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Childhood Leukemia –
        Risk factors and the need for an
       interdisciplinary research agenda

  G Ziegelberger, A Dehos, B Grosche, S Hornhardt, T Jung,
                  W Weiss (wweiss@bfs.de)

                        „Radiation Protection and Health“
                      Federal Office for Radiation Protection
                                     Germany

COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana
Background

        1. KiKK-Study1: elevated leukaemia risk amongst
           children below the age of 5 in the vicinity of
           German nuclear power stations
        2. Repeated findings on elevated leukaemia risk
           amongst children exposed to 50Hz
           electromagnetic fields exceeding 0.3-0.4 µT
        3. No plausible explanations




COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana   1
                                                                P Kaatsch et al.
                                                              Int J Cancer 2008

                                                                                   2
Contents

                      1.State of knowledge
                      2. Risk factors
                      3. The way forward



COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                              3
Incidence rate of childhood cancer in Germany1:
                                                                  0.2% (1800 children per year,
                                                                        age up to 15 yrs)
                                                                    5 year survival rate: 90%




COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana   1
                                                               Krebs in Deutschland 2005/2006,
                                                              Häufigkeiten und Trends, RKI 2010

                                                                                                  4
SIR leukemias 1984 - 1994                             SIR leukemias 1990 - 1999




                   The time changes of patchiness of the SIRs
COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                                                          5
The key question:

              CAUSATION

COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                              6
1.State of knowledge
                        2. Risk factors
                        3. The way forward




COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                              7
Risk Factors for Childhood Leukemia
   Conclusions of the ICNIRP/WHO/BfS Workshop
                                            Berlin, May 2008

                                                                Leukemia in twins
                                                                M. Greaves et al. 2003

                                                                Chromosomal
                                                                translocations
                                                                       genetic
                                                                       dysregulation

                                                                TEL-AML1 (t12;21)




                                     summarized by C. Portier


COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                                                   8
Risk Factors for Childhood Leukemia
   Conclusions of the ICNIRP/WHO/BfS Workshop
                                            Berlin, May 2008




                                      summarized by C. Portier

      total attributable fraction < 10%
COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                                 9
Prenatal Origin of ALL, Mori et al. 2002
                                                              provided by C Rossig, Berlin 2008

COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                                                                         10
Risk Factors for Childhood Leukemia
      What do we know now?1

  • CL is a heterogeneous, multicausal disease,
  with acute lymphatic leukemia (ALL) being the most common subtype
  • CL derives from a multistage process where the initial event is either
  inherited or the result of a DNA damaging event during gestation; one
  or more postnatal hits are needed to transform the preleukemic clones
  into leukemia cells
  • the increasing incidence rates of B-cell ALL (but not for T-ALL and
  AML) in industrialized countries point toward a role for modern lifestyle
  • no risk factor, known so far, has major explanatory power
  • the limited understanding of the genetic and environmental causes is
  urgeing for new ways in research

COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana   1
                                                               Radiation Protection Dosimetry,
                                                              Vol. 132, No 2, 2008

                                                                                                 11
1. State of knowledge
                        2. Risk factors
                        3. The way forward




COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                              12
Towards a strategic research agenda
           …..for a better understanding of the causes of CL


    BfS has established a research agenda based on a
    broadened, interdisciplinary approach.

    The starting point was a small meeting in July 2010
    with experts from various disciplines,
    e.g. epidemiology, gene-environment interactions,
    immunology, molecular biology, experimental and
    theoretical modelling and radiation biology.



COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                               13
Key elements of the proposed research agenda1
 Human studies
 (A) Prevalence of ‘first-hit’ events, i.e. chromosomal translocations
 (TEL-AML1, AML1-ETO, MLL-AF4, MLL-ENL, MLL-AF9, E2A-PBX)
         (A1) in a German birth cohort
         (A2) in countries with different incidence rates of ALL

 (B) Deep sequencing
         (B1) of children with ALL
         (B2) of the preleukemic clone from predisposed children
                 (from Project A1)

 (C) Study the role of the hematopoietic stem cells niche (for
 example, mesenchymal cells) for the origin and maintenance of ALL
         (C1) Verification of the correlation between leukemia-
                 specific aberrations in MSCs and prognosis/relapse

COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana
                                                              1G Ziegelberger et al.
                                                              Blood Cancer Journal 2010
                                                                                          14
Key elements of the proposed research agenda1

Animal models
(D) Generation of appropriate mouse models
       (D1) Check availability of existing animal models and
               the need for further refinement
       (D2) Generation of several new mouse strains
       (D3) Expose animal model to possible risk factors; generate a B-
               cell leukemia model of genetic variability by backcrossing;
               expose a cohort to possible risk factors

(E) Verification of the contribution of gene variants identified in human
studies to the development of B-cell leukemias in mice

(F) Verification that the mechanisms outlined in A-E can
quantitatively account for the totality of human data (via novel quasi-
mechanistic models)
COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana
                                                              1 G Ziegelberger et al.
                                                              Blood Cancer Journal 2010
                                                                                          15
Pilot studies will start this year (2011)
 • Feasibility of building-up (or joining) a German birth cohort (A1)
              availability of cordblood samples?
              synergism with ongoing or planned studies?
 • Development of PCR-primers as a tool to detect the most frequent
        chromosomal translocations (ad A)
 • pilot study for comparing regional ALL differences (A2)
 • pilot study on deep sequencing of 10 ALL individuals (whole-
           genome or transcriptome sequences, exome capture and
           sequencing) already analyzed by GWAS (B1)
 • literature study and evaluation of existing animal models (D)



COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                                        16
International collaboration is crucial

• The low incidence of CL and the expected small relative risk of any
related risk factor require large sample sizes and a broad worldwide
consortium.

• Initiatives have already started among epidemiologists (see CLIC and I4C),
but epidemiology alone might not be able to come to final conclusions.

• The results of the German KiKK-study and the consistent finding of a
statistical association between low-level magnetic fields and CL have
renewed the efforts of radiation experts to pursue the causes of CL -
see recent activities and recommendations by COMARE in UK and ISRN in
France.
                                                    It´s time for combined efforts!

 COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana



                                                                                      17

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Weiss

  • 1. Childhood Leukemia – Risk factors and the need for an interdisciplinary research agenda G Ziegelberger, A Dehos, B Grosche, S Hornhardt, T Jung, W Weiss (wweiss@bfs.de) „Radiation Protection and Health“ Federal Office for Radiation Protection Germany COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana
  • 2. Background 1. KiKK-Study1: elevated leukaemia risk amongst children below the age of 5 in the vicinity of German nuclear power stations 2. Repeated findings on elevated leukaemia risk amongst children exposed to 50Hz electromagnetic fields exceeding 0.3-0.4 µT 3. No plausible explanations COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 1 P Kaatsch et al. Int J Cancer 2008 2
  • 3. Contents 1.State of knowledge 2. Risk factors 3. The way forward COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 3
  • 4. Incidence rate of childhood cancer in Germany1: 0.2% (1800 children per year, age up to 15 yrs) 5 year survival rate: 90% COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 1 Krebs in Deutschland 2005/2006, Häufigkeiten und Trends, RKI 2010 4
  • 5. SIR leukemias 1984 - 1994 SIR leukemias 1990 - 1999 The time changes of patchiness of the SIRs COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 5
  • 6. The key question: CAUSATION COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 6
  • 7. 1.State of knowledge 2. Risk factors 3. The way forward COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 7
  • 8. Risk Factors for Childhood Leukemia Conclusions of the ICNIRP/WHO/BfS Workshop Berlin, May 2008 Leukemia in twins M. Greaves et al. 2003 Chromosomal translocations genetic dysregulation TEL-AML1 (t12;21) summarized by C. Portier COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 8
  • 9. Risk Factors for Childhood Leukemia Conclusions of the ICNIRP/WHO/BfS Workshop Berlin, May 2008 summarized by C. Portier total attributable fraction < 10% COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 9
  • 10. Prenatal Origin of ALL, Mori et al. 2002 provided by C Rossig, Berlin 2008 COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 10
  • 11. Risk Factors for Childhood Leukemia What do we know now?1 • CL is a heterogeneous, multicausal disease, with acute lymphatic leukemia (ALL) being the most common subtype • CL derives from a multistage process where the initial event is either inherited or the result of a DNA damaging event during gestation; one or more postnatal hits are needed to transform the preleukemic clones into leukemia cells • the increasing incidence rates of B-cell ALL (but not for T-ALL and AML) in industrialized countries point toward a role for modern lifestyle • no risk factor, known so far, has major explanatory power • the limited understanding of the genetic and environmental causes is urgeing for new ways in research COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 1 Radiation Protection Dosimetry, Vol. 132, No 2, 2008 11
  • 12. 1. State of knowledge 2. Risk factors 3. The way forward COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 12
  • 13. Towards a strategic research agenda …..for a better understanding of the causes of CL BfS has established a research agenda based on a broadened, interdisciplinary approach. The starting point was a small meeting in July 2010 with experts from various disciplines, e.g. epidemiology, gene-environment interactions, immunology, molecular biology, experimental and theoretical modelling and radiation biology. COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 13
  • 14. Key elements of the proposed research agenda1 Human studies (A) Prevalence of ‘first-hit’ events, i.e. chromosomal translocations (TEL-AML1, AML1-ETO, MLL-AF4, MLL-ENL, MLL-AF9, E2A-PBX) (A1) in a German birth cohort (A2) in countries with different incidence rates of ALL (B) Deep sequencing (B1) of children with ALL (B2) of the preleukemic clone from predisposed children (from Project A1) (C) Study the role of the hematopoietic stem cells niche (for example, mesenchymal cells) for the origin and maintenance of ALL (C1) Verification of the correlation between leukemia- specific aberrations in MSCs and prognosis/relapse COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 1G Ziegelberger et al. Blood Cancer Journal 2010 14
  • 15. Key elements of the proposed research agenda1 Animal models (D) Generation of appropriate mouse models (D1) Check availability of existing animal models and the need for further refinement (D2) Generation of several new mouse strains (D3) Expose animal model to possible risk factors; generate a B- cell leukemia model of genetic variability by backcrossing; expose a cohort to possible risk factors (E) Verification of the contribution of gene variants identified in human studies to the development of B-cell leukemias in mice (F) Verification that the mechanisms outlined in A-E can quantitatively account for the totality of human data (via novel quasi- mechanistic models) COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 1 G Ziegelberger et al. Blood Cancer Journal 2010 15
  • 16. Pilot studies will start this year (2011) • Feasibility of building-up (or joining) a German birth cohort (A1) availability of cordblood samples? synergism with ongoing or planned studies? • Development of PCR-primers as a tool to detect the most frequent chromosomal translocations (ad A) • pilot study for comparing regional ALL differences (A2) • pilot study on deep sequencing of 10 ALL individuals (whole- genome or transcriptome sequences, exome capture and sequencing) already analyzed by GWAS (B1) • literature study and evaluation of existing animal models (D) COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 16
  • 17. International collaboration is crucial • The low incidence of CL and the expected small relative risk of any related risk factor require large sample sizes and a broad worldwide consortium. • Initiatives have already started among epidemiologists (see CLIC and I4C), but epidemiology alone might not be able to come to final conclusions. • The results of the German KiKK-study and the consistent finding of a statistical association between low-level magnetic fields and CL have renewed the efforts of radiation experts to pursue the causes of CL - see recent activities and recommendations by COMARE in UK and ISRN in France. It´s time for combined efforts! COST/ICNIRP/BfS/WHO/EUROSKIN Conference, May 2011, Lubljana 17