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Web 2.0 Weekly
“Market Declines Impact Web 2.0 Universe Valuations”
                                                                                                                                          May 26, 2010

                                                                                                                 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784
                                                                                                                       dshore@mackieresearch.com
                                                                                                                    Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652

                            This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer.
                                                                For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.
                                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com


Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved                                                                 www.mackieresearch.com
Key Developments (past week)
    Deals (M&A, Finance)
     Cyberplex (TSX:CX) announced plans to acquire Tsavo Media for US$75.6 mm,
     partially funded through a C$30 mm bought deal financing at $0.55.
     Online gaming company Gaikai, raised $10.0 mm in Series B financing.
     Blip.TV, online TV provider, raised $10.1 mm in Series C financing.

    Financial Results/Guidance
     Netease.com (NasdaqGS:NTES, online gaming) reported Q1/F10 revenue of RMB 1.2
     bn (vs. RMB 781.7 mm in the same period last year).
     Snap Interactive (OTCBB:STVI, online dating) reported Q1/F10 revenue growth of 20%
     to $0.927 mm from $0.768 mm.




2                                                                           www.mackieresearch.com
Public Company Data




3                         www.mackieresearch.com
Aggregate Public Data

     Web 2.0 Public Companies   Total      Median    Max           Min
    # Companies                   102          -         -           -
    Market Cap (US$ mm)         76,398.3     58.8   33,384.2        1.7
    Revenue (US$ mm)            23,069.7     58.3    3,057.7        0.0
    1 Year revenue growth                   5.5%    857.0%       -91.4%
    EBITDA as % of revenue         -        13.3%    63.1%       -75.0%
    Net cash (US$ mm)           9,067.7      2.0     1,826.7      -670.8
    TEV/Revenue                    -         1.9x     37.3x        0.0x
    TEV/EBITDA                     -         9.2x     45.0x        0.0x
    P/E                            -        15.0x     82.6x        0.0x
    Relative to 52 week high               -41.9%     -4.7%      -96.3%




     Source: CapitalIQ




4                                                          www.mackieresearch.com
5
                                                                      0
                                                                                      5
                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                       15
                                                                                                                                   20
                                                                                                                                             25
                                                                                                                                                            30
                                                          Gaming




                                                                                                                                                       27
                                                Social Networking




                                                                                                                             16
                                                            Media




                                                                                                             10


                                                                                                   7
                                                        Diversified




                                                                                               6
                                                        Marketing




                                                                                           5
                                                           Mobile




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                  3
                                                     Infrastructure




                                                                                  3
                                                      SMS/Voice




                                                                                  3
                                                       Enterprise




                                                                                  3
                                                       Advertising




                                                                              2
                                                    Internet Retail




                                                                              2
                                                     Virtual World
                                                                                                                                                                 By Sector




                                                                              2
                                                            Dating




                                                                              2
                                                            Music




                                                                          1
                                             Vertical Communities




                                                                          1
                                                     Collaboration




                                                                          1
                                                      Podcasting




                                                                          1
                                                         Learning




                                                                          1
                                                              Video




                                                                          1
                                                           Search




                                                                          1
                                                         Payment


                                                                          1
                                                Financial Services
                                                                                                                                                                              Public Company Distribution




                                                                0
                                                                          5
                                                                                      10
                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                  20
                                                                                                                        25
                                                                                                                                  30
                                                                                                                                        35
                                                                                                                                                  40
                                                                                                                                                            45




                                              United States


                                                    Canada


                                                      China


                                                South Korea


                                                      Japan


                                                     Taiwan


                                                   Germany


                                                   Australia


                                             United Kingdom


                                                 Hong Kong


                                                     Poland


                                                     Russia
                                                                                                                                                                 By Country




                                                     Finland


                                                    Sweden


                                                   Malaysia


                                                       India


                                                        Italy


                                                Switzerland


                                                      Israel
www.mackieresearch.com
Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week
                  Market Cap                              EV/Revenue

                               Flat                                     Flat
                               5%                                       3%


                                                                               Rising
                                                                                20%
        Falling
         62%                           Rising
                                        33%     Falling
                                                 77%




                  EV/EBITDA                                  P/E


                                Flat                                      Flat
                                2%                                        0%

                                       Rising
                                                                                 Rising
                                        17%
                                                                                  20%

                                                Falling
        Falling                                  80%
         81%



6                                                                      www.mackieresearch.com
7
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Multiple (x)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4.0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4.5x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5.0x




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       6/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Median EV/Revenue




                                                                                                                                                                                                       7/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       8/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       9/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/6/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      10/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      11/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/15/2009




                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                      12/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       1/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/2/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/9/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/16/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/23/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/2/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            down fourth




                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/9/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/16/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          consecutive week
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Revenue multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/23/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       3/30/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/6/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/13/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/20/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       4/27/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                       5/25/2010
                                                                           393940404041414043434546474746474850515150525354565859596164646463646468696870716965707170707375787780787879788081848281




www.mackieresearch.com
8
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Multiple (x )




                                                                 # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Median EV/EBITDA




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/6/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/22/2009



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/2/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/9/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/16/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/23/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/2/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                below LT average




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/9/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                remain depressed




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/16/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               EV/EBITDA multiples




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/23/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/30/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/6/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/13/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/20/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/27/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2010
                                                                 20 20 22 22 23 23 22 22 24 24 23 23 24 24 26 26 26 26 25 25 26 27 29 30 32 33 35 36 38 41 39 40 39 40 41 39 39 39 42 43 41 41 43 43 42 43 44 47 46 45 51 51 50 53 53 52 53 53 50 50




www.mackieresearch.com
9
                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Multiple (x )




                                                                                                                                                                               # companies
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            5. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             20. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      25. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               30. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       35. 0x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Median P/E

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/5/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/12/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/19/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/26/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/2/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         6/9/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/16/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/23/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        6/30/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         7/7/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/14/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/21/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/28/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         8/4/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/11/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/18/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        8/25/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         9/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/22/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        9/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10/6/2009




                                             Median
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/13/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/20/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       10/27/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        11/3/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/10/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/17/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       11/24/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/1/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        12/8/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/15/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/22/2009



                                             Long-term average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       12/29/2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1/5/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/12/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/19/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1/26/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/2/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2/9/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/16/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2/23/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/2/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3/9/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/16/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        below LT average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        P/E multiples also




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/23/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3/30/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4/6/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/13/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/20/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4/27/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         5/4/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/11/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/18/2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        5/25/2010
                                                                 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 19 20 20 19 18 19 19 20 20 21 25 24 25 25 26 27 26 28 30 31 32 31 32 32 34 35 37 38 38 38 38 39 40 41 39 39 39 37 36 37 33 32 31 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 31 35




www.mackieresearch.com
10
                                                                     -
                                                                                     5.0
                                                                                                   10.0
                                                                                                                   15.0
                                                                                                                                 20.0
                                                                                                                                               25.0




                            # Companies 2
                                                    Infrastructure




                            2
                                                           Music




                            7
                                               Social Networking




                            1
                                                        Learning




                            5
                                                       Diversified




                            1
                                            Vertical Communities




                            4
                                                          Mobile




                            3
                                                     SMS/Voice




                            6
                                                       Marketing

                                                         Gaming




                            21
                            1
                                                          Search




                            1
                                                    Collaboration
                                                                                                                                                      EV/Revenue




                            9
                                                           Media




                            3
                                                      Advertising




                            1
                                                     Podcasting




                            1
                                                           Video




                            2
                                                   Internet Retail




                            3
                                                      Enterprise




                            2
                                                           Dating




                            1
                                               Financial Services




                            1
                                                    Virtual World


                                                                 -
                                                                         2.0
                                                                               4.0
                                                                                           6.0
                                                                                                 8.0
                                                                                                          10.0
                                                                                                                 12.0
                                                                                                                          14.0
                                                                                                                                 16.0
                                                                                                                                        18.0
                                                                                                                                               20.0
                                                                                                                                                                   Average Valuation – by Sector




                         # Companies
                            1
                                                       Mobile
                            2




                                                   Enterprise
                            5




                                                   Diversified
                            2




                                               Internet Retail
                            6




                                                       Media
                            1




                                                Collaboration
                            5




                                            Social Networking
                                                                                                                                                      EV/EBITDA




                                                     Gaming
                            14
                            3




                                                   Marketing
                            1




                                                       Dating
                            1




                                                  Advertising
www.mackieresearch.com
11
                                                                                               0. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     5. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        10. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             15. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                20. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        25. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 35. 0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            40. 0
                                                                            L ook S mart, L td.
                                                                                  As k net AG
                                                                              C y berplex Inc.
                                                                      Actoz S oft C o. , Ltd.




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                       J umbuc k E ntertainment L imited




                                                                                                      0.10.10.20.20.20.3
                                                                        R ealNetwork s Inc.
                                                                              T ree. C om, Inc.
                                                              O penwav e S y s tems Inc .
                                                                   S NAP Interac tive, Inc .
                                                                             G lu Mobile, Inc .
                                                      Northgate T echnologies Limited
                                                                P oints International L td.
                                                                             G igaMedia L td.
                                                                                     AO L, Inc .
                                                                                  DADA S pA
                                                                                   C DC C orp.
                                                     Unis erv e C ommunications C orp.
                                                                      AQ Interactive, Inc.
                                                                        Internet G roup S A
                                                                     IAC /InterActiv eC orp.
                                                                        United O nline, Inc .
                                                                      T heS treet.c om, Inc .
                                                      T he New Y ork T imes C ompany
                                                              NetDragon WebS oft, Inc.
                                                      O AO R B C Information S ys tems
                                                              C ornerWorld C orporation
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    EV/Revenue Ranking




                                                                                                          0.40.4 0.5 0.50.60.6 0.6 0.70.70.70.70.7 0.70.80.80.80.80.9 0.9 1.0 1.0
                                                                            H anbitS oft, Inc .
                                              H utc his on T elecommunic ations H ong
                                                                           infoG R O U P , Inc .
                                                                    S park Network s , Inc.
                                             G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., Ltd.
                                                        O riented Media G roup B erhad
                                                                   NeuLion Inc orporated
                                                                                                                                                                                  1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5

                                                  G ungHo O nline E ntertainment, Inc.
                                                                            V alueC lick , Inc.
                                                                             S hutterfly , Inc .
                                                                          S c ore Media Inc.
                                               P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S . A.
                                                                                 Webz en Inc .
                                                         Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB
                                                                                     XING AG
                                                                              S ohu.c om Inc.
                                                                     P NI Digital Media Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                              1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.02.02.0 2.12.2 2.3




                                                                         U O MO Media, Inc
                                                       Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation
                                                                          O pen T ex t C orp.
                                                         S K C ommunic ations C o. , Ltd.
                                                                              is eemedia Inc.
                                                     F rogs ter Interac tiv e P ic tures AG
                                                                                     eP ro Ltd.
                                                                         My riad G roup AG
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2.6 2.72.92.93.0 3.13.1




                                                          NE O WIZ G ames C orporation
                                                                                  T aleo C orp.
                                                                                      Mix i, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3.4 3.53.63.9




                                                          K ings oft C orporation Limited
                                                                  C hangyou. com Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                revenue multiple at 37.3x
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               SpectrumDNA has highest




                                                                      U nilav a C orporation
                                                                   WebMediaB rands Inc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4.14.24.3 4.4




                                                               F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc.
                                                               L ingo Media C orporation
                                                              HU G H E S T elematic s , Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 5.4 5.5 5.8




                                                           Ac celeriz e New Media, Inc .
                                                                                      V elti P lc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6.26.3




                                                             DigitalP os t Interactiv e, Inc.
                                                                                    G ree, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      7.9 8.4




                                                                               Dena C o. L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             8.8




                                                                        T rans G aming, Inc.
                                                          C hines e G amer International
                                                                            G eoS entric O y j
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   11.211.8




                                                                      MO K O . mobi Limited
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           12.8




                                                               B ey ond C ommerc e, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  14.5




                                                                                      P aid Inc.
                                                                   T enc ent H oldings L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         17.417.5




                                                                          B right T hings plc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                25.7




                                                                       S pectrumDNA, Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   37.3




www.mackieresearch.com
12
                                                                                                                    0.0
                                                                                                                            5.0
                                                                                                                                                                      10.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           15.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 20.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   25.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             30.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       35.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   40.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               45.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  50.0
                                                                                              C y berplex Inc.

                                                                                                    AO L , Inc .




                                                                                                                          1. 5 2.1




                         Source: CapitalIQ
                                                                                          United O nline, Inc .

                                                                                   NetDragon WebS oft, Inc.
                                                      H utc his on T elec ommunications H ong K ong H oldings




                                                                                                                                 3. 9 4.6 5. 0
                                                                               L td.
                                                                                             S ohu.c om Inc.

                                                                           T he New Y ork T imes C ompany
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                                                                        G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc .
                                                                                                   C DC C orp.




                                                                                                                                               5.0 5. 1 6. 1 6. 2 6. 2
                                                                                    C hangy ou.c om L imited

                                                                                      S park Network s , Inc.
                                                                                            infoG R O U P , Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                       6.5 6. 5 6.7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         EV/EBITDA Ranking




                                                                          U nis erve C ommunic ations C orp.
                                                                                                     XING AG

                                                                   G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                    7. 5 8.1 8. 1




                                                                                       P NI Digital Media Inc.

                                                                                                  DADA S pA

                                                                              K ings oft C orporation L imited
                                                                                       IAC /InterAc tiveC orp.

                                                                                           O pen T ex t C orp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                  8. 9 8. 9 9. 2 9.6 9. 7




                                                                     P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S . A.

                                                                                             H anbitS oft, Inc .

                                                                                           S c ore Media Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10. 9 11.2 11. 5




                                                                              NE O WIZ G ames C orporation

                                                                                             S hutterfly , Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               45.0x




                                                                                                    G ree, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               12.6 13.1 13. 8




                                                                                        T heS treet.c om, Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             13.9




                                                                             Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB

                                                                                  O penwave S y s tems Inc .
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Points leads the group at




                                                                                             G igaMedia L td.
                                                                                                     Mix i, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             14. 2 14.4 14. 9 15.2




                                                                          F rogs ter Interactive P ic tures AG
                                                                                               Dena C o. L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     18. 5 19. 3




                                                                              C hines e G amer International
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   22. 0




                                                                                                 T aleo C orp.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           26. 1




                                                                                                      V elti P lc
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    30.4




                                                                                     T enc ent H oldings L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           33. 7




                                                                             S K C ommunic ations C o. , L td.

                                                                                    P oints International L td.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     44.2 45. 0




www.mackieresearch.com
                         Excluding EV/EBITDA > 100x
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations
Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations

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Web 2.0 Weekly Market Declines Impact Valuations

  • 1. Web 2.0 Weekly “Market Declines Impact Web 2.0 Universe Valuations” May 26, 2010 David Shore, CFA, MBA 416.860.6784 dshore@mackieresearch.com Damian Wojcichowsky, CFA 416.860.7652 This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report. www.mackieresearch.com Copyright © 2000-2010, Mackie Research Capital Corporation, All rights reserved www.mackieresearch.com
  • 2. Key Developments (past week) Deals (M&A, Finance) Cyberplex (TSX:CX) announced plans to acquire Tsavo Media for US$75.6 mm, partially funded through a C$30 mm bought deal financing at $0.55. Online gaming company Gaikai, raised $10.0 mm in Series B financing. Blip.TV, online TV provider, raised $10.1 mm in Series C financing. Financial Results/Guidance Netease.com (NasdaqGS:NTES, online gaming) reported Q1/F10 revenue of RMB 1.2 bn (vs. RMB 781.7 mm in the same period last year). Snap Interactive (OTCBB:STVI, online dating) reported Q1/F10 revenue growth of 20% to $0.927 mm from $0.768 mm. 2 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 3. Public Company Data 3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 4. Aggregate Public Data Web 2.0 Public Companies Total Median Max Min # Companies 102 - - - Market Cap (US$ mm) 76,398.3 58.8 33,384.2 1.7 Revenue (US$ mm) 23,069.7 58.3 3,057.7 0.0 1 Year revenue growth 5.5% 857.0% -91.4% EBITDA as % of revenue - 13.3% 63.1% -75.0% Net cash (US$ mm) 9,067.7 2.0 1,826.7 -670.8 TEV/Revenue - 1.9x 37.3x 0.0x TEV/EBITDA - 9.2x 45.0x 0.0x P/E - 15.0x 82.6x 0.0x Relative to 52 week high -41.9% -4.7% -96.3% Source: CapitalIQ 4 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 5. 5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Gaming 27 Social Networking 16 Media 10 7 Diversified 6 Marketing 5 Mobile Source: CapitalIQ 3 Infrastructure 3 SMS/Voice 3 Enterprise 3 Advertising 2 Internet Retail 2 Virtual World By Sector 2 Dating 2 Music 1 Vertical Communities 1 Collaboration 1 Podcasting 1 Learning 1 Video 1 Search 1 Payment 1 Financial Services Public Company Distribution 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 United States Canada China South Korea Japan Taiwan Germany Australia United Kingdom Hong Kong Poland Russia By Country Finland Sweden Malaysia India Italy Switzerland Israel www.mackieresearch.com
  • 6. Valuation Dashboard – 1 Week Market Cap EV/Revenue Flat Flat 5% 3% Rising 20% Falling 62% Rising 33% Falling 77% EV/EBITDA P/E Flat Flat 2% 0% Rising Rising 17% 20% Falling Falling 80% 81% 6 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 7. 7 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x) 0.0x 0.5x 1.0x 1.5x 2.0x 2.5x 3.0x 3.5x 4.0x 4.5x 5.0x # companies 4/7/2009 4/14/2009 4/21/2009 4/28/2009 5/5/2009 5/12/2009 5/19/2009 5/26/2009 6/2/2009 6/9/2009 6/16/2009 6/23/2009 6/30/2009 7/7/2009 7/14/2009 7/21/2009 Median EV/Revenue 7/28/2009 8/4/2009 8/11/2009 8/18/2009 8/25/2009 9/1/2009 9/8/2009 9/15/2009 9/22/2009 9/29/2009 10/6/2009 Median 10/13/2009 10/20/2009 10/27/2009 11/3/2009 11/10/2009 11/17/2009 11/24/2009 12/1/2009 12/8/2009 12/15/2009 Long-term average 12/22/2009 12/29/2009 1/5/2010 1/12/2010 1/19/2010 1/26/2010 2/2/2010 2/9/2010 2/16/2010 2/23/2010 3/2/2010 down fourth 3/9/2010 3/16/2010 consecutive week Revenue multiples 3/23/2010 3/30/2010 4/6/2010 4/13/2010 4/20/2010 4/27/2010 5/4/2010 5/11/2010 5/18/2010 5/25/2010 393940404041414043434546474746474850515150525354565859596164646463646468696870716965707170707375787780787879788081848281 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 8. 8 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 4/7/2009 4/14/2009 4/21/2009 4/28/2009 5/5/2009 5/12/2009 5/19/2009 5/26/2009 6/2/2009 6/9/2009 6/16/2009 6/23/2009 6/30/2009 7/7/2009 Median EV/EBITDA 7/14/2009 7/21/2009 7/28/2009 8/4/2009 8/11/2009 8/18/2009 8/25/2009 9/1/2009 9/8/2009 9/15/2009 9/22/2009 9/29/2009 10/6/2009 Median 10/13/2009 10/20/2009 10/27/2009 11/3/2009 11/10/2009 11/17/2009 11/24/2009 12/1/2009 12/8/2009 12/15/2009 12/22/2009 Long-term average 12/29/2009 1/5/2010 1/12/2010 1/19/2010 1/26/2010 2/2/2010 2/9/2010 2/16/2010 2/23/2010 3/2/2010 below LT average 3/9/2010 remain depressed 3/16/2010 EV/EBITDA multiples 3/23/2010 3/30/2010 4/6/2010 4/13/2010 4/20/2010 4/27/2010 5/4/2010 5/11/2010 5/18/2010 5/25/2010 20 20 22 22 23 23 22 22 24 24 23 23 24 24 26 26 26 26 25 25 26 27 29 30 32 33 35 36 38 41 39 40 39 40 41 39 39 39 42 43 41 41 43 43 42 43 44 47 46 45 51 51 50 53 53 52 53 53 50 50 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 9. 9 Source: CapitalIQ Multiple (x ) # companies 0. 0x 5. 0x 10. 0x 15. 0x 20. 0x 25. 0x 30. 0x 35. 0x 4/7/2009 4/14/2009 4/21/2009 Median P/E 4/28/2009 5/5/2009 5/12/2009 5/19/2009 5/26/2009 6/2/2009 6/9/2009 6/16/2009 6/23/2009 6/30/2009 7/7/2009 7/14/2009 7/21/2009 7/28/2009 8/4/2009 8/11/2009 8/18/2009 8/25/2009 9/1/2009 9/8/2009 9/15/2009 9/22/2009 9/29/2009 10/6/2009 Median 10/13/2009 10/20/2009 10/27/2009 11/3/2009 11/10/2009 11/17/2009 11/24/2009 12/1/2009 12/8/2009 12/15/2009 12/22/2009 Long-term average 12/29/2009 1/5/2010 1/12/2010 1/19/2010 1/26/2010 2/2/2010 2/9/2010 2/16/2010 2/23/2010 3/2/2010 3/9/2010 3/16/2010 below LT average P/E multiples also 3/23/2010 3/30/2010 4/6/2010 4/13/2010 4/20/2010 4/27/2010 5/4/2010 5/11/2010 5/18/2010 5/25/2010 19 19 19 18 18 19 19 19 20 20 19 18 19 19 20 20 21 25 24 25 25 26 27 26 28 30 31 32 31 32 32 34 35 37 38 38 38 38 39 40 41 39 39 39 37 36 37 33 32 31 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 31 35 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 10. 10 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 # Companies 2 Infrastructure 2 Music 7 Social Networking 1 Learning 5 Diversified 1 Vertical Communities 4 Mobile 3 SMS/Voice 6 Marketing Gaming 21 1 Search 1 Collaboration EV/Revenue 9 Media 3 Advertising 1 Podcasting 1 Video 2 Internet Retail 3 Enterprise 2 Dating 1 Financial Services 1 Virtual World - 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 20.0 Average Valuation – by Sector # Companies 1 Mobile 2 Enterprise 5 Diversified 2 Internet Retail 6 Media 1 Collaboration 5 Social Networking EV/EBITDA Gaming 14 3 Marketing 1 Dating 1 Advertising www.mackieresearch.com
  • 11. 11 0. 0 5. 0 10. 0 15. 0 20. 0 25. 0 30. 0 35. 0 40. 0 L ook S mart, L td. As k net AG C y berplex Inc. Actoz S oft C o. , Ltd. Source: CapitalIQ J umbuc k E ntertainment L imited 0.10.10.20.20.20.3 R ealNetwork s Inc. T ree. C om, Inc. O penwav e S y s tems Inc . S NAP Interac tive, Inc . G lu Mobile, Inc . Northgate T echnologies Limited P oints International L td. G igaMedia L td. AO L, Inc . DADA S pA C DC C orp. Unis erv e C ommunications C orp. AQ Interactive, Inc. Internet G roup S A IAC /InterActiv eC orp. United O nline, Inc . T heS treet.c om, Inc . T he New Y ork T imes C ompany NetDragon WebS oft, Inc. O AO R B C Information S ys tems C ornerWorld C orporation EV/Revenue Ranking 0.40.4 0.5 0.50.60.6 0.6 0.70.70.70.70.7 0.70.80.80.80.80.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 H anbitS oft, Inc . H utc his on T elecommunic ations H ong infoG R O U P , Inc . S park Network s , Inc. G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., Ltd. O riented Media G roup B erhad NeuLion Inc orporated 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 G ungHo O nline E ntertainment, Inc. V alueC lick , Inc. S hutterfly , Inc . S c ore Media Inc. P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S . A. Webz en Inc . Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB XING AG S ohu.c om Inc. P NI Digital Media Inc. 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.02.02.0 2.12.2 2.3 U O MO Media, Inc Wiz z ard S oftware C orporation O pen T ex t C orp. S K C ommunic ations C o. , Ltd. is eemedia Inc. F rogs ter Interac tiv e P ic tures AG eP ro Ltd. My riad G roup AG 2.6 2.72.92.93.0 3.13.1 NE O WIZ G ames C orporation T aleo C orp. Mix i, Inc. 3.4 3.53.63.9 K ings oft C orporation Limited C hangyou. com Limited revenue multiple at 37.3x SpectrumDNA has highest U nilav a C orporation WebMediaB rands Inc 4.14.24.3 4.4 F luid Mus ic C anada, Inc. L ingo Media C orporation HU G H E S T elematic s , Inc . 5.4 5.5 5.8 Ac celeriz e New Media, Inc . V elti P lc 6.26.3 DigitalP os t Interactiv e, Inc. G ree, Inc. 7.9 8.4 Dena C o. L td. 8.8 T rans G aming, Inc. C hines e G amer International G eoS entric O y j 11.211.8 MO K O . mobi Limited 12.8 B ey ond C ommerc e, Inc. 14.5 P aid Inc. T enc ent H oldings L td. 17.417.5 B right T hings plc 25.7 S pectrumDNA, Inc . 37.3 www.mackieresearch.com
  • 12. 12 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 45.0 50.0 C y berplex Inc. AO L , Inc . 1. 5 2.1 Source: CapitalIQ United O nline, Inc . NetDragon WebS oft, Inc. H utc his on T elec ommunications H ong K ong H oldings 3. 9 4.6 5. 0 L td. S ohu.c om Inc. T he New Y ork T imes C ompany V alueC lic k , Inc. G ungH o O nline E ntertainment, Inc . C DC C orp. 5.0 5. 1 6. 1 6. 2 6. 2 C hangy ou.c om L imited S park Network s , Inc. infoG R O U P , Inc . 6.5 6. 5 6.7 EV/EBITDA Ranking U nis erve C ommunic ations C orp. XING AG G amania Digital E ntertainment C o., L td. 7. 5 8.1 8. 1 P NI Digital Media Inc. DADA S pA K ings oft C orporation L imited IAC /InterAc tiveC orp. O pen T ex t C orp. 8. 9 8. 9 9. 2 9.6 9. 7 P latforma Mediowa P oint G roup S . A. H anbitS oft, Inc . S c ore Media Inc. 10. 9 11.2 11. 5 NE O WIZ G ames C orporation S hutterfly , Inc. 45.0x G ree, Inc. 12.6 13.1 13. 8 T heS treet.c om, Inc . 13.9 Modern T imes G roup Mtg AB O penwave S y s tems Inc . Points leads the group at G igaMedia L td. Mix i, Inc. 14. 2 14.4 14. 9 15.2 F rogs ter Interactive P ic tures AG Dena C o. L td. 18. 5 19. 3 C hines e G amer International 22. 0 T aleo C orp. 26. 1 V elti P lc 30.4 T enc ent H oldings L td. 33. 7 S K C ommunic ations C o. , L td. P oints International L td. 44.2 45. 0 www.mackieresearch.com Excluding EV/EBITDA > 100x