By 2044 we will hit peak population of 8.7B before decreasing to 8B by 2100. This decade we have seen the emergence of three distinct cities - the mega city, the shrinking city and the nomadic city. At The Next Billion conference in NYC I will present the concept of transient design and how to create nomadic cities.

1. Where is everyone?
the rise of the nomadic city

2. 2044
In 2044 our population will peak at 8.7B

3. How do we house the last billion?

4. Where are the last billion?

5. mega cities

6. shrinking cities

7. nomadic cities

8. This is not a camp

9. This is a city

10. 52m
population displaced by level 3 emergencies in 2014

11. 171m
people affected by civil conflict in 2014

13. sinking islands
Tuvulu has an ad hoc agreement to move to New Zealand

14. 50% by 2015
global poor in conflict-affected and fragile states

15. 80% in 2025
global poor in conflict-affected and fragile states

16. 325m
displacement by man-made & natural disasters by 2044 (est.)

17. resilience is
futile

18. transient design

20. Special Events

23. re:build
Pilosio re-deployable building system for refugees

25. System designed with basics assembly to allow for unskilled labor
re:employ

26. re:grow
locally sourced materials and edible garden roofing system

30. R E : E D U C AT E

33. a crowd-funded petri dish in a $16B bureaucratic lab of mediocracy

34. 1/3b

35. 1/3b
Valle de Guadalupe, México
photo by Luis García

36. 1. plan for nomadic communities
2. design for impermanence
3. build for adaptation
4. scale for a sharing economy

37. end poptart
philanthropy

38. (c) The Department of Small Works // casinclair@me.com