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Behavioral Economics
   & Psychology
      20 Under 20 Retreat
Study of decision making in the
          real world
Conclusion: People aren’t
        rational
People are dumb and easily
         manipulated


Doesn’t work with smart people


Interesting, but doesn’t apply to
               me
Inverse: Calculating rational
  robots aren’t ideal either
Reframed Conclusion: People
make decisions very efïŹciently
     (not without errors)
Examples & Studies
(Academic + Business)
Example (social proof)
Social Proof




  15%
Social Proof




  48%
Game: $20

           Rules:
Bids are made in $1 increments
Winner wins $20 but 2nd place
   must honor bid to charity
Commitment
Commitment



     Before: 1%
     Now: 17%
Value Attribution


                     Sobe Study


     Control: Test no drink
Group 1: Test drink full price (2.89)
Group 2: Test discount price ($.79)
Value Attribution

                           Nathan
                         Handwerker

         5 cents per hotdog vs. 10 cents
Initially viewed as cheap and not good quality
   Paid doctors to stand around and eat hot
                      dogs
Default Option (environmental
           effects)
Default Option (environmental
           effects)
Reciprocity


                              Survey
                             research


   Mailing a $5 bill gift with a survey is 2x as
effective than giving $50 for completed survey
Reciprocity
Reciprocity
Framing




Ataturk wanted adoption of two sources of
  food, tried to make it compulsory, then
     switched to marketing approach
Framing


                           AOL


Moved from pay per hour to ïŹxed $19.95 a
month. Went from 140K customers to 236K
         customers in 24 hours.
Authority


                          Milgram
                         Experiment

Learner and teacher, 15 volt increments, up to
 deadly shocks, thought 1% would go all the
            way, reality was 65%
Authority



                               Yelp



Exclusive club for top commentors, estimated
 to be in the 4,000 range, a huge force to be
                 reckoned with
Authority
Pygmalion effect (take on
    perceived traits)
51 Women
Randomly paired up with guys to chat
via phone.
Men received proïŹles of women
(pictures faked)
Some women were beautiful some
weren’t in pictures
Independent group attributed same
ratings the guys did.
Conclusions
(Why this stuff is important)
In any product that deals with people:
behavioral economics, psychology, and
    design, become very important.
Small inputs can have
 inordinate results
Psychological inputs tend to be
       non-numerical
Easiest to ïŹgure out these large effects
   through experiments not reason
Questions?



chris@startupdigest.com
     @mccannatron

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Behavioral economics for startups @ Thiel 20 Under 20 Retreat

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