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ECONOMIC UPDATE
                  Economic and
                  Market Overview
                  as at August 1st 2010

                   “Is innovation a nice to
                   have or an essential
                   ingredient for
                   success?...
                  “Innovation” can be a source
                   of excitement or a frustration
                  and sometimes both. What is            record; it is true that property
                  certain is that innovation or an       innovation has led to new
                  adaption of an idea from               architectural styles, new types of
                  another area can create                building and in banking we now          1. How do you identify
                                                         have products such as ISAs, tracker     meaningful innovations
                  competitive advantage, a
                                                         mortgages, fixed and capped rate        2. How do you develop and
                  widened product range and an           loans. The difficulty comes in          launch them successfully
                  enhanced profile.                      deciding whether the innovations        3. What innovations might be
                                                         are essential to success or not.        adapted from another sector
                  I think few would argue “innovation”   After speaking with a number of our
                  has been a core ingredient in                                                  4. How do you manage the risks
                                                         clients their consensus appears to      (to ensure they are not abused)
                  Apple’s success; their new products    be: failing to innovate in areas such
                  have created markets and redefined                                             5. How do you best realise the
                                                         as the above would have resulted        benefits.
                  the way their customers interact       in a “choice not to compete” in those
                  with technology.                       areas. Some areas are sufficiently      Innovating can be a frustrating
                                                         niche not to cause a concern            process, yet it is likely that the
                  Google consider it so important that   however others have been so
                  they allow their staff an innovation                                           problems you face in innovating
                                                         significant that they provided the      have been faced and solved by
                  day a week to work on “their own       innovator with a significant
                  ideas”. Innovation is clearly an                                               others and that an ‘outside in’
                                                         advantage.                              perspective can see the scope for
                  essential within the technology
                  industry but can the same be said                                              creating a solution using experience
                                                         On the flip side they were also able    in other sectors. Working across
                  for other industries such as food,     to quote examples where the
                  banking or property?                                                           different market sectors we have
                                                         innovation was implemented poorly       the breadth and imagination to help
                                                         or abused and where they wished         so if you would like to discuss how
                  In the food industry packaging
                                                         it had not taken place. The use of      we can make innovation a reality
                  innovations such as the tetrapack
                                                         securitisation vehicles to move on      drop me an email at:
                  have led to extended shelf life that
                                                         subprime loans was perhaps the          neil@rocketperformancegroup.co.uk
                  have resulted in a plethora of new
                                                         most significant example.
                  products being possible, new flavour
                  innovations have led to new                                                    Regards
                                                         So if we define “Innovation” as the
                  premium crisp brands and snacks
                  and distribution innovations have      development or improvement of a
                  resulted in the spectacular growth     new or existing product or service
                  in fresh food ranges.                  to improve the strategic strength of
                                                                                                 Neil Ward
                                                         the organization” (i.e. we focus on
                                                                                                 Tel: 07711 197058
                  In property and banking innovation     the positive innovations)
                                                                                                 Email:
                  has a somewhat “mixed” track           The key questions might become:
                                                                                                 neil@rocketperformance.co.uk
ECONOMIC UPDATE
                  Key Economic Data Summary
                  as at 21/07/10
                     CPI (May)                       3.2%                             Down from 3.4% in May.
                     RPI (May)                       5.0%                             Down from 5.1% in May.                                                      General Market News
                     Employment Qtr to May 2010 72.3%                                 Slight rise in this qtr to May 2010                                         Consumers Repay Rather Than Borrowing
                     Unemployment Qtr to May 20107.8%                                 Slight fall over the quarter
                                                                                                                                                                  (BBC 23/07/10)BBA figures show that
                                                                                                                                                                  consumers' safety-first approach to unsecured
                     BoE Base Rate                   0.5%                             As of 05/03/09 (no change this month).                                      borrowing has continued throughout the year.
                     LIBOR (GBP 3M BBA) 0.73719%                                      Rate continues to rise.
                                                                                                                                                                   Repayment of consumer credit has
                                                                                                                                                                  outstripped new borrowing by 2.7% over the
                     Crude Oil                       $76.96 a barrel                  Prices have risen this month.                                               past year. Borrowing on credit cards rose by
                     Gold                            $1185.900 per oz.                Prices down this month.
                                                                                                                                                                  £120m in June, but repayments of personal
                                                                                                                                                                  loans and overdrafts outstripped new
                                                                                                                                                                  borrowing by £314m. New lending in personal
                                                                                                                                                                  loans was 19% lower than a year ago.
                  National House Price Index June 2010
                  (source Lloyds Banking Group as at 08/07/10)                                                                                                    UK interest rates to stay at record low 'until 2014'
                                                                                                                                                                  (www.bbc.co.uk)
                    Average House Price                                             £166,203
                                                                                                                                                                  The Bank of England has kept UK interest
                    Monthly Change                                                  (0.6%)                                                                        rates on hold at a record low of 0.5% for the
                    Average Change                                                  6.3%                                                                          16th consecutive month. The Bank's Monetary
                                                                                                                                                                  Policy Committee (MPC) also decided not to
                                                                                                                                                                  inject any more money into the economy
                  Personal Loan Rates (as of 21/07/10) - Rates                                                                                                    under its policy of quantitative easing (QE).
                  sourced from lenders websites on 21/07/10 - Based upon £5K (unless
                  noted) over 36 months ex insurance and subject to underwriting                                                                                  UK unemployment falls to 2.47 million

                    Lender                                   APR           Notes                                                                                  The number of people unemployed in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                  fell by 34,000 to 2.47m in the three months
                    Sainsbury's Finance                      10.0%         8.8% for Sainsburys Nectar card holders                                                to May, official figures show. That took the
                    Tesco Personal Finance                    8.9%
                                                            No change                                                                                             jobless rate to 7.8%, the lowest for a year,
                                                                                                                                                                  the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said.
                    Santander UK                              8.9%
                                                            No change                                                                                             The number of people in work rose by 160,000
                    Post Office                               9.9%
                                                            No change                                                                                             in the three months to May, the biggest rise
                    Nat West/RBS                              12.9%
                                                            No change                                                                                             since August 2006. However, the increase
                    M&S                                     Borrowers have to be a UK resident aged 30
                                                              12.9%                                                                                               was due to a record 148,000 rise in the number
                                                            or over or a house owner                                                                              of part-time workers, while full-time workers
                    Halifax                      19.9%      Loans available to existing Halifax customers                                                         increased by just 12,000. The ONS said the
                                                            only.                                                                                                 percentage of workers in part-time jobs was
                    HSBC                         17.9%      New higher rate for lower advace                                                                      27%, its highest since records began in 1992.
                    Lloyds TSB                   13.9%      Llods TSB customers only
                    Barclays Bank                10.9%      Barclays customers only                                                                               Credit card market back open for business
                    Clydesdale / Yorkshire Bank 20.9%       Significantly higher rate for lower loans                                                             Source: Moneyfacts.co.uk 7.6.10
                    AA Personal Loans         8.9% to 15.3% Loans available from £7.5k to £14.95k
                    Co-Op Bank                12.9%         No change                                                                                             The credit card market has seen a resurgence
                                                                                                                                                                  in recent months as card providers once
                                                                                                                                                                  again put the ‘open for business’ sign in the
                  Mortgage Costs - Standard Variable                                                                                                              window. In the last year the number of cards
                                                                                                                                                                  charging no interest on new purchases for
                  Rates (SVR) (as of 25/06/10)                                                                                                                    at least 10 months has increased by 450%.
                  Rates sourced from www.lovemoney and lenders websites on 24/06/10                                                                                In the same period, the number of cards
                  - rates may be subject to value levels and underwriting.                                                                                        offering 0% on balance transfers for at least
                                                                                                                                                                  10 months has increased by 20%.

                    Lender                                 Aug ‘09                                  Comments                                                      However, interest rates charged on cards
                                                            SVR                                                                                                   continue to increase, with the average credit
                    Halifax                                  3.5%
                                                                                                                                                                  card rate today standing at 18.7% APR. Since
                                                                            Standard Mortgage Rate (SMR) is 3.99% however Nationwide customers with
                                                                                                                                                                  the start of the year the following providers
                    Nationwide BS 3.99% (SMR) 2.5% (BMR)                    deals reserved on or before 29 April 2009 will revert to the variable Base Mortgage   have increased rates for new customers:
                                                                            Rate (BMR) which is currently 2.5%
                    Santander UK                            4.24%                                                                                                 Barclaycard – rates increased by up to
                                                                            From 1 June, new borrowers, or current ones who switch deals, will have to revert     2.0%
                    Lloyds TSB/C&G                          3.99%           to an SVR without any ceiling, currently set at 3.99%. The decision does not
                                                                            affect borrowers with Halifax and Bank of Scotland.                                   Capital One Bank – rate increased by 5.0%
                    Northern Rock                           9.79%                                                                                                 Egg – rate increased by 1.0%
                                                                            Barclays Base Rate 2.49% typically caries an additional m1.99% premium on
                    Barclays (Woolwich)                     2.49%           products                                                                              MBNA Europe Bank – rate increased by
                    RBS                                     4.00%                                                                                                 1.0%Sygma Bank – rate increased by 2.0%
                    HSBC                                    3.94%
ECONOMIC UPDATE
                  Halifax House Index Key Facts
                   •       House prices fell by 0.6% in June. This followed a 0.5%
                           decline in May.
                   •       Prices in the second quarter of 2010 were 0.1% lower than in the
                           first quarter of 2010. This continued the slowdown in the pace of
                           house price growth since the beginning of the year and compared
                           with a 0.6% rise in 2010 Quarter 1.
                                                                                                                                                     In Marketing, Public
                   •       House prices in June were 6.3% higher on an annual basis as                                                               Relations, Training &
                           measured by the average for the latest three months against the                                                           Development
                           same period a year earlier. This was below the 6.9% increase in                                                           and         Corporate
                                                                                                                                                     Development
                           May, which was the highest since October 2007 (8.9%).
                                                                                                                                                     Our three distinct business
                   •       Prices are 7.5% above their April 2009 trough despite the modest                                                          disciplines share one
                           decline over the past few months. The average house price is now                                                          common goal - to give our
                                   £166,203; 17% below its August 2007 peak.                                                                         clients a performance
                                                                                                                                                     edge
                   •       The increase in the number of properties for sale is curbing the                                                          After many years in
                           upward pressure on house prices. Estate agents have reported a                                                            corporate business
                           sharp increase in instructions from new vendors following the recent                                                      leadership, we struggled to
                                                                                                                                                     find the type of results
                           abolition of HIPs, reinforcing the recent trend as more homeowners                                                        focused, entrepreneurial
                           have been encouraged to sell following the improvement in house                                                           people who could make the
                           prices in 2009. The ratio of house sales to the stock of unsold                                                           type of positive contributions
                                                                                                                                                     we were looking for to drive
                           properties on surveyors' books fell for the fifth time in the past six                                                    our businesses forward.
                           months in May. (Source: RICS monthly survey, May 2010.) The                                                               People who were
                           easing in this ratio indicates a moderate loosening in market conditions,                                                 knowledgeable, energetic,
                           reducing the support for house prices.                                                                                    results focused and fun to
                                                                                                                                                     work with, people we could
                   •       Housing market activity has eased. Bank of England industry-wide                                                          trust as friends.
                           figures show that the number of mortgages approved to finance                                                             To create such a support
                           house purchase – a leading indicator of completed house sales –                                                           service was our goal and
                                                                                                                                                     now seven years on we
                           were largely unchanged between April and May, at a seasonally                                                             continue to grow remaining
                           adjusted 49,800. Approvals in the three months to May, however,                                                           true to this original vision.
                           were 3% lower than in the preceding three months, indicating a                                                            Across the UK, Europe and
                                                                                                                                                     beyond we are proud to be
                           modest softening in housing market activity.                                                                              making         a    valued
                   •       In separate research, Halifax has found that the cost of owning and                                                       contribution to the
                                                                                                                                                     businesses and above all
                           running a home in the UK has declined by 6% over the past two                                                             people with whom we work.
                           years. Between April 2008 and April 2010, the average annual cost                                                         From training and
                           associated with owning and running a home fell by £544 from £9,564                                                        development, through public
                                                                                                                                                     relations and marketing and
                           to £9,020. In real terms (i.e. after allowing for retail price inflation),                                                on to major corporate
                           the cost of housing has fallen by 9%. Housing costs in the UK are                                                         development we are
                           now equivalent to 27% of gross average full-time earnings, down                                                           delighted to share our
                           from 30% in 2008.                                                                                                         expertise, energy and
                                                                                                                                                     results focus.
                   •       The fall in the cost of housing since 2008 has been driven by a 19%                                                       We love what we do and our
                           (£881) decline in mortgage payments (interest and capital repayments).                                                    passion comes through in
                           The average mortgage rate paid by existing borrowers fell by 2.13                                                         everything we do.
                           percentage points between April 2008 and April 2010 from 5.80% to                                                         "We Bring Focus to
                           3.67%.                                                                                                                    Deliver Results"


                                                                             The Rocket Performance Group
                  Rocket Marketing Associates                                   Rocket Training & Development                                     Rocket Corporate Development
                        Lanark, Scotland                                                 Ross-on-Wye                                                      Beaconsfield
                       Email: info@rocketperformance.co.uk                                                                            www.rocketperformance.co.uk
                  All Right Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying,
                  recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher Rocket Performance Group. This report has been created to provide a summary overview of the market environment
                  for property development. All information is believed to be correct at the time of publication, in so far as it summarises the topics at a very high level it cannot be guaranteed. Please
                  note that all information is provided in good faith, whose accuracy we are not always in a position to guarantee. As such Rocket Performance Group can accept no liability whatsoever
                  for actions taken based on any information that may subsequently prove to be incorrect. © Rocket Performance Group 2010

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Rpg Augustl10

  • 1. ECONOMIC UPDATE Economic and Market Overview as at August 1st 2010 “Is innovation a nice to have or an essential ingredient for success?... “Innovation” can be a source of excitement or a frustration and sometimes both. What is record; it is true that property certain is that innovation or an innovation has led to new adaption of an idea from architectural styles, new types of another area can create building and in banking we now 1. How do you identify have products such as ISAs, tracker meaningful innovations competitive advantage, a mortgages, fixed and capped rate 2. How do you develop and widened product range and an loans. The difficulty comes in launch them successfully enhanced profile. deciding whether the innovations 3. What innovations might be are essential to success or not. adapted from another sector I think few would argue “innovation” After speaking with a number of our has been a core ingredient in 4. How do you manage the risks clients their consensus appears to (to ensure they are not abused) Apple’s success; their new products be: failing to innovate in areas such have created markets and redefined 5. How do you best realise the as the above would have resulted benefits. the way their customers interact in a “choice not to compete” in those with technology. areas. Some areas are sufficiently Innovating can be a frustrating niche not to cause a concern process, yet it is likely that the Google consider it so important that however others have been so they allow their staff an innovation problems you face in innovating significant that they provided the have been faced and solved by day a week to work on “their own innovator with a significant ideas”. Innovation is clearly an others and that an ‘outside in’ advantage. perspective can see the scope for essential within the technology industry but can the same be said creating a solution using experience On the flip side they were also able in other sectors. Working across for other industries such as food, to quote examples where the banking or property? different market sectors we have innovation was implemented poorly the breadth and imagination to help or abused and where they wished so if you would like to discuss how In the food industry packaging it had not taken place. The use of we can make innovation a reality innovations such as the tetrapack securitisation vehicles to move on drop me an email at: have led to extended shelf life that subprime loans was perhaps the neil@rocketperformancegroup.co.uk have resulted in a plethora of new most significant example. products being possible, new flavour innovations have led to new Regards So if we define “Innovation” as the premium crisp brands and snacks and distribution innovations have development or improvement of a resulted in the spectacular growth new or existing product or service in fresh food ranges. to improve the strategic strength of Neil Ward the organization” (i.e. we focus on Tel: 07711 197058 In property and banking innovation the positive innovations) Email: has a somewhat “mixed” track The key questions might become: neil@rocketperformance.co.uk
  • 2. ECONOMIC UPDATE Key Economic Data Summary as at 21/07/10 CPI (May) 3.2% Down from 3.4% in May. RPI (May) 5.0% Down from 5.1% in May. General Market News Employment Qtr to May 2010 72.3% Slight rise in this qtr to May 2010 Consumers Repay Rather Than Borrowing Unemployment Qtr to May 20107.8% Slight fall over the quarter (BBC 23/07/10)BBA figures show that consumers' safety-first approach to unsecured BoE Base Rate 0.5% As of 05/03/09 (no change this month). borrowing has continued throughout the year. LIBOR (GBP 3M BBA) 0.73719% Rate continues to rise. Repayment of consumer credit has outstripped new borrowing by 2.7% over the Crude Oil $76.96 a barrel Prices have risen this month. past year. Borrowing on credit cards rose by Gold $1185.900 per oz. Prices down this month. £120m in June, but repayments of personal loans and overdrafts outstripped new borrowing by £314m. New lending in personal loans was 19% lower than a year ago. National House Price Index June 2010 (source Lloyds Banking Group as at 08/07/10) UK interest rates to stay at record low 'until 2014' (www.bbc.co.uk) Average House Price £166,203 The Bank of England has kept UK interest Monthly Change (0.6%) rates on hold at a record low of 0.5% for the Average Change 6.3% 16th consecutive month. The Bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) also decided not to inject any more money into the economy Personal Loan Rates (as of 21/07/10) - Rates under its policy of quantitative easing (QE). sourced from lenders websites on 21/07/10 - Based upon £5K (unless noted) over 36 months ex insurance and subject to underwriting UK unemployment falls to 2.47 million Lender APR Notes The number of people unemployed in the UK fell by 34,000 to 2.47m in the three months Sainsbury's Finance 10.0% 8.8% for Sainsburys Nectar card holders to May, official figures show. That took the Tesco Personal Finance 8.9% No change jobless rate to 7.8%, the lowest for a year, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. Santander UK 8.9% No change The number of people in work rose by 160,000 Post Office 9.9% No change in the three months to May, the biggest rise Nat West/RBS 12.9% No change since August 2006. However, the increase M&S Borrowers have to be a UK resident aged 30 12.9% was due to a record 148,000 rise in the number or over or a house owner of part-time workers, while full-time workers Halifax 19.9% Loans available to existing Halifax customers increased by just 12,000. The ONS said the only. percentage of workers in part-time jobs was HSBC 17.9% New higher rate for lower advace 27%, its highest since records began in 1992. Lloyds TSB 13.9% Llods TSB customers only Barclays Bank 10.9% Barclays customers only Credit card market back open for business Clydesdale / Yorkshire Bank 20.9% Significantly higher rate for lower loans Source: Moneyfacts.co.uk 7.6.10 AA Personal Loans 8.9% to 15.3% Loans available from £7.5k to £14.95k Co-Op Bank 12.9% No change The credit card market has seen a resurgence in recent months as card providers once again put the ‘open for business’ sign in the Mortgage Costs - Standard Variable window. In the last year the number of cards charging no interest on new purchases for Rates (SVR) (as of 25/06/10) at least 10 months has increased by 450%. Rates sourced from www.lovemoney and lenders websites on 24/06/10 In the same period, the number of cards - rates may be subject to value levels and underwriting. offering 0% on balance transfers for at least 10 months has increased by 20%. Lender Aug ‘09 Comments However, interest rates charged on cards SVR continue to increase, with the average credit Halifax 3.5% card rate today standing at 18.7% APR. Since Standard Mortgage Rate (SMR) is 3.99% however Nationwide customers with the start of the year the following providers Nationwide BS 3.99% (SMR) 2.5% (BMR) deals reserved on or before 29 April 2009 will revert to the variable Base Mortgage have increased rates for new customers: Rate (BMR) which is currently 2.5% Santander UK 4.24% Barclaycard – rates increased by up to From 1 June, new borrowers, or current ones who switch deals, will have to revert 2.0% Lloyds TSB/C&G 3.99% to an SVR without any ceiling, currently set at 3.99%. The decision does not affect borrowers with Halifax and Bank of Scotland. Capital One Bank – rate increased by 5.0% Northern Rock 9.79% Egg – rate increased by 1.0% Barclays Base Rate 2.49% typically caries an additional m1.99% premium on Barclays (Woolwich) 2.49% products MBNA Europe Bank – rate increased by RBS 4.00% 1.0%Sygma Bank – rate increased by 2.0% HSBC 3.94%
  • 3. ECONOMIC UPDATE Halifax House Index Key Facts • House prices fell by 0.6% in June. This followed a 0.5% decline in May. • Prices in the second quarter of 2010 were 0.1% lower than in the first quarter of 2010. This continued the slowdown in the pace of house price growth since the beginning of the year and compared with a 0.6% rise in 2010 Quarter 1. In Marketing, Public • House prices in June were 6.3% higher on an annual basis as Relations, Training & measured by the average for the latest three months against the Development same period a year earlier. This was below the 6.9% increase in and Corporate Development May, which was the highest since October 2007 (8.9%). Our three distinct business • Prices are 7.5% above their April 2009 trough despite the modest disciplines share one decline over the past few months. The average house price is now common goal - to give our £166,203; 17% below its August 2007 peak. clients a performance edge • The increase in the number of properties for sale is curbing the After many years in upward pressure on house prices. Estate agents have reported a corporate business sharp increase in instructions from new vendors following the recent leadership, we struggled to find the type of results abolition of HIPs, reinforcing the recent trend as more homeowners focused, entrepreneurial have been encouraged to sell following the improvement in house people who could make the prices in 2009. The ratio of house sales to the stock of unsold type of positive contributions we were looking for to drive properties on surveyors' books fell for the fifth time in the past six our businesses forward. months in May. (Source: RICS monthly survey, May 2010.) The People who were easing in this ratio indicates a moderate loosening in market conditions, knowledgeable, energetic, reducing the support for house prices. results focused and fun to work with, people we could • Housing market activity has eased. Bank of England industry-wide trust as friends. figures show that the number of mortgages approved to finance To create such a support house purchase – a leading indicator of completed house sales – service was our goal and now seven years on we were largely unchanged between April and May, at a seasonally continue to grow remaining adjusted 49,800. Approvals in the three months to May, however, true to this original vision. were 3% lower than in the preceding three months, indicating a Across the UK, Europe and beyond we are proud to be modest softening in housing market activity. making a valued • In separate research, Halifax has found that the cost of owning and contribution to the businesses and above all running a home in the UK has declined by 6% over the past two people with whom we work. years. Between April 2008 and April 2010, the average annual cost From training and associated with owning and running a home fell by £544 from £9,564 development, through public relations and marketing and to £9,020. In real terms (i.e. after allowing for retail price inflation), on to major corporate the cost of housing has fallen by 9%. Housing costs in the UK are development we are now equivalent to 27% of gross average full-time earnings, down delighted to share our from 30% in 2008. expertise, energy and results focus. • The fall in the cost of housing since 2008 has been driven by a 19% We love what we do and our (£881) decline in mortgage payments (interest and capital repayments). passion comes through in The average mortgage rate paid by existing borrowers fell by 2.13 everything we do. percentage points between April 2008 and April 2010 from 5.80% to "We Bring Focus to 3.67%. Deliver Results" The Rocket Performance Group Rocket Marketing Associates Rocket Training & Development Rocket Corporate Development Lanark, Scotland Ross-on-Wye Beaconsfield Email: info@rocketperformance.co.uk www.rocketperformance.co.uk All Right Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher Rocket Performance Group. This report has been created to provide a summary overview of the market environment for property development. All information is believed to be correct at the time of publication, in so far as it summarises the topics at a very high level it cannot be guaranteed. Please note that all information is provided in good faith, whose accuracy we are not always in a position to guarantee. As such Rocket Performance Group can accept no liability whatsoever for actions taken based on any information that may subsequently prove to be incorrect. © Rocket Performance Group 2010