3. 270
Electoral Votes
Needed to Win

4. Solid Obama States= 201 Electoral Votes
California 55 Maine 4 New York 29
Connecticut 7 Maryland 10 Oregon 7
DC 3 Massachusetts 11 Rhode Island 4
Delaware 3 Minnesota 10 Vermont 3
Hawaii 4 New Jersey 14 Washington 12
Illinois 20 New Mexico 5

5. Solid Romney States= 170 Electoral Votes
Alabama 9 Kentucky 8 South Carolina 9
Alaska 3 Louisiana 8 South Dakota 3
Arkansas 6 Mississippi 6 Tennessee 11
Georgia 16 Montana 3 Texas 38
Idaho 4 Nebraska 5 Utah 6
Indiana 11 North Dakota 3 West Virginia 5
Kansas 6 Oklahoma 7 Wyoming 3

6. Likely Obama Likely Romney
Obama = 36 Electoral Votes Romney = 36 Electoral Votes
Michigan 16 Arizona 11
Missouri 10
Pennsylvania 20
North Carolina 15

7. 8 Toss Up States = 95 Electoral Votes
Colorado 9 Virginia 13
Florida 29 Wisconsin 10
Iowa 6 New Hampshire 4
Ohio 18 Nevada 6

8. Obama 237 - Romney 206
Solid Obama Solid
201 170
Romney
Likely Likely
36 36
Obama Romney
Total Total
237 206
Obama Romney

10. 8 Toss Up States Polling
Colorado R+3 Virginia R+2
Florida R+4 Wisconsin Tie
Iowa R+1 New Hampshire R+1
Ohio R+1 Nevada O+2
Poll Date November 1-2, 2012

11. If Romney Wins
all the States
Where He is +1
or Better.

12. If Romney Doesn’t
Win Ohio, Then He
Must Win
Wisconsin

14. US Senate Make Up
• Democrats Currently Hold 51 Seats
• Republicans Currently 47 Hold Seats
• Independents Currently 2 Hold Seats

15. US Senate Races 2012
• Democrats have 21 Seats up.
• Republicans have 11 Seats up.
• The Independents have 1 Seat up.

16. Targeted Democrat Seats
ND Open Berg +5 R WI Open Thompson +2 R
MT Tesser Rehberg +1 R MO McCaskill McCaskill +4 D
CT Open Murphy Tie D NE Fischer Fischer +5 R
VA Open Kaine +1 D OH Brown Brown +4 D

17. Targeted Republican Seats
ME Open King +8 I
MA Brown Warren +2 D
IN Open Mourdock +2 R
NV Heller Heller +5 R
AZ Open Flake +6 R

18. US Senate
Republicans
Pick Up 3
For 50 Seats