"When robots can do every job better than humans, what's left for us?" Robots promise to make perfect products, drive perfectly well, cook perfect meals. In our future, perfection will be commonplace, imperfection rare. What will be rare will be the human-made, the artisanal. Does our post-work future lie in making artisanal cheese? If it does, who will eat it all?
9. www.exponentialview.co
Computers can catch up with
‘human abilities’
Sketch-a-Net identified type of bird in sketches
42.5% of the time
Humans identified type of bird in sketches
24.8% of the time
10. www.exponentialview.co
Predictions of current automation
47% of US jobs are at 'high risk' of automation
in the next 1-2 decades
Frey and Osborne, 2013
Typists, personal assistants, bank and post
office clerks, assemblers are between 85-99%
probability of automation;
there is 1% probability nurses, teachers,
educators will be replaced.
Deloitte, The Impact of
Technology on Jobs in
the UK, 2013
35% of UK jobs are at 'high risk' of automation
in the next 1-2 decades
Deloitte, The Future of
Work, 2017
15. www.exponentialview.co
Labour market shifts
In areas exposed to industrial robots both employment
and wages decline in robust and significant manner
[between 1990 and 2007]
One more robot per thousand workers reduces
aggregate employment to population ratio by about
0.34 percentage points
Acemoglu and Restreppo, 2017
28. www.exponentialview.co
But is there enough for an artisan economy?
🙋🧀
🧀
Perfect Human
No Yes
Yes No
Experiential, discretionary,
intimate
High risk, reliable,
repetitive
🧀 🧀🧀♂️
👬 🌴
💉 👮🧀
✈️ 📚