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Dvn july-2018-investor-presentation

  1. NYSE: DVN devonenergy.com Investor Presentation July 2018
  2. 2| Investor Presentation Investor Contacts & Notices Investor Relations Contacts Scott Coody Chris Carr VP, Investor Relations Supervisor, Investor Relations 405-552-4735 405-228-2496 Email: investor.relations@dvn.com Forward-Looking Statements This presentation includes "forward-looking statements" as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). Such statements include those concerning strategic plans, expectations and objectives for future operations, and are often identified by use of the words “expects,” “believes,” “will,” “would,” “could,” “forecasts,” “projections,” “estimates,” “plans,” “expectations,” “targets,” “opportunities,” “potential,” “anticipates,” “outlook” and other similar terminology. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this presentation that address activities, events or developments that the Company expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Such statements are subject to a number of assumptions, risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of the Company. Statements regarding our business and operations are subject to all of the risks and uncertainties normally incident to the exploration for and development and production of oil and gas. These risks include, but are not limited to: the volatility of oil, gas and NGL prices; uncertainties inherent in estimating oil, gas and NGL reserves; the extent to which we are successful in acquiring and discovering Investor Notices additional reserves; the uncertainties, costs and risks involved in oil and gas operations; regulatory restrictions, compliance costs and other risks relating to governmental regulation, including with respect to environmental matters; risks related to our hedging activities; counterparty credit risks; risks relating to our indebtedness; cyberattack risks; our limited control over third parties who operate our oil and gas properties; midstream capacity constraints and potential interruptions in production; the extent to which insurance covers any losses we may experience; competition for leases, materials, people and capital; our ability to successfully complete mergers, acquisitions and divestitures; and any of the other risks and uncertainties identified in our Form 10-K and our other filings with the SEC. Investors are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are made as of the date of this presentation, even if subsequently made available by Devon on its website or otherwise. Devon does not undertake any obligation to update the forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Use of Non-GAAP Information This presentation may include non-GAAP financial measures. Such non-GAAP measures are not alternatives to GAAP measures, and you should not consider these non-GAAP measures in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. For additional disclosure regarding such non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations to their most directly comparable GAAP measure, please refer to Devon’s first-quarter 2018 earnings release at www.devonenergy.com. Cautionary Note to Investors The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves that meet the SEC's definitions for such terms, and price and cost sensitivities for such reserves, and prohibits disclosure of resources that do not constitute such reserves. This presentation may contain certain terms, such as resource potential, potential locations, risked and unrisked locations, estimated ultimate recovery (EUR), exploration target size and other similar terms. These estimates are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized. The SEC guidelines strictly prohibit us from including these estimates in filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 10-K, available at www.devonenergy.com. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or from the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov.
  3. 3| Investor Presentation Investment Thesis DELAWARE & STACK POTENTIAL LOCATIONS>30,000 Multi-decade growth platform Delaware & STACK focused Rapidly expanding cash flow Disciplined capital allocation Significant financial strength
  4. 4| Investor Presentation Devon’s 2020 Vision  Enhance returns through disciplined capital investment  High-grade resource-rich asset portfolio  Net debt to EBITDA target: 1.0x – 1.5x  $4 billion share repurchase program underway Focus on capital efficiency Portfolio simplification Improve financial strength Return cash to shareholders TOP OBJECTIVE: OPTIMIZE RETURNS & DELIVER CAPITAL-EFFICIENT, CASH-FLOW GROWTH  Consistently grow and sustain dividend  Further improve investment-grade credit ratings  >$5 billion asset divestiture target  Improve margins by aggressively lowering cost structure  Leverage technology to optimize base production Maximize cash flow  Concentrated activity in economic core of Delaware & STACK
  5. 5| Investor Presentation 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e 2020 Vision: Driving Significant Cash Flow Growth 114 100 125 150 175 200 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e $- $6 $12 $18 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e G&A Op. Cost Interest Cost savings to expand margins Upstream Per-Unit Cash Cost ($/BOE) Growing higher-value production U.S. Oil Production (MBOD) MID-TEENS CAGR DRIVEN BY >25% CAGR IN DELAWARE & STACK 15% COST SAVINGS $2.2 CAGR >25% Driving upstream cash flow expansion $ Billions ($60 WTI & $2.75 HH) Significant free cash flow generation Through 2020 ($60 WTI & $2.75 HH) CUMULATIVE FREE CASH FLOW 2.5Billion Note: 2017 costs are pro forma for revenue recognition accounting rules recently implemented.
  6. 6| Investor Presentation  Resource quality & depth allows for high- grading of portfolio  Announced >$4 billion of divestitures to date — Monetized entire EnLink ownership ($3.125 billion) — Upstream asset sales: $1.1 billion — No incremental cash taxes from transactions  Currently marketing additional ~$1 billion of non-core asset packages  Expect to reach >$5 billion divestiture target by year-end Portfolio Simplification Strategy DIVESTITURE TARGET Portfolio Simplification >$5 Billion STACK Delaware Basin Rockies Heavy Oil Barnett Eagle Ford
  7. 7| Investor Presentation  $4 billion share-repurchase program underway — Represents ~20% of shares outstanding — Authorization in place through 2019 — Expect to utilize accelerated share-repurchase program(1)  Raised quarterly dividend by 33% — Target cash flow payout ratio: 5% - 10% — Positioned for sustainable dividend growth  Recently tendered $807 million of debt — Plan to retire $277 million of maturing debt (next 9 months) Shareholder-Friendly Initiatives $4 Billion share-repurchase program initiated KEY INITIATIVES UNDERWAY 33% Increase in quarterly cash dividend $1 Billion debt reduction plan (1) Accelerated share repurchase program expected to begin in the third quarter.
  8. 8| Investor Presentation Significant Financial Strength  Investment-grade credit ratings  Substantial liquidity: $1.4 billion of cash  Net debt to EBITDA target: 1.0x to 1.5x  Disciplined hedging program — ~60% of 2018 oil & gas volumes protected — Attractive WCS & Midland basis swaps PROTECTING OUR ABILITY TO EXECUTE INVESTMENT- GRADE CREDIT RATINGS Low Leverage Net debt to EBITDA target: <1.5x Excellent Liquidity Cash: $1.4B Disciplined Hedging 2018: ~60%
  9. 9| Investor Presentation Operational Excellence Maximize base production  Minimize controllable downtime  Enhance well productivity  Leverage midstream operations  Control operating costs Optimize capital program  Disciplined project execution  Perform premier technical work  Focus on development drilling  Accelerate operational efficiencies Capture FULL VALUE Improve RETURNS
  10. 10| Investor Presentation Updated 2018 Outlook  Raised 2018 U.S. oil production guidance — 16% growth vs. 2017 (~30% exit-rate growth) — Guidance increased by ~200 basis points — Driven by efficiencies and well productivity FY 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018e 2H 2018e 2018e Exit Rate 135 - 142 Improving 2018 oil production outlook U.S. oil production (retained assets) (MBOD) 129 - 134 145 - 150 ~30% EXIT-RATE INCREASE VS. 2017 114 122 (1) Represents Devon upstream cash flow. Assumes $65 WTI and $2.75 Henry Hub for Q2 – Q4 2018. $400 $600 $800 Q1 2018 Q2 2018e Q3 2018e Q4 2018e Growing upstream cash flow(1) ($MM) ~35% GROWTH  Positioned for significant cash flow expansion — Driven by high-margin U.S. oil growth — Canadian WCS pricing improving — G&A and interest savings: ~$175 MM annually
  11. 11| Investor Presentation The Next Frontier Of Efficiency Gains  Multi-zone projects to drive returns higher — Increase rig & frac crew efficiencies — Centralized facilities improve cost structure — Higher recoveries from stacked pay — Focused activity maintains short cycle times  Initial Delaware & STACK development highlights: — Capital savings of up to $1.5 MM per well — Record drill times (~30% improvement) — Frac efficiencies reaching as high as 15 stages/day For additional information see our Q1 operations report >20%COST SAVINGS PER WELL TARGETING
  12. 12| Investor Presentation Securing The Supply Chain  Services and supplies secured through 2019 — Dedicated frac crews in Delaware & STACK — Development efficiencies driving rig reductions — Self-sourcing regional sand (~30% savings) — Industry leader in water recycling  Attaining top-tier services at below-market rates — Decoupling historically bundled services — Securing longer-term relationships — Development efficiencies offsetting inflation SERVICES & SUPPLIES SECUREDSERVICES & SUPPLIES SECURED
  13. 13| Investor Presentation Protecting Price & Flow Assurance Houston ~40% of 2018 Delaware volumes transported on Longhorn Delaware gas volumes flow to west coast markets Waha In-basin oil sales protected by basis swaps DELAWARE BASIN: OIL BASIS SWAPS 2018 2019 Midland oil swaps (MBbls/d) 23 28 Avg. differential to WTI ($/Bbl) ($1.02) ($0.46)  Majority of U.S. oil production has access to gulf coast markets (significant premium to WTI pricing)  Delaware Basin positioned for attractive oil pricing — Swaps & firm transport protect ~90% of oil volumes — Gas flows to West Coast (avoids WAHA hub) — Basis swaps protect ~40% of gas production  STACK volumes have access to advantaged markets — Pipeline access to premium gulf coast oil pricing — Firm transport covers vast majority of gas production — ~60% of gas volumes price protected (~$0.50 off HH)  Basis hedges protecting cash flow in Canada — WCS swaps protect ~50% of oil volumes in 2018 ($15 off WTI) Premium Pricing in the Delaware Basin
  14. 14| Investor Presentation Delaware Basin – Franchise Asset World-class oil opportunity Multi-decade growth platform Up to 15 target intervals Accelerating development activity Future Projects (Timing TBD) Current Developments Core Development Area POTATO BASIN TODD THISTLE/GAUCHOCOTTON DRAW RATTLESNAKE Lusitano Completing Boomslang Flowing Back Seawolf Completing Medusa Drilling Anaconda 10 Wells Online Potato Basin Flagler Cobra Tomb Raider Eddy Loving Lea Fighting Okra Drilling Van Doo Dah Snapping North Thistle 34 2018 Spud
  15. 15| Investor Presentation Activity targeting the most prolific zones Delaware Basin – Advantaged State-Line Area Q4 2017 March 2018 2018e Exit Rate >85 60 73 Leonard Bone Spring Wolfcamp Improving cost structure to boost margins LOE & Transportation Expense ($/BOE) Positioned for high-return production growth Production (MBOED) 2018 E&P ACTIVITY Delivered the top wells in Delaware Basin history IP24: 12,868 BOED (82% oil) Boundary Raider 6-7 Com 212H Boundary Raider 6-7 Com 213H IP24: 11,149 BOED (76% oil) $9.10 $8.97 $8.68 ~$7.50 1H 2017 2H 2017 Q1 2018 Year End 2018e Note: 2017 costs are pro forma for revenue recognition accounting rules recently implemented.
  16. 16| Investor Presentation Delaware Basin – Significant Growth Opportunity Massive stacked-pay potential  Multi-decade oil growth opportunity ─ ~300k net surface acres focused in state-line area ─ >1.3 million net effective acres (up to 15 target intervals) ─ Significant resource upside with Wolfcamp delineation DELAWARE BASIN RESOURCE FORMATION NET EFFECTIVE ACRES GROSS RISKED LOCATIONS GROSS UNRISKED LOCATIONS Leonard Shale 160,000 1,000 3,500 Bone Spring 530,000 3,200 6,000 Wolfcamp 460,000 1,500 8,500 Other Targets 180,000 800 2,500 Total >1,300,000 6,500 >20,000
  17. 17| Investor Presentation STACK – Franchise Asset Canadian KingfisherBlaine Caddo Coyote Avg. 30-Day IP 4,400 BOED Showboat Flowing back Horsefly Completing Bernhardt Drilling Best-in-class acreage position >600k net acres by formation Up to 4 target intervals per unit Accelerating development activity Geis 2018 Spud Cascade 2018 Spud Kraken 2018 Spud ML Block 2018 Spud Minnie Haha Northwoods Centaur Future Projects (Timing TBD) 2018 Developments Projects Online
  18. 18| Investor Presentation STACK – Infill Projects Delivering Efficiencies  Record flow rates achieved at Coyote project ─ Project developing Lower Meramec sweet spot ─ Average IP30: 4,400 BOED (60% oil) ─ Drilling times improved by ~25% ─ Completion costs reduced by ~10% vs. prior activity  Showboat cost savings: ~$1.5 million per well ─ 30% faster drill times vs. prior activity ─ 2x improvement in frac stages per day ─ 1st production achieved 40 days ahead of plan ─ Peak project flow rates expected by mid-year Faith Marie Parent Well Online Q4 17 IP30: 4,700 BOED Cottontail Parent Well Online Q1 18 IP30: 4,400 BOEDCoyote Project 4 of 7 wells online Avg. 30-day IP: 4,400 BOED Online in 2018 Flowing Back 16N 12W 17N 12W Coyote Area: A Lower Meramec Sweet Spot $1.5 MM Savings Per Well Drilling Completions Facilities Showboat 2017 Avg. ~8 avg. (up to 11 per day) 4 Showboat Cost Savings Frac Stages Per Day (Showboat)
  19. 19| Investor Presentation STACK – Meramec Drives Strong Oil Growth  Activity concentrated in over-pressured oil window (best returns in play)  Multi-zone projects to accelerate production growth  Positioned for significant resource & inventory upside Activity shifting to economic core >95% WOODFORD 2018 E&P ACTIVITY MERAMEC ACTIVITY Q4 2017 Q1 2018 2018e Exit Rate High-returning production growth Production (MBOED) >140 (>40% oil growth) 117 129 SIGNIFICANT MERAMEC RESOURCE UPSIDE Over-pressured oil acreage 130,000 net surface acres Stacked-pay opportunity Up to 5 Meramec landing zones Risked inventory 6 wells per surface section Current infill spacing tests 9 to 12 wells per surface section
  20. 20| Investor Presentation Investment Thesis DELAWARE & STACK POTENTIAL LOCATIONS>30,000 Multi-decade growth platform Delaware & STACK focused Rapidly expanding cash flow Disciplined capital allocation Significant financial strength
  21. Thank you. Thank you. For additional information see our Q1 Operations Report
  22. 22| Investor Presentation Rockies – An Emerging Oil Growth Asset  Premier Powder River Basin position — Q1 net production: 23 MBOED — Stacked pay: >10 prospective intervals  Testing Niobrara potential (~400k prospective acres) — Initial well flowing back — Completion work underway at 2nd appraisal well  “Super Mario” Turner activity accelerating — ~10 wells scheduled for remainder of 2018 KEY POWDER RIVER BASIN ACTIVITY Q1 2018 Activity Key Wells to Date Upcoming Turner Tests T Cosner Fed 29-1XPH Parkman 30-Day IP: 1,850 BOED T Cosner Fed 29-3XPH Parkman 30-Day IP: 2,400 BOED T Cosner Fed 29-4XPH Parkman 30-Day IP: 2,550 BOED T Cosner Fed 29-2XPH Parkman 30-Day IP: 2,100 BOED Super Mario Area Turner 4-well test Avg. 30-Day IP: 1,500 BOED/well 1st Niobrara Test 30-Day rates in Q2 2nd Niobrara Test 30-Day rates in 2H18 4 Parkman Wells Avg. 30-Day IP: 1,200 BOED/well Avg. Well cost: ~$5mm Teapot Appraisal Well Avg. 30-Day IP: 1,700 BOED/well Well cost: ~$5mm Moore Land Trust 21 1TH Teapot 30-Day IP: 2,500 BOED Moore Land Trust 21 2TH Teapot 30-Day IP: 2,300 BOED
  23. 23| Investor Presentation Heavy Oil  Oil production at high end of guidance in Q1  Q2 volumes impacted by turnaround and royalties — Jackfish turnaround impact: ~15 MBOD — Higher royalties: ~3 MBOD  WCS hedges protecting cash flow in 2018 — ~50% hedged at $15 off WTI — Free cash flow in 2018: $550 million(1) Upstream Revenues WCS Hedges Production Expenses Capex Free Cash Flow Heavy Oil 2018e Free Cash Flow ($MM) $550($275) ($650) $250$1,225 (1) Assumes $65 WTI & $25 differential for remainder of 2018. Q1 PRODUCTION GROSS NET Jackfish 1 (MBOD) 35.0 31.8 Jackfish 2 (MBOD) 41.7 40.3 Jackfish 3 (MBOD) 40.0 38.7 Lloydminster (MBOED) 21.8 20.3 Total Heavy Oil (MBOED) 138.5 131.1 SAGD Sweet Spot 1$ INCREASE IN WCS PER BBL FOR EVERY INCREMENTAL 40MM $ ANNUALIZED CASH FLOW
  24. 24| Investor Presentation Q1 2018 Q2 2018e 2H 2018e 41 52 - 57 (MBOED) 50 - 55 Stabilizing High-Margin Production Eagle Ford  Strong production growth in Q2 (chart below) — Two frac crews currently on site — 25 wells to be tied-in  Plan in place to stabilize production — 35 to 40 new wells online in 2H 2018  Free cash flow in 2018: >$400 million(1) 10 Staggered laterals Lower Eagle Ford Tied In: Q2 2018 15 Staggered laterals Lower Eagle Ford Tied In: Q2 2018 EAGLE FORD HIGHLIGHTS Two Completion Crews 25 WellsExpected Online in Q2 (1) Assumes $65 WTI & $2.75 Henry Hub for remainder of 2018. KEY STATS Q1 18 Q4 17 Net production (MBOED) 41 55 Upstream capital ($MM) $78 $41
  25. 25| Investor Presentation Barnett Shale  Johnson County divestiture announced — Proceeds: $553 million (closing late May) — Q1 production: 33 MBOED (18% liquids)  Partnership formed with DowDupont — Selling ½ working interest in 116 locations — Devon to receive ~$75 million over 5 yrs — Drilling commitment of up to 24 wells/year — No restrictions on exiting Barnett  ~50 horizontal refracs planned in 2018  Capital program to stabilize production for retained Barnett assets (table right) 2018 BARNETT SHALE ACTIVITY OUTLOOK Dow JV Acreage 2018e activity: ~20 wells drilled Refrac Focus Area 2018e activity: ~50 horizontal refracs PRODUCTION (MBOED) Q1 18 Q2 18e 2H 18e Retained Barnett assets 110 105 - 115 110- 115 Johnson County divestiture 33 22 0 Total Barnett production 143 127 - 137 110 - 115
  26. 26| Investor Presentation Innovation Momentum - Technology Projects In Flight Improved 3D seismic interpretation High-graded location selection Optimized landing zones Well productivity predictions Depletion analysis Geospatial optimization Cyber-geosteering Flat, in-zone wells Fiber-optic sensing Prolonged drill-bit life Coiled-tubing drill-outs Efficient flowbacks Cutting-edge frac modeling Accounting process automation World-class partnerships in digital innovation platforms Enterprise dashboards for information Accessible mobile applications across all aspects of the business Water-treatment options Frac fluid chemistry Data acquisition and management systems Leak detection in piping systems Water transfer and storage safety Predictive pump failures Field-issue prioritization Optimized compressors Production monitoring Flood optimization Inter-well communication (data analytics) Gas lift for EOR Targeting hundreds of millions in value creation annually S U B S U R F A C E D R I L L I N G & C O M P L E T I O N S P R O D U C T I O N O P E R A T I O N S W A T E R M A N A G E M E N T C O R P O R A T E
  27. 27| Investor Presentation Hedge Position NATURAL GAS DERIVATIVES SWAPS COLLARS BASIS SWAPS PERIOD VOLUME (MMBTU/D) WEIGHTED AVG. PRICE ($/MMBTU) VOLUME (MMBTU/D) WEIGHTED AVG. FLOOR PRICE ($/MMBTU) WEIGHTED AVG. CEILING PRICE ($/MMBTU) INDEX VOLUME (MMBTU/D) WTD. AVG. DIFF to HENRY HUB ($/MMBTU) INDEX VOLUME (MMBTU/D) WTD. AVG. DIFF to HENRY HUB ($/MMBTU) Q2-Q4 2018 357.3 $2.96 194.8 $2.77 $3.10 PANHANDLE EASTERN 93.5 ($0.48) EL PASO 53.5 ($1.17) FY 2019 118.6 $2.83 87.8 $2.69 $3.06 PANHANDLE EASTERN 5.0 ($0.81) EL PASO 60.0 ($1.58) OIL DERIVATIVES SWAPS COLLARS MIDLAND BASIS SWAPS WCS BASIS SWAPS PERIOD VOLUME WEIGHTED AVG. PRICE VOLUME WEIGHTED AVG. FLOOR PRICE WEIGHTED AVG. CEILING PRICE VOLUME WEIGHTED AVG. DIFF. to WTI VOLUME WEIGHTED AVG. DIFF. to WTI (MBPD) ($/BBL) (MBPD) ($/BBL) ($/BBL) (MBPD) ($/BBL) (MBPD) ($/BBL) Q2-Q4 2018 75.6 $56 92.8 $51 $61 20 ($1.02) 69 ($14.91) FY 2019 40.1 $58 54.8 $52 $62 28 ($0.46) — —
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