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CREATING
WIN-WIN-WIN APPROACHES
TO ACCOUNTABLE CARE
THROUGH PHYSICIAN LEADERSHIP
Harold D. Miller
President and CEO
Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform
www.CHQPR.org
2© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
3© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #1:
In which U.S. industries
are the key employees told
that at the end of the year,
they can expect to receive
a 25% pay cut
regardless of how well
they’ve performed?
4© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #1:
In which U.S. industries
are the key employees told
that at the end of the year,
they can expect to receive
a 25% pay cut
regardless of how well
they’ve performed?
ANSWER:
Health Care
5© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Medicare SGR Is a Big Problem,
But So Is Lack of Annual Updates
Physician
Practice
Costs
Physician
Payment
Increases
If SGR Cut
Is Made
23% Effective
Reduction
6© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #2:
In which U.S. industries
are businesses
only able to sell
their products and services
through an intermediary who
demands large discounts and
increases prices by 18-25%?
7© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #2:
In which U.S. industries
are businesses
only able to sell
their products and services
through an intermediary who
demands large discounts and
increases prices by 18-25%?
ANSWER:
Health Care
8© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
9© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #3:
In which U.S. industries
can one set of employees
only get a raise if other
employees take a pay cut,
even when the business is
performing well?
10© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #3:
In which U.S. industries
can one set of employees
only get a raise if other
employees take a pay cut,
even when the business is
performing well?
ANSWER:
Health Care
11© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The SGR Also Pits Physicians
Against Each Other
PCP Fees
Specialty
Fees
PCP Fees
Specialty
Fees
Physician Payments Capped by the Sustainable Growth Rate
12© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #4:
In which U.S. industries
does government policy
favor large businesses
over small businesses?
13© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #4:
In which U.S. industries
does government policy
favor large businesses
over small businesses?
ANSWER:
Health Care
14© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Unlike Physicians, Hospitals
Have Received Pay Increases
Physicians
Hospitals
Inflation
15© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #5:
Who is to blame for
the way physicians
are paid and
micromanaged?
16© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Short Quiz
QUESTION #5:
Who is to blame for
the way physicians
are paid and
micromanaged?
ANSWER:
Physicians
17© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Blame Rests With Physicians
• Physicians haven’t defined solutions to control healthcare
costs without rationing
• Physicians are seen as the drivers of higher costs
• Physicians haven’t defined payment models that will support
lower-cost, higher-quality care and maintain financial viability
for physician practices
• Physicians aren’t organized to manage and deliver
high-value population health care to purchasers and patients
18© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Three Paths to the Future: Which
Door Will Physicians Choose?
TODAY
FUTURE #1
FUTURE #2
FUTURE #3
19© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Purchasers & Patients Want:
High-Quality Care at Lower Cost
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
20© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Purchasers & Patients Want:
High-Quality Care at Lower Cost
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
Where Will The Savings Come From?
21© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Purchasers & Patients Want:
High-Quality Care at Lower Cost
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
Where Will The Savings Come From?
It Depends on Who’s the Last in Line
In Getting Paid
22© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Door #1:
Continuation of the Status Quo
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
23© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Who’s First in Line?
Health Plans
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
24© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Who’s Last in Line?
Physicians
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
25© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Where Will Savings Come From?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Savings
TODAY TOMORROW
26© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Will Health Plans Voluntarily
Reduce Their Fees/Profits?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
27© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Will Health Plans Voluntarily
Reduce Their Fees/Profits?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Not
Likely
28© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Can Health Plans Cut Payments
to the Big Hospital in Town?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
29© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Can Health Plans Cut Payments
to the Big Hospital in Town?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Not
Likely
30© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Or Will Payers Continue Cutting
(or Not Increasing) Doctor Pay?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
31© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Not Just Lower Fees, But
Interference in Physician Decisions
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
• Lower Fees
(“Discounts”)
• Prior Authorization
• Step Therapy
• Utilization Review
• Disease Mgt Vendors
32© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Will Employment by Hospitals
Protect Physicians?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Health
System
Payments
Physician
Salaries
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
SavingsHealth Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
33© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
When Health Systems Get Less,
Where Will They Make the Cuts?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Health
System
Payments
Physician
Salaries
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Savings
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Health
System
Payments
Physician
Salaries
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
34© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health Systems Want to Ensure
They Don’t Get Cut by Payers…
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Health
System
Payments
Physician
Salaries
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
Savings
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Health
System
Payments
Physician
Salaries
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Traditional
Insurance
Company/
TPA
35© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health
System w/
Insurance
Company
Door #2:
Hospital-Owned Health Plans
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Health Plan
Admin/Prof.
36© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health
System w/
Insurance
Company
If Hospitals Are Now First In Line,
Where Will Savings Come From?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Health Plan
Admin/Prof.
37© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health
System w/
Insurance
Company
Maybe Health Plan Expenses
Can Be Reduced…
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Health Plan
Admin/Prof.
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
38© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health
System w/
Insurance
Company
…But Hospital Will Still Need the
Health Plan to Watch the Docs
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Health Plan
Admin/Prof.
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
39© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health
System w/
Insurance
Company
So Physicians Will Likely Still Be
Subject to Cuts and Interference
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Savings
Health Plan
Admin/Prof.
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin/Prof.
40© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What’s Behind Door #3?
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Savings
41© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physician-
Led Health
Plans &
Contracting
Physician Leadership to
Control Both Cost & Quality
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Savings
42© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physician-
Led Health
Plans &
Contracting
Physicians Can Watch Themselves,
They Don’t Need Health Plans…
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Savings
43© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physician-
Led Health
Plans &
Contracting
Better Care of Patients Will Reduce
Avoidable Hospitalizations…
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Savings
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Savings
44© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physician-
Led Health
Plans &
Contracting
…Allowing Better Pay for Doctors
AND More Savings for Purchasers
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Savings
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Savings
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
Savings
45© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physician-
Led Health
Plans &
Contracting
Door #3 = A Physician-Led
Healthcare Future
High
Costs
and
Weak
Quality
High
Quality
Care
at
Lower
Cost
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Admin Cost
& Profit
Savings
Hospital
Payments
Physician
Payments
Health Plan
Adm/Profit
• Significant savings
for purchasers and patients
• Better pay for physicians
• Less spending on health plan
overhead
• Less interference in
physician-patient relationship
• Less spending on avoidable
expensive, risky procedures
• Better health and
quality of life for patients
46© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
High Quality Health Plans
Run By Physician Groups
47© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
If Physicians Choose Door #3,
What Must They Do to Succeed?
TODAY
PHYSICIAN-LED
HEALTHCARE
48© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Physician’s Real Business
is More Than Their Salary…
Physician Salary
49© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And More Than Their
Total Practice Costs..
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
50© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…It’s the Tests They Order, Even
If Someone Else Does Them
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Tests and Imaging
51© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…It’s the Procedures They Do,
And Where They Do Them
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
Tests and Imaging
52© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And the Unplanned Admissions
of Their Patients…
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Tests and Imaging
53© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…The Post-Acute Care Costs
After Hospital Stays…
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Tests and Imaging
54© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…The Unplanned Readmissions
and Repeat Procedures…
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
55© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And the Number and Types of
Medications They Prescribe
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
56© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Most of the Money in Healthcare
Doesn’t Go to Physicians
Physicians:
16%
57© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
.. But Most Money Goes to Things
That Physicians Can Influence
Things
Physicians
Prescribe,
Control, or
Influence
84%
Physicians:
16%
58© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Medicare Payment Silos Pit
Physicians Against Each Other
PCP Fees
Specialty
Fees
PCP Fees
Specialty
Fees
Physician
Fees
(Part B)
59© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physicians Should Benefit From
Lowering Other Healthcare Costs
PCP Fees
Specialty
Fees
PCP Fees
Drug
Costs
Hospital &
Post-Acute
Care Costs
Specialty
FeesPhysician
Fees
(Part B)
Total
Healthcare
Costs
(Parts A,
B, and D)
Drug
Costs
(Part D)
Hospital &
Post-Acute
Care Costs
(Part A)
How Do You Repeal the SGR
and Give Physicians Reasonable
Payment Increases?
61© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
10 Year Federal Budget
Projections for Medicare
Physician Fees Only
Represent 12% of
Projected Medicare Spending
62© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
SGR Repeal & MEI Update
Increases Total Spending by 2.6%
SGR Repeal
& MEI Update:
$160 Billion
63© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
3% Savings in Non-Physician
Spending Would Pay for Repeal
$160 Billion=
3% of Non-Physician
Spending
64© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
But Nobody in DC Believes
That Physicians Can/Will Do It
CBO expects that physicians would generally choose to participate
in the payment options that offer the largest payments for the
services they provide…
CBO expects that most of the alternative payment models that
would be adopted under this legislation would increase Medicare
spending. CBO’s review of numerous Medicare demonstration
projects found that very few succeeded in reducing Medicare
spending.
CBO expects that the greater influence of providers within the
design process specified in H.R. 2810 would lead to smaller
savings than would arise from the development and adoption of
new approaches through the [current] CMMI process.
Congressional Budget Office Cost Estimate for H.R. 2810 (September 13, 2013)
65© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
66© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
•Fewer unnecessary tests
•Use of lower-cost tests
•Use of lower cost testing facilities
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
67© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Use of lower-cost procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•Use of lower-cost facilities
•Fewer unnecessary tests
•Use of lower-cost tests
•Use of lower cost testing facilities
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
68© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•More procedures in outpatient settings
•Fewer ER visits for chronic disease
•Fewer admissions for chronic disease
•Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Use of lower-cost procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•Use of lower-cost facilities
•Fewer unnecessary tests
•Use of lower-cost tests
•Use of lower cost testing facilities
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
69© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
•Less use of expensive inpatient rehab
•More in-home services
•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•More procedures in outpatient settings
•Fewer ER visits for chronic disease
•Fewer admissions for chronic disease
•Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Use of lower-cost procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•Use of lower-cost facilities
•Fewer unnecessary tests
•Use of lower-cost tests
•Use of lower cost testing facilities
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
70© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
•Better post-discharge care management
•Fewer complications from procedures
•Less use of expensive inpatient rehab
•More in-home services
•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•More procedures in outpatient settings
•Fewer ER visits for chronic disease
•Fewer admissions for chronic disease
•Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Use of lower-cost procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•Use of lower-cost facilities
•Fewer unnecessary tests
•Use of lower-cost tests
•Use of lower cost testing facilities
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
71© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Only Physicians Can Reduce
Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts
•Use of lower-cost medications
•Avoiding unnecessary medications
•Better post-discharge care management
•Fewer complications from procedures
•Less use of expensive inpatient rehab
•More in-home services
•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•More procedures in outpatient settings
•Fewer ER visits for chronic disease
•Fewer admissions for chronic disease
•Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures
•Use of lower-cost procedures
•Reducing the cost of procedures
•Use of lower-cost facilities
•Fewer unnecessary tests
•Use of lower-cost tests
•Use of lower cost testing facilities
Physician Salary
Practice Expenses
Outpatient Procedures
Inpatient Procedures
and Admissions of
Chronic Disease
Patients
Post-Acute Care
Medications
Tests and Imaging
Readmissions
72© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
How Big Are the Opportunities?
73© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
5-17% of Hospital Admissions
Are Potentially Preventable
Source:
AHRQ
HCUP
74© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Millions of Preventable Events
Harm Patients and Increase Costs
Medical Error
# Errors
(2008)
Cost Per
Error Total U.S. Cost
Pressure Ulcers 374,964 $10,288 $3,857,629,632
Postoperative Infection 252,695 $14,548 $3,676,000,000
Complications of Implanted Device 60,380 $18,771 $1,133,392,980
Infection Following Injection 8,855 $78,083 $691,424,965
Pneumothorax 25,559 $24,132 $616,789,788
Central Venous Catheter Infection 7,062 $83,365 $588,723,630
Others 773,808 $11,640 $9,007,039,005
TOTAL 1,503,323 $13,019 $19,571,000,000
Source: The Economic Measurement of Medical Errors, Milliman and the Society of Actuaries, 2010
3 Adverse Events Every Minute
75© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Many Ways to Reduce Tests &
Procedures w/o Harming Patients
76© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Fee-for-Service Payment is a
Barrier to Success
Lack of Flexibility in FFS
• No payment for phone
calls or emails with
patients
• No payment to coordinate
care among providers
• No payment for non-
physician support
services to help patients
with self-management
• No flexibility to shift
resources across silos
(hospital <-> physician,
post-acute <->hospital,
SNF <-> home health,
etc.)
77© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Fee-for-Service Payment is a
Barrier to Success
Lack of Flexibility in FFS
• No payment for phone
calls or emails with
patients
• No payment to coordinate
care among providers
• No payment for non-
physician support
services to help patients
with self-management
• No flexibility to shift
resources across silos
(hospital <-> physician,
post-acute <->hospital,
SNF <-> home health,
etc.)
Penalty for Quality/Efficiency
• Lower revenues if
patients don’t make
frequent office visits
• Lower revenues for
performing fewer tests
and procedures
• Lower revenues if
infections and
complications are
prevented instead of
treated
• No revenue at all if
patients stay healthy
78© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Most “Payment Reforms”
Don’t Fix The Problems with FFS
FFS
•No payment
for services
that will benefit
patients
•Lower
revenues from
reducing
avoidable
costs
FFS
Shared Savings
Shared Savings
FFS
P4P
FFS
PMPM
79© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Fortunately, There Are Good
Alternatives to Fee for Service
BUILDING
BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS
Bundled
Payment
Single payment to 2+
providers who are now
paid separately (e.g.,
hospital+physician)
80© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Fortunately, There Are Good
Alternatives to Fee for Service
BUILDING
BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS
Bundled
Payment
Single payment to 2+
providers who are now
paid separately (e.g.,
hospital+physician)
Warrantied
Payment
Higher payment for
quality care, no extra
payment for correcting
preventable errors and
complications
81© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Fortunately, There Are Good
Alternatives to Fee for Service
BUILDING
BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS
Bundled
Payment
Single payment to 2+
providers who are now
paid separately (e.g.,
hospital+physician)
Warrantied
Payment
Higher payment for
quality care, no extra
payment for correcting
preventable errors and
complications
Condition-
Based
Payment
Payment based on the
patient’s condition,
rather than on the
procedure used
82© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Accountable Payment Models
Allow Win-Win-Win Approaches
BUILDING
BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS
HOW PHYSICIANS
AND HOSPITALS
CAN BENEFIT
HOW PAYERS
CAN BENEFIT
Bundled
Payment
Single payment to 2+
providers who are now
paid separately (e.g.,
hospital+physician)
Higher payment for
physicians if they
reduce costs paid by
hospitals
Physician and hospital
offer a lower total price
to Medicare or health
plan than today
Warrantied
Payment
Higher payment for
quality care, no extra
payment for correcting
preventable errors and
complications
Higher payment for
physicians and
hospitals with low
rates of infections
and complications
Medicare or health
plan no longer pays
more for high rates of
infections or
complications
Condition-
Based
Payment
Payment based on the
patient’s condition,
rather than on the
procedure used
No loss of payment
for physicians and
hospitals using fewer
tests and procedures
Medicare or health
plan no longer pays
more for unnecessary
procedures
83© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Example: Reducing
Avoidable Procedures
TODAY
$/Patient # Pts Total $
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000
Subtotal $215,000
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
Optional Procedure
for a Condition
• Physician evaluates all
patients
• Physician performs
procedure on 2/3 of
evaluated patients
• Up to 10% of procedures
may be avoidable
through patient choice
or alternative treatment
84© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Most of the Money Today
Is NOT Going to the Physician
TODAY
$/Patient # Pts Total $
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000
Subtotal $215,000
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
Physician Payment is
9% of Total Spending
85© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Typical Health Plan Approach:
Prior Auth/Utilization Controls
TODAY w/ UTILIZATION CTRL
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $150 300 $45,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $850 180 $153,000
Subtotal $215,000 $198,000
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10%
86© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Under FFS, Payer Wins,
Physicians and Hospitals Lose
TODAY w/ UTILIZATION CTRL
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $150 300 $45,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $850 180 $153,000
Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8%
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 -10%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10%
87© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Is There a Better Way?
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 ? ? ?
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 ? ? ?
Subtotal $215,000 ?
? ? ?
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 ? ? ?
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 ? ? ?
88© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Better Way:
Pay Physicians Differently
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,202,000
Better Payment for Condition Management
• Physician paid adequately to engage in shared
decision making process with patients
• Physician paid adequately for procedures without
needing to increase volume of procedures
89© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Physicians Could Be Paid More
While Still Reducing Total $
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 -10%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,202,000 -9%
90© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Do Hospitals Have to Lose In Order
for Physicians To Win?
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 -10%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,202,000 -9%
Physician Wins
Payer Wins
Hospital Loses
91© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Should Matter to Hospitals is
Margin, Not Revenues (Volume)
92© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Hospital Costs Are Not
Proportional to Utilization
$800
$820
$840
$860
$880
$900
$920
$940
$960
$980
$1,000
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96
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98
99
100
$000
#Patients
Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients
.
Costs
20% reduction in volume
7% reduction
in cost
93© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Reductions in Utilization Reduce
Revenues More Than Costs
$800
$820
$840
$860
$880
$900
$920
$940
$960
$980
$1,000
81
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96
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99
100
$000
#Patients
Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients
Revenues
Costs
20% reduction in volume
7% reduction
in cost
20% reduction
in revenue
94© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Causing Negative Margins
for Hospitals
$800
$820
$840
$860
$880
$900
$920
$940
$960
$980
$1,000
81
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98
99
100
$000
#Patients
Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients
Revenues
Costs
Payers Will Be
Underpaying For
Care If
Adverse Events,
Readmissions, Etc.
Are Reduced
95© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
But Spending Can Be Reduced
Without Bankrupting Hospitals
$800
$820
$840
$860
$880
$900
$920
$940
$960
$980
$1,000
81
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100
$000
#Patients
Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients
Revenues
Costs
Payers Can
Still Save $
Without Causing
Negative Margins
for Hospital
96© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Adequacy of Payment Depends On
Fixed/Variable Costs & Margins
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
97© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Now, if the Number of Procedures
is Reduced…
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
98© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…Fixed Costs Will Remain the
Same (in the Short Run)…
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
99© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…Variable Costs Will Go Down in
Proportion to Procedures…
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $3,300 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
100© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And Even With a Higher Margin
for the Hospital…
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
101© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…The Hospital Gets Less Total
Revenue (But More Per Case)…
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
102© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And The Payer
Still Saves Money
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
103© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
I.e., Win-Win-Win for
Physician, Hospital, and Payer
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
Physician Wins
Payer Wins
Hospital Wins
104© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Payment Model Supports
This Win-Win-Win Approach?
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
105© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
It’s Impractical to Renegotiate
Fees for Individual Services
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
106© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Pay Based on the Patient’s
Condition, Not on the Procedure
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
107© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Plan to Offer Care of the Condition
at a Lower Cost Per Patient
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
108© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Use the Payment as a Budget to
Redesign Care…
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
109© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And Let the Providers Decide
How They Should Be Paid
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
110© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Would “Shared Savings”
Achieve the Same Thing?
111© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Same Example As Before…
Year 0
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $45,000
Procedures $170,000
Subtotal $215,000
Hospital Pmt
Procedures $2,200,000
Subtotal $2,200,000
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
Savings
# Patients $/Patient
300 $150
200 $850
200 $11,000
Optional Procedure
for a Condition
• Physician evaluates all
patients
• Physician performs
procedure on 2/3 of
evaluated patients
• Up to 10% of procedures
may be avoidable
through patient choice
or alternative treatment
112© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Year 1: Physicians & Hospitals Both
Lose With Fewer Procedures)
Year 0 Year 1 Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $45,000 $45,000
Procedures $170,000 $153,000
$0
Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8%
Hospital Pmt
Procedures $2,200,000 $1,980,000
Subtotal $2,200,000 $1,980,000 -10%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10%
Savings $237,000
Reduce
Procs
by 10%
Year 1:
Lower
Revenue
for
Docs &
Hospital
113© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Year 2: Losses Are Lower If Shared
Savings Are Paid…(No)
Year 0 Year 1 Chg Year 2 Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $45,000 $45,000 $45,000
Procedures $170,000 $153,000 $153,000
Shared Savings $0 $17,000
Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8% $215,000 -0%
Hospital Pmt
Procedures $2,200,000 $1,980,000 $1,980,000
Shared Savings $0 $101,500
Subtotal $2,200,000 $1,980,000 -10% $2,081,500 -6%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10% $2,296,500 -5%
Savings $237,000 $118,500
Reduce
Procs
by 10%
Year 1:
Lower
Revenue
for
Docs &
Hospital
Year 2:
Shared
Savings
Offsets
Some
Losses
114© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…But Physicians and Hospitals Still
Have Net 2-Year Losses
Year 0 Year 1 Chg Year 2 Chg Cumulative
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $45,000 $45,000 $45,000
Procedures $170,000 $153,000 $153,000
Shared Savings $0 $17,000
Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8% $215,000 -0% -$17,000
-4%
Hospital Pmt
Procedures $2,200,000 $1,980,000 $1,980,000
Shared Savings $0 $101,500
Subtotal $2,200,000 $1,980,000 -10% $2,081,500 -5% -$338,500
-8%
Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10% $2,296,500 -5% $355,500
Savings $237,000 $118,500 -7%
115© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
It’s Even Worse Than That…
• There is no shared savings payment at all if a minimum
total savings level is not reached
• If there is a shared savings payment, it’s reduced if
quality thresholds aren’t met, even if the quality measures
have nothing to do with where savings occurred
• The shared savings payment ends at the end of the
3-year contract period, even if utilization remains lower,
and the payer keeps 100% of the savings in future years
116© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
So Why Do Payers Like The
Shared Savings Model So Much??
It’s easy for them to implement:
• No changes in underlying fee for service payment and no
costs to change claims payment system
• Additional payments only made if savings are achieved
• The payer sets the rules as to how “savings” are calculated
• Shared savings payments are made well after savings are
achieved, helping the payers’ cash flow
• All of the savings goes back to the payer after the end of the
shared savings contract
117© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
“Shared Savings” Forces Hospitals
To Consider Hiring Physicians
• Hospitals are not directly eligible for shared savings;
all savings are attributed to primary care physicians
• Even if the hospital reduces readmissions, infections,
complications, etc., it may receive no reward for doing so
• Reducing hospitalizations, ER visits, etc. will reduce the
hospital’s revenues, but the hospital may receive no share
of the savings to help it cover its stranded fixed costs
• Consequently, hospitals may feel compelled to own
physician practices, either to capture a portion of the
shared savings revenue, or to prevent there from being
any savings!
118© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
It Hasn’t Been Working Too Well in
Medicare So Far
• Of the 109 Track 1 (Upside Only) ACOs that started in 2012:
– 57 (52%) Track 1 ACOs did not achieve savings in 2013
– 25 (23%) Track 1 ACOs achieved savings, but not enough to receive
shared savings payments
– 27 (25%) Track 1 ACOs received shared savings payments
• Of the 5 Track 2 (Downside Risk) ACOs that started in 2012:
– 2 (33%) Track 2 ACOs received shared savings payments
– 3 (67%) Track 2 ACOs had to repay a share of losses to CMS
119© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Condition-Based Payment Puts
the Physicians in Control
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000
Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0%
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10%
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $2,137,000 -3%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
120© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
If The Physician Can Reduce the
Hospital’s Costs Per Procedure….
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000
Subtotal $215,000
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000 -45%
Margin $550 5% $110,000
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
121© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Both the Hospital & Physician Can
“Win” Even More Inside the Budget
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000
Subtotal $215,000
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
122© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Both the Hospital & Physician Can
“Win” Even More Inside the Budget
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $300 300 $90,000
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $1700 180 $340,000
Subtotal $215,000 $430,000 100%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
123© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Or Reduce The Price to Reduce
Healthcare Spending
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $189 300 $56,700
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $1,190 180 $214,200
Subtotal $215,000 $270,900 +26%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,455 300 $2,199,900 -9%
124© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
$2,200 Variation in Average Cost of
Drug-Eluting Stents in CA Hospitals
Source: Coronary Angioplasty with Drug Eluting Stents: Device Costs, Hospital
Costs, and Insurance Payments, Emma L. Dolan and James C. Robinson
Berkeley Center for Health Technology, September 2010
125© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
$8,000 Variation in Avg Costs of
Joint Implants Across CA Hospitals
Source: Implantable Medical Devices for Hip Replacement Surgery: Economic Implications for California Hospitals,
Emma L. Dolan and James C. Robinson , Berkeley Center for Health Technology, May 2010
126© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
$16,000 Variation in Avg Costs of
Defibrillators Across CA Hospitals
Source: Pacemaker and Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Implant Procedures in California Hospitals,
James C. Robinson and Emma L. Dolan, Berkeley Center for Health Technology, 2010
127© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Not Just Devices: Other Savings
Opportunities From Bundling
• Better scheduling of scarce resources (e.g., surgery suites) to
reduce both underutilization & overtime
• Coordination among multiple physicians and departments to
avoid duplication and conflicts in scheduling
• Standardization of equipment and supplies to facilitate bulk
purchasing
• Less wastage of expensive supplies
• Reduced length of stay
• Etc.
128© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Condition-Based Payment Puts
the Physicians in Control
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $189 300 $56,700
Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $1,190 180 $214,200
Subtotal $215,000 $270,900 +26%
Hospital Pmt
Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000
Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000
Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26%
Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13%
Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,455 300 $2,199,900 -9%
129© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Steps to
Successful Payment Reform
1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery
– How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way
care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients?
130© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Best Way to Find Savings
Opportunities? Ask Physicians
“I have zero control over
utilization or studies ordered.
I don’t get paid for calling
a referring doctor and
telling him/her the imaging test
is worthless.”
Radiologist in Maine
“I do many unnecessary
colonoscopies on young men.
Give every PCP an anuscope
to allow diagnosis of bleeding
hemorrhoids in the office.”
Gastroenterologist in Maine
“I strongly suspect overutilization
of abdominal CT scans in the ER
and in the hospital; CT scans lead
to further CT scans to follow up
lung and adrenal nodules. The
hospital focuses on length of stay,
but never looks at appropriateness
of radiologic studies.”
Internist at AMA HOD Meeting
“Patients often need to be in
extended care to receive antibiotics
because Medicare doesn’t pay for
home IV therapy. Patient stays
in the hospital for 3 days to justify
a nursing home/rehab stay.”
Orthopedist at AMA HOD Meeting
131© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Steps to
Successful Payment Reform
1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery
– How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way
care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients?
2. Analyzing Expected Costs and Savings
– What will there be less of, and how much does that save?
– What will there be more of, and how much does that cost?
– Will the savings offset the costs on average?
– How much variation in costs and savings is likely?
132© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Critical Element is
Shared, Trusted Data
• Physician/Hospital need to know the current utilization and
costs for their patients to know whether the new payment
model will cover the costs of delivering effective care to the
patients
• Purchaser/Payer needs to know the current utilization and
costs to know whether the new payment model is a better deal
than they have today
• Both sets of data have to match in order for providers and
payers to agree on the new approach!
133© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Steps to
Successful Payment Reform
1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery
– How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way
care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients?
2. Analyzing Expected Costs and Savings
– What will there be less of, and how much does that save?
– What will there be more of, and how much does that cost?
– Will the savings offset the costs on average?
– How much variation in costs and savings is likely?
3. Designing a Payment Model That Supports Change
– Flexibility to change the way care is delivered
– Accountability for costs and quality/outcomes related to care
– Adequate payment to cover lowest-achievable costs
– Protection for the provider from insurance risk
134© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Opportunities and Solutions
Vary By Specialty
Psychiatry
OB/GYN
Orthopedic
Surgery
Opportunities
to Improve Care
and Reduce Cost
Barriers in
Current
Payment System
Solutions via
Accountable
Payment Models
• Reduce infections
and complications
• Use less expensive
post-acute care
following surgery
• Reduce ER visits
and admissions for
patients with
depression and
chronic disease
• Reduce use of
elective C-sections
• Reduce early
deliveries and
use of NICU
• Similar/lower
payment for
vaginal deliveries
• Condition-based
payment
for total cost of
delivery in low-risk
pregnancy
• Episode payment
for hospital and
post-acute care
costs with
warranty
• No flexibility to
increase inpatient
services to reduce
complications &
post-acute care
• Joint condition-
based payment
to PCP and
psychiatrist
• No payment for
phone consults
with PCPs
• No payment for
RN care managers
Cardiology
• Use less invasive
and expensive
procedures
when appropriate
• Condition-based
payment covering
CABG, PCI, or
medication
management
• Payment is based
on which
procedure is used,
not the outcome
for the patient
135© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Examples from Other Specialties
Oncology
Radiology
Gastroenterology
Opportunities
to Improve Care
and Reduce Cost
Barriers in
Current
Payment System
Solutions via
Accountable
Payment Models
• Reduce unnecessary
colonoscopies and
colon cancer
• Reduce ER/admits for
inflammatory bowel d.
• Reduce ER visits
and admissions for
dehydration
• Reduce anti-emetic
drug costs
• Reduce use of
high-cost imaging
• Improve diagnostic
speed & accuracy
• Low payment for
reading images &
penalty for 2x
• Inability to change
inapprop. orders
• Global payment
for imaging costs
• Partnership in
condition-based
payments
• Population-based
payment for colon
cancer screening
• Condition-based pmt
for IBD
• No flexibility to focus
extra resources on
highest-risk patients
• No flexibility to spend
more on care mgt
• Condition-based
payment including
non-oncolytic Rx
and ED/hospital
utilization
• No flexibility to
spend more on
preventive care
• Payment based on
office visits, not
outcomes
Neurology
• Avoid unnecessary
hospitalizations for
epilepsy patients
• Reduce strokes and
heart attacks after TIA
• Condition-based
payment for epilepsy
• Episode or condition-
based payment for
TIA
• No flexibility to
spend more on
preventive care
• No payment to
coordinate w/ cardio
136© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Steps to
Successful Payment Reform
1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery
– How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way
care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients?
2. Analyzing Expected Costs and Savings
– What will there be less of, and how much does that save?
– What will there be more of, and how much does that cost?
– Will the savings offset the costs on average?
– How much variation in costs and savings is likely?
3. Designing a Payment Model That Supports Change
– Flexibility to change the way care is delivered
– Accountability for costs and quality/outcomes related to care
– Adequate payment to cover lowest-achievable costs
– Protection for the provider from insurance risk
4. Compensating Physicians Appropriately
– Changing payment to the provider organization
(physician practice/group/IPA/health system) does not
automatically change compensation to physicians
137© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
How Does This All Fit Into ACOs?
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
138© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Each Patient Should Choose &
Use a Primary Care Practice…
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Primary Care
Practice
139© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN
…Which Takes Accountability for
What PCPs Can Control/Influence
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Primary Care
Practice
Accountable
Medical
Home Accountability for:
• Avoidable ER Visits
•Avoidable Hospitalizations
•Unnecessary Tests
•Unnecessary Referrals
140© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN
…With a Medical Neighborhood
to Consult With on Complex Cases
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Primary Care
Practice
Accountable
Medical
Home
Endocrinology,
Neurology,
Psychiatry
Accountable
Medical
Neighborhood
Accountability for:
•Unnecessary Tests
•Unnecessary Referrals
•Co-Managed Outcomes
141© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN
..And Specialists Accountable for
the Conditions They Manage
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Primary Care
Practice
Neurosurg.
Group
OB/GYN
Group
Cardiology
Group
Heart Episode/
Condition Pmt
Back Episode/
Condition Pmt
Pregnancy
Management
Pmt
Accountable
Medical
Home
Endocrinology,
Neurology,
Psychiatry
Accountable
Medical
Neighborhood
Accountability for:
•Unnecessary Tests
•Unnecessary Procedures
•Infections, Complications
142© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN
That’s Building the ACO
from the Bottom Up
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Primary Care
Practice
Neurosurg.
Group
OB/GYN
Group
Cardiology
Group
Heart Episode/
Condition Pmt
Back Episode/
Condition Pmt
Pregnancy
Management
Pmt
Accountable
Medical
Home
Endocrinology,
Neurology,
Psychiatry
Accountable
Medical
Neighborhood
ACO
Accountable Payment
Models
143© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN
Shared Savings
Payment
Primary
Care
ACO
Orthopedics OB/GYNCardiology
Most ACOs Today Aren’t Truly
Reinventing Care or Payment
Fee-for-Service
Payment
Expensive
IT Systems
Psych.,
Neuro
Nurse Care
Managers
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Shared Savings
Bonus
144© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN
A True ACO Can Take a Global
Payment And Make It Work
Heart
Disease
Diabetes
Back Pain
PATIENTS
Pregnancy
Primary Care
Practice
ACO
Neurosurg.
Group
OB/GYN
Group
Cardiology
Group
Heart Episode/
Condition Pmt
Back Episode/
Condition Pmt
Pregnancy
Management
Pmt
Accountable
Medical
Home
Endocrinology,
Neurology,
Psychiatry
Risk-Adjusted
Global Payment
Accountable
Medical
Neighborhood
145© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Payment Levels
Adjusted Based on
Patient Conditions
Providers Lose Money
On Unusually
Expensive Cases
Limits on Total Risk
Providers Accept for
Unpredictable Events
Providers Are Paid
Regardless of the
Quality of Care
Bonuses/Penalties
Based on Quality
Measurement
Provider Makes
More Money If
Patients Stay Well
Provider Makes
More Money If
Patients Stay Well
Flexibility to Deliver
Highest-Value
Services
Flexibility to Deliver
Highest-Value
Services
No Additional Revenue
for Taking Sicker
Patients
CAPITATION
(WORST VERSIONS)
RISK-ADJUSTED
GLOBAL PMT
Isn’t This Capitation?
No – It’s Different
146© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Example: BCBS MA
Alternative Quality Contract
• Single payment for all costs of care for a population of patients
– Adjusted up/down annually based on severity of patient conditions
– Initial payment set based on past expenditures, not arbitrary estimates
– Provides flexibility to pay for new/different services
– Bonus paid for high quality care
• Five-year contract
– Savings for payer achieved by controlling increases in costs
– Allows provider to reap returns on investment in preventive care,
infrastructure
• Broad participation
– 14 physician groups/health systems participating with over 400,000
patients, including one primary care IPA with 72 physicians
• Positive two year results
– Higher ambulatory care quality than non-AQC practices, better patient
outcomes, lower readmission rates and ER utilization, lower costs
http://www.bluecrossma.com/visitor/about-us/making-quality-health-care-affordable.html
147© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Barrier: Gaining Support from a
Critical Mass of Payers
Health Plan
Provider
Health Plan Health Plan
Patient Patient Patient
Provider is only compensated for changed practices
for the subset of patients covered by participating payers
Better
Payment
System
Current
Payment
System Current
Payment
System
148© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
For Most Employees, the Employer
is the Insurer, Not a Health Plan
Source:
Employer
Health
Benefits
2012 Annual
Survey.
The Kaiser
Family
Foundation
and Health
Research
and
Educational
Trust
149© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
For Self-Funded Employers, The
Health Plan is Just a Pass Through
Self-
Funded
Purchasers
Providers
ASO
Health Plan
(No Risk)
Provider Claims
Purchaser Payment
150© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Little Incentive for Health Plans to
Support Payment Reforms
True Payment Reform Means:
• Health plan incurs the costs of
implementing new payment models
• Purchaser gains all the savings from
reduced utilization and spending
(because all claims are passed through)
Self-
Funded
Purchasers
Providers
ASO
Health Plan
(No Risk)
Provider Claims
Purchaser Payment
151© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
A Better Approach:
Purchaser/Provider Partnerships
Self-
Funded
Purchasers
Providers
Willing to
Manage
Costs
Better Payment and Benefit Structure
Lower Cost, Higher Quality Care
Provider “wins” if:
• Patients stay healthy
and need less care
• Purchaser pays
provider adequately to
manage care efficiently
Purchasers and
Patients “win” if:
• Providers reduce
purchasers’ costs
• Patients stay healthy
and have lower cost-
sharing
152© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Health Plan Implements Changes
Purchasers/Providers Agree On
Self-
Funded
Purchasers
Providers
Willing to
Manage
Costs
ASO
Health Plan
(No Risk) Implementation
Better Payment and Benefit Structure
Lower Cost, Higher Quality Care
How Many Patients
Do You Need to
(Successfully)
Manage Total Risk?
154© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Companies With <1,000 Workers
Take Total Healthcare Cost Risk
Sources:
Employer
Health
Benefits
2012 Annual
Survey.
The Kaiser
Family
Foundation
and Health
Research
and
Educational
Trust;
State-Level
Trends in
Employer-
Sponsored
Health
Insurance,
April 2013.
State Health
Access Data
Assistance
Center and
Robert
Wood
Johnson
Foundation
Fewer
employees
than typical
physician
practice panel
size
155© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Keys to Managing Risk
• How Do Small Employers Manage Self-Insurance Risk?
– They know who their employees are and can estimate spending
– They start with what they spent last year and try to control growth
– They have reserves to cover year-to-year variation
– They purchase stop-loss insurance to cover unusually expensive cases
156© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Keys to Managing Risk
• How Do Small Employers Manage Self-Insurance Risk?
– They know who their employees are and can estimate spending
– They start with what they spent last year and try to control growth
– They have reserves to cover year-to-year variation
– They purchase stop-loss insurance to cover unusually expensive cases
• How Would Physician Practices & Hospitals Manage Risk?
– They need to know who their patients are in order to project spending
– They need to start with last year’s payments and control growth
– They need some reserves to cover year-to-year variation
– They need to purchase stop-loss insurance to cover unusually
expensive cases
157© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What’s the Patient’s
Role and Accountability?
ProviderPatient
Payment
System
Ability and
Incentives to:
•Keep patients well
•Avoid unneeded
services
•Deliver services
efficiently
•Coordinate
services with other
providers
158© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Benefit Design Changes Are
Also Critical to Success
ProviderPatient
Payment
System
Benefit
Design
Ability and
Incentives to:
•Keep patients well
•Avoid unneeded
services
•Deliver services
efficiently
•Coordinate
services with other
providers
Ability and
Incentives to:
•Improve health
•Take prescribed
medications
•Allow a provider to
coordinate care
•Choose the
highest-value
providers and
services
159© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Barriers In Current
Benefit Designs
• Co-pays, co-insurance, and high deductibles discourage or
prevent patients from using primary care, preventive
treatments, and chronic disease maintenance medications
160© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Example: No Coordination of
Pharmacy & Medical Benefits
Hospital
Costs
Physician
Costs
Other
Services
Medical Benefits
Drug
Costs
Pharmacy Benefits
Single-minded focus on
reducing costs here...
...often results in higher
spending on hospitalizations
•High copays for brand-names
when no generic exists
•Doughnut holes & deductibles
Principal treatment for most
chronic diseases involves regular use
of maintenance medication
161© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Barriers In Current
Benefit Designs
• Co-pays, co-insurance, and high deductibles discourage or
prevent patients from using primary care, preventive
treatments, and chronic disease maintenance medications
• Co-pays, co-insurance, and high deductibles provide little or
no incentive for patients to choose the highest-value providers
for expensive services
162© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Airfare Choices
from Boston to Cleveland
Boston Cleveland
?
USAirways
1-Stop
Coach
$622
United
Non-Stop
Coach
$1,107
United
Non-Stop
First Class
$1,355
Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11
163© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What If We Paid for Travel
the Way We Pay for Healthcare?
Boston Cleveland
?
Consumer Share
of Travel Cost
USAirways
1-Stop
Coach
$622
United
Non-Stop
Coach
$1,107
United
Non-Stop
First Class
$1,355
Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11
164© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Flat Copayments:
First Class Fare Wins
Boston Cleveland
?
Consumer Share
of Travel Cost
USAirways
1-Stop
Coach
$622
United
Non-Stop
Coach
$1,107
United
Non-Stop
First Class
$1,355
$100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100
Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11

165© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Coinsurance:
First Class Fare Probably Wins
Boston Cleveland
?
Consumer Share
of Travel Cost
USAirways
1-Stop
Coach
$622
United
Non-Stop
Coach
$1,107
United
Non-Stop
First Class
$1,355
$100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100
10% Coinsurance: $62 $111 $136
Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11


166© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
High Deductible:
First Class Fare Wins
Boston Cleveland
?
Consumer Share
of Travel Cost
USAirways
1-Stop
Coach
$622
United
Non-Stop
Coach
$1,107
United
Non-Stop
First Class
$1,355
$100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100
10% Coinsurance: $62 $111 $136
$500 Deductible: $500 $500 $500
Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11



167© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Price Difference:
Lowest Coach Fare Wins
Boston Cleveland
?
Consumer Share
of Travel Cost
USAirways
1-Stop
Coach
$622
United
Non-Stop
Coach
$1,107
United
Non-Stop
First Class
$1,355
$100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100
10% Coinsurance: $62 $111 $136
$500 Deductible: $500 $500 $500
Lowest Coach Fare: $0 $485 $733
Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11




168© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Where Will You Get
Your Knee Replaced?
Consumer Share
of Surgery Cost
Price #1
$20,000
Price #2
$25,000
Price #3
$30,000
Knee Joint
Replacement
169© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Where Will You Get
Your Knee Replaced?
Consumer Share
of Surgery Cost
Price #1
$20,000
Price #2
$25,000
Price #3
$30,000
$1,000 Copayment: $1,000 $1,000 $1,000
10% Coinsurance
w/$2,000 OOP Max:
$2,000 $2,000 $2,000
$5,000 Deductible: $5,000 $5,000 $5,000


Knee Joint
Replacement
170© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Where Will You Get
Your Knee Replaced?
Consumer Share
of Surgery Cost
Price #1
$20,000
Price #2
$25,000
Price #3
$30,000
$1,000 Copayment: $1,000 $1,000 $1,000
10% Coinsurance
w/$2,000 OOP Max:
$2,000 $2,000 $2,000
$5,000 Deductible: $5,000 $5,000 $5,000
Highest-Value: $0 $5,000 $10,000




Knee Joint
Replacement
171© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Which Health System or ACO
Will You Choose?
Total Annual Cost
Per Patient/Member
Health
System/
ACO #1
$6,000
Health
System/
ACO #2
$8,000
Health
System/
ACO #3
$10,000
Consumer Share $0 $2,000 $4,000
172© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Would Happen If Consumers
Had Choice & Considered Value?
• Minnesota Patient Choice
– started by the Buyers Health Care Action Group (BHCAG) in the 1990s
– “care systems” bid on risk-adjusted (total) cost of patient care (i.e., risk-
adjusted global payment)
– care systems are divided into cost/quality tiers based on their relative
bids
– consumers pay the difference in the bid price to select a care system in
a higher cost tier
• Results
– Many consumers switched to lower cost providers
– High cost providers reduced their costs to retain/attract patients
This All Sounds Really Hard
Can’t We Just Keep Doing
What We’re Doing Today
Until We Retire?
This All Sounds Really Hard
175© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Opportunities to Reduce Costs
Without Rationing Are Widely Known
Helping Patients with Chronic
Disease Stay Out of Hospital
Reducing Hospital
Readmissions
Reducing Overutilization of
Outpatient Services
Shifting Preference-Sensitive
Care to Lower-Cost Options
Reducing the Cost of
Expensive Inpatient Care
176© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Question is: How Will
Purchasers Get The Savings?
Helping Patients with Chronic
Disease Stay Out of Hospital
Reducing Hospital
Readmissions
Reducing Overutilization of
Outpatient Services
Shifting Preference-Sensitive
Care to Lower-Cost Options
Reducing the Cost of
Expensive Inpatient Care
PURCHASER
?
177© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Payer-Driven Approach
to Achieving Savings
Helping Patients with Chronic
Disease Stay Out of Hospital
Reducing Hospital
Readmissions
Reducing Overutilization of
Outpatient Services
Shifting Preference-Sensitive
Care to Lower-Cost Options
Reducing the Cost of
Expensive Inpatient Care
PURCHASER
Physician P4P
High
Deductibles
Narrow
Networks
Prior
Authorization
Tiering on
Cost
Readmission
Penalty
Managed Fee-for-Service
178© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
The Provider-Driven Approach
to Achieving Savings
Helping Patients with Chronic
Disease Stay Out of Hospital
Reducing Hospital
Readmissions
Reducing Overutilization of
Outpatient Services
Shifting Preference-Sensitive
Care to Lower-Cost Options
Reducing the Cost of
Expensive Inpatient Care
PURCHASER
Coordinated
Care/
Accountable
Care
Organization
Global Pmt/Budget
179© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Very Different Models…
Helping Patients with Chronic
Disease Stay Out of Hospital
Reducing Hospital
Readmissions
Reducing Overutilization of
Outpatient Services
Shifting Preference-Sensitive
Care to Lower-Cost Options
Reducing the Cost of
Expensive Inpatient Care
PURCHASER
Coordinated
Care/
Accountable
Care
Organization
Physician P4P
High
Deductibles
Narrow
Networks
Prior
Authorization
Tiering on
Cost
Readmission
Penalty
Managed Fee-for-Service Global Pmt/Budget
180© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…And Very Different Impacts
on Physicians and Hospitals
PURCHASER
Managed Fee-for-Service
1. Payer defines how care
should be redesigned
2. Payer obtains all savings
from lower utilization
3. Payer decides how much
savings to share with
provider
1. Provider determines how
care should be redesigned
2. Provider and Purchaser
or Payer agree on
adequate price for provider
care and amount of savings
for payer
3. Providers get to keep any
additional savings and to
determine how to divide it
Global Pmt/Budget
181© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Opportunities From Completely
Redesigning Payment & Delivery
• Better Payment for Physicians and Hospitals
– No threats of major fee cuts
– No health plan/benefit manager utilization review
– Physicians and hospitals paid based on quality, not volume
• Truly High Quality, Patient-Centric Care
– Coordinated care by multiple physicians
– Care mgt from providers, not health plans or disease mgt co’s
– Flexibility for telephone, internet, & home visits if patients need them
• Greater Patient Engagement
– Zero or low copayments for essential medications and services
– Higher cost-sharing for unnecessary tests and services
– Incentives for patient wellness and adherence
• Less Spending on Administrative Costs
– Less spending for health plan administrative costs and profits
– Less spending by providers on payer-imposed administrative costs
• Lower Government Spending and Smaller Deficits
• Better Health for Citizens and More Affordable Insurance
182© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Learn More About Win-Win-Win
Payment and Delivery Reform
Center for Healthcare Quality
and Payment Reform
www.PaymentReform.org
For More Information:
Harold D. Miller
President and CEO
Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform
Miller.Harold@GMail.com
(412) 803-3650
www.CHQPR.org
www.PaymentReform.org
APPENDIX
What About Primary Care and
Non-Proceduralists?
186© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Today: Reactive Care for Chronic
Disease, Many Hospitalizations
TODAY
$/Patient # Pts Total $
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000
Specialist 0 $0
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
500 Moderately
Severe Chronic
Disease Patients
• PCP paid only for
periodic office visits
• Patients do not take
maintenance medications
reliably
• 50% of patients are
hospitalized each year
for exacerbations
• Specialist only
sees patient during
hospital admissions
187© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Pay the PCP for
Proactive Care Management
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist 0 $0
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
188© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Pay the Specialist to Be a
Responsive Medical Neighbor
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50%
$80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
189© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Provide Adequate Resources to
Support Patients
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
190© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Can We Afford a 127% Increase in
Spending on Ambulatory Care?
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50%
$80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
191© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Yes, If It Succeeds In
Reducing Hospitalizations
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50%
$80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 150 $1,500,000 -40%
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,180,000 -25%
192© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
But What About the Hospital?
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50%
$80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 150 $1,500,000 -40%
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,180,000 -25%
193© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Analyze the Hospital’s
Cost Structure
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
194© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Continue to Cover the Fixed Costs
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0%
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
195© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Save on Variable Costs
With Fewer Patients
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0%
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40%
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
196© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Increase the Hospital’s
Contribution Margin
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0%
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40%
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10%
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
197© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Payer Still Spends Less
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0%
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40%
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10%
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,817,500 -3%
198© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Win-Win-Win: Better Care, Higher
Physician Pay, Lower Spending
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0%
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40%
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10%
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,817,500 -3%
Physicians Win
Payer Wins
Hospital Wins
199© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Use a Condition-Based Payment
for the Patients to Support Care
TODAY TOMORROW
$/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg
Physician Svcs
PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50%
Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50%
RN Care Mgr $80,000
Hospitalizations
Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0%
Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40%
Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10%
Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0
Total Pmt (Cost) $5,800 500 $2,900,000 $5,635 500 $2,817,500 -3%
APPENDIX
201© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Instead of Having To Accept What
Medicare and Health Plans Pay…
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Commercial
Health Plans
Medicaid
MCOs
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Medicare FFS
Medicaid FFS
MA Plans
Commercial FFS
202© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Could Happen If Physicians
Had Their Own Health Plans?
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Commercial
Health Plans
Medicaid
MCOs
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
MA Plans
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
?
?
?
203© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Get Risk-Adjusted Payment from
Medicare, Pay Physicians Better
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Commercial
Health Plans
Medicaid
MCOs
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
Risk-Adjusted
Medicare
Advantage
Payment
Better
Physician
Payment
204© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Contract Directly with Self-Insured
Employers, Pay Physicians Better
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Commercial
Health Plans
Medicaid
MCOs
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
Risk-Adjusted
Medicare
Advantage
Payment
Better
Physician
Payment
Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
205© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Use Exchanges for Small Group
Business, Pay Physicians Better
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Commercial
Health Plans
Medicaid
MCOs
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
Risk-Adjusted
Medicare
Advantage
Payment
Better
Physician
Payment
Insurance
Exchanges Risk-Adjusted
Premium
Revenue
Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
206© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Contract Directly With State for
Medicaid, Pay Physicians Better
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Commercial
Health Plans
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
Risk-Adjusted
Medicare
Advantage
Payment
Better
Physician
Payment
Risk-Adjusted
Premium
Revenue
Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
Insurance
Exchanges
Risk-Adjusted
Global Payment
207© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Get Global Payment for Large
Groups, Pay Physicians Better
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
Insurance
Exchanges
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
Risk-Adjusted
Medicare
Advantage
Payment
Better
Physician
Payment
Risk-Adjusted
Premium
Revenue
Risk-Adjusted
Global Payment
208© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Result: A “Single Payer System”
Controlled by Physicians
CMS
Physician
Group,
IPA,
or Health
System
Physician
-Owned
Health
Plan
Self-Insured
Employers
Individuals &
Small Groups
Fully Insured
Large Groups
Insurance
Exchanges
State
Medicaid
Medicare
Beneficiaries
Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
Risk-Adjusted
Medicare
Advantage
Payment
Better
Physician
Payment
Risk-Adjusted
Premium
Revenue
Risk-Adjusted
Global Payment
ONE PAYER,
MANY
CUSTOMERS
APPENDIX
210© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
To Set A Fair Price,
Start With Existing Costs…
COST
TIME
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
211© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…Set a Payment Level That Is
≤ Expected Costs…
COST
TIME
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
Exp.
Costs
in
FFS
$
212© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
…If All Goes Well, Costs Will Be
Lower Than the Payment Level…
COST
TIME
Costs
in
New
Pmt
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
213© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
...And Both the Purchaser and
Provider Will “Win”
COST
TIME
Costs
in
New
Pmt
$$$
$$$
Bonus for
Provider
Savings
For Purchaser
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
214© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
What Everybody Fears:
All Won’t Go Well (Costs Go Up)
COST
TIME
Costs
in
New
Pmt
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
215© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Many Different Reasons Costs
May Increase Beyond Payment
COST
TIME
Costs
in
New
Pmt
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Excess
Cost
Unusually
Costly Patient
Overutilization
of Services
New, High-Cost
Treatment
Many Avoidable
Complications
Higher-Severity
Patients
Large Random
Variation
Failure to Follow
Guidelines
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
216© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Providers Should NOT Be
Expected To Take Insurance Risk
COST
TIME
Costs
in
New
Pmt
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Excess
Cost
Unusually
Costly Patient
Overutilization
of Services
New, High-Cost
Treatment
Many Avoidable
Complications
Higher-Severity
Patients
Large Random
Variation
Failure to Follow
Guidelines
Provider
Performance
Risk
Insurance
Risk
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
217© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
Four Mechanisms for Separating
Insurance and Performance Risk
COST
TIME
Costs
in
New
Pmt
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Costs
in
FFS
Bundled
or
Episode
Payment
Level
Excess
Cost
Unusually
Costly Patient
Overutilization
of Services
New, High-Cost
Treatment
Many Avoidable
Complications
Higher-Severity
Patients
Severity
Adjustment
Large Random
Variation
Failure to Follow
Guidelines
Outlier Pmt/
Stop-Loss
Risk
Exclusions
Risk
Corridors
Performance
Risk
(Provider’s
Responsibility)

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Accountable Care Through Physician Leadership

  • 1. CREATING WIN-WIN-WIN APPROACHES TO ACCOUNTABLE CARE THROUGH PHYSICIAN LEADERSHIP Harold D. Miller President and CEO Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
  • 2. 2© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz
  • 3. 3© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #1: In which U.S. industries are the key employees told that at the end of the year, they can expect to receive a 25% pay cut regardless of how well they’ve performed?
  • 4. 4© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #1: In which U.S. industries are the key employees told that at the end of the year, they can expect to receive a 25% pay cut regardless of how well they’ve performed? ANSWER: Health Care
  • 5. 5© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Medicare SGR Is a Big Problem, But So Is Lack of Annual Updates Physician Practice Costs Physician Payment Increases If SGR Cut Is Made 23% Effective Reduction
  • 6. 6© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #2: In which U.S. industries are businesses only able to sell their products and services through an intermediary who demands large discounts and increases prices by 18-25%?
  • 7. 7© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #2: In which U.S. industries are businesses only able to sell their products and services through an intermediary who demands large discounts and increases prices by 18-25%? ANSWER: Health Care
  • 8. 8© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org
  • 9. 9© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #3: In which U.S. industries can one set of employees only get a raise if other employees take a pay cut, even when the business is performing well?
  • 10. 10© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #3: In which U.S. industries can one set of employees only get a raise if other employees take a pay cut, even when the business is performing well? ANSWER: Health Care
  • 11. 11© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The SGR Also Pits Physicians Against Each Other PCP Fees Specialty Fees PCP Fees Specialty Fees Physician Payments Capped by the Sustainable Growth Rate
  • 12. 12© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #4: In which U.S. industries does government policy favor large businesses over small businesses?
  • 13. 13© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #4: In which U.S. industries does government policy favor large businesses over small businesses? ANSWER: Health Care
  • 14. 14© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Unlike Physicians, Hospitals Have Received Pay Increases Physicians Hospitals Inflation
  • 15. 15© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #5: Who is to blame for the way physicians are paid and micromanaged?
  • 16. 16© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Short Quiz QUESTION #5: Who is to blame for the way physicians are paid and micromanaged? ANSWER: Physicians
  • 17. 17© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Blame Rests With Physicians • Physicians haven’t defined solutions to control healthcare costs without rationing • Physicians are seen as the drivers of higher costs • Physicians haven’t defined payment models that will support lower-cost, higher-quality care and maintain financial viability for physician practices • Physicians aren’t organized to manage and deliver high-value population health care to purchasers and patients
  • 18. 18© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Three Paths to the Future: Which Door Will Physicians Choose? TODAY FUTURE #1 FUTURE #2 FUTURE #3
  • 19. 19© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Purchasers & Patients Want: High-Quality Care at Lower Cost High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Savings TODAY TOMORROW
  • 20. 20© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Purchasers & Patients Want: High-Quality Care at Lower Cost High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Savings TODAY TOMORROW Where Will The Savings Come From?
  • 21. 21© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Purchasers & Patients Want: High-Quality Care at Lower Cost High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Savings TODAY TOMORROW Where Will The Savings Come From? It Depends on Who’s the Last in Line In Getting Paid
  • 22. 22© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Door #1: Continuation of the Status Quo High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Savings TODAY TOMORROW
  • 23. 23© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Who’s First in Line? Health Plans High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Savings TODAY TOMORROW
  • 24. 24© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Who’s Last in Line? Physicians High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Savings TODAY TOMORROW
  • 25. 25© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Where Will Savings Come From? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Savings TODAY TOMORROW
  • 26. 26© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Will Health Plans Voluntarily Reduce Their Fees/Profits? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Health Plan Adm/Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings
  • 27. 27© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Will Health Plans Voluntarily Reduce Their Fees/Profits? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Health Plan Adm/Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Not Likely
  • 28. 28© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Can Health Plans Cut Payments to the Big Hospital in Town? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Health Plan Adm/Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings
  • 29. 29© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Can Health Plans Cut Payments to the Big Hospital in Town? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Health Plan Adm/Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Not Likely
  • 30. 30© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Or Will Payers Continue Cutting (or Not Increasing) Doctor Pay? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Health Plan Adm/Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings
  • 31. 31© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Not Just Lower Fees, But Interference in Physician Decisions High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings • Lower Fees (“Discounts”) • Prior Authorization • Step Therapy • Utilization Review • Disease Mgt Vendors
  • 32. 32© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Will Employment by Hospitals Protect Physicians? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Health System Payments Physician Salaries Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA SavingsHealth Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA
  • 33. 33© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org When Health Systems Get Less, Where Will They Make the Cuts? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Health System Payments Physician Salaries Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Savings Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Health System Payments Physician Salaries Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA
  • 34. 34© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health Systems Want to Ensure They Don’t Get Cut by Payers… High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Health System Payments Physician Salaries Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA Savings Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Health System Payments Physician Salaries Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Traditional Insurance Company/ TPA
  • 35. 35© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health System w/ Insurance Company Door #2: Hospital-Owned Health Plans High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Health Plan Admin/Prof.
  • 36. 36© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health System w/ Insurance Company If Hospitals Are Now First In Line, Where Will Savings Come From? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Health Plan Admin/Prof.
  • 37. 37© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health System w/ Insurance Company Maybe Health Plan Expenses Can Be Reduced… High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Health Plan Admin/Prof. Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit
  • 38. 38© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health System w/ Insurance Company …But Hospital Will Still Need the Health Plan to Watch the Docs High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Health Plan Admin/Prof. Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit
  • 39. 39© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health System w/ Insurance Company So Physicians Will Likely Still Be Subject to Cuts and Interference High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Savings Health Plan Admin/Prof. Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin/Prof.
  • 40. 40© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What’s Behind Door #3? High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Savings
  • 41. 41© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physician- Led Health Plans & Contracting Physician Leadership to Control Both Cost & Quality High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Savings
  • 42. 42© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physician- Led Health Plans & Contracting Physicians Can Watch Themselves, They Don’t Need Health Plans… High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Savings
  • 43. 43© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physician- Led Health Plans & Contracting Better Care of Patients Will Reduce Avoidable Hospitalizations… High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Savings Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Savings
  • 44. 44© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physician- Led Health Plans & Contracting …Allowing Better Pay for Doctors AND More Savings for Purchasers High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Savings Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Savings Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit Savings
  • 45. 45© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physician- Led Health Plans & Contracting Door #3 = A Physician-Led Healthcare Future High Costs and Weak Quality High Quality Care at Lower Cost Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Admin Cost & Profit Savings Hospital Payments Physician Payments Health Plan Adm/Profit • Significant savings for purchasers and patients • Better pay for physicians • Less spending on health plan overhead • Less interference in physician-patient relationship • Less spending on avoidable expensive, risky procedures • Better health and quality of life for patients
  • 46. 46© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org High Quality Health Plans Run By Physician Groups
  • 47. 47© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org If Physicians Choose Door #3, What Must They Do to Succeed? TODAY PHYSICIAN-LED HEALTHCARE
  • 48. 48© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Physician’s Real Business is More Than Their Salary… Physician Salary
  • 49. 49© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And More Than Their Total Practice Costs.. Physician Salary Practice Expenses
  • 50. 50© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …It’s the Tests They Order, Even If Someone Else Does Them Physician Salary Practice Expenses Tests and Imaging
  • 51. 51© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …It’s the Procedures They Do, And Where They Do Them Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures Tests and Imaging
  • 52. 52© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And the Unplanned Admissions of Their Patients… Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Tests and Imaging
  • 53. 53© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …The Post-Acute Care Costs After Hospital Stays… Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Tests and Imaging
  • 54. 54© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …The Unplanned Readmissions and Repeat Procedures… Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 55. 55© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And the Number and Types of Medications They Prescribe Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 56. 56© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Most of the Money in Healthcare Doesn’t Go to Physicians Physicians: 16%
  • 57. 57© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org .. But Most Money Goes to Things That Physicians Can Influence Things Physicians Prescribe, Control, or Influence 84% Physicians: 16%
  • 58. 58© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Medicare Payment Silos Pit Physicians Against Each Other PCP Fees Specialty Fees PCP Fees Specialty Fees Physician Fees (Part B)
  • 59. 59© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physicians Should Benefit From Lowering Other Healthcare Costs PCP Fees Specialty Fees PCP Fees Drug Costs Hospital & Post-Acute Care Costs Specialty FeesPhysician Fees (Part B) Total Healthcare Costs (Parts A, B, and D) Drug Costs (Part D) Hospital & Post-Acute Care Costs (Part A)
  • 60. How Do You Repeal the SGR and Give Physicians Reasonable Payment Increases?
  • 61. 61© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org 10 Year Federal Budget Projections for Medicare Physician Fees Only Represent 12% of Projected Medicare Spending
  • 62. 62© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org SGR Repeal & MEI Update Increases Total Spending by 2.6% SGR Repeal & MEI Update: $160 Billion
  • 63. 63© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org 3% Savings in Non-Physician Spending Would Pay for Repeal $160 Billion= 3% of Non-Physician Spending
  • 64. 64© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org But Nobody in DC Believes That Physicians Can/Will Do It CBO expects that physicians would generally choose to participate in the payment options that offer the largest payments for the services they provide… CBO expects that most of the alternative payment models that would be adopted under this legislation would increase Medicare spending. CBO’s review of numerous Medicare demonstration projects found that very few succeeded in reducing Medicare spending. CBO expects that the greater influence of providers within the design process specified in H.R. 2810 would lead to smaller savings than would arise from the development and adoption of new approaches through the [current] CMMI process. Congressional Budget Office Cost Estimate for H.R. 2810 (September 13, 2013)
  • 65. 65© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 66. 66© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts •Fewer unnecessary tests •Use of lower-cost tests •Use of lower cost testing facilities Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 67. 67© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts •Fewer unnecessary procedures •Use of lower-cost procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •Use of lower-cost facilities •Fewer unnecessary tests •Use of lower-cost tests •Use of lower cost testing facilities Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 68. 68© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts •Fewer unnecessary procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •More procedures in outpatient settings •Fewer ER visits for chronic disease •Fewer admissions for chronic disease •Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures •Use of lower-cost procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •Use of lower-cost facilities •Fewer unnecessary tests •Use of lower-cost tests •Use of lower cost testing facilities Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 69. 69© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts •Less use of expensive inpatient rehab •More in-home services •Fewer unnecessary procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •More procedures in outpatient settings •Fewer ER visits for chronic disease •Fewer admissions for chronic disease •Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures •Use of lower-cost procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •Use of lower-cost facilities •Fewer unnecessary tests •Use of lower-cost tests •Use of lower cost testing facilities Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 70. 70© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts •Better post-discharge care management •Fewer complications from procedures •Less use of expensive inpatient rehab •More in-home services •Fewer unnecessary procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •More procedures in outpatient settings •Fewer ER visits for chronic disease •Fewer admissions for chronic disease •Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures •Use of lower-cost procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •Use of lower-cost facilities •Fewer unnecessary tests •Use of lower-cost tests •Use of lower cost testing facilities Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 71. 71© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Only Physicians Can Reduce Costs w/o Rationing or Fee Cuts •Use of lower-cost medications •Avoiding unnecessary medications •Better post-discharge care management •Fewer complications from procedures •Less use of expensive inpatient rehab •More in-home services •Fewer unnecessary procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •More procedures in outpatient settings •Fewer ER visits for chronic disease •Fewer admissions for chronic disease •Z•Fewer unnecessary procedures •Use of lower-cost procedures •Reducing the cost of procedures •Use of lower-cost facilities •Fewer unnecessary tests •Use of lower-cost tests •Use of lower cost testing facilities Physician Salary Practice Expenses Outpatient Procedures Inpatient Procedures and Admissions of Chronic Disease Patients Post-Acute Care Medications Tests and Imaging Readmissions
  • 72. 72© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org How Big Are the Opportunities?
  • 73. 73© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org 5-17% of Hospital Admissions Are Potentially Preventable Source: AHRQ HCUP
  • 74. 74© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Millions of Preventable Events Harm Patients and Increase Costs Medical Error # Errors (2008) Cost Per Error Total U.S. Cost Pressure Ulcers 374,964 $10,288 $3,857,629,632 Postoperative Infection 252,695 $14,548 $3,676,000,000 Complications of Implanted Device 60,380 $18,771 $1,133,392,980 Infection Following Injection 8,855 $78,083 $691,424,965 Pneumothorax 25,559 $24,132 $616,789,788 Central Venous Catheter Infection 7,062 $83,365 $588,723,630 Others 773,808 $11,640 $9,007,039,005 TOTAL 1,503,323 $13,019 $19,571,000,000 Source: The Economic Measurement of Medical Errors, Milliman and the Society of Actuaries, 2010 3 Adverse Events Every Minute
  • 75. 75© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Many Ways to Reduce Tests & Procedures w/o Harming Patients
  • 76. 76© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Fee-for-Service Payment is a Barrier to Success Lack of Flexibility in FFS • No payment for phone calls or emails with patients • No payment to coordinate care among providers • No payment for non- physician support services to help patients with self-management • No flexibility to shift resources across silos (hospital <-> physician, post-acute <->hospital, SNF <-> home health, etc.)
  • 77. 77© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Fee-for-Service Payment is a Barrier to Success Lack of Flexibility in FFS • No payment for phone calls or emails with patients • No payment to coordinate care among providers • No payment for non- physician support services to help patients with self-management • No flexibility to shift resources across silos (hospital <-> physician, post-acute <->hospital, SNF <-> home health, etc.) Penalty for Quality/Efficiency • Lower revenues if patients don’t make frequent office visits • Lower revenues for performing fewer tests and procedures • Lower revenues if infections and complications are prevented instead of treated • No revenue at all if patients stay healthy
  • 78. 78© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Most “Payment Reforms” Don’t Fix The Problems with FFS FFS •No payment for services that will benefit patients •Lower revenues from reducing avoidable costs FFS Shared Savings Shared Savings FFS P4P FFS PMPM
  • 79. 79© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Fortunately, There Are Good Alternatives to Fee for Service BUILDING BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS Bundled Payment Single payment to 2+ providers who are now paid separately (e.g., hospital+physician)
  • 80. 80© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Fortunately, There Are Good Alternatives to Fee for Service BUILDING BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS Bundled Payment Single payment to 2+ providers who are now paid separately (e.g., hospital+physician) Warrantied Payment Higher payment for quality care, no extra payment for correcting preventable errors and complications
  • 81. 81© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Fortunately, There Are Good Alternatives to Fee for Service BUILDING BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS Bundled Payment Single payment to 2+ providers who are now paid separately (e.g., hospital+physician) Warrantied Payment Higher payment for quality care, no extra payment for correcting preventable errors and complications Condition- Based Payment Payment based on the patient’s condition, rather than on the procedure used
  • 82. 82© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Accountable Payment Models Allow Win-Win-Win Approaches BUILDING BLOCKS HOW IT WORKS HOW PHYSICIANS AND HOSPITALS CAN BENEFIT HOW PAYERS CAN BENEFIT Bundled Payment Single payment to 2+ providers who are now paid separately (e.g., hospital+physician) Higher payment for physicians if they reduce costs paid by hospitals Physician and hospital offer a lower total price to Medicare or health plan than today Warrantied Payment Higher payment for quality care, no extra payment for correcting preventable errors and complications Higher payment for physicians and hospitals with low rates of infections and complications Medicare or health plan no longer pays more for high rates of infections or complications Condition- Based Payment Payment based on the patient’s condition, rather than on the procedure used No loss of payment for physicians and hospitals using fewer tests and procedures Medicare or health plan no longer pays more for unnecessary procedures
  • 83. 83© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Example: Reducing Avoidable Procedures TODAY $/Patient # Pts Total $ Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 Subtotal $215,000 Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 Optional Procedure for a Condition • Physician evaluates all patients • Physician performs procedure on 2/3 of evaluated patients • Up to 10% of procedures may be avoidable through patient choice or alternative treatment
  • 84. 84© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Most of the Money Today Is NOT Going to the Physician TODAY $/Patient # Pts Total $ Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 Subtotal $215,000 Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 Physician Payment is 9% of Total Spending
  • 85. 85© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Typical Health Plan Approach: Prior Auth/Utilization Controls TODAY w/ UTILIZATION CTRL $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $150 300 $45,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $850 180 $153,000 Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10%
  • 86. 86© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Under FFS, Payer Wins, Physicians and Hospitals Lose TODAY w/ UTILIZATION CTRL $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $150 300 $45,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $850 180 $153,000 Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8% Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 -10% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10%
  • 87. 87© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Is There a Better Way? TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 ? ? ? Procedures $850 200 $170,000 ? ? ? Subtotal $215,000 ? ? ? ? Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 ? ? ? Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 ? ? ?
  • 88. 88© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Better Way: Pay Physicians Differently TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,202,000 Better Payment for Condition Management • Physician paid adequately to engage in shared decision making process with patients • Physician paid adequately for procedures without needing to increase volume of procedures
  • 89. 89© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Physicians Could Be Paid More While Still Reducing Total $ TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 -10% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,202,000 -9%
  • 90. 90© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Do Hospitals Have to Lose In Order for Physicians To Win? TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,000 180 $1,980,000 -10% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,202,000 -9% Physician Wins Payer Wins Hospital Loses
  • 91. 91© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Should Matter to Hospitals is Margin, Not Revenues (Volume)
  • 92. 92© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Hospital Costs Are Not Proportional to Utilization $800 $820 $840 $860 $880 $900 $920 $940 $960 $980 $1,000 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 $000 #Patients Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients . Costs 20% reduction in volume 7% reduction in cost
  • 93. 93© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Reductions in Utilization Reduce Revenues More Than Costs $800 $820 $840 $860 $880 $900 $920 $940 $960 $980 $1,000 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 $000 #Patients Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients Revenues Costs 20% reduction in volume 7% reduction in cost 20% reduction in revenue
  • 94. 94© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Causing Negative Margins for Hospitals $800 $820 $840 $860 $880 $900 $920 $940 $960 $980 $1,000 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 $000 #Patients Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients Revenues Costs Payers Will Be Underpaying For Care If Adverse Events, Readmissions, Etc. Are Reduced
  • 95. 95© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org But Spending Can Be Reduced Without Bankrupting Hospitals $800 $820 $840 $860 $880 $900 $920 $940 $960 $980 $1,000 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 $000 #Patients Cost & Revenue Changes With Fewer Patients Revenues Costs Payers Can Still Save $ Without Causing Negative Margins for Hospital
  • 96. 96© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Adequacy of Payment Depends On Fixed/Variable Costs & Margins TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
  • 97. 97© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Now, if the Number of Procedures is Reduced… TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
  • 98. 98© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …Fixed Costs Will Remain the Same (in the Short Run)… TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
  • 99. 99© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …Variable Costs Will Go Down in Proportion to Procedures… TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $3,300 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
  • 100. 100© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And Even With a Higher Margin for the Hospital… TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
  • 101. 101© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …The Hospital Gets Less Total Revenue (But More Per Case)… TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000
  • 102. 102© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And The Payer Still Saves Money TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 103. 103© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org I.e., Win-Win-Win for Physician, Hospital, and Payer TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2% Physician Wins Payer Wins Hospital Wins
  • 104. 104© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Payment Model Supports This Win-Win-Win Approach? TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 105. 105© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org It’s Impractical to Renegotiate Fees for Individual Services TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 106. 106© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Pay Based on the Patient’s Condition, Not on the Procedure TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 107. 107© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Plan to Offer Care of the Condition at a Lower Cost Per Patient TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 108. 108© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Use the Payment as a Budget to Redesign Care… TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 109. 109© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And Let the Providers Decide How They Should Be Paid TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 $11,872 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 110. 110© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Would “Shared Savings” Achieve the Same Thing?
  • 111. 111© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Same Example As Before… Year 0 Physician Svcs Evaluations $45,000 Procedures $170,000 Subtotal $215,000 Hospital Pmt Procedures $2,200,000 Subtotal $2,200,000 Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 Savings # Patients $/Patient 300 $150 200 $850 200 $11,000 Optional Procedure for a Condition • Physician evaluates all patients • Physician performs procedure on 2/3 of evaluated patients • Up to 10% of procedures may be avoidable through patient choice or alternative treatment
  • 112. 112© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Year 1: Physicians & Hospitals Both Lose With Fewer Procedures) Year 0 Year 1 Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $45,000 $45,000 Procedures $170,000 $153,000 $0 Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8% Hospital Pmt Procedures $2,200,000 $1,980,000 Subtotal $2,200,000 $1,980,000 -10% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10% Savings $237,000 Reduce Procs by 10% Year 1: Lower Revenue for Docs & Hospital
  • 113. 113© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Year 2: Losses Are Lower If Shared Savings Are Paid…(No) Year 0 Year 1 Chg Year 2 Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $45,000 $45,000 $45,000 Procedures $170,000 $153,000 $153,000 Shared Savings $0 $17,000 Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8% $215,000 -0% Hospital Pmt Procedures $2,200,000 $1,980,000 $1,980,000 Shared Savings $0 $101,500 Subtotal $2,200,000 $1,980,000 -10% $2,081,500 -6% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10% $2,296,500 -5% Savings $237,000 $118,500 Reduce Procs by 10% Year 1: Lower Revenue for Docs & Hospital Year 2: Shared Savings Offsets Some Losses
  • 114. 114© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …But Physicians and Hospitals Still Have Net 2-Year Losses Year 0 Year 1 Chg Year 2 Chg Cumulative Physician Svcs Evaluations $45,000 $45,000 $45,000 Procedures $170,000 $153,000 $153,000 Shared Savings $0 $17,000 Subtotal $215,000 $198,000 -8% $215,000 -0% -$17,000 -4% Hospital Pmt Procedures $2,200,000 $1,980,000 $1,980,000 Shared Savings $0 $101,500 Subtotal $2,200,000 $1,980,000 -10% $2,081,500 -5% -$338,500 -8% Total Pmt/Cost $2,415,000 $2,178,000 -10% $2,296,500 -5% $355,500 Savings $237,000 $118,500 -7%
  • 115. 115© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org It’s Even Worse Than That… • There is no shared savings payment at all if a minimum total savings level is not reached • If there is a shared savings payment, it’s reduced if quality thresholds aren’t met, even if the quality measures have nothing to do with where savings occurred • The shared savings payment ends at the end of the 3-year contract period, even if utilization remains lower, and the payer keeps 100% of the savings in future years
  • 116. 116© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org So Why Do Payers Like The Shared Savings Model So Much?? It’s easy for them to implement: • No changes in underlying fee for service payment and no costs to change claims payment system • Additional payments only made if savings are achieved • The payer sets the rules as to how “savings” are calculated • Shared savings payments are made well after savings are achieved, helping the payers’ cash flow • All of the savings goes back to the payer after the end of the shared savings contract
  • 117. 117© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org “Shared Savings” Forces Hospitals To Consider Hiring Physicians • Hospitals are not directly eligible for shared savings; all savings are attributed to primary care physicians • Even if the hospital reduces readmissions, infections, complications, etc., it may receive no reward for doing so • Reducing hospitalizations, ER visits, etc. will reduce the hospital’s revenues, but the hospital may receive no share of the savings to help it cover its stranded fixed costs • Consequently, hospitals may feel compelled to own physician practices, either to capture a portion of the shared savings revenue, or to prevent there from being any savings!
  • 118. 118© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org It Hasn’t Been Working Too Well in Medicare So Far • Of the 109 Track 1 (Upside Only) ACOs that started in 2012: – 57 (52%) Track 1 ACOs did not achieve savings in 2013 – 25 (23%) Track 1 ACOs achieved savings, but not enough to receive shared savings payments – 27 (25%) Track 1 ACOs received shared savings payments • Of the 5 Track 2 (Downside Risk) ACOs that started in 2012: – 2 (33%) Track 2 ACOs received shared savings payments – 3 (67%) Track 2 ACOs had to repay a share of losses to CMS
  • 119. 119© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Condition-Based Payment Puts the Physicians in Control TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $200 300 $60,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $900 180 $162,000 Subtotal $215,000 $222,000 +3% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 -0% Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $594,000 -10% Margin $550 5% $110,000 $113,000 +3% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $2,137,000 -3% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 120. 120© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org If The Physician Can Reduce the Hospital’s Costs Per Procedure…. TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 Subtotal $215,000 Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000 -45% Margin $550 5% $110,000 Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 121. 121© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Both the Hospital & Physician Can “Win” Even More Inside the Budget TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 Subtotal $215,000 Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 122. 122© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Both the Hospital & Physician Can “Win” Even More Inside the Budget TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $300 300 $90,000 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $1700 180 $340,000 Subtotal $215,000 $430,000 100% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,863 300 $2,359,000 -2%
  • 123. 123© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Or Reduce The Price to Reduce Healthcare Spending TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $189 300 $56,700 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $1,190 180 $214,200 Subtotal $215,000 $270,900 +26% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,455 300 $2,199,900 -9%
  • 124. 124© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org $2,200 Variation in Average Cost of Drug-Eluting Stents in CA Hospitals Source: Coronary Angioplasty with Drug Eluting Stents: Device Costs, Hospital Costs, and Insurance Payments, Emma L. Dolan and James C. Robinson Berkeley Center for Health Technology, September 2010
  • 125. 125© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org $8,000 Variation in Avg Costs of Joint Implants Across CA Hospitals Source: Implantable Medical Devices for Hip Replacement Surgery: Economic Implications for California Hospitals, Emma L. Dolan and James C. Robinson , Berkeley Center for Health Technology, May 2010
  • 126. 126© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org $16,000 Variation in Avg Costs of Defibrillators Across CA Hospitals Source: Pacemaker and Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Implant Procedures in California Hospitals, James C. Robinson and Emma L. Dolan, Berkeley Center for Health Technology, 2010
  • 127. 127© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Not Just Devices: Other Savings Opportunities From Bundling • Better scheduling of scarce resources (e.g., surgery suites) to reduce both underutilization & overtime • Coordination among multiple physicians and departments to avoid duplication and conflicts in scheduling • Standardization of equipment and supplies to facilitate bulk purchasing • Less wastage of expensive supplies • Reduced length of stay • Etc.
  • 128. 128© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Condition-Based Payment Puts the Physicians in Control TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Patient # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs Evaluations $150 300 $45,000 $189 300 $56,700 Procedures $850 200 $170,000 $1,190 180 $214,200 Subtotal $215,000 $270,900 +26% Hospital Pmt Fixed Costs $7,150 65% $1,430,000 $1,430,000 Variable Costs $3,300 30% $660,000 $2,000 $360,000 Margin $550 5% $110,000 $139,000 +26% Subtotal $11,000 200 $2,200,000 180 $1,929,000 -13% Total Pmt/Cost $8,050 300 $2,415,000 $7,455 300 $2,199,900 -9%
  • 129. 129© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Steps to Successful Payment Reform 1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery – How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients?
  • 130. 130© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Best Way to Find Savings Opportunities? Ask Physicians “I have zero control over utilization or studies ordered. I don’t get paid for calling a referring doctor and telling him/her the imaging test is worthless.” Radiologist in Maine “I do many unnecessary colonoscopies on young men. Give every PCP an anuscope to allow diagnosis of bleeding hemorrhoids in the office.” Gastroenterologist in Maine “I strongly suspect overutilization of abdominal CT scans in the ER and in the hospital; CT scans lead to further CT scans to follow up lung and adrenal nodules. The hospital focuses on length of stay, but never looks at appropriateness of radiologic studies.” Internist at AMA HOD Meeting “Patients often need to be in extended care to receive antibiotics because Medicare doesn’t pay for home IV therapy. Patient stays in the hospital for 3 days to justify a nursing home/rehab stay.” Orthopedist at AMA HOD Meeting
  • 131. 131© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Steps to Successful Payment Reform 1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery – How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients? 2. Analyzing Expected Costs and Savings – What will there be less of, and how much does that save? – What will there be more of, and how much does that cost? – Will the savings offset the costs on average? – How much variation in costs and savings is likely?
  • 132. 132© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Critical Element is Shared, Trusted Data • Physician/Hospital need to know the current utilization and costs for their patients to know whether the new payment model will cover the costs of delivering effective care to the patients • Purchaser/Payer needs to know the current utilization and costs to know whether the new payment model is a better deal than they have today • Both sets of data have to match in order for providers and payers to agree on the new approach!
  • 133. 133© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Steps to Successful Payment Reform 1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery – How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients? 2. Analyzing Expected Costs and Savings – What will there be less of, and how much does that save? – What will there be more of, and how much does that cost? – Will the savings offset the costs on average? – How much variation in costs and savings is likely? 3. Designing a Payment Model That Supports Change – Flexibility to change the way care is delivered – Accountability for costs and quality/outcomes related to care – Adequate payment to cover lowest-achievable costs – Protection for the provider from insurance risk
  • 134. 134© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Opportunities and Solutions Vary By Specialty Psychiatry OB/GYN Orthopedic Surgery Opportunities to Improve Care and Reduce Cost Barriers in Current Payment System Solutions via Accountable Payment Models • Reduce infections and complications • Use less expensive post-acute care following surgery • Reduce ER visits and admissions for patients with depression and chronic disease • Reduce use of elective C-sections • Reduce early deliveries and use of NICU • Similar/lower payment for vaginal deliveries • Condition-based payment for total cost of delivery in low-risk pregnancy • Episode payment for hospital and post-acute care costs with warranty • No flexibility to increase inpatient services to reduce complications & post-acute care • Joint condition- based payment to PCP and psychiatrist • No payment for phone consults with PCPs • No payment for RN care managers Cardiology • Use less invasive and expensive procedures when appropriate • Condition-based payment covering CABG, PCI, or medication management • Payment is based on which procedure is used, not the outcome for the patient
  • 135. 135© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Examples from Other Specialties Oncology Radiology Gastroenterology Opportunities to Improve Care and Reduce Cost Barriers in Current Payment System Solutions via Accountable Payment Models • Reduce unnecessary colonoscopies and colon cancer • Reduce ER/admits for inflammatory bowel d. • Reduce ER visits and admissions for dehydration • Reduce anti-emetic drug costs • Reduce use of high-cost imaging • Improve diagnostic speed & accuracy • Low payment for reading images & penalty for 2x • Inability to change inapprop. orders • Global payment for imaging costs • Partnership in condition-based payments • Population-based payment for colon cancer screening • Condition-based pmt for IBD • No flexibility to focus extra resources on highest-risk patients • No flexibility to spend more on care mgt • Condition-based payment including non-oncolytic Rx and ED/hospital utilization • No flexibility to spend more on preventive care • Payment based on office visits, not outcomes Neurology • Avoid unnecessary hospitalizations for epilepsy patients • Reduce strokes and heart attacks after TIA • Condition-based payment for epilepsy • Episode or condition- based payment for TIA • No flexibility to spend more on preventive care • No payment to coordinate w/ cardio
  • 136. 136© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Steps to Successful Payment Reform 1. Defining the Change in Care Delivery – How can the physician, hospital, or other provider change the way care is delivered to reduce costs without harming patients? 2. Analyzing Expected Costs and Savings – What will there be less of, and how much does that save? – What will there be more of, and how much does that cost? – Will the savings offset the costs on average? – How much variation in costs and savings is likely? 3. Designing a Payment Model That Supports Change – Flexibility to change the way care is delivered – Accountability for costs and quality/outcomes related to care – Adequate payment to cover lowest-achievable costs – Protection for the provider from insurance risk 4. Compensating Physicians Appropriately – Changing payment to the provider organization (physician practice/group/IPA/health system) does not automatically change compensation to physicians
  • 137. 137© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org How Does This All Fit Into ACOs? Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy
  • 138. 138© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Each Patient Should Choose & Use a Primary Care Practice… Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Primary Care Practice
  • 139. 139© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN …Which Takes Accountability for What PCPs Can Control/Influence Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Primary Care Practice Accountable Medical Home Accountability for: • Avoidable ER Visits •Avoidable Hospitalizations •Unnecessary Tests •Unnecessary Referrals
  • 140. 140© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN …With a Medical Neighborhood to Consult With on Complex Cases Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Primary Care Practice Accountable Medical Home Endocrinology, Neurology, Psychiatry Accountable Medical Neighborhood Accountability for: •Unnecessary Tests •Unnecessary Referrals •Co-Managed Outcomes
  • 141. 141© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN ..And Specialists Accountable for the Conditions They Manage Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Primary Care Practice Neurosurg. Group OB/GYN Group Cardiology Group Heart Episode/ Condition Pmt Back Episode/ Condition Pmt Pregnancy Management Pmt Accountable Medical Home Endocrinology, Neurology, Psychiatry Accountable Medical Neighborhood Accountability for: •Unnecessary Tests •Unnecessary Procedures •Infections, Complications
  • 142. 142© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN That’s Building the ACO from the Bottom Up Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Primary Care Practice Neurosurg. Group OB/GYN Group Cardiology Group Heart Episode/ Condition Pmt Back Episode/ Condition Pmt Pregnancy Management Pmt Accountable Medical Home Endocrinology, Neurology, Psychiatry Accountable Medical Neighborhood ACO Accountable Payment Models
  • 143. 143© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN Shared Savings Payment Primary Care ACO Orthopedics OB/GYNCardiology Most ACOs Today Aren’t Truly Reinventing Care or Payment Fee-for-Service Payment Expensive IT Systems Psych., Neuro Nurse Care Managers Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Shared Savings Bonus
  • 144. 144© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org MEDICARE/HEALTH PLAN A True ACO Can Take a Global Payment And Make It Work Heart Disease Diabetes Back Pain PATIENTS Pregnancy Primary Care Practice ACO Neurosurg. Group OB/GYN Group Cardiology Group Heart Episode/ Condition Pmt Back Episode/ Condition Pmt Pregnancy Management Pmt Accountable Medical Home Endocrinology, Neurology, Psychiatry Risk-Adjusted Global Payment Accountable Medical Neighborhood
  • 145. 145© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Payment Levels Adjusted Based on Patient Conditions Providers Lose Money On Unusually Expensive Cases Limits on Total Risk Providers Accept for Unpredictable Events Providers Are Paid Regardless of the Quality of Care Bonuses/Penalties Based on Quality Measurement Provider Makes More Money If Patients Stay Well Provider Makes More Money If Patients Stay Well Flexibility to Deliver Highest-Value Services Flexibility to Deliver Highest-Value Services No Additional Revenue for Taking Sicker Patients CAPITATION (WORST VERSIONS) RISK-ADJUSTED GLOBAL PMT Isn’t This Capitation? No – It’s Different
  • 146. 146© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Example: BCBS MA Alternative Quality Contract • Single payment for all costs of care for a population of patients – Adjusted up/down annually based on severity of patient conditions – Initial payment set based on past expenditures, not arbitrary estimates – Provides flexibility to pay for new/different services – Bonus paid for high quality care • Five-year contract – Savings for payer achieved by controlling increases in costs – Allows provider to reap returns on investment in preventive care, infrastructure • Broad participation – 14 physician groups/health systems participating with over 400,000 patients, including one primary care IPA with 72 physicians • Positive two year results – Higher ambulatory care quality than non-AQC practices, better patient outcomes, lower readmission rates and ER utilization, lower costs http://www.bluecrossma.com/visitor/about-us/making-quality-health-care-affordable.html
  • 147. 147© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Barrier: Gaining Support from a Critical Mass of Payers Health Plan Provider Health Plan Health Plan Patient Patient Patient Provider is only compensated for changed practices for the subset of patients covered by participating payers Better Payment System Current Payment System Current Payment System
  • 148. 148© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org For Most Employees, the Employer is the Insurer, Not a Health Plan Source: Employer Health Benefits 2012 Annual Survey. The Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust
  • 149. 149© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org For Self-Funded Employers, The Health Plan is Just a Pass Through Self- Funded Purchasers Providers ASO Health Plan (No Risk) Provider Claims Purchaser Payment
  • 150. 150© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Little Incentive for Health Plans to Support Payment Reforms True Payment Reform Means: • Health plan incurs the costs of implementing new payment models • Purchaser gains all the savings from reduced utilization and spending (because all claims are passed through) Self- Funded Purchasers Providers ASO Health Plan (No Risk) Provider Claims Purchaser Payment
  • 151. 151© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org A Better Approach: Purchaser/Provider Partnerships Self- Funded Purchasers Providers Willing to Manage Costs Better Payment and Benefit Structure Lower Cost, Higher Quality Care Provider “wins” if: • Patients stay healthy and need less care • Purchaser pays provider adequately to manage care efficiently Purchasers and Patients “win” if: • Providers reduce purchasers’ costs • Patients stay healthy and have lower cost- sharing
  • 152. 152© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Health Plan Implements Changes Purchasers/Providers Agree On Self- Funded Purchasers Providers Willing to Manage Costs ASO Health Plan (No Risk) Implementation Better Payment and Benefit Structure Lower Cost, Higher Quality Care
  • 153. How Many Patients Do You Need to (Successfully) Manage Total Risk?
  • 154. 154© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Companies With <1,000 Workers Take Total Healthcare Cost Risk Sources: Employer Health Benefits 2012 Annual Survey. The Kaiser Family Foundation and Health Research and Educational Trust; State-Level Trends in Employer- Sponsored Health Insurance, April 2013. State Health Access Data Assistance Center and Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Fewer employees than typical physician practice panel size
  • 155. 155© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Keys to Managing Risk • How Do Small Employers Manage Self-Insurance Risk? – They know who their employees are and can estimate spending – They start with what they spent last year and try to control growth – They have reserves to cover year-to-year variation – They purchase stop-loss insurance to cover unusually expensive cases
  • 156. 156© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Keys to Managing Risk • How Do Small Employers Manage Self-Insurance Risk? – They know who their employees are and can estimate spending – They start with what they spent last year and try to control growth – They have reserves to cover year-to-year variation – They purchase stop-loss insurance to cover unusually expensive cases • How Would Physician Practices & Hospitals Manage Risk? – They need to know who their patients are in order to project spending – They need to start with last year’s payments and control growth – They need some reserves to cover year-to-year variation – They need to purchase stop-loss insurance to cover unusually expensive cases
  • 157. 157© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What’s the Patient’s Role and Accountability? ProviderPatient Payment System Ability and Incentives to: •Keep patients well •Avoid unneeded services •Deliver services efficiently •Coordinate services with other providers
  • 158. 158© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Benefit Design Changes Are Also Critical to Success ProviderPatient Payment System Benefit Design Ability and Incentives to: •Keep patients well •Avoid unneeded services •Deliver services efficiently •Coordinate services with other providers Ability and Incentives to: •Improve health •Take prescribed medications •Allow a provider to coordinate care •Choose the highest-value providers and services
  • 159. 159© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Barriers In Current Benefit Designs • Co-pays, co-insurance, and high deductibles discourage or prevent patients from using primary care, preventive treatments, and chronic disease maintenance medications
  • 160. 160© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Example: No Coordination of Pharmacy & Medical Benefits Hospital Costs Physician Costs Other Services Medical Benefits Drug Costs Pharmacy Benefits Single-minded focus on reducing costs here... ...often results in higher spending on hospitalizations •High copays for brand-names when no generic exists •Doughnut holes & deductibles Principal treatment for most chronic diseases involves regular use of maintenance medication
  • 161. 161© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Barriers In Current Benefit Designs • Co-pays, co-insurance, and high deductibles discourage or prevent patients from using primary care, preventive treatments, and chronic disease maintenance medications • Co-pays, co-insurance, and high deductibles provide little or no incentive for patients to choose the highest-value providers for expensive services
  • 162. 162© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Airfare Choices from Boston to Cleveland Boston Cleveland ? USAirways 1-Stop Coach $622 United Non-Stop Coach $1,107 United Non-Stop First Class $1,355 Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11
  • 163. 163© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What If We Paid for Travel the Way We Pay for Healthcare? Boston Cleveland ? Consumer Share of Travel Cost USAirways 1-Stop Coach $622 United Non-Stop Coach $1,107 United Non-Stop First Class $1,355 Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11
  • 164. 164© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Flat Copayments: First Class Fare Wins Boston Cleveland ? Consumer Share of Travel Cost USAirways 1-Stop Coach $622 United Non-Stop Coach $1,107 United Non-Stop First Class $1,355 $100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100 Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11 
  • 165. 165© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Coinsurance: First Class Fare Probably Wins Boston Cleveland ? Consumer Share of Travel Cost USAirways 1-Stop Coach $622 United Non-Stop Coach $1,107 United Non-Stop First Class $1,355 $100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100 10% Coinsurance: $62 $111 $136 Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11  
  • 166. 166© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org High Deductible: First Class Fare Wins Boston Cleveland ? Consumer Share of Travel Cost USAirways 1-Stop Coach $622 United Non-Stop Coach $1,107 United Non-Stop First Class $1,355 $100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100 10% Coinsurance: $62 $111 $136 $500 Deductible: $500 $500 $500 Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11   
  • 167. 167© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Price Difference: Lowest Coach Fare Wins Boston Cleveland ? Consumer Share of Travel Cost USAirways 1-Stop Coach $622 United Non-Stop Coach $1,107 United Non-Stop First Class $1,355 $100 Copayment: $100 $100 $100 10% Coinsurance: $62 $111 $136 $500 Deductible: $500 $500 $500 Lowest Coach Fare: $0 $485 $733 Airfares for July 6-7, 2011 as of 6/26/11    
  • 168. 168© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Where Will You Get Your Knee Replaced? Consumer Share of Surgery Cost Price #1 $20,000 Price #2 $25,000 Price #3 $30,000 Knee Joint Replacement
  • 169. 169© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Where Will You Get Your Knee Replaced? Consumer Share of Surgery Cost Price #1 $20,000 Price #2 $25,000 Price #3 $30,000 $1,000 Copayment: $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 10% Coinsurance w/$2,000 OOP Max: $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $5,000 Deductible: $5,000 $5,000 $5,000   Knee Joint Replacement
  • 170. 170© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Where Will You Get Your Knee Replaced? Consumer Share of Surgery Cost Price #1 $20,000 Price #2 $25,000 Price #3 $30,000 $1,000 Copayment: $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 10% Coinsurance w/$2,000 OOP Max: $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $5,000 Deductible: $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 Highest-Value: $0 $5,000 $10,000     Knee Joint Replacement
  • 171. 171© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Which Health System or ACO Will You Choose? Total Annual Cost Per Patient/Member Health System/ ACO #1 $6,000 Health System/ ACO #2 $8,000 Health System/ ACO #3 $10,000 Consumer Share $0 $2,000 $4,000
  • 172. 172© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Would Happen If Consumers Had Choice & Considered Value? • Minnesota Patient Choice – started by the Buyers Health Care Action Group (BHCAG) in the 1990s – “care systems” bid on risk-adjusted (total) cost of patient care (i.e., risk- adjusted global payment) – care systems are divided into cost/quality tiers based on their relative bids – consumers pay the difference in the bid price to select a care system in a higher cost tier • Results – Many consumers switched to lower cost providers – High cost providers reduced their costs to retain/attract patients
  • 173. This All Sounds Really Hard
  • 174. Can’t We Just Keep Doing What We’re Doing Today Until We Retire? This All Sounds Really Hard
  • 175. 175© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Opportunities to Reduce Costs Without Rationing Are Widely Known Helping Patients with Chronic Disease Stay Out of Hospital Reducing Hospital Readmissions Reducing Overutilization of Outpatient Services Shifting Preference-Sensitive Care to Lower-Cost Options Reducing the Cost of Expensive Inpatient Care
  • 176. 176© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Question is: How Will Purchasers Get The Savings? Helping Patients with Chronic Disease Stay Out of Hospital Reducing Hospital Readmissions Reducing Overutilization of Outpatient Services Shifting Preference-Sensitive Care to Lower-Cost Options Reducing the Cost of Expensive Inpatient Care PURCHASER ?
  • 177. 177© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Payer-Driven Approach to Achieving Savings Helping Patients with Chronic Disease Stay Out of Hospital Reducing Hospital Readmissions Reducing Overutilization of Outpatient Services Shifting Preference-Sensitive Care to Lower-Cost Options Reducing the Cost of Expensive Inpatient Care PURCHASER Physician P4P High Deductibles Narrow Networks Prior Authorization Tiering on Cost Readmission Penalty Managed Fee-for-Service
  • 178. 178© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org The Provider-Driven Approach to Achieving Savings Helping Patients with Chronic Disease Stay Out of Hospital Reducing Hospital Readmissions Reducing Overutilization of Outpatient Services Shifting Preference-Sensitive Care to Lower-Cost Options Reducing the Cost of Expensive Inpatient Care PURCHASER Coordinated Care/ Accountable Care Organization Global Pmt/Budget
  • 179. 179© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Very Different Models… Helping Patients with Chronic Disease Stay Out of Hospital Reducing Hospital Readmissions Reducing Overutilization of Outpatient Services Shifting Preference-Sensitive Care to Lower-Cost Options Reducing the Cost of Expensive Inpatient Care PURCHASER Coordinated Care/ Accountable Care Organization Physician P4P High Deductibles Narrow Networks Prior Authorization Tiering on Cost Readmission Penalty Managed Fee-for-Service Global Pmt/Budget
  • 180. 180© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …And Very Different Impacts on Physicians and Hospitals PURCHASER Managed Fee-for-Service 1. Payer defines how care should be redesigned 2. Payer obtains all savings from lower utilization 3. Payer decides how much savings to share with provider 1. Provider determines how care should be redesigned 2. Provider and Purchaser or Payer agree on adequate price for provider care and amount of savings for payer 3. Providers get to keep any additional savings and to determine how to divide it Global Pmt/Budget
  • 181. 181© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Opportunities From Completely Redesigning Payment & Delivery • Better Payment for Physicians and Hospitals – No threats of major fee cuts – No health plan/benefit manager utilization review – Physicians and hospitals paid based on quality, not volume • Truly High Quality, Patient-Centric Care – Coordinated care by multiple physicians – Care mgt from providers, not health plans or disease mgt co’s – Flexibility for telephone, internet, & home visits if patients need them • Greater Patient Engagement – Zero or low copayments for essential medications and services – Higher cost-sharing for unnecessary tests and services – Incentives for patient wellness and adherence • Less Spending on Administrative Costs – Less spending for health plan administrative costs and profits – Less spending by providers on payer-imposed administrative costs • Lower Government Spending and Smaller Deficits • Better Health for Citizens and More Affordable Insurance
  • 182. 182© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Learn More About Win-Win-Win Payment and Delivery Reform Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.PaymentReform.org
  • 183. For More Information: Harold D. Miller President and CEO Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform Miller.Harold@GMail.com (412) 803-3650 www.CHQPR.org www.PaymentReform.org
  • 185. What About Primary Care and Non-Proceduralists?
  • 186. 186© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Today: Reactive Care for Chronic Disease, Many Hospitalizations TODAY $/Patient # Pts Total $ Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 Specialist 0 $0 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 500 Moderately Severe Chronic Disease Patients • PCP paid only for periodic office visits • Patients do not take maintenance medications reliably • 50% of patients are hospitalized each year for exacerbations • Specialist only sees patient during hospital admissions
  • 187. 187© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Pay the PCP for Proactive Care Management TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist 0 $0 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 188. 188© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Pay the Specialist to Be a Responsive Medical Neighbor TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50% $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 189. 189© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Provide Adequate Resources to Support Patients TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 190. 190© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Can We Afford a 127% Increase in Spending on Ambulatory Care? TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50% $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 191. 191© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Yes, If It Succeeds In Reducing Hospitalizations TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50% $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 150 $1,500,000 -40% Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,180,000 -25%
  • 192. 192© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org But What About the Hospital? TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist 0 $0 $300 500 $150,000 +50% $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital $10,000 250 $2,500,000 150 $1,500,000 -40% Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,180,000 -25%
  • 193. 193© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Analyze the Hospital’s Cost Structure TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 194. 194© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Continue to Cover the Fixed Costs TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0% Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 195. 195© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Save on Variable Costs With Fewer Patients TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0% Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40% Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 196. 196© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Increase the Hospital’s Contribution Margin TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0% Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40% Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10% Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000
  • 197. 197© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Payer Still Spends Less TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0% Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40% Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10% Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,817,500 -3%
  • 198. 198© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Win-Win-Win: Better Care, Higher Physician Pay, Lower Spending TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0% Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40% Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10% Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $2,900,000 $2,817,500 -3% Physicians Win Payer Wins Hospital Wins
  • 199. 199© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Use a Condition-Based Payment for the Patients to Support Care TODAY TOMORROW $/Patient # Pts Total $ $/Pt # Pts Total $ Chg Physician Svcs PCP $600 500 $300,000 $900 500 $450,000 +50% Specialist $300 500 $150,000 +50% RN Care Mgr $80,000 Hospitalizations Hospital Fixed $6,000 60% $1,500,000 $1,500,000 -0% Hosp. Variable $3,700 37% $925,000 $3,700 150 $555,000 -40% Hosp. Margin $300 3% $75,000 $82,500 +10% Specialist $400 250 $100,000 $0 Total Pmt (Cost) $5,800 500 $2,900,000 $5,635 500 $2,817,500 -3%
  • 201. 201© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Instead of Having To Accept What Medicare and Health Plans Pay… CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Commercial Health Plans Medicaid MCOs Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Medicare FFS Medicaid FFS MA Plans Commercial FFS
  • 202. 202© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Could Happen If Physicians Had Their Own Health Plans? CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Commercial Health Plans Medicaid MCOs Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries MA Plans Physician -Owned Health Plan ? ? ?
  • 203. 203© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Get Risk-Adjusted Payment from Medicare, Pay Physicians Better CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Commercial Health Plans Medicaid MCOs Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Physician -Owned Health Plan Risk-Adjusted Medicare Advantage Payment Better Physician Payment
  • 204. 204© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Contract Directly with Self-Insured Employers, Pay Physicians Better CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Commercial Health Plans Medicaid MCOs Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Physician -Owned Health Plan Risk-Adjusted Medicare Advantage Payment Better Physician Payment Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
  • 205. 205© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Use Exchanges for Small Group Business, Pay Physicians Better CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Commercial Health Plans Medicaid MCOs Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Physician -Owned Health Plan Risk-Adjusted Medicare Advantage Payment Better Physician Payment Insurance Exchanges Risk-Adjusted Premium Revenue Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract
  • 206. 206© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Contract Directly With State for Medicaid, Pay Physicians Better CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Commercial Health Plans Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Physician -Owned Health Plan Risk-Adjusted Medicare Advantage Payment Better Physician Payment Risk-Adjusted Premium Revenue Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract Insurance Exchanges Risk-Adjusted Global Payment
  • 207. 207© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Get Global Payment for Large Groups, Pay Physicians Better CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Physician -Owned Health Plan Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups Insurance Exchanges State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract Risk-Adjusted Medicare Advantage Payment Better Physician Payment Risk-Adjusted Premium Revenue Risk-Adjusted Global Payment
  • 208. 208© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Result: A “Single Payer System” Controlled by Physicians CMS Physician Group, IPA, or Health System Physician -Owned Health Plan Self-Insured Employers Individuals & Small Groups Fully Insured Large Groups Insurance Exchanges State Medicaid Medicare Beneficiaries Risk-Adjusted Direct Contract Risk-Adjusted Medicare Advantage Payment Better Physician Payment Risk-Adjusted Premium Revenue Risk-Adjusted Global Payment ONE PAYER, MANY CUSTOMERS
  • 210. 210© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org To Set A Fair Price, Start With Existing Costs… COST TIME Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS
  • 211. 211© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …Set a Payment Level That Is ≤ Expected Costs… COST TIME Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Bundled or Episode Payment Level Exp. Costs in FFS $
  • 212. 212© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org …If All Goes Well, Costs Will Be Lower Than the Payment Level… COST TIME Costs in New Pmt Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Bundled or Episode Payment Level
  • 213. 213© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org ...And Both the Purchaser and Provider Will “Win” COST TIME Costs in New Pmt $$$ $$$ Bonus for Provider Savings For Purchaser Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Bundled or Episode Payment Level
  • 214. 214© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org What Everybody Fears: All Won’t Go Well (Costs Go Up) COST TIME Costs in New Pmt Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Bundled or Episode Payment Level
  • 215. 215© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Many Different Reasons Costs May Increase Beyond Payment COST TIME Costs in New Pmt Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Excess Cost Unusually Costly Patient Overutilization of Services New, High-Cost Treatment Many Avoidable Complications Higher-Severity Patients Large Random Variation Failure to Follow Guidelines Bundled or Episode Payment Level
  • 216. 216© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Providers Should NOT Be Expected To Take Insurance Risk COST TIME Costs in New Pmt Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Excess Cost Unusually Costly Patient Overutilization of Services New, High-Cost Treatment Many Avoidable Complications Higher-Severity Patients Large Random Variation Failure to Follow Guidelines Provider Performance Risk Insurance Risk Bundled or Episode Payment Level
  • 217. 217© 2009-2014 Center for Healthcare Quality and Payment Reform www.CHQPR.org Four Mechanisms for Separating Insurance and Performance Risk COST TIME Costs in New Pmt Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Costs in FFS Bundled or Episode Payment Level Excess Cost Unusually Costly Patient Overutilization of Services New, High-Cost Treatment Many Avoidable Complications Higher-Severity Patients Severity Adjustment Large Random Variation Failure to Follow Guidelines Outlier Pmt/ Stop-Loss Risk Exclusions Risk Corridors Performance Risk (Provider’s Responsibility)