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Kim M. Cobb
@coralsncaves
Climate solutions
for a sustainable
world, right here,
right now
1880 1900 1920 1940 1960
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
TemperatureAnomaly(°C)
0.8
Year
Global Average Temperatures
1980 2000
SST(ºC)
d18O(‰)
grey=OISST
colors=coral d18O
Evans et al., 1999
Nurhati et al., 2009
Grothe et al., in review
O’Connor et al., in prep
Christmas coral records track ocean
temperatures over last 30 years
SST(ºC)
d18O(‰)
grey=OISST
colors=coral d18O
Evans et al., 1999
Nurhati et al., 2009
Grothe et al., in review
O’Connor et al., in prep
2016 values are the warmest
of the last millennium
Nov 2015
August, 2014
November, 2015
30-90% bleached
0-90% dead
depending on site
April, 201685% dead
10% bleached
5% healthy
changes in mean climate
state favor eastern
equatorial Pacific warming
so impacts of El Niño are
enhanced in a greenhouse
world (in models)
Cai et al., Nature Geoscience, 2015
April 9, 2016
July 24, Death Valley
Washington Post; link here
Japan, 106F
Algeria, 104F
Oman, 108F at night
Finland, 90F
Seoul, 103F
California,
SIO pier, 79F
Fresno, 100F
July, 2018: one for the record books
July 24, Death Valley
Washington Post; link here
Japan, 106F
Algeria, 104F
Oman, 108F at night
Finland, 90F
Seoul, 103F
California,
SIO pier, 79F
Fresno, 100F
July, 2018: one for the record books
2019 records broken
Angola
Australia
Belgium
France
Germany
Kenya
Netherlands
Vietnam
California, 2018
photo: USDA
California, 2018
photo: USDA
October 27, 2019
photo: CA Dept Transportion, via the LA Times
Hurricane Lane – 52.0 inches of rain
Hurricane Harvey – 60.7 inches of rain
Hurricane Florence – 8 trillion gallons
(source: National Weather Service)
Photo: Al Diaz/Miami Herald/Tribune News Service via Getty Images
Southeast in the bullseye
of climate change impacts
GLOBAL WARMING OF 1.5 °C
an IPCC special report on the impacts of global
warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and
related global greenhouse gas emission pathways,
in the context of strengthening the global response
to the threat of climate change, sustainable
development, and efforts to eradicate poverty
We must urgently and aggressively reduce emissions,
while preparing for our climate of now.
low-carbon energy & energy efficiency
increase natural uptake of CO2
social & cultural change
new partnerships & planning for resilience
If we want to hold warming to less
than 2°C (4F), then we need to get
to NET zero emissions by 2040.
The good news: we only have to reduce our
emissions by 50%
And halting tropical deforestation would save
10% of our annual emissions
What can I do?
What can we do?
What can I do?
What can we do?
What can I do?
What can do?
What can we do?
universities
schools
churches
businesses
Talk about it. All the time.
Reduce your carbon footprint.
Then talk about it.
Help institutions do likewise.
Help elect leaders who
will enact data-driven policy.
Talk about it. All the time.
@coralsncaves
Talk about it. All the time.
Reduce your carbon footprint.
Then talk about it.
biking to work
Carbon saved: 900 lbs/yr
Co-benefits
Health
Daily engagement
Advancing bike
infrastructure
biking to work
Carbon saved: 900 lbs/yr
Engagement score: 10+
picking up plastic trash
carbon saved: 0
engagement score: 10+
line-drying clothes
carbon saved: 1000 lbs/yr
Engagement score: 6
going 100% solar
carbon saved: 12,000 lbs/yr
Engagement score: 3
flying less
carbon saved: 12,000 lbs/yr
Engagement score: TBD
planting trees
carbon saved: 20,000lbs (20 trees)
Engagement score: 10+
My carbon footprint (lbs)
in 2017 in 2018
electricity 3617 2667
gas 1047 1083
car 1800 1000
flights 18000 7000
total 24463 11750
trees planted 15000 20000
(1000lbs/tree)
My carbon footprint (lbs)
in 2017 in 2018
electricity 3617 2667
gas 1047 1083
car 1800 1000
flights 18000 7000
total 24463 11750
trees planted 15000 20000
(1000lbs/tree)
Source: Oxfam, article linked here.
Talk about it. All the time.
Reduce your carbon footprint.
Then talk about it.
Help institutions do likewise.
Help elect leaders who
will enact data-driven policy.
CO2avoided(lbs)The Carbon Reduction Challenge
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
2007 2010 2013 2016
-saving carbon
-saving money
-empowering
students
http://carbonreduction.gatech.edu
30 students design & implement energy saving
plans with large organizations (public & private)
over summer semester
How much is 12,000,000 lbs of CO2?
34 homes fully
powered by
solar panels
for 20 years
Talk about it. All the time.
Reduce your carbon footprint.
Then talk about it.
Help institutions do likewise.
Help elect leaders who
will enact data-driven policy.
Collective Action, locally
climate impacts will touch everyone, and
affect every sector of the economy
if we start now, and work together, we
can limit the worst impacts, WHILE
building healthier communities
scales must consider individuals, to
institutions (companies, universities, etc),
to national and international policy
@coralsncaves
@coralsncaves
All hands on deck
#AllOfTheAbove

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Cobb Centre College, October 2019

  • 1. Kim M. Cobb @coralsncaves Climate solutions for a sustainable world, right here, right now
  • 2. 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 TemperatureAnomaly(°C) 0.8 Year Global Average Temperatures 1980 2000
  • 3.
  • 4. SST(ºC) d18O(‰) grey=OISST colors=coral d18O Evans et al., 1999 Nurhati et al., 2009 Grothe et al., in review O’Connor et al., in prep Christmas coral records track ocean temperatures over last 30 years
  • 5. SST(ºC) d18O(‰) grey=OISST colors=coral d18O Evans et al., 1999 Nurhati et al., 2009 Grothe et al., in review O’Connor et al., in prep 2016 values are the warmest of the last millennium
  • 8. November, 2015 30-90% bleached 0-90% dead depending on site
  • 9. April, 201685% dead 10% bleached 5% healthy
  • 10. changes in mean climate state favor eastern equatorial Pacific warming so impacts of El Niño are enhanced in a greenhouse world (in models) Cai et al., Nature Geoscience, 2015 April 9, 2016
  • 11. July 24, Death Valley Washington Post; link here Japan, 106F Algeria, 104F Oman, 108F at night Finland, 90F Seoul, 103F California, SIO pier, 79F Fresno, 100F July, 2018: one for the record books
  • 12. July 24, Death Valley Washington Post; link here Japan, 106F Algeria, 104F Oman, 108F at night Finland, 90F Seoul, 103F California, SIO pier, 79F Fresno, 100F July, 2018: one for the record books 2019 records broken Angola Australia Belgium France Germany Kenya Netherlands Vietnam
  • 14. California, 2018 photo: USDA October 27, 2019 photo: CA Dept Transportion, via the LA Times
  • 15. Hurricane Lane – 52.0 inches of rain Hurricane Harvey – 60.7 inches of rain Hurricane Florence – 8 trillion gallons (source: National Weather Service)
  • 16. Photo: Al Diaz/Miami Herald/Tribune News Service via Getty Images
  • 17. Southeast in the bullseye of climate change impacts
  • 18. GLOBAL WARMING OF 1.5 °C an IPCC special report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways, in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change, sustainable development, and efforts to eradicate poverty We must urgently and aggressively reduce emissions, while preparing for our climate of now. low-carbon energy & energy efficiency increase natural uptake of CO2 social & cultural change new partnerships & planning for resilience
  • 19. If we want to hold warming to less than 2°C (4F), then we need to get to NET zero emissions by 2040.
  • 20. The good news: we only have to reduce our emissions by 50%
  • 21. And halting tropical deforestation would save 10% of our annual emissions
  • 22. What can I do? What can we do?
  • 23. What can I do? What can we do?
  • 24. What can I do? What can do? What can we do? universities schools churches businesses
  • 25. Talk about it. All the time. Reduce your carbon footprint. Then talk about it. Help institutions do likewise. Help elect leaders who will enact data-driven policy.
  • 26. Talk about it. All the time.
  • 28. Talk about it. All the time. Reduce your carbon footprint. Then talk about it.
  • 29. biking to work Carbon saved: 900 lbs/yr Co-benefits Health Daily engagement Advancing bike infrastructure
  • 30. biking to work Carbon saved: 900 lbs/yr Engagement score: 10+ picking up plastic trash carbon saved: 0 engagement score: 10+ line-drying clothes carbon saved: 1000 lbs/yr Engagement score: 6 going 100% solar carbon saved: 12,000 lbs/yr Engagement score: 3 flying less carbon saved: 12,000 lbs/yr Engagement score: TBD planting trees carbon saved: 20,000lbs (20 trees) Engagement score: 10+
  • 31. My carbon footprint (lbs) in 2017 in 2018 electricity 3617 2667 gas 1047 1083 car 1800 1000 flights 18000 7000 total 24463 11750 trees planted 15000 20000 (1000lbs/tree)
  • 32. My carbon footprint (lbs) in 2017 in 2018 electricity 3617 2667 gas 1047 1083 car 1800 1000 flights 18000 7000 total 24463 11750 trees planted 15000 20000 (1000lbs/tree)
  • 33. Source: Oxfam, article linked here.
  • 34. Talk about it. All the time. Reduce your carbon footprint. Then talk about it. Help institutions do likewise. Help elect leaders who will enact data-driven policy.
  • 35. CO2avoided(lbs)The Carbon Reduction Challenge 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 2007 2010 2013 2016 -saving carbon -saving money -empowering students http://carbonreduction.gatech.edu 30 students design & implement energy saving plans with large organizations (public & private) over summer semester
  • 36. How much is 12,000,000 lbs of CO2? 34 homes fully powered by solar panels for 20 years
  • 37. Talk about it. All the time. Reduce your carbon footprint. Then talk about it. Help institutions do likewise. Help elect leaders who will enact data-driven policy.
  • 39. climate impacts will touch everyone, and affect every sector of the economy if we start now, and work together, we can limit the worst impacts, WHILE building healthier communities scales must consider individuals, to institutions (companies, universities, etc), to national and international policy @coralsncaves
  • 40. @coralsncaves All hands on deck #AllOfTheAbove

Editor's Notes

  1. study past climates with corals and cave stalagmites
  2. In my study area, a natural climate cycle called “El Nino” warms ocean temperatures dramatically every few yaers. You may have heard of it, because we are in the middle of a record-breaking El Nino event right now. Corals at my site have been bathed in waters that are up to 8F warmer than normal for the last 5 months – the longest such stretch on record.