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Marketing-Finance Interface Prof. Ashwin Malshe September 6, 2011 To IIM-A PGPX
About Ashwin Malshe PhD (Marketing), MMS (Marketing), BE (Electronics) Seven years industry experience Institutional sales Analytics With ESSEC since July 2011 Multiple research interests Marketing strategy Marketing-finance interface Consumer behavior Social media marketing Blogging activities Micro-Positioning Flirting with Finance 2 05/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
Marketing Metrics Measuring the impact of marketing strategies has been tough Strategies by definition are long-term Over a longer term many confounding effects can add noise The outcome variables are not universally defined ,[object Object]
Number of customers
CLV
Profitability, etc.Rich research exists in marketing to measure marketingโ€™s impact on traditional metrics 3 05/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
Traditional Metrics are not Sufficient The top management is more concerned about stock prices The link between existing metrics and stock prices is not obvious Many existing metrics are subject to manipulation by the managers Investors may not trust them ,[object Object]
Sales figures can be manipulated, e.g., channel stuffingManagers themselves may not trust them ,[object Object],4 05/09/2011 Titre de la prรฉsentation
Financial Market Metrics Capital market metrics are, on average, difficult to manipulate in a well functioning financial market Securities laws Corporate governance Shareholder activism Arbitrageurs In efficient markets, prices are unbiased estimates of the market participantsโ€™ expectations about future cash flows Financial market metrics are superior to firmโ€™s internal metrics The price changes can be extremely fast 5 05/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
Marketing and Shareholder Value ๐น๐‘–๐‘Ÿ๐‘šย ๐‘‰๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ข๐‘’=ย ๐ธ(๐ถ๐‘Ž๐‘ hย ๐น๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘ค๐‘ )๐ธ๐‘…๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’ย ๐‘œ๐‘“ย ๐‘…๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘ข๐‘Ÿ๐‘›โˆ’๐ธ(๐บ๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘ค๐‘กhย ๐‘…๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’) ๐ธ(โˆ™) operator denotes the expectations How marketing affects The magnitude of expected cash flows The risk of the expected cash flows The growth rate of the expected cash flows ย  6 06/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
Marketing-Finance Interface 7 06/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface Focus of the Extant Marketing Literature Finance ,[object Object]
Stock Returns
Systematic Risk
Idiosyncratic Risk

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Marketing finance interface

  • 1. Marketing-Finance Interface Prof. Ashwin Malshe September 6, 2011 To IIM-A PGPX
  • 2. About Ashwin Malshe PhD (Marketing), MMS (Marketing), BE (Electronics) Seven years industry experience Institutional sales Analytics With ESSEC since July 2011 Multiple research interests Marketing strategy Marketing-finance interface Consumer behavior Social media marketing Blogging activities Micro-Positioning Flirting with Finance 2 05/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
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  • 5. CLV
  • 6. Profitability, etc.Rich research exists in marketing to measure marketingโ€™s impact on traditional metrics 3 05/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
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  • 9. Financial Market Metrics Capital market metrics are, on average, difficult to manipulate in a well functioning financial market Securities laws Corporate governance Shareholder activism Arbitrageurs In efficient markets, prices are unbiased estimates of the market participantsโ€™ expectations about future cash flows Financial market metrics are superior to firmโ€™s internal metrics The price changes can be extremely fast 5 05/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
  • 10. Marketing and Shareholder Value ๐น๐‘–๐‘Ÿ๐‘šย ๐‘‰๐‘Ž๐‘™๐‘ข๐‘’=ย ๐ธ(๐ถ๐‘Ž๐‘ hย ๐น๐‘™๐‘œ๐‘ค๐‘ )๐ธ๐‘…๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’ย ๐‘œ๐‘“ย ๐‘…๐‘’๐‘ก๐‘ข๐‘Ÿ๐‘›โˆ’๐ธ(๐บ๐‘Ÿ๐‘œ๐‘ค๐‘กhย ๐‘…๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’) ๐ธ(โˆ™) operator denotes the expectations How marketing affects The magnitude of expected cash flows The risk of the expected cash flows The growth rate of the expected cash flows ย  6 06/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
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  • 22. Focus of My Talk Today Advertising and firm value Endogeneity of marketing strategy 9 06/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
  • 23. Advertising and Liquidity Risk Advertising creates value through multiple channels Increased cash flow Reduced market risk Increased liquidity Advertising can also reduce liquidity risk โ€“ the risk that a stock canโ€™t be traded when market returns are low Advertising increases individual investor awareness Individual investors tend to be liquidity providers The spillover effect due to advertising can be as high as 1.3% of shareholder value 10 06/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface
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  • 35. Key Findings Indebted firms have lower customer satisfaction on average The negative relationship exists only for the firms that have fewer growth opportunities Managers of low growth firms might be overinvesting in customer satisfaction Debt acts as a disciplining mechanism Higher customer satisfaction reduces firm value when the debt levels are higher This indicates that using debt to reduce free cash flows is actually a value increasing strategy 13 06/09/2011 Marketing-Finance Interface