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Total jobs vs. unemployment rate: MSP
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change): MSP
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Industrial employment trends (12-month change): MSP
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
• The local unemployment rate of 2.9% has hit its lowest point since 2001.
Coupled with year-over-year labor force growth of 34.2 thousand jobs,
Minneapolis-St. Paul currently has one of the strongest economies of any
major metro in the United States.
• As is typically the case, MSP’s office-using sectors dominated hiring by
taking 48.0 percent of the 12-month total employment growth, while the
industrial sectors experienced a loss of 1.8 percent.
• At the national level, monthly growth of 211,000 jobs over the course of
November represented the second consecutive month of rebound after a
slowdown in mid-2015. At the current rate of growth, a mid-to-late-2016
timeframe seems likely for the first stage of tightening.
• A labor shortage will likely lead to further wage growth in a low-inflation
environment, boosting spending and, in turn, GDP growth. Hourly wages are
up 2.3 percent across the private sector, with this figure rising to 2.9 percent
for professional and business services.
Employment Update
Minneapolis-St. Paul | December 2015
5.0%U.S. unemployment
1.9%U.S. 12-month job growth
2.9%MSP unemployment
1.8%MSP 12-month job growth
3.7%Minnesota unemployment
0.8%Minnesota 12-month job growth
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
1,550,000
1,600,000
1,650,000
1,700,000
1,750,000
1,800,000
1,850,000
1,900,000
1,950,000
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Peak: 1,891,323 jobs
2.9%
unemployment rate
total jobs
-1,800
-1,700
-1,600
-400
800
1,900
3,600
8,400
10,000
15,000
Government
Mining and Logging
Other Services
Information
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
Manufacturing
Financial Activities
Educational & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Professional & Business Services
Office employment trends (12-month change): MSP
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Professional & Business Services
Information
Government
Financial Activities
-5.0
5.0
15.0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Trade, Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing
Other Services Mining, Logging & Construction
Industry employment stratification
Minneapolis-St. Paul
Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics
©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
Employment statistics
Minneapolis-St. Paul
October 2013 October 2014 October 2015
Total Non-farm
Employment
1,892,800
2.2%
1,919,500
1.4%
1,953,700
1.8%
Unemployment Rate 4.1% 3.0% 2.9%
MSP supersectors October 2013 October 2014 October 2015
Mining, Logging & Construction 73,200 10.9% 79,000 7.9% 77,300 -2.2%
Manufacturing 187,300 0.5% 192,900 3.0% 194,800 1.0%
Trade, Transportation,
& Utilities
340,600 1.7% 344,500 1.1% 345,300 0.2%
Information 39,900 -2.4% 39,600 -0.8% 39,200 -1.0%
Financial Activities 145,200 0.8% 144,300 -0.6% 147,900 2.5%
Professional & Business
Services
299,600 2.3% 304,000 1.5% 319,000 4.9%
Educational & Health Services 304,500 3.4% 309,900 1.8% 318,300 2.7%
Leisure & Hospitality 172,900 3.5% 173,300 0.2% 183,300 5.8%
Other Services 78,400 -0.1% 80,700 2.9% 79,100 -2.0%
Government 251,200 2.0% 251,300 0.0% 249,500 -0.7%
18%
16%
16%13%
10%
9%
8%
4%
4% 2%
Trade, transportation and Utilities Professional and Business Services
Educational and Health Services Government
Manufacturing Leisure and Hospitality
Financial Activities Other Services
Mining, Logging and construction Information
For more information, please contact:
Carolyn Bates │ carolyn.bates@am.jll.com

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Minneapolis–St. Employment Update | December 2015

  • 1. Total jobs vs. unemployment rate: MSP Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics Job growth/loss by sector (12-month change): MSP Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics Industrial employment trends (12-month change): MSP Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics • The local unemployment rate of 2.9% has hit its lowest point since 2001. Coupled with year-over-year labor force growth of 34.2 thousand jobs, Minneapolis-St. Paul currently has one of the strongest economies of any major metro in the United States. • As is typically the case, MSP’s office-using sectors dominated hiring by taking 48.0 percent of the 12-month total employment growth, while the industrial sectors experienced a loss of 1.8 percent. • At the national level, monthly growth of 211,000 jobs over the course of November represented the second consecutive month of rebound after a slowdown in mid-2015. At the current rate of growth, a mid-to-late-2016 timeframe seems likely for the first stage of tightening. • A labor shortage will likely lead to further wage growth in a low-inflation environment, boosting spending and, in turn, GDP growth. Hourly wages are up 2.3 percent across the private sector, with this figure rising to 2.9 percent for professional and business services. Employment Update Minneapolis-St. Paul | December 2015 5.0%U.S. unemployment 1.9%U.S. 12-month job growth 2.9%MSP unemployment 1.8%MSP 12-month job growth 3.7%Minnesota unemployment 0.8%Minnesota 12-month job growth 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 1,550,000 1,600,000 1,650,000 1,700,000 1,750,000 1,800,000 1,850,000 1,900,000 1,950,000 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 Peak: 1,891,323 jobs 2.9% unemployment rate total jobs -1,800 -1,700 -1,600 -400 800 1,900 3,600 8,400 10,000 15,000 Government Mining and Logging Other Services Information Trade, Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Financial Activities Educational & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Professional & Business Services Office employment trends (12-month change): MSP Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics -20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Professional & Business Services Information Government Financial Activities -5.0 5.0 15.0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Trade, Transportation & Utilities Manufacturing Other Services Mining, Logging & Construction
  • 2. Industry employment stratification Minneapolis-St. Paul Source: JLL Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics ©2015 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. Employment statistics Minneapolis-St. Paul October 2013 October 2014 October 2015 Total Non-farm Employment 1,892,800 2.2% 1,919,500 1.4% 1,953,700 1.8% Unemployment Rate 4.1% 3.0% 2.9% MSP supersectors October 2013 October 2014 October 2015 Mining, Logging & Construction 73,200 10.9% 79,000 7.9% 77,300 -2.2% Manufacturing 187,300 0.5% 192,900 3.0% 194,800 1.0% Trade, Transportation, & Utilities 340,600 1.7% 344,500 1.1% 345,300 0.2% Information 39,900 -2.4% 39,600 -0.8% 39,200 -1.0% Financial Activities 145,200 0.8% 144,300 -0.6% 147,900 2.5% Professional & Business Services 299,600 2.3% 304,000 1.5% 319,000 4.9% Educational & Health Services 304,500 3.4% 309,900 1.8% 318,300 2.7% Leisure & Hospitality 172,900 3.5% 173,300 0.2% 183,300 5.8% Other Services 78,400 -0.1% 80,700 2.9% 79,100 -2.0% Government 251,200 2.0% 251,300 0.0% 249,500 -0.7% 18% 16% 16%13% 10% 9% 8% 4% 4% 2% Trade, transportation and Utilities Professional and Business Services Educational and Health Services Government Manufacturing Leisure and Hospitality Financial Activities Other Services Mining, Logging and construction Information For more information, please contact: Carolyn Bates │ carolyn.bates@am.jll.com