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LEARNINGS FROM THE MARCH 11
     CATASTROPHE IN JAPAN
 “AN OVERVIEW ON POLICY
    IMPLICATIONS AND
DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
Short term impact over
 the Long TERM Impact
Introduction:

 After the 9.0 magnitude earthquake resulted
    the 10 meter tsunami wave.
   Regional output of prefectures areas
    (damaged) is about 4-6 % of Japan’s GDP
   Kobe Earthquake last 1995 experience
   1994 (17.9 % of the world’s GDP)
   2010 (8.7 % of the world’s GDP)
   Export led economy
 Inadequate natural resources
 Japan’s GDP will decline (JP Morgan and
  Merrill Lynch)
 Japan is one of the nations that has a high
  agricultural tariff
 Japan didn’t ask for any help
Japan’s Top Priorities

 Humanitarian Aid
 Resolving nuclear catastrophe
 Building infrastructures
Basics of Nuclear Reactors

   Attitudes towards safety
   Reactors design inherent safety
   Reactor applied safety
   Engineered safeguards
   Containment, another engineered safeguard
   Design features for normal operation

Note: Nuclear plants are not insured
 commercially
Results:

 US $ 309 B or 16-25 trillion yen cost of
    damaged
   More than 9, 408 death toll and 14, 716
    missing
   From 1.5 % to -0.4% GDP growth rate
   6 Sony Factories were closed
   Exportation of food (milk) were banned
Economic effects:

 Higher energy prices
 Infrastructural renewal project
   Will push up Japan’s public debt
 Banking and insurance losses
 Environmental perceptions on nuclear energy
 Money market (yen depreciation)
 Short term decline of Asian Pacific Economy
 Water crisis
 Destroyed crops
 Negative spillover in the manufacturing
  industries
 Short supply of gasoline
 Global supply lines at risk
Policies Implemented:

 Rationing of electricity/rolling blackouts
    (Tokyo electric Power Co.)
   EU FTA were enacted to help Japan
   Earthquake Reinsurance Account
   Budgetary funding
   Reduced public debt (tax reform)
   Bank of Japan pumped billions of yen (quake
    budget)
 Advance soft loans to commercial banks –
    cash supply ( to stop yen from rising too
    much)
   10 trillion yen ($127B) crisis lending
   Free transportation for evacuees
   Testing of specific crops
   They have their nuclear safety commission
Conclusion:

 Global Growth:
   Japan
    Middle East
    Market Inflation in China
Recommendation:

 The first and most fundamental lesson from
  other natural disasters is that the economy is
  the least important thing to worry about.

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An overview on policy implications and development

  • 1. LEARNINGS FROM THE MARCH 11 CATASTROPHE IN JAPAN “AN OVERVIEW ON POLICY IMPLICATIONS AND DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES
  • 2. Short term impact over the Long TERM Impact
  • 3. Introduction:  After the 9.0 magnitude earthquake resulted the 10 meter tsunami wave.  Regional output of prefectures areas (damaged) is about 4-6 % of Japan’s GDP  Kobe Earthquake last 1995 experience  1994 (17.9 % of the world’s GDP)  2010 (8.7 % of the world’s GDP)  Export led economy
  • 4.  Inadequate natural resources  Japan’s GDP will decline (JP Morgan and Merrill Lynch)  Japan is one of the nations that has a high agricultural tariff  Japan didn’t ask for any help
  • 5. Japan’s Top Priorities  Humanitarian Aid  Resolving nuclear catastrophe  Building infrastructures
  • 6. Basics of Nuclear Reactors  Attitudes towards safety  Reactors design inherent safety  Reactor applied safety  Engineered safeguards  Containment, another engineered safeguard  Design features for normal operation Note: Nuclear plants are not insured commercially
  • 7. Results:  US $ 309 B or 16-25 trillion yen cost of damaged  More than 9, 408 death toll and 14, 716 missing  From 1.5 % to -0.4% GDP growth rate  6 Sony Factories were closed  Exportation of food (milk) were banned
  • 8. Economic effects:  Higher energy prices  Infrastructural renewal project  Will push up Japan’s public debt  Banking and insurance losses  Environmental perceptions on nuclear energy  Money market (yen depreciation)  Short term decline of Asian Pacific Economy
  • 9.  Water crisis  Destroyed crops  Negative spillover in the manufacturing industries  Short supply of gasoline  Global supply lines at risk
  • 10. Policies Implemented:  Rationing of electricity/rolling blackouts (Tokyo electric Power Co.)  EU FTA were enacted to help Japan  Earthquake Reinsurance Account  Budgetary funding  Reduced public debt (tax reform)  Bank of Japan pumped billions of yen (quake budget)
  • 11.  Advance soft loans to commercial banks – cash supply ( to stop yen from rising too much)  10 trillion yen ($127B) crisis lending  Free transportation for evacuees  Testing of specific crops  They have their nuclear safety commission
  • 12. Conclusion:  Global Growth:  Japan Middle East Market Inflation in China
  • 13. Recommendation:  The first and most fundamental lesson from other natural disasters is that the economy is the least important thing to worry about.