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When you don‟t find your way and time is running out,
you don‟t want to find yourself in this street …
                       Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   1
Roadmapping enterprise (micro-) learning:
 Drivers, trends and potential game changers

                   C. Voigt (ZSI, Vienna),
               T. Holocher-Ertl (ZSI, Vienna),
              F. Giorgini (eXact learning, Italy)

      MicroLearning 6.0 - Designing MicroLearning Experiences
           Innsbruck, Monday, July 9, 2012, 14:00-17:30
Roadmapping Knowledge
Architecture – Objectives

                    Market: why - drivers
                    Product: what - revenue
                    Technology: how – resources



                                   Phaal R, Muller G. 2009.




                Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   3
Outline
 Roadmapping & Strategic Planning Frameworks
 Process: (1) awareness raising, (2) drivers & trends,
  (3) game changers
 Each step is a push / pull interaction




                        Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   4
Roadmapping as strategic planning …
         STEPL
         Social, Technical,
         Economical,
         Political, Legal




                         Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) CJP, Probert DR. 2005
                                                     Phaal R, Farrukh             5
Roadmapping Maturity Levels
 L1 – For individuals, understanding and organising
 L2 – For organisations, proactive planning
 L3 – For cluster, including environmental data                        Current
  (PESTL), cross-sectorial coordination (Interactive)
 L4 – Monitoring systems, real time updates,



                                         Phaal R, Farrukh CJP, Probert DR. 2005


                       Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   6
Interactive roadmapping




              Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   7
Pull and push perspectives

       Awareness           Local-Global                    Anticipating
        Raising             Alignment                     Game-changer



         Needs / Visions              Local Drivers                             Weak Signals
Pull      (interviews)                  (surveys)                                 (Delphi)

            Challenges               Global Trends
                                                                                Weak Signals
Push         (research                 (research
                                                                                (Text Mining)
           publications)             publications)


                               Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)          8
9
                     Christian Voigt (Centre for Social
                     Innovation)




Step 1: Awareness Raising /
        Why should we change?
Pull: Products and services in 5 yrs


           Something              No
             else             response
             31%                 24%


                       The same
            Don't know or similar
               18%        27%
                                                      TEL-Providers (n=45)


                 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   10
Push: Current challenges
 Making skills development less of a by-product and
  find ways of integrating business processes and
  (informal) learning
 Making underlying technology infrastructures and
  content production affordable
 Increased focus on learner activities (social
  networks, learner generated content)




                        Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   11
12
                         Christian Voigt (Centre for Social
                         Innovation)




Step 2: Local Drivers & Global Trends
        What should we change?
Pull: Surveying TEL-Providers
                                               Netherlands
                                                   7%
               Belgium                                                     United States
      Italy      2%       France                                            of America
       2%                  13%                                                  5%
    Norway                                                                      India
     2%                                                                          5%
 Switzerland                                                             Germany
     2%                                      United                        4%
                                           Kingdom of
                     Finland               Great Britain
                      27%                     31%

                                                                    TEL-Providers (n=45)


                               Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)           13
Pull: Main drivers for learning
                                      Economical
                                         24%                      Political
                                                                    2%

    Technical                                                    Legal
      24%                                                         5%

                         Social
                          45%

                                                     TEL-Providers (n=45)


                Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)           14
Pull: Examples
 P - Actions from the boards of education
 L - compliance trainings (health & safety) and learning
  about data protection.

 S- Quick, short, inspirational learning bits, self-
  improvement and competitive edge …
 T – ease of access, cloud services; collaborative
  workspaces
 E - Human Capital Management solutions; Connection
  to business goals

                          Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   15
Push: Drivers as per published
documents and studies
 P – ET 2020 document: learner mobility, employa-
  bility, entrepreneurship, social cohesion and active
  citizenship
 L - Directive 95/46/EC: clear collection purpose, not
  stored longer as necessary, employees have the
  right to access and correct the collected data
 E – Performance indicators (yes), learning to
  innovate (double loop). Senge (1997) - companies
  observe their performance and markets and reinvent
  themselves accordingly

                        Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   16
17
                        Christian Voigt (Centre for Social
                        Innovation)




Step 3: Anticipating Game-changer
        Thinking long-term ….
Pull: Delphi (work in progress)




               Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   18
Push: Text mining as a means of
crowd sourcing
 700 TEL-relevant blogs
 2010 and 2011: 7000 individual posts per year
 “tm” package for R
 Dictionary approach via the Harvard General
  Inquirer Classification System



                                                  Voigt C, Cooper A. 2012

                       Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   19
First Results from „Legal‟ and
    „Economical‟ categories

               Legal Aspects                                 Economic Aspects
  Injunction against MS Word (XML               More Productive Outside the Office
1
  spec) (0.097)                                 (0.242)
  Prof. Dev. Videos re equity in schools        Not-So-Radical Ideas to Save Ed
2
  (0.092)                                       with $100 Million Bucks (0.235)
  Lawsuit - Apple fixing price of e-            Education voucher systems and
3
  books (0.031)                                 profit (0.212)
  No Child Left Behind legislation &            Virtual education - cost savings and
4
  special needs learner (0.026)                 academic gain in Texas (0.200)
    NCLB legal definition of a “highly          Financing a technology driven
5
    qualified” teacher       (0.023)            education reform (0.109)


                                   Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   20
So how would a contextualized &
interactive Microlearning roadmap
look like?
 Subset of the data mentioned …
 Depends on multiple stakeholders …
 Next action during EC-TEL 2012




                     Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   21
References
 Phaal R, Farrukh CJP, Probert DR. 2005. Developing a technology
  roadmapping system, Technology Management: A Unifying
  Discipline for Melting the Boundaries, Vol. 31: 99 - 111
 Phaal R, Muller G. 2009. An architectural framework for
  roadmapping: Towards visual strategy. Technological Forecasting
  and Social Change 76(1): 39-49
 Senge PM. 1997. The fifth discipline. Measuring Business
  Excellence 1(3): 46-51
 Voigt C, Cooper A. 2012. Context-aware roadmapping through
  large scale data sifting and stakeholder workshops: Practical
  demo for the Special Track Research 2.0;, 12th International
  Conference on Knowledge Management and Knowledge
  Technologies Graz, Austria
 http://www.learningfrontiers.eu/

                             Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   22
Contact Details
 www.zsi.at/users/156
 www.slideshare.net/chrvoigt
 www.twitter.com/chrvoigt
 www.linkedin.com/in/chrvoigt




                         Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation)   23

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Roadmapping enterprise learning: Drivers, trends and potential game changers

  • 1. When you don‟t find your way and time is running out, you don‟t want to find yourself in this street … Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 1
  • 2. Roadmapping enterprise (micro-) learning: Drivers, trends and potential game changers C. Voigt (ZSI, Vienna), T. Holocher-Ertl (ZSI, Vienna), F. Giorgini (eXact learning, Italy) MicroLearning 6.0 - Designing MicroLearning Experiences Innsbruck, Monday, July 9, 2012, 14:00-17:30
  • 3. Roadmapping Knowledge Architecture – Objectives  Market: why - drivers  Product: what - revenue  Technology: how – resources Phaal R, Muller G. 2009. Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 3
  • 4. Outline  Roadmapping & Strategic Planning Frameworks  Process: (1) awareness raising, (2) drivers & trends, (3) game changers  Each step is a push / pull interaction Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 4
  • 5. Roadmapping as strategic planning … STEPL Social, Technical, Economical, Political, Legal Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) CJP, Probert DR. 2005 Phaal R, Farrukh 5
  • 6. Roadmapping Maturity Levels  L1 – For individuals, understanding and organising  L2 – For organisations, proactive planning  L3 – For cluster, including environmental data Current (PESTL), cross-sectorial coordination (Interactive)  L4 – Monitoring systems, real time updates, Phaal R, Farrukh CJP, Probert DR. 2005 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 6
  • 7. Interactive roadmapping Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 7
  • 8. Pull and push perspectives Awareness Local-Global Anticipating Raising Alignment Game-changer Needs / Visions Local Drivers Weak Signals Pull (interviews) (surveys) (Delphi) Challenges Global Trends Weak Signals Push (research (research (Text Mining) publications) publications) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 8
  • 9. 9 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) Step 1: Awareness Raising / Why should we change?
  • 10. Pull: Products and services in 5 yrs Something No else response 31% 24% The same Don't know or similar 18% 27% TEL-Providers (n=45) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 10
  • 11. Push: Current challenges  Making skills development less of a by-product and find ways of integrating business processes and (informal) learning  Making underlying technology infrastructures and content production affordable  Increased focus on learner activities (social networks, learner generated content) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 11
  • 12. 12 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) Step 2: Local Drivers & Global Trends What should we change?
  • 13. Pull: Surveying TEL-Providers Netherlands 7% Belgium United States Italy 2% France of America 2% 13% 5% Norway India 2% 5% Switzerland Germany 2% United 4% Kingdom of Finland Great Britain 27% 31% TEL-Providers (n=45) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 13
  • 14. Pull: Main drivers for learning Economical 24% Political 2% Technical Legal 24% 5% Social 45% TEL-Providers (n=45) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 14
  • 15. Pull: Examples  P - Actions from the boards of education  L - compliance trainings (health & safety) and learning about data protection.  S- Quick, short, inspirational learning bits, self- improvement and competitive edge …  T – ease of access, cloud services; collaborative workspaces  E - Human Capital Management solutions; Connection to business goals Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 15
  • 16. Push: Drivers as per published documents and studies  P – ET 2020 document: learner mobility, employa- bility, entrepreneurship, social cohesion and active citizenship  L - Directive 95/46/EC: clear collection purpose, not stored longer as necessary, employees have the right to access and correct the collected data  E – Performance indicators (yes), learning to innovate (double loop). Senge (1997) - companies observe their performance and markets and reinvent themselves accordingly Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 16
  • 17. 17 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) Step 3: Anticipating Game-changer Thinking long-term ….
  • 18. Pull: Delphi (work in progress) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 18
  • 19. Push: Text mining as a means of crowd sourcing  700 TEL-relevant blogs  2010 and 2011: 7000 individual posts per year  “tm” package for R  Dictionary approach via the Harvard General Inquirer Classification System Voigt C, Cooper A. 2012 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 19
  • 20. First Results from „Legal‟ and „Economical‟ categories Legal Aspects Economic Aspects Injunction against MS Word (XML More Productive Outside the Office 1 spec) (0.097) (0.242) Prof. Dev. Videos re equity in schools Not-So-Radical Ideas to Save Ed 2 (0.092) with $100 Million Bucks (0.235) Lawsuit - Apple fixing price of e- Education voucher systems and 3 books (0.031) profit (0.212) No Child Left Behind legislation & Virtual education - cost savings and 4 special needs learner (0.026) academic gain in Texas (0.200) NCLB legal definition of a “highly Financing a technology driven 5 qualified” teacher (0.023) education reform (0.109) Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 20
  • 21. So how would a contextualized & interactive Microlearning roadmap look like?  Subset of the data mentioned …  Depends on multiple stakeholders …  Next action during EC-TEL 2012 Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 21
  • 22. References  Phaal R, Farrukh CJP, Probert DR. 2005. Developing a technology roadmapping system, Technology Management: A Unifying Discipline for Melting the Boundaries, Vol. 31: 99 - 111  Phaal R, Muller G. 2009. An architectural framework for roadmapping: Towards visual strategy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 76(1): 39-49  Senge PM. 1997. The fifth discipline. Measuring Business Excellence 1(3): 46-51  Voigt C, Cooper A. 2012. Context-aware roadmapping through large scale data sifting and stakeholder workshops: Practical demo for the Special Track Research 2.0;, 12th International Conference on Knowledge Management and Knowledge Technologies Graz, Austria  http://www.learningfrontiers.eu/ Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 22
  • 23. Contact Details  www.zsi.at/users/156  www.slideshare.net/chrvoigt  www.twitter.com/chrvoigt  www.linkedin.com/in/chrvoigt Christian Voigt (Centre for Social Innovation) 23