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Learning	
  how	
  to	
  make	
  insurance	
  
that	
  is	
  popular	
  with	
  smallholder	
  
farmers:	
  Insights	
  from	
  some	
  projects	
  
that	
  scale	
  
Daniel	
  Osgood	
  
Lead,	
  Financial	
  Instruments	
  Sector	
  Team	
  
Columbia	
  University	
  IRI	
  
The	
  Issue	
  
•  Index	
  insurance	
  hoped	
  to	
  meaningfully	
  reduce	
  poverty	
  at	
  
large	
  scales	
  
•  Scaling,	
  demand,	
  impacts	
  of	
  many	
  projects	
  “disappoinDng”	
  
•  Some	
  projects	
  have	
  elements	
  that	
  do	
  not	
  “disappoint”	
  
•  What	
  can	
  we	
  learn	
  from	
  these	
  projects?	
  
•  How	
  can	
  we	
  build	
  insurance	
  that	
  is	
  popular	
  with	
  farmers?	
  
(has	
  value	
  to	
  farmer,	
  can	
  scale,	
  posiDve	
  impacts)	
  
What	
  is	
  insurance	
  for?	
  
•  Climate	
  change:	
  more	
  bad	
  years	
  
•  AdaptaDon:	
  increase	
  producDvity	
  in	
  normal	
  years	
  to	
  cover	
  bad	
  
year	
  loss	
  
•  But	
  strategies	
  that	
  increase	
  producDvity	
  in	
  most	
  years	
  face	
  
increased	
  risk	
  in	
  bad	
  years	
  
•  Threat	
  of	
  1	
  drought	
  year	
  out	
  of	
  5	
  prevents	
  other	
  4	
  from	
  being	
  
much	
  more	
  producDve	
  
•  Key	
  to	
  adaptaDon	
  is	
  to	
  relax	
  risk	
  of	
  bad	
  year	
  to	
  unlock	
  
producDvity	
  opDons	
  
•  Insurance:	
  help	
  reduce	
  risk	
  to	
  unlock	
  producDvity	
  
Why	
  index	
  insurance?	
  
•  Insurance:	
  reduce	
  risk	
  to	
  unlock	
  producDvity	
  
•  But	
  problems	
  with	
  tradiDonal	
  insurance	
  have	
  made	
  it	
  tough	
  to	
  
implement	
  
•  Recent	
  index	
  innovaDon	
  Insure	
  weather	
  index	
  
• 
• 
• 
• 

eg:	
  provide	
  payout	
  if	
  there	
  is	
  drought	
  
Cheap,	
  “easy”	
  to	
  implement,	
  good	
  incenDves	
  
Many	
  limitaDons-­‐-­‐oVen	
  doesn’t	
  pay	
  when	
  farmer	
  faces	
  loss	
  
Different	
  families:	
  Weather	
  index,	
  Area	
  yield	
  index	
  

•  SDll	
  in	
  early	
  years	
  
Why	
  so	
  tough?	
  
•  Insurance	
  too	
  expensive	
  if	
  it	
  doesn’t	
  unlock	
  opportunity	
  or	
  if	
  
displaces	
  more	
  effecDve	
  tool	
  
	
  

•  What	
  chances	
  to	
  take?	
  
•  High	
  yielding	
  seed?	
  TransplanDng?	
  
•  Early	
  season	
  /	
  Late	
  season	
  drought	
  probability?	
  
	
  

•  Basis	
  risk	
  not	
  simple:	
  does	
  insurance	
  help	
  reduce	
  risk	
  enough	
  
to	
  take	
  these	
  opportuniDes?	
  
•  Must	
  solve	
  sophisDcated	
  problems	
  together	
  to	
  design	
  and	
  
validate	
  insurance	
  
Why	
  me	
  (at	
  IRI)?	
  
•  InternaDonal	
  Research	
  InsDtute	
  for	
  Climate	
  and	
  Society	
  

•  Enhance	
  socieDes	
  ability	
  to	
  understand	
  and	
  manage	
  climate	
  risk	
  

•  IRI	
  worked	
  since	
  ‘early	
  days’	
  of	
  index	
  insurance	
  	
  

•  Solid	
  science	
  base,	
  working	
  with	
  farmers,	
  partners,	
  processes,	
  capacity	
  
building	
  and	
  training,	
  policy	
  

•  Connect	
  the	
  experiences	
  from	
  many	
  project	
  partners	
  

•  ArgenDna,	
  Bangladesh,	
  Dominican	
  Republic,	
  Ethiopia,	
  Ghana,	
  Honduras,	
  
Indonesia,	
  Kenya,	
  Malawi,	
  Mali,	
  Nicaragua,	
  Nigeria,	
  Philippines,	
  Rwanda,	
  
Senegal,	
  Tanzania,	
  Uganda,	
  Uruguay	
  

•  Experience	
  with	
  popular	
  quickly	
  scaling	
  products	
  

•  Tens	
  of	
  thousands	
  of	
  farmers	
  individually	
  chose	
  to	
  buy	
  indexes	
  

•  Significant	
  posiDve	
  impacts	
  
Partners	
  around	
  the	
  world	
  
Connecting	
  experiences	
  in	
  indexes	
  
1. ወደ አዲስ ቀበሌ መነሻ ጉብኝት — Index Insurance Sample Educational Exercises 2.0.0 documentation

12/7/12 1:11 AM

በውይይቱ መጨረሻ ሁሉነም ጥያቄዎችና ያልተዳሰሱ ጉዳዮች ያዳርሱ። በመቀጠልም ቡድኑ በኢንዴክስ ዝግጅት ሂደቱ መስማማት
አለመስማማታቸውን እጅ በማውጣት እንዲገልጹ ያድርጉ። በመጨረሻም ከላይ በተመለከተው መሰረት በመግለጫ 4: “የኢንዴክስ
መረጃ መሰብሰቢያ ቅጽ” ላይ መገልበጥ ያለባቸውን የጥያቄ መልሶች በቅጹ ላይ ይገልብጡ።

CAPÍTULO 2

ተጨማሪ ሀሳብ ካካባቢው ህብረተሰብ ጋር አብሮ መስራት የሚያስችል ተጨማሪ ምክሮችና መመሪያዎችን ወደ አዲስ መንደር መነሻ
ሀሳብ:
ጉብኝትበሚከተሉት ክፍሎች ይመልከቱ፧ መግለጫ ቁጥር 5፡ካካባቢው ህብረተሰብ ጋር አብሮ በሚሰራበት ወቅት መደረግ

የሚገባቸውና መደረግ የሌለባቸው አምስት ዋና ዋና ነጥቦች። መግለጫ ቁጥር 6፡ዝርዝር ማጣሪያ: ወደ አዲስ መንደር መነሻ ጉብኝት
ከመደረጉ በፊት መዘጋጀት ያለባቸው ማስረጃዎች።

s
Riesgo climático y oportunidade

2. መግለጫ
2.1 Tema: Riesgo climático y opor

tunidades

1፡
2.1. መግለጫ 1፡ ከኢንዴክስ ዲዛይን ዝግጅት ቡድን አባላት ግለሰባዊ መረጃ
መሰብስቢያ ጥያቄዎች

2.1.1 Objetivo

una serie de ejemplos basados en compropósito guiar al usuario a través de
Los siguientes ejercicios tienen como
agricultor se puede enfrentar al tomar
los tipos de alternativas a las que un
una idea general de algunos
paraciones costo-benefico que ilustran
climáticos. El ejercicio también provee
de los riesgos
s
decisiones con respecto a la gestión
en base a índices. Los siguientes capítulo
de riesgos climáticos y de seguros
año hay
de los principios básicos de la gestión
documento suponemos que en cada
introducidos. Para el propósito de este
elaborarán los conceptos aquí
solamente una temporada agrícola.

ከዚህ በታች የተዘረዘሩት ጥያቄዎች የቀበሌው አባላት በሀብት/ንብረት፣ በውሃ አጠቃቀም፧ በገቢ ምንጭ እንዲሁም ድርቅን በመቋቋም
አቅም ምን ያህል እንድሚለያዩ ለማወቅ ይረዳሉ። ሀብት/ንብረት፣ የውሃ አጠቃቀም፧ የገቢ ምንጮች እንዲሁም ድርቅን የመቋቋም

2.1.2 Introducción

de tipo climático, los cuales hacen
en desarrollo se ve limitada por riesgos
La productividad agrícola en los países
climáticos adversos como sequías o
tes o semillas de alta calidad. Eventos
vos,
que los agricultores no utilicen fertilizan
agricultores y destruyen activos producti
dad alimentaria, endeudan a los
inundaciones a menudo provocan inseguri
a la gente hacia una situación de pobreza
fenómenos son capaces de empujar
a hace que la gente y
como por ejemplo animales. Estos
”, la amenaza de la variabilidad climátic
ente “buenos
persistente. Pero incluso en años relativam
a aumentar la productividad. Esto se
o soliciten préstamos, que podrían ayudar
las instituciones no hagan inversiones
r totalmente una inversión. Como
como un periodo de sequía, podría inutiliza
años buenos.
debe a que un evento climático adverso,
aprovechar todos los beneficios de los
res no pueden
consecuencia, es frecuente que los agriculto
que intentan reducir los impactos
en gestión de riesgo climático son aquellas
En el sentido más básico, las acciones
Por ejemplo, los seguros pueden
de vida.
CHAPTER
extremos en las vidas y los medios
años
del clima y de los eventos climáticos
s, protegiéndolos de los riesgos de los
los agricultores en los años normale
THREE a índices son una herramienta
ayudar a mejorar la productividad de
en base
el crecimiento económico. Los seguros
A diferencia de los seguros
peores, proveyendo así una base para
de riesgo.
res pueden utilizar para una mejor gestión
relativamente nueva que los agriculto
nes climáticas, como la caída en
en base a las consecuencias de las condicio
de cultivo tradicionales, los cuales pagan
índice, tal como la cantidad de lluvia,
en base a índices pagan en base a un
rendimiento de un cultivo, los seguros
el
de satélite. Los seguros en base a índices
meteorológicas locales o por medio
que puede ser medida en estaciones
de riesgos climáticos y en instrumentos
más amplio de herramientas de gestión
riesgos de
pueden ser integrados en un conjunto
para disminuir la vulnerabilidad a los
3.1 Topic: Climate específicamente como un paquete de medidas
lo diseñados Risk and Opportunities
de desarrol
las personas.
do los medios de vida y las vidas de
tipo climático de los agricultores, mejoran

CLIMATE RISK AND
OPPORTUNITIES

3.1.1 Objective

The following exercise is
intended to guide the user
through a series of trade
a farmer may be faced with
offs that illustrate the types
when making decisions
of choices that
regarding weather risk manage
a general overview of some
ment. The exercise also
of the basic principles of
provides
climate risk management
chapters will elaborate on
and index insurance. The
the concepts introduced
following
here.

3.1.2 Introduction
Agricultural productivity
in developing countries
is blocked by weather related
fertilizer and high quality
risks that prevent farmers
seeds. Climate shocks
from using
like droughts and floods
the destruction of product
often lead to food insecuri
ive assets, such as plow
ty, debt and
animals, which can push
in relatively “good” years,
people into persistent poverty
the threat of climate shocks
. But even
makes people and instituti
investments or to take out
loans that could help to
ons unable or unwilling
increase productivity, because
to make
could render their investm
a climate shock, such as
ents worthless. As a result,
a drought,
farmers are often unable
to reap the full benefits of
In the most basic sense,
good years.
climate risk management
efforts are those that try
climate extremes can have
to reduce the impacts that
on lives and livelihoods.
weather and
For example, insurance
in normal years by protecti
can help enhance product
ng them from the risks
ivity for farmers
of the worst years, providin
Index insurance is a relativel
g a foundation for econom
y new tool that farmers
ic growth.
can use to help manage
which pays out based on
risk. Unlike traditional
consequences of weather
crop insurance,
, such as farmer’s crop
an index, such as rainfall,
yields, index insurance
which can be measured
pays out based on
at a local weather station
integrated into a broader
or by satellite. Index insuranc
set of climate risk manage
ment and development tools
e can be
decrease farmers’ vulnera
specifically designed as
bility to weather-related
a package to
risks, improving lives and
livelihoods.

3.2 Checkpoint: Clim
ate Risk and Opportuni
Questions

ties

1. You are a farmer and
you decide to take out a
loan to buy high quality
have to repay your loan
seeds. At the end of the
with interest, which amount
season you
s to a payment of 120 units
make 300 units of money
of money. In a normal year
with high quality seeds.
In a bad year you make 60
you
quality seeds. When you
units of money when you
use normal seeds instead
use high
of high quality seeds you
and bad years.
make less money in both
normal
(a) This growing season
turns out to be normal.
Will you be able to repay
your loan at the end of the
season?
5

3

አቅም የአንድን ቤተሰብ የሰብል ዋስትና ፍላጎት እና የሰብል ዋስትና የመግዛት አቅም አመላካች ናቸው። አወያዩ ከኢንዴክስ ዲዛይን
አባላት ጋር ውይይት ከማድረጉ በፊት የቀበሌውን አስተዳዳሪ በማነጋገር ስለመንደሩ መሰረታዊ የሆኑ መረጃዎችን መሰብሰብ ይችላል።
ይህም ስንት አባውራ በቀበሌው አንደሚኖር፧ ቀበሌው የሚታረሰው መሬት ስፋት፧ በመስኖ የለማው መሬት ስፋት፧ ዋና ዋና

CHAPITRE 3

ሰብሎች፧ ቀበሌው የሚኖሩ የሴት እማውራዎች ቁጥር እና በድርቅ ምክንያት ስለሚክሰተው አደጋ የመሳሰሉትን ያጠቃልላል።

የዲዛይን አባላቱ ለውይይቱ በቦታው እንደደረሱ ከዚህ በታች የተዘረዘሩት መረጃዎች ከያንዳንዳቸው መሰብሰብ ይኖርበታል።
CHAPTER

THREE
1. ሥም (በሚስጥር ይያዛል)፡ _______________________________________ e
Qu’est-ce qu
2.APA_______________________________________
ፆታ፡ ITU

ASURANSI IN

DEKS IKLI

basée sur un
l’assurance
rologique ?
indice météo

M?
ፆታዎ ሴት ከሆነ የሴት እማውራ ነዎት? _______________________________________
3.1 Topik: Ap
a itu Asurans
i

Indeks Iklim?
météoro3. እድሜ፡ _______________________________________
e sur un indice
urance basé
t-ce que l’ass
4. በቀበሌው የሚኖሩበት መንደር ሥም፡ _______________________________________
Thème : Qu’es
3.1

3.1.1 Tujuan

Tujuan dari bab
ini adalah untu
k memperkenal
indeks iklim berb
logique ?
kan pembaca deng
eda dari produk
an konsep Asu
asuransi tanaman
iklim mungkin
ransi Indeks Iklim
cocok untuk peng
tradisional, dan
(l’assu, bagaimana asur
untuk menggam
elolaan risiko peta
météorologique
ansi
barkan bagaiman
tif
ni secara keseluru
e sur un indice
les cultures,
a asuransi inde 3.1.1 Objec
han.
l’assurance basé
tionnelle pour
ks
ur le concept de
d’assurance tradi
3.1.2 Pendah
entera au lecte
autres produits
au risque.
uluan: Apa itu
document prés
e se distingue des
rale du fermier
Cette partie du
Asuransi?
t cette assuranc
la gestion géné
rà
), commen
ielle peut s’adapte
Asuransi adalah
rance indicielle
pengaturan keua
t l’assurance indic
ngan
disebabkan oleh
et décrire commen
berbagai hal, term yang dimaksudkan untuk mem
bukanlah hadiah
berikan perlindun
asuk kematian
l’assurance ?
, kecelakaan mob
atau subsidi, tetap
gan dari risiko.
être n’imil, atau bahkan
Risiko ini dapa
menerima perli
i cara di mana
Qu’est-ce que
e. Ce risque peut n’est ni
ction :
t
untuk kerugian
ndungan dalam
seseorang dapa
assurés du risqu
tanaman. Asurans 3.1.2 Introdu
tahu
t membayar seju
surance
lebih dari juml
n de protéger les
i
mlah kecil di tahu
s de récolte. L’as
ah yang diterima n yang buruk. Namun, dari wak
ancier qui a l’intentio
même les perte
tu
untuk membaya
n
ant les bonnes
Kita. Untuk men
arrangement finan les accidents de la route, ou
quantités pend
r keuntungan dari ke waktu jumlah yang dibayark yang baik dan
dapatkan asuransi
t,
surance est un
urs plus pour
paie de petites
an SELALU akan L’as
perusahaan asur
t la mor
Dalam pertukara
, kita harus men
personne
payera toujo
e : ce qui inclu
ansi
n untuk pembaya
yetujui dan men
par lequel une
Néanmoins, on
une profite
andatangani kont yang memegang resiko untuk porte quel risqu subvention, mais un moyen
kompensasi jika
ran, yang dilak
vaises années.
surance gagne
ukan di awal dise
rak dengan peru
ketentuan kont
e pendant les mau
au ni une
compagnie d’as
pensatoir
un cade
e que la
rak
sahaan asuransi
but
yang buruk terja
it un montant com
pensatoires parc
.
di yang tidak terca tertentu (biasanya berhubungan “premium”, perusahaan asur
nées et elle reço
ansi memberik
les montants com
e
tidak terjadi, Kita
dengan kerugian
kup dalam kont
an
n recevra avec
rak, pembeli tidak
surance. Une prim
) terjadi. Nam
tidak akan men
l’assurance qu’o
un, jika sesuatu
compagnie d’as
bahwa ada istila
dapatkan prem
diberi uang. Sela
risque.
une compagnie
i Kita kembali.
contrat avec une
h kesepakatan
in itu, jika dise
e d’assurance,
pour protéger du
er et signer un
awal yang men
Salah satu man
et pour une prim
s, dans les cas
entukan jumlah
faat dari pembelia pakati kerugian
obligé de s’accord
ie d’assurance,
se passent. Mai
kompensasi yang
urance, on est
n asuransi adal
ance à la compagn du contrat (relatif aux pertes)
En plus, s’il
Kita terima.
Pour obtenir l’ass
ah
d’av
mnisé.
3.1.3 Asuran
un paiement fixe
s spécifiées
uré n’est pas inde
fice de
d’assurance est
si Tradisional
si les condition
l’assurance, l’ass
mnisé. Un béné
mnité garantie
dibandingkan
t pas couvert par
uré n’est pas inde n recevra.
fournit une inde
passe qui n’es
le contrat, l’ass
dengan Asuran
qu’o
événement se
Asuransi indeks
spécifiée dans
compensatoire
si Indeks
où un mauvais
adalah alat yang
n’est pas autant
file:///Users/raheldiro/projects/redumat/docs/_build/default/html/Amharic.html
Page 5 of 10
dictent le montant
relatif baru yang
yarkan berdasar
s mais la perte
éterminées qui
y a des perte
dapat digunaka
kan indeks, sepe
itions préd
n petani untuk
rti curah hujan,
qu’il y a des cond
konsekuensi dari
membantu men
diukur pada stasi
l’assurance est
cuaca, seperti
?
gelola risiko. Itu
un cuaca lokal
hasil panen peta
lesaikan sejumlah
ance indicielle
dibaatau
ni. Perbedaan
masalah mendasa
parée à l’assur
yang cerdik mem melalui satelit, bukan berdasar
negara-negara
L’assurance initionnelle com
kan
buat asuransi inde
berkembang. Tida r yang membuat asuransi tradi
gérer le risque.
surance trad
ks mampu men
sional tidak bisa
k seperti asuransi
lapangan petani
r les fermiers à
3.1.3 L’as
yemesurée par une
dijalankan di wila
tanaman tradision
untuk menentu
eau qui peut aide
saison, qui est
kan premi atau
yah pedesaan di
yang telah ditet
al, perusahaan
ivement nouv
débourse sur
e pendant une
menilai kerusaka
asuransi tidak
apkan sebelumn
est un outil relat
pluie qui tomb
traditionnelle qui problèmes
ielle
ce
tité de
perlu mengunj
n, jika jumlah
ya, maka asuransi
kelangsungan
L’assurance indic
paré à l’assuran
ungi
ieurs
comme la quan
curah hujan di
hidup tanaman
akan membaya
sur un indice,
des satellites, com distinction subtile résout plus
bawah ambang
atau gagal, peta
r. Karena pem
langsungan hidu
dicielle débourse ue locale ou télé-détectée par
batas
ni selal
bayaran tersebut
ier. Cette
p tanaman. Inov
ogiq
tidak terkait deng
lte pour un ferm
asi ini secara sign u memiliki insentif untuk mem
mengurangi prem
station météorol
an
o, comme la réco
buat keputusan
ifikan menurun
i asuransi dan
5
de la mété
kan biaya trans
terbaik untuk kemeningkatkan
une conséquence
aksi dan resiko
aksesibilitas.
perusahaan asur
ansi ,

5. በቤትዎ ስንት ሰው ይኖራል? _______________________________________
6. በቤትዎ ከሚኖሩት ሰዎች ስንቱ ከቤት ውጪ ይሰራሉ? _______________________________________
7. ምን ያህል የእርሻ መሬት አለዎት? _______________________________________
8. የትኛዎቹን የሰብል አይነቶች ያመርታሉ? በየትኛው የምርት ወቅት ነው የሚያመርቱት?
_______________________________________
8.1 በዋናነት የሚያመርቱት የትኛውን የሰብል አይነት ነው?

_______________________________________

8.2 ይህ የሰብል አይነት ባካባቢው በዋንኛነት ለምግብ የሚውል ሰብል ነው?

7
That	
  farmers	
  choose	
  
Projects	
  we	
  look	
  at	
  today	
  
•  Na#onal	
  Agricultural	
  Insurance	
  Scheme	
  (NAIS)	
  and	
  Weather	
  Based	
  
Crop	
  Insurance	
  Scheme	
  (WBCIS)	
  –	
  India	
  
•  Mongolia	
  Index	
  Based	
  Livestock	
  Insurance	
  (MIBLI)	
  –	
  Mongolia	
  
•  Kilimo	
  Salama	
  –	
  Kenya	
  and	
  Rwanda	
  (IRI	
  is	
  partner)	
  
•  Index	
  Based	
  Livestock	
  Insurance	
  (IBLI)	
  –	
  Kenya	
  and	
  Ethiopia:	
  a	
  
satellite	
  driven	
  program	
  with	
  asset	
  insurance	
  
•  R4	
  Rural	
  Resilience	
  Ini#a#ve	
  –	
  Ethiopia	
  and	
  Senegal:	
  a	
  farmer	
  led,	
  
unsubsidized	
  integrated	
  risk	
  management	
  project,	
  with	
  labor	
  for	
  
insurance	
  and	
  satellite	
  rainfall	
  features	
  (IRI	
  is	
  partner)	
  	
  
My	
  apologies	
  if	
  I	
  get	
  project	
  facts	
  wrong	
  (or	
  show	
  bias)	
  
India	
  Aield	
  crops	
  

CCAFS	
  (websearch)	
  
India	
  Aield	
  crops	
  
Na#onal	
  Agricultural	
  Insurance	
  Scheme	
  (NAIS)	
  and	
  Weather	
  Based	
  Crop	
  Insurance	
  
Scheme	
  (WBCIS)	
  –	
  India	
  
Others	
  in	
  the	
  room	
  know	
  much	
  more	
  than	
  I	
  about	
  this	
  project	
  
	
  
•  HUGE:	
  9	
  million	
  weather,	
  22	
  million	
  area	
  yield	
  
•  IniDal	
  BASIX	
  w-­‐index	
  ~2004ish,	
  first	
  index	
  ahempt	
  
•  Unsubsidized,	
  unbundled-­‐-­‐grew	
  to	
  10,000,	
  
•  “disappoinDng”	
  -­‐-­‐low	
  take	
  up,	
  min	
  purchase	
  opDon,	
  low	
  re-­‐enrollment	
  (?)	
  

•  Strategies	
  for	
  scale:	
  compulsory,	
  subsidized	
  	
  
•  Required	
  to	
  get	
  subsidized	
  government	
  loan,	
  Subsidized	
  premium	
  
•  Is	
  this	
  the	
  scale	
  model	
  to	
  follow	
  (or	
  scale	
  for	
  the	
  sake	
  of	
  scale)?	
  
•  Subsidized,	
  mandatory	
  standard	
  for	
  most	
  “unsuccessful”	
  projects	
  
•  How	
  are	
  we	
  we	
  confident	
  farmers	
  want	
  index,	
  targets	
  needs,	
  models	
  not	
  wrong?	
  
•  Rely	
  on	
  economic	
  study	
  evidence	
  (iniDal	
  evidence	
  of	
  shiVing	
  to	
  improved	
  inputs)	
  
•  Need	
  addiDonal	
  innovaDons,	
  broader	
  mix	
  of	
  demonstraDons	
  
Mongolia	
  Livestock	
  

Mark	
  Rosenwald,	
  CSP2	
  
Mongolia	
  Livestock	
  
Mongolia	
  Index	
  Based	
  Livestock	
  Insurance	
  (MIBLI)	
  
	
  Others	
  know	
  much	
  more	
  than	
  I	
  about	
  this	
  project	
  
	
  
•  Area	
  yield	
  livestock—use	
  aggregate	
  livestock	
  data	
  for	
  payouts	
  
•  Directly	
  insures	
  producDve	
  assets	
  (not	
  only	
  outputs)	
  
•  Government,	
  WB	
  reinsurance	
  for	
  huge	
  loss	
  (subsidy	
  in	
  tail?)	
  
•  Linked	
  to	
  risk	
  mgmt,	
  preparedness,	
  early	
  warning	
  systems	
  

•  Long	
  project,	
  constantly	
  growing	
  (cumulaDve	
  totals)	
  
•  2006:	
  2,400,	
  2008:	
  4,000,	
  2009:	
  14,000,	
  2013:	
  10%	
  of	
  herders	
  

•  Requires	
  good	
  surveys	
  of	
  livestock	
  everywhere	
  every	
  year	
  
What	
  if	
  	
  surveys	
  not	
  available/too	
  expensive?	
  
	
  
Livestock,	
  Kenya	
  and	
  Ethiopia	
  

livestockinsurance.files.wordpress.com	
  
Livestock,	
  Kenya	
  and	
  Ethiopia	
  
Index	
  Based	
  Livestock	
  Insurance	
  (IBLI)	
  	
  
Others	
  in	
  room	
  know	
  much	
  more	
  than	
  I	
  about	
  this	
  project	
  
	
  
•  Research	
  MoDvated,	
  research	
  built	
  
•  Targets	
  poverty	
  trap	
  directly:	
  insurance	
  for	
  producDve	
  assets	
  
•  Designed	
  using	
  research	
  project	
  data,	
  analyses	
  

• 
• 
• 
• 

Satellite	
  index	
  instead	
  of	
  area	
  yield	
  from	
  survey	
  staDsDcs	
  
Subsidized	
  risk	
  premium	
  
Since	
  2010	
  ~4,400	
  total	
  households	
  purchased	
  
Extremely	
  hard	
  to	
  reach	
  clients	
  

•  Impacts:	
  insured	
  weather	
  drought	
  significantly	
  beher	
  
Kilimo	
  Salama,	
  East	
  Africa	
  

audiencescapes.org	
  
Kilimo	
  Salama,	
  East	
  Africa	
  
Syngenta	
  Founda#on.	
  	
  Kenya,	
  Rwanda	
  +	
  others	
  
IRI	
  perspecDve	
  (we	
  are	
  a	
  project	
  partner)	
  
	
  
•  Weather	
  index	
  for	
  rain-­‐fed	
  crops,	
  started	
  ~2009	
  
•  Biggest,	
  fastest	
  growing,	
  unsubsidized	
  project	
  I	
  know	
  of	
  
•  2009:	
  200,	
  2012:	
  100,000	
  (in	
  2012	
  alone)	
  

•  MulDple	
  packages,	
  efficient	
  distribuDon	
  channels	
  
•  Unbundled,	
  loan	
  bundled,	
  seed	
  bundled,	
  seed	
  company	
  members	
  
•  Some	
  phone	
  sales/payments,	
  some	
  satellite,	
  some	
  raingauge	
  

•  IniDal	
  evidence	
  of	
  farmer	
  increasing	
  profit	
  via	
  insurance	
  

•  Not	
  subsidy—build	
  on	
  relaDonships,	
  packages	
  to	
  improve	
  produc#on	
  	
  
R4/HARITA	
  Ethiopia/Senegal	
  
IRI	
  perspecDve	
  (we	
  are	
  a	
  project	
  partner)	
  
•  R4	
  builds	
  on	
  HARITA,	
  in	
  Ethiopia	
  Integrated	
  risk	
  management	
  framework	
  developed	
  by	
  Oxfam	
  
America,	
  the	
  Relief	
  Society	
  of	
  Tigray	
  (REST),	
  together	
  with	
  Ethiopian	
  farmers	
  and	
  several	
  other	
  
naDonal	
  and	
  global	
  partners,	
  scaling	
  to	
  Senegal	
  
•  R4:	
  risk	
  reducDon,	
  risk	
  transfer	
  (insurance),	
  prudent	
  risk	
  taking	
  (microcredit),	
  and	
  risk	
  reserves	
  
(savings)	
  
•  Ethiopia	
  sales	
  and	
  scaling	
  

•  2009:	
  200	
  farms,~20,000	
  Individual	
  farms	
  individually	
  chose	
  to	
  buy	
  in	
  2013	
  alone	
  
•  Unsubsidized	
  premium,	
  nonloan	
  bundled,	
  nonmanditory	
  
•  Work	
  for	
  insurance	
  or	
  insurance	
  for	
  cash	
  
	
  

•  High	
  demand	
  (take-­‐up	
  exceeds	
  project	
  capacity)	
  

•  Min	
  purchase	
  possible:	
  ~$3	
  Ave	
  package	
  chosen:	
  ~$19,	
  Average	
  cash	
  only:	
  ~$9	
  
•  Farmers	
  overwhelmingly	
  chose	
  to	
  pay	
  more	
  money	
  for	
  more	
  frequent	
  payouts	
  

•  Satellite	
  rainfall	
  esDmate	
  triggers	
  payouts	
  
•  Extremely	
  parDcipatory	
  farmer	
  design,	
  validaDon,	
  sales	
  process-­‐each	
  village	
  leads	
  their	
  design	
  
through	
  formal	
  quanDtaDve	
  parDcipatory	
  process	
  
•  Preliminary	
  analysis	
  suggests	
  meaningful	
  improvements	
  in	
  producDve	
  assets	
  from	
  insurance	
  
	
  
Quantitative	
  farmer	
  design	
  
Games	
  to	
  Aind	
  production	
  
opportunities	
  (Senegal)	
  
Lessons	
  from	
  examples	
  
•  Design	
  insurance	
  for	
  a	
  purpose	
  
•  Target	
  Development/AdaptaDon	
  challenge,	
  Build	
  insurance	
  to	
  unlock	
  producDon	
  opportuniDes	
  
•  Target	
  appropriate	
  groups/levels,	
  leveraging	
  other	
  risk	
  mgmt	
  
•  Make	
  insurance	
  final	
  piece	
  of	
  careful	
  package	
  
•  People	
  who	
  benefit	
  from	
  insurance	
  should	
  
•  Guide	
  design,	
  understand	
  its	
  strengths	
  and	
  weaknesses	
  quanDtaDvely	
  
•  Can	
  have/build	
  package	
  appropriate	
  for	
  their	
  opportuniDes/risks	
  
•  Build	
  	
  
•  On	
  strong	
  relaDonships,	
  solid	
  science,	
  strong	
  distribuDon	
  methods,	
  validaDon	
  and	
  improvement,	
  
transparent,	
  understandable	
  products	
  
•  Start	
  slowly	
  and	
  carefully	
  to	
  scale	
  quickly	
  on	
  solid	
  foundaDon	
  
•  Basis	
  risk	
  is	
  central,	
  but	
  unless	
  carefully	
  thought	
  out	
  can	
  lead	
  along	
  wrong	
  path:	
  
•  Farmer,	
  science	
  based	
  approaches	
  to	
  basis	
  risk	
  minimizaDon	
  
•  Reduce	
  right	
  risk:	
  what	
  cant	
  be	
  targeted	
  through	
  other	
  approaches	
  that	
  blocks	
  opportuniDes	
  
•  We	
  want	
  farmers	
  to	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  save	
  crops	
  in	
  drought	
  using	
  an	
  index	
  payout	
  
Thank	
  you	
  

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Osgood Index Insurance

  • 1. Learning  how  to  make  insurance   that  is  popular  with  smallholder   farmers:  Insights  from  some  projects   that  scale   Daniel  Osgood   Lead,  Financial  Instruments  Sector  Team   Columbia  University  IRI  
  • 2. The  Issue   •  Index  insurance  hoped  to  meaningfully  reduce  poverty  at   large  scales   •  Scaling,  demand,  impacts  of  many  projects  “disappoinDng”   •  Some  projects  have  elements  that  do  not  “disappoint”   •  What  can  we  learn  from  these  projects?   •  How  can  we  build  insurance  that  is  popular  with  farmers?   (has  value  to  farmer,  can  scale,  posiDve  impacts)  
  • 3. What  is  insurance  for?   •  Climate  change:  more  bad  years   •  AdaptaDon:  increase  producDvity  in  normal  years  to  cover  bad   year  loss   •  But  strategies  that  increase  producDvity  in  most  years  face   increased  risk  in  bad  years   •  Threat  of  1  drought  year  out  of  5  prevents  other  4  from  being   much  more  producDve   •  Key  to  adaptaDon  is  to  relax  risk  of  bad  year  to  unlock   producDvity  opDons   •  Insurance:  help  reduce  risk  to  unlock  producDvity  
  • 4. Why  index  insurance?   •  Insurance:  reduce  risk  to  unlock  producDvity   •  But  problems  with  tradiDonal  insurance  have  made  it  tough  to   implement   •  Recent  index  innovaDon  Insure  weather  index   •  •  •  •  eg:  provide  payout  if  there  is  drought   Cheap,  “easy”  to  implement,  good  incenDves   Many  limitaDons-­‐-­‐oVen  doesn’t  pay  when  farmer  faces  loss   Different  families:  Weather  index,  Area  yield  index   •  SDll  in  early  years  
  • 5. Why  so  tough?   •  Insurance  too  expensive  if  it  doesn’t  unlock  opportunity  or  if   displaces  more  effecDve  tool     •  What  chances  to  take?   •  High  yielding  seed?  TransplanDng?   •  Early  season  /  Late  season  drought  probability?     •  Basis  risk  not  simple:  does  insurance  help  reduce  risk  enough   to  take  these  opportuniDes?   •  Must  solve  sophisDcated  problems  together  to  design  and   validate  insurance  
  • 6. Why  me  (at  IRI)?   •  InternaDonal  Research  InsDtute  for  Climate  and  Society   •  Enhance  socieDes  ability  to  understand  and  manage  climate  risk   •  IRI  worked  since  ‘early  days’  of  index  insurance     •  Solid  science  base,  working  with  farmers,  partners,  processes,  capacity   building  and  training,  policy   •  Connect  the  experiences  from  many  project  partners   •  ArgenDna,  Bangladesh,  Dominican  Republic,  Ethiopia,  Ghana,  Honduras,   Indonesia,  Kenya,  Malawi,  Mali,  Nicaragua,  Nigeria,  Philippines,  Rwanda,   Senegal,  Tanzania,  Uganda,  Uruguay   •  Experience  with  popular  quickly  scaling  products   •  Tens  of  thousands  of  farmers  individually  chose  to  buy  indexes   •  Significant  posiDve  impacts  
  • 8. Connecting  experiences  in  indexes   1. ወደ አዲስ ቀበሌ መነሻ ጉብኝት — Index Insurance Sample Educational Exercises 2.0.0 documentation 12/7/12 1:11 AM በውይይቱ መጨረሻ ሁሉነም ጥያቄዎችና ያልተዳሰሱ ጉዳዮች ያዳርሱ። በመቀጠልም ቡድኑ በኢንዴክስ ዝግጅት ሂደቱ መስማማት አለመስማማታቸውን እጅ በማውጣት እንዲገልጹ ያድርጉ። በመጨረሻም ከላይ በተመለከተው መሰረት በመግለጫ 4: “የኢንዴክስ መረጃ መሰብሰቢያ ቅጽ” ላይ መገልበጥ ያለባቸውን የጥያቄ መልሶች በቅጹ ላይ ይገልብጡ። CAPÍTULO 2 ተጨማሪ ሀሳብ ካካባቢው ህብረተሰብ ጋር አብሮ መስራት የሚያስችል ተጨማሪ ምክሮችና መመሪያዎችን ወደ አዲስ መንደር መነሻ ሀሳብ: ጉብኝትበሚከተሉት ክፍሎች ይመልከቱ፧ መግለጫ ቁጥር 5፡ካካባቢው ህብረተሰብ ጋር አብሮ በሚሰራበት ወቅት መደረግ የሚገባቸውና መደረግ የሌለባቸው አምስት ዋና ዋና ነጥቦች። መግለጫ ቁጥር 6፡ዝርዝር ማጣሪያ: ወደ አዲስ መንደር መነሻ ጉብኝት ከመደረጉ በፊት መዘጋጀት ያለባቸው ማስረጃዎች። s Riesgo climático y oportunidade 2. መግለጫ 2.1 Tema: Riesgo climático y opor tunidades 1፡ 2.1. መግለጫ 1፡ ከኢንዴክስ ዲዛይን ዝግጅት ቡድን አባላት ግለሰባዊ መረጃ መሰብስቢያ ጥያቄዎች 2.1.1 Objetivo una serie de ejemplos basados en compropósito guiar al usuario a través de Los siguientes ejercicios tienen como agricultor se puede enfrentar al tomar los tipos de alternativas a las que un una idea general de algunos paraciones costo-benefico que ilustran climáticos. El ejercicio también provee de los riesgos s decisiones con respecto a la gestión en base a índices. Los siguientes capítulo de riesgos climáticos y de seguros año hay de los principios básicos de la gestión documento suponemos que en cada introducidos. Para el propósito de este elaborarán los conceptos aquí solamente una temporada agrícola. ከዚህ በታች የተዘረዘሩት ጥያቄዎች የቀበሌው አባላት በሀብት/ንብረት፣ በውሃ አጠቃቀም፧ በገቢ ምንጭ እንዲሁም ድርቅን በመቋቋም አቅም ምን ያህል እንድሚለያዩ ለማወቅ ይረዳሉ። ሀብት/ንብረት፣ የውሃ አጠቃቀም፧ የገቢ ምንጮች እንዲሁም ድርቅን የመቋቋም 2.1.2 Introducción de tipo climático, los cuales hacen en desarrollo se ve limitada por riesgos La productividad agrícola en los países climáticos adversos como sequías o tes o semillas de alta calidad. Eventos vos, que los agricultores no utilicen fertilizan agricultores y destruyen activos producti dad alimentaria, endeudan a los inundaciones a menudo provocan inseguri a la gente hacia una situación de pobreza fenómenos son capaces de empujar a hace que la gente y como por ejemplo animales. Estos ”, la amenaza de la variabilidad climátic ente “buenos persistente. Pero incluso en años relativam a aumentar la productividad. Esto se o soliciten préstamos, que podrían ayudar las instituciones no hagan inversiones r totalmente una inversión. Como como un periodo de sequía, podría inutiliza años buenos. debe a que un evento climático adverso, aprovechar todos los beneficios de los res no pueden consecuencia, es frecuente que los agriculto que intentan reducir los impactos en gestión de riesgo climático son aquellas En el sentido más básico, las acciones Por ejemplo, los seguros pueden de vida. CHAPTER extremos en las vidas y los medios años del clima y de los eventos climáticos s, protegiéndolos de los riesgos de los los agricultores en los años normale THREE a índices son una herramienta ayudar a mejorar la productividad de en base el crecimiento económico. Los seguros A diferencia de los seguros peores, proveyendo así una base para de riesgo. res pueden utilizar para una mejor gestión relativamente nueva que los agriculto nes climáticas, como la caída en en base a las consecuencias de las condicio de cultivo tradicionales, los cuales pagan índice, tal como la cantidad de lluvia, en base a índices pagan en base a un rendimiento de un cultivo, los seguros el de satélite. Los seguros en base a índices meteorológicas locales o por medio que puede ser medida en estaciones de riesgos climáticos y en instrumentos más amplio de herramientas de gestión riesgos de pueden ser integrados en un conjunto para disminuir la vulnerabilidad a los 3.1 Topic: Climate específicamente como un paquete de medidas lo diseñados Risk and Opportunities de desarrol las personas. do los medios de vida y las vidas de tipo climático de los agricultores, mejoran CLIMATE RISK AND OPPORTUNITIES 3.1.1 Objective The following exercise is intended to guide the user through a series of trade a farmer may be faced with offs that illustrate the types when making decisions of choices that regarding weather risk manage a general overview of some ment. The exercise also of the basic principles of provides climate risk management chapters will elaborate on and index insurance. The the concepts introduced following here. 3.1.2 Introduction Agricultural productivity in developing countries is blocked by weather related fertilizer and high quality risks that prevent farmers seeds. Climate shocks from using like droughts and floods the destruction of product often lead to food insecuri ive assets, such as plow ty, debt and animals, which can push in relatively “good” years, people into persistent poverty the threat of climate shocks . But even makes people and instituti investments or to take out loans that could help to ons unable or unwilling increase productivity, because to make could render their investm a climate shock, such as ents worthless. As a result, a drought, farmers are often unable to reap the full benefits of In the most basic sense, good years. climate risk management efforts are those that try climate extremes can have to reduce the impacts that on lives and livelihoods. weather and For example, insurance in normal years by protecti can help enhance product ng them from the risks ivity for farmers of the worst years, providin Index insurance is a relativel g a foundation for econom y new tool that farmers ic growth. can use to help manage which pays out based on risk. Unlike traditional consequences of weather crop insurance, , such as farmer’s crop an index, such as rainfall, yields, index insurance which can be measured pays out based on at a local weather station integrated into a broader or by satellite. Index insuranc set of climate risk manage ment and development tools e can be decrease farmers’ vulnera specifically designed as bility to weather-related a package to risks, improving lives and livelihoods. 3.2 Checkpoint: Clim ate Risk and Opportuni Questions ties 1. You are a farmer and you decide to take out a loan to buy high quality have to repay your loan seeds. At the end of the with interest, which amount season you s to a payment of 120 units make 300 units of money of money. In a normal year with high quality seeds. In a bad year you make 60 you quality seeds. When you units of money when you use normal seeds instead use high of high quality seeds you and bad years. make less money in both normal (a) This growing season turns out to be normal. Will you be able to repay your loan at the end of the season? 5 3 አቅም የአንድን ቤተሰብ የሰብል ዋስትና ፍላጎት እና የሰብል ዋስትና የመግዛት አቅም አመላካች ናቸው። አወያዩ ከኢንዴክስ ዲዛይን አባላት ጋር ውይይት ከማድረጉ በፊት የቀበሌውን አስተዳዳሪ በማነጋገር ስለመንደሩ መሰረታዊ የሆኑ መረጃዎችን መሰብሰብ ይችላል። ይህም ስንት አባውራ በቀበሌው አንደሚኖር፧ ቀበሌው የሚታረሰው መሬት ስፋት፧ በመስኖ የለማው መሬት ስፋት፧ ዋና ዋና CHAPITRE 3 ሰብሎች፧ ቀበሌው የሚኖሩ የሴት እማውራዎች ቁጥር እና በድርቅ ምክንያት ስለሚክሰተው አደጋ የመሳሰሉትን ያጠቃልላል። የዲዛይን አባላቱ ለውይይቱ በቦታው እንደደረሱ ከዚህ በታች የተዘረዘሩት መረጃዎች ከያንዳንዳቸው መሰብሰብ ይኖርበታል። CHAPTER THREE 1. ሥም (በሚስጥር ይያዛል)፡ _______________________________________ e Qu’est-ce qu 2.APA_______________________________________ ፆታ፡ ITU ASURANSI IN DEKS IKLI basée sur un l’assurance rologique ? indice météo M? ፆታዎ ሴት ከሆነ የሴት እማውራ ነዎት? _______________________________________ 3.1 Topik: Ap a itu Asurans i Indeks Iklim? météoro3. እድሜ፡ _______________________________________ e sur un indice urance basé t-ce que l’ass 4. በቀበሌው የሚኖሩበት መንደር ሥም፡ _______________________________________ Thème : Qu’es 3.1 3.1.1 Tujuan Tujuan dari bab ini adalah untu k memperkenal indeks iklim berb logique ? kan pembaca deng eda dari produk an konsep Asu asuransi tanaman iklim mungkin ransi Indeks Iklim cocok untuk peng tradisional, dan (l’assu, bagaimana asur untuk menggam elolaan risiko peta météorologique ansi barkan bagaiman tif ni secara keseluru e sur un indice les cultures, a asuransi inde 3.1.1 Objec han. l’assurance basé tionnelle pour ks ur le concept de d’assurance tradi 3.1.2 Pendah entera au lecte autres produits au risque. uluan: Apa itu document prés e se distingue des rale du fermier Cette partie du Asuransi? t cette assuranc la gestion géné rà ), commen ielle peut s’adapte Asuransi adalah rance indicielle pengaturan keua t l’assurance indic ngan disebabkan oleh et décrire commen berbagai hal, term yang dimaksudkan untuk mem bukanlah hadiah berikan perlindun asuk kematian l’assurance ? , kecelakaan mob atau subsidi, tetap gan dari risiko. être n’imil, atau bahkan Risiko ini dapa menerima perli i cara di mana Qu’est-ce que e. Ce risque peut n’est ni ction : t untuk kerugian ndungan dalam seseorang dapa assurés du risqu tanaman. Asurans 3.1.2 Introdu tahu t membayar seju surance lebih dari juml n de protéger les i mlah kecil di tahu s de récolte. L’as ah yang diterima n yang buruk. Namun, dari wak ancier qui a l’intentio même les perte tu untuk membaya n ant les bonnes Kita. Untuk men arrangement finan les accidents de la route, ou quantités pend r keuntungan dari ke waktu jumlah yang dibayark yang baik dan dapatkan asuransi t, surance est un urs plus pour paie de petites an SELALU akan L’as perusahaan asur t la mor Dalam pertukara , kita harus men personne payera toujo e : ce qui inclu ansi n untuk pembaya yetujui dan men par lequel une Néanmoins, on une profite andatangani kont yang memegang resiko untuk porte quel risqu subvention, mais un moyen kompensasi jika ran, yang dilak vaises années. surance gagne ukan di awal dise rak dengan peru ketentuan kont e pendant les mau au ni une compagnie d’as pensatoir un cade e que la rak sahaan asuransi but yang buruk terja it un montant com pensatoires parc . di yang tidak terca tertentu (biasanya berhubungan “premium”, perusahaan asur nées et elle reço ansi memberik les montants com e tidak terjadi, Kita dengan kerugian kup dalam kont an n recevra avec rak, pembeli tidak surance. Une prim ) terjadi. Nam tidak akan men l’assurance qu’o un, jika sesuatu compagnie d’as bahwa ada istila dapatkan prem diberi uang. Sela risque. une compagnie i Kita kembali. contrat avec une h kesepakatan in itu, jika dise e d’assurance, pour protéger du er et signer un awal yang men Salah satu man et pour une prim s, dans les cas entukan jumlah faat dari pembelia pakati kerugian obligé de s’accord ie d’assurance, se passent. Mai kompensasi yang urance, on est n asuransi adal ance à la compagn du contrat (relatif aux pertes) En plus, s’il Kita terima. Pour obtenir l’ass ah d’av mnisé. 3.1.3 Asuran un paiement fixe s spécifiées uré n’est pas inde fice de d’assurance est si Tradisional si les condition l’assurance, l’ass mnisé. Un béné mnité garantie dibandingkan t pas couvert par uré n’est pas inde n recevra. fournit une inde passe qui n’es le contrat, l’ass dengan Asuran qu’o événement se Asuransi indeks spécifiée dans compensatoire si Indeks où un mauvais adalah alat yang n’est pas autant file:///Users/raheldiro/projects/redumat/docs/_build/default/html/Amharic.html Page 5 of 10 dictent le montant relatif baru yang yarkan berdasar s mais la perte éterminées qui y a des perte dapat digunaka kan indeks, sepe itions préd n petani untuk rti curah hujan, qu’il y a des cond konsekuensi dari membantu men diukur pada stasi l’assurance est cuaca, seperti ? gelola risiko. Itu un cuaca lokal hasil panen peta lesaikan sejumlah ance indicielle dibaatau ni. Perbedaan masalah mendasa parée à l’assur yang cerdik mem melalui satelit, bukan berdasar negara-negara L’assurance initionnelle com kan buat asuransi inde berkembang. Tida r yang membuat asuransi tradi gérer le risque. surance trad ks mampu men sional tidak bisa k seperti asuransi lapangan petani r les fermiers à 3.1.3 L’as yemesurée par une dijalankan di wila tanaman tradision untuk menentu eau qui peut aide saison, qui est kan premi atau yah pedesaan di yang telah ditet al, perusahaan ivement nouv débourse sur e pendant une menilai kerusaka asuransi tidak apkan sebelumn est un outil relat pluie qui tomb traditionnelle qui problèmes ielle ce tité de perlu mengunj n, jika jumlah ya, maka asuransi kelangsungan L’assurance indic paré à l’assuran ungi ieurs comme la quan curah hujan di hidup tanaman akan membaya sur un indice, des satellites, com distinction subtile résout plus bawah ambang atau gagal, peta r. Karena pem langsungan hidu dicielle débourse ue locale ou télé-détectée par batas ni selal bayaran tersebut ier. Cette p tanaman. Inov ogiq tidak terkait deng lte pour un ferm asi ini secara sign u memiliki insentif untuk mem mengurangi prem station météorol an o, comme la réco buat keputusan ifikan menurun i asuransi dan 5 de la mété kan biaya trans terbaik untuk kemeningkatkan une conséquence aksi dan resiko aksesibilitas. perusahaan asur ansi , 5. በቤትዎ ስንት ሰው ይኖራል? _______________________________________ 6. በቤትዎ ከሚኖሩት ሰዎች ስንቱ ከቤት ውጪ ይሰራሉ? _______________________________________ 7. ምን ያህል የእርሻ መሬት አለዎት? _______________________________________ 8. የትኛዎቹን የሰብል አይነቶች ያመርታሉ? በየትኛው የምርት ወቅት ነው የሚያመርቱት? _______________________________________ 8.1 በዋናነት የሚያመርቱት የትኛውን የሰብል አይነት ነው? _______________________________________ 8.2 ይህ የሰብል አይነት ባካባቢው በዋንኛነት ለምግብ የሚውል ሰብል ነው? 7
  • 10. Projects  we  look  at  today   •  Na#onal  Agricultural  Insurance  Scheme  (NAIS)  and  Weather  Based   Crop  Insurance  Scheme  (WBCIS)  –  India   •  Mongolia  Index  Based  Livestock  Insurance  (MIBLI)  –  Mongolia   •  Kilimo  Salama  –  Kenya  and  Rwanda  (IRI  is  partner)   •  Index  Based  Livestock  Insurance  (IBLI)  –  Kenya  and  Ethiopia:  a   satellite  driven  program  with  asset  insurance   •  R4  Rural  Resilience  Ini#a#ve  –  Ethiopia  and  Senegal:  a  farmer  led,   unsubsidized  integrated  risk  management  project,  with  labor  for   insurance  and  satellite  rainfall  features  (IRI  is  partner)     My  apologies  if  I  get  project  facts  wrong  (or  show  bias)  
  • 11. India  Aield  crops   CCAFS  (websearch)  
  • 12. India  Aield  crops   Na#onal  Agricultural  Insurance  Scheme  (NAIS)  and  Weather  Based  Crop  Insurance   Scheme  (WBCIS)  –  India   Others  in  the  room  know  much  more  than  I  about  this  project     •  HUGE:  9  million  weather,  22  million  area  yield   •  IniDal  BASIX  w-­‐index  ~2004ish,  first  index  ahempt   •  Unsubsidized,  unbundled-­‐-­‐grew  to  10,000,   •  “disappoinDng”  -­‐-­‐low  take  up,  min  purchase  opDon,  low  re-­‐enrollment  (?)   •  Strategies  for  scale:  compulsory,  subsidized     •  Required  to  get  subsidized  government  loan,  Subsidized  premium   •  Is  this  the  scale  model  to  follow  (or  scale  for  the  sake  of  scale)?   •  Subsidized,  mandatory  standard  for  most  “unsuccessful”  projects   •  How  are  we  we  confident  farmers  want  index,  targets  needs,  models  not  wrong?   •  Rely  on  economic  study  evidence  (iniDal  evidence  of  shiVing  to  improved  inputs)   •  Need  addiDonal  innovaDons,  broader  mix  of  demonstraDons  
  • 13. Mongolia  Livestock   Mark  Rosenwald,  CSP2  
  • 14. Mongolia  Livestock   Mongolia  Index  Based  Livestock  Insurance  (MIBLI)    Others  know  much  more  than  I  about  this  project     •  Area  yield  livestock—use  aggregate  livestock  data  for  payouts   •  Directly  insures  producDve  assets  (not  only  outputs)   •  Government,  WB  reinsurance  for  huge  loss  (subsidy  in  tail?)   •  Linked  to  risk  mgmt,  preparedness,  early  warning  systems   •  Long  project,  constantly  growing  (cumulaDve  totals)   •  2006:  2,400,  2008:  4,000,  2009:  14,000,  2013:  10%  of  herders   •  Requires  good  surveys  of  livestock  everywhere  every  year   What  if    surveys  not  available/too  expensive?    
  • 15. Livestock,  Kenya  and  Ethiopia   livestockinsurance.files.wordpress.com  
  • 16. Livestock,  Kenya  and  Ethiopia   Index  Based  Livestock  Insurance  (IBLI)     Others  in  room  know  much  more  than  I  about  this  project     •  Research  MoDvated,  research  built   •  Targets  poverty  trap  directly:  insurance  for  producDve  assets   •  Designed  using  research  project  data,  analyses   •  •  •  •  Satellite  index  instead  of  area  yield  from  survey  staDsDcs   Subsidized  risk  premium   Since  2010  ~4,400  total  households  purchased   Extremely  hard  to  reach  clients   •  Impacts:  insured  weather  drought  significantly  beher  
  • 17. Kilimo  Salama,  East  Africa   audiencescapes.org  
  • 18. Kilimo  Salama,  East  Africa   Syngenta  Founda#on.    Kenya,  Rwanda  +  others   IRI  perspecDve  (we  are  a  project  partner)     •  Weather  index  for  rain-­‐fed  crops,  started  ~2009   •  Biggest,  fastest  growing,  unsubsidized  project  I  know  of   •  2009:  200,  2012:  100,000  (in  2012  alone)   •  MulDple  packages,  efficient  distribuDon  channels   •  Unbundled,  loan  bundled,  seed  bundled,  seed  company  members   •  Some  phone  sales/payments,  some  satellite,  some  raingauge   •  IniDal  evidence  of  farmer  increasing  profit  via  insurance   •  Not  subsidy—build  on  relaDonships,  packages  to  improve  produc#on    
  • 19. R4/HARITA  Ethiopia/Senegal   IRI  perspecDve  (we  are  a  project  partner)   •  R4  builds  on  HARITA,  in  Ethiopia  Integrated  risk  management  framework  developed  by  Oxfam   America,  the  Relief  Society  of  Tigray  (REST),  together  with  Ethiopian  farmers  and  several  other   naDonal  and  global  partners,  scaling  to  Senegal   •  R4:  risk  reducDon,  risk  transfer  (insurance),  prudent  risk  taking  (microcredit),  and  risk  reserves   (savings)   •  Ethiopia  sales  and  scaling   •  2009:  200  farms,~20,000  Individual  farms  individually  chose  to  buy  in  2013  alone   •  Unsubsidized  premium,  nonloan  bundled,  nonmanditory   •  Work  for  insurance  or  insurance  for  cash     •  High  demand  (take-­‐up  exceeds  project  capacity)   •  Min  purchase  possible:  ~$3  Ave  package  chosen:  ~$19,  Average  cash  only:  ~$9   •  Farmers  overwhelmingly  chose  to  pay  more  money  for  more  frequent  payouts   •  Satellite  rainfall  esDmate  triggers  payouts   •  Extremely  parDcipatory  farmer  design,  validaDon,  sales  process-­‐each  village  leads  their  design   through  formal  quanDtaDve  parDcipatory  process   •  Preliminary  analysis  suggests  meaningful  improvements  in  producDve  assets  from  insurance    
  • 21. Games  to  Aind  production   opportunities  (Senegal)  
  • 22. Lessons  from  examples   •  Design  insurance  for  a  purpose   •  Target  Development/AdaptaDon  challenge,  Build  insurance  to  unlock  producDon  opportuniDes   •  Target  appropriate  groups/levels,  leveraging  other  risk  mgmt   •  Make  insurance  final  piece  of  careful  package   •  People  who  benefit  from  insurance  should   •  Guide  design,  understand  its  strengths  and  weaknesses  quanDtaDvely   •  Can  have/build  package  appropriate  for  their  opportuniDes/risks   •  Build     •  On  strong  relaDonships,  solid  science,  strong  distribuDon  methods,  validaDon  and  improvement,   transparent,  understandable  products   •  Start  slowly  and  carefully  to  scale  quickly  on  solid  foundaDon   •  Basis  risk  is  central,  but  unless  carefully  thought  out  can  lead  along  wrong  path:   •  Farmer,  science  based  approaches  to  basis  risk  minimizaDon   •  Reduce  right  risk:  what  cant  be  targeted  through  other  approaches  that  blocks  opportuniDes   •  We  want  farmers  to  be  able  to  save  crops  in  drought  using  an  index  payout  
  • 23.