1.
CONFLICT STUDY
CONFLICT BETWEEN UKRAINE AND RUSSIA
UKRAINE CRISES
CLASS OF PEACE STUDY AND INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
SUNGKONGHOE UNIVERSITY – MAINS PROGRAM

2.
BACKGROUND• IN NOV, 2013, EUROMAIDAN PROTESTS STARTED DUE TO PRESIDENT, YANUKOVYCH’S
ACTION OF REJECTION TO THE TRADE AGREEMENT WITH THE EU BUT A LARGE
POPULATION OPPOSED THE PROTESTS.
• ANTI-GOVERNMENT DEMONSTRATORS OCCUPIED GOV BUILDINGS IN THE CENTRE OF
KIEV.
• POROSHENKO WAS BECOME PRESIDENT FROM PRO-EU
• IN MAR, 2014, UNMARKED, ARMED RUSSIAN SOLDIERS ENTERED
TO CRIMEA TO DEPLOY RUSSIAN TROOPS TO UKRAINE & TOOK
CONTROL OF THE CRIMEAN PENANCULA.
• BIG CITIES DECLARED INDEPENDENCE (UNRECOGNIZED STATES),
ADMITTED AS
 REPUBLIC OF CRIMEA
 DONETSK PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC
 LUGANSK PEOPLE’S REPUBLIC
HTTPS://WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/WATCH?V=VDXG-FLV0VI

3.
KEY FACTORS
Nuclear
weapon
removal
Huge
economic
interest
Eternal
Foreign
policy of
Russia
EU and
NATO’s policy
and influence
Division - East
& West
(Historical and
Civilization)

4.
Violate international
agreements
Outdated International legal
norms for confirmation of any
state
UN Charter and UN
mechanism is can be
infringed
ANALYZE ON DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE

5.
Strategy of peaceful
federating over Ukraine
Intention to divide
Ukraine into three parts
(east, central & west)
Helsinki Final Act, Paris Chapter,
Budapest Memorandum – Promise
of USA,UK, Ireland & Russia
ANALYZE ON DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE

6.
IT IS NOT SIMPLE CONFLICT BUT PART OF BROADER ENERGY WAR
• RUSSIA SUPPLIES 30% OF EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS & 35% OF OIL.
66% OF PIPLELINELINE FLOW IS THOUG UKRAINE.
• EUROPEAN NATO IS DEPENDENT ON NATURAL GAS FROM RUSSIA.
• UKRAINE’S TRADE DEAL WITH RUSSIA INSTEAD OF EU WOULD HAVE
DEEP INTO THE EU AND NATO’S ENERGY DEPENDENCE ON RUSSIA.
• PRO-EU PROTESTS GROUPS FUNDED BY USAID
• NEW GAS NATURAL SOURCES ARE FOUND IN WEST UKRAINE AND
POLAND.
• IF THEY SIGN ON THE DEAL TO EXPLOIT THIS GAZFIELDS WHICH
WOULD MAKE EU AND NATO INDEPENDENT ON RUSSIA.
• IT WOULD BE EASY TO FOLLOW THROUGH NATO’S AGENDA OF
ENCIRCLING RUSSIA WITH MILITARY BASIS.
ANALYZE ON DIFFERENT PERSPECTIVE

7.
POTENTIAL POSITIVE CHANGES
• WEST UKRAINE’S ASSOCIATION TO THE EU /NATO
• EAST UKRAINE’S ASSOCIATION TO THE EUASEC / RUSSIAN FEDERATION – NEW
ALIEN’S ESTABLISHMENT
• BECAUSE OF BAD EXAMPLE OF SEPARATISM – FURTHER CAUSE OF REGIONAL
CONFECTS