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VISION


“To emerge as the destination of choice in
the world for design and manufacture of
automobiles and auto components with
output reaching a level of US$ 145 billion
accounting for more than 10% of the GDP
and providing additional employment to
25 million people by 2016.”




                     Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




From the Desk of Hon’ble Minister of
Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises



The Indian Automotive Industry has emerged as a ‘Sunrise Sector’ in our economy
within fifteen years of its liberalisation. The next ten years will be crucial period for
growth of the Indian automobile industry as a significant player in the global stage.
I am happy to see that all stakeholders are focused to convert this challenge into
opportunity.

In order to accelerate and sustain growth in the automotive sector, a roadmap was
needed to steer, coordinate and synergise the efforts of all stakeholders. I am glad
that my Ministry in consultation with all; the industry, the planners, the academia, all
concerned central and state authorities; has prepared this comprehensive document :
‘Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016’ to make India a Global Automotive Hub.

I am confident that the combined efforts of the Government, Industry and Academia
will succeed in this mission. My compliments to all those who are instrumental in
giving shape to this valuable Automotive Mission Plan.




                                                                 (Sontosh Mohan Dev)
New Delhi
December, 2006




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                   3
Contents




            Abbreviations                                          i

            Foreword                                               v

            Preface                                                ix

            Executive Summary                                      xiii

            Auto Industry : The Global Scenario                    1

            Evolution of Indian Automotive Industry                5

            Indian Automotive Industry : An Overview               17

            The Automotive Mission Plan                            25

            Recommended Interventions                              31

            Summary of Recommendations                             47

            Annexure I-Working Groups                              51

            Annexure II- Composition of Inter-Ministerial Groups   53




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
Abbreviations




ACMA         Automotive Component Manufacturers Association
AISC         Automotive Industries Standards Committee
ARAI         Automotive Research Association of India
ASEAN        Association of South East Asian Nations
ASI          Annual Survey of Industries
ATI          Automotive Training Institute
BIMSTEC      Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation
BIS          Bureau of Indian Standards
BS           Bharat Stage
CAGR         Compounded Annual Growth Rate
CAR          Core group on Automotive R&D
CBDT         Central Board of Direct Taxes
CDM          Clean Development Mechanism
CFS          Container Freight Station
CMVR         Central Motor Vehicle Rules
CNG          Compressed Natural Gas
COP          Conformity of Production
CSIR         Council for Scientific and Industrial Research
CV           Commercial Vehicle
DEPB         Duty Entitlement Pass Book Scheme
DG           Diesel Generator
DGFT         Directorate General of Foreign Trade
DHI          Department of Heavy Industries
DIN          Deutsches Institut für Normung
ECE          Economic Commission for Europe
EEC          European Economic Community
ELV          End of Life Vehicle
EOU          Export Oriented Unit
EPCG         Export Promotion Capital Goods Scheme
EU           European Union
FDI          Foreign Direct Investment
FTA          Free Trade Agreement
FY           Financial Year


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                             i
ABBREVIATIONS




           GCC         Gulf Co-operation Council
           GDP         Gross Domestic Product
           GST         Goods & Service Tax
           HP          Horse Power
           I&C         Inspection & Certification
           ICD         Internal Container Depot
           ICRA        Indian Credit Rating Agency
           IIM         Indian Institute of Management
           IPP         Industrial Policy & Promotion
           IIT         Indian Institute of Technology
           iMaCS       ICRA Management Consulting Services
           IPR         Intellectual Property Rights
           ISO         International Organisation for Standardization
           IT          Information Technology
           ITI         Industrial Training Institute
           JIPM        Japan Institute of Productivity Management
           JNPT        Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust
           LCC         Low Cost Countries
           LCV         Light Commercial Vehicle
           M&HCV       Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicle
           MFN         Most Favoured Nation
           mn          Millions
           MNC         Multi National Corporation
           MNRE        Ministry of New & Renewable Energy
           MoHI & PE   Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises
           MUV         Multi Utility Vehicle
           MW          Mega Watt
           NAFTA       North American Free Trade Area
           NAII        National Automotive Infotronics Initiative
           NATRIP      National Automotive Testing and R&D Implementation Project
           NCAER       National Council for Applied Economic Research
           NGO         Non-Governmental Organisation
           NHAI        National Highway Authority of India
           NHDP        National Highway Development Project
           NHEB        National Hydrogen Energy Board
           NID         National Institute of Design
           NMDP        National Maritime Development Project
           NRSB        National Road Safety Board
           OEM         Original Equipment Manufacturer
           PMP         Phased Manufacturing Programme
           PPP         Public Private Partnership
           PTA         Preferential Trade Agreement
           QR          Quantitative Restriction
           R&D         Research & Development
           RSPM        Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter
           RTA         Regional Trade Agreement


ii                                                                AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
ABBREVIATIONS




SAARC        South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation
SACU         Southern African Customs Union
SAFTA        South Asia Free Trade Agreement
SAP          Special Auto component Parks
SERC         State Electricity Regulatory Commission
SEZ          Special Economic Zones
SIAM         Society Of Indian Automobile Manufacturers
SIDBI        Small Industries Development Bank of India
SION         Standard Input Output Norms
SME          Small and Medium Enterprises
SPM          Suspended Particulate Matter
SQC          Statistical Quality Control
SUB          Supplementary Unemployment Benefit Fund
SUV          Sports Utility Vehicle
TA           Type Approval
TIFAC        Technology Information Forecasting & Assessment Council
TPM          Total Productivity Management
TQM          Total Quality Management
TSC          Technical Standing Committee
UNECE        United Nations Economic Commission for Europe
USD          US Dollars
VAT          Value Added Tax
WP.29        Working Party 29
WTO          World Trade Organisation




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                 iii
Foreword




I
    ndia is emerging as one of the world’s fastest growing passenger car markets and second largest
    two wheeler manufacturer. It is home for the largest motor cycle manufacturer and fifth largest
    commercial vehicle manufacturer. The industry is producing about 13 lakhs passenger vehicles,
4 lakhs commercial vehicles, 76 lakhs two wheelers and about 3 lakhs tractors per annum. The
automobile industry has achieved a turn over of US $ 28 billion and the auto component industry
has reached a turn over of US $ 10 billion. The Indian tyre industry, which is an integral part of
Indian Automotive Industry has registered a turn over of almost US $ 3 billion.

  In order to further improve the automobiles in the Indian domestic market, to provide world
class facilities of automotive testing and certification and to ensure a healthy competition among
the manufacturers at a level playing field, our Ministry has undertaken to lay down the road map for
future development of the industry in the form of this ‘Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016’.

  Ministry would like to place on record its appreciation for the work and support of Chairman
and members of five working groups for ably identifying the challenges and for making valuable
suggestions for intervention which enabled us in finalizing the Mission document. Ministry also
acknowledges the valuable contributions made by the members of five Inter-Ministerial Groups
and suggestions provided by various Ministries/Departments of the Government of India. The
Government is of firm conviction that the aspirations unfolded in the Mission document will be
achieved and Indian Automotive industry will attain the strength to meet the competition at world
level and fare as a world class industry. The Mission Plan would be a useful blueprint for future to
provide the joint vision of the Ministry and the Indian Automotive Industry.




                                                                     (Dr. Ramesh Chandra Panda)
                                                                Secretary to Government of India
                                                 Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises
New Delhi
December, 2006



AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                      v
Preface
Preface




T
       he Indian Automotive Industry embarked on a new journey in 1991 with delicensing of the
       sector and subsequent opening up for 100 per cent FDI through automatic route. Since then
       almost all the global majors have set up their facilities in India taking the level of production
of vehicle from 2 million in 1991 to 9.7 million in 2006.

  The growth of Indian middle class with increasing purchasing power along with strong growth
of economy over a past few years have attracted the major auto manufacturers to Indian market.
The market linked exchange rate and availability of trained manpower at competitive cost have
further added to the attraction of Indian domestic market. The increasing pull of Indian market
on one hand and the near stagnation in auto sector in markets of USA, EU and Japan on the other
have worked as a push factor for shifting of new capacities and flow of capital to the auto industry
of India. The increasing competition in auto companies has not only resulted in multiple choices
for Indian consumers at competitive costs, it has also ensured an improvement in productivity by
almost 20 per cent a year in auto industry, which is one of the highest in Indian manufacturing
sector.

  To maintain this high rate of growth and to retain the attractiveness of Indian market and
for further enhancing the competitiveness of Indian companies, the Government through the
Development Council on Automobile and Allied Industries constituted a Task Force to draw
up a ten year Mission Plan for the Indian Automotive Industry. The challenge was to give shape
to a futuristic plan of action with full participation of the stakeholders and to implement it in a
mission mode to remove the impediments coming in the way of growth of industry. Besides making
concerted efforts for removal of obstacles for accelerated growth, the prime need was to put in place
required infrastructure well in time to facilitate growth. Through this Automotive Mission Plan
2006-2016, Government also wants to provide a level playing field to all players in the sector and to
lay a predictable direction of growth to enable the manufacturers to take more informed investment
decision.

  Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-2016 was the outcome of a protracted in-depth dialogue
with all stakeholders (industry, academia, authorities) over a period of fifteen months. Five
Working Groups were constituted with people of eminence from industry, academia and public
institutions to map the challenges, set targets and evolve mission mode for implementation of
agreed mile stones. They examined policy parameters as well as the configuration of manufacturing


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                          ix
PREFACE




          infrastructure of Indian industries and addressed a wide range of issues including upgrading
          infrastructure of production, induction of technology, labour law reforms and employment related
          issues, R&D needs, change of fiscal and policy parameters, human resource development, growth
          of domestic demand and exports and finally, environment and safety concerns. Their findings and
          recommendations were considered by five IMGs having representatives of all concerned Ministries,
          Academia and Public Institutions. The final recommendations of the IMGs vetted by respective
          Ministries were put in the public domain for wider debate and more inclusive recommendations.
          The final outcome was put before the Development Council of Automobile and Allied Industries,
          which has unanimously endorsed it. Thus the consensus was arrived at.

            India is at the threshold for a major take off in the automotive sector. Time bound implementation
          of Automotive Mission Plan ‘AMP 2006-2016’ together with establishment of world class testing,
          homologation and certification facilities along with 9 state of art R&D centres under National
          Automotive Testing & R&D Infrastructure Development Project (NATRIP) will ensure Indian
          Automotive Industry a distinct edge amongst the newly emerging automotive destinations of the
          world.




                                                                                          (Dr. Surajit Mitra)
                                                                     Joint Secretary to Government of India
                                                          Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises
          New Delhi
          December, 2006




  x                                                                     AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




               Executive Summary




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
Executive Summary




1.   The Indian Automotive Industry after         3.   It is a well accepted fact that the
     de-licensing in July, 1991 has grown at           automotive industry is a volume driven
     a spectacular rate on an average of 17%           industry and certain critical mass is a
     for last few years. The industry has now          pre-requisite for attracting the much
     attained a turnover of Rs. 1,65,000 crores        needed investment in Research and
     (34 billion USD, assuming 1$ = Rs. 46)            Development and New Product Design
     and an investment of Rs. 50,000 crores.           and Development. R&D investment
     Over Rs. 35,000 crores of investment is in        is needed for innovations which is the
     pipeline. The industry is providing direct        life-line for achieving and retaining the
     and indirect employment to 1.31 crore             competitiveness in the industry. This
     people. It is also making a contribution          competitiveness in turn depends on the
     of 17% to the kitty of indirect taxes. The        capacity and the speed of the industry
     export in automotive sector has grown             to innovate and upgrade. The most
     on an average CAGR of 30% per year for            important indices of competitiveness are
     the last five years. The export earnings           productivity of both labour and capital.
     from this sector are 4.08 billion USD out
     of which the share of auto component         4.   The concept of attaining competitiveness
     sector is 1.8 billion USD during the year         on the basis of low cost and abundant
     2005-06.                                          labour, favourable exchange rates, low
                                                       interest rates and concessional duty
2.   Even with this rapid growth, the Indian           structure is becoming inadequate and
     Automotive Industry’s contribution in             therefore, not sustainable. In light of the
     global terms is very low. This is evident         above, it is felt that a greater emphasis is
     from the fact that even though passenger          required on the development of the factors
     and commercial vehicles have crossed              which can ensure competitiveness on a
     the production figure of 1.5 million               long-term basis. The automotive sector
     in the year 2005-06, yet India’s share is         with its deep backward linkages (such as
     about 2.37% of world production of                metals like steel, aluminum, copper etc.,
     66.46 million passenger and commercial            plastics, paint, glass, electronics, capital
     vehicles. Indian automotive export                equipment, trucking, warehousing
     constitutes only about 0.3% of global             and logistics) and forward linkages
     automotive trade.                                 including (dealership retails, credit and
                                                       financing, logistics, advertising, repair


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                     xiii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY




                and maintenance, petroleum products,                 policies target to encourage growth,
                gas stations, insurance, service parts)              promote domestic competition and
                has been recognized and identified at                 stimulate innovation.
                different fora (Development Council
                of Automobile and Allied Industries,            6.   It is also felt that a general improvement
                Planning         Commission,         National        in availability of trained manpower
                Manufacturing Competitiveness Council                and good infrastructure is required
                and Investment Commission etc.) as                   for sustainable growth of the industry.
                a sector with a very high potential to               Besides, specialized and industry-
                increase the share of manufacturing                  specific initiatives can lead to enhanced
                in GDP, exports and employment. The                  competitiveness. Keeping in view
                sector is also seen as a multiplier of               the above factors, the Government
                industrial growth. It helps in attaining             has launched a unique initiative of
                two critical goals of the Common                     National Automotive Testing and R&D
                Minimum Programme, that of increasing                Infrastructure Project (NATRIP) to
                manufacturing output and providing                   provide specialized facilities for Testing,
                employment. Although indirectly, it also             Certification and Homologation to the
                facilitates the third objective of increasing        industry. A similar initiative is required
                agricultural       productivity      through         for creating specialized institutions in
                farm mechanization and the needs of                  automotive sector for education, training
                agricultural product transportation.                 and development, market analysis
                                                                     and formulation and dissemination of
           5.   India with its rapidly growing middle                courses.
                class (450 million in 2007 as per NCAER
                Report), market oriented stable economy,        7.   The issues relating to fiscal incentives for
                availability of trained manpower at                  the industry to promote R & D is under
                competitive cost, fairly well-developed              study of Mashelkar Committee and the
                credit and financing facilities and local             issues pertaining to R & D related duty
                availability of almost all the raw materials         structures is being examined by the
                at a competitive cost has emerged as one             Hoda Committee. The concerns of the
                of the favorite investment destinations              industry will be suitably addressed in the
                for the automotive manufacturers.                    above fora.
                These advantages need to be leveraged
                in a manner to attain the twin objective        8.   It has been noticed that the Auto
                of ensuring availability of best quality             Industry has grown in clusters of inter-
                product at lowest cost to the consumers              connected companies which are linked by
                on the one hand and developing and                   commonalities and complementarities.
                assimilating the latest technology in                The major clusters are in and around
                the industry on the other hand. The                  Manesar in North, Pune in West,
                Government recognizes its role as a                  Chennai in South, Jamshedpur-Kolkata
                catalyst and facilitator to encourage                in East and Indore in Central India.
                the companies to move to higher                      The Department is envisaging in the
                level of competitive performance. The                Eleventh Five-Year Plan period to
                Government wants to create a policy                  create a National Level Specialized
                environment to help companies gain                   Education and Training Institute for
                competitive advantage. The government                Automotive Sector and to enhance the


 xiv                                                                     AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY




     transportation, communication and           9.   The Automotive Mission Plan (AMP)
     export infrastructure facilities through         2006-2016 aims at doubling the
     concerned Ministries in and around               contribution of automotive sector in
     these clusters. The Government will              GDP by taking the turnover to 145
     make attempts to streamline the relevant         USD in 2016 with special emphasis on
     Government Institutions and Educational          export of small cars, MUVs, two & three
     and Research Institutions in and around          wheelers and auto components.
     the clusters to meet the growing needs of
     the automotive sector.


                                      t t t t t




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                   xv
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




Auto Industry: Global Scenario




 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




                                    AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
1
Auto Industry: Global Scenario




1.1   The production of passenger and                               at 16 million and Japan at 10 million but
      commercial vehicles has reached a new                         it has more than doubled in Asia-Pacific
      record of 66.46 million units in 2005.                        region from 7.1 million in 1997 to 16
      The growth in production has been as                          million in 2005.
      follows:
                                                              1.3   A bulk of this increase in Asia- Pacific
                                                                    region has come from China where
      Table: 01 Global vehicle production                           production has trebled from 15.82 lakh
      (1997-2005)                                                   units in 1997 to 46 lakh in 2005. The
                                                                    second contributor to this growth is
      Year             World Vehicle          Percentage            India where production has doubled
                       Production             increase/
                       (units in million)     decrease (-)
                                                                    going up from 7.72 lakh units in 1997 to
                                                                    15.76 lakh in 2005. The third contributor
      1997                  55.87                                   to this growth is Thailand where it has
      1998                  53.20             (-)    4.77           increased from 3.60 lakh units in 1997
      1999                  55.74                    4.77           to 8 lakh units in 2005. It is pertinent to
                                                                    note that the global installed capacity in
      2000                  58.33                    4.64
                                                                    the sector is around 80 million, so still an
      2001                  56.17             (-)    3.70           idle capacity of about 15 million exists
      2002                  58.45                    4.05           world wide.
      2003                  60.09                    2.80
                                                              1.4   The 12 global majors account for 53.02
      2004                  64.16                    6.77
                                                                    million of vehicles produced in 2005,
      2005                  66.46                    3.58           which is 80% of the total production of
      Source: OICA Statistics Committee, world ranking 2005
                                                                    66.46 million.

                                                              1.5   Global motorcycle production has
1.2   There has been an addition of 10.59                           increased from 30 million units in 2003
      million vehicle production since 1997. A                      to 40 million units in 2005. Asia is the
      majority of this growth is coming from the                    major producer of motorcycles in the
      Asia – Pacific region (excluding Japan).                       world with 90% share. Within Asia,
      The production has nearly stagnated in                        China accounts for 17 million units
      Western Europe at 17 millions, NAFTA                          whereas India is at second position with


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                                  1
AUTO INDUSTRY: GLOBAL SCENARIO




                  7.7 million units in 2005.                        rapidly growing purchasing power,
                                                                    market linked exchange rate and well
            1.6   The industry being highly capital                 established financial market and stable
                  intensive, has entry barriers for smaller         corporate governance framework is
                  players. Even the existing global auto            emerging as an attractive destination for
                  majors themselves are realigning their            new investments in this sector.
                  production bases coming closer to the
                  scene of action in Asia- Pacific region,     1.8   The rapid improvement in infrastructure
                  mainly in China , India and Thailand.             including road, port, power and world
                  Besides the above, the constant pressure          class facilities for Testing, Certification
                  for cost reduction on OEMs is compelling          and Homologation, coupled with
                  them to outsource more and more                   availability of trained manpower
                  components from Low Cost Countries.               and enabling government policies to
                  The changing scenario has opened up               promote fair competition make Indian
                  opportunities for Indian Automotive               Automotive Industry more competitive
                  Industry.                                         in world besides making the country a
                                                                    favourable destination for investment by
                                                                    global majors in auto industry.
            1.7   India, with its huge domestic market,


                                                   t t t t t




2                                                                       AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




             Evolution of Indian
             Automotive Industry




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




4                                   AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
2
Evolution of Indian
Automotive Industry



2.1 Automobiles                                        Between 1995 and 2000 several
                                                       international players entered the market.
     While the genesis of Indian Automotive            Advanced technology was introduced
     Industry can be traced to the 1940s,              to meet competitive pressures, and
     distinct growth decades started in the            environmental and safety imperatives.
     1970s.                                            Automobile        companies       started
                                                       investing in service network to support
     Between 1970 and 1984 cars were                   maintenance of on-road vehicles.
     considered     a     luxury    product;           Auto financing started emerging as an
     manufacturing was licensed, expansion             important driver for demand.
     was restricted; there were quantitative
     restriction (QR) on imports and a                 Starting in 2000, several landmark policy
     tariff structure designed to restrict the          changes like removal of quantitative
     market. The market was dominated by               restrictions (QR) and 100 percent
     six manufacturers - Telco (now Tata               FDI through automatic route were
     Motors), Ashok Leyland, Mahindra &                introduced. Indigenously developed
     Mahindra, Hindustan Motors, Premier               (Made in India) Vehicles were introduced
     Automobiles and Bajaj Auto.                       in the domestic market and exports were
                                                       given a thrust. Auto companies started
     The decade of 1985 to 1995 saw the entry          collaboration with financial firms to
     of Maruti Udyog in the passenger car              provide auto financing and insurance
     segment and Japanese manufacturers                services to customers. Manufacturers also
     in the two wheelers and light                     introduced systems to improve capacity
     commercial vehicle segments. Economic             utilization and adopted quality and
     liberalization, started in 1991, led to the       environmental management systems. In
     delicensing of the passenger car segment          2003, Core-group on Automotive R&D
     in 1993. QR on imports continued. This            (C.A.R.) was set up to identify priority
     decade witnessed the emergence of Hero            areas for automotive R&D in India.
     Honda as a major player in the two
     wheeler segment and Maruti Udyog as           2.2 Auto Components
     the market leader in the passenger car
     segment.                                          In 1953, the Tariff Commission in its
                                                       report to Government had stressed


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                  5
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




                the need for a balanced and integrated       end in 1991, Government introduced
                development of the Automotive                the MOU system that continued to place
                Industry by promoting the emergence          emphasis on the aspect of localization
                of a strong auto-component sector. As        of components. With support from this
                a result of this recommendation the          policy, the component industry developed
                leading entrepreneurs were invited           further capability to manufacture the
                by Government to establish an auto-          new breed of auto-components required
                component manufacturing industry.            for the new generation vehicles.

                In the pre-1985 era, the auto component      As a result of successful localization of
                sector was a protected market with high      these components, Vehicle manufacturers
                import tariffs. The market was oriented       started outsourcing more and more
                primarily towards supply of components       components rather than manufacturing
                to domestic manufacturers.                   in-house. Entrepreneurs were encouraged
                                                             to develop components and set up
                In the 1980s, encouraged by the              facilities. Whenever required, OEMs
                establishment of many Japanese OEMs          supported component manufacturers
                in the passenger car, two-wheeler and        through equity participation, technical
                LCV industry in the country, a number        collaboration, etc.
                of Indian companies entered into joint
                ventures with Japanese companies and         Currently the Auto component Industry
                exports also commenced.                      manufactures a wide range of products
                                                             in India for both domestic consumption
                The Phased Manufacturing Programme           and exports. The total size of the
                (PMP) introduced in Indian automotive        component industry is close to USD
                sector in the 1980s for localization had     14 billion out of which USD 9.4 billion
                laid the foundation for the development      is the domestic OEM market, USD 2.6
                of auto component industry. This             billion is the domestic aftermarket and
                programme enabled the auto-component         USD 2.0 billion are the direct exports of
                industry to modernize its technology,        components.
                improve quality and to imbibe good
                manufacturing and shop-floor practices        More than 60% of the exports of auto-
                and to transform itself into a highly        components are to Europe and USA.
                capable sector of the industry, while at     More than 70% of the exports go to the
                the same time contribute to localizing the   OEMs and Tier I suppliers and only 30%
                component base. In 1990s global OEMs         to the global aftermarket, indicating the
                and Tier 1 suppliers started operations      high level of maturity in quality and
                in India. This paved the way for a large     technology that has been achieved by the
                number of new Joint Ventures in the          component industry.
                component industry with European and
                American component manufacturers             Currently the Auto component Industry
                and gave the Indian component industry       manufactures a wide range of products
                an all-round expertise to manufacture        in India for both domestic consumption
                components for applications in Japanese,     and exports.
                European as well as American vehicles.
                After the PMP programme came to an


6                                                                AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




2.3 Size of the Indian                               2.3.4 The Utility Vehicles had reached a
    Automotive Industry                                    production of 1,82,000 units in 2004-
                                                           05 and has gone upto 1,96,000 units in
2.3.1 The Indian Automobile Industry                       2005-06. The tractors production has
      produced 8.5 million vehicles in 2004-               reached a figure of 293,000 in 2006.
      05 amounting to around USD 25 billion.
      During the financial year 2005-06, Indian       2.3.5 Two wheelers sales have grown at 11%
      Automobile Industry produced more                    CAGR during the last decade. Over the
      than 9.7 million vehicles amounting to               years, while the sales of motorcycles
      almost USD 28 billion. The growth in                 have increased, sales of scooters and
      production was 15%. India is the second              moped have stagnated. With 5.82
      largest market for two wheelers in the               million units sold in 2005-2006 (out of
      world. However, in value terms, the value            7 million two wheelers), motorcycles
      of the market for passenger cars and CVs             have replaced scooters as the preferred
      is higher than the market size for two               mode of transport with higher load
      wheelers.                                            bearing capacity (essential feature for
                                                           rural areas), better fuel efficiency, better
2.3.2 Sales of passenger cars and utility vehicles         aesthetics thus resulting in a change in
      have grown at 12% CAGR over the last                 consumer preference/ behaviour. Last
      decade. However, in 2005-06 the growth               year for the first time two wheeler sales
      rate for the passenger car segment was               crossed 7 million units registering a
      lower than 8%. Sales of passenger cars               growth of around 14%. Also, exports
      post 2000 have been driven by increase               of two wheelers crossed half a million
      in the number of available models,                   registering a growth rate of 40%.
      purchasing power, especially of the
      middle class, easy availability of car         2.3.6 Three wheelers have also exhibited strong
      finance, favourable government policies               growth with a CAGR of 9%. Sale of three
      and growth of used car market. Further               wheelers has grown from 145,000 units
      reduction in cost of ownership would                 in 1995 -1996 to over 360,000 in 2005-
      fuel demand for passenger vehicles.                  06. Last year growth in three wheeler
                                                           sales was around 17%.
2.3.3 Commercial vehicles sales have grown
      at a 4.4% CAGR over the last decade            2.3.7 Today, the Indian auto component sector
      and the segment has also demonstrated                has over 500 organised players and about
      cyclical trends. In 2005-06, however,                5000 unorganised sector players. The
      growth was over 10% in domestic sales                500 players of organised sector reached
      and production. Exports have also                    a turnover of over USD 14 billion in
      picked up – registering a growth of                  2005-06. Demand from OEMs account
      36% over the last year. Growth in the                for 67% of sales, replacement market
      commercial vehicle sector is dependent               accounts for 19%, while exports account
      on the general economic trend,                       for over 14% at about USD 2.0 billion.
      development of infrastructure projects,              This is exclusive of tyres, batteries and
      transport economics and availability of              imported components.
      freight, replacement period of vehicles,
      easy availability of credit and favourable     2.3.8 Automotive retail trade and service
      government policies.                                 currently comprising of a network


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                         7
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




                 of 6500 automobile dealers and their               by rapid urbanization and resultant rise
                 service stations form an essential part of         in demand from semi-urban and rural
                 the automotive business. This segment              areas, increasing income levels, wider
                 has investment of over Rs. 22,000 crore,           product range available to customers,
                 provides direct employment to about                and easy finance options.
                 4,00,000 people and contributes around
                 Rs, 25,000 crore by way of VAT, CST,         2.4.4 The growth in tractor industry is linked
                 service tax, road tax and other levies to          with the growth in agricultural output
                 central and state exchequers. It also has          and exports to neighboring countries.
                 significant spin off on insurance, auto
                 finance and oil sector.                       2.4.5 Auto component industry growth
                                                                    is directly linked to the growth of
           2.4 Growth Drivers                                       automobile industry since more than
                                                                    65% sales is to the OEMs. However, in
           2.4.1 Rising per capita Income and the                   recent years, component exports are
                 changing demographic distribution                  becoming an important growth driver
                 are conducive for growth. India has the            and it is expected to assume greater
                 highest proportion of population below             importance in future.
                 35 years, 70%, (potential buyers), which
                 means that 130 million people will get       2.5 Export Trends
                 added to the working population between
                 2003 and 2009. The trends indicate that            Compared to domestic sales, vehicle
                 small and medium cars would remain                 exports have grown at the rate of 39%
                 dominant and a shift towards high end              CAGR over the last five years, led by
                 cars is expected at a faster rate. The SUV         exports of passenger cars at 57% and
                 market is expected to develop rapidly              two wheeler exports at 35%. Last year
                 in future. Higher disposable incomes               however, overall exports registered a
                 coupled with availability of easy finance           growth of around 28%. In value terms
                 options have driven the Passenger vehicle          exports crossed USD 2 billion. The key
                 segment.                                           destinations are the SAARC countries,
                                                                    European Union (Germany, UK,
           2.4.2 In the commercial vehicle segment,                 Belgium, the Netherlands and Italy),
                 increased       investment      in    road         Middle East and North America. Maruti
                 infrastructure and availability of cheaper         Udyog, Tata Motors and Hyundai Motor
                 finance has led to a growth in multi-axle           India are key exporters for passenger
                 vehicles. This is expected to be followed          cars; Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata
                 by a shift to tractor-trailer combinations         Motors for light commercial vehicles,
                 on account of operating economics of               medium and heavy commercial vehicles,
                 higher power-to-weight ratio vehicles.             Mahindra & Mahindra for MUVs, Bajaj
                 Growth in the demand for pick-up trucks            Auto for two and three wheelers and
                 has coincided with the growth in multi-            Mahindra & Mahindra and TAFE for
                 axle vehicles. The next growth driver for          tractors. A 3% growth in global demand
                 LCVs is expected to be the introduction            is anticipated over the next five years and
                 of lighter pick-ups.                               it will be led by Asia (mainly by China,
                                                                    India and ASEAN). Also global auto
           2.4.3 The two wheeler segment growth is led              companies are increasingly sourcing


8                                                                       AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




  Figure 01: What does the output mean in term of investments?

            Fixed asset turnover

            Four-Wheelers : 1.5-2 (1)

                                                                                           $ 35-40 billion
                                         (1)                                           (Rs. 160,000 - 180,000
            Auto-components : 1.1-2.4                            Implies (3)
                                                                                         crores) incremental
                                                                                        investments by 2015

            India transportation sector : 0.86 (2)
         Note:
         (1) Sales/Gross Block for FY 2002 - Source: IMaCS analysis
         (2) ASI - 2002
         (3) Assuming a fixed asset turnover of about 2 - 2.25

 Source: SIAM & ACMA


      components and vehicles from low cost                               emissions and crash standards.
      countries. The outsourcing pie is slowly
      extending to services like engineering                      2.6.2 It is expected that the world production
      design and other business processes.                              of Auto-Components would reach USD
      India is well positioned to take advantage                        1.7 Trillion by 2015. About USD 700
      of the outsourcing opportunities.                                 billion worth of auto-components shall
                                                                        be sourced out from low cost countries
2.6 Growth potential of Indian                                          (LCCs) by 2016. If India targets to get
    Automotive Industry                                                 a 10% share of this potential, it would
                                                                        mean USD 70 billion, nearly five times
2.6.1 Automotive Industry offers huge growth                             current total size of the industry in India.
      potential in terms of sales volume                                However, this Mission Document has
      (including exports) and also immense                              set a modest target of USD 25 billion by
      employment opportunities. The likely                              2016 for export of auto components.
      future volumes of different vehicle
      categories were estimated on the basis of                   2.6.3 The projected size in 2016 of the Indian
      projections made by iMaCS, NCAER and                              automotive industry varies between
      AT Kearney. Value of projected domestic                           USD 122 billion and USD 159 billion
      output was computed based on historical                           including USD 35 billion exports. This
      average vehicle prices. Export potential                          translates into a contribution of 10-11%
      was estimated on the basis of current                             to India’s GDP by 2016, that is, double
      trends and possible opportunities in                              the current contribution. This would
      major export destinations. Demand for                             mean a domestic vehicle market of USD
      after-market auto components and export                           82 billion to USD 119 billion by 2016,
      output was also included in computing                             USD 12 billion exports of vehicles and
      growth potential of the industry. The                             tractors, USD 20-25 billion component
      unit value of different vehicle categories                         exports and more than USD 5 billion
      in 2016 have been estimated keeping                               after market of components. Another
      in view the need for compliance with                              USD 2 – 2.5 billion in engineering


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                                       9
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




                 services outsourcing opportunity is                 will not only be an opportunity, but
                 expected to develop. The total size of              getting adequately trained personnel will
                 the auto component industry in India is             become a major challenge.
                 expected to become USD 40-45 billion
                 by 2016. This calls for a major focus and      2.7 Areas to Focus
                 policy initiative to market India as an
                 attractive “Manufacturing Destination”.             The future challenge for Indian
                                                                     automobile industry would be to develop
           2.6.4 The output estimated would require                  a supply base with emphasis on lower
                 incremental investment of USD 35-40                 costs and economies of scale, develop
                 billion (Rs 160,000 -180,000 crores) by             technical and human capabilities,
                 2016 as indicated in Figure 01.                     overcome infrastructural bottlenecks,
                                                                     stimulate domestic demand and exploit
           2.6.5 The automotive industry also promises               export and international business
                 significant employment opportunities.                opportunities. The key to success is to
                 Large number of workers, both skilled               achieve the critical mass that would
                 and unskilled, will be required to sustain          make India competitive and profitable
                 increased level of production. A large part         for sustained investments. Keeping
                 of the employment would also be indirect,           these in view, the identified challenges
                 for sales, finance, insurance, mechanics             and interventions are in the areas of
                 and other after-sales personnel for both            competitiveness in manufacturing and
                 semi-skilled and unskilled workers in               flow of technology; demand, brand
                 rural and semi-urban areas. While direct            building and infrastructure; export and
                 employment is by way of workers engaged             international business; environmental
                 in the production of automobiles and                and safety standards, and human
                 auto components, indirect employment is             resources development. A key deficiency
                 generated in feeder and supplier industries         that needs to be addressed for attaining
                 to the automotive industry, such as the             the vision is to improve competitiveness
                 vehicle financing and insurance industry,            in manufacturing. Systemic deficiencies
                 vehicle repair, service and maintenance             could be overcome through a long-term
                 outfits, automobile and auto component               and stable policy regime that will support
                 dealers and retailers, vehicle drivers, tyre        the industry to fulfill its potential.
                 industry, amongst others. It is estimated
                 that, on a conservative basis, 5.3, 13.3,      2.8 Competitiveness in
                 0.5 and 3.9 units of direct and indirect           manufacturing
                 employment are generated per unit of car,
                 CV, 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler produced           2.8.1 The share of manufacturing sector
                 respectively. This translates into an                (within the Industry sector) has shown
                 additional employment generation of 25               only a marginal improvement from
                 million by the automobile industry by                16.6% in 1991 to 17% of Indian GDP
                 2016.                                                2003. In comparison, in some East Asian
                                                                      economies the share of manufacturing
           2.6.6 Specialists in the areas of R&D,                     has ranged from 25% to 35% of their
                 technology,     product       development,           GDP. It is known that stagnation of
                 logistics and operations would also be               manufacturing as a proportion of GDP
                 required. Availability of such requirements          has adverse impact on employment


10                                                                        AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




      generation. Therefore it is imperative              (ii) Higher incidence of indirect taxes
      to boost manufacturing given the huge              (iii) Sub-optimal levels of operations
      anticipated increase in the workforce              (iv) Lower operational efficiencies and
      over the next 15 years.                                  Higher transaction costs
                                                          (v) Lower labour productivity and
2.8.2 As observed by the National                              Higher cost of capital
      Manufacturing           Competitiveness            (vi) Inadequate infrastructure
      Council in its national manufacturing
      strategy, the challenges faced by Indian     2.8.5 In a survey of corporates, the following
      manufacturers raise important questions            factors were ranked on the basis of the
      for both Industry and Government “....             responses:
      this calls for ‘breakthrough’ and bold
      thinking on the part of all stakeholders.              (i) Flexibility in labour laws
      Only bold aspirations can enable India                (ii) Scale of operations
      benefit from emerging opportunities in                (iii) Cost of capital
      the manufacturing sector”.                           (iv) Cost, availability and quality of raw
                                                                 materials
2.8.3 In a Global Competitiveness Survey of                 (v) Technology gap with international
      104 countries India ranked only 55th. In                   levels
      terms of macroeconomic environment,                  (vi) Power costs
      public institutions and technology, India           (vii) Cost of compliance to government
      ranked 52, 53 and 63 respectively. On                      regulations
      location attractiveness for manufacturing,         (viii) Quality of transport infrastructure
      India ranked 43 while other regional
      countries like China, Singapore and Hong     2.8.6 The key factors that contribute to
      Kong ranked 39, 11 and 6 respectively.             competitiveness of a country or a
      The productivity in automotive industry            location can be summarized as shown in
      in India is substantially higher than              the Figure 02.
      other sectors and it has a huge potential
      for further improvement, which in turn             The availability of low cost quality
      will pull up the competitiveness of entire         manpower and presence of a sizeable
      manufacturing sector. Hence it becomes             auto industry, availability of raw material,
      imperative to identify factors that make           and stable economy contribute to India’s
      manufacturing in India un-competitive              strengths.
      and address these and improve our
      competitiveness.                             2.8.7 But manufacturing in India suffers from
                                                         disadvantages as was stated earlier.
2.8.4 The       National        Manufacturing            As a result, auto sector in India is less
      Competitiveness Commission’s National              competitive as compared to competing
      Manufacturing Strategy lists the following         countries like China and Thailand.
      factors   impacting       manufacturing
      competitiveness:                             2.8.8 In a study commissioned by SIAM,
                                                         ICRA Advisory Services evaluated the
       (i) Higher import duties including                Indian and Chinese economies from an
           inverted duty structure on raw                automotive manufacturing perspective.
           materials                                     The following policy initiatives from


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                       11
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




             Figure 02: Key factors
                                                                 Labour Productivity cost
                         Efficiency factor                         Labour Flexibility
                                                                 Capital efficiency / other production factors

                                                                 Quality Manpower
                       Resource Availability                     Infrastructure
                                                                 Raw Materials

                                                                 Economic Policies & Stability
                         Ability to attract
                           Investment
                                                                 Incentives

                                                                 Domestic / Exports
                       Proximity to Markets

                                                                 Auto clusters
             Source: IMaCS Limited Study for SIAM & ACMA



                  the Chinese Government have been                           or business but work time to be
                  identified as driving its manufacturing                     prolonged should not exceed 36
                  and investment leading to stupendous                       hours a month.
                  growth:                                               (xi) Low interest rates
                                                                       (xii) Availability of reliable and quality
                      (i) Creating world class physical                      power; no need to invest in DG
                          infrastructure – road networks,                    sets
                          ports, railways and airports                (xiii) Large capacity additions annually
                     (ii) Government responsiveness to                       that keep pace with growth
                          business needs (administration that         (xiv) Requirement         of     minimum
                          facilitates business)                              investment in industry and R&D.
                    (iii) Reduction and simplification of
                          direct and indirect taxes             2.8.9 A cost comparison study between Indian
                    (iv) Lowered rate of income tax                   and Chinese automotive manufacturing
                     (v) 17% uniform VAT, ensuring no                 companies to identify factors and
                          cascading taxes or duties                   their magnitude that impact auto
                    (vi) Ensuring no location based tax               manufacturing in India vis-à-vis auto
                          exemptions and barriers to inter-           manufacturing in China reveals that the
                          state movement of goods                     cost of manufacture of a passenger vehicle
                   (vii) Creating flexible and investor                in China is 23% lower than in India with
                          friendly labour laws                        the principal difference owing to higher
                  (viii) Companies can retrench labour                taxes and their cascading impact in India.
                          and pay productivity-based wages            Higher labour productivity and lower
                    (ix) No trade unions in SEZs                      infrastructural costs makes China more
                     (x) Employers can prolong work                   competitive. The study also revealed that
                          hours due to needs of production            since design and engineering capabilities


12                                                                            AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




      in India have not been as strong there         2.10 Demand creation, brand building
      would be a disadvantage of 30% higher               and infrastructure
      costs for products manufactured in India.
      While some of the above issues like scale      2.10.1 In order to raise the contribution of
      of operations and labour productivity                 automotive industry to GDP from 5.2%
      are industry or company related, others               to 10%, there has to be a focus both on
      are identified for improvement and                     the domestic market as well as exports.
      strengthening by the Government.                      Domestically the focus should be on
                                                            developing and selling appropriate
2.9 Prescriptions for Industry in the                       products for the large population of the
    National Manufacturing strategy                         country. These products could include
                                                            cost effective small carriers, strong,
2.9.1 The National Manufacturing Strategy                   rugged, low cost vehicle for the rural
      has indicated that Industry would not                 market, USD 300-350 motorbikes and
      only need to think big in terms of scale              small, safe four wheelers for family
      but also need to:                                     transport. For exports, the focus should
                                                            be on new geographies for growth
        (i) Invest in R&D and technology                    beyond traditional markets.
       (ii) Have a continuing commitment for
            skills development and education         2.10.2 India’s GDP is expected to grow from
      (iii) Benchmark their performance                     USD 650 billion to USD 950 billion in
            against best in the industry                    2010 and USD 1390 billion in 2016.
      (iv) Adopt best manufacturing practices               Automotive industry’s contribution in
            and production techniques                       these years is expected to rise from USD 34
       (v) Deliver on globally acceptable quality           billion to USD 69 billion and to USD 145
            levels                                          billion respectively. These translate into
                                                            a contribution to GDP to grow from the
2.9.2 In light of the above scenario and goal               current 5.2% to 7.2% and 10.4% in 2010
      of making India a hub for small cars,                 and 2015. Secondly, the challenge lies in
      MUVs, two & three wheelers, tractors and              developing appropriate infrastructure to
      components, it becomes essential to focus             sustain this growth. Also, important would
      on the automotive sector and develop a                be to establish brand image not only in
      policy specific to the sector which addresses          the domestic market but internationally
      all the constraints. Investment in R&D for            also. An appropriate policy for attracting
      technology development will become one                investment would ensure realization of
      of the most important aspects of future               the potential. Government is aiming
      strength of this industry. Given India’s              for creating suitable stable, predictable,
      strength in having the skill sets required            and sustainable policy environment and
      to promote technological development,                 partnering with industry to look beyond
      the industry needs to invest in research              borders.
      and development to increase innovative
      breakthroughs for vehicle design as well       2.11 International Business (Exports)
      as in manufacturing technology and
      incentivisation of such investments will be          Export opportunities for four wheelers
      needed on the part of the Government.                would lie primarily in the small car
                                                           segment as Indian companies have gained


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                         13
EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY




                expertise in manufacturing vehicles in this          be developed as the current roadmap
                segment and enjoy an advantage over other            is only up to 2010. Alternative fuels
                low cost countries. India should capitalize          like Hydrogen and bio fuels need to be
                on this expertise and target becoming a              promoted to ensure sustainability of the
                manufacturing hub for A/B class vehicles.            industry over the long term.
                This is already being leveraged by OEMs
                like Hyundai with Santro, Suzuki with          2.13 Human Resource Development
                Maruti 800/Alto and Tata Motors with
                Indica. The exports in respect of Multi        2.13.1 Employment is always a major factor
                Utility Vehicles, Three wheelers and Two              when measuring the significance of
                wheeler are expected to become substantial            any economic activity. The automotive
                in the coming years. Export of other                  industry, on account of its backward and
                vehicle categories will be largely driven             forward linkages, is a significant generator
                by strategies of individual companies.                of employment - both direct and indirect.
                Incentivising the exports, encouraging                While direct employment is by way
                development of domestic competitiveness,              of workers engaged in the production
                establishing ‘Made-in-India’ brand are                of automobiles and auto components,
                some of the initiatives required to promote           indirect employment is generated in feeder
                International business.                               and supplier industries to the automotive
                                                                      industry, such as the vehicle financing and
           2.12 Environment and Safety                                insurance industry, vehicle repair, service
                Regulations                                           and maintenance outfits, automobile and
                                                                      auto component dealers and retailers,
                Emission norms came into force with                   vehicle drivers and cleaners, tyre industry,
                the Idle Emission Norms in 1984. Mass                 amongst others. Thus steps are needed to
                Emission Norms were introduced in                     ensure that demand – supply gap, both
                1991 for petrol vehicles and in 1992                  quantitative and qualitative, in terms of
                for diesel vehicles. These norms have                 human resources, does not arise.
                been progressively made stringent
                and India has followed the European            2.13.2 The need of engineering and managerial
                emission standards and test procedures.               manpower is being met by IIT and IIM.
                Environment concerns led to India                     The setting up of a specialized institute for
                narrowing the gap with Euro norms at a                industry will add to the competitiveness
                rapid pace and currently BS-II or Euro II             of the Industry. The institute, besides
                equivalent norms are in force throughout              developing as a repository of knowledge
                the country and BS-III or Euro-III norms              in the field, will also take up market
                in eleven cities. Two Wheelers which play             research and analysis within and outside
                the unique role of family vehicles in India           the country. It will also develop training
                comply with stringent emission norms                  modules and will disseminate them
                while at the same time satisfactorily                 through ITIs and ATIs. The Investment
                meeting the Indian customer demand                    Commission has also identified this
                for fuel efficiency. Idle emission norms                input as requirement for the industry.
                applicable to in-use vehicles have also been          The adoption of existing training
                tightened. The need is for an appropriate             institutes by OEMs and setting up of
                in-use vehicle management policy. Also,               new training institutes by them will be
                a long term emission roadmap needs to                  promoted.


14                                                                        AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




Indian Automotive Industry:
        An overview




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




16                                  AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
3
Indian Automotive Industry:
An overview



3.1   Automotive Industry, globally, as well                industry, especially over a period of time,
      in India, is one of the key sectors of                and particularly after liberalization, has
      the economy. Due to its deep forward                  installed a robust capacity. The installed
      and backward linkages with several key                capacity in different segments of
      segments of the economy, automotive                   automobile industry is given in Table 02.
      industry has a strong multiplier effect and
      acts as one of the key drivers of economic      3.3   The production of all categories of
      growth. The well-developed Indian                     vehicles has grown at a rate of 16% per
      automotive industry produces a wide                   annum over the last five years. The last
      variety of vehicles: passenger cars, light,           5 years production figures are given in
      medium and heavy commercial vehicles,                 Table 03.
      multi-utility vehicles such as jeeps,
      scooters, motor-cycles, mopeds, three           3.4   Export of Vehicles: Indian automotive
      wheelers, tractors and other agricultural             industry is now finding increasing
      equipment etc. The sector has high                    recognition worldwide. While a
      potential for providing employment.                   beginning has been made in export of
      This will increase the present level of               vehicles, the potential in this area still
      employment in manufacturing sector                    remains to be fully tapped. Significantly,
      which presently is quite low at 12% as                during the last two years the export in this
      compared to the countries like Malaysia               sector has grown specifically in export of
      (50%); Korea (62%) and China (31%).                   cars and two / three wheelers. The table
                                                            04 indicates the performance during last
3.2   Installed    capacity:      The    automobile         six years.

      Table 02 Installed Capacity in Different              The automobile exports crossed USD
      Segments in nos.                                      1 billion mark in 2003-04 and reached
                                                            USD 2.28 billion in 2005-06.
      S.No.       Segment                Installed
                  Capacity
                                                      3.5   Indian auto component industry is quite
      1.          Four Wheelers          1,590,000          robust with around 500 firms in the
      2.          Two & Three Wheelers   7,950,000          organised sector producing practically
                                                            all parts and more than 10,000 firms in
                  Grand Total            9,540,000
                                                            small unorganised sector, in tierized


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                          17
INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW




            Table 03 Automobile Production (in nos.)

            Category                    2001-02       2002-03             2003-04               2004-05        2005-06

            Passenger Cars              564,052       608,851             842,437               960,505      1,045,881
            Multi Utility Vehicles      105,667       114,479             146,103               249,149        263,032
            Commercial Vehicles         162,508       203,697             275,224               350,033        391,078
            Two Wheelers              4,271,327     5,076,221         5,624,950               6526,547       7600,801
            Three Wheelers              212,748       276,719             340,729               374,414        434,424
            Total                     5,316,302     6,279,967        7,229,443                8,460,648      9,735,216
            Percentage growth             11.70         18.60               15.12                 16.80          15.06

            Source: SIAM


                    format. The auto component sector                      completely Indian made vehicles like
                    has been one of the fastest growing                    the Tata Indica, Tata Indigo, Mahindra
                    segments of auto industry. The Industry                Scorpio, Bajaj Pulsar, TVS Victor and
                    also sustained a high growth rate                      TVS star. The component industry has
                    and could achieve growth of 20% in                     now holistic capability to manufacture
                    2001-02, 18.20% in 2002-03, 19.92%                     the entire range of auto-components e.g.
                    in 2003-04, 25.65% in 2004-05 and                      Engine parts, Drive, Transmission Parts,
                    18.08% in 2005-06. The industry, over                  Suspension & Braking Parts, Electricals,
                    the years, developed the capability of                 Body and Chassis Parts, Equipment etc.
                    manufacturing all components required                  The component-wise share of production,
                    to manufacture vehicles, which is evident              is Engine parts-31%, Drive and
                    from the high levels of indigenisation                 Transmission Parts-19%, Suspension &
                    achieved in the vehicle industry as well               Braking Parts-12%, Electricals-9%, Body
                    as the components developed for the                    and Chassis Parts-12%, Equipment-10%.


             Table 04 Automobile Export (in nos.)

             Category                   2000-01   2001-02       2002-03             2003-04        2004-05    2005-06

             Passenger Cars              22,990    50,088        70,828             126,249        160,677    170,193
             Multi Utility Vehicles       4,122     3,077         1,177               3,067          5,736      5,579
             Commercial Vehicles         13,770    11,870        12,255              17,227         29,949     40,581
             Two Wheelers               111,138   104,183       179,682             264,669        366,724    513,256
             Three Wheelers              16,263    15,462        43,366              68,138         66,801     76,885
             Total                     168,283    184,680       307,308             479,350        629,887    806,494
             Percentage growth                      09.74         66.40               55.98          31.40      28.03

            Source: SIAM




18                                                                                  AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW




3.6   Over the last few years the Indian Auto             30% was to the aftermarket. This signifies
      Component Industry has created a                    that the Indian component industry has
      robust capacity base and all of the world’s         now reached a high degree of maturity
      major manufacturers have set up their               in terms of quality and productivity and
      manufacturing units in the country.                 has also developed capabilities in the
      The high quality of the components                  area of design and engineering, which
      produced by the component industry in               are critical requirements for being a part
      the country is recognized by the fact that,         of the global supply chain.
      out of the 498 ACMA members, 9 are
      Deming Prize winners, 4 are JIPM award        3.9   Indian auto component manufacturing,
      winners and 1 is Japan Quality Medal                currently constrained by lack of large
      winner.                                             capacities, is slowly but steadily working
                                                          on expanding capacities and automation
3.7   Growth Trends: The turnover of auto                 levels. As the users increasingly become
      component sector has grown from a                   discerning in their buying behavior,
      level of USD 3.1 billion in 1997-98 to              new model introduction by the auto
      USD 9.8 billion in 2003-04. Low labor               manufacturers has become the trend.
      costs, availability of skilled labor and            Greater variety in vehicle is offering
      high quality consciousness among                    challenges to the manufacturing
      Indian vendors have spurred the growth              capabilities and economies of scale
      of auto component exports from India.               of component suppliers. Hence the
      During 2003-2004, the exports of auto-              component industry is constantly
      components crossed the magic figure                  looking at maintaining lean and
      of USD 1 billion after having recorded              efficient manufacturing systems. Having
      a healthy growth of 25%. During the                 established themselves in the domestic
      year 2004-2005, the exports grew by                 market, tapping opportunities abroad
      40% thereby taking the direct exports of            was a natural step for the auto component
      components to a level of USD 1.4 billion.           manufacturers in their growth path.
      In the year 2005-06 exports grew by 28%             The Indian auto component industry
      and reached the level of USD 1.8 billion.           is targeting a bigger share of the export
      It is pertinent to mention here that this           market and is in the process of ramping
      figure is still very low against the volume          up its manufacturing capabilities to meet
      of world trade of 185 billion USD in auto           the capacity and quality requirements.
      components.                                         During 2004, the auto component
                                                          industry increased its investment by
3.8   More than 60% of the exports of auto-               17% while the automation processes in
      components go to USA and Europe, which              this industry registered a growth of over
      constitute high AQL (Accepted Quality               40%.
      Level) countries. Moreover, over the last
      5 years, the structure of the customer base   3.10 The Indian Tractor Industry: India is one
      in the global markets has also undergone           of the largest manufacturers of tractors in
      a major change. In the 1990s more than             the world. The tractor industry reached
      80% of the exports were made to the                a production of 2,48,000 units in 2004-
      international aftermarket. In 2005, more           05 and increased up to 2,93,000 units in
      than 70% of the exports to the global              2005-06. The government focus on the
      OEMs and Tier 1 companies and only                 agricultural economy, with increased


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                       19
INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW




                 rural lending ensuring availability of               car growth in the domestic market is
                 cheap finance, led to this growth. The                on the verge of a major and sustained
                 exports stood at 20,000 units in 2004-05             boom. It is expected that the passenger
                 and 28,000 in 2005-06. Indian market is              car market which was 1 million in 2003-
                 dominated by 31-40 HP tractors followed              2004 can easily cross the 3 million mark
                 by 41-50 HP. The tractor industry has 14             by 2015. This can lead to an increase in
                 players, including three MNCs, and is                the size of the domestic auto-component
                 led by Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. The                  market from the current level of USD
                 industry is growing at the rate of 5% to             9.8 billion (2005-06) to at least USD 15
                 6% a year. The demand for tractors is                billion by 2015.
                 likely to be driven by thrust on increase
                 in area under irrigation, increased rural     3.12.2 Need for innovation: The competitiveness
                 connectivity, and enhanced farm credit               in the sector will largely depend on the
                 facilities.                                          capacity of the industries to innovate and
                                                                      upgrade. The industry will also benefit if
           3.11 The Indian Tyre Industry: India is one of             it has strong domestic competition, home
                the few countries which has attained self-            based suppliers and demanding local
                sufficiency in tyre production barring                  customers. There is no denying the fact
                the production of few special types of                that the factors like labour cost, duties,
                vehicles tyres, air-craft tyres, and snow             interest rate and economies of scale are
                tyres. India has constantly been exporting            the most important determinants of
                tyres to almost 65 countries. The total               competitiveness. But productivity is the
                installed capacity is 850 lakh units against          prime determinant of the competitiveness
                which 650 lakh units were produced in                 and also impacts the national per
                the year 2005-06 of which 620 lakh units              capita income. The globally successful
                were consumed domestically. In tonnage                OEMs and auto makers will ultimately
                terms the production in the year 2005-06              make their base in places which are
                was 11.17 lakh metric. tons. The industry             high on productivity factor and where
                is expected to grow at an average rate of             essential competitive advantages of the
                7% per annum during Eleventh Five-                    enterprise can be created and sustained.
                Year Plan period. The total turnover of               It would also involve core products
                the tyre industry is Rs. 13,500 crores out            and process technology creation apart
                of which tyres worth Rs. 2300 cores were              from maintaining productive human
                exported in the year 2005-06.                         resource and reward for advanced skills.
                                                                      The OEMs also look for the policies of
           3.12 Major Challenges:                                     the state which stimulates innovations
                                                                      in new technologies.
           3.12.1 Sustaining the growth rate: There is a
                  potential for much higher growth in the      3.12.3 Enhancement of share of auto
                  domestic market due to the fact that the            component in global trade: The global
                  current car penetration level in India is           auto component industry is estimated to
                  just 7 cars per thousand persons. The               be USD 1.2 trillion in value and is likely
                  increase in purchasing power at the top             to increase to USD 1.7 trillion by 2015.
                  echelon of about 300 million people in              Sourcing from low cost countries is likely
                  the country, where the per capita income            to increase from USD 65 billion in 2002
                  is over USD 1000, implies that passenger            to USD 375 billion by 2015. Although


20                                                                        AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW




      India’s exports are still small (USD 1.8          some of the objectives like imposition
      Billion in 2005-06), it has opportunity           of excise duty on body building
      to leverage this trend by expanding its           activity of Commercial Vehicles,
      supply base to build dominant position            lower excise duty on the small
      amongst auto component low cost                   cars, extension of 150% weighted
      countries by 2015. A position in the              deduction on R&D expenditure to
      top two would enable India to achieve             the automotive sector, increased
      export of USD 20-25 billion by 2015.              budgetary allocation for R&D
      This would increase India’s share of              activities in the sector and moving
      world auto component trade from 0.9               towards a lower duty regime have
      percent in 2005-06 (Provisional) to 2.0-          been achieved and steps are being
      2.5 percent by 2015, inclusive of domestic        taken to further strengthen the
      consumption. Such a high growth in                capability of the sector.
      the Auto component Sector is expected
      to lead to an additional 750,000 direct      (iii) NationalAutomotiveTestingandR&D
      jobs in tiny sector alongwith indirect             Infrastructure Project (NATRIP):
      employment of 1.8 million people over              The most critical intervention of
      the next 10 years. In addition to creating         the Government thus far in the
      incremental employment of about 2.5                automotive sector has come in the
      million people in direct and indirect              form of an ambitious project on
      jobs, it is also expected to result in an          setting up world-class automotive
      incremental revenue of USD 3.8 billion             testing and R&D infrastructure
      to the exchequer. Investments in this              in the country to deepen
      sector would also grow by USD 15                   manufacturing, encourage localized
      billion from the current level of USD 3.1          R&D, boost exports, converge
      billion.                                           India’s unparalleled strengths in IT
                                                         and electronics with automotive
3.13 Recent initiatives of the Government                engineering sectors to firmly place
                                                         India in USD six trillion global
3.13.1 In order to give a boost to the growth in         automotive business. NATRIP aims
       this sector, the Government has taken             at facilitating introduction of world-
       several initiatives. Some of them are as          class automotive safety, emission and
       under.                                            performance standards in India and
                                                         also to ensure seamless integration
       (i) The Finance Bill 2006 has given a             of Indian automotive industry with
           further boost to the Automotive               the global industry. The project
           Industry by reduction of the excise           aims at addressing one of the most
           duty on the small motor vehicles,             critical handicaps in the overall
           the reduction in the duty for raw             growth of automotive industry
           material which is now between 5 to            today, i.e. major shortfall of testing
           7.5% as compared to the previous              and pre-competitive common R&D
           level of 10%, and the thrust on               infrastructure. National Automotive
           infrastructure development.                   Testing and R&D Infrastructure
                                                         Project envisages setting up of the
      (ii) As a result of constant persuasion by         following facilities:-
           the Department of Heavy Industry,


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                 21
INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW




                 (a) A full-fledged testing, certification       (d) World-class proving grounds or
                     and homologation centre within the            testing tracks on around 4,000 acres
                     northern hub of automotive industry           of land at Pithampur in Madhya
                     at Manesar in the State of Haryana;           Pradesh;

                 (b) A full-fledged testing, certification       (e) National Centre for Testing of Tractors
                     and homologation centre within the            and Off-Road Vehicles together with
                     southern hub of automotive industry           national facility for accident data
                     at a location near Chennai in the State       analysis and specialized driving
                     of Tamil Nadu;                                training at Rae Bareilly in the State of
                                                                   Uttar Pradesh; and
                 (c) Up-gradation of existing testing,
                     certification     and    homologation      (f) National Specialized Hill Area Driving
                     facilities at Automotive Research             Training Centre as also Regional In-
                     Association of India (ARAI), Pune and         Use vehicle management Centre at
                     at Vehicle Research and Development           Dholchora (Silchar) in the State of
                     Establishment (VRDE), Ahmednagar;             Assam.


                                                    t t t t t




22                                                                  AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




The Automotive Mission Plan




AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016




24                                  AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
4
The Automotive Mission Plan




4.1   The necessity of this Mission Plan                        impact on the stakeholders?
      arises in the background of a newfound
      strength and resurgence in the Indian                 (iii) How do we attain the vision? What
      manufacturing sector. For most of the                       policy interventions will facilitate
      decade of the 1990s, post economic                          the attainment of this potential?
      deregulation in 1991, growth in the
      Indian economy has been led by growth           4.3   Vision for the Future: The opportunity
      in the service sector, a growth that                  landscape for the Indian auto industry
      has overshadowed the growth in the                    would encompass manufacture of
      manufacturing sector. In the past few                 vehicles and components for domestic
      years, several industries in the Indian               sales, manufacture for exports (both
      manufacturing sector have become                      vehicles and components), and export
      internationally competitive and have                  of services in areas such as design,
      acquired a new energy to grow. Several                engineering, and back office operations.
      industries, including the automotive                  It is estimated that the total turnover of
      industry, genuinely believe that they can             the automotive industry in India would
      become world-beaters.                                 be in the order of USD 122-159 billion in
                                                            2016 (a substantial increase from the size
4.2   In developing a Mission Plan for                      of USD 34 billion in 2006).
      India’s automotive sector, answer to the
      following questions has been sought:            4.4   It is expected that in real terms, India
                                                            would continue to enjoy its eminent
      (i) Where is automotive sector in India               position of being the largest tractor
          today? What linkages does the                     and three wheeler manufacturers in the
          automotive sector have with other                 world and the world’s second largest two
          facets of the India’s economy?                    wheeler manufacturer. By 2016, India
                                                            would emerge as the world’s seventh
      (ii) What do we want the automotive                   largest car producer (as compared to the
           sector of India to look like in 2016? In         eleventh largest currently) and retain
           other words, what is the potential of            4th largest position in world truck
           the automotive sector to grow along              manufacturing sector. Further, by 2016,
           all segments of its value chain, and             the automotive sector would double its
           what can be the maximum positive                 contribution to the country’s GDP from


AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016                                                                        25
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Amp

  • 1.
  • 2. VISION “To emerge as the destination of choice in the world for design and manufacture of automobiles and auto components with output reaching a level of US$ 145 billion accounting for more than 10% of the GDP and providing additional employment to 25 million people by 2016.” Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016
  • 3.
  • 4. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 From the Desk of Hon’ble Minister of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises The Indian Automotive Industry has emerged as a ‘Sunrise Sector’ in our economy within fifteen years of its liberalisation. The next ten years will be crucial period for growth of the Indian automobile industry as a significant player in the global stage. I am happy to see that all stakeholders are focused to convert this challenge into opportunity. In order to accelerate and sustain growth in the automotive sector, a roadmap was needed to steer, coordinate and synergise the efforts of all stakeholders. I am glad that my Ministry in consultation with all; the industry, the planners, the academia, all concerned central and state authorities; has prepared this comprehensive document : ‘Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016’ to make India a Global Automotive Hub. I am confident that the combined efforts of the Government, Industry and Academia will succeed in this mission. My compliments to all those who are instrumental in giving shape to this valuable Automotive Mission Plan. (Sontosh Mohan Dev) New Delhi December, 2006 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 3
  • 5.
  • 6. Contents Abbreviations i Foreword v Preface ix Executive Summary xiii Auto Industry : The Global Scenario 1 Evolution of Indian Automotive Industry 5 Indian Automotive Industry : An Overview 17 The Automotive Mission Plan 25 Recommended Interventions 31 Summary of Recommendations 47 Annexure I-Working Groups 51 Annexure II- Composition of Inter-Ministerial Groups 53 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 7.
  • 8. Abbreviations ACMA Automotive Component Manufacturers Association AISC Automotive Industries Standards Committee ARAI Automotive Research Association of India ASEAN Association of South East Asian Nations ASI Annual Survey of Industries ATI Automotive Training Institute BIMSTEC Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation BIS Bureau of Indian Standards BS Bharat Stage CAGR Compounded Annual Growth Rate CAR Core group on Automotive R&D CBDT Central Board of Direct Taxes CDM Clean Development Mechanism CFS Container Freight Station CMVR Central Motor Vehicle Rules CNG Compressed Natural Gas COP Conformity of Production CSIR Council for Scientific and Industrial Research CV Commercial Vehicle DEPB Duty Entitlement Pass Book Scheme DG Diesel Generator DGFT Directorate General of Foreign Trade DHI Department of Heavy Industries DIN Deutsches Institut für Normung ECE Economic Commission for Europe EEC European Economic Community ELV End of Life Vehicle EOU Export Oriented Unit EPCG Export Promotion Capital Goods Scheme EU European Union FDI Foreign Direct Investment FTA Free Trade Agreement FY Financial Year AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 i
  • 9. ABBREVIATIONS GCC Gulf Co-operation Council GDP Gross Domestic Product GST Goods & Service Tax HP Horse Power I&C Inspection & Certification ICD Internal Container Depot ICRA Indian Credit Rating Agency IIM Indian Institute of Management IPP Industrial Policy & Promotion IIT Indian Institute of Technology iMaCS ICRA Management Consulting Services IPR Intellectual Property Rights ISO International Organisation for Standardization IT Information Technology ITI Industrial Training Institute JIPM Japan Institute of Productivity Management JNPT Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust LCC Low Cost Countries LCV Light Commercial Vehicle M&HCV Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicle MFN Most Favoured Nation mn Millions MNC Multi National Corporation MNRE Ministry of New & Renewable Energy MoHI & PE Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises MUV Multi Utility Vehicle MW Mega Watt NAFTA North American Free Trade Area NAII National Automotive Infotronics Initiative NATRIP National Automotive Testing and R&D Implementation Project NCAER National Council for Applied Economic Research NGO Non-Governmental Organisation NHAI National Highway Authority of India NHDP National Highway Development Project NHEB National Hydrogen Energy Board NID National Institute of Design NMDP National Maritime Development Project NRSB National Road Safety Board OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer PMP Phased Manufacturing Programme PPP Public Private Partnership PTA Preferential Trade Agreement QR Quantitative Restriction R&D Research & Development RSPM Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter RTA Regional Trade Agreement ii AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 10. ABBREVIATIONS SAARC South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation SACU Southern African Customs Union SAFTA South Asia Free Trade Agreement SAP Special Auto component Parks SERC State Electricity Regulatory Commission SEZ Special Economic Zones SIAM Society Of Indian Automobile Manufacturers SIDBI Small Industries Development Bank of India SION Standard Input Output Norms SME Small and Medium Enterprises SPM Suspended Particulate Matter SQC Statistical Quality Control SUB Supplementary Unemployment Benefit Fund SUV Sports Utility Vehicle TA Type Approval TIFAC Technology Information Forecasting & Assessment Council TPM Total Productivity Management TQM Total Quality Management TSC Technical Standing Committee UNECE United Nations Economic Commission for Europe USD US Dollars VAT Value Added Tax WP.29 Working Party 29 WTO World Trade Organisation AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 iii
  • 11.
  • 12. Foreword I ndia is emerging as one of the world’s fastest growing passenger car markets and second largest two wheeler manufacturer. It is home for the largest motor cycle manufacturer and fifth largest commercial vehicle manufacturer. The industry is producing about 13 lakhs passenger vehicles, 4 lakhs commercial vehicles, 76 lakhs two wheelers and about 3 lakhs tractors per annum. The automobile industry has achieved a turn over of US $ 28 billion and the auto component industry has reached a turn over of US $ 10 billion. The Indian tyre industry, which is an integral part of Indian Automotive Industry has registered a turn over of almost US $ 3 billion. In order to further improve the automobiles in the Indian domestic market, to provide world class facilities of automotive testing and certification and to ensure a healthy competition among the manufacturers at a level playing field, our Ministry has undertaken to lay down the road map for future development of the industry in the form of this ‘Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016’. Ministry would like to place on record its appreciation for the work and support of Chairman and members of five working groups for ably identifying the challenges and for making valuable suggestions for intervention which enabled us in finalizing the Mission document. Ministry also acknowledges the valuable contributions made by the members of five Inter-Ministerial Groups and suggestions provided by various Ministries/Departments of the Government of India. The Government is of firm conviction that the aspirations unfolded in the Mission document will be achieved and Indian Automotive industry will attain the strength to meet the competition at world level and fare as a world class industry. The Mission Plan would be a useful blueprint for future to provide the joint vision of the Ministry and the Indian Automotive Industry. (Dr. Ramesh Chandra Panda) Secretary to Government of India Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises New Delhi December, 2006 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 v
  • 13.
  • 15.
  • 16. Preface T he Indian Automotive Industry embarked on a new journey in 1991 with delicensing of the sector and subsequent opening up for 100 per cent FDI through automatic route. Since then almost all the global majors have set up their facilities in India taking the level of production of vehicle from 2 million in 1991 to 9.7 million in 2006. The growth of Indian middle class with increasing purchasing power along with strong growth of economy over a past few years have attracted the major auto manufacturers to Indian market. The market linked exchange rate and availability of trained manpower at competitive cost have further added to the attraction of Indian domestic market. The increasing pull of Indian market on one hand and the near stagnation in auto sector in markets of USA, EU and Japan on the other have worked as a push factor for shifting of new capacities and flow of capital to the auto industry of India. The increasing competition in auto companies has not only resulted in multiple choices for Indian consumers at competitive costs, it has also ensured an improvement in productivity by almost 20 per cent a year in auto industry, which is one of the highest in Indian manufacturing sector. To maintain this high rate of growth and to retain the attractiveness of Indian market and for further enhancing the competitiveness of Indian companies, the Government through the Development Council on Automobile and Allied Industries constituted a Task Force to draw up a ten year Mission Plan for the Indian Automotive Industry. The challenge was to give shape to a futuristic plan of action with full participation of the stakeholders and to implement it in a mission mode to remove the impediments coming in the way of growth of industry. Besides making concerted efforts for removal of obstacles for accelerated growth, the prime need was to put in place required infrastructure well in time to facilitate growth. Through this Automotive Mission Plan 2006-2016, Government also wants to provide a level playing field to all players in the sector and to lay a predictable direction of growth to enable the manufacturers to take more informed investment decision. Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) 2006-2016 was the outcome of a protracted in-depth dialogue with all stakeholders (industry, academia, authorities) over a period of fifteen months. Five Working Groups were constituted with people of eminence from industry, academia and public institutions to map the challenges, set targets and evolve mission mode for implementation of agreed mile stones. They examined policy parameters as well as the configuration of manufacturing AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 ix
  • 17. PREFACE infrastructure of Indian industries and addressed a wide range of issues including upgrading infrastructure of production, induction of technology, labour law reforms and employment related issues, R&D needs, change of fiscal and policy parameters, human resource development, growth of domestic demand and exports and finally, environment and safety concerns. Their findings and recommendations were considered by five IMGs having representatives of all concerned Ministries, Academia and Public Institutions. The final recommendations of the IMGs vetted by respective Ministries were put in the public domain for wider debate and more inclusive recommendations. The final outcome was put before the Development Council of Automobile and Allied Industries, which has unanimously endorsed it. Thus the consensus was arrived at. India is at the threshold for a major take off in the automotive sector. Time bound implementation of Automotive Mission Plan ‘AMP 2006-2016’ together with establishment of world class testing, homologation and certification facilities along with 9 state of art R&D centres under National Automotive Testing & R&D Infrastructure Development Project (NATRIP) will ensure Indian Automotive Industry a distinct edge amongst the newly emerging automotive destinations of the world. (Dr. Surajit Mitra) Joint Secretary to Government of India Ministry of Heavy Industries & Public Enterprises New Delhi December, 2006 x AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 18. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 Executive Summary AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 20. Executive Summary 1. The Indian Automotive Industry after 3. It is a well accepted fact that the de-licensing in July, 1991 has grown at automotive industry is a volume driven a spectacular rate on an average of 17% industry and certain critical mass is a for last few years. The industry has now pre-requisite for attracting the much attained a turnover of Rs. 1,65,000 crores needed investment in Research and (34 billion USD, assuming 1$ = Rs. 46) Development and New Product Design and an investment of Rs. 50,000 crores. and Development. R&D investment Over Rs. 35,000 crores of investment is in is needed for innovations which is the pipeline. The industry is providing direct life-line for achieving and retaining the and indirect employment to 1.31 crore competitiveness in the industry. This people. It is also making a contribution competitiveness in turn depends on the of 17% to the kitty of indirect taxes. The capacity and the speed of the industry export in automotive sector has grown to innovate and upgrade. The most on an average CAGR of 30% per year for important indices of competitiveness are the last five years. The export earnings productivity of both labour and capital. from this sector are 4.08 billion USD out of which the share of auto component 4. The concept of attaining competitiveness sector is 1.8 billion USD during the year on the basis of low cost and abundant 2005-06. labour, favourable exchange rates, low interest rates and concessional duty 2. Even with this rapid growth, the Indian structure is becoming inadequate and Automotive Industry’s contribution in therefore, not sustainable. In light of the global terms is very low. This is evident above, it is felt that a greater emphasis is from the fact that even though passenger required on the development of the factors and commercial vehicles have crossed which can ensure competitiveness on a the production figure of 1.5 million long-term basis. The automotive sector in the year 2005-06, yet India’s share is with its deep backward linkages (such as about 2.37% of world production of metals like steel, aluminum, copper etc., 66.46 million passenger and commercial plastics, paint, glass, electronics, capital vehicles. Indian automotive export equipment, trucking, warehousing constitutes only about 0.3% of global and logistics) and forward linkages automotive trade. including (dealership retails, credit and financing, logistics, advertising, repair AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 xiii
  • 21. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY and maintenance, petroleum products, policies target to encourage growth, gas stations, insurance, service parts) promote domestic competition and has been recognized and identified at stimulate innovation. different fora (Development Council of Automobile and Allied Industries, 6. It is also felt that a general improvement Planning Commission, National in availability of trained manpower Manufacturing Competitiveness Council and good infrastructure is required and Investment Commission etc.) as for sustainable growth of the industry. a sector with a very high potential to Besides, specialized and industry- increase the share of manufacturing specific initiatives can lead to enhanced in GDP, exports and employment. The competitiveness. Keeping in view sector is also seen as a multiplier of the above factors, the Government industrial growth. It helps in attaining has launched a unique initiative of two critical goals of the Common National Automotive Testing and R&D Minimum Programme, that of increasing Infrastructure Project (NATRIP) to manufacturing output and providing provide specialized facilities for Testing, employment. Although indirectly, it also Certification and Homologation to the facilitates the third objective of increasing industry. A similar initiative is required agricultural productivity through for creating specialized institutions in farm mechanization and the needs of automotive sector for education, training agricultural product transportation. and development, market analysis and formulation and dissemination of 5. India with its rapidly growing middle courses. class (450 million in 2007 as per NCAER Report), market oriented stable economy, 7. The issues relating to fiscal incentives for availability of trained manpower at the industry to promote R & D is under competitive cost, fairly well-developed study of Mashelkar Committee and the credit and financing facilities and local issues pertaining to R & D related duty availability of almost all the raw materials structures is being examined by the at a competitive cost has emerged as one Hoda Committee. The concerns of the of the favorite investment destinations industry will be suitably addressed in the for the automotive manufacturers. above fora. These advantages need to be leveraged in a manner to attain the twin objective 8. It has been noticed that the Auto of ensuring availability of best quality Industry has grown in clusters of inter- product at lowest cost to the consumers connected companies which are linked by on the one hand and developing and commonalities and complementarities. assimilating the latest technology in The major clusters are in and around the industry on the other hand. The Manesar in North, Pune in West, Government recognizes its role as a Chennai in South, Jamshedpur-Kolkata catalyst and facilitator to encourage in East and Indore in Central India. the companies to move to higher The Department is envisaging in the level of competitive performance. The Eleventh Five-Year Plan period to Government wants to create a policy create a National Level Specialized environment to help companies gain Education and Training Institute for competitive advantage. The government Automotive Sector and to enhance the xiv AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 22. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY transportation, communication and 9. The Automotive Mission Plan (AMP) export infrastructure facilities through 2006-2016 aims at doubling the concerned Ministries in and around contribution of automotive sector in these clusters. The Government will GDP by taking the turnover to 145 make attempts to streamline the relevant USD in 2016 with special emphasis on Government Institutions and Educational export of small cars, MUVs, two & three and Research Institutions in and around wheelers and auto components. the clusters to meet the growing needs of the automotive sector. t t t t t AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 xv
  • 23.
  • 24. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 Auto Industry: Global Scenario AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 25. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 26. 1 Auto Industry: Global Scenario 1.1 The production of passenger and at 16 million and Japan at 10 million but commercial vehicles has reached a new it has more than doubled in Asia-Pacific record of 66.46 million units in 2005. region from 7.1 million in 1997 to 16 The growth in production has been as million in 2005. follows: 1.3 A bulk of this increase in Asia- Pacific region has come from China where Table: 01 Global vehicle production production has trebled from 15.82 lakh (1997-2005) units in 1997 to 46 lakh in 2005. The second contributor to this growth is Year World Vehicle Percentage India where production has doubled Production increase/ (units in million) decrease (-) going up from 7.72 lakh units in 1997 to 15.76 lakh in 2005. The third contributor 1997 55.87 to this growth is Thailand where it has 1998 53.20 (-) 4.77 increased from 3.60 lakh units in 1997 1999 55.74 4.77 to 8 lakh units in 2005. It is pertinent to note that the global installed capacity in 2000 58.33 4.64 the sector is around 80 million, so still an 2001 56.17 (-) 3.70 idle capacity of about 15 million exists 2002 58.45 4.05 world wide. 2003 60.09 2.80 1.4 The 12 global majors account for 53.02 2004 64.16 6.77 million of vehicles produced in 2005, 2005 66.46 3.58 which is 80% of the total production of Source: OICA Statistics Committee, world ranking 2005 66.46 million. 1.5 Global motorcycle production has 1.2 There has been an addition of 10.59 increased from 30 million units in 2003 million vehicle production since 1997. A to 40 million units in 2005. Asia is the majority of this growth is coming from the major producer of motorcycles in the Asia – Pacific region (excluding Japan). world with 90% share. Within Asia, The production has nearly stagnated in China accounts for 17 million units Western Europe at 17 millions, NAFTA whereas India is at second position with AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 1
  • 27. AUTO INDUSTRY: GLOBAL SCENARIO 7.7 million units in 2005. rapidly growing purchasing power, market linked exchange rate and well 1.6 The industry being highly capital established financial market and stable intensive, has entry barriers for smaller corporate governance framework is players. Even the existing global auto emerging as an attractive destination for majors themselves are realigning their new investments in this sector. production bases coming closer to the scene of action in Asia- Pacific region, 1.8 The rapid improvement in infrastructure mainly in China , India and Thailand. including road, port, power and world Besides the above, the constant pressure class facilities for Testing, Certification for cost reduction on OEMs is compelling and Homologation, coupled with them to outsource more and more availability of trained manpower components from Low Cost Countries. and enabling government policies to The changing scenario has opened up promote fair competition make Indian opportunities for Indian Automotive Automotive Industry more competitive Industry. in world besides making the country a favourable destination for investment by global majors in auto industry. 1.7 India, with its huge domestic market, t t t t t 2 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 28. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 Evolution of Indian Automotive Industry AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 29. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 4 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 30. 2 Evolution of Indian Automotive Industry 2.1 Automobiles Between 1995 and 2000 several international players entered the market. While the genesis of Indian Automotive Advanced technology was introduced Industry can be traced to the 1940s, to meet competitive pressures, and distinct growth decades started in the environmental and safety imperatives. 1970s. Automobile companies started investing in service network to support Between 1970 and 1984 cars were maintenance of on-road vehicles. considered a luxury product; Auto financing started emerging as an manufacturing was licensed, expansion important driver for demand. was restricted; there were quantitative restriction (QR) on imports and a Starting in 2000, several landmark policy tariff structure designed to restrict the changes like removal of quantitative market. The market was dominated by restrictions (QR) and 100 percent six manufacturers - Telco (now Tata FDI through automatic route were Motors), Ashok Leyland, Mahindra & introduced. Indigenously developed Mahindra, Hindustan Motors, Premier (Made in India) Vehicles were introduced Automobiles and Bajaj Auto. in the domestic market and exports were given a thrust. Auto companies started The decade of 1985 to 1995 saw the entry collaboration with financial firms to of Maruti Udyog in the passenger car provide auto financing and insurance segment and Japanese manufacturers services to customers. Manufacturers also in the two wheelers and light introduced systems to improve capacity commercial vehicle segments. Economic utilization and adopted quality and liberalization, started in 1991, led to the environmental management systems. In delicensing of the passenger car segment 2003, Core-group on Automotive R&D in 1993. QR on imports continued. This (C.A.R.) was set up to identify priority decade witnessed the emergence of Hero areas for automotive R&D in India. Honda as a major player in the two wheeler segment and Maruti Udyog as 2.2 Auto Components the market leader in the passenger car segment. In 1953, the Tariff Commission in its report to Government had stressed AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 5
  • 31. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY the need for a balanced and integrated end in 1991, Government introduced development of the Automotive the MOU system that continued to place Industry by promoting the emergence emphasis on the aspect of localization of a strong auto-component sector. As of components. With support from this a result of this recommendation the policy, the component industry developed leading entrepreneurs were invited further capability to manufacture the by Government to establish an auto- new breed of auto-components required component manufacturing industry. for the new generation vehicles. In the pre-1985 era, the auto component As a result of successful localization of sector was a protected market with high these components, Vehicle manufacturers import tariffs. The market was oriented started outsourcing more and more primarily towards supply of components components rather than manufacturing to domestic manufacturers. in-house. Entrepreneurs were encouraged to develop components and set up In the 1980s, encouraged by the facilities. Whenever required, OEMs establishment of many Japanese OEMs supported component manufacturers in the passenger car, two-wheeler and through equity participation, technical LCV industry in the country, a number collaboration, etc. of Indian companies entered into joint ventures with Japanese companies and Currently the Auto component Industry exports also commenced. manufactures a wide range of products in India for both domestic consumption The Phased Manufacturing Programme and exports. The total size of the (PMP) introduced in Indian automotive component industry is close to USD sector in the 1980s for localization had 14 billion out of which USD 9.4 billion laid the foundation for the development is the domestic OEM market, USD 2.6 of auto component industry. This billion is the domestic aftermarket and programme enabled the auto-component USD 2.0 billion are the direct exports of industry to modernize its technology, components. improve quality and to imbibe good manufacturing and shop-floor practices More than 60% of the exports of auto- and to transform itself into a highly components are to Europe and USA. capable sector of the industry, while at More than 70% of the exports go to the the same time contribute to localizing the OEMs and Tier I suppliers and only 30% component base. In 1990s global OEMs to the global aftermarket, indicating the and Tier 1 suppliers started operations high level of maturity in quality and in India. This paved the way for a large technology that has been achieved by the number of new Joint Ventures in the component industry. component industry with European and American component manufacturers Currently the Auto component Industry and gave the Indian component industry manufactures a wide range of products an all-round expertise to manufacture in India for both domestic consumption components for applications in Japanese, and exports. European as well as American vehicles. After the PMP programme came to an 6 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 32. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY 2.3 Size of the Indian 2.3.4 The Utility Vehicles had reached a Automotive Industry production of 1,82,000 units in 2004- 05 and has gone upto 1,96,000 units in 2.3.1 The Indian Automobile Industry 2005-06. The tractors production has produced 8.5 million vehicles in 2004- reached a figure of 293,000 in 2006. 05 amounting to around USD 25 billion. During the financial year 2005-06, Indian 2.3.5 Two wheelers sales have grown at 11% Automobile Industry produced more CAGR during the last decade. Over the than 9.7 million vehicles amounting to years, while the sales of motorcycles almost USD 28 billion. The growth in have increased, sales of scooters and production was 15%. India is the second moped have stagnated. With 5.82 largest market for two wheelers in the million units sold in 2005-2006 (out of world. However, in value terms, the value 7 million two wheelers), motorcycles of the market for passenger cars and CVs have replaced scooters as the preferred is higher than the market size for two mode of transport with higher load wheelers. bearing capacity (essential feature for rural areas), better fuel efficiency, better 2.3.2 Sales of passenger cars and utility vehicles aesthetics thus resulting in a change in have grown at 12% CAGR over the last consumer preference/ behaviour. Last decade. However, in 2005-06 the growth year for the first time two wheeler sales rate for the passenger car segment was crossed 7 million units registering a lower than 8%. Sales of passenger cars growth of around 14%. Also, exports post 2000 have been driven by increase of two wheelers crossed half a million in the number of available models, registering a growth rate of 40%. purchasing power, especially of the middle class, easy availability of car 2.3.6 Three wheelers have also exhibited strong finance, favourable government policies growth with a CAGR of 9%. Sale of three and growth of used car market. Further wheelers has grown from 145,000 units reduction in cost of ownership would in 1995 -1996 to over 360,000 in 2005- fuel demand for passenger vehicles. 06. Last year growth in three wheeler sales was around 17%. 2.3.3 Commercial vehicles sales have grown at a 4.4% CAGR over the last decade 2.3.7 Today, the Indian auto component sector and the segment has also demonstrated has over 500 organised players and about cyclical trends. In 2005-06, however, 5000 unorganised sector players. The growth was over 10% in domestic sales 500 players of organised sector reached and production. Exports have also a turnover of over USD 14 billion in picked up – registering a growth of 2005-06. Demand from OEMs account 36% over the last year. Growth in the for 67% of sales, replacement market commercial vehicle sector is dependent accounts for 19%, while exports account on the general economic trend, for over 14% at about USD 2.0 billion. development of infrastructure projects, This is exclusive of tyres, batteries and transport economics and availability of imported components. freight, replacement period of vehicles, easy availability of credit and favourable 2.3.8 Automotive retail trade and service government policies. currently comprising of a network AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 7
  • 33. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY of 6500 automobile dealers and their by rapid urbanization and resultant rise service stations form an essential part of in demand from semi-urban and rural the automotive business. This segment areas, increasing income levels, wider has investment of over Rs. 22,000 crore, product range available to customers, provides direct employment to about and easy finance options. 4,00,000 people and contributes around Rs, 25,000 crore by way of VAT, CST, 2.4.4 The growth in tractor industry is linked service tax, road tax and other levies to with the growth in agricultural output central and state exchequers. It also has and exports to neighboring countries. significant spin off on insurance, auto finance and oil sector. 2.4.5 Auto component industry growth is directly linked to the growth of 2.4 Growth Drivers automobile industry since more than 65% sales is to the OEMs. However, in 2.4.1 Rising per capita Income and the recent years, component exports are changing demographic distribution becoming an important growth driver are conducive for growth. India has the and it is expected to assume greater highest proportion of population below importance in future. 35 years, 70%, (potential buyers), which means that 130 million people will get 2.5 Export Trends added to the working population between 2003 and 2009. The trends indicate that Compared to domestic sales, vehicle small and medium cars would remain exports have grown at the rate of 39% dominant and a shift towards high end CAGR over the last five years, led by cars is expected at a faster rate. The SUV exports of passenger cars at 57% and market is expected to develop rapidly two wheeler exports at 35%. Last year in future. Higher disposable incomes however, overall exports registered a coupled with availability of easy finance growth of around 28%. In value terms options have driven the Passenger vehicle exports crossed USD 2 billion. The key segment. destinations are the SAARC countries, European Union (Germany, UK, 2.4.2 In the commercial vehicle segment, Belgium, the Netherlands and Italy), increased investment in road Middle East and North America. Maruti infrastructure and availability of cheaper Udyog, Tata Motors and Hyundai Motor finance has led to a growth in multi-axle India are key exporters for passenger vehicles. This is expected to be followed cars; Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata by a shift to tractor-trailer combinations Motors for light commercial vehicles, on account of operating economics of medium and heavy commercial vehicles, higher power-to-weight ratio vehicles. Mahindra & Mahindra for MUVs, Bajaj Growth in the demand for pick-up trucks Auto for two and three wheelers and has coincided with the growth in multi- Mahindra & Mahindra and TAFE for axle vehicles. The next growth driver for tractors. A 3% growth in global demand LCVs is expected to be the introduction is anticipated over the next five years and of lighter pick-ups. it will be led by Asia (mainly by China, India and ASEAN). Also global auto 2.4.3 The two wheeler segment growth is led companies are increasingly sourcing 8 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 34. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY Figure 01: What does the output mean in term of investments? Fixed asset turnover Four-Wheelers : 1.5-2 (1) $ 35-40 billion (1) (Rs. 160,000 - 180,000 Auto-components : 1.1-2.4 Implies (3) crores) incremental investments by 2015 India transportation sector : 0.86 (2) Note: (1) Sales/Gross Block for FY 2002 - Source: IMaCS analysis (2) ASI - 2002 (3) Assuming a fixed asset turnover of about 2 - 2.25 Source: SIAM & ACMA components and vehicles from low cost emissions and crash standards. countries. The outsourcing pie is slowly extending to services like engineering 2.6.2 It is expected that the world production design and other business processes. of Auto-Components would reach USD India is well positioned to take advantage 1.7 Trillion by 2015. About USD 700 of the outsourcing opportunities. billion worth of auto-components shall be sourced out from low cost countries 2.6 Growth potential of Indian (LCCs) by 2016. If India targets to get Automotive Industry a 10% share of this potential, it would mean USD 70 billion, nearly five times 2.6.1 Automotive Industry offers huge growth current total size of the industry in India. potential in terms of sales volume However, this Mission Document has (including exports) and also immense set a modest target of USD 25 billion by employment opportunities. The likely 2016 for export of auto components. future volumes of different vehicle categories were estimated on the basis of 2.6.3 The projected size in 2016 of the Indian projections made by iMaCS, NCAER and automotive industry varies between AT Kearney. Value of projected domestic USD 122 billion and USD 159 billion output was computed based on historical including USD 35 billion exports. This average vehicle prices. Export potential translates into a contribution of 10-11% was estimated on the basis of current to India’s GDP by 2016, that is, double trends and possible opportunities in the current contribution. This would major export destinations. Demand for mean a domestic vehicle market of USD after-market auto components and export 82 billion to USD 119 billion by 2016, output was also included in computing USD 12 billion exports of vehicles and growth potential of the industry. The tractors, USD 20-25 billion component unit value of different vehicle categories exports and more than USD 5 billion in 2016 have been estimated keeping after market of components. Another in view the need for compliance with USD 2 – 2.5 billion in engineering AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 9
  • 35. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY services outsourcing opportunity is will not only be an opportunity, but expected to develop. The total size of getting adequately trained personnel will the auto component industry in India is become a major challenge. expected to become USD 40-45 billion by 2016. This calls for a major focus and 2.7 Areas to Focus policy initiative to market India as an attractive “Manufacturing Destination”. The future challenge for Indian automobile industry would be to develop 2.6.4 The output estimated would require a supply base with emphasis on lower incremental investment of USD 35-40 costs and economies of scale, develop billion (Rs 160,000 -180,000 crores) by technical and human capabilities, 2016 as indicated in Figure 01. overcome infrastructural bottlenecks, stimulate domestic demand and exploit 2.6.5 The automotive industry also promises export and international business significant employment opportunities. opportunities. The key to success is to Large number of workers, both skilled achieve the critical mass that would and unskilled, will be required to sustain make India competitive and profitable increased level of production. A large part for sustained investments. Keeping of the employment would also be indirect, these in view, the identified challenges for sales, finance, insurance, mechanics and interventions are in the areas of and other after-sales personnel for both competitiveness in manufacturing and semi-skilled and unskilled workers in flow of technology; demand, brand rural and semi-urban areas. While direct building and infrastructure; export and employment is by way of workers engaged international business; environmental in the production of automobiles and and safety standards, and human auto components, indirect employment is resources development. A key deficiency generated in feeder and supplier industries that needs to be addressed for attaining to the automotive industry, such as the the vision is to improve competitiveness vehicle financing and insurance industry, in manufacturing. Systemic deficiencies vehicle repair, service and maintenance could be overcome through a long-term outfits, automobile and auto component and stable policy regime that will support dealers and retailers, vehicle drivers, tyre the industry to fulfill its potential. industry, amongst others. It is estimated that, on a conservative basis, 5.3, 13.3, 2.8 Competitiveness in 0.5 and 3.9 units of direct and indirect manufacturing employment are generated per unit of car, CV, 2-wheeler and 3-wheeler produced 2.8.1 The share of manufacturing sector respectively. This translates into an (within the Industry sector) has shown additional employment generation of 25 only a marginal improvement from million by the automobile industry by 16.6% in 1991 to 17% of Indian GDP 2016. 2003. In comparison, in some East Asian economies the share of manufacturing 2.6.6 Specialists in the areas of R&D, has ranged from 25% to 35% of their technology, product development, GDP. It is known that stagnation of logistics and operations would also be manufacturing as a proportion of GDP required. Availability of such requirements has adverse impact on employment 10 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 36. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY generation. Therefore it is imperative (ii) Higher incidence of indirect taxes to boost manufacturing given the huge (iii) Sub-optimal levels of operations anticipated increase in the workforce (iv) Lower operational efficiencies and over the next 15 years. Higher transaction costs (v) Lower labour productivity and 2.8.2 As observed by the National Higher cost of capital Manufacturing Competitiveness (vi) Inadequate infrastructure Council in its national manufacturing strategy, the challenges faced by Indian 2.8.5 In a survey of corporates, the following manufacturers raise important questions factors were ranked on the basis of the for both Industry and Government “.... responses: this calls for ‘breakthrough’ and bold thinking on the part of all stakeholders. (i) Flexibility in labour laws Only bold aspirations can enable India (ii) Scale of operations benefit from emerging opportunities in (iii) Cost of capital the manufacturing sector”. (iv) Cost, availability and quality of raw materials 2.8.3 In a Global Competitiveness Survey of (v) Technology gap with international 104 countries India ranked only 55th. In levels terms of macroeconomic environment, (vi) Power costs public institutions and technology, India (vii) Cost of compliance to government ranked 52, 53 and 63 respectively. On regulations location attractiveness for manufacturing, (viii) Quality of transport infrastructure India ranked 43 while other regional countries like China, Singapore and Hong 2.8.6 The key factors that contribute to Kong ranked 39, 11 and 6 respectively. competitiveness of a country or a The productivity in automotive industry location can be summarized as shown in in India is substantially higher than the Figure 02. other sectors and it has a huge potential for further improvement, which in turn The availability of low cost quality will pull up the competitiveness of entire manpower and presence of a sizeable manufacturing sector. Hence it becomes auto industry, availability of raw material, imperative to identify factors that make and stable economy contribute to India’s manufacturing in India un-competitive strengths. and address these and improve our competitiveness. 2.8.7 But manufacturing in India suffers from disadvantages as was stated earlier. 2.8.4 The National Manufacturing As a result, auto sector in India is less Competitiveness Commission’s National competitive as compared to competing Manufacturing Strategy lists the following countries like China and Thailand. factors impacting manufacturing competitiveness: 2.8.8 In a study commissioned by SIAM, ICRA Advisory Services evaluated the (i) Higher import duties including Indian and Chinese economies from an inverted duty structure on raw automotive manufacturing perspective. materials The following policy initiatives from AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 11
  • 37. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY Figure 02: Key factors Labour Productivity cost Efficiency factor Labour Flexibility Capital efficiency / other production factors Quality Manpower Resource Availability Infrastructure Raw Materials Economic Policies & Stability Ability to attract Investment Incentives Domestic / Exports Proximity to Markets Auto clusters Source: IMaCS Limited Study for SIAM & ACMA the Chinese Government have been or business but work time to be identified as driving its manufacturing prolonged should not exceed 36 and investment leading to stupendous hours a month. growth: (xi) Low interest rates (xii) Availability of reliable and quality (i) Creating world class physical power; no need to invest in DG infrastructure – road networks, sets ports, railways and airports (xiii) Large capacity additions annually (ii) Government responsiveness to that keep pace with growth business needs (administration that (xiv) Requirement of minimum facilitates business) investment in industry and R&D. (iii) Reduction and simplification of direct and indirect taxes 2.8.9 A cost comparison study between Indian (iv) Lowered rate of income tax and Chinese automotive manufacturing (v) 17% uniform VAT, ensuring no companies to identify factors and cascading taxes or duties their magnitude that impact auto (vi) Ensuring no location based tax manufacturing in India vis-à-vis auto exemptions and barriers to inter- manufacturing in China reveals that the state movement of goods cost of manufacture of a passenger vehicle (vii) Creating flexible and investor in China is 23% lower than in India with friendly labour laws the principal difference owing to higher (viii) Companies can retrench labour taxes and their cascading impact in India. and pay productivity-based wages Higher labour productivity and lower (ix) No trade unions in SEZs infrastructural costs makes China more (x) Employers can prolong work competitive. The study also revealed that hours due to needs of production since design and engineering capabilities 12 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 38. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY in India have not been as strong there 2.10 Demand creation, brand building would be a disadvantage of 30% higher and infrastructure costs for products manufactured in India. While some of the above issues like scale 2.10.1 In order to raise the contribution of of operations and labour productivity automotive industry to GDP from 5.2% are industry or company related, others to 10%, there has to be a focus both on are identified for improvement and the domestic market as well as exports. strengthening by the Government. Domestically the focus should be on developing and selling appropriate 2.9 Prescriptions for Industry in the products for the large population of the National Manufacturing strategy country. These products could include cost effective small carriers, strong, 2.9.1 The National Manufacturing Strategy rugged, low cost vehicle for the rural has indicated that Industry would not market, USD 300-350 motorbikes and only need to think big in terms of scale small, safe four wheelers for family but also need to: transport. For exports, the focus should be on new geographies for growth (i) Invest in R&D and technology beyond traditional markets. (ii) Have a continuing commitment for skills development and education 2.10.2 India’s GDP is expected to grow from (iii) Benchmark their performance USD 650 billion to USD 950 billion in against best in the industry 2010 and USD 1390 billion in 2016. (iv) Adopt best manufacturing practices Automotive industry’s contribution in and production techniques these years is expected to rise from USD 34 (v) Deliver on globally acceptable quality billion to USD 69 billion and to USD 145 levels billion respectively. These translate into a contribution to GDP to grow from the 2.9.2 In light of the above scenario and goal current 5.2% to 7.2% and 10.4% in 2010 of making India a hub for small cars, and 2015. Secondly, the challenge lies in MUVs, two & three wheelers, tractors and developing appropriate infrastructure to components, it becomes essential to focus sustain this growth. Also, important would on the automotive sector and develop a be to establish brand image not only in policy specific to the sector which addresses the domestic market but internationally all the constraints. Investment in R&D for also. An appropriate policy for attracting technology development will become one investment would ensure realization of of the most important aspects of future the potential. Government is aiming strength of this industry. Given India’s for creating suitable stable, predictable, strength in having the skill sets required and sustainable policy environment and to promote technological development, partnering with industry to look beyond the industry needs to invest in research borders. and development to increase innovative breakthroughs for vehicle design as well 2.11 International Business (Exports) as in manufacturing technology and incentivisation of such investments will be Export opportunities for four wheelers needed on the part of the Government. would lie primarily in the small car segment as Indian companies have gained AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 13
  • 39. EVOLUTION OF INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY expertise in manufacturing vehicles in this be developed as the current roadmap segment and enjoy an advantage over other is only up to 2010. Alternative fuels low cost countries. India should capitalize like Hydrogen and bio fuels need to be on this expertise and target becoming a promoted to ensure sustainability of the manufacturing hub for A/B class vehicles. industry over the long term. This is already being leveraged by OEMs like Hyundai with Santro, Suzuki with 2.13 Human Resource Development Maruti 800/Alto and Tata Motors with Indica. The exports in respect of Multi 2.13.1 Employment is always a major factor Utility Vehicles, Three wheelers and Two when measuring the significance of wheeler are expected to become substantial any economic activity. The automotive in the coming years. Export of other industry, on account of its backward and vehicle categories will be largely driven forward linkages, is a significant generator by strategies of individual companies. of employment - both direct and indirect. Incentivising the exports, encouraging While direct employment is by way development of domestic competitiveness, of workers engaged in the production establishing ‘Made-in-India’ brand are of automobiles and auto components, some of the initiatives required to promote indirect employment is generated in feeder International business. and supplier industries to the automotive industry, such as the vehicle financing and 2.12 Environment and Safety insurance industry, vehicle repair, service Regulations and maintenance outfits, automobile and auto component dealers and retailers, Emission norms came into force with vehicle drivers and cleaners, tyre industry, the Idle Emission Norms in 1984. Mass amongst others. Thus steps are needed to Emission Norms were introduced in ensure that demand – supply gap, both 1991 for petrol vehicles and in 1992 quantitative and qualitative, in terms of for diesel vehicles. These norms have human resources, does not arise. been progressively made stringent and India has followed the European 2.13.2 The need of engineering and managerial emission standards and test procedures. manpower is being met by IIT and IIM. Environment concerns led to India The setting up of a specialized institute for narrowing the gap with Euro norms at a industry will add to the competitiveness rapid pace and currently BS-II or Euro II of the Industry. The institute, besides equivalent norms are in force throughout developing as a repository of knowledge the country and BS-III or Euro-III norms in the field, will also take up market in eleven cities. Two Wheelers which play research and analysis within and outside the unique role of family vehicles in India the country. It will also develop training comply with stringent emission norms modules and will disseminate them while at the same time satisfactorily through ITIs and ATIs. The Investment meeting the Indian customer demand Commission has also identified this for fuel efficiency. Idle emission norms input as requirement for the industry. applicable to in-use vehicles have also been The adoption of existing training tightened. The need is for an appropriate institutes by OEMs and setting up of in-use vehicle management policy. Also, new training institutes by them will be a long term emission roadmap needs to promoted. 14 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 40. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 Indian Automotive Industry: An overview AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 41. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 16 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 42. 3 Indian Automotive Industry: An overview 3.1 Automotive Industry, globally, as well industry, especially over a period of time, in India, is one of the key sectors of and particularly after liberalization, has the economy. Due to its deep forward installed a robust capacity. The installed and backward linkages with several key capacity in different segments of segments of the economy, automotive automobile industry is given in Table 02. industry has a strong multiplier effect and acts as one of the key drivers of economic 3.3 The production of all categories of growth. The well-developed Indian vehicles has grown at a rate of 16% per automotive industry produces a wide annum over the last five years. The last variety of vehicles: passenger cars, light, 5 years production figures are given in medium and heavy commercial vehicles, Table 03. multi-utility vehicles such as jeeps, scooters, motor-cycles, mopeds, three 3.4 Export of Vehicles: Indian automotive wheelers, tractors and other agricultural industry is now finding increasing equipment etc. The sector has high recognition worldwide. While a potential for providing employment. beginning has been made in export of This will increase the present level of vehicles, the potential in this area still employment in manufacturing sector remains to be fully tapped. Significantly, which presently is quite low at 12% as during the last two years the export in this compared to the countries like Malaysia sector has grown specifically in export of (50%); Korea (62%) and China (31%). cars and two / three wheelers. The table 04 indicates the performance during last 3.2 Installed capacity: The automobile six years. Table 02 Installed Capacity in Different The automobile exports crossed USD Segments in nos. 1 billion mark in 2003-04 and reached USD 2.28 billion in 2005-06. S.No. Segment Installed Capacity 3.5 Indian auto component industry is quite 1. Four Wheelers 1,590,000 robust with around 500 firms in the 2. Two & Three Wheelers 7,950,000 organised sector producing practically all parts and more than 10,000 firms in Grand Total 9,540,000 small unorganised sector, in tierized AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 17
  • 43. INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW Table 03 Automobile Production (in nos.) Category 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Passenger Cars 564,052 608,851 842,437 960,505 1,045,881 Multi Utility Vehicles 105,667 114,479 146,103 249,149 263,032 Commercial Vehicles 162,508 203,697 275,224 350,033 391,078 Two Wheelers 4,271,327 5,076,221 5,624,950 6526,547 7600,801 Three Wheelers 212,748 276,719 340,729 374,414 434,424 Total 5,316,302 6,279,967 7,229,443 8,460,648 9,735,216 Percentage growth 11.70 18.60 15.12 16.80 15.06 Source: SIAM format. The auto component sector completely Indian made vehicles like has been one of the fastest growing the Tata Indica, Tata Indigo, Mahindra segments of auto industry. The Industry Scorpio, Bajaj Pulsar, TVS Victor and also sustained a high growth rate TVS star. The component industry has and could achieve growth of 20% in now holistic capability to manufacture 2001-02, 18.20% in 2002-03, 19.92% the entire range of auto-components e.g. in 2003-04, 25.65% in 2004-05 and Engine parts, Drive, Transmission Parts, 18.08% in 2005-06. The industry, over Suspension & Braking Parts, Electricals, the years, developed the capability of Body and Chassis Parts, Equipment etc. manufacturing all components required The component-wise share of production, to manufacture vehicles, which is evident is Engine parts-31%, Drive and from the high levels of indigenisation Transmission Parts-19%, Suspension & achieved in the vehicle industry as well Braking Parts-12%, Electricals-9%, Body as the components developed for the and Chassis Parts-12%, Equipment-10%. Table 04 Automobile Export (in nos.) Category 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Passenger Cars 22,990 50,088 70,828 126,249 160,677 170,193 Multi Utility Vehicles 4,122 3,077 1,177 3,067 5,736 5,579 Commercial Vehicles 13,770 11,870 12,255 17,227 29,949 40,581 Two Wheelers 111,138 104,183 179,682 264,669 366,724 513,256 Three Wheelers 16,263 15,462 43,366 68,138 66,801 76,885 Total 168,283 184,680 307,308 479,350 629,887 806,494 Percentage growth 09.74 66.40 55.98 31.40 28.03 Source: SIAM 18 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 44. INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW 3.6 Over the last few years the Indian Auto 30% was to the aftermarket. This signifies Component Industry has created a that the Indian component industry has robust capacity base and all of the world’s now reached a high degree of maturity major manufacturers have set up their in terms of quality and productivity and manufacturing units in the country. has also developed capabilities in the The high quality of the components area of design and engineering, which produced by the component industry in are critical requirements for being a part the country is recognized by the fact that, of the global supply chain. out of the 498 ACMA members, 9 are Deming Prize winners, 4 are JIPM award 3.9 Indian auto component manufacturing, winners and 1 is Japan Quality Medal currently constrained by lack of large winner. capacities, is slowly but steadily working on expanding capacities and automation 3.7 Growth Trends: The turnover of auto levels. As the users increasingly become component sector has grown from a discerning in their buying behavior, level of USD 3.1 billion in 1997-98 to new model introduction by the auto USD 9.8 billion in 2003-04. Low labor manufacturers has become the trend. costs, availability of skilled labor and Greater variety in vehicle is offering high quality consciousness among challenges to the manufacturing Indian vendors have spurred the growth capabilities and economies of scale of auto component exports from India. of component suppliers. Hence the During 2003-2004, the exports of auto- component industry is constantly components crossed the magic figure looking at maintaining lean and of USD 1 billion after having recorded efficient manufacturing systems. Having a healthy growth of 25%. During the established themselves in the domestic year 2004-2005, the exports grew by market, tapping opportunities abroad 40% thereby taking the direct exports of was a natural step for the auto component components to a level of USD 1.4 billion. manufacturers in their growth path. In the year 2005-06 exports grew by 28% The Indian auto component industry and reached the level of USD 1.8 billion. is targeting a bigger share of the export It is pertinent to mention here that this market and is in the process of ramping figure is still very low against the volume up its manufacturing capabilities to meet of world trade of 185 billion USD in auto the capacity and quality requirements. components. During 2004, the auto component industry increased its investment by 3.8 More than 60% of the exports of auto- 17% while the automation processes in components go to USA and Europe, which this industry registered a growth of over constitute high AQL (Accepted Quality 40%. Level) countries. Moreover, over the last 5 years, the structure of the customer base 3.10 The Indian Tractor Industry: India is one in the global markets has also undergone of the largest manufacturers of tractors in a major change. In the 1990s more than the world. The tractor industry reached 80% of the exports were made to the a production of 2,48,000 units in 2004- international aftermarket. In 2005, more 05 and increased up to 2,93,000 units in than 70% of the exports to the global 2005-06. The government focus on the OEMs and Tier 1 companies and only agricultural economy, with increased AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 19
  • 45. INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW rural lending ensuring availability of car growth in the domestic market is cheap finance, led to this growth. The on the verge of a major and sustained exports stood at 20,000 units in 2004-05 boom. It is expected that the passenger and 28,000 in 2005-06. Indian market is car market which was 1 million in 2003- dominated by 31-40 HP tractors followed 2004 can easily cross the 3 million mark by 41-50 HP. The tractor industry has 14 by 2015. This can lead to an increase in players, including three MNCs, and is the size of the domestic auto-component led by Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. The market from the current level of USD industry is growing at the rate of 5% to 9.8 billion (2005-06) to at least USD 15 6% a year. The demand for tractors is billion by 2015. likely to be driven by thrust on increase in area under irrigation, increased rural 3.12.2 Need for innovation: The competitiveness connectivity, and enhanced farm credit in the sector will largely depend on the facilities. capacity of the industries to innovate and upgrade. The industry will also benefit if 3.11 The Indian Tyre Industry: India is one of it has strong domestic competition, home the few countries which has attained self- based suppliers and demanding local sufficiency in tyre production barring customers. There is no denying the fact the production of few special types of that the factors like labour cost, duties, vehicles tyres, air-craft tyres, and snow interest rate and economies of scale are tyres. India has constantly been exporting the most important determinants of tyres to almost 65 countries. The total competitiveness. But productivity is the installed capacity is 850 lakh units against prime determinant of the competitiveness which 650 lakh units were produced in and also impacts the national per the year 2005-06 of which 620 lakh units capita income. The globally successful were consumed domestically. In tonnage OEMs and auto makers will ultimately terms the production in the year 2005-06 make their base in places which are was 11.17 lakh metric. tons. The industry high on productivity factor and where is expected to grow at an average rate of essential competitive advantages of the 7% per annum during Eleventh Five- enterprise can be created and sustained. Year Plan period. The total turnover of It would also involve core products the tyre industry is Rs. 13,500 crores out and process technology creation apart of which tyres worth Rs. 2300 cores were from maintaining productive human exported in the year 2005-06. resource and reward for advanced skills. The OEMs also look for the policies of 3.12 Major Challenges: the state which stimulates innovations in new technologies. 3.12.1 Sustaining the growth rate: There is a potential for much higher growth in the 3.12.3 Enhancement of share of auto domestic market due to the fact that the component in global trade: The global current car penetration level in India is auto component industry is estimated to just 7 cars per thousand persons. The be USD 1.2 trillion in value and is likely increase in purchasing power at the top to increase to USD 1.7 trillion by 2015. echelon of about 300 million people in Sourcing from low cost countries is likely the country, where the per capita income to increase from USD 65 billion in 2002 is over USD 1000, implies that passenger to USD 375 billion by 2015. Although 20 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 46. INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW India’s exports are still small (USD 1.8 some of the objectives like imposition Billion in 2005-06), it has opportunity of excise duty on body building to leverage this trend by expanding its activity of Commercial Vehicles, supply base to build dominant position lower excise duty on the small amongst auto component low cost cars, extension of 150% weighted countries by 2015. A position in the deduction on R&D expenditure to top two would enable India to achieve the automotive sector, increased export of USD 20-25 billion by 2015. budgetary allocation for R&D This would increase India’s share of activities in the sector and moving world auto component trade from 0.9 towards a lower duty regime have percent in 2005-06 (Provisional) to 2.0- been achieved and steps are being 2.5 percent by 2015, inclusive of domestic taken to further strengthen the consumption. Such a high growth in capability of the sector. the Auto component Sector is expected to lead to an additional 750,000 direct (iii) NationalAutomotiveTestingandR&D jobs in tiny sector alongwith indirect Infrastructure Project (NATRIP): employment of 1.8 million people over The most critical intervention of the next 10 years. In addition to creating the Government thus far in the incremental employment of about 2.5 automotive sector has come in the million people in direct and indirect form of an ambitious project on jobs, it is also expected to result in an setting up world-class automotive incremental revenue of USD 3.8 billion testing and R&D infrastructure to the exchequer. Investments in this in the country to deepen sector would also grow by USD 15 manufacturing, encourage localized billion from the current level of USD 3.1 R&D, boost exports, converge billion. India’s unparalleled strengths in IT and electronics with automotive 3.13 Recent initiatives of the Government engineering sectors to firmly place India in USD six trillion global 3.13.1 In order to give a boost to the growth in automotive business. NATRIP aims this sector, the Government has taken at facilitating introduction of world- several initiatives. Some of them are as class automotive safety, emission and under. performance standards in India and also to ensure seamless integration (i) The Finance Bill 2006 has given a of Indian automotive industry with further boost to the Automotive the global industry. The project Industry by reduction of the excise aims at addressing one of the most duty on the small motor vehicles, critical handicaps in the overall the reduction in the duty for raw growth of automotive industry material which is now between 5 to today, i.e. major shortfall of testing 7.5% as compared to the previous and pre-competitive common R&D level of 10%, and the thrust on infrastructure. National Automotive infrastructure development. Testing and R&D Infrastructure Project envisages setting up of the (ii) As a result of constant persuasion by following facilities:- the Department of Heavy Industry, AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 21
  • 47. INDIAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY: AN OVERVIEW (a) A full-fledged testing, certification (d) World-class proving grounds or and homologation centre within the testing tracks on around 4,000 acres northern hub of automotive industry of land at Pithampur in Madhya at Manesar in the State of Haryana; Pradesh; (b) A full-fledged testing, certification (e) National Centre for Testing of Tractors and homologation centre within the and Off-Road Vehicles together with southern hub of automotive industry national facility for accident data at a location near Chennai in the State analysis and specialized driving of Tamil Nadu; training at Rae Bareilly in the State of Uttar Pradesh; and (c) Up-gradation of existing testing, certification and homologation (f) National Specialized Hill Area Driving facilities at Automotive Research Training Centre as also Regional In- Association of India (ARAI), Pune and Use vehicle management Centre at at Vehicle Research and Development Dholchora (Silchar) in the State of Establishment (VRDE), Ahmednagar; Assam. t t t t t 22 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 48. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 The Automotive Mission Plan AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 49. AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 24 AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016
  • 50. 4 The Automotive Mission Plan 4.1 The necessity of this Mission Plan impact on the stakeholders? arises in the background of a newfound strength and resurgence in the Indian (iii) How do we attain the vision? What manufacturing sector. For most of the policy interventions will facilitate decade of the 1990s, post economic the attainment of this potential? deregulation in 1991, growth in the Indian economy has been led by growth 4.3 Vision for the Future: The opportunity in the service sector, a growth that landscape for the Indian auto industry has overshadowed the growth in the would encompass manufacture of manufacturing sector. In the past few vehicles and components for domestic years, several industries in the Indian sales, manufacture for exports (both manufacturing sector have become vehicles and components), and export internationally competitive and have of services in areas such as design, acquired a new energy to grow. Several engineering, and back office operations. industries, including the automotive It is estimated that the total turnover of industry, genuinely believe that they can the automotive industry in India would become world-beaters. be in the order of USD 122-159 billion in 2016 (a substantial increase from the size 4.2 In developing a Mission Plan for of USD 34 billion in 2006). India’s automotive sector, answer to the following questions has been sought: 4.4 It is expected that in real terms, India would continue to enjoy its eminent (i) Where is automotive sector in India position of being the largest tractor today? What linkages does the and three wheeler manufacturers in the automotive sector have with other world and the world’s second largest two facets of the India’s economy? wheeler manufacturer. By 2016, India would emerge as the world’s seventh (ii) What do we want the automotive largest car producer (as compared to the sector of India to look like in 2016? In eleventh largest currently) and retain other words, what is the potential of 4th largest position in world truck the automotive sector to grow along manufacturing sector. Further, by 2016, all segments of its value chain, and the automotive sector would double its what can be the maximum positive contribution to the country’s GDP from AUTOMOTIVE MISSION PLAN 2006-2016 25