Presentation by Dr. Martin Kowarsch from MCC at the Policy Advantage event on the sidelines of COP23. More information about the event series: https://bit.ly/AgAdvantage

1. Mapping Policy Alternatives:
A Framework for the Current
Science-Policy Interface
Dr. Martin Kowarsch
High-level panel on the science-policy interface for climate-smart agriculture
Bonn, 10 Nov 2017

2. Policy-relevance of expert advice?
2

3. Kowarsch et al., Nature Climate Change, 2017

4. Evaluation of policy goals & means: via practical implications
4
Policy end(s)
Alternative
means 1
Direct effects
Unwanted side-effects
Co-benefits
Alternative
means 2
Direct effects
Unwanted side-effects
Co-benefits
2
1 Identify best means
(here: “means 2”)
Revise end(s) if side-effects of
best means are too severe
Uninteresting
consequences
Uninteresting
consequences
Biewald, Kowarsch, et al., 2015
Example: implications of bioenergy
demand for 1.5°C

5. Credibility of expert advice?
5

6. 6Minx et al. (2016)
Projections
Assessment-making in the
age of BIG LITERATURE

7. Legitimacy of expert advice?
7

8. Expertise in policy: predominant models
8
Objectives Means
Researchers
Implementation
PolicymakersResearchers
Researchers
Technocratic model: scientists determine both policy goals & means
Decisionist model: policymakers set goals, scientists propose means
Kowarsch, Springer (2016)

9. Joint, integrated cartography of
alternative policy pathways
9
…to enable inclusive (multi-
stakeholder) deliberative
learning processes about
value & policy alternatives,
and their various practical
implications.

10. Assessments as promising tools
at the science-policy-society interface
10Kowarsch, Nature Clim. Ch., 2016

11. Environm. Sci. & Policy
Thanks for your attention.
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Contact: kowarsch@mcc-berlin.net
“FOGEAM”: UNEP-MCC research on assessment-making:
www.mcc-berlin.net/en/research/cooperation/unep.html
NATURE ClimChange