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[Day 2] Center Presentation: ICARDA
1. Update on Geospatial Activities at
ICARDA
E. De Pauw and W. Gö bel
CGIAR-CSI Meeting, ILRI, Nairobi
31 March-4 April 2009
2. Overview
Completed projects
Sunset projects
Continuing projects/activities
New projects
Publications
Interests for collaboration with
extended CSI COP
3. Completed project 1:
Ecogeographical/botanical survey
Area covered:
Jebel Wastani and Jebel Zawia in Idleb province,
NW Syria
Outcomes:
Areas identified unsuitable for rock removal
(based on biophysical and cultural criteria)
Area identified for biodiversity conservation
Guidelines for developing a management plan for
the proposed conservation area
Follow-up 2009:
Soil survey to experiment with Bayesian mapping
methods
4. Completed project 2:
Climate change maps Egypt / Tajikistan
In support of the Expert Consultation
on Climate Change held by WFP in
Cairo, 3-4 November 2008
High-resolution (1 km) change maps
based on the calibration method for
downscaling of average output of 21
GCM models, scenario A1B, time
frame 2080-2099
5. Example of simple downscaling:
Importance of upstream-downstream relationships
Nile Basin:
6. Sunset project 1:
CACILM
Central Asia Sustainable Land Management
Research Project
Multidisciplinary
Role of GIS component:
assist with defining recommendation domains
for technological options tested at CACILM
benchmark sites through
Characterization of benchmark sites
Mapping similarity in climate, land use,
topography and soils
New soil map for Central Asia through
compilation of national maps
7. Sunset project 2:
Agroecological Zoning Egypt
In association with the Agricultural
Research Council (ARC) of Egypt
Integrating climate, land use and soil
information to identify areas with
similar irrigation management needs
8. Sunset project 3:
Turkey Land Suitability Mapping
Ongoing country-level assessment of
agroecological zones and land suitability for 20
crops
Finalized agroclimatic and agroecological
zoning of Turkey
Completing now land suitability component
Outcome for use in other projects:
Models for score-based qualitative crop suitability
assessments
Advantages: more robust, flexible, cheaper and
easier to use in large-area suitability assessments
with limited datasets
Disadvantage: no direct link to yield expectation
9. Sunset project 4:
Sudan (Resource) Poverty Mapping
Components
Mapping agricultural potential regions of Sudan
Characterizing the natural resources constraints and potential
and the production systems of the agricultural potential
regions
Characterizing natural resource potential and poverty by state
in Sudan
Household surveys in selected regions for validation
Adaptation of a methodology developed in Syria
Problems for completing the study:
New census data not yet released by Sudan government
Without population density data not possible to spatialize the
per-capita income from agriculture
Use of remote sensing: above-ground biomass assessment using
MODIS imagery
12. Continuing projects/activities
In the context of climate change research
Enabling current agroclimatic analyses for future
climate
Trend analysis and drought mapping in the
non-tropical drylands; mapping of
interannual climatic variability
Based on analysis of CRU and GPCC data sets
Update of the ICARDA Agroclimate Tool
Better weather generator, better spatialization
methods -> truly site-specific recommendations
and crop monitoring
15. New project 1:
Water harvesting in Libya
Agroecological zoning of Libya
Mapping and characterization of agricultural
regions
Spatial analysis of potential for specific
water harvesting techniques
based on improved Syria methodology
at higher resolution (1:50,000 scale in
agricultural regions of Libya)
Better data availability Libya (especially soils)
Improvements in assessment of runoff/run-on
relationships and for macro-catchment systems
16. New project 2:
Climate change impact
assessments in Central Asia
Funded by Asian Development Bank
GIS component involves mapping for selected
‘futures’(models, time frames and emission scenarios):
basic climate surfaces with medium-resolution for
selected futures
drought risk (probabilities of not exceeding critical
precipitation levels) for climates of the selected futures
shifts in suitability for land use systems (specific crops,
rangelands), using land suitability models
projected shifts of agro-ecosystems (agroecological
zones, agricultural regions, land use systems)
recommendation domains for CACILM technologies
most relevant for CC
Partner: IFPRI
17. New project 3:
Mapping wheat growing areas
Component of ‘Durable Resistance to
Rust in Wheat’:
Funded by B&MGF
Objective 3 ‘Tracking Wheat Rust
Pathogens’ maps of wheat growing areas
GISU role: 1-km resolution mapping of
wheat growing areas in West and South Asia
2009:
Syria covered
Methodology for outscaling to rest of West and
South Asia
18. Publications 1: Publications 2:
Country-level assessment of land Country-level assessment of land
suitability for water harvesting suitability for supplemental irrigation
19. Publications 3: Agroecological zoning Publications 4: Ecogeographical and
and similarity mapping Karkhe River botanical survey in Idleb Province,
Basin, Iran - Ecogeographical and NW Syria
botanical survey
20. GIS in ICARDA
GIS is now ‘mainstreamed’ in ICARDA
Work with all research programs in
several projects
Consensus about staff time recovery (no
more free lunches)
21. Center-wide initiatives of interest
Probabilistic methods of soil
property and crop distribution
mapping
Climate change impact
assessments from biophysical
and socioeconomic perspectives