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By Charles E. Roop, University of Florida

COMPARING WIND AND PRECIPITATION
FIELDS IN HURRICANE FRANCES (2004)
CONTENTS

 Intro on Frances
 What we are looking for
 Steps and tools
 Data
 Results
 Conclusions
 Further Research
ABOUT HURRICANE FRANCES
 Formed out in Atlantic
 24 Aug. 2004 South
 of Cape Verde Islands
 Became T.S. next day,
 then Hurricane on 26
 Aug. as it moved west
 Made landfall near
 Hutchinson Island,
 Fla. On 4 Sept. as Cat
 2 (96-110 mph) with
 MCP of 960 mb            Source: Unisys Weather
SO…WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR?

 Main question: How do the wind fields compare
 to the WSR-88D reflectivity readings?
   Do the stronger winds correlate with higher
   reflectivity readings or vice versa?
INTENDED AUDIENCE

 Tropical Meteorology researchers
 Atmospheric Science students
   Meteorology
   Geography
METHODOLOGY – GIS
    Gather                   Layout                    Analyze                       Interpret
     Data                     Data                      Data                           Data

                              Place vector of radar     View and count data
    NWS, NOAA, other third            data              values in and out of
           party                                        buffers by selecting
                                                       attributes using Select
                                                        Layer by Location in
                                                               ArcMap


                             Plot COC using Editor
                              based on radar data
                                                       Create different vectors
                                                         of different reflectivity
                                                       levels (i.e. 30 dZB +, 40
                                                        dBZ +, etc) by selecting
                                                         appropriate attributes
                             Extract data at time of          using ArcMap
                             radar image based on
                               plotted Center of
                                  Circulation




                                Create buffer of
                              average distance of
                             R34, R50, and R64, as
                                  well as ROI
EXPLANATION OF DATA
    Reflectivity
        Taken from WSR-88D radar station: probably from
        NWSFO in Melbourne, Fla.
        Units: dBZ (decibels)
        Date/Time: 4 Sept. 2004 at 1200 Z (8 a.m. EDT)
    Radii
        Gale (R34): Winds of 34+ knots (39+ mph)
        “Damaging” Gale (R50): Winds of 50+ knots (57+
        mph)
        Hurricane (R64): Winds of 64+ knots (74+ mph)


Radii split in certain
quadrants. Radii (in
kilometers) per attribute was
averaged to get one radius
for a certain wind field.
WIND FIELDS (AVERAGE)

 Average wind ranges from center of circulation
 (COC)
   Gale (R34): 284 km
   “Damaging” Gale (R50): 192 km
   Hurricane (R64): 125 km
RADIUS OF OUTER-MOST CLOSED ISOBAR

Isobar: Lines of
equal
barometric
pressure
ROI: farthest
closed isobar
surrounding the
tropical cyclone
                   Graphic Source: NOAA
FRANCES – REFLECTIVITY AND WIND BANDS
ANALYSIS 1 – 30+ DBZ AND WIND
COMPARISON
                                Inside       346        16%
                                Hurr

                                Hurr to      516        24%
                                Stg Gale

                                Gale to      649        30%
                                Stg Gale

                                Outside      496        23%
                                Gale



                                          Total
                                          attributes:
                                          2116
ANALYSIS 2 – 40+ DBZ AND WIND
COMPARISON
                                Inside     100     18%
                                Hurr
                                Hurr to    121     21%
                                Stg Gale


                                Gale to    175     31%
                                Stg Gale


                                Outside    154     27%
                                Gale



                                     Total attributes:
                                     571
ANALYSIS 3 – 50+ DBZ AND WIND
COMPARISON
                                Gale to Stg     12      32%
                                Gale
                                Outside Gale    24      63%



                                        Total attributes:
                                        38
ANALYSIS 4 – ROI AND REFLECTIVITY
                                TOTAL
                                ATRIBUTES:
                                4690

                                Inside ROI:
                                4519 (96%)

                                Outside ROI:
                                171 (4%)
WIND AND REFLECTIVITY CHART
30+ dBZ   Inside Hurr        346   2116   16%
          Hurr to Stg Gale   516   2116   24%
          Gale to Stg Gale 649     2116   30%
          Outside Gale       496   2116   23%
40+ dBZ   Inside Hurr        100   571    18%

          Hurr to Stg Gale   121   571    21%
          Gale to Stg gale   175   571    31%
          Outside Gale       154   571    27%
50+ dBZ   Gale to Stg Gale 12      38     32%
          Outside Gale       24    38     63%
55+ dBZ   Outside Gale       4     4      100%
FINDINGS

 Strongest reflectivity readings are further away
 from the COC.
   50+ dBZ not near center, but in east central Florida
   near the gale wind radius edge
 ROI: 96 percent of precipitation occurred inside
 the radius.
FINDINGS (CON’T)
Before 8 a.m.,
the Melbourne
Airport
received
reports of
winds gusts at
47 knots (54
mph)…well
before landfall
and with the
COC nearly 160
miles away
 Source: Weather Underground
POSSIBLE ISSUES

 Reflectivity near the COC might not be as
 accurate
   Distance
   Attenuation
 Possible slight differences in counting
 attributes
   However, will not be enough to make a difference in
   analyzing this storm
FUTURE ANALYSIS

 More TCs need to be analyzed to for finding out
 similar wind-reflectivity relationships
   Every storm is different
 Closer radar data for more accurate readings
   Hope the next storm hits closer to a NWS office
   Doppler On Wheels (DOW), anyone?
   New technologies
CONCLUSION
 Using ArcGIS, we were able to determine the
 relationships between the WSR-88D radar
 reflectivity and the wind fields of Hurricane
 Frances
 The findings showed that most of the higher
 reflectivity readings were further away from the
 COC.
 More research is needed in terms of wind-
 reflectivity relationships with other storms to see a
 common pattern for TCs.

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Comparing Wind and Precipitation Fields in Hurricane Frances (2004)

  • 1. By Charles E. Roop, University of Florida COMPARING WIND AND PRECIPITATION FIELDS IN HURRICANE FRANCES (2004)
  • 2. CONTENTS Intro on Frances What we are looking for Steps and tools Data Results Conclusions Further Research
  • 3. ABOUT HURRICANE FRANCES Formed out in Atlantic 24 Aug. 2004 South of Cape Verde Islands Became T.S. next day, then Hurricane on 26 Aug. as it moved west Made landfall near Hutchinson Island, Fla. On 4 Sept. as Cat 2 (96-110 mph) with MCP of 960 mb Source: Unisys Weather
  • 4. SO…WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR? Main question: How do the wind fields compare to the WSR-88D reflectivity readings? Do the stronger winds correlate with higher reflectivity readings or vice versa?
  • 5. INTENDED AUDIENCE Tropical Meteorology researchers Atmospheric Science students Meteorology Geography
  • 6. METHODOLOGY – GIS Gather Layout Analyze Interpret Data Data Data Data Place vector of radar View and count data NWS, NOAA, other third data values in and out of party buffers by selecting attributes using Select Layer by Location in ArcMap Plot COC using Editor based on radar data Create different vectors of different reflectivity levels (i.e. 30 dZB +, 40 dBZ +, etc) by selecting appropriate attributes Extract data at time of using ArcMap radar image based on plotted Center of Circulation Create buffer of average distance of R34, R50, and R64, as well as ROI
  • 7. EXPLANATION OF DATA Reflectivity Taken from WSR-88D radar station: probably from NWSFO in Melbourne, Fla. Units: dBZ (decibels) Date/Time: 4 Sept. 2004 at 1200 Z (8 a.m. EDT) Radii Gale (R34): Winds of 34+ knots (39+ mph) “Damaging” Gale (R50): Winds of 50+ knots (57+ mph) Hurricane (R64): Winds of 64+ knots (74+ mph) Radii split in certain quadrants. Radii (in kilometers) per attribute was averaged to get one radius for a certain wind field.
  • 8. WIND FIELDS (AVERAGE) Average wind ranges from center of circulation (COC) Gale (R34): 284 km “Damaging” Gale (R50): 192 km Hurricane (R64): 125 km
  • 9. RADIUS OF OUTER-MOST CLOSED ISOBAR Isobar: Lines of equal barometric pressure ROI: farthest closed isobar surrounding the tropical cyclone Graphic Source: NOAA
  • 10. FRANCES – REFLECTIVITY AND WIND BANDS
  • 11. ANALYSIS 1 – 30+ DBZ AND WIND COMPARISON Inside 346 16% Hurr Hurr to 516 24% Stg Gale Gale to 649 30% Stg Gale Outside 496 23% Gale Total attributes: 2116
  • 12. ANALYSIS 2 – 40+ DBZ AND WIND COMPARISON Inside 100 18% Hurr Hurr to 121 21% Stg Gale Gale to 175 31% Stg Gale Outside 154 27% Gale Total attributes: 571
  • 13. ANALYSIS 3 – 50+ DBZ AND WIND COMPARISON Gale to Stg 12 32% Gale Outside Gale 24 63% Total attributes: 38
  • 14. ANALYSIS 4 – ROI AND REFLECTIVITY TOTAL ATRIBUTES: 4690 Inside ROI: 4519 (96%) Outside ROI: 171 (4%)
  • 15. WIND AND REFLECTIVITY CHART 30+ dBZ Inside Hurr 346 2116 16% Hurr to Stg Gale 516 2116 24% Gale to Stg Gale 649 2116 30% Outside Gale 496 2116 23% 40+ dBZ Inside Hurr 100 571 18% Hurr to Stg Gale 121 571 21% Gale to Stg gale 175 571 31% Outside Gale 154 571 27% 50+ dBZ Gale to Stg Gale 12 38 32% Outside Gale 24 38 63% 55+ dBZ Outside Gale 4 4 100%
  • 16. FINDINGS Strongest reflectivity readings are further away from the COC. 50+ dBZ not near center, but in east central Florida near the gale wind radius edge ROI: 96 percent of precipitation occurred inside the radius.
  • 17. FINDINGS (CON’T) Before 8 a.m., the Melbourne Airport received reports of winds gusts at 47 knots (54 mph)…well before landfall and with the COC nearly 160 miles away Source: Weather Underground
  • 18. POSSIBLE ISSUES Reflectivity near the COC might not be as accurate Distance Attenuation Possible slight differences in counting attributes However, will not be enough to make a difference in analyzing this storm
  • 19. FUTURE ANALYSIS More TCs need to be analyzed to for finding out similar wind-reflectivity relationships Every storm is different Closer radar data for more accurate readings Hope the next storm hits closer to a NWS office Doppler On Wheels (DOW), anyone? New technologies
  • 20. CONCLUSION Using ArcGIS, we were able to determine the relationships between the WSR-88D radar reflectivity and the wind fields of Hurricane Frances The findings showed that most of the higher reflectivity readings were further away from the COC. More research is needed in terms of wind- reflectivity relationships with other storms to see a common pattern for TCs.