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Mobile retail opportunities

A new way to look at the market
                                                                by




All data/forecasts contained in this presentation copyright of mobileSQUARED unless stated otherwise. Data from Mobile Consumer Trends product
Mobile Commercialisationarisms
               E-commerce projections, UK
                                                               £69 billion in 2011, + 18% in 2012 =
         100                                                   £81.42 billion
         80
                                                               (IMRG estimations + mobileSQUARED data)

         60                                 E-commerce
£ bil.




         40                                 mobile

         20
                                                                         M-commerce potential
           0
                2011       2012
                                                         7,000,000,000

                                                         6,000,000,000

                                                         5,000,000,000

                   4Q11 = £5.6 billion                   4,000,000,000
                                                                                                         One purchase
                   3Q12 = £6.6 billion
                                                     £




                                                         3,000,000,000                                   Multiple purchases

                                                         2,000,000,000


               NOT ACTUAL MARKET                         1,000,000,000

                   FORECASTS!                                        -
                                                                            4Q11           3Q12
Your view of the UK mobile market ...

  82.91 million subs
  22.8 mobile internet users
  17.9 mobile app users
... & this is ours
In data we trust
We segment the UK mobile subscriptions by:
     • Advertising
     • Apps
     • Internet
     • Messaging
     • Commerce

Then by:
      • Device type
      • Age
      • Gender
      • Location
      • Socio-economics

And forecast:
      • 6 quarters out
Our UK view, 1Q2011...                                                    Mob Int: 7%
                                                                          M-comm: 5%


                                                    Apps: 1%
                             Mob Int: 11%          M-comm: 1%
                             M-comm: 12%
                                                                                        Mob Int: 5%
                                                                                         Apps: 5%
                                                                                        M-comm: 5%

 Mob Int: 2%
  Apps: 2%


                                                                                   Mob Int: 10%
               Mob Int: 5%                                                         M-comm: 10%
               M-comm: 5%
 Apps: 6%
M-comm: 6%



                                                                           Apps: 7%
                                                                          M-comm: 7%




                                                                         Mob Int: 19%
                                      Apps: 14%                           Apps: 18%
                                                          Mob Int: 12%   M-comm: 22%
                                     M-comm: 16%
                                                          M-comm: 9%
Investing in Android yet?
                                    24,670



2.4 million
Number of Android mobile internet
        users in 2Q2011




                107,207




                                             439,693
Forgotten the featurephone massive?
  7.2 million                                      1,092,142

Number of featurephone mobile internet
           users in 2Q2011




                                         498,673               904,794
Total m-commerce users, by device
                                                                  14.5 million
                                                                        Users of m-commerce in 1Q2011
                       M-commerce users by device
20,000,000

18,000,000
                                                                  19.2 million
                                                                        Users of m-commerce in 3Q2012
16,000,000

14,000,000

12,000,000                                                    Non-smartphone

10,000,000                                                    Other smartphones
                                                              Android
 8,000,000
                                                              iPhone
 6,000,000

 4,000,000

 2,000,000

        -
             1Q11   2Q11   3Q11   4Q11   1Q12   2Q12   3Q12
                                                                                   72%
                                                                               of m-commerce users on
                                                                               smartphones in 3Q2012
Demographics
              M-commerce: iPhone vs Android
1,600,000                                                                  Android m-commerce usage will
1,400,000                                                                    overtake iPhone in 4Q2013
1,200,000
1,000,000
 800,000                                         iPhone 18 - 24
 600,000                                         Android 18 - 24
 400,000
 200,000
                                                                      M-commerce: iPhone vs Android
       -
            1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12      2,000,000
                                                    1,800,000
                                                    1,600,000
                                                    1,400,000
                                                    1,200,000
                                                    1,000,000                                           iPhone 25 - 34
                                                      800,000                                           Android 25 - 34
                                                      600,000
                                                      400,000
                                                      200,000
                                                            -
                                                                   1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12
What is the iPhone’s appeal?
                 25-34 y.o.s: largest m-commerce users and will experience most growth
                  18-24 y.o.s are the next largest demographic group for m-commerce


                        iPhone m-commerce activity, by age

   6,000,000


   5,000,000


   4,000,000                                                           55 - 64
                                                                       45 - 54
   3,000,000                                                           35 - 44
                                                                       25 - 34
   2,000,000                                                           18 - 24


   1,000,000


          -
               1Q11   2Q11   3Q11    4Q11     1Q12    2Q12   3Q12
3,799,533                                2.1
Central, 3Q12                                Total number of mobile internet users
                                                                                              million
                                                                                           responsive to
                                                                                              mobile
  Mobile internet users by device                                                           advertising


                             iPhone



                                                                                           47%
                             Android
                             Other smartphones
                             Total featurephones
                             Total legacy phones                                           increase in
                             Total                                                          app users
                                                                                           1Q11-3Q12



                                                                    M-Commerce by device


                                                                                       iPhone
                                                                                       Android
                                                                                       Other smartphones
                                                                                       Total featurephones
                                                                                       Total legacy
Conclusion
iPhone will remain the largest device-type for m-commerce.
Discount featurephones at your peril

Largest demographic group for m-commerce will be 25-34 y.o.s
– 32% (1Q2011) & 43% in (3Q2012)

Smallest demographic group for m-commerce will be 55-64
y.o.s – 6% (1Q2011) & 8% in (3Q2012)

Regions with the greatest propensity for m-commerce: London,
Central & Granada




Nick Lane
Chief strategy analyst
mobileSQUARED
nick@mobilesquared.co.uk
+44 118 979 5339

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Nick Lane - Mobilesquared

  • 1. Mobile retail opportunities A new way to look at the market by All data/forecasts contained in this presentation copyright of mobileSQUARED unless stated otherwise. Data from Mobile Consumer Trends product
  • 2. Mobile Commercialisationarisms E-commerce projections, UK £69 billion in 2011, + 18% in 2012 = 100 £81.42 billion 80 (IMRG estimations + mobileSQUARED data) 60 E-commerce £ bil. 40 mobile 20 M-commerce potential 0 2011 2012 7,000,000,000 6,000,000,000 5,000,000,000 4Q11 = £5.6 billion 4,000,000,000 One purchase 3Q12 = £6.6 billion £ 3,000,000,000 Multiple purchases 2,000,000,000 NOT ACTUAL MARKET 1,000,000,000 FORECASTS! - 4Q11 3Q12
  • 3. Your view of the UK mobile market ... 82.91 million subs 22.8 mobile internet users 17.9 mobile app users
  • 4. ... & this is ours
  • 5. In data we trust We segment the UK mobile subscriptions by: • Advertising • Apps • Internet • Messaging • Commerce Then by: • Device type • Age • Gender • Location • Socio-economics And forecast: • 6 quarters out
  • 6. Our UK view, 1Q2011... Mob Int: 7% M-comm: 5% Apps: 1% Mob Int: 11% M-comm: 1% M-comm: 12% Mob Int: 5% Apps: 5% M-comm: 5% Mob Int: 2% Apps: 2% Mob Int: 10% Mob Int: 5% M-comm: 10% M-comm: 5% Apps: 6% M-comm: 6% Apps: 7% M-comm: 7% Mob Int: 19% Apps: 14% Apps: 18% Mob Int: 12% M-comm: 22% M-comm: 16% M-comm: 9%
  • 7. Investing in Android yet? 24,670 2.4 million Number of Android mobile internet users in 2Q2011 107,207 439,693
  • 8. Forgotten the featurephone massive? 7.2 million 1,092,142 Number of featurephone mobile internet users in 2Q2011 498,673 904,794
  • 9. Total m-commerce users, by device 14.5 million Users of m-commerce in 1Q2011 M-commerce users by device 20,000,000 18,000,000 19.2 million Users of m-commerce in 3Q2012 16,000,000 14,000,000 12,000,000 Non-smartphone 10,000,000 Other smartphones Android 8,000,000 iPhone 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 - 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 72% of m-commerce users on smartphones in 3Q2012
  • 10. Demographics M-commerce: iPhone vs Android 1,600,000 Android m-commerce usage will 1,400,000 overtake iPhone in 4Q2013 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 iPhone 18 - 24 600,000 Android 18 - 24 400,000 200,000 M-commerce: iPhone vs Android - 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 iPhone 25 - 34 800,000 Android 25 - 34 600,000 400,000 200,000 - 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12
  • 11. What is the iPhone’s appeal? 25-34 y.o.s: largest m-commerce users and will experience most growth 18-24 y.o.s are the next largest demographic group for m-commerce iPhone m-commerce activity, by age 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 55 - 64 45 - 54 3,000,000 35 - 44 25 - 34 2,000,000 18 - 24 1,000,000 - 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12
  • 12. 3,799,533 2.1 Central, 3Q12 Total number of mobile internet users million responsive to mobile Mobile internet users by device advertising iPhone 47% Android Other smartphones Total featurephones Total legacy phones increase in Total app users 1Q11-3Q12 M-Commerce by device iPhone Android Other smartphones Total featurephones Total legacy
  • 13. Conclusion iPhone will remain the largest device-type for m-commerce. Discount featurephones at your peril Largest demographic group for m-commerce will be 25-34 y.o.s – 32% (1Q2011) & 43% in (3Q2012) Smallest demographic group for m-commerce will be 55-64 y.o.s – 6% (1Q2011) & 8% in (3Q2012) Regions with the greatest propensity for m-commerce: London, Central & Granada Nick Lane Chief strategy analyst mobileSQUARED nick@mobilesquared.co.uk +44 118 979 5339