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Making Skills
Programs Work
Future Skills International Forum,
Kazan
May 2015
Outline	
  
I.	
  	
  	
  Skills	
  in	
  the	
  Global	
  Context	
  
II.	
  	
  Key	
  Features	
  of	
  ECA	
  
III.	
  Skills	
  Development	
  as	
  a	
  Life-­‐long	
  Process	
  
IV.	
  Lessons	
  of	
  Experience	
  for	
  Job-­‐Specific	
  Skills	
  Development	
  
V.	
  	
  Moving	
  Forward	
  
2	
  
I.	
  	
  	
  	
  Skills	
  in	
  the	
  Global	
  Context	
  
	
  
3	
  
Skills	
  are	
  a	
  constraint	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  
0%	
  
5%	
  
10%	
  
15%	
  
20%	
  
25%	
  
30%	
  
35%	
  
40%	
  
45%	
  
World	
   Sub-­‐Saharan	
  
Africa	
  
South	
  Asia	
   Eastern	
  Europe	
  &	
  
Central	
  Asia	
  
East	
  Asia	
  &	
  
Pacific	
  
Middle	
  East	
  &	
  
North	
  Africa	
  
LaGn	
  America	
  &	
  
Caribbean	
  
High-­‐income	
  
OECD	
  
%	
  unskilled	
  workers,	
  out	
  of	
  all	
  producGon	
  workers	
  
%	
  firms	
  idenGfying	
  labor	
  regulaGons	
  as	
  a	
  major	
  constraint	
  
%	
  firms	
  idenGfying	
  an	
  inadequately	
  educated	
  workforce	
  as	
  a	
  major	
  constraint	
  
Source:	
  Enterprise	
  Surveys	
  	
  2010	
  
4	
  
Global	
  Trends	
  Related	
  to	
  Skills	
  
•  Wage	
  differenGals	
  are	
  rising	
  between	
  skilled	
  and	
  
unskilled	
  workers	
  in	
  many	
  regions	
  
•  Skilled	
  jobs	
  are	
  growing	
  faster	
  than	
  unskilled	
  
employment	
  
•  Knowledge-­‐based	
  industries	
  are	
  expanding	
  rapidly	
  
and	
  with	
  them	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  	
  ‘new	
  skills’	
  
•  Unskilled	
  workers	
  are	
  increasingly	
  more	
  vulnerable	
  
to	
  job	
  loss,	
  extended	
  unemployment,	
  and	
  declining	
  
real	
  wages	
  
5
II.	
  Key	
  Features	
  of	
  ECA	
  
6	
  
The	
  ECA	
  region	
  sLll	
  faces	
  specific	
  challenges	
  that	
  impede	
  
progress	
  toward	
  reducing	
  poverty	
  and	
  sharing	
  prosperity	
  
7	
  
Poverty	
  remains	
  an	
  issue	
  
	
  
•  Poverty	
  remains	
  high	
  in	
  some	
  
countries	
  (e.g.,	
  Armenia,	
  Georgia,	
  
Kosovo,	
  Kyrgyz	
  Republic,	
  Tajikistan)	
  
•  Pockets	
  of	
  poverty	
  remain	
  in	
  many	
  
countries/communiGes	
  (e.g.,	
  Roma)	
  
Risk	
  of	
  reversal	
  in	
  	
  
shared	
  prosperity	
  
	
  
•  Ageing	
  
•  Long	
  term	
  unemployment	
  
•  Long	
  term	
  erosion	
  of	
  producGvity	
  and	
  
compeGGveness;	
  lack	
  of	
  jobs	
  
Specific	
  challenges	
  	
  
In	
  EducaLon	
  
	
  
•  Increasing	
  	
  access	
  /Inclusion	
  (Pre-­‐school	
  and	
  terGary)	
  
•  Improving	
  quality	
  and	
  relevance	
  
•  Skills	
  not	
  just	
  diplomas	
  
•  EducaGon	
  Finance	
  Reform	
  
Uneven	
  access	
  to	
  early	
  childhood	
  educaLon	
  and	
  quality	
  
basic	
  educaLon	
  threatens	
  progress	
  	
  
toward	
  reducing	
  poverty	
  and	
  sharing	
  prosperity	
  in	
  ECA	
  
8	
  
61	
  
57	
  
45	
  
44	
  
42	
  
41	
  
39	
  
30	
  
28	
   27	
  
26	
  
24	
   23	
  
21	
   20	
   20	
  
14	
  
11	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
Albania	
  
Montenegro	
  
Kazakhstan	
  
Bulgaria	
  
Turkey	
  
Romania	
  
Serbia	
  
CroaGa	
  
Hungary	
  
Slovak	
  Republic	
  
Lithuania	
  
Russian	
  FederaGon	
  
OECD	
  members	
  
Czech	
  Republic	
  
Slovenia	
  
Latvia	
  
Poland	
  
Estonia	
  
%	
  of	
  15	
  year	
  olds	
  scoring	
  at	
  level	
  1	
  or	
  below	
  	
  
on	
  PISA	
  2012	
  MathemaLcs	
  assessment	
  
In	
  some	
  countries,	
  half	
  of	
  students	
  compleLng	
  
basic	
  educaLon	
  are	
  funcLonally	
  innumerate	
  
103	
  103	
  
101	
  
94	
  
91	
   90	
   90	
   90	
  
87	
  
85	
  
83	
  
80	
   78	
   78	
   77	
  
69	
  
64	
  
61	
  
58	
  
56	
  
54	
  
51	
  
29	
  
26	
   25	
   25	
   25	
  
16	
  
9	
  
0	
  
25	
  
50	
  
75	
  
100	
  
Czech	
  Republic	
  
Belarus	
  
Ukraine	
  
Slovenia	
  
Slovak	
  Republic	
  
Russian	
  FederaGon	
  
Latvia	
  
Estonia	
  
Hungary	
  
Bulgaria	
  
OECD	
  members	
  
Moldova	
  
Poland	
  
Romania	
  
Lithuania	
  
Albania	
  
CroaGa	
  
Montenegro	
  
Georgia	
  
Serbia	
  
Kazakhstan	
  
Armenia	
  
Turkey	
  
Macedonia,	
  FYR	
  
Azerbaijan	
  
Uzbekistan	
  
Kyrgyz	
  Republic	
  
Bosnia	
  and	
  Herzegovina	
  
Tajikistan	
  
Pre-­‐primary	
  gross	
  enrollment	
  rate	
  
(2012	
  or	
  latest	
  available	
  year)	
  
In	
  some	
  countries,	
  3	
  out	
  of	
  every	
  4	
  children	
  are	
  
not	
  enrolled	
  in	
  preschool	
  
Source:	
  EdStats.	
  
9	
  
0	
  
1	
  
2	
  
3	
  
4	
  
5	
  
6	
  
7	
  
8	
  
9	
  
Number	
  of	
  Countries	
  	
  
EU10+1	
  and	
  Turkey	
  
Western	
  Balkans	
  
LI	
  CIS	
  
MI	
  CIS	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
AZE	
  
	
  
BIH	
  
	
  
KOS	
  
	
  
MKD	
  
	
  
SRB	
  
	
  
SVN	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
ARM	
  
	
  
GEO	
  
	
  
KGZ	
  
	
  
ALB	
  
	
  
BGR	
  
	
  
TUR	
  
	
  
	
  
Mean	
  =	
  30.2	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  TJK	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  UZB	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  CZE	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  EST	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  HRV	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  LVA	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  POL	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  SVK	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
UKR	
  
	
  
MDA	
  
	
  
LTU	
  
	
  
ROM	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
MNE	
  
	
  
HUN	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
KAZ	
  
	
  
RUS	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
BLR	
  
Countries	
  where	
  more	
  
than	
  40%	
  of	
  firms	
  
report	
  “skills”	
  as	
  a	
  
severe	
  constraint	
  to	
  
growth	
  	
  
ECA	
  faces	
  Supply	
  Side	
  LimitaLons	
  
Ø  Workers'	
  skills	
  had	
  become	
  a	
  constraint	
  on	
  firm	
  expansion	
  by	
  2008	
  (percent	
  of	
  
firms	
  considering	
  factor	
  a	
  'major'	
  or	
  'very	
  severe'	
  constraint).	
  
Ø  Available	
  data	
  mostly	
  focuses	
  on	
  educaLon	
  aeained,	
  not	
  the	
  skills	
  acquired.	
  
III.	
  Skills	
  Development	
  as	
  a	
  Life-­‐long	
  Process	
  	
  
Different	
  Sorts	
  of	
  Skills	
  
Many	
  skills,	
  diverse	
  gaps	
  
•  Different	
  types	
  of	
  skills	
  that	
  maeer	
  for	
  employment	
  and	
  
producLvity:	
  
–  Problem-­‐solving	
  skills	
  
–  Learning	
  (foundaGonal)	
  skills:	
  ability	
  to	
  acquire	
  new	
  knowledge	
  
–  CommunicaGon	
  skills	
  
–  Personal	
  skills:	
  self	
  management,	
  sound	
  judgment,	
  managing	
  risk	
  
–  Social	
  skills:	
  team,	
  manage	
  client	
  relaGons,	
  leadership,	
  resolve	
  conflict,	
  
etc.	
  
–  Technical	
  skills:	
  job/producGon	
  specific	
  
	
  
•  Skills	
  are	
  acquired	
  at	
  different	
  stages	
  in	
  the	
  lifecycle:	
  across	
  
sectors	
  and	
  across	
  generaLons.	
  
	
  
11	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  Source:	
  World	
  Bank	
  2010.	
  	
  
	
  
AnalyGcal	
  Framework:	
  Stepping	
  Up	
  Skills	
  for	
  
Employment	
  and	
  ProducGvity	
  (STEP)	
  
12	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  Source:	
  World	
  Bank	
  2010.	
  	
  
…where	
  skills	
  development	
  is	
  a	
  cumulaGve	
  
life-­‐cycle	
  process	
  
13	
  
IV.	
  Evidence	
  of	
  Lessons	
  for	
  Job-­‐Specific	
  Skills	
  Development	
  
–  Investment	
  in	
  Early	
  IntervenGons	
  and	
  FoundaGonal	
  Skills	
  
–  Basic	
  Skills	
  
–  Role	
  of	
  Government	
  
–  Role	
  of	
  Employers	
  
–  Financing	
  
–  Private	
  Providers	
  
–  Monitoring	
  and	
  EvaluaGon	
  
	
  
14	
  
A.	
  Investment	
  in	
  Early	
  IntervenGons	
  and	
  
FoundaGonal	
  Skills	
  
	
  
– Invest	
  in	
  early	
  intervenGons	
  (e.g.	
  nutriGon,	
  health	
  
inputs,	
  preschool	
  educaGonal	
  inputs),	
  which	
  is	
  
essenGal	
  for	
  school	
  readiness	
  
– Improving	
  student	
  learning	
  for	
  all	
  through	
  
investment	
  in	
  access	
  to	
  quality	
  primary	
  educaGon	
  
for	
  all	
  	
  
	
  
B.	
  Basic	
  Skills	
  
•  Introduce	
  literacy	
  and	
  so0	
  skill	
  development	
  
modules	
  as	
  part	
  of	
  programs…	
  
–  In	
  most	
  countries,	
  large	
  numbers	
  of	
  school	
  goers	
  drop	
  
out	
  early;	
  and	
  large	
  parts	
  of	
  the	
  workforce	
  have	
  liple	
  
knowledge	
  and	
  few	
  skills	
  that	
  would	
  make	
  them	
  more	
  
employable.	
  
–  Introducing	
  modules	
  focused	
  on	
  literacy	
  and	
  soq	
  skills	
  
as	
  part	
  of	
  basic	
  and	
  secondary	
  educaGon	
  and	
  training	
  
programs	
  can	
  help	
  break	
  the	
  vicious	
  circle	
  of	
  the	
  
unskilled	
  being	
  trapped	
  in	
  jobs	
  that	
  require	
  liple	
  skills,	
  
establish	
  accessible	
  pathways	
  for	
  acquiring	
  skills	
  (e.g.	
  
Vietnam,	
  Russia).	
  	
  
C.	
  Role	
  of	
  Government 	
  	
  
•  Government	
  has	
  a	
  cri:cal	
  role	
  to	
  play…	
  
– mainly	
  in	
  regulaGon,	
  standard	
  serng	
  ,	
  M+E,	
  
and	
  selecGve	
  financing	
  (e.g.	
  Australia,	
  
ArgenGna)	
  
– Exploring	
  innovaGve	
  public-­‐private	
  
partnerships	
  to	
  enhance	
  provision	
  of	
  
market	
  relevant	
  skills	
  (e.g.	
  Korea,	
  Malaysia)	
  
 
Role	
  of	
  Government	
  
ArgenGna	
  –	
  Quality	
  Assurance	
  Systems	
  
	
  	
  
ArgenGna	
  is	
  developing	
  the	
  workforce	
  skills	
  of	
  disadvantaged	
  workers	
  	
  through:	
  	
  
	
  
•  Diversifying	
  Pathways	
  for	
  Skills	
  AcquisiLon	
  for	
  disadvantages	
  workers-­‐	
  Making	
  qualificaGons	
  
more	
  transparent	
  and	
  portable	
  through	
  the	
  Government	
  face-­‐liqing	
  at	
  the	
  processes	
  of	
  serng	
  
standards	
  by	
  employers	
  and	
  workers,	
  	
  
–  Providing	
  credibility	
  for	
  skills	
  tesLng	
  and	
  cerLficaLon	
  -­‐	
  	
  Ensuring	
  the	
  funcGoning	
  of	
  qualified	
  
third-­‐party	
  assessment	
  centers	
  and	
  cerGficaGon	
  organizaGons	
  
•  ExponenGal	
  growth	
  in	
  non-­‐state	
  providers	
  is	
  a	
  posiGve	
  development	
  but	
  underscore	
  the	
  
importance	
  for	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  clear	
  standards	
  to	
  ensure	
  quality	
  training	
  programs	
  
	
  
•  Making	
  qualificaLons	
  more	
  transparent	
  and	
  portable	
  	
  -­‐	
  Developing	
  a	
  	
  framework	
  for	
  	
  
competency-­‐based	
  training	
  and	
  cerGficaGon	
  
	
  
D.	
  Role	
  of	
  Employers	
  
•  Ensure	
  employers	
  play	
  a	
  cri:cal	
  role	
  in	
  system….	
  
–  Employers	
  need	
  to	
  have	
  an	
  important	
  voice	
  at	
  the	
  
table	
  at	
  the	
  policy	
  level	
  
–  At	
  the	
  insGtuGon	
  level	
  –	
  employers	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  
involved	
  in	
  management	
  of	
  insGtuGons	
  and	
  decide	
  on	
  
how	
  resources	
  are	
  spent	
  and	
  what	
  type	
  of	
  
investments	
  to	
  make	
  	
  
–  Relatedly	
  –	
  this	
  can	
  only	
  work	
  if	
  insGtuGons	
  have	
  the	
  
academic	
  and	
  financial	
  autonomy	
  to	
  make	
  decisions	
  
and	
  are	
  held	
  accountable	
  for	
  them	
  (e.g.	
  Chile)	
  	
  
Delivery	
  of	
  subsidized	
  training	
  and	
  technical	
  assistance	
  for	
  Small	
  Enterprises	
  
	
  
–  Promoters	
  provide	
  iniGal	
  diagnosGc	
  
–  Training	
  on	
  a	
  cost-­‐sharing	
  and	
  sliding	
  basis:	
  CIMO	
  70%,	
  Firm	
  30%,	
  declining	
  
to	
  50-­‐50	
  cost-­‐sharing	
  
–  Different	
  modaliGes	
  -­‐-­‐	
  (1)	
  integrated	
  training,	
  (2)	
  training	
  plus	
  
individualized	
  consulGng	
  services	
  
–  Group	
  training	
  delivered	
  by	
  local	
  training	
  providers,	
  as	
  well	
  as	
  cluster-­‐
based	
  training	
  
	
  
Compared	
  to	
  a	
  control	
  group,	
  CIMO	
  firms:	
  
–  Increased	
  investments	
  in	
  worker	
  training,	
  	
  
–  Had	
  higher	
  rates	
  of	
  capacity	
  uGlizaGon,	
  	
  
–  More	
  likely	
  to	
  adopt	
  quality	
  control	
  pracGces.	
  	
  
–  Increased	
  wage	
  and	
  employment	
  growth,	
  and	
  
–  Reduced	
  labor	
  turnover,	
  absenteeism,	
  and	
  rejecGon	
  rates	
  for	
  products.	
  	
  
**	
  	
  The	
  most	
  drama=c	
  impacts	
  were	
  among	
  micro	
  and	
  small	
  firms.	
  
Employers	
  
Mexico’s	
  Comprehensive	
  Quality	
  and	
  ModernizaGon	
  
Program	
  (CIMO)	
  
	
  
	
  
E.	
  Financing	
  
•  Introduce	
  performance	
  financing	
  of	
  
programs	
  …	
  
– Currently,	
  nearly	
  all	
  public	
  funding	
  is	
  input	
  based.	
  	
  	
  
– 	
  A	
  shiq	
  in	
  this	
  relaGonship	
  towards	
  financing	
  linked	
  
to	
  outputs/outcomes	
  will	
  be	
  criGcal	
  to	
  make	
  
training	
  more	
  relevant	
  for	
  labor	
  market	
  needs.	
  (e.g.,	
  
Brazil)	
  
F.	
  Private	
  Providers	
  
•  Clear	
  and	
  lenient	
  laws	
  result	
  in	
  a	
  vigorous	
  response	
  
from	
  private	
  providers.	
  
•  Public	
  funding	
  can	
  encourage	
  private	
  provision	
  of	
  
programs	
  –	
  through	
  leveling	
  the	
  playing	
  field	
  
between	
  public	
  and	
  private	
  sector	
  (e.g.	
  Czech	
  
Republic).	
  
•  Business	
  oriented	
  skills	
  are	
  the	
  first	
  to	
  proliferate	
  the	
  
private	
  market,	
  but	
  rapid	
  industrial	
  growth	
  can	
  lead	
  
to	
  strong	
  private	
  supply	
  of	
  technical	
  skills	
  (e.g.	
  
Indonesia).	
  
GOVERNMENT	
  
RECOGNITION	
  
§  Approval 	
  	
  
§  Licence	
  
	
  
INCENTIVES	
  
§  Training	
  Support	
  (HRDF)	
  
§  Double	
  deducGon	
  IncenGve	
  
§  Tax	
  ExempGon	
  
INFRASTRUCTURE	
  
§  FaciliGes	
  
§  Building	
  
	
  
CAPITAL	
  GRANT	
  
§  Set	
  Up	
  Grant	
  
§  Equipment	
  Grant	
  
§  Building	
  Grant	
  
INDUSTRY	
  
LEADERSHIP	
  
§  New	
  Concepts/Ideas	
  
§  Processes	
  &	
  Systems	
  
	
  
SHARING	
  
§  Resources/ExperGse	
  
§  Technology	
  
§  Trainers	
  
	
  
ACADEMIA	
  
TRAINING	
  RESOURCE	
  
§  Lecturers	
  
§  Content	
  Experts	
  
	
  
PROGRAM	
  DEVELOPMENT	
  
§  	
  Training	
  Materials	
  
Private	
  Providers	
  
Malaysia	
  -­‐	
  The	
  Penang	
  Skills	
  Development	
  Centre	
  (PSDC)	
  
Roles	
  of	
  the	
  Various	
  Stakeholders	
  	
  
	
  
G.	
  M+E	
  
•  Par:cipate	
  in	
  the	
  interna:onal	
  or	
  develop	
  a	
  na:onal	
  
systems	
  of	
  tes:ng	
  for	
  competencies/skills:	
  
–  Countries	
  can	
  make	
  a	
  start	
  by	
  considering	
  parGcipaGng	
  in	
  
a	
  few	
  systems	
  that	
  are	
  present	
  –	
  for	
  example,	
  SABER	
  and	
  
STEP	
  (World	
  Bank)	
  and	
  PIAAC	
  (OECD)	
  which	
  will	
  allow	
  
them	
  to	
  get	
  valuable	
  experience	
  at	
  relaGvely	
  low	
  cost.	
  	
  
–  Always…evaluate	
  programs	
  	
  -­‐	
  feed	
  lessons	
  into	
  improving	
  
design	
  (e.g.	
  India	
  study)	
  
Lessons	
  of	
  Experience:	
  M+E	
  
India:	
  Value	
  of	
  Measuring	
  Performance	
  of	
  System	
  
•  EvaluaGon	
  of	
  five	
  flagship	
  GoI	
  Skill	
  Development	
  Programs	
  (SDPs)	
  in	
  five	
  States	
  	
  
•  Although	
  sGll	
  fairly	
  recent,	
  these	
  programs	
  are	
  not	
  pilots,	
  	
  already	
  more	
  than	
  five	
  million	
  
people	
  trained	
  since	
  2011	
  
	
  
•  Push	
  for	
  expansion:	
  Of	
  the	
  overall	
  GoI	
  target	
  	
  of	
  skilling	
  500	
  million	
  by	
  2022,	
  the	
  five	
  SDPs	
  
have	
  a	
  combined	
  target	
  of	
  285	
  million	
  	
  
	
  
•  Findings:	
  	
  
–  Only	
  25-­‐30%	
  of	
  trainees	
  are	
  placed	
  with	
  support	
  from	
  their	
  TPs.	
  About	
  2	
  years	
  aqer	
  
training,	
  the	
  %	
  of	
  trainees	
  with	
  jobs	
  remains	
  roughly	
  the	
  same.	
  
–  SD	
  programs	
  give	
  a	
  posiGve	
  earnings	
  premium:	
  trainees	
  who	
  have	
  got	
  a	
  job	
  earn	
  on	
  
average	
  about	
  21%	
  more	
  than	
  non-­‐trainees	
  (	
  with	
  same	
  age,	
  educaGon,	
  marital	
  status,	
  
state	
  of	
  residence)	
  
	
  
–  Work	
  experience	
  before	
  training	
  period	
  (strong	
  effect),	
  knowledge	
  of	
  English,	
  and	
  
programs	
  combining	
  classroom	
  training	
  with	
  pracGcal	
  training	
  in	
  industry	
  increase	
  
probability	
  of	
  employment	
  aqer	
  training.	
  
•  Findings	
  of	
  the	
  Study	
  have	
  been	
  presented	
  to	
  the	
  PM’s	
  office	
  and	
  our	
  now	
  a	
  part	
  of	
  the	
  
naLonal	
  dialogue	
  on	
  how	
  to	
  improve	
  the	
  skills	
  development	
  system.	
  
	
  
V.	
  Moving	
  Forward	
  
26	
  
Moving	
  Forward:	
  Progress	
  in	
  Our	
  Skills	
  
Development	
  Work	
  
	
  
•  Strong	
  demand	
  for	
  our	
  skills	
  development	
  work	
  across	
  the	
  
region	
  as	
  countries	
  are	
  apempGng	
  to	
  improve	
  labor	
  
producGvity	
  and	
  employment	
  
•  Building	
  evidence	
  base	
  on	
  what	
  works	
  and	
  incorporaGng	
  into	
  
program	
  design	
  
•  PiloGng	
  skills	
  development	
  programs	
  for	
  increased	
  
producGvity	
  of	
  entrepreneurship	
  and	
  self	
  employment	
  in	
  
informal	
  serngs	
  
•  SupporGng	
  governance	
  reforms	
  of	
  skills	
  systems	
  
•  SupporGng	
  skills	
  for	
  innovaGons	
  in	
  more	
  formal	
  serngs	
  
•  Leveraging	
  work	
  done	
  with	
  other	
  GPs	
  and	
  DPs	
  

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Amit Dar – Making skills programs work

  • 1. Making Skills Programs Work Future Skills International Forum, Kazan May 2015
  • 2. Outline   I.      Skills  in  the  Global  Context   II.    Key  Features  of  ECA   III.  Skills  Development  as  a  Life-­‐long  Process   IV.  Lessons  of  Experience  for  Job-­‐Specific  Skills  Development   V.    Moving  Forward   2  
  • 3. I.        Skills  in  the  Global  Context     3  
  • 4. Skills  are  a  constraint  around  the  world   0%   5%   10%   15%   20%   25%   30%   35%   40%   45%   World   Sub-­‐Saharan   Africa   South  Asia   Eastern  Europe  &   Central  Asia   East  Asia  &   Pacific   Middle  East  &   North  Africa   LaGn  America  &   Caribbean   High-­‐income   OECD   %  unskilled  workers,  out  of  all  producGon  workers   %  firms  idenGfying  labor  regulaGons  as  a  major  constraint   %  firms  idenGfying  an  inadequately  educated  workforce  as  a  major  constraint   Source:  Enterprise  Surveys    2010   4  
  • 5. Global  Trends  Related  to  Skills   •  Wage  differenGals  are  rising  between  skilled  and   unskilled  workers  in  many  regions   •  Skilled  jobs  are  growing  faster  than  unskilled   employment   •  Knowledge-­‐based  industries  are  expanding  rapidly   and  with  them  the  demand  for    ‘new  skills’   •  Unskilled  workers  are  increasingly  more  vulnerable   to  job  loss,  extended  unemployment,  and  declining   real  wages   5
  • 6. II.  Key  Features  of  ECA   6  
  • 7. The  ECA  region  sLll  faces  specific  challenges  that  impede   progress  toward  reducing  poverty  and  sharing  prosperity   7   Poverty  remains  an  issue     •  Poverty  remains  high  in  some   countries  (e.g.,  Armenia,  Georgia,   Kosovo,  Kyrgyz  Republic,  Tajikistan)   •  Pockets  of  poverty  remain  in  many   countries/communiGes  (e.g.,  Roma)   Risk  of  reversal  in     shared  prosperity     •  Ageing   •  Long  term  unemployment   •  Long  term  erosion  of  producGvity  and   compeGGveness;  lack  of  jobs   Specific  challenges     In  EducaLon     •  Increasing    access  /Inclusion  (Pre-­‐school  and  terGary)   •  Improving  quality  and  relevance   •  Skills  not  just  diplomas   •  EducaGon  Finance  Reform  
  • 8. Uneven  access  to  early  childhood  educaLon  and  quality   basic  educaLon  threatens  progress     toward  reducing  poverty  and  sharing  prosperity  in  ECA   8   61   57   45   44   42   41   39   30   28   27   26   24   23   21   20   20   14   11   0   20   40   60   Albania   Montenegro   Kazakhstan   Bulgaria   Turkey   Romania   Serbia   CroaGa   Hungary   Slovak  Republic   Lithuania   Russian  FederaGon   OECD  members   Czech  Republic   Slovenia   Latvia   Poland   Estonia   %  of  15  year  olds  scoring  at  level  1  or  below     on  PISA  2012  MathemaLcs  assessment   In  some  countries,  half  of  students  compleLng   basic  educaLon  are  funcLonally  innumerate   103  103   101   94   91   90   90   90   87   85   83   80   78   78   77   69   64   61   58   56   54   51   29   26   25   25   25   16   9   0   25   50   75   100   Czech  Republic   Belarus   Ukraine   Slovenia   Slovak  Republic   Russian  FederaGon   Latvia   Estonia   Hungary   Bulgaria   OECD  members   Moldova   Poland   Romania   Lithuania   Albania   CroaGa   Montenegro   Georgia   Serbia   Kazakhstan   Armenia   Turkey   Macedonia,  FYR   Azerbaijan   Uzbekistan   Kyrgyz  Republic   Bosnia  and  Herzegovina   Tajikistan   Pre-­‐primary  gross  enrollment  rate   (2012  or  latest  available  year)   In  some  countries,  3  out  of  every  4  children  are   not  enrolled  in  preschool   Source:  EdStats.  
  • 9. 9   0   1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   Number  of  Countries     EU10+1  and  Turkey   Western  Balkans   LI  CIS   MI  CIS           AZE     BIH     KOS     MKD     SRB     SVN                             ARM     GEO     KGZ     ALB     BGR     TUR       Mean  =  30.2                        TJK                    UZB                    CZE                      EST                      HRV                                  LVA                                  POL                              SVK                               UKR     MDA     LTU     ROM                 MNE     HUN                         KAZ     RUS         BLR   Countries  where  more   than  40%  of  firms   report  “skills”  as  a   severe  constraint  to   growth     ECA  faces  Supply  Side  LimitaLons   Ø  Workers'  skills  had  become  a  constraint  on  firm  expansion  by  2008  (percent  of   firms  considering  factor  a  'major'  or  'very  severe'  constraint).   Ø  Available  data  mostly  focuses  on  educaLon  aeained,  not  the  skills  acquired.  
  • 10. III.  Skills  Development  as  a  Life-­‐long  Process    
  • 11. Different  Sorts  of  Skills   Many  skills,  diverse  gaps   •  Different  types  of  skills  that  maeer  for  employment  and   producLvity:   –  Problem-­‐solving  skills   –  Learning  (foundaGonal)  skills:  ability  to  acquire  new  knowledge   –  CommunicaGon  skills   –  Personal  skills:  self  management,  sound  judgment,  managing  risk   –  Social  skills:  team,  manage  client  relaGons,  leadership,  resolve  conflict,   etc.   –  Technical  skills:  job/producGon  specific     •  Skills  are  acquired  at  different  stages  in  the  lifecycle:  across   sectors  and  across  generaLons.     11  
  • 12.                                              Source:  World  Bank  2010.       AnalyGcal  Framework:  Stepping  Up  Skills  for   Employment  and  ProducGvity  (STEP)   12  
  • 13.                                                          Source:  World  Bank  2010.     …where  skills  development  is  a  cumulaGve   life-­‐cycle  process   13  
  • 14. IV.  Evidence  of  Lessons  for  Job-­‐Specific  Skills  Development   –  Investment  in  Early  IntervenGons  and  FoundaGonal  Skills   –  Basic  Skills   –  Role  of  Government   –  Role  of  Employers   –  Financing   –  Private  Providers   –  Monitoring  and  EvaluaGon     14  
  • 15. A.  Investment  in  Early  IntervenGons  and   FoundaGonal  Skills     – Invest  in  early  intervenGons  (e.g.  nutriGon,  health   inputs,  preschool  educaGonal  inputs),  which  is   essenGal  for  school  readiness   – Improving  student  learning  for  all  through   investment  in  access  to  quality  primary  educaGon   for  all      
  • 16. B.  Basic  Skills   •  Introduce  literacy  and  so0  skill  development   modules  as  part  of  programs…   –  In  most  countries,  large  numbers  of  school  goers  drop   out  early;  and  large  parts  of  the  workforce  have  liple   knowledge  and  few  skills  that  would  make  them  more   employable.   –  Introducing  modules  focused  on  literacy  and  soq  skills   as  part  of  basic  and  secondary  educaGon  and  training   programs  can  help  break  the  vicious  circle  of  the   unskilled  being  trapped  in  jobs  that  require  liple  skills,   establish  accessible  pathways  for  acquiring  skills  (e.g.   Vietnam,  Russia).    
  • 17. C.  Role  of  Government     •  Government  has  a  cri:cal  role  to  play…   – mainly  in  regulaGon,  standard  serng  ,  M+E,   and  selecGve  financing  (e.g.  Australia,   ArgenGna)   – Exploring  innovaGve  public-­‐private   partnerships  to  enhance  provision  of   market  relevant  skills  (e.g.  Korea,  Malaysia)  
  • 18.   Role  of  Government   ArgenGna  –  Quality  Assurance  Systems       ArgenGna  is  developing  the  workforce  skills  of  disadvantaged  workers    through:       •  Diversifying  Pathways  for  Skills  AcquisiLon  for  disadvantages  workers-­‐  Making  qualificaGons   more  transparent  and  portable  through  the  Government  face-­‐liqing  at  the  processes  of  serng   standards  by  employers  and  workers,     –  Providing  credibility  for  skills  tesLng  and  cerLficaLon  -­‐    Ensuring  the  funcGoning  of  qualified   third-­‐party  assessment  centers  and  cerGficaGon  organizaGons   •  ExponenGal  growth  in  non-­‐state  providers  is  a  posiGve  development  but  underscore  the   importance  for  the  development  of  clear  standards  to  ensure  quality  training  programs     •  Making  qualificaLons  more  transparent  and  portable    -­‐  Developing  a    framework  for     competency-­‐based  training  and  cerGficaGon    
  • 19. D.  Role  of  Employers   •  Ensure  employers  play  a  cri:cal  role  in  system….   –  Employers  need  to  have  an  important  voice  at  the   table  at  the  policy  level   –  At  the  insGtuGon  level  –  employers  need  to  be   involved  in  management  of  insGtuGons  and  decide  on   how  resources  are  spent  and  what  type  of   investments  to  make     –  Relatedly  –  this  can  only  work  if  insGtuGons  have  the   academic  and  financial  autonomy  to  make  decisions   and  are  held  accountable  for  them  (e.g.  Chile)    
  • 20. Delivery  of  subsidized  training  and  technical  assistance  for  Small  Enterprises     –  Promoters  provide  iniGal  diagnosGc   –  Training  on  a  cost-­‐sharing  and  sliding  basis:  CIMO  70%,  Firm  30%,  declining   to  50-­‐50  cost-­‐sharing   –  Different  modaliGes  -­‐-­‐  (1)  integrated  training,  (2)  training  plus   individualized  consulGng  services   –  Group  training  delivered  by  local  training  providers,  as  well  as  cluster-­‐ based  training     Compared  to  a  control  group,  CIMO  firms:   –  Increased  investments  in  worker  training,     –  Had  higher  rates  of  capacity  uGlizaGon,     –  More  likely  to  adopt  quality  control  pracGces.     –  Increased  wage  and  employment  growth,  and   –  Reduced  labor  turnover,  absenteeism,  and  rejecGon  rates  for  products.     **    The  most  drama=c  impacts  were  among  micro  and  small  firms.   Employers   Mexico’s  Comprehensive  Quality  and  ModernizaGon   Program  (CIMO)      
  • 21. E.  Financing   •  Introduce  performance  financing  of   programs  …   – Currently,  nearly  all  public  funding  is  input  based.       –   A  shiq  in  this  relaGonship  towards  financing  linked   to  outputs/outcomes  will  be  criGcal  to  make   training  more  relevant  for  labor  market  needs.  (e.g.,   Brazil)  
  • 22. F.  Private  Providers   •  Clear  and  lenient  laws  result  in  a  vigorous  response   from  private  providers.   •  Public  funding  can  encourage  private  provision  of   programs  –  through  leveling  the  playing  field   between  public  and  private  sector  (e.g.  Czech   Republic).   •  Business  oriented  skills  are  the  first  to  proliferate  the   private  market,  but  rapid  industrial  growth  can  lead   to  strong  private  supply  of  technical  skills  (e.g.   Indonesia).  
  • 23. GOVERNMENT   RECOGNITION   §  Approval     §  Licence     INCENTIVES   §  Training  Support  (HRDF)   §  Double  deducGon  IncenGve   §  Tax  ExempGon   INFRASTRUCTURE   §  FaciliGes   §  Building     CAPITAL  GRANT   §  Set  Up  Grant   §  Equipment  Grant   §  Building  Grant   INDUSTRY   LEADERSHIP   §  New  Concepts/Ideas   §  Processes  &  Systems     SHARING   §  Resources/ExperGse   §  Technology   §  Trainers     ACADEMIA   TRAINING  RESOURCE   §  Lecturers   §  Content  Experts     PROGRAM  DEVELOPMENT   §   Training  Materials   Private  Providers   Malaysia  -­‐  The  Penang  Skills  Development  Centre  (PSDC)   Roles  of  the  Various  Stakeholders      
  • 24. G.  M+E   •  Par:cipate  in  the  interna:onal  or  develop  a  na:onal   systems  of  tes:ng  for  competencies/skills:   –  Countries  can  make  a  start  by  considering  parGcipaGng  in   a  few  systems  that  are  present  –  for  example,  SABER  and   STEP  (World  Bank)  and  PIAAC  (OECD)  which  will  allow   them  to  get  valuable  experience  at  relaGvely  low  cost.     –  Always…evaluate  programs    -­‐  feed  lessons  into  improving   design  (e.g.  India  study)  
  • 25. Lessons  of  Experience:  M+E   India:  Value  of  Measuring  Performance  of  System   •  EvaluaGon  of  five  flagship  GoI  Skill  Development  Programs  (SDPs)  in  five  States     •  Although  sGll  fairly  recent,  these  programs  are  not  pilots,    already  more  than  five  million   people  trained  since  2011     •  Push  for  expansion:  Of  the  overall  GoI  target    of  skilling  500  million  by  2022,  the  five  SDPs   have  a  combined  target  of  285  million       •  Findings:     –  Only  25-­‐30%  of  trainees  are  placed  with  support  from  their  TPs.  About  2  years  aqer   training,  the  %  of  trainees  with  jobs  remains  roughly  the  same.   –  SD  programs  give  a  posiGve  earnings  premium:  trainees  who  have  got  a  job  earn  on   average  about  21%  more  than  non-­‐trainees  (  with  same  age,  educaGon,  marital  status,   state  of  residence)     –  Work  experience  before  training  period  (strong  effect),  knowledge  of  English,  and   programs  combining  classroom  training  with  pracGcal  training  in  industry  increase   probability  of  employment  aqer  training.   •  Findings  of  the  Study  have  been  presented  to  the  PM’s  office  and  our  now  a  part  of  the   naLonal  dialogue  on  how  to  improve  the  skills  development  system.    
  • 27. Moving  Forward:  Progress  in  Our  Skills   Development  Work     •  Strong  demand  for  our  skills  development  work  across  the   region  as  countries  are  apempGng  to  improve  labor   producGvity  and  employment   •  Building  evidence  base  on  what  works  and  incorporaGng  into   program  design   •  PiloGng  skills  development  programs  for  increased   producGvity  of  entrepreneurship  and  self  employment  in   informal  serngs   •  SupporGng  governance  reforms  of  skills  systems   •  SupporGng  skills  for  innovaGons  in  more  formal  serngs   •  Leveraging  work  done  with  other  GPs  and  DPs