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Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012

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Israel’s Economic Highlights Presentation, Q1 2012

  1. 1. STATE OF ISRAEL MINISTRY OF FINANCE International Affairs Department Economic Highlights Presentation 1st Quarter 2012 In any case of information derived from sources external to the Ministry of Finance, such sources are mentioned at the bottom of each item
  2. 2. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 2
  3. 3. Main Economic Indicators Economic Figures GDP and Business GDP Major GDP Components Exports of Goods and Services Main Trading Partners Gross Domestic Capital Formation Foreign Investments Unemployment and Participation Consumer Price Index Inflation Rate Israel’s Credit Ratings 3
  4. 4. Economic Figures Criteria 2010 2011 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 GDP 204.6 214.2 52.9 53.4 53.9 54.3 (constant prices, 2005, in $B)* Real GDP growth rate 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 3.7% 3.4% 3.2% (% change) GDP per capita, based on PPP $29,602 $31,005** -- -- -- -- (Current international $) GDP per capita growth rate 2.9% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.5% 1.2% (%, 2005 prices) Exports (goods & services), $B* 87.7 91.9 23.0 23.6 23.0 22.6 (As % of GDP) 42.9% 42.9% 43.5% 44.2% 42.7% 41.6% Imports (goods & services), $B* 82.3 91.0 22.5 23.3 22.8 22.5 (As % of GDP) 40.2% 42.5% 42.5% 43.6% 42.3% 41.4% Unemployment rate 6.6% 5.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% * Using a public exchange rate of 1USD=3.6NIS (2011 average) ** Estimated 4 Additional Sources: IMF
  5. 5. Economic Figures Criteria 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Public debt 84.3% 77.8% 77.1% 79.3% 76.3% 74.7% (As % of GDP) General government expenditure 44.7% 43.6% 43.0% 43.0% 42.6% 42.3% (As % of GDP) Current account surplus 5.1% 2.9% 0.9% 3.6% 2.9% 0.1% (As % of GDP) Inflation rate 2.1% 0.5% 4.6% 3.3% 2.7% 3.5% (CPI, yearly average, % change) Budget deficit 0.9% 0.0% 2.2% 5.2% 3.7% 0.0% (As % of GDP) 5
  6. 6. GDP and Business GDP Annual rate of change, constant prices, 2005 11% 9% 6.8% 6.8% 7% 6.1% 6.1% 5.6% 5.8% 5.7% 5.5% 5.2% 4.8% 4.9% 4.8% 5% 4.5% 4.7% 4.7% 4.4% 4.0% 3.7% 3.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 1% 0.4% -1% -1.0% -0.6% -3% GDP Business GDP 6
  7. 7. Major GDP Components Annual rate of change, constant prices, 2005 20% Global economic crisis 16.3% 15% 14.5% 13.7% 13.6% 10% 9.2% 6.3% 6.6% 4.4% 4.8% 5% 3.3% 2.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 0% -5% Private Consumption -5.8% Public Consumption -10% Investment in Fixed Assets Exports of Goods and Services -12.5% -15% 7
  8. 8. Exports of Goods and Services US $ Billions, constant prices, 2005 100.0 Global economic crisis 90.0 80.0 26.9 70.0 24.1 24.2 60.0 21.1 22.0 19.3 50.0 17.4 16.0 40.0 30.0 62.9 57.7 56.1 50.3 43.3 46.3 20.0 36.7 39.8 10.0 0.0 Services Goods * Using a public exchange rate of 1USD=3.6NIS (2011 average) 8
  9. 9. Main Trading Partners US $ Billions, 2010 8 Imports 7 6.7 20 6.1 18.5 Exports 6 18 5 16 3.7 4 3.2 14 3 2.4 2.2 2.1 12 1.8 1.8 1.8 2 10 1 8 0 6.0 6 4 3.1 2.9 2.3 1.8 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.3 2 0 * Since July 1997 the data on trade with Hong-Kong is added to the data on China 9 Additional Sources: Central Bureau of Statistics
  10. 10. Main Trading Partners US $ Billions 35.0 Imports 33.0 30.0 29.7 26.8 26.5 25.0 22.9 20.0 15.0 16.0 13.2 13.1 11.7 10.0 9.8 9.3 8.3 8.7 6.3 7.3 35.0 Exports 5.0 30.0 0.0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 25.0 19.9 21.9 21.4 20.0 17.6 19.6 21.2 18.9 19.2 19.0 15.0 15.3 15.4 12.9 12.0 10.0 9.6 9.3 Europe 5.0 Asia 0.0 North America 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 10 Additional Sources: Central Bureau of Statistics
  11. 11. Gross Domestic Capital Formation As % of GDP 22% 21.2% 21% 20.3% 20% 19.6% 19.3% 19% 18.9% 18.0% 18.1% 17.9% 18% 17.6% 17% 16% 15% 11
  12. 12. Foreign Investments US $ Billions 25.0 20.0 19.4 17.6 15.3 15.0 14.4 11.4 10.8 10.9 10.7 10.0 9.5 8.8 8.3 7.8 5.2 5.0 4.3 4.3 4.4 3.3 2.4 0.0 Total Investments Direct Investments * 2006 is exceptional due to a large acquisition by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. 12
  13. 13. Unemployment and Participation As % of total labor force 9% 59% Since the 2nd quarter of 2009 unemployment is relatively decreasing, with a relative increase in participation rate in the beginning of 2010. In the 4th quarter of 2011 unemployment reached an historic low level of 5.4%. 8% 58% 57.7% 57.7% 7.9% 57.5% 57.5% 57.4% 57.4% 7.6% 57.2% 7.5% 7% 7.2% 57% 57.1% 6.9% 56.8% 56.8% 56.8% 56.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.4% 6% 56% 6.0% 5.6% 5.6% 5.4% 5% 55% Unemployment Rate Participation in the Labor Force 4% 54% 2009 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2010 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 13
  14. 14. Consumer Price Index Last 12 monthly averages, 2010=100 105 104.2 104.1 104 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 104.0 103.7 103.6 104 103.1 103 103 102.5 102.3 102 102 101 14 Additional Sources: Central Bureau of Statistics
  15. 15. Inflation Rate Rate of change in consumer price index, yearly average 5% 4.6% 5% 4% 3.5% 4% 3.3% 3% 2.7% 3% 2.1% 2% 2% 1.3% 1% 0.5% 1% 0% 15
  16. 16. Israel’s Credit Ratings Domestic Bonds Overseas Bonds Rating Firm Term Forecast Rating Rating Long A1 A1 Moody's Stable Short - P1 Long AA- A+ Standard & Poor's Stable Short A-1+ A-1 Long A+ A Fitch Stable Short - F1 16
  17. 17. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 17
  18. 18. Balances Gross Public Debt Budget Deficit General Government Expenditure Current Account Surplus Net Foreign Surplus Gross Tax Burden 18
  19. 19. Gross Public Debt As % of GDP 100% 97.4% 95% 93.8% 90% Global economic crisis 85% 84.3% 80% 79.3% 77.8% 77.1% 76.3% 74.7% 75% 70% 19
  20. 20. Budget Deficit As % of GDP 6% 5.2% 5% 4% 3.7% 3.5% 3% 2.2% 2% 1.8% 0.9% 1% 0.0% 0.0% 0% 20
  21. 21. Budget Deficit Target and execution in NIS million, current prices For the first time in its history, Israel enacted a biennial budget for the years 2009-2010. In both years, Israel came in under budget target. The proven effectiveness and functionality of the biennial budget have led the government to adopt the biennial budget for a second period through 2011-2012. 0 -3,626 -3,657 -4,870 -6,721 -6,371 -10,000 -16,161 -20,000 -18,464 -25,173 -30,000 -28,633 -30,165 -40,000 -42,924 -50,000 Quarterly Budget Execution Yealy Budget Execution Yearly Budget Target 21
  22. 22. General Government Expenditure As % of GDP 48% 47.3% 47% 46% 45.3% 45% 44.7% 44% 43.6% 43.0% 43.0% 43% 42.6% 42.3% 42% 41% 40% 39% 22
  23. 23. Current Account Surplus As % of GDP 6% 5.1% 5% 4% 3.6% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 3% 2.3% 2% 1% 0.9% 0.1% 0% 23
  24. 24. Net Foreign Surplus As % of GDP 30% 27.0% 25.6% 25.9% 25% 21.9% 22.0% 20% 15% 14.3% 10.7% 10% 5% 4.4% 0% * Using a public exchange rate of 1USD=3.6NIS (2011 average) 24
  25. 25. Gross Tax Burden As % of GDP 37% 36.2% 36% 35.9% 35.5% 35.6% 35% OECD countries average: 34.8% (2008 average) 34% 33.8% 33% 32.7% 32.4% 32% 31.4% 31% 30% 25 Additional Sources: OECD
  26. 26. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 26
  27. 27. International Comparisons GDP Growth Inflation Rates Israel on IMD Rankings Israel on WEF Rankings Interest Rates: Israel & the U.S. Stock Indices: NASDAQ & Tel-Aviv 100 27
  28. 28. GDP Growth Israel compared to advanced economies, annual rate of change, constant prices 8% Since 2004, Israel’s growth rate has exceeded the average growth rate of advanced economies. In 2009, as most of the world experienced a decline in GDP, Israel experienced a 0.8% growth in it’s GDP. 6% 5.6% 5.5% 4.8% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.0% 4% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 2.7% 2.8% 2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0% -2% -4% Israel Advanced Economies -3.7% 28 Additional Sources: IMF
  29. 29. Inflation Rates Rate of change in consumer price index, yearly average 4% The Israeli economy demonstrated high stability compared to other countries throughout the global economic crisis. 3.3% 3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 2% 1.6% 1.6%1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0% -0.3% -0.5% -1% -0.7% -0.9% -1.4% -1.6% 2009 (dark) 2010 (bright) -1.7% -2% 29 Additional Sources: IMF
  30. 30. Israel on IMD Rankings IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011 The Institute for Management Development ranked Israel 17th out of 59 countries for 2011 (Israel was also ranked 17th in 2010) 30 Additional Sources: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011
  31. 31. Israel on IMD Rankings IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011 Information technology skills Central bank policy Flexible and adaptability Entrepreneurship 31 Additional Sources: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011
  32. 32. Israel on IMD Rankings IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011 Total expenditure on R&D (as % of GDP) Scientific research Venture capital Innovative capacity 32 Additional Sources: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2011
  33. 33. Israel on WEF Rankings World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012 The World Economic Forum ranked Israel 22nd out of 142 countries for 2011-2012 33 Additional Sources: World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012
  34. 34. Israel on WEF Rankings World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012 Quality of scientific research institutions Venture capital availability Utility patents per million population Strength of investor protection 34 Additional Sources: World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012
  35. 35. Israel on WEF Rankings World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012 Government procurement of advanced technology products Capacity for innovation Firm-level technology absorption University-industry collaboration in R&D 35 Additional Sources: World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2011-2012
  36. 36. Interest Rates: Israel & the U.S. 3.5% The Bank of Israel was the first in the western world to raise interest since the outburst of the economic crisis. The rate was raised gradually from 0.5% to 3.25%. 3.25% 3.0% 3.00% 2.75% 2.5% 2.50% 2.0% 2.00% 2.00% 1.5% 1.50% 1.50% 1.0% 0.5% Bank of Israel Federal Reserve =0 0.0% 36
  37. 37. Stock Indices: NASDAQ & Tel-Aviv 100 1,500 3,000 Tel Aviv 100 corresponds with the NASDAQ to current events, with relatively stable reactions. 1,400 2,900 1,300 2,800 1,200 2,700 1,100 2,600 1,000 2,500 900 2,400 800 2,300 700 2,200 600 2,100 Tel Aviv 100 NASDAQ 500 2,000 37
  38. 38. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 38
  39. 39. Israel in the OECD Israel was invited as a full member in the OECD on May 10th, 2010, and officially joined in Sep. 10, 2010. Expenditure on R&D Real GDP Growth GDP per Capita Unemployment 39
  40. 40. Expenditure on R&D As % of GDP, 2010 or latest available year 6% Israel is 1st in the OECD in expenditure on R&D (research & development) as % of GDP, demonstrating innovation, development and creativity. 5% 4.25% 4% 3% 2.33% 2% 1% 0% 40 Additional Sources: OECD
  41. 41. Real GDP Growth 3-year average, end of period 11% Israel’s 3-year average growth rate is higher then most OECD members. 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3.19% 3% 2% 1% -0.10% 0% -1% -2% -3% -4% -5% -6% -7% 41 Additional Sources: OECD
  42. 42. GDP per Capita U.S $, Current prices, PPP, 2010 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 34,025 28,510 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 42 Additional Sources: OECD
  43. 43. Unemployment Rate 3-year average 2008-2010, or latest available period 25% Israel’s unemployment rate is in an ongoing downtrend, reaching an historic low level of 5.5% in Q2 2011. 20% 15% 10% 7.7% 7.1% 5% 0% 43 Additional Sources: OECD
  44. 44. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 44
  45. 45. International Agreements Israel’s Free Trade Agreements Avoidance of Double Taxation Cooperation in Industrial R&D Bilateral Investment Treaties Economic Organizations 45
  46. 46. Israel’s Free Trade Agreements 1985 USA QIZ Agreements 1992 EFTA 2004 Egypt 1997 Turkey 1998 Jordan 1997 Canada 1999 Mexico 2000 European Union (Association Agreement) 2007 MERCOSUR More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website 46
  47. 47. Avoidance of Double Taxation Austria Denmark India Belarus Estonia Ireland Belgium Ethiopia Italy Brazil Finland Jamaica Bulgaria France Japan Canada Georgia Korea China Germany Latvia Croatia Greece Lithuania Czech Republic Hungary Luxembourg More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website 47
  48. 48. Avoidance of Double Taxation Malta Romania Taiwan Mexico Russia Thailand Moldova Singapore Turkey Netherlands Slovak Republic UK Norway Slovenia Ukraine Panama South Africa USA Philippines Spain Uzbekistan Poland Sweden Vietnam Portugal Switzerland 48 More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website
  49. 49. Cooperation in Industrial R&D North America Europe New York France Massachusetts Russia (Rusano, Skolkovo) Maryland Italy Virginia Germany Asia Wisconsin Greece China( Shanghai, Jiangsu, Most) Colorado Czech Republic India Illinois Bulgaria Taiwan Oregon Lithuania BIRD (Foundation) Slovenia SIIRD-Singapore (Foundation) Ontario CIIRDF (Foundation) Denmark KORIL-RDF-Korea (Foundation) Hungary Turkey South America Portugal Argentina Finland Uruguay Sweden Australia Brazil Ireland (Victoria) * Through EUREKA (40 country Multilateral Initiative) More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website 49
  50. 50. Bilateral Investment Treaties Albania Cyprus Hungary Argentina Czech Republic India Armenia El Salvador Kazakhstan Azerbaijan Estonia Korea Belarus Ethiopia Latvia Bulgaria Georgia Lithuania China Germany Moldova Croatia Guatemala Mongolia More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website 50
  51. 51. Bilateral Investment Treaties Montenegro Turkey Poland Turkmenistan Romania Ukraine Serbia Uruguay Slovakia Uzbekistan Slovenia South Africa Thailand More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website 51
  52. 52. Economic Organizations Membership in main international economic organizations Israel is a member in leading international economic organizations: • United Nations Organizations • United Nations Agencies • World Bank Group • International Monetary Fund • OECD • Regional Organizations • Inter-Governmental Organizations More extended information is available in the Israel Ministry of Finance website 52
  53. 53. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 53
  54. 54. Learn More Visit the Israel Ministry of Finance English website for more information: About the Ministry Economic Overview of Israel Ministry of Finance publications and reports Other publications and reports on the Israeli economy Ministry press releases 54
  55. 55. Learn More Click to open: Israel Central Bureau of Statistics Bank of Israel Ministry of Industry, Trade and Labor Ministry of Foreign Affairs Israel Government Portal 55
  56. 56. Table of Contents 1 Main Economic Indicators 2 Balances 3 International Comparisons 4 Israel in the OECD 5 International Agreements 6 Learn More 7 Contact 56
  57. 57. Contact Mr. Roni Hershkovitz Follow us on Twitter Mr. Assaf Luxembourg Mr. Jonah Balakhaneh Follow us on Linkedin Overseas Economic Information International Affairs Department Subscribe our RSS Feeds Ministry of Finance State of Israel Subscribe our Newsletters Write us an Email Visit our Website 57

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