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PowerPoint Diagram Pack Scenario Planning Scenario Planning is an integral part of the Strategic Planning Process. This document describes a robust 9-phase process for proper scenario planning analysis and shows how to integrate it into a Scenario Planning Workshop environment. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Axes of Uncertainty Axes of Uncertainty Axes of  Uncertainty Axes of  Uncertainty Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
Contents ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Industry Supply Curve is a graphic representation of the Law of Supply—and provides insight into competitive pricing dynamics Scenario Planning Overview Scenario Planning—also called Scenario Thinking or Scenario Analysis—is a method used in the strategic planning process to help businesses make flexible long-term plans. This document describes a 9-phase process for Scenario Planning, and shows how to apply this process to a workshop environment.  Many organizations conduct off-site Scenario Planning Workshops as part their annual strategy development process. THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   Axes of Uncertainty Axes of Uncertainty Axes of  Uncertainty Axes of  Uncertainty Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
Phase 5 : Generate plausible combinations of outcomes Phase 5 – Overview  EXECUTION METHODOLOGIES Don’t try to over-think the process of generate every possible outcome—use sound judgment to evaluate whether the scenarios selected represent the broad range of possible future states TIP THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY ACTIVITIES Breakout groups  Facilitated group discussion  Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
Use the top 2 uncertainties to  create a scenario map for the initial 4 scenarios to work on Phase 5 – Scenario Map Example Harsh Regulatory  Environment Liberal Regulatory  Environment Brand Premium Erodes Brand  Premium Maintains Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
Use the top 2 uncertainties to  create a scenario map for the initial 4 scenarios to work on Phase 5 – Scenario Map Example 2 PRIMARY AXES OF UNCERTAINTIES REMAINING AXES OF UNCERTAINTIES These values defined by the Scenario Map (from previous slide) THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Maintains Erodes Maintains Erodes Brand premium Liberal Liberal Harsh Harsh Regulatory environment … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … High High Low High Threat of digitization Yes No Yes Yes Technology breakthrough Drops Increase Drops Increases Price of oil Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
Phase 6 : Outline the emerging scenarios Phase 6 – Overview  EXECUTION METHODOLOGIES Pick a short, catchy label THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY ACTIVITIES Breakout groups  Facilitated group discussion  Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
Phase 7 : Check scenarios for robustness Phase 7 – Overview  EXECUTION METHODOLOGIES THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY ACTIVITIES Validation with external industry reports  Breakout group presentations  Facilitated group discussion  Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
Phase 8 : Create detailed scenario descriptions Phase 8 – Overview  EXECUTION METHODOLOGIES ,[object Object],[object Object],Leading indicators inform us on when a particular future state is starting to become a reality A leading contra-indicator inform us when a particular scenario be discounted from our future strategies and plans THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY ACTIVITIES Validation groups  Breakout groups  Facilitated group discussion  Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
It is important to document all  leading (contra-)indicators and economic parameters Phase 8 – Key Indicators The tracking and monitoring of these indicators will help determine any  strategic changes in the future. THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/   Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY CONTRA-INDICATORS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],KEY INDICATORS Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank  critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
Successful scenario planning workshops are usually conducted offsite over a 2- or 3-day period with involvement beyond just top management Scenario Planning Workshop – Facilitation Tips ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/
END OF PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and  download it at  http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/
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Scenario Planning

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. The Industry Supply Curve is a graphic representation of the Law of Supply—and provides insight into competitive pricing dynamics Scenario Planning Overview Scenario Planning—also called Scenario Thinking or Scenario Analysis—is a method used in the strategic planning process to help businesses make flexible long-term plans. This document describes a 9-phase process for Scenario Planning, and shows how to apply this process to a workshop environment. Many organizations conduct off-site Scenario Planning Workshops as part their annual strategy development process. THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and download it at http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/ Axes of Uncertainty Axes of Uncertainty Axes of Uncertainty Axes of Uncertainty Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. Use the top 2 uncertainties to create a scenario map for the initial 4 scenarios to work on Phase 5 – Scenario Map Example 2 PRIMARY AXES OF UNCERTAINTIES REMAINING AXES OF UNCERTAINTIES These values defined by the Scenario Map (from previous slide) THIS IS A PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and download it at http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/ Scenario A Scenario B Scenario C Scenario D Maintains Erodes Maintains Erodes Brand premium Liberal Liberal Harsh Harsh Regulatory environment … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … High High Low High Threat of digitization Yes No Yes Yes Technology breakthrough Drops Increase Drops Increases Price of oil Describe scenarios Checked for robustness Outline scenarios Generate outcome combinations Determine outcomes Rank critical uncertainties Identify axes of uncertainties Define scope of scenarios
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. END OF PARTIAL PREVIEW You can preview the full PowerPoint document and download it at http://learnppt.com/powerpoint/
  • 13. Browse our catalog of PowerPoint Diagram Packs http://learnppt.com/powerpoint Join our mailing list and receive the Basic Toolkit for free ! http://learnppt.com/mailinglist Read our eBook – How to Become a PowerPoint Guru http://learnppt.com/

Editor's Notes

  1. 93 09/15/98 11 25