x budgeted cost
scheduled progress actual cost
 If ratio is 1 everything is probably on target
 The further away form 1 the ratio is, the more we
may need to investigate
24
Summary
 Need proper project monitoring and
control mechanisms
 Tools available to help in monitoring
and controlling activities
 There are human control and
management aspects not covered
here
25
1 von 25

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160155061 project-monitoring-control

  • 2. Project Monitoring and Control  Monitoring – collecting, recording, and reporting information concerning project performance that project manger and others wish to know  Controlling – uses data from monitor activity to bring actual performance to planned performance 2
  • 3. Project Monitoring and Control  Why do we monitor?  What do we monitor?  When to we monitor?  How do we monitor? 3
  • 4. Why do we monitor?  Simply because we know that things don’t always go according to plan (no matter how much we prepare)  To detect and react appropriately to deviations and changes to plans 4
  • 5. What do we monitor?  Men (human resources)  Machines  Materials  Money  Space  Time  Tasks  Quality/Technical Performance 5
  • 6. What do we monitor? Inputs  Time  Money  Resources  Material Usage  Tasks  Quality/Technical Performance 6 Outputs Progress Costs Job starts Job completion Engineering / Design changes Variation order (VO)
  • 7. When do we monitor?  End of the project  Continuously  Regularly  Logically  While there is still time to react  As soon as possible  At task completion  At pre-planned decision points (milestones) 7
  • 8. Where do we monitor?  At head office?  At the site office?  On the spot?  Depends on situation and the ‘whats’ 8
  • 9. How do we monitor  Through meetings with clients, parties involved in project (Contractor, supplier,etc.)  For schedule – Update CPA, PERT Charts, Update Gantt Charts  Using Earned Value Analysis  Calculate Critical Ratios  Milestones  Reports  Tests and inspections  Delivery or staggered delivery  PMIS (Project Management Info Sys) Updating 9
  • 10. Meetings – Some monitoring issues  What problems do you have and what is being done to correct them?  What problems do you anticipate in the future?  Do you need any resources you do not yet have?  Do you need information you do not have yet?  Do you know anything that will give you schedule difficulties?  Any possibility your task will finish early/late?  Will your task be completed under/over/on budget? 10
  • 11. Project Control Cycle 11 PLAN Specifications Project Schedule Project budget Resource plan Vendor contracts MONITOR Record status Report progress Report cost COMPARE Actual status against plan -Schedule -Cost ACTION Correct deviations from plan RE-PLAN as necessary
  • 12. Project Control  Control – process and activities needed to correct deviations from plan  Control the triple constraints  time (schedule)  cost (budget, expenses, etc)  performance (specifications, testing results, etc.) 12
  • 13. Techniques for monitoring and control  Earned Value Analysis  Critical Ratio 13
  • 14. Earned Value Analysis  A way of measuring overall performance (not individual task) is using an aggregate performance measure - Earned Value  Earned value of work performed (value completed) for those tasks in progress found by multiplying the estimated percent physical completion of work for each task by the planned cost for those tasks. The result is amount that should be spent on the task so far. This can be compared with actual amount spent. 14
  • 15. Earned Value Analysis  Methods for estimating percent completion  The 50-50 estimate. 50% is assumed when task is begun, and remaining 50% when work completed.  0-100% rule. This rule allows no credit for work until task is complete, highly conservative rule, project always seem late until the very end of project when everything appears to suddenly catch up  Critical input rule. This rule assigns progress according to amount of critical input that has been used. Labor or skilled dependent, machine critical input – buy machine complete task – may be misinformation  Proportional rule. This rule divides planned (or actual) time- to-date by total scheduled time(or budgeted (or actual ) cost- to-date by total budgeted cast] to calculate percent complete. This is commonly used rule. 15
  • 16. Earned Value Analysis  Refer to earned value chart – basis for evaluating cost and performance to date  If total value of the work accomplished is in balance with the planned (baseline) cost, and actual cost then top mgmt has no particular need for a detailed analysis of individual tasks  Earned value concept – combines cost reporting & aggregate performance reporting into one comprehensive chart 16
  • 17. Earned Value Analysis  Baseline cost to completion – referred to as budget at completion (BAC)  Actual cost to date – referred to as estimated cost at completion (EAC)  Identify several variances according to two guidelines 1. A negative variance is ‘bad’ 2. Cost and schedule variances are calculated as earned value minus some other measure 17
  • 18. Earned Value Chart – basis for evaluating cost & performance to date 18
  • 19. Earned Value Analysis - Variances  4 types of variances;  Cost (spending) variance (CV) – difference between budgeted cost of work performed (earned value) (BCWP) and actual cost of that work (ACWP)  Schedule variance (SV) – difference between earned value (BCWP) and cost of work we scheduled to perform to date (BCWS)  Time variance (TV) –difference between time scheduled for work performed (STWP) and actual time to perform it (ATWP) 19
  • 20. Earned Value Variance - Formula CV = BCWP – ACWP (negative value - cost overrun) SV = BCWP – BCWS (negative value - behind schedule) TV = STWP – ATWP (negative value - delay) Index (Ratios) Cost Performance Index (CPI) = BCWP/ACWP Schedule Performance Index (SPI) = BCWP/BCWS Time Performance Index (TPI) = STWP/ATWP 20
  • 21. EXAMPLE Assume that operations on a Work Package cost RM 1,500 to complete. They were originally scheduled to finish today. At this point, we actually spent RM1,350. And we estimate that we have completed two thirds (2/3) of the work. What are the cost and schedule variances? CV = BCWP – ACWP = 1500 (2/3) – 1350 = - 350 SV = BCWP – BCWS = 1500 (2/3) – 1500 = - 500 CPI = BCWP/ACWP = 1500(2/3)/1350 = 0.74 SPI = BCWP/BCWS = 1500(2/3)/1500 = 0.67 Spending higher than budget, and given what we have spent, we are not as far along as we should be (have not completed as much work as we should have) 21
  • 22.  Possible to have one of indicators to be favorable while the other unfavorable  Might be ahead of schedule and behind costs  Six possibilities (see figure next slide) 22
  • 23. 6 Possibilities Earned Value Analysis 23
  • 24. Critical ratio  Sometimes, especially large projects, it may be worthwhile calculating a set of critical ratios for all project activities  The critical ratio is actual progress x budgeted cost scheduled progress actual cost  If ratio is 1 everything is probably on target  The further away form 1 the ratio is, the more we may need to investigate 24
  • 25. Summary  Need proper project monitoring and control mechanisms  Tools available to help in monitoring and controlling activities  There are human control and management aspects not covered here 25