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  • DOWNLOAD THIS BOOKS INTO AVAILABLE FORMAT (2019 Update) ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... Download Full PDF EBOOK here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full EPUB Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download Full doc Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download PDF EBOOK here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download EPUB Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... Download doc Ebook here { https://soo.gd/irt2 } ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... ................................................................................................................................... eBook is an electronic version of a traditional print book THIS can be read by using a personal computer or by using an eBook reader. (An eBook reader can be a software application for use on a computer such as Microsoft's free Reader application, or a book-sized computer THIS is used solely as a reading device such as Nuvomedia's Rocket eBook.) Users can purchase an eBook on diskette or CD, but the most popular method of getting an eBook is to purchase a downloadable file of the eBook (or other reading material) from a Web site (such as Barnes and Noble) to be read from the user's computer or reading device. Generally, an eBook can be downloaded in five minutes or less ......................................................................................................................... .............. Browse by Genre Available eBooks .............................................................................................................................. Art, Biography, Business, Chick Lit, Children's, Christian, Classics, Comics, Contemporary, Cookbooks, Manga, Memoir, Music, Mystery, Non Fiction, Paranormal, Philosophy, Poetry, Psychology, Religion, Romance, Science, Science Fiction, Self Help, Suspense, Spirituality, Sports, Thriller, Travel, Young Adult, Crime, Ebooks, Fantasy, Fiction, Graphic Novels, Historical Fiction, History, Horror, Humor And Comedy, ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... .....BEST SELLER FOR EBOOK RECOMMEND............................................................. ......................................................................................................................... Blowout: Corrupted Democracy, Rogue State Russia, and the Richest, Most Destructive Industry on Earth,-- The Ride of a Lifetime: Lessons Learned from 15 Years as CEO of the Walt Disney Company,-- Call Sign Chaos: Learning to Lead,-- StrengthsFinder 2.0,-- Stillness Is the Key,-- She Said: Breaking the Sexual Harassment Story THIS Helped Ignite a Movement,-- Atomic Habits: An Easy & Proven Way to Build Good Habits & Break Bad Ones,-- Everything Is Figureoutable,-- What It Takes: Lessons in the Pursuit of Excellence,-- Rich Dad Poor Dad: What the Rich Teach Their Kids About Money THIS the Poor and Middle Class Do Not!,-- The Total Money Makeover: Classic Edition: A Proven Plan for Financial Fitness,-- Shut Up and Listen!: Hard Business Truths THIS Will Help You Succeed, ......................................................................................................................... .........................................................................................................................
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Real options

  1. 1. REAL OPTIONS Não se comprometa cedo demais @andrefaria
  2. 2. Sobre  mim... @andrefaria http://blog.andrefaria.com Trabalho  com  TI  desde  1999 Sócio/Diretor  de  Produtos  na  Bluesoft Associated  Trainer  na  Adaptworks Black  Belt  em  Six  Sigma Podcaster Blogger Tradutor Escritor 2
  3. 3. dos Casamentos acabam em divórico
  4. 4. 40% dos Casamentos acabam em divórico
  5. 5. dos advogados não recomendariam suas carreiras para pessoas mais novas
  6. 6. 44% dos advogados não recomendariam suas carreiras para pessoas mais novas
  7. 7. das fusões corporativas falham em criar valor para seus acionistas.
  8. 8. 83% das fusões corporativas falham em criar valor para seus acionistas.
  9. 9. EM GERAL Somos Péssimos tomadores de Decisão!
  10. 10. O Principal Vilão das Tomadas de Decisão é o Narrow Framing, ou seja não considerar... OPÇÕES
  11. 11. O Principal Vilão das Tomadas de Decisão é o Narrow Framing, ou seja não considerar... OPÇÕES
  12. 12. Decisão Certa Decisão Errada Nenhuma Decisão
  13. 13. DECISÃO NÃO É BINÁRIA Decisão Certa Decisão Errada Nenhuma Decisão
  14. 14. DECISÃO NÃO É BINÁRIA 1. Decisão Certa Decisão Errada Nenhuma Decisão
  15. 15. DECISÃO NÃO É BINÁRIA 1. 2. Decisão Certa Decisão Errada Nenhuma Decisão
  16. 16. DECISÃO NÃO É BINÁRIA 1. 2. 3. Decisão Certa Decisão Errada Nenhuma Decisão
  17. 17. “Muitas pessoas preferem estar ERRADAS do que INCERTAS”
  18. 18. AVERSÃO à INCERTEZA “Muitas pessoas preferem estar ERRADAS do que INCERTAS”
  19. 19. Reduz o Risco
  20. 20. PRORROGAR DECISÕES Reduz o Risco
  21. 21. FINANTIAL OPTION A Opção é um Direto Desobrigado de fazer alguma coisa A Obrigação é o compromisso de comprar ou vendar algo no futuro por preço acordado $
  22. 22. OPTION ESCOLHA vs compromisso ticket Uma Opção é um Direto Desobrigado de fazer alguma coisa
  23. 23. 3Características das Opções Reais
  24. 24. Options have value
  25. 25. valiosas Options have value
  26. 26. Options expire Relacionado ao Princípio Lean: Last Responsible Moment
  27. 27. EXPIRAM Options expire Relacionado ao Princípio Lean: Last Responsible Moment
  28. 28. Never commit early unless you know why. Relacionado ao Princípio Lean: Defer Commitments
  29. 29. ESPERE Never commit early unless you know why. Relacionado ao Princípio Lean: Defer Commitments
  30. 30. REAL OPTIONS Características
  31. 31. REAL OPTIONS Características valiosas 1.
  32. 32. REAL OPTIONS Características valiosas 1. expiram 2.
  33. 33. REAL OPTIONS Características valiosas 1. expiram 2. espere 3.
  34. 34. compromissos Muitas vezes abrimos mão de opções por encará-las como compromissos
  35. 35. PERCEPCAO SELETIVA Na maioria das vezes só vemos aquilo que estamos procurando
  36. 36. ENXERGAR Veja e avalie todas as opções e comprometa-se deliberadamente no último momento possível
  37. 37. ENXERGAR Veja e avalie todas as opções e comprometa-se deliberadamente no último momento possível
  38. 38. Na Prática
  39. 39. BRUF
  40. 40. BRUF REQUIREMENTS Up Front Levante e documente todos os requisitos antes de começar Big
  41. 41. DEEP
  42. 42. DEEP backlog DEEP Detalhado por Prioridade Apenas os itens mais próximos de serem desenvolvidos são detalhados
  43. 43. CODIGO PROPRIETÁRIO
  44. 44. CODIGO PROPRIETÁRIO MINHA CLASSE “Meu conhecimento” Alto Risco. Problema Sério com o Truck Number. Alta Dependência de Pessoas Chave “Key Man”
  45. 45. CÓDIGO COLETIVO
  46. 46. CÓDIGO COLETIVO PAREAMENTO Nosso Código Elimina-se as Ilhas de Conhecimento. Aumenta-se as opções ao distribuir o conhecimento.
  47. 47. waterfall
  48. 48. waterfall design Up Front Pense no design e ponta a ponta de antemão Big
  49. 49. agile
  50. 50. agile design Emergente Deixe as decisões de design para serem tomadas o mais próximo possível da implementação
  51. 51. TDD
  52. 52. TDD MUDAR DE SEM MEDO A Opção de Refatorar e Deixe as decisões de design para serem tomadas o mais próximo possível da implementação
  53. 53. waterfall
  54. 54. waterfall entrega No final de tudo projeto é entregue ao final do projeto
  55. 55. agile
  56. 56. agile incrementos Potencialmente Entregáveis A opção do deploy
  57. 57. RELEASES
  58. 58. RELEASES entrega O Time de Infra faz o Deploy a cada X semanas
  59. 59. CONTINUOUS DEPLOYMENT
  60. 60. CONTINUOUS DEPLOYMENT ENTREGAS ao alcançe de um clique O Cliente tem a Opção de fazer o Deploy
  61. 61. HISTÓRIAS
  62. 62. HISTÓRIAS COMO USUÁRIO EU GOSTARIA DE No final o projeto é entregue funcionalidade
  63. 63. Como um <papel> Eu quero <funcionalidade> para que <valor de negócio>
  64. 64. FEATURE INJECTION
  65. 65. FEATURE INJECTION Don't ask for inputs (features) ask for outcomes (value). Move from output to input.
  66. 66. PRIMEIRO O VALOR
  67. 67. PRIMEIRO O VALOR Para evitar spam no meu site
  68. 68. Para evitar spam no meu site como um moderador de fórum
  69. 69. Para evitar spam no meu site como um moderador de fórum eu quero que os usuários preencham um captcha antes de comentar
  70. 70. Para evitar spam no meu site como um moderador de fórum eu quero que os usuários respondam uma pergunta matemática
  71. 71. Para evitar spam no meu site como um moderador de fórum eu quero que determinados IPs sejam banidos
  72. 72. TRADICIONAL
  73. 73. TRADICIONAL REQUISITOS Necessidades
  74. 74. LEAN STARTUPS
  75. 75. LEAN STARTUPS Hipóteses Testes A/B Spikes Preciso testar minhas premissas, e investir apenas o suficiente antes de assumir um compromisso
  76. 76. ORDEM MANAGEMENT 1.0
  77. 77. ORDEM PENSAMENTO LINEAR Causas e Efeitos Lineares, Aumentar a Previsibilidade, O topo Decide, a base Faz MANAGEMENT 1.0
  78. 78. MANAGEMENT 3.0 COMPLEXIDADE
  79. 79. MANAGEMENT 3.0 Adaptar-se e Aceitar a Incerteza Tornar-se Anti-frágil (Taleb) Gestão do Sistema COMPLEXIDADE
  80. 80. PLANEJAMENTO ESTRATÉGICO e BUDJETING
  81. 81. PLANEJAMENTO ESTRATÉGICO e BUDJETING O QUE SErÃO DOS PRÓXIMOS 3 ANOS? Eu decido, eles executam
  82. 82. BEYOND BUDJETING
  83. 83. BEYOND BUDJETING Ciclos Curtos e Gestão Distribuída
  84. 84. REAL OPTIONS AGILE É MENOS ARRISCADO QUE WATERFAL POR CAUSA DAS OPÇÕES ABERTAS 49 LEAN STARTUPS REDUZ OS RISCOS POR CAUSAS DAS OPÇÕES ABERTAS ... BEYOND BUDGETING, MANAGEMENT 3.0
  85. 85. Real Options é...
  86. 86. CONCLUSÃO Real Options é...
  87. 87. 1 Não decidir agora, mas saber quando decidir
  88. 88. 1 Não decidir agora, mas saber quando decidir
  89. 89. 2 Manter o máximo de opções em aberto por mais tempo possível
  90. 90. 2 Manter o máximo de opções em aberto por mais tempo possível
  91. 91. 3 Ativamente buscar e criar opções e informações até o momento de decidir
  92. 92. 3 Ativamente buscar e criar opções e informações até o momento de decidir
  93. 93. 4 Comprometer-se quando deve ou quando tem uma boa razão
  94. 94. 4 Comprometer-se quando deve ou quando tem uma boa razão
  95. 95. REAL OPTIONS Características
  96. 96. REAL OPTIONS Características valiosas 1.
  97. 97. REAL OPTIONS Características valiosas 1. expiram 2.
  98. 98. REAL OPTIONS Características valiosas 1. expiram 2. espere 3.
  99. 99. agilecoach.net infoq.com decision-coach.com theitriskmanager.wordpress.com
  100. 100. andrefaria.com @andrefaria
  101. 101. PERGUNTAS ? andrefaria.com @andrefaria

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