Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold

Brian Pichman
Brian PichmanInnovative Technology Expert, Library Enthusiast um Collegis Education
Trendcasting for 2019 –
What Will The Future of Tech Hold?
Brian Pichman | Evolve Project
!
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
2
Gartner Hype Cycle
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
3
Tech moves through these five phases
Hype Cycle !
A potential technology
breakthrough kicks
things off. Early proof-
of-concept stories and
media interest trigger
significant publicity.
Often no usable
products exist and
commercial viability is
unproven.
"
Innovation
Trigger
#
Peak of
Inflated
Expectations
Early publicity
produces a number of
success stories — often
accompanied by scores
of failures. Some
companies take action;
many do not.
$
Trough of
Disillusionment
Interest wanes as
experiments and
implementations fail to
deliver. Producers of
the technology shake
out or fail. Investments
continue only if the
surviving providers
improve their products
to the satisfaction of
early adopters.
%
Slope of
Enlightenment
More instances of how
the technology can
benefit start to
become more widely
understood. Next
generation products
appear. More
enterprises fund pilots;
conservative
companies remain
cautious.
&
Plateau of
Productivity
Mainstream adoption
starts to take off.
Criteria for assessing
provider viability are
more clearly defined.
The technology's
broad market
applicability and
relevance are clearly
paying off.
SOURCE: https://www.gartner.com/en/research/methodologies/gartner-hype-cycle
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
4D Printing?
https://www.ted.com/talks/skylar_tibbits_the_emerge
nce_of_4d_printing
The idea of printing something that can change over
time (so the fourth dimension would be time)
“ Think: a printed cube that folds before your eyes, or
a printed pipe able to sense the need to expand or
contract.”
Smart Dust?
is a system of many tiny devices that have sensors,
cameras, and more that can detect light, vibration,
chemicals, you name it.
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
8
AI is becoming more available to the masses; being incorporated into our
smart phones, our connected homes, and simple robots we already use
today such as Roomba. With more accessible cloud-computing, open
source, and the making community, this field will rapidly expand.
More Widely Available
Emerging Technology Trends
Democratized AI !
“The development of full artificial
intelligence could spell the end of the human
race….It would take off on its own, and re-
design itself at an ever increasing rate.
Humans, who are limited by slow biological
evolution, couldn't compete, and would be
superseded.”— Stephen Hawking
Autonomous Driving
Autonomous driving Level 4 describes vehicles that can operate without human interaction in most, but not all, conditions and locations and will likely operate in geofenced areas.
Autonomous driving Level 5 labels vehicles operating autonomously in all situations and conditions, and controlling all tasks.
Working Along Side Humans
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
11
How can we start using technology to improve services or bring more
delivered content with an embedded technology core?
New business strategies to build a platform-based business models
Emerging Technology Trends
Digital Ecosystems !
“The shift from compartmentalized technical
infrastructure to ecosystem-enabling
platforms is laying the foundation for
entirely new business models that are
forming the bridge between humans and
technology,” says Walker.
Blockchain
Security leaders are looking at blockchain as a way to build more resilience and trust in centralized systems as it improves reliability and trust
Digital Twin
A Virtual Twin or Digital Twin is a virtual representation of an actual physical object.
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
14
Hacking Biology is becoming more available and understood and is
increasing in popularity. Through this, there will be more new diagnostic
tool sets and neural implants; causing societal and legal questions
involving ethics and humanity.
People will want to take their own health in their own hands
Emerging Technology Trends
Do-It-Yourself Biohacking !
The science of today is the technology of
tomorrow.
-Edward Teller
Biochips
Biochips are being actively used today to detect diseases such as cancer, small pox, dementia before the patient develops systems. Coupled with AI, response time improves and less margin
of error.
Biotech
Biotech is artificially grown muscles. While still being developed, this could be used to provide skin and tissue to grow over a robot…allowing it to have more sensory perceptions such as
sensitivity to pressure.
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
17
Technology is re-shaping how we live our lives. From making healthier
decisions with our smart watches feedback (or encouragement) to a
connected home to a smart office where supplies are re-ordered
automatically or white board notes are captured digitally.
Technology is Human-Centric; blurring work, life, things together
Emerging Technology Trends
Transparently immersive experiences !
"Smart homes and other connected products
won't just be aimed at home life. They'll also
have a major impact on business. And just
like any company that blissfully ignored the
Internet at the turn of the century, the ones
that dismiss the Internet of Things risk
getting left behind." — Jared Newman
Connected Homes
Connected homes are allowing for more personalization for each individual resident.
Connected Offices
Having the office connected can bring more efficiency and data driven approaches.
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
20
Infrastructure, unlike years before, are no longer a key to strategic
business goals. With access to cloud environments and higher end
computing resources, this enables a new future for businesses.
Always-on, always-available, limitless infrastructure environment
Emerging Technology Trends
Ubiquitous infrastructure !
Every kid coming out of Harvard, every kid
coming out of school now thinks he can be the
next Mark Zuckerberg, and with these new
technologies like cloud computing, he actually
has a shot.” ~ Marc Andreessen, Co-founder of
Netscape, Board Member of Facebook
Neuromorphic Hardware
These are semiconductor devices inspired by neurobiological architecture, which can deliver extreme performance for things like deep neural networks, using less power and offering faster
performance than conventional options.
!
22
What are we seeing today?
Bringing This Together
We are seeing many of these emerging technology being integrated into our lives.
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
34
And How We Use It
Other Forms of AI !
Optical Character Recognition
Think of how a picture of your license plate allows
a machine to translate that to text and run a query
to determine who violated a toll.
Also see this in scanners that can take an image
and convert this to text.
Consider how you can take a photo of another
language and have it translate to yours
Advance User Preferences
This is the concept of an AI providing solutions
based on historic user’s preferences and
comparing it to similar users.
Compare how Amazon or Netflix makes
recommendations based on your purchases or
views – or even how Amazon guesses when you
might run out of a specific product.
Sensory Data Analysis
Your wearables that detect heart rate for instance
can determine without user intervention if you
are working out and even what kind of work out
such as jogging or bicycling.
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Applying It In Your Library
Thoughts, Ideas, and More
!
How can you prepare people for these fields?
38
Skills For Learning !
Understanding data and how to
read data sets is valuable
https://dzone.com/articles/ten-machine-
learning-algorithms-you-should-know-to
Math and Algorithms
Statistics
Learning how inputs of code can
interact physical parts
Hardware + Software
Robotics
Learning to code at a basic level
with syntax and flow; then move
to Python (most common)
https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/top-5-best-
programming-languages-for-artificial-
intelligence-field/
Coding Languages
Coding
Learning this is a huge skill to
master, along with object
recognition
https://www.pyimagesearch.com/start-
here-learn-computer-vision-opencv/
How Do Computers See
Computer Vision
How can we use it now?
39
Automations and Community !
Receptionist
Allow for an interaction that’s
quick and frees up time for staff
for more complex and human
needed interactions
“Where’s The Bathroom”
Industry Risks
If car automation takes hold,
what does that do to the shipping
and delivery industry?
Preparing The Future
People sometimes need help
finding information on your
website. A Chat bot that notices a
user on a page for a long time can
make recommendations or hand
off to staff
Online Support
Chat Bots Futures
What can we make with the
technology to make the world a
better place?
What Can We Make
Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold
Evolve Project | Brian Pichman
41
Feel free to reach out!
Questions / Contacts !
815-534-0403
"
www.evolveproject.org
bpichman@evolveproject.org
#
Twitter: @bpichman
linkedin.com/in/bpichman
slideshare.net/bpichman
$
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Empathic Computing: Delivering  the Potential of the MetaverseEmpathic Computing: Delivering  the Potential of the Metaverse
Empathic Computing: Delivering the Potential of the Metaverse
Mark Billinghurst478 views

Trendcasting for 2019 - What Will the Tuture of Tech Hold

  • 1. Trendcasting for 2019 – What Will The Future of Tech Hold? Brian Pichman | Evolve Project !
  • 2. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 2 Gartner Hype Cycle
  • 3. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 3 Tech moves through these five phases Hype Cycle ! A potential technology breakthrough kicks things off. Early proof- of-concept stories and media interest trigger significant publicity. Often no usable products exist and commercial viability is unproven. " Innovation Trigger # Peak of Inflated Expectations Early publicity produces a number of success stories — often accompanied by scores of failures. Some companies take action; many do not. $ Trough of Disillusionment Interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology shake out or fail. Investments continue only if the surviving providers improve their products to the satisfaction of early adopters. % Slope of Enlightenment More instances of how the technology can benefit start to become more widely understood. Next generation products appear. More enterprises fund pilots; conservative companies remain cautious. & Plateau of Productivity Mainstream adoption starts to take off. Criteria for assessing provider viability are more clearly defined. The technology's broad market applicability and relevance are clearly paying off. SOURCE: https://www.gartner.com/en/research/methodologies/gartner-hype-cycle
  • 7. 4D Printing? https://www.ted.com/talks/skylar_tibbits_the_emerge nce_of_4d_printing The idea of printing something that can change over time (so the fourth dimension would be time) “ Think: a printed cube that folds before your eyes, or a printed pipe able to sense the need to expand or contract.” Smart Dust? is a system of many tiny devices that have sensors, cameras, and more that can detect light, vibration, chemicals, you name it.
  • 8. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 8 AI is becoming more available to the masses; being incorporated into our smart phones, our connected homes, and simple robots we already use today such as Roomba. With more accessible cloud-computing, open source, and the making community, this field will rapidly expand. More Widely Available Emerging Technology Trends Democratized AI ! “The development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race….It would take off on its own, and re- design itself at an ever increasing rate. Humans, who are limited by slow biological evolution, couldn't compete, and would be superseded.”— Stephen Hawking
  • 9. Autonomous Driving Autonomous driving Level 4 describes vehicles that can operate without human interaction in most, but not all, conditions and locations and will likely operate in geofenced areas. Autonomous driving Level 5 labels vehicles operating autonomously in all situations and conditions, and controlling all tasks.
  • 11. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 11 How can we start using technology to improve services or bring more delivered content with an embedded technology core? New business strategies to build a platform-based business models Emerging Technology Trends Digital Ecosystems ! “The shift from compartmentalized technical infrastructure to ecosystem-enabling platforms is laying the foundation for entirely new business models that are forming the bridge between humans and technology,” says Walker.
  • 12. Blockchain Security leaders are looking at blockchain as a way to build more resilience and trust in centralized systems as it improves reliability and trust
  • 13. Digital Twin A Virtual Twin or Digital Twin is a virtual representation of an actual physical object.
  • 14. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 14 Hacking Biology is becoming more available and understood and is increasing in popularity. Through this, there will be more new diagnostic tool sets and neural implants; causing societal and legal questions involving ethics and humanity. People will want to take their own health in their own hands Emerging Technology Trends Do-It-Yourself Biohacking ! The science of today is the technology of tomorrow. -Edward Teller
  • 15. Biochips Biochips are being actively used today to detect diseases such as cancer, small pox, dementia before the patient develops systems. Coupled with AI, response time improves and less margin of error.
  • 16. Biotech Biotech is artificially grown muscles. While still being developed, this could be used to provide skin and tissue to grow over a robot…allowing it to have more sensory perceptions such as sensitivity to pressure.
  • 17. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 17 Technology is re-shaping how we live our lives. From making healthier decisions with our smart watches feedback (or encouragement) to a connected home to a smart office where supplies are re-ordered automatically or white board notes are captured digitally. Technology is Human-Centric; blurring work, life, things together Emerging Technology Trends Transparently immersive experiences ! "Smart homes and other connected products won't just be aimed at home life. They'll also have a major impact on business. And just like any company that blissfully ignored the Internet at the turn of the century, the ones that dismiss the Internet of Things risk getting left behind." — Jared Newman
  • 18. Connected Homes Connected homes are allowing for more personalization for each individual resident.
  • 19. Connected Offices Having the office connected can bring more efficiency and data driven approaches.
  • 20. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 20 Infrastructure, unlike years before, are no longer a key to strategic business goals. With access to cloud environments and higher end computing resources, this enables a new future for businesses. Always-on, always-available, limitless infrastructure environment Emerging Technology Trends Ubiquitous infrastructure ! Every kid coming out of Harvard, every kid coming out of school now thinks he can be the next Mark Zuckerberg, and with these new technologies like cloud computing, he actually has a shot.” ~ Marc Andreessen, Co-founder of Netscape, Board Member of Facebook
  • 21. Neuromorphic Hardware These are semiconductor devices inspired by neurobiological architecture, which can deliver extreme performance for things like deep neural networks, using less power and offering faster performance than conventional options.
  • 22. ! 22 What are we seeing today? Bringing This Together We are seeing many of these emerging technology being integrated into our lives.
  • 34. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 34 And How We Use It Other Forms of AI ! Optical Character Recognition Think of how a picture of your license plate allows a machine to translate that to text and run a query to determine who violated a toll. Also see this in scanners that can take an image and convert this to text. Consider how you can take a photo of another language and have it translate to yours Advance User Preferences This is the concept of an AI providing solutions based on historic user’s preferences and comparing it to similar users. Compare how Amazon or Netflix makes recommendations based on your purchases or views – or even how Amazon guesses when you might run out of a specific product. Sensory Data Analysis Your wearables that detect heart rate for instance can determine without user intervention if you are working out and even what kind of work out such as jogging or bicycling.
  • 37. Applying It In Your Library Thoughts, Ideas, and More !
  • 38. How can you prepare people for these fields? 38 Skills For Learning ! Understanding data and how to read data sets is valuable https://dzone.com/articles/ten-machine- learning-algorithms-you-should-know-to Math and Algorithms Statistics Learning how inputs of code can interact physical parts Hardware + Software Robotics Learning to code at a basic level with syntax and flow; then move to Python (most common) https://www.geeksforgeeks.org/top-5-best- programming-languages-for-artificial- intelligence-field/ Coding Languages Coding Learning this is a huge skill to master, along with object recognition https://www.pyimagesearch.com/start- here-learn-computer-vision-opencv/ How Do Computers See Computer Vision
  • 39. How can we use it now? 39 Automations and Community ! Receptionist Allow for an interaction that’s quick and frees up time for staff for more complex and human needed interactions “Where’s The Bathroom” Industry Risks If car automation takes hold, what does that do to the shipping and delivery industry? Preparing The Future People sometimes need help finding information on your website. A Chat bot that notices a user on a page for a long time can make recommendations or hand off to staff Online Support Chat Bots Futures What can we make with the technology to make the world a better place? What Can We Make
  • 41. Evolve Project | Brian Pichman 41 Feel free to reach out! Questions / Contacts ! 815-534-0403 " www.evolveproject.org bpichman@evolveproject.org # Twitter: @bpichman linkedin.com/in/bpichman slideshare.net/bpichman $