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Center for Immigration Studies
Backgrounder February 2006
Two Sides of the Same Coin
The Connection Between Legal and Illegal Immigration
By James R. Edwards, Jr.
James R. Edwards, Jr., Ph.D., is an adjunct fellow with the Hudson Institute, co-author of The Congressional Politics of Immi-
gration Reform, and contributor to several published volumes concerning immigration issues. His writings have appeared in The
New York Times, The Washington Times, Human Events, and other publications.
A
re massive legal immigration and massive illegal immigration related? If so, how? Many in policy circles
hold a view of “legal immigration, good; illegal immigration, bad.”1
The logical extensions of such a sim-
plistic perspective are to assume that the overall level of legal immigration does not matter and to underes-
timate any correlation to illegal immigration. But the facts show a distinct connection exists.
	 In brief, this report finds:
•	 Legal and illegal immigration are inextricably related. As legal immigration levels have risen markedly since
1965, illegal immigration has increased with it.
•	 The share of the foreign-born population who are illegal aliens has risen steadily. Illegal aliens made up 21
percent of the foreign-born in 1980, 25 percent in 2000, and 28 percent in 2005.
•	 Mexico is the primary source country of both legal and illegal immigrants. Mexico accounted for about 30
percent of the foreign-born in 2000, and more than half of Mexicans residing in the United States in 2000
were illegal aliens.
•	 The level of illegal immigration is severely masked by several amnesties that legalized millions of unlawfully
resident aliens. The largest amnesty was the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act, which legalized 3
million aliens.
•	 Amnestied aliens to date have been fully eligible to sponsor additional immigrants. This has contributed to
the ranks of immigrants, both legal and illegal (and often both).
•	 Many aliens who receive a permanent resident visa each year have spent years living in the United States
illegally.
•	 “Anchor babies” and “chain migration” provide opportunities for many aliens to plant roots in the United
States. Those aliens might not otherwise have done so.
•	 An overly generous legal immigration preference system, whose bias is toward relatives and against ability, sets
unrealistic expectations. Many aliens who technically qualify to immigrate face the reality of backlogs and
waiting lists.
•	 Amnesties, technical qualification for a visa, chain migration, and vast opportunities to come to the United
States (particularly via tourist visa, the most abused visa by eventual immigrants, according to the New Im-
migrant Survey) all foster an “entitlement mentality” among many foreigners.
Center for Immigration Studies
	 This report examines the links between legal and
illegal immigration. First, it sets the historical context of
American immigration. It considers the data on legal
immigration, illegal immigration, including countries
of origin, and the ways present immigration policy and
processes enable and encourage lawbreaking. Finally,
policy recommendations are offered.
Immigration in American History
It has been said that legal and illegal immigration are two
sides of the same coin. That is, when legal immigration
levels have been high, illegal immigration levels have also
tended to be high. Similarly, when legal immigration is
lower, there is less illegal immigration.
What could explain this phenomenon? A short
review of American immigration history gives much-
needed perspective. Immigration to the United States
has ebbed and flowed. In general, from 1776 to 1965,
this “nation of immigrants” averaged 230,000 immi-
grants per year.2
By the 1990s, immigration averaged
about a million each year, plus illegal immigrants.
Historical Immigration Levels
Table 1 shows average immigration levels from the co-
lonial era beginning in 1607 when Jamestown, Virginia,
was settled until 1965. The American immigration ex-
perience has seen much lower levels of immigrant arriv-
als compared with today’s aberration.
Noting the ebb and flow of immigration within
American historic periods, expert Carl Hampe said “av-
erage annual immigration rates were well below 400,000
during 1850-1880, an average of 520,000 legal immi-
grants entered each year between 1880-1890, but . . . fell
below 450,000 from 1890-1899.”3
He continued:
During the peak “Ellis Island” period of U.S.
immigration, 1902-1914, 12.4 million immi-
grants entered the country (over 900,000 per year).
However, numerous “ebb periods” emerged after
1914 (particularly during the Depression, when
only 528,000 persons entered the U.S. during the
entire decade of 1931-1940). From 1925 to
1976, legal immigration did not exceed 500,000
in any one year.
One thing is for certain, the 1902-1914 period
is an historical aberration: 900,000 immigrants
per year on average far outstrips any other compa-
rable 13-year slices of U.S. history.4
(emphasis in
original)
	 Average annual immigration levels following
the high period from 1880 to 1924, which included the
“Great Wave,” subsided greatly to 178,000 a year on av-
erage (see Table 1). But this level was still the second-
highest period of immigration up to that point.
Runaway Mass Immigration
Immigration expanded rapidly after 1965, in part be-
cause Congress shifted the legal preference system to
family relations and away from employment needs and
immigrant ability.5
The new scheme provided seven, up from the
previous four, preference categories. The new policy
expanded family-based categories to include relatives
well beyond the initial immigrant, spouse, and minor
children. Nonquota immigrants came to include oth-
ers beyond nuclear family units, such as aged parents of
U.S. citizens.6
The effect of the 1965 Immigration and Na-
tionality Act Amendments — and exacerbated by sub-
sequent legislation in 1980, 1986, and 1990 — was to
increase dramatically the number of immigrants and
radically expand the pool of potential immigrants.7
Hampe explained, “The Immigration Act of 1990 sig-
nificantly expanded a legal immigration system which the
1965 Amendments ensured would have a built-in growth
mechanism.”8
(emphasis added)
The numbers of new immigrants continued to
climb after the new law went into effect in 1968.
During the first few years the United States aver-
aged nearly 400,000 newcomers. By the end of
the 1970s the number had soared to 800,000. In
Period
Years
1607-1775
1776-1819
1820-1879
1880-1924
1925-1965
Annual
Average
3,500
6,500
162,000
584,000
178,000
Source: NumbersUSA, based
on U.S. Census data
Table 1. Historical
Trends in American
Immigration Levels,
By Annual Average
Center for Immigration Studies
the 1980s immigration, still theoretically limited
to 270,000 a year, averaged more than 700,000.
During the decade the nation absorbed 8.9 mil-
lion legal immigrants and, by most estimates, at
least 2 million illegal ones. In absolute numbers
the 1980s saw more immigrants (legal and illegal)
than any other decade in U.S. history. By the early
1990s more than 1 million new legal immigrants
were arriving in the United States every year, ac-
counting for almost half of its population growth.9
	 Figure 1 shows the sharp rise in immigration
by decade. Legal immigration has jumped fourfold
from 2,515,479 admissions between 1951 and 1960 to
9,095,417 between 1991 and 2000.
Another way to distinguish this escalation is
by comparing annual admissions. For example, the
United States admitted 265,393 immigrants in 1960
and 296,697 in 1965, the year of immigration expan-
sionism. By 1969, 358,579 immigrants gained admis-
sion, 462,315 in 1977, 601,516 in 1987, and 915,900
in 1996. Going from two and a half million immigrants
admitted in a decade to a million a year would overtax
any immigration system; this rapid rise has stressed the
U.S. system tremendously.
Chain Migration. This profligate immigration sys-
tem spurred “chain migration,” which feeds illegal
immigration.
. . . [R]elatives of U.S. residents had never been
given top preference in immigration law until the
1965 [A]ct. If the legislation had extended the
preference only to spouses and minor children, there
would have been little effect on the numbers. But
it also gave preference to adult sons and daughters,
parents of adult immigrants, brothers and sisters.
If one member of a family could gain a foothold,
he or she could begin a chain of migration within
an extended family, constantly jumping into new
families through in-laws and establishing new
chains there.10
10
8
6
4
2
Figure 1.Total Immigration, By Decade
1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s
Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, U.S. Census Bureau
1950s
2,515,479
3,321,677 4,493,314
7,338,062
9,095,417
Millions
Center for Immigration Studies
	 The inherent problems arising from “chain mi-
gration” manifest themselves in relation to both legal
and illegal immigration. The illegal immigration aspect
is discussed later. But on the legal side, millions may
claim permanent residency in the United States and even
become U.S. citizens on the sole basis of an extended
family relation.
[B]ecause family reunification policy now permits
the creation of migration “chains” — immigrants
petitioning for their parents and brothers and sis-
ters, who may in turn petition for their children
and other relatives — family immigration has be-
come a form of entitlement that may crowd out
other types of immigration that would be equally
or more beneficial to American society. In addi-
tion, “chain migration” allows the demand for
family immigration to grow exponentially.11
	 How does chain migration work? One example
adequately demonstrates the process and shows the op-
portunities and temptations for illegal immigration.
Under the new preference system, an engineering
student from India could come to the United States
to study, find a job after graduating, get labor cer-
tification, and become a legal resident alien. His
new status would then entitle him to bring over
his wife, and six years later, after being natural-
ized, his brothers and sisters. They in turn could
begin the process all over again by sponsoring their
wives, husbands, children, and siblings. Within
a dozen years one immigrant entering as a skilled
worker could generate dozens of visas for distant
relatives.12
Not only is a single immigrant responsible for a long
chain of numerous links, but also those chains of mi-
grants help explain legal immigration’s exponential
growth. The record for chain migration is reported to
be a petitioner who brought in 83 immigrants.13
Meaningless “Caps,” Real Backlogs, and Waiting Lists.
Family-based preferences that give rise to chain migra-
tion cause even more profound consequences because
capitation levels are not capped in fact. While family-
based immigration is “capped” at 480,000 admissions
a year, the nominal cap is “piercable.” Piercing the cap
happens due to nonquota immigrant categories (spous-
es and minor children of U.S. citizens, parents of U.S.
citizens) outpacing the supposedly limited overall family
immigration amount. The cap is also “flexible,” mean-
ing unused employment-based visas from one year are
added to family-based preferences the next year or vice
versa. This flexibility depends on the level of demand
for certain visas.14
	 Related to these features and to chain migra-
tion, as well as to illegal immigration, are “oversubscrip-
tion and large backlogs in the family categories.”15
The
massive IRCA amnesty led to tremendous demand for
the numerically limited spouses and minor children of
lawful permanent resident visas. Even with the IRCA
transition program to accommodate excessive numbers
of LPR spouses and minor children, 88,673 visas of de-
pendents were given in fiscal year 1994, the last year of
the program.
And still 80,000 dependents of LPRs were
applying for admission each year. The U.S. Commis-
sion on Immigration Reform reported that this group’s
waiting list was “high and rising annually. In January
1995, the waiting list for spouses and minor children
was 1,138,544, up 8.7 percent from 1994 when it was
1,047,496, which was up 9.2 percent from 1993, when
the backlog was 958,839.”16
The wait time for LPR
spouses and minor children in the mid-1990s was longer
than three years and rising fast.
	 The bipartisan commission reported that the
“longest backlog exists in the brothers and sisters of
[U.S. citizens] preference category, where there are al-
most 1.6 million registrants . . . making up 45.5 percent
of the total visa waiting list . . . .” This translated into
waits of “ten years for countries with favorable visa avail-
ability and even longer for oversubscribed countries.”17
Adult siblings from the Philippines, India, and Mexico
accounted for the greatest number of applicants. Filipi-
nos in this category were waiting 17 years for a visa.
	 Married sons and daughters of U.S. citizens
queued up in a backlog of some 260,000 applicants. Af-
ter the 1990 Immigration Act (which caused most back-
logs to multiply), most people in this category had four-
year waits. However, Filipinos, making up 56 percent
of the backlog, faced decades-long waits. Mexicans were
on a wait list of 13 years.
For unmarried adult children of U.S. citizens,
Mexicans constantly have oversubscribed this category.
But the Philippines backlog meant nearly 10-year waits.
Unmarried sons and daughters of LPRs have met back-
logs, “especially since IMMACT [of 1990].” The com-
mission said the waiting lists in this category were grow-
ing in the 1990s, and expected to see 18-year waits.18
Center for Immigration Studies
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
Mexico
India
Germany
Poland
Philippines
DominicanRep.
Jamaica
HongKong
Russia/USSR
Vietnam
ElSalvador
Haiti
Canada
UnitedKingdom
Cuba
Colombia
China
Italy
Korea
Ecuador
Figure2.ComparisonofSelectedImmigrationSourceCountries,ByDecade
1960s
1970s
1980s
1990s
Source:U.S.CitizenshipandImmigrationServices
Center for Immigration Studies
“More than one-fifth of those in the backlog are from
Mexico, with additional significant demand from the
Dominican Republic and the Philippines.”19
In other words, American immigration policy
was set on “automatic pilot” in 1965 and the engine
shifted into high gear in subsequent laws. In effect, for-
eigners are determining American immigration levels
by default — by simply exploiting an overly generous,
misprioritized immigration system. As we shall see, this
mass legal immigration has had tremendous adverse im-
plications in terms of illegal immigration.
Two Sides of the Same Coin
At the core of America’s illegal immigration crisis is the
fact that illegal immigration is a function of legal im-
migration. As legal immigration has been liberalized,
illegal immigration has expanded alongside it.
In addition to volume, an important aspect
to consider is the predominant source countries of im-
migration. Figure 2 illustrates the share of immigrants
from 20 of the top sending countries over the decades
of the 1960s through the 1990s. Mexico has come to
dominate American immigration unlike any other single
nation. While a significant source country in the 1960s,
Mexico did not then overshadow all other countries of
origin as it has come to increasingly in each subsequent
decade.
	 Figure 2 also shows how the traditional source
nations retained a decent share of the immigrant flow
during the 1960s, but that their proportions have gener-
ally fallen in real terms in subsequent decades, as well as
relative to new source countries. This may be attributed
in part to the post-1965 preference system’s bias toward
family-based and especially extended relatives’ immigra-
tion. Yet another detail to bear in mind here is the in-
crease in immigrants occurring heavily from less devel-
oped countries, rather than from developed nations.
	 By comparing Figure 2 with Table 2, one may
see that several of the rising source countries of legal im-
migration in the 1990s gained firmer footholds in part
because of amnesties, particularly the 1986 IRCA am-
nesty. Most of the top 20 IRCA amnesty countries of
origin, seen in Table 2, sent even more immigrants in the
following decade. Legalized aliens could turn around
and sponsor family members to immigrate.
	 Another picture of the relation between legal
and illegal immigration may be seen in Figure 3. While
reliable estimates of illegal immigration are harder to
come by before the 1990s,20
this graph shows that, in
general, as annual immigrant admissions grew over the
1980s and 1990s (with a spike by 1991 because of the
effects of the 1986 IRCA amnesty), illegal immigration
has actually climbed along with legal immigration.
	 On paper, illegal immigration levels fell in 1991
alongside a jump in legal immigration due to IRCA am-
nesty legalizations. However, Figure 3 shows that the
IRCA amnesty did not reduce illegal immigration, as ex-
perts and policymakers promised. Rather, the amnesty
gave hope to millions more would-be illegal entrants
that the United States would repeat itself and one day
legalize them, too.
	 The overall illegal alien population is estimated
at between 2.5 million and 3.5 million in 1980, growing
to 5 million by 1987. About 3 million illegal aliens were
legalized under IRCA. The remaining illegal population
stood at 2 million in 1988. Estimates say 3.5 million
illegal aliens lived here by 1990. Illegal residents num-
bered 3.9 million by October 1992 (a figure undoubt-
edly in flux and masked by much immigration fraud and
abuse in the IRCA amnesty).
By October 1996, 5 million illegal aliens were
estimated to live in the United States — in other words,
the illegal population had replenished itself in less than
a decade (see Figure 4). The number of illegal alien resi-
dents had doubled from 1990 to 2000, from 3.5 million
to 7 million. By 2005, some 9.6 million to 9.8 mil-
lion illegal aliens lived in the United States — more than
Table 2.Top-20 IRCA Amnesty Countries
Total Applicants Processed as of Feb. 13, 1992
Mexico
El Salvador
Guatemala
Haiti
Colombia
Philippines
Dominican Republic
Pakistan
India
Peru
Jamaica
Honduras
Poland
Nicaragua
Ecuador
Nigeria
Iran
Canada
Korea
China
2,266,577
167,952
70,953
59,800
34,727
29,378
28,146
21,800
21,794
19,727
19,134
18,108
17,611
16,755
16,292
16,170
15,266
11,686
11,408
11,241
Source: 1991 INS Statistical Yearbook
Center for Immigration Studies
triple the number of IRCA amnesty recipients, triple the
illegal alien population in 1980, and twice the level of
illegal immigration in 1996.21
	 Table 3 shows the estimated levels of illegal aliens
residing in the United States throughout the 1990s, as
well as the annual growth in the illegal population for
that period. INS researchers noted that apparent drops
in annual growth of the illegal population during this
decade are attributable to policy changes, including the
granting of temporary protected status, or TPS, to cer-
tain illegal alien nationalities and amnesties directed at
certain groups.22
	 Figure 5 and Table 4 illustrate similar phenom-
ena. Notable are the countries listed in these graphics,
compared to the oversubscribed chain migration nations
named in the previous section. Figure 5 indicates the
proportion of the foreign-born population from certain
countries for 1990 and 2000. Further, it shows for those
years the portion of a country’s immigrants who com-
prise the illegal population as a segment of the whole
number of immigrants from a country. For example,
Mexicans, legal and illegal, far outnumber immigrants
from other nations. Mexicans who are unlawfully pres-
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
Figure 3. Annual Legal and Illegal Immigration Flows, 1981-2000
Source: INS Statistical Yearbooks, various years, and INS estimates of the illegal alien population.
Legal
Illegal
1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Millions
Year
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
Est. Illegal
Residents Jan. 1
Illegal Pop.
Growth
7,000
6,488
6,098
5,862
5,581
5,146
4,750
4,492
4,204
4,025
3,500
512
391
236
281
435
396
258
288
180
525
Source: INS estimates of the illegal alien
population.
Table 3. Annual Estimated
Population and Growth of Illegal
Aliens, 1990-2000 (Thousands)
Center for Immigration Studies
ent approached half of all Mexican immigrants in 1990
and exceeded half in 2000.
	 Also, Figure 5 shows that for the countries
charted, all of which are among the top 15 senders of
illegal aliens, only El Salvador — and that because of
200,000 Salvadorans being amnestied in the interim pe-
riod — saw a decrease in its illegal alien population from
1990 to 2000.
Table 4 gives the top 10 countries responsible
for America’s immigrant population in 2000 as well as
the top 10 illegal alien senders. Half of the top 10 coun-
tries of birth also number among the top senders of il-
legal aliens. Mexico is readily the heaviest exporter of its
populace, legally and unlawfully, to the United States.
Table 4 also shows that the five source countries of illegal
aliens that are not among the top 10 overall immigra-
tion source countries are all in relative proximity to the
United States — in Central America, the Caribbean, or
South America. And of the 10 chief immigrant coun-
tries of birth, only Cuba and Vietnam are not among the
15 worst sources of illegal aliens. Cuba is somewhat of a
special case, as the United States has maintained special
policies for Cubans fleeing the Castro regime.
Crux of the Problem: Mexico
Mexico easily stands out as the worst cause of America’s
immigration problems. Continual Mexican migration
northward, both legally and illegally, may pose the big-
gest threat to U.S. security and sovereignty.23
“This situ-
ation is unique for the United States and unique in the
world. No other First World country has a land border
with a Third World country, much less one of two thou-
sand miles.”24
	 Large-scale Mexican immigration began grow-
ing in the 1960s and “accelerated in the 1970s as the
number of Mexicans in the U.S. tripled between 1970
and 1980. The number doubled again by 1990 and
again by 2000. In 2004, the [Census Bureau’s] March
CPS shows 10.6 million people born in Mexico [and
40
Figure 4. Foreign-Born Population and Illegal Aliens, 1960-2005 (In Millions)
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Immigration Studies
1960
Millions
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1970 1980 1990 2000 2005
9.7 9.6
14.1
19.8
28.4
35.2
3.0
3.5
7.0
9.7
Foreign-Born Population
Illegal Aliens
Center for Immigration Studies
residing in America]. This figure represents more
than a 13-fold increase over the 1970 census.”25
Mexicans represent nearly a third of the foreign-
born population; this is about three times the
proportion of the next three countries of origin
(China, Philippines, India) combined.26
	 Mexican illegal migration explains
much of the growth in illegal immigration over-
all. “Since the mid-1990s, the number of new
unauthorized migrants has equaled or exceeded
the number of new legal immigrants. For Mex-
ico, 80-85 [percent] of new settlers in the U.S.
are unauthorized.”27
Half of Mexicans living in
America are illegal aliens.28
	 The 1986 mass amnesty exacerbated the
Mexican illegal immigration problem. Of the 3
million legalized foreign lawbreakers, the INS
said 75 percent were Mexican. As previously
mentioned, they became eligible to sponsor fam-
ily members to join them here (or at least to le-
galize their status), naturalize, and sponsor even
more relatives, this time distant relatives. Prox-
imity has made it easy for “mixed status” house-
holds to proliferate.29
And amnesty, especially of Mexicans,
only sparked more illegal immigration.
The 1986 Immigration Reform and Control
Act (IRCA) had the most sweeping impact on
immigration policy since the repeal of national
origins quotas in 1965. In the next several
years, immigrant admissions would soar to new
heights as the new permanent residents brought
in their family members. This created unan-
ticipated problems, including long backlogs in
the queue for immigrant visas, skyrocketing
costs for the provision of government services in
the areas where the immigrants and their fami-
lies settled, and sustained border control prob-
lems. It was clear that the implementation of
employer sanctions would be no quick fix. The
magnet had not been demagnetized. An exodus
of emigrants from Central America continued
through the late 1980s, and this influx raised
questions about the asylum system. Applicants
needed only to make a minimal showing that
they faced a “well-founded fear of persecution”
in their homeland in order to be granted an
asylum review. By late in 1988, the INS office
in Harlingen, Texas, was receiving 1,700 ap-
plications for asylum each week . . . .30
8,000
Figure 5. Selected Countries of Birth of Foreign-
Born Population, By Proportion Legal and Illegal
Source: U.S. Census March 2000 CPS, INS Estimates of the Unau-
thorized Immigrant Population.
* El Salvador’s illegal immigrant population fell by 2000, due to the
legalizations of more than 200,000 through “temporary protected
status” and the NACARA amnesty in 1997.
Thousands
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
1990 Illegal
1990 Legal
2000 Illegal
2000 Legal
Mexico
India
Philippines
DominicanRep.
ElSalvador*
Canada
China
Korea
10
Center for Immigration Studies
As mentioned, estimates using census data say there were
3 million illegal aliens present in 1980, rising to 4 mil-
lion in 1986. The 3 million amnesty recipients were
scarcely through the legalization process when, by 1992,
the illegal foreign-born population was back up to 3.9
million. It doubled again by 2000 and now may exceed
10 million.31
Much of this increase may be attributed
to Mexico.
	 Given that mass immigration, both legal and
illegal, predominately stems from Mexico (see Table 4)
and that the IRCA amnesty only fed the desire and op-
portunity for Mexicans to migrate northward (legally
and illegally), important findings from the New Immi-
grant Survey show the “two sides of the same coin” na-
ture of legal and illegal immigration.
	 Table 5 indicates that Mexico leads all other
source countries in two key routes to unlawful presence
in the United States before eventual legalization. Mex-
icans account for more than two of five illegal border
crossers. Mexicans also lead as visa abusers.
	 The New Immigrant Survey also found that,
whereas two-thirds of adult immigrants had spent time
in the United States prior to receiving a permanent resi-
dent visa (including about a third as illegal aliens), 84
percent of Mexican immigrants had previously been to
the United States. “[A] clear majority (57%) of Mexican
immigrants have prior experience as illegal border cross-
ers and another 9% are visa abusers.”32
That is, two-
thirds of Mexican immigrants were once illegal aliens.
	 In short, Mexico’s abutting the United States
with a 2,000-mile border, coupled with lax American
enforcement, wide economic disparity, the Mexican gov-
ernment’s de facto policy of driving its poorest residents
northward, and vast numbers of Mexican immigrants
already here to harbor illegal aliens and steer them to
jobs all provide opportunity and motive for immigration
lawbreaking on a grand, systematic scale.
The Flip Side of the Coin
As we have seen, as legal immigration levels have sky-
rocketed to near-unprecedented highs, illegal immigra-
tion has risen alongside it. The result has been nearly
four decades of constant, steeply increasing immigration
both lawful and unlawful. As Samuel Huntington put
it, “Substantial illegal entry into the United States is a
post-1965 and Mexican phenomenon.”33
	 The post-1965 mass immigration scheme has
established patterns and affected human behavior in re-
sponse to present U.S. immigration policies. Just as peo-
ple respond to any changes in law, human beings (and
often their foreign governments) have adjusted accord-
ingly to the possibilities of immigrating to the United
States.
In other words, American immigration policy
has directly influenced the choices foreigners have
made and what they have come to expect. Changes
in tax law or economic policy, such as certain tax de-
ductions or tax credits, influence people’s economic
behavior; it is no different with immigration policy.
By Any Means Possible. The incentive to immi-
grate to the United States arises from opportunity,
the experiences of relatives or peers, and other forces.
Liberal family-based immigration preferences, along
with myriad nonimmigrant visa classes from tourist
to student to business investor, provide ample immi-
gration opportunity to many more people. Whereas
one might not otherwise have contemplated uproot-
ing and moving halfway around the globe before, the
existence of opportunity affects one’s decisions.
Foreigners with access to immigration law-
yers or human smugglers or with a familial relation
already in the United States can exploit one of the
licit or illicit opportunities to get to the United States.
Everything from becoming a “mail-order bride” in
what amounts to a marriage of convenience (if not an
outright sham) to enrolling in one of the many scams
Overall
Mexico
China
Philippines
India1
Cuba
Vietnam
El Salvador
Korea2
Dominican Rep.
Canada3
Illegal
7,841,000
1,391,000
1,222,000
1,007,000
952,000
863,000
765,000
701,000
692,000
678,000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau March 2000 CPS, INS estimates of
the illegal alien population.
1
INS estimated India’s illegal alien population in 2000 at 70,000,
the 12th highest country of origin.
2
INS estimated Korea’s illegal alien population in 2000 at 55,000,
the 14th highest country of origin.
3
INS estimated Canada’s illegal alien population in 2000 at
47,000, the 15th highest country of origin.
Table 4.Top-10 Countries of Birth of Foreign-
Born Population and Illegal Residents, 2000
Country
U.S.
Residents Country
Est. Illegal
Residents
Mexico
El Salvador
Guatamala
Colombia
Honduras
China
Ecuador
Dominican Rep.
Philippines
Brazil
4,808,000
189,000
144,000
141,000
138,000
115,000
108,000
91,000
85,000
77,000
11
Center for Immigration Studies
exploiting loopholes such as the “investor visa” program
and filing bogus asylum claims provides opportunity to
immigrate.
As the costs of international travel and interna-
tional communication — telephone, Internet — have
fallen, friends and relatives who have already immigrated
to the United States can more easily share tales of their
experiences in America. Or the evidence of immigrant
relatives’ remittances to those who remain behind testify
to the relatively higher earnings paid by U.S. jobs.
The United States enjoys the world’s highest
standard of living. “Poverty” by U.S. standards is a far
better lot than real poverty as it occurs in most of the
world’s countries, and those living in America below the
official “poverty line” often have living quarters and First
World “creature comforts” that those in other nations’
middle classes lack.
The United States affords a stable political sys-
tem, a legal system based on the rule of law, broad indi-
vidual liberty and economic opportunity, a sound econ-
omy, and generous government welfare entitlements, in
addition to extremely generous private charity. America
is relatively free of public corruption and offers a safe,
secure place to live. By comparison to many places,
would-be immigrants may view the United States as a
land of vast wealth where the streets are seemingly paved
with 14-karat gold.
Even purely from an economic perspective,
moving to America has a lot of appeal. The average
Mexican earns a twelfth of an American’s wages. There
are 4.6 billion people around the world who make less
than the average Mexican. (Would-be immigrants often
fail to take into account the much higher cost of living in
the United States that accompanies those higher wages.)
Therefore, the “pull” factor of more money entices many
aliens.
	 Because one technically qualifies for an immi-
gration visa, yet the backlogs may be long, many aliens
immigrate illegally. They wait for their visa number to
come up while living here illicitly. “Some do not wait
their turn, but instead immigrate illegally to the U.S.,
hoping (and in many cases succeeding) to wait here un-
til their visa number becomes available. Thus, the un-
realistic expectations created by the failure to set firm
priorities in the system of legal immigration causes fur-
ther incentive for illegal immigration.”34
Such dishon-
esty and cheating on aliens’ part are functions of chain
migration.
	 Determined alien lawbreakers have discovered
ways to exploit legal loopholes and “end-run” the sys-
tem. Illegal immigration and cheating quickly have be-
come means to the end of permanent legal immigration.
For example,
. . . many potential immigrants came on tourist
visas and worked illegally. While living and work-
ing illegally, they could obtain labor certification
based on their employment and apply for immi-
grant visas. Once a visa was approved, sometimes
two or three years later, an applicant could return
to his home country for a day, pick up the visa, and
return as a legal resident entitled to hold any job
available.35
	 Another characteristic of immigration that re-
lates to both the legal and illegal sides of the equation, as
well as to the use of every possible means of illegal im-
migration, is so-called “mixed families.” This term may
refer to any of a combination of households in which
some members are U.S. citizens or legal residents and
others are illegal aliens.
The lure of “birthright citizenship” plays into
the calculus of many foreigners willing to break Ameri-
can immigration law. A misinterpretation of the Four-
teenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution by the
Supreme Court grants automatic U.S. citizenship on
virtually everyone born on American soil, including the
children of illegal aliens. Immigration authorities are
highly unlikely to try to deport an illegal alien whose
child is an American citizen. Therefore, “birthright citi-
zenship” provides illegal aliens an “anchor baby” who
provides relative assurance of permanent residence, if
not legal status.
	 An estimated one-tenth, or 380,000, of U.S.
births in 2002 were to illegal aliens, based on Census
data.36
“Mixed families,” in which some members (usu-
Share of Illegal
Border Crossers
Mexico
El Salvador
Peru
Guatemala
Ecuador
Total Share
Share of Visa
Abusers
41.2 %
5.9 %
4.6 %
4.4 %
4.4 %
60.5 %
Mexico
Vietnam
China
Philippines
Colombia
Total
Source: New Immigrant Survey Pilot Study,
Massey  Malone
Table 5.Top-5 Illegal Immigrant-
Sending Countries, by Share of
Violation Category
13.0 %
7.6 %
7.5 %
5.7 %
5.4 %
39.2 %
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Center for Immigration Studies
ally children) are American citizens and others are illegal
immigrants or some other combination of legal and il-
legal residents, present a host of challenges to the United
States, including determining eligibility for taxpayer-
funded public assistance programs.37
One estimate puts the number of people in
“mixed” households in 2004 at 13.9 million, or 6.3 mil-
lion households. Within these “mixed” families, there
are 3.1 million “anchor babies.” Some four-fifths of
children of illegal aliens live in mixed households. Fifty-
five percent of, or 2.6 million, children of illegal aliens
reside in families where all the children are American
citizens.38
	 A variation of a mixed family is where certain
family members come ahead as illegal aliens and move
in with a legally residing relative. The New Immigrant
Survey, which assessed the amount and type of experi-
ence immigrants had had in the United States prior to
becoming permanent lawful residents, found 84 percent
of illegal border crossers in the sample were family-based
immigrants. Nearly half of those entering without in-
spection who later gained a green card were spouses and
children of U.S. citizens, while 27 percent were spouses
and children of lawful permanent residents. Almost half
of immediate family members of U.S. citizens in the
New Immigrant Survey had overstayed a visa.39
	 The New Immigrant Survey cast a disturbing
light on immigration realities. It illuminated a system-
atic pattern of lawlessness and line jumping, even among
so-called “legal” immigrants — many were in fact illegal
aliens first.
Thus, patterns observed for illegal border cross-
ers and visa abusers again suggest that immediate
family join their citizen or resident alien relatives
abroad while they await legalization themselves,
living in the United States as undocumented mi-
grants until the time when they can return to their
country of origin to pick up their documents and
re-enter the country as “new” immigrants.40
The survey found immediate family immigrants who
had come first unlawfully typically made 2 to 4 trips il-
legally, living 5 to 8 years in the United States as illegal
aliens before legalization.41
	 One more indicator of the interconnection of
illegal and legal immigration is the increased rates of ad-
justing status within the United States. The Department
of Homeland Security’s figures show a general rise from
1990 to 2000 (with an exceptional spike in 1991 from
the IRCA amnesty). As Table 6 indicates, adjustments
of status by illegal aliens not having to leave the country
went from 36,000 in 1990 to 152,000 in 1999.42
	 Another way in which legal and illegal immigra-
tion are shown to be two sides of the same coin is with
visa overstays. An estimated one-third to half of illegal
immigration occurs when someone enters the United
States on a valid temporary visa but stays on past the
visa’s expiration.43
While violating the terms of a visa by overstaying
its period is unlawful (8 U.S. Code Sec. 1227(a)(1)(C)),
the statute presently does not provide criminal penalties.
Thus, visa overstayers enjoy a loophole in their favor.
While subject to removal, overstayers face little pros-
pect of actually being deported. By this route, many
aliens commit fraud and abuse, fully intending to use
“temporary” lawful entry as a backdoor to permanent
residence.
The Entitlement Mentality. All these factors create cer-
tain expectations among foreigners who otherwise would
be perfectly satisfied to remain in their home country for
the rest of their lives. With a distant family member
now living in the United States, sending home monthly
remittance checks, whose family members live relatively
more lavishly, growing awareness of the “good-paying”
American job his emigrant relative has, and enticing tales
of this new land, opportunity combines with others’ ex-
periences and the decision becomes when and how, not
if, to immigrate to the United States.
	 Expectation to immigrate spreads throughout a
society, as more and more people do so. Expectation
Year
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
1992
1991
1990
Number of
Adjustments
152
152
161
163
107
41
62
37
229
36
Source: INS estimates of the
illegal alien population.
Table 6. Adjustments
to Legal Status in the
United States, 1990-
2000 (Thousands)
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Center for Immigration Studies
feeds a sense of entitlement. People come to suppose
they have some inherent right to impose themselves on
another, sovereign nation.
Thus, demand (like consumer demand for a
heavily advertised and marketed product) builds, as ex-
pectations grow far beyond what is reasonable or could
ever be reasonably accommodated. Demand far outpac-
es supply of U.S. visas. So, pent-up demand overflows
into illicit immigration.
	 Immigration policy expert Carl Hampe, testify-
ing in regard to the mid-1990s congressional attempt to
curtail legal immigration, said:
Well, I think it’s clear that the current legal im-
migration system, which recognizes not only the
nuclear family of incoming immigrants but as well
[naturalized] U.S. citizens’ more distant family re-
lations, creates a system in which expectations for
immigration and growth in at least visa demand
is automatic, it’s inherent. The demand growth
becomes exponential, because each time an addi-
tional distant family member comes in, that person
as well could have spouses, children, and the other
distant family relatives connected to that incoming
immigrant, which as you can see, creates sort of a
geometrical growth pattern.44
	 The U.S. House of Representatives commit-
tee report on H.R. 2202, the Immigration in the Na-
tional Interest Act of 1995, further explained this vexing
phenomenon:
Such sustained, uninterrupted growth in im-
migration [since 1965] is without precedent in
American history. So is the underlying rationale
of many that immigration is a right, not a privi-
lege. The entitlement theory, which seeks to fit
immigration policy to the demands of those who
would like to immigrate to the United States, has
made it increasingly difficult to establish a policy
that selects immigrants according to their ability to
advance our national interests.
A central failure of the current system is the ad-
missions backlog for spouses and minor children
of lawful permanent residents, which now num-
ber 1.1 million. This means that nuclear fam-
ily members can be kept separated for years. Even
larger backlogs exist in categories for adult, “ex-
tended family” immigrants. These backlogs under-
mine the credibility of the system by forcing people
who are technically eligible to immigrate to wait
for years, sometimes decades, before they can legally
come to the U.S. The existence of these catego-
ries thus creates expectations that cannot possibly
be met within the capacity of the current system.
Those failed expectations encourage many waiting
in line to immigrate illegally to the U.S. 45
(em-
phasis added)
The Jordan Commission concluded the “pro-family”
way to speed nuclear family reunification, which would
also diminish the “entitlement mentality,” is to eliminate
extended-relative categories. This would significantly re-
duce the load on immigration agencies that are supposed
to screen visa applicants and speed processing time for
nuclear family members, without compromising the
scrutiny required to protect national security and other
U.S. public interests, such as preventing fraud.
Chain Migration. Related to the build-up of immigra-
tion expectations, an entitlement mentality, and techni-
cal eligibility for a visa is chain migration. Chain mi-
gration of extended family members and vast backlogs
lead to impatience and illegality. Though still keeping
nuclear families of some permanent resident aliens apart
for years, distant family members may cut in line and
await their turn for an immigrant visa in the United
States. The Jordan Commission recommended elimi-
nating the distant relative categories in part to reunite
LPRs’ nuclear families more quickly, as well as acknowl-
edgement that the national interest is not served by the
chain migration categories. The very fact chain migra-
tion is an option, coupled with past mass amnesties and
the ongoing proposals of mass legalization by prominent
policymakers, stimulates illegal immigration.
The availability of “chain migration” not only
distorts the selection criteria for legal immigrants,
but may add additional incentive for people to
attempt illegal immigration to the U.S. There is
growing evidence that some families overseas pool
their resources to pay the smuggling fee for one
family member to illegally enter the U.S., in the
hope that this family member will eventually gain
legal status, and be able to petition for other family
members.46
	 The point is that no immigration system could
ever accommodate the unrealistic expectations of would-
be immigrants. The numbers of potential immigrants
in sending countries are far too great, and the fact that
14
Center for Immigration Studies
per capita income and quality of life differ so extremely
between the United States and most sending countries
energizes a “pull factor” that is incredibly strong. Thus,
the U.S. immigration system presently holds out false
promise of technical eligibility to immigrate, particularly
for extended family members. But that eligibility, based
completely on blood or marriage relations, produces an
entitlement mentality.
	 Relations-based immigration predominating
the preference system for allotting visas, plus the dimi-
nution of employment-based immigration priorities
and the de-emphasis of individual skills, education, and
ability, have caused the mass immigration plaguing the
nation. As the 1996 House Judiciary Committee said,
“The primary beneficiaries of family-sponsored immi-
gration are the families of recently-arrived immigrants,
not of native-born U.S. citizens.” Further, “most immi-
grants are admitted solely on the basis of their relation-
ship to another immigrant.”47
Therefore, little logic lies behind present U.S.
immigration policy. There is certainly little benefit to
the national interest. And, thus, the immigration system
has become a beast that feeds itself perpetually, but that
for all its gorging cannot satisfy the perceived “demand.”
In actuality, the immigration system exacerbates both
unchecked legal and uncontrolled illegal immigration.
	 The very existence of large legal immigration
quotas, exempting certain family-member classes from
annual quotas, an overly generous preference scheme
that enables “chain migration,” laxity in routine enforce-
ment of immigration laws, a record of mass amnesties
to millions of illegal aliens, constant talk by prominent
politicians of yet more amnesties all combine to set un-
realistic expectations among foreigners. The “autopilot”
aspect of current U.S. immigration policy acts like an
all-fronts marketing plan that “creates” a “need” to im-
migrate to the United States. The result: sustained,
mass immigration, both legal and illegal.
	
Recommendations
As the data show, mass legal and illegal immigration are
closely tied. The following recommendations would
help remedy the problems that presently derive from le-
gal and illegal immigration being two sides of the same
coin.
Reduce legal immigration. If illegal immigration is to
be curbed or stopped, then legal immigration must de-
crease. The volume of aliens enticed to immigrate, un-
der the law or against the law, is too great. The system
is too open-ended, creating countless opportunities for
fraud and abuse.
	 Overall legal immigration quotas should be
halved, at least. The statutory capitation is supposed to
be about 700,000; about 300,000 a year more closely
resembles America’s historical average.
	 About 200,000 to 300,000 immigrants a year
must be set with a “hard” cap; no one should be exempt
from the cap. The maximum level should include refu-
gees and asylees, as well as immigrants and their nuclear
family members. Every fifth year should be a sabbatical
year, in which no new immigrant visas are accepted or
processed. Rather, the State Department and the De-
partment of Homeland Security should use this respite
to ensure immigrant accountability and to ferret out
fraud and abuse.
Set better immigrant priorities. Building upon the rec-
ommendations of the Jordan Commission, extended
family immigrant visa categories should be eliminated:
U.S. citizens’ adult children, married or unmarried; U.S.
citizens’ adult brothers and sisters; and grown children
of lawful permanent residents. The visa lottery should
go, too, an action taken by a large bipartisan majority of
the U.S. House of Representatives in December 2005
when it passed an amendment by Rep. Robert Goodlatte
to H.R. 4437 (See also Rep. Goodlatte’s H.R. 1219.).
	 Moreover, a new immigrant priority selection
system should emphasize an individual’s qualifications.48
The needs of the U.S. economy should have foremost
priority for immigrant selection. Further, in order to
qualify for an immigrant visa, an individual should have
to merit a certain number of points under a modified
point system. A would-be immigrant (except for minor
children), in order to gain points, must have attained no
less than a high school education (with higher education
winning him more points), be proficient in the English
language, be literate, possess demonstrable, verifiable in-
demand job skills or superior talent, and have at least
some minimum amount of financial assets satisfactory
to ensure self-support.
Before any immigrant visa is issued, an im-
migrant or sponsor should have to show proof of pur-
chase for the immigrant of generous health insurance,
an adequate amount of disability and life insurance, and
automobile insurance, if he owns a vehicle or expects
to drive. The only family reunification considerations
should be rejoining husband and wife, and parents with
their minor children.
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Center for Immigration Studies
Ensure allegiance to America. To ensure that an im-
migrant has the right motives in seeking to immigrate,
that his intent is to leave his native land, culture, and
extended family behind once and for all, and to become
an American (that is, to live up to the American ideal of
immigration), the egregious Supreme Court ruling that
allowed dual citizenship and dual nationality should be
overturned, by constitutional amendment if necessary.49
Dual citizenship and dual nationality provide foreigners
a vested interest in two nations. Such split loyalties to
sovereign nations is unfair to each nation and to fellow
citizens. Dual citizenship grants immigrants an unfair,
privileged status not available to native-born Americans.
It undermines one’s ability to fully commit to his new
homeland. It devalues the naturalization oath, in which
one’s words swear full allegiance to the United States.
Reduce unrealistic expectations. Higher standards for
and more realistic expectations among potential immi-
grants would reduce the problems associated with tech-
nical eligibility for an immigrant visa based solely on a
distant relation. This could be advanced in a number
of ways.
Parents of naturalized immigrants should not
be eligible for an immigrant visa. Rather, elderly par-
ents should be limited to renewable nonimmigrant visas
of moderate duration, as in Rep. Tom Tancredo’s H.R.
3700. Parents’ sponsors should be required to prove in-
come of at least the median U.S. income for a household
the size of the sponsor’s, including the prospective long-
term visitor parents.
In addition, the sponsor must prove that he has
secured a generous health care insurance policy for the
parent or parents he seeks to bring to the United States,
paid in full for the duration of the initial visa term. Par-
ents’ nonimmigrant visa renewal should require proof
that the sponsor and the parents have abided by the
terms of binding affidavits of support and visas, respec-
tively, and that health insurance is prepaid in full for the
next visa term.
Similarly, the spouses and minor children of
LPRs could gain admission into the country as nonimmi-
grants and at the full expense and on the full responsibil-
ity of the sponsoring immigrant (similar to the approach
in H.R. 3700). This should include health and other in-
surance, as well as median or higher household income.
Immediate family members of LPRs could qualify for
immigrant visas once the sponsor naturalizes.
	 The law should specify that spouse only
means heterosexual husband and wife, not homosexu-
al couples married or otherwise or other cohabitating
combinations.	
	 Insofar as family reunification remains a prior-
ity in U.S. immigration policy, the nuclear family of an
immigrant who himself possesses skills, education, and
English proficiency should be the extent of it. That is, a
decision to immigrate to the United States should bear
the full expectation that the immigrant is making a fun-
damental break from his homeland, extended family,
and native culture. And it should only provide for the
unity of husband, wife, and minor children.
The only hope or expectation of reunifying with
relatives beyond their own nuclear family units should
be to return to them. “Family reunification,” especially
of entire family trees, should not imply a single direction
toward the United States.
When an adult leaves his native land to emigrate
to America, he or she makes a decision to be sepa-
rated from brothers or sisters, parents, and adult
children. We realize that this is a difficult decision
in many cases, but ultimately, it is a decision that
the immigrant has made.50
(emphasis added)
Ensure nonimmigrant compliance and return. Nonim-
migrants should be required to maintain stronger ties
to their home country. Except for those here for lon-
ger terms, such as citizens’ parents and LPRs’ immediate
family as outlined above, nonimmigrants must under-
stand that their visit to the United States is intentionally
temporary, and that their admission is based on strict
terms and conditions.
Noncompliance with temporary visa terms
should be dealt with severely. Overstaying an expired
visa should carry criminal penalties. The law should
treat visa overstayers the same as those who sneak across
the border. With up to half of illegal immigration attrib-
utable to visa overstays, no defensible distinction can any
longer be made between these two circumstances of il-
legality. Too much willful lawbreaking takes place, with
temporary visas simply a means to permanent immigra-
tion — and being an intending immigrant is reason to
deny someone a visa.
Most nonimmigrants (such as students, H-1B
workers, L-1 intracompany transfers, etc.) should not
be accompanied by dependents. Half a nonimmigrant’s
time should be spent in the home country, and visa
terms should be no longer than one year. For instance,
if a work visa allows six months in the United States, the
next six months should be in the home country. Time in
the United States on a typical nonimmigrant visa should
be matched by an equal period out of the country.
Nor should nonimmigrants be allowed to adjust
status to another nonimmigrant category or to immi-
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Center for Immigration Studies
grant within the United States. Adjustment of status
should become something that only takes place abroad,
and only following rigorous investigation and complete
assurance that previous visa terms have been honored
and that all requirements for the new visa are met.
“Birthright citizenship” should be eliminated.51
This would remove one more means of fraud and abuse
from our immigration system. Ending the ability of
illegal aliens or nonimmigrants to birth an automatic
U.S. citizen baby here would take away an important
means of gaming the system.
Enlist foreign governments’ cooperation. Immigra-
tion to the United States by a foreign nation’s citizens
may benefit that government, principally by monetary
remittances. Some foreign governments, most notably
Mexico, foster illegal immigration to unlawfully maxi-
mize those benefits. Such governments should be forced
to curb illegal immigration.
	 Adopting a policy such as Rep. David Weldon’s
Truth in Immigration, or TRIM, Act (H.R. 4317)
would effect such an incentive. This legislation would
require an annual estimate of the illegal alien popula-
tion using Census Bureau data, by nation of origin, and
restrict a sending nation’s legal immigration by a corre-
sponding level. In combination with the recommended
reductions in legal immigration, this approach would
give foreign countries such as Mexico a huge incentive
to keep their nationals from breaking America’s immi-
gration laws.
	 Other foreign policy tools, from foreign aid to
trade agreements, should be conditioned on how thor-
oughly a foreign government cooperates in U.S. immi-
gration enforcement and repatriation and, importantly,
how well it produces real results in cutting illegal im-
migration from that nation.
Go slow on any guestworker plans. The global econo-
my has become more integrated, and more corporations
are adopting business models that involve international
labor flows. Yet, such private interests should hardly be
allowed to dictate public policy. While a new guest-
worker program may be conceivable in principle, it rep-
resents a tenuous course with respect to its immigration
and other consequences. Foremost, policymakers must
keep in mind (and remind their corporate constituents)
that America is much more than a market; she is a na-
tion, a society, a body politic.
The experience of guestworker programs, in the
United States and elsewhere, has been fraught with un-
intended consequences. In many cases, such programs
have resulted in permanent residents (legal and illegal),
not guests at all. The economic consequences have prov-
en detrimental to the most vulnerable native-born work-
ers. The social consequences have proven harmful, even
dangerous, as with insurgent radical Islam in the United
States, Great Britain, France, and other parts of the West
in recent times.
The risks of a massive new guestworker program
should be fully considered before moving forward. The
risks from hundreds of thousands more foreigners being
processed for temporary visas by an already inept, out-
manned, fraud-ridden immigration bureaucracy in the
Departments of State and Homeland Security is folly.
This bureaucracy could never handle the added work-
load. At a minimum, legal immigration levels, both per-
manent and temporary, should be scaled back by many
more than the new program would admit for entry each
year.
Enforce the law. Faithful enforcement of all our immi-
gration laws must be fully achieved. This certainly must
happen and be in place for several years before any guest-
worker program goes into effect. That is, every alien’s
background must be checked, every alien’s eligibility for
the immigration or other benefits for which he is apply-
ing must be confirmed before benefits are accorded, ev-
ery case of suspected fraud (immigration fraud, benefits
fraud, welfare fraud, marriage fraud, document fraud,
identity fraud) involving an alien must be vigorously and
routinely investigated, absconders, visa overstayers, and
failed applicants must face the real likelihood of capture
and prosecution, all this and more must become the
norm. This is necessary, with or without a new guest-
worker program.
Illegal aliens should expect punishment, not
reward, for lawbreaking; thus, steadily increasing the
level of immigration enforcement to the point of rou-
tinization, as the 9/11 Commission recommended, is
necessary and desirable. Since most illegal aliens pres-
ent little national security risk, allowing their continued
presence amidst continually building pressure and in-
creasing likelihood of being caught will effect a gradual
decrease of the illegal alien population by attrition, with
little danger. The most promising solution for reducing
the number of illegal aliens with the least impact on the
economy — attrition — is the routine enforcement of
all immigration laws.
	 Also, the law should make plain that immi-
gration offenses relating to illegal presence (e.g., entry
without inspection, visa overstay) constitute continuing
offenses.
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Center for Immigration Studies
No more amnesties. America’s experience with amnes-
ties has shown that they only make things worse. Am-
nesties beget more illegal immigration. Even politicians’
proposals of legalization prompt more illegal immigra-
tion. The only conceivable type of amnesty that could
remotely be justified is a limited “exit amnesty.” This
would let illegal aliens leave the country, once and for
all, without paying the full penalty due for their law-
lessness (i.e., face criminal prosecution for immigration
violations).
Conclusion
The data show that while legal immigration in the Unit-
ed States has increased since 1965 at an exorbitant rate,
illegal immigration has risen right alongside it. Further,
the actual levels of illegal immigration are masked by a
series of amnesties — the largest and most notorious one
enacted in 1986 — and the documented experience of
many immigrants who fail to abide by the law and come
to the United States unlawfully before their turn for a
green card arrives, but whose ultimate legalization shows
up on the legal immigration ledger.
	 Another compelling fact is that nations that
send large numbers of immigrants to America tend also
to send sizeable shares of the illegal alien population.
Mexico is the most prominent example of this phenom-
enon. However, other Western Hemisphere countries
number among the largest sources of both legal and il-
legal immigration.
	 Eastern Hemisphere nations that account for
high levels of legal immigration — China, the Philip-
pines, India, Korea — also are responsible for much of
America’s illegal immigration problem. Vietnam appears
to be an exception, despite a post-Vietnam War spike in
Vietnamese admissions.
	 Because of the inextricable link between legal
and illegal immigration, there is no way to continue
massive legal immigration and reduce illegal immigra-
tion. To cut illegal immigration, legal immigration must
be curtailed. To assert otherwise attempts to maintain
a fiction that is unsustainable, judging from fact and
experience.
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Center for Immigration Studies
End Notes
1
See James G. Gimpel and James R. Edwards, Jr., The
Congressional Politics of Immigration Reform, Boston: Al-
lyn  Bacon, 1999, pp. 1-4, for a sense of this senti-
ment.
2
Roy Beck, The Case Against Immigration, New York:
W.W. Norton, 1996, p. 16.
3
Carl W. Hampe, testimony at a hearing of the U.S.
House Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Immi-
gration and Claims, June 29, 1995, on H.R. 1915, Im-
migration in the National Interest Act, p. 173.
4
Hampe, p. 173.
5
James R. Edwards, Jr., testimony at a hearing of the
U.S. House Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Im-
migration and Claims, March 25, 1999, on “The Ben-
efits to the U.S. Economy of a More Highly Skilled Im-
migrant Flow.” http://judiciary.house.gov/legacy/106-
edwa.htm
6
The parents visa category serves to bring aged parents
of adult immigrants; this category does not serve the
reunification of minor children with parents on whom
they are dependent.
7
See Gimpel and Edwards, chapters 4 and 5, particularly
Tables 5.5 and 5.6. Also, see Beck, chapter 4, and James
R. Edwards, Jr., “Changes in the Law,” pp. 181-185, in
James Ciment, editor, Encyclopedia of America Immigra-
tion, Vol. 1, Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe, 2001.
8
Hampe, p. 172.
9
Steven M. Gillon, “That’s Not What We Meant to Do:”
Reform and Its Unintended Consequences in Twentieth-
Century America, New York: W.W. Norton  Co.,
2000, pp. 176-177.
10
Beck, pp. 40-41.
11
Committee on the Judiciary, U.S. House of Represen-
tatives, Report on H.R. 2202, the Immigration in the
National Interest Act, March 4, 1996, Report 104-469
Part 1, p. 134.
12
Gillon, p. 178.
13
Gimpel and Edwards, p. 264.
14
U.S. Commission on Immigration Reform, 1995 Re-
port to Congress, “Legal Immigration: Setting Priori-
ties,” Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office,
June 1995, pp. 45-46.
15
U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 46.
16
U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 65.
17
U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 73.
18
U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 75-77.
19
U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 76.
20
A Congressional Research Service report from 1977 in-
dicates that INS estimates of the illegal alien population
in the mid-1970s ranged from 1 million to 12 million.
CRS cites a Cabinet-level task force, which concluded
that “hard data on illegal aliens is virtually non-existent.”
Many citations of the mid-20th
century decades seemed
to extrapolate from the number of deportable aliens ap-
prehended. See Joyce Vialet, “Illegal Aliens: Analysis
and Background,” (77-47 ED), Congressional Research
Service, February 16, 1977.
21
Office of Policy and Planning, U.S. Immigration and
Naturalization Service, “Estimates of the Unauthorized
Immigrant Population Residing in the United States:
1990 to 2000,” available http://uscis.gov/graphics/
shared/statistics/publications/Ill_Report_1211.pdf; INS
Immigration Statistical Yearbooks for 1992, 1993, 1994,
1996, and 1998; Steven A. Camarota, “Immigrants at
Mid-Decade: A Snapshot of America’s Foreign-Born
Population in 2005,” Center for Immigration Studies
Backgrounder, December 2005, p. 4. http://www.cis.
org/articles/2005/back1405.html
22
See INS “Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant
Population Residing in the United States: 1990 to
2000,” pp. 9-10; and Douglas S. Massey and Nolan
Malone, “Pathways to Legal Immigration,” Population
Research and Policy Review, Vol. 21, No. 6, December
2002, which analyzed the initial New Immigrant Survey.
Available at http://nis.princeton.edu/papers/pathways.
pdf
23
Samuel P. Huntington, Who Are We?: The Challeng-
es to America’s National Identity, New York: Simon 
Schuster, 2004, chapter 9.
24
Huntington, p. 222. Also, see Gillon, p. 188.
19
Center for Immigration Studies
25
Jeffrey S. Passel, “Unauthorized Migrants: Numbers
and Characteristics,” Pew Hispanic Center background
briefing, June 14, 2005, p. 37. http://pewhispanic.org/
reports/report.php?ReportID=46
26
Passel, p. 37; Huntington, p. 224.
27
Passel, p. 41.
28
Passel, p. 36. Also, see Huntington, pp. 225-226.
29
http://uscis.gov/graphics/shared/aboutus/statistics/
IRCA_REPORT/irca0114int.pdf; Gimpel and Ed-
wards, pp. 12-13, 179.
30
Gimpel and Edwards, p. 179.
31
Gimpel and Edwards, pp. 11-14; Passel, p. 10.
32
Massey and Malone, p. 14.
33
Huntington, p. 225.
34
Committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 135. Also, see
Massey and Malone.
35
Gillon, p. 185. See also Rep. Elton Gallegly’s ad-
ditional views in the committee report on H.R. 2202,
p. 514, which further explains this loophole, as well as
Massey and Malone.
36
Steven A. Camarota, “Birth Rates Among Immigrants
in America,” Center for Immigration Studies Back-
grounder, October 2005, pp. 1, 6. http://www.cis.org/
articles/2005/back1105.html
37
Gimpel and Edwards, p. 89; U.S. Commission on Im-
migration Reform, 1994 Report to Congress, “U.S. Im-
migration Policy: Restoring Credibility,” Washington,
D.C.: Government Printing Office, Sept. 1994, pp.
115ff.
38
Passel, pp. 17-20.
39
Massey and Malone, pp. 16-17.
40
Massey and Malone, p. 17.
41
Massey and Malone, p. 28.
42
INS “Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Popu-
lation Residing in the United States: 1990 to 2000,”
p. 10. However, a portion of this increased U.S.-based
adjustment of status in this period occurred under the
controversial Section 245(i) policy, which INS favored
because it generated revenue for the agency; politicians
liked it because the process was effectively a form of am-
nesty they could give.
43
Gimpel and Edwards, p. 81. Also, see the 1998 INS
Statistical Yearbook, which estimated overstays at 41
percent of the illegal alien population. INS estimated
that overstays accounted for 33 percent of illegal aliens
in 2000, as stated in the 1990 to 2000 INS estimates.
44
Hampe, p. 228.
45
Committee report on H.R. 2202, pp. 108-109.
46
Committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 134.
47
Committee report on H.R. 2202, pp. 133-134.
48
See Edwards testimony, 1999.
49
See John Fonte, “Dual Allegiance: A Challenge to Im-
migration Reform and Patriotic Assimilation,” Center
for Immigration Studies Backgrounder, November 2005
http://www.cis.org/articles/2005/back1205.html; Stan-
ley Renshon, Reforming Dual Citizenship in the United
States: Integrating Immigrants into the American National
Community, Center for Immigration Studies Paper, Oc-
tober 2005. http://www.cis.org/articles/2005/dualciti-
zenship.html
50
Committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 134.
51
See John C. Eastman, testimony at a hearing of the
U.S. House Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on
Immigration, Border Security, and Claims, September
29, 2005, on “Dual Citizenship, Birthright Citizenship,
and the Meaning of Sovereignty” (http://judiciary.house.
gov/media/pdfs/printers/109th/23690.pdf) and Charles
Wood, “Losing Control of America’s Future -- The Cen-
sus, Birthright Citizenship, and Illegal Aliens,” Harvard
Journal of Law and Public Policy, Vol. 22, No. 2, Spring
1999, pp. 465-522.
20
Center for Immigration Studies
Center for Immigration Studies
1522 K Street, NW, Suite 820
Washington, DC 20005-1202
(202) 466-8185
center@cis.org
www.cis.org
Backgrounder
NON-PROFIT
U.S. POSTAGE
PAID
PERMIT # 6117
WASHINGTON, DC
CenterforImmigrationStudies
1522KStreet,NW,Suite820
Washington,DC20005-1202
(202)466-8185•(202)466-8076
center@cis.org•www.cis.org
1-06
TwoSidesoftheSameCoin
TheConnectionBetweenLegalandIllegalImmigration
ByJamesR.Edwards,Jr.
Aremassivelegalimmigrationandmassiveillegalimmigrationrelated?Ifso,
how?Manyinpolicycirclesholdaviewof“legalimmigration,good;illegal
immigration,bad.”Thelogicalextensionsofsuchasimplisticperspectiveare
toassumethattheoverallleveloflegalimmigrationdoesnotmatterandto
underestimateanycorrelationtoillegalimmigration.Butthefactsshowa
distinctconnectionexists.
	Inbrief,thisreportfinds:
•	Legalandillegalimmigrationareinextricablyrelated.Aslegalimmi-
grationlevelshaverisenmarkedlysince1965,illegalimmigrationhas
increasedwithit.
•	Theshareoftheforeign-bornpopulationwhoareillegalalienshasrisen
steadily.Illegalaliensmadeup21percentoftheforeign-bornin1980,
25percentin2000,and28percentin2005.
•	Mexicoistheprimarysourcecountryofbothlegalandillegalimmi-
grants.Mexicoaccountedforabout30percentoftheforeign-bornin
2000,andmorethanhalfofMexicansresidingintheUnitedStatesin
2000wereillegalaliens.

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Two Sides of the Same Coin - the Connection Between Legal and Illegal Immigration

  • 1. Center for Immigration Studies Backgrounder February 2006 Two Sides of the Same Coin The Connection Between Legal and Illegal Immigration By James R. Edwards, Jr. James R. Edwards, Jr., Ph.D., is an adjunct fellow with the Hudson Institute, co-author of The Congressional Politics of Immi- gration Reform, and contributor to several published volumes concerning immigration issues. His writings have appeared in The New York Times, The Washington Times, Human Events, and other publications. A re massive legal immigration and massive illegal immigration related? If so, how? Many in policy circles hold a view of “legal immigration, good; illegal immigration, bad.”1 The logical extensions of such a sim- plistic perspective are to assume that the overall level of legal immigration does not matter and to underes- timate any correlation to illegal immigration. But the facts show a distinct connection exists. In brief, this report finds: • Legal and illegal immigration are inextricably related. As legal immigration levels have risen markedly since 1965, illegal immigration has increased with it. • The share of the foreign-born population who are illegal aliens has risen steadily. Illegal aliens made up 21 percent of the foreign-born in 1980, 25 percent in 2000, and 28 percent in 2005. • Mexico is the primary source country of both legal and illegal immigrants. Mexico accounted for about 30 percent of the foreign-born in 2000, and more than half of Mexicans residing in the United States in 2000 were illegal aliens. • The level of illegal immigration is severely masked by several amnesties that legalized millions of unlawfully resident aliens. The largest amnesty was the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act, which legalized 3 million aliens. • Amnestied aliens to date have been fully eligible to sponsor additional immigrants. This has contributed to the ranks of immigrants, both legal and illegal (and often both). • Many aliens who receive a permanent resident visa each year have spent years living in the United States illegally. • “Anchor babies” and “chain migration” provide opportunities for many aliens to plant roots in the United States. Those aliens might not otherwise have done so. • An overly generous legal immigration preference system, whose bias is toward relatives and against ability, sets unrealistic expectations. Many aliens who technically qualify to immigrate face the reality of backlogs and waiting lists. • Amnesties, technical qualification for a visa, chain migration, and vast opportunities to come to the United States (particularly via tourist visa, the most abused visa by eventual immigrants, according to the New Im- migrant Survey) all foster an “entitlement mentality” among many foreigners.
  • 2. Center for Immigration Studies This report examines the links between legal and illegal immigration. First, it sets the historical context of American immigration. It considers the data on legal immigration, illegal immigration, including countries of origin, and the ways present immigration policy and processes enable and encourage lawbreaking. Finally, policy recommendations are offered. Immigration in American History It has been said that legal and illegal immigration are two sides of the same coin. That is, when legal immigration levels have been high, illegal immigration levels have also tended to be high. Similarly, when legal immigration is lower, there is less illegal immigration. What could explain this phenomenon? A short review of American immigration history gives much- needed perspective. Immigration to the United States has ebbed and flowed. In general, from 1776 to 1965, this “nation of immigrants” averaged 230,000 immi- grants per year.2 By the 1990s, immigration averaged about a million each year, plus illegal immigrants. Historical Immigration Levels Table 1 shows average immigration levels from the co- lonial era beginning in 1607 when Jamestown, Virginia, was settled until 1965. The American immigration ex- perience has seen much lower levels of immigrant arriv- als compared with today’s aberration. Noting the ebb and flow of immigration within American historic periods, expert Carl Hampe said “av- erage annual immigration rates were well below 400,000 during 1850-1880, an average of 520,000 legal immi- grants entered each year between 1880-1890, but . . . fell below 450,000 from 1890-1899.”3 He continued: During the peak “Ellis Island” period of U.S. immigration, 1902-1914, 12.4 million immi- grants entered the country (over 900,000 per year). However, numerous “ebb periods” emerged after 1914 (particularly during the Depression, when only 528,000 persons entered the U.S. during the entire decade of 1931-1940). From 1925 to 1976, legal immigration did not exceed 500,000 in any one year. One thing is for certain, the 1902-1914 period is an historical aberration: 900,000 immigrants per year on average far outstrips any other compa- rable 13-year slices of U.S. history.4 (emphasis in original) Average annual immigration levels following the high period from 1880 to 1924, which included the “Great Wave,” subsided greatly to 178,000 a year on av- erage (see Table 1). But this level was still the second- highest period of immigration up to that point. Runaway Mass Immigration Immigration expanded rapidly after 1965, in part be- cause Congress shifted the legal preference system to family relations and away from employment needs and immigrant ability.5 The new scheme provided seven, up from the previous four, preference categories. The new policy expanded family-based categories to include relatives well beyond the initial immigrant, spouse, and minor children. Nonquota immigrants came to include oth- ers beyond nuclear family units, such as aged parents of U.S. citizens.6 The effect of the 1965 Immigration and Na- tionality Act Amendments — and exacerbated by sub- sequent legislation in 1980, 1986, and 1990 — was to increase dramatically the number of immigrants and radically expand the pool of potential immigrants.7 Hampe explained, “The Immigration Act of 1990 sig- nificantly expanded a legal immigration system which the 1965 Amendments ensured would have a built-in growth mechanism.”8 (emphasis added) The numbers of new immigrants continued to climb after the new law went into effect in 1968. During the first few years the United States aver- aged nearly 400,000 newcomers. By the end of the 1970s the number had soared to 800,000. In Period Years 1607-1775 1776-1819 1820-1879 1880-1924 1925-1965 Annual Average 3,500 6,500 162,000 584,000 178,000 Source: NumbersUSA, based on U.S. Census data Table 1. Historical Trends in American Immigration Levels, By Annual Average
  • 3. Center for Immigration Studies the 1980s immigration, still theoretically limited to 270,000 a year, averaged more than 700,000. During the decade the nation absorbed 8.9 mil- lion legal immigrants and, by most estimates, at least 2 million illegal ones. In absolute numbers the 1980s saw more immigrants (legal and illegal) than any other decade in U.S. history. By the early 1990s more than 1 million new legal immigrants were arriving in the United States every year, ac- counting for almost half of its population growth.9 Figure 1 shows the sharp rise in immigration by decade. Legal immigration has jumped fourfold from 2,515,479 admissions between 1951 and 1960 to 9,095,417 between 1991 and 2000. Another way to distinguish this escalation is by comparing annual admissions. For example, the United States admitted 265,393 immigrants in 1960 and 296,697 in 1965, the year of immigration expan- sionism. By 1969, 358,579 immigrants gained admis- sion, 462,315 in 1977, 601,516 in 1987, and 915,900 in 1996. Going from two and a half million immigrants admitted in a decade to a million a year would overtax any immigration system; this rapid rise has stressed the U.S. system tremendously. Chain Migration. This profligate immigration sys- tem spurred “chain migration,” which feeds illegal immigration. . . . [R]elatives of U.S. residents had never been given top preference in immigration law until the 1965 [A]ct. If the legislation had extended the preference only to spouses and minor children, there would have been little effect on the numbers. But it also gave preference to adult sons and daughters, parents of adult immigrants, brothers and sisters. If one member of a family could gain a foothold, he or she could begin a chain of migration within an extended family, constantly jumping into new families through in-laws and establishing new chains there.10 10 8 6 4 2 Figure 1.Total Immigration, By Decade 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s Source: U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, U.S. Census Bureau 1950s 2,515,479 3,321,677 4,493,314 7,338,062 9,095,417 Millions
  • 4. Center for Immigration Studies The inherent problems arising from “chain mi- gration” manifest themselves in relation to both legal and illegal immigration. The illegal immigration aspect is discussed later. But on the legal side, millions may claim permanent residency in the United States and even become U.S. citizens on the sole basis of an extended family relation. [B]ecause family reunification policy now permits the creation of migration “chains” — immigrants petitioning for their parents and brothers and sis- ters, who may in turn petition for their children and other relatives — family immigration has be- come a form of entitlement that may crowd out other types of immigration that would be equally or more beneficial to American society. In addi- tion, “chain migration” allows the demand for family immigration to grow exponentially.11 How does chain migration work? One example adequately demonstrates the process and shows the op- portunities and temptations for illegal immigration. Under the new preference system, an engineering student from India could come to the United States to study, find a job after graduating, get labor cer- tification, and become a legal resident alien. His new status would then entitle him to bring over his wife, and six years later, after being natural- ized, his brothers and sisters. They in turn could begin the process all over again by sponsoring their wives, husbands, children, and siblings. Within a dozen years one immigrant entering as a skilled worker could generate dozens of visas for distant relatives.12 Not only is a single immigrant responsible for a long chain of numerous links, but also those chains of mi- grants help explain legal immigration’s exponential growth. The record for chain migration is reported to be a petitioner who brought in 83 immigrants.13 Meaningless “Caps,” Real Backlogs, and Waiting Lists. Family-based preferences that give rise to chain migra- tion cause even more profound consequences because capitation levels are not capped in fact. While family- based immigration is “capped” at 480,000 admissions a year, the nominal cap is “piercable.” Piercing the cap happens due to nonquota immigrant categories (spous- es and minor children of U.S. citizens, parents of U.S. citizens) outpacing the supposedly limited overall family immigration amount. The cap is also “flexible,” mean- ing unused employment-based visas from one year are added to family-based preferences the next year or vice versa. This flexibility depends on the level of demand for certain visas.14 Related to these features and to chain migra- tion, as well as to illegal immigration, are “oversubscrip- tion and large backlogs in the family categories.”15 The massive IRCA amnesty led to tremendous demand for the numerically limited spouses and minor children of lawful permanent resident visas. Even with the IRCA transition program to accommodate excessive numbers of LPR spouses and minor children, 88,673 visas of de- pendents were given in fiscal year 1994, the last year of the program. And still 80,000 dependents of LPRs were applying for admission each year. The U.S. Commis- sion on Immigration Reform reported that this group’s waiting list was “high and rising annually. In January 1995, the waiting list for spouses and minor children was 1,138,544, up 8.7 percent from 1994 when it was 1,047,496, which was up 9.2 percent from 1993, when the backlog was 958,839.”16 The wait time for LPR spouses and minor children in the mid-1990s was longer than three years and rising fast. The bipartisan commission reported that the “longest backlog exists in the brothers and sisters of [U.S. citizens] preference category, where there are al- most 1.6 million registrants . . . making up 45.5 percent of the total visa waiting list . . . .” This translated into waits of “ten years for countries with favorable visa avail- ability and even longer for oversubscribed countries.”17 Adult siblings from the Philippines, India, and Mexico accounted for the greatest number of applicants. Filipi- nos in this category were waiting 17 years for a visa. Married sons and daughters of U.S. citizens queued up in a backlog of some 260,000 applicants. Af- ter the 1990 Immigration Act (which caused most back- logs to multiply), most people in this category had four- year waits. However, Filipinos, making up 56 percent of the backlog, faced decades-long waits. Mexicans were on a wait list of 13 years. For unmarried adult children of U.S. citizens, Mexicans constantly have oversubscribed this category. But the Philippines backlog meant nearly 10-year waits. Unmarried sons and daughters of LPRs have met back- logs, “especially since IMMACT [of 1990].” The com- mission said the waiting lists in this category were grow- ing in the 1990s, and expected to see 18-year waits.18
  • 5. Center for Immigration Studies 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 Mexico India Germany Poland Philippines DominicanRep. Jamaica HongKong Russia/USSR Vietnam ElSalvador Haiti Canada UnitedKingdom Cuba Colombia China Italy Korea Ecuador Figure2.ComparisonofSelectedImmigrationSourceCountries,ByDecade 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s Source:U.S.CitizenshipandImmigrationServices
  • 6. Center for Immigration Studies “More than one-fifth of those in the backlog are from Mexico, with additional significant demand from the Dominican Republic and the Philippines.”19 In other words, American immigration policy was set on “automatic pilot” in 1965 and the engine shifted into high gear in subsequent laws. In effect, for- eigners are determining American immigration levels by default — by simply exploiting an overly generous, misprioritized immigration system. As we shall see, this mass legal immigration has had tremendous adverse im- plications in terms of illegal immigration. Two Sides of the Same Coin At the core of America’s illegal immigration crisis is the fact that illegal immigration is a function of legal im- migration. As legal immigration has been liberalized, illegal immigration has expanded alongside it. In addition to volume, an important aspect to consider is the predominant source countries of im- migration. Figure 2 illustrates the share of immigrants from 20 of the top sending countries over the decades of the 1960s through the 1990s. Mexico has come to dominate American immigration unlike any other single nation. While a significant source country in the 1960s, Mexico did not then overshadow all other countries of origin as it has come to increasingly in each subsequent decade. Figure 2 also shows how the traditional source nations retained a decent share of the immigrant flow during the 1960s, but that their proportions have gener- ally fallen in real terms in subsequent decades, as well as relative to new source countries. This may be attributed in part to the post-1965 preference system’s bias toward family-based and especially extended relatives’ immigra- tion. Yet another detail to bear in mind here is the in- crease in immigrants occurring heavily from less devel- oped countries, rather than from developed nations. By comparing Figure 2 with Table 2, one may see that several of the rising source countries of legal im- migration in the 1990s gained firmer footholds in part because of amnesties, particularly the 1986 IRCA am- nesty. Most of the top 20 IRCA amnesty countries of origin, seen in Table 2, sent even more immigrants in the following decade. Legalized aliens could turn around and sponsor family members to immigrate. Another picture of the relation between legal and illegal immigration may be seen in Figure 3. While reliable estimates of illegal immigration are harder to come by before the 1990s,20 this graph shows that, in general, as annual immigrant admissions grew over the 1980s and 1990s (with a spike by 1991 because of the effects of the 1986 IRCA amnesty), illegal immigration has actually climbed along with legal immigration. On paper, illegal immigration levels fell in 1991 alongside a jump in legal immigration due to IRCA am- nesty legalizations. However, Figure 3 shows that the IRCA amnesty did not reduce illegal immigration, as ex- perts and policymakers promised. Rather, the amnesty gave hope to millions more would-be illegal entrants that the United States would repeat itself and one day legalize them, too. The overall illegal alien population is estimated at between 2.5 million and 3.5 million in 1980, growing to 5 million by 1987. About 3 million illegal aliens were legalized under IRCA. The remaining illegal population stood at 2 million in 1988. Estimates say 3.5 million illegal aliens lived here by 1990. Illegal residents num- bered 3.9 million by October 1992 (a figure undoubt- edly in flux and masked by much immigration fraud and abuse in the IRCA amnesty). By October 1996, 5 million illegal aliens were estimated to live in the United States — in other words, the illegal population had replenished itself in less than a decade (see Figure 4). The number of illegal alien resi- dents had doubled from 1990 to 2000, from 3.5 million to 7 million. By 2005, some 9.6 million to 9.8 mil- lion illegal aliens lived in the United States — more than Table 2.Top-20 IRCA Amnesty Countries Total Applicants Processed as of Feb. 13, 1992 Mexico El Salvador Guatemala Haiti Colombia Philippines Dominican Republic Pakistan India Peru Jamaica Honduras Poland Nicaragua Ecuador Nigeria Iran Canada Korea China 2,266,577 167,952 70,953 59,800 34,727 29,378 28,146 21,800 21,794 19,727 19,134 18,108 17,611 16,755 16,292 16,170 15,266 11,686 11,408 11,241 Source: 1991 INS Statistical Yearbook
  • 7. Center for Immigration Studies triple the number of IRCA amnesty recipients, triple the illegal alien population in 1980, and twice the level of illegal immigration in 1996.21 Table 3 shows the estimated levels of illegal aliens residing in the United States throughout the 1990s, as well as the annual growth in the illegal population for that period. INS researchers noted that apparent drops in annual growth of the illegal population during this decade are attributable to policy changes, including the granting of temporary protected status, or TPS, to cer- tain illegal alien nationalities and amnesties directed at certain groups.22 Figure 5 and Table 4 illustrate similar phenom- ena. Notable are the countries listed in these graphics, compared to the oversubscribed chain migration nations named in the previous section. Figure 5 indicates the proportion of the foreign-born population from certain countries for 1990 and 2000. Further, it shows for those years the portion of a country’s immigrants who com- prise the illegal population as a segment of the whole number of immigrants from a country. For example, Mexicans, legal and illegal, far outnumber immigrants from other nations. Mexicans who are unlawfully pres- 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0 Figure 3. Annual Legal and Illegal Immigration Flows, 1981-2000 Source: INS Statistical Yearbooks, various years, and INS estimates of the illegal alien population. Legal Illegal 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Millions Year 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 Est. Illegal Residents Jan. 1 Illegal Pop. Growth 7,000 6,488 6,098 5,862 5,581 5,146 4,750 4,492 4,204 4,025 3,500 512 391 236 281 435 396 258 288 180 525 Source: INS estimates of the illegal alien population. Table 3. Annual Estimated Population and Growth of Illegal Aliens, 1990-2000 (Thousands)
  • 8. Center for Immigration Studies ent approached half of all Mexican immigrants in 1990 and exceeded half in 2000. Also, Figure 5 shows that for the countries charted, all of which are among the top 15 senders of illegal aliens, only El Salvador — and that because of 200,000 Salvadorans being amnestied in the interim pe- riod — saw a decrease in its illegal alien population from 1990 to 2000. Table 4 gives the top 10 countries responsible for America’s immigrant population in 2000 as well as the top 10 illegal alien senders. Half of the top 10 coun- tries of birth also number among the top senders of il- legal aliens. Mexico is readily the heaviest exporter of its populace, legally and unlawfully, to the United States. Table 4 also shows that the five source countries of illegal aliens that are not among the top 10 overall immigra- tion source countries are all in relative proximity to the United States — in Central America, the Caribbean, or South America. And of the 10 chief immigrant coun- tries of birth, only Cuba and Vietnam are not among the 15 worst sources of illegal aliens. Cuba is somewhat of a special case, as the United States has maintained special policies for Cubans fleeing the Castro regime. Crux of the Problem: Mexico Mexico easily stands out as the worst cause of America’s immigration problems. Continual Mexican migration northward, both legally and illegally, may pose the big- gest threat to U.S. security and sovereignty.23 “This situ- ation is unique for the United States and unique in the world. No other First World country has a land border with a Third World country, much less one of two thou- sand miles.”24 Large-scale Mexican immigration began grow- ing in the 1960s and “accelerated in the 1970s as the number of Mexicans in the U.S. tripled between 1970 and 1980. The number doubled again by 1990 and again by 2000. In 2004, the [Census Bureau’s] March CPS shows 10.6 million people born in Mexico [and 40 Figure 4. Foreign-Born Population and Illegal Aliens, 1960-2005 (In Millions) Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Center for Immigration Studies 1960 Millions 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 9.7 9.6 14.1 19.8 28.4 35.2 3.0 3.5 7.0 9.7 Foreign-Born Population Illegal Aliens
  • 9. Center for Immigration Studies residing in America]. This figure represents more than a 13-fold increase over the 1970 census.”25 Mexicans represent nearly a third of the foreign- born population; this is about three times the proportion of the next three countries of origin (China, Philippines, India) combined.26 Mexican illegal migration explains much of the growth in illegal immigration over- all. “Since the mid-1990s, the number of new unauthorized migrants has equaled or exceeded the number of new legal immigrants. For Mex- ico, 80-85 [percent] of new settlers in the U.S. are unauthorized.”27 Half of Mexicans living in America are illegal aliens.28 The 1986 mass amnesty exacerbated the Mexican illegal immigration problem. Of the 3 million legalized foreign lawbreakers, the INS said 75 percent were Mexican. As previously mentioned, they became eligible to sponsor fam- ily members to join them here (or at least to le- galize their status), naturalize, and sponsor even more relatives, this time distant relatives. Prox- imity has made it easy for “mixed status” house- holds to proliferate.29 And amnesty, especially of Mexicans, only sparked more illegal immigration. The 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act (IRCA) had the most sweeping impact on immigration policy since the repeal of national origins quotas in 1965. In the next several years, immigrant admissions would soar to new heights as the new permanent residents brought in their family members. This created unan- ticipated problems, including long backlogs in the queue for immigrant visas, skyrocketing costs for the provision of government services in the areas where the immigrants and their fami- lies settled, and sustained border control prob- lems. It was clear that the implementation of employer sanctions would be no quick fix. The magnet had not been demagnetized. An exodus of emigrants from Central America continued through the late 1980s, and this influx raised questions about the asylum system. Applicants needed only to make a minimal showing that they faced a “well-founded fear of persecution” in their homeland in order to be granted an asylum review. By late in 1988, the INS office in Harlingen, Texas, was receiving 1,700 ap- plications for asylum each week . . . .30 8,000 Figure 5. Selected Countries of Birth of Foreign- Born Population, By Proportion Legal and Illegal Source: U.S. Census March 2000 CPS, INS Estimates of the Unau- thorized Immigrant Population. * El Salvador’s illegal immigrant population fell by 2000, due to the legalizations of more than 200,000 through “temporary protected status” and the NACARA amnesty in 1997. Thousands 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1990 Illegal 1990 Legal 2000 Illegal 2000 Legal Mexico India Philippines DominicanRep. ElSalvador* Canada China Korea
  • 10. 10 Center for Immigration Studies As mentioned, estimates using census data say there were 3 million illegal aliens present in 1980, rising to 4 mil- lion in 1986. The 3 million amnesty recipients were scarcely through the legalization process when, by 1992, the illegal foreign-born population was back up to 3.9 million. It doubled again by 2000 and now may exceed 10 million.31 Much of this increase may be attributed to Mexico. Given that mass immigration, both legal and illegal, predominately stems from Mexico (see Table 4) and that the IRCA amnesty only fed the desire and op- portunity for Mexicans to migrate northward (legally and illegally), important findings from the New Immi- grant Survey show the “two sides of the same coin” na- ture of legal and illegal immigration. Table 5 indicates that Mexico leads all other source countries in two key routes to unlawful presence in the United States before eventual legalization. Mex- icans account for more than two of five illegal border crossers. Mexicans also lead as visa abusers. The New Immigrant Survey also found that, whereas two-thirds of adult immigrants had spent time in the United States prior to receiving a permanent resi- dent visa (including about a third as illegal aliens), 84 percent of Mexican immigrants had previously been to the United States. “[A] clear majority (57%) of Mexican immigrants have prior experience as illegal border cross- ers and another 9% are visa abusers.”32 That is, two- thirds of Mexican immigrants were once illegal aliens. In short, Mexico’s abutting the United States with a 2,000-mile border, coupled with lax American enforcement, wide economic disparity, the Mexican gov- ernment’s de facto policy of driving its poorest residents northward, and vast numbers of Mexican immigrants already here to harbor illegal aliens and steer them to jobs all provide opportunity and motive for immigration lawbreaking on a grand, systematic scale. The Flip Side of the Coin As we have seen, as legal immigration levels have sky- rocketed to near-unprecedented highs, illegal immigra- tion has risen alongside it. The result has been nearly four decades of constant, steeply increasing immigration both lawful and unlawful. As Samuel Huntington put it, “Substantial illegal entry into the United States is a post-1965 and Mexican phenomenon.”33 The post-1965 mass immigration scheme has established patterns and affected human behavior in re- sponse to present U.S. immigration policies. Just as peo- ple respond to any changes in law, human beings (and often their foreign governments) have adjusted accord- ingly to the possibilities of immigrating to the United States. In other words, American immigration policy has directly influenced the choices foreigners have made and what they have come to expect. Changes in tax law or economic policy, such as certain tax de- ductions or tax credits, influence people’s economic behavior; it is no different with immigration policy. By Any Means Possible. The incentive to immi- grate to the United States arises from opportunity, the experiences of relatives or peers, and other forces. Liberal family-based immigration preferences, along with myriad nonimmigrant visa classes from tourist to student to business investor, provide ample immi- gration opportunity to many more people. Whereas one might not otherwise have contemplated uproot- ing and moving halfway around the globe before, the existence of opportunity affects one’s decisions. Foreigners with access to immigration law- yers or human smugglers or with a familial relation already in the United States can exploit one of the licit or illicit opportunities to get to the United States. Everything from becoming a “mail-order bride” in what amounts to a marriage of convenience (if not an outright sham) to enrolling in one of the many scams Overall Mexico China Philippines India1 Cuba Vietnam El Salvador Korea2 Dominican Rep. Canada3 Illegal 7,841,000 1,391,000 1,222,000 1,007,000 952,000 863,000 765,000 701,000 692,000 678,000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau March 2000 CPS, INS estimates of the illegal alien population. 1 INS estimated India’s illegal alien population in 2000 at 70,000, the 12th highest country of origin. 2 INS estimated Korea’s illegal alien population in 2000 at 55,000, the 14th highest country of origin. 3 INS estimated Canada’s illegal alien population in 2000 at 47,000, the 15th highest country of origin. Table 4.Top-10 Countries of Birth of Foreign- Born Population and Illegal Residents, 2000 Country U.S. Residents Country Est. Illegal Residents Mexico El Salvador Guatamala Colombia Honduras China Ecuador Dominican Rep. Philippines Brazil 4,808,000 189,000 144,000 141,000 138,000 115,000 108,000 91,000 85,000 77,000
  • 11. 11 Center for Immigration Studies exploiting loopholes such as the “investor visa” program and filing bogus asylum claims provides opportunity to immigrate. As the costs of international travel and interna- tional communication — telephone, Internet — have fallen, friends and relatives who have already immigrated to the United States can more easily share tales of their experiences in America. Or the evidence of immigrant relatives’ remittances to those who remain behind testify to the relatively higher earnings paid by U.S. jobs. The United States enjoys the world’s highest standard of living. “Poverty” by U.S. standards is a far better lot than real poverty as it occurs in most of the world’s countries, and those living in America below the official “poverty line” often have living quarters and First World “creature comforts” that those in other nations’ middle classes lack. The United States affords a stable political sys- tem, a legal system based on the rule of law, broad indi- vidual liberty and economic opportunity, a sound econ- omy, and generous government welfare entitlements, in addition to extremely generous private charity. America is relatively free of public corruption and offers a safe, secure place to live. By comparison to many places, would-be immigrants may view the United States as a land of vast wealth where the streets are seemingly paved with 14-karat gold. Even purely from an economic perspective, moving to America has a lot of appeal. The average Mexican earns a twelfth of an American’s wages. There are 4.6 billion people around the world who make less than the average Mexican. (Would-be immigrants often fail to take into account the much higher cost of living in the United States that accompanies those higher wages.) Therefore, the “pull” factor of more money entices many aliens. Because one technically qualifies for an immi- gration visa, yet the backlogs may be long, many aliens immigrate illegally. They wait for their visa number to come up while living here illicitly. “Some do not wait their turn, but instead immigrate illegally to the U.S., hoping (and in many cases succeeding) to wait here un- til their visa number becomes available. Thus, the un- realistic expectations created by the failure to set firm priorities in the system of legal immigration causes fur- ther incentive for illegal immigration.”34 Such dishon- esty and cheating on aliens’ part are functions of chain migration. Determined alien lawbreakers have discovered ways to exploit legal loopholes and “end-run” the sys- tem. Illegal immigration and cheating quickly have be- come means to the end of permanent legal immigration. For example, . . . many potential immigrants came on tourist visas and worked illegally. While living and work- ing illegally, they could obtain labor certification based on their employment and apply for immi- grant visas. Once a visa was approved, sometimes two or three years later, an applicant could return to his home country for a day, pick up the visa, and return as a legal resident entitled to hold any job available.35 Another characteristic of immigration that re- lates to both the legal and illegal sides of the equation, as well as to the use of every possible means of illegal im- migration, is so-called “mixed families.” This term may refer to any of a combination of households in which some members are U.S. citizens or legal residents and others are illegal aliens. The lure of “birthright citizenship” plays into the calculus of many foreigners willing to break Ameri- can immigration law. A misinterpretation of the Four- teenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution by the Supreme Court grants automatic U.S. citizenship on virtually everyone born on American soil, including the children of illegal aliens. Immigration authorities are highly unlikely to try to deport an illegal alien whose child is an American citizen. Therefore, “birthright citi- zenship” provides illegal aliens an “anchor baby” who provides relative assurance of permanent residence, if not legal status. An estimated one-tenth, or 380,000, of U.S. births in 2002 were to illegal aliens, based on Census data.36 “Mixed families,” in which some members (usu- Share of Illegal Border Crossers Mexico El Salvador Peru Guatemala Ecuador Total Share Share of Visa Abusers 41.2 % 5.9 % 4.6 % 4.4 % 4.4 % 60.5 % Mexico Vietnam China Philippines Colombia Total Source: New Immigrant Survey Pilot Study, Massey Malone Table 5.Top-5 Illegal Immigrant- Sending Countries, by Share of Violation Category 13.0 % 7.6 % 7.5 % 5.7 % 5.4 % 39.2 %
  • 12. 12 Center for Immigration Studies ally children) are American citizens and others are illegal immigrants or some other combination of legal and il- legal residents, present a host of challenges to the United States, including determining eligibility for taxpayer- funded public assistance programs.37 One estimate puts the number of people in “mixed” households in 2004 at 13.9 million, or 6.3 mil- lion households. Within these “mixed” families, there are 3.1 million “anchor babies.” Some four-fifths of children of illegal aliens live in mixed households. Fifty- five percent of, or 2.6 million, children of illegal aliens reside in families where all the children are American citizens.38 A variation of a mixed family is where certain family members come ahead as illegal aliens and move in with a legally residing relative. The New Immigrant Survey, which assessed the amount and type of experi- ence immigrants had had in the United States prior to becoming permanent lawful residents, found 84 percent of illegal border crossers in the sample were family-based immigrants. Nearly half of those entering without in- spection who later gained a green card were spouses and children of U.S. citizens, while 27 percent were spouses and children of lawful permanent residents. Almost half of immediate family members of U.S. citizens in the New Immigrant Survey had overstayed a visa.39 The New Immigrant Survey cast a disturbing light on immigration realities. It illuminated a system- atic pattern of lawlessness and line jumping, even among so-called “legal” immigrants — many were in fact illegal aliens first. Thus, patterns observed for illegal border cross- ers and visa abusers again suggest that immediate family join their citizen or resident alien relatives abroad while they await legalization themselves, living in the United States as undocumented mi- grants until the time when they can return to their country of origin to pick up their documents and re-enter the country as “new” immigrants.40 The survey found immediate family immigrants who had come first unlawfully typically made 2 to 4 trips il- legally, living 5 to 8 years in the United States as illegal aliens before legalization.41 One more indicator of the interconnection of illegal and legal immigration is the increased rates of ad- justing status within the United States. The Department of Homeland Security’s figures show a general rise from 1990 to 2000 (with an exceptional spike in 1991 from the IRCA amnesty). As Table 6 indicates, adjustments of status by illegal aliens not having to leave the country went from 36,000 in 1990 to 152,000 in 1999.42 Another way in which legal and illegal immigra- tion are shown to be two sides of the same coin is with visa overstays. An estimated one-third to half of illegal immigration occurs when someone enters the United States on a valid temporary visa but stays on past the visa’s expiration.43 While violating the terms of a visa by overstaying its period is unlawful (8 U.S. Code Sec. 1227(a)(1)(C)), the statute presently does not provide criminal penalties. Thus, visa overstayers enjoy a loophole in their favor. While subject to removal, overstayers face little pros- pect of actually being deported. By this route, many aliens commit fraud and abuse, fully intending to use “temporary” lawful entry as a backdoor to permanent residence. The Entitlement Mentality. All these factors create cer- tain expectations among foreigners who otherwise would be perfectly satisfied to remain in their home country for the rest of their lives. With a distant family member now living in the United States, sending home monthly remittance checks, whose family members live relatively more lavishly, growing awareness of the “good-paying” American job his emigrant relative has, and enticing tales of this new land, opportunity combines with others’ ex- periences and the decision becomes when and how, not if, to immigrate to the United States. Expectation to immigrate spreads throughout a society, as more and more people do so. Expectation Year 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 Number of Adjustments 152 152 161 163 107 41 62 37 229 36 Source: INS estimates of the illegal alien population. Table 6. Adjustments to Legal Status in the United States, 1990- 2000 (Thousands)
  • 13. 13 Center for Immigration Studies feeds a sense of entitlement. People come to suppose they have some inherent right to impose themselves on another, sovereign nation. Thus, demand (like consumer demand for a heavily advertised and marketed product) builds, as ex- pectations grow far beyond what is reasonable or could ever be reasonably accommodated. Demand far outpac- es supply of U.S. visas. So, pent-up demand overflows into illicit immigration. Immigration policy expert Carl Hampe, testify- ing in regard to the mid-1990s congressional attempt to curtail legal immigration, said: Well, I think it’s clear that the current legal im- migration system, which recognizes not only the nuclear family of incoming immigrants but as well [naturalized] U.S. citizens’ more distant family re- lations, creates a system in which expectations for immigration and growth in at least visa demand is automatic, it’s inherent. The demand growth becomes exponential, because each time an addi- tional distant family member comes in, that person as well could have spouses, children, and the other distant family relatives connected to that incoming immigrant, which as you can see, creates sort of a geometrical growth pattern.44 The U.S. House of Representatives commit- tee report on H.R. 2202, the Immigration in the Na- tional Interest Act of 1995, further explained this vexing phenomenon: Such sustained, uninterrupted growth in im- migration [since 1965] is without precedent in American history. So is the underlying rationale of many that immigration is a right, not a privi- lege. The entitlement theory, which seeks to fit immigration policy to the demands of those who would like to immigrate to the United States, has made it increasingly difficult to establish a policy that selects immigrants according to their ability to advance our national interests. A central failure of the current system is the ad- missions backlog for spouses and minor children of lawful permanent residents, which now num- ber 1.1 million. This means that nuclear fam- ily members can be kept separated for years. Even larger backlogs exist in categories for adult, “ex- tended family” immigrants. These backlogs under- mine the credibility of the system by forcing people who are technically eligible to immigrate to wait for years, sometimes decades, before they can legally come to the U.S. The existence of these catego- ries thus creates expectations that cannot possibly be met within the capacity of the current system. Those failed expectations encourage many waiting in line to immigrate illegally to the U.S. 45 (em- phasis added) The Jordan Commission concluded the “pro-family” way to speed nuclear family reunification, which would also diminish the “entitlement mentality,” is to eliminate extended-relative categories. This would significantly re- duce the load on immigration agencies that are supposed to screen visa applicants and speed processing time for nuclear family members, without compromising the scrutiny required to protect national security and other U.S. public interests, such as preventing fraud. Chain Migration. Related to the build-up of immigra- tion expectations, an entitlement mentality, and techni- cal eligibility for a visa is chain migration. Chain mi- gration of extended family members and vast backlogs lead to impatience and illegality. Though still keeping nuclear families of some permanent resident aliens apart for years, distant family members may cut in line and await their turn for an immigrant visa in the United States. The Jordan Commission recommended elimi- nating the distant relative categories in part to reunite LPRs’ nuclear families more quickly, as well as acknowl- edgement that the national interest is not served by the chain migration categories. The very fact chain migra- tion is an option, coupled with past mass amnesties and the ongoing proposals of mass legalization by prominent policymakers, stimulates illegal immigration. The availability of “chain migration” not only distorts the selection criteria for legal immigrants, but may add additional incentive for people to attempt illegal immigration to the U.S. There is growing evidence that some families overseas pool their resources to pay the smuggling fee for one family member to illegally enter the U.S., in the hope that this family member will eventually gain legal status, and be able to petition for other family members.46 The point is that no immigration system could ever accommodate the unrealistic expectations of would- be immigrants. The numbers of potential immigrants in sending countries are far too great, and the fact that
  • 14. 14 Center for Immigration Studies per capita income and quality of life differ so extremely between the United States and most sending countries energizes a “pull factor” that is incredibly strong. Thus, the U.S. immigration system presently holds out false promise of technical eligibility to immigrate, particularly for extended family members. But that eligibility, based completely on blood or marriage relations, produces an entitlement mentality. Relations-based immigration predominating the preference system for allotting visas, plus the dimi- nution of employment-based immigration priorities and the de-emphasis of individual skills, education, and ability, have caused the mass immigration plaguing the nation. As the 1996 House Judiciary Committee said, “The primary beneficiaries of family-sponsored immi- gration are the families of recently-arrived immigrants, not of native-born U.S. citizens.” Further, “most immi- grants are admitted solely on the basis of their relation- ship to another immigrant.”47 Therefore, little logic lies behind present U.S. immigration policy. There is certainly little benefit to the national interest. And, thus, the immigration system has become a beast that feeds itself perpetually, but that for all its gorging cannot satisfy the perceived “demand.” In actuality, the immigration system exacerbates both unchecked legal and uncontrolled illegal immigration. The very existence of large legal immigration quotas, exempting certain family-member classes from annual quotas, an overly generous preference scheme that enables “chain migration,” laxity in routine enforce- ment of immigration laws, a record of mass amnesties to millions of illegal aliens, constant talk by prominent politicians of yet more amnesties all combine to set un- realistic expectations among foreigners. The “autopilot” aspect of current U.S. immigration policy acts like an all-fronts marketing plan that “creates” a “need” to im- migrate to the United States. The result: sustained, mass immigration, both legal and illegal. Recommendations As the data show, mass legal and illegal immigration are closely tied. The following recommendations would help remedy the problems that presently derive from le- gal and illegal immigration being two sides of the same coin. Reduce legal immigration. If illegal immigration is to be curbed or stopped, then legal immigration must de- crease. The volume of aliens enticed to immigrate, un- der the law or against the law, is too great. The system is too open-ended, creating countless opportunities for fraud and abuse. Overall legal immigration quotas should be halved, at least. The statutory capitation is supposed to be about 700,000; about 300,000 a year more closely resembles America’s historical average. About 200,000 to 300,000 immigrants a year must be set with a “hard” cap; no one should be exempt from the cap. The maximum level should include refu- gees and asylees, as well as immigrants and their nuclear family members. Every fifth year should be a sabbatical year, in which no new immigrant visas are accepted or processed. Rather, the State Department and the De- partment of Homeland Security should use this respite to ensure immigrant accountability and to ferret out fraud and abuse. Set better immigrant priorities. Building upon the rec- ommendations of the Jordan Commission, extended family immigrant visa categories should be eliminated: U.S. citizens’ adult children, married or unmarried; U.S. citizens’ adult brothers and sisters; and grown children of lawful permanent residents. The visa lottery should go, too, an action taken by a large bipartisan majority of the U.S. House of Representatives in December 2005 when it passed an amendment by Rep. Robert Goodlatte to H.R. 4437 (See also Rep. Goodlatte’s H.R. 1219.). Moreover, a new immigrant priority selection system should emphasize an individual’s qualifications.48 The needs of the U.S. economy should have foremost priority for immigrant selection. Further, in order to qualify for an immigrant visa, an individual should have to merit a certain number of points under a modified point system. A would-be immigrant (except for minor children), in order to gain points, must have attained no less than a high school education (with higher education winning him more points), be proficient in the English language, be literate, possess demonstrable, verifiable in- demand job skills or superior talent, and have at least some minimum amount of financial assets satisfactory to ensure self-support. Before any immigrant visa is issued, an im- migrant or sponsor should have to show proof of pur- chase for the immigrant of generous health insurance, an adequate amount of disability and life insurance, and automobile insurance, if he owns a vehicle or expects to drive. The only family reunification considerations should be rejoining husband and wife, and parents with their minor children.
  • 15. 15 Center for Immigration Studies Ensure allegiance to America. To ensure that an im- migrant has the right motives in seeking to immigrate, that his intent is to leave his native land, culture, and extended family behind once and for all, and to become an American (that is, to live up to the American ideal of immigration), the egregious Supreme Court ruling that allowed dual citizenship and dual nationality should be overturned, by constitutional amendment if necessary.49 Dual citizenship and dual nationality provide foreigners a vested interest in two nations. Such split loyalties to sovereign nations is unfair to each nation and to fellow citizens. Dual citizenship grants immigrants an unfair, privileged status not available to native-born Americans. It undermines one’s ability to fully commit to his new homeland. It devalues the naturalization oath, in which one’s words swear full allegiance to the United States. Reduce unrealistic expectations. Higher standards for and more realistic expectations among potential immi- grants would reduce the problems associated with tech- nical eligibility for an immigrant visa based solely on a distant relation. This could be advanced in a number of ways. Parents of naturalized immigrants should not be eligible for an immigrant visa. Rather, elderly par- ents should be limited to renewable nonimmigrant visas of moderate duration, as in Rep. Tom Tancredo’s H.R. 3700. Parents’ sponsors should be required to prove in- come of at least the median U.S. income for a household the size of the sponsor’s, including the prospective long- term visitor parents. In addition, the sponsor must prove that he has secured a generous health care insurance policy for the parent or parents he seeks to bring to the United States, paid in full for the duration of the initial visa term. Par- ents’ nonimmigrant visa renewal should require proof that the sponsor and the parents have abided by the terms of binding affidavits of support and visas, respec- tively, and that health insurance is prepaid in full for the next visa term. Similarly, the spouses and minor children of LPRs could gain admission into the country as nonimmi- grants and at the full expense and on the full responsibil- ity of the sponsoring immigrant (similar to the approach in H.R. 3700). This should include health and other in- surance, as well as median or higher household income. Immediate family members of LPRs could qualify for immigrant visas once the sponsor naturalizes. The law should specify that spouse only means heterosexual husband and wife, not homosexu- al couples married or otherwise or other cohabitating combinations. Insofar as family reunification remains a prior- ity in U.S. immigration policy, the nuclear family of an immigrant who himself possesses skills, education, and English proficiency should be the extent of it. That is, a decision to immigrate to the United States should bear the full expectation that the immigrant is making a fun- damental break from his homeland, extended family, and native culture. And it should only provide for the unity of husband, wife, and minor children. The only hope or expectation of reunifying with relatives beyond their own nuclear family units should be to return to them. “Family reunification,” especially of entire family trees, should not imply a single direction toward the United States. When an adult leaves his native land to emigrate to America, he or she makes a decision to be sepa- rated from brothers or sisters, parents, and adult children. We realize that this is a difficult decision in many cases, but ultimately, it is a decision that the immigrant has made.50 (emphasis added) Ensure nonimmigrant compliance and return. Nonim- migrants should be required to maintain stronger ties to their home country. Except for those here for lon- ger terms, such as citizens’ parents and LPRs’ immediate family as outlined above, nonimmigrants must under- stand that their visit to the United States is intentionally temporary, and that their admission is based on strict terms and conditions. Noncompliance with temporary visa terms should be dealt with severely. Overstaying an expired visa should carry criminal penalties. The law should treat visa overstayers the same as those who sneak across the border. With up to half of illegal immigration attrib- utable to visa overstays, no defensible distinction can any longer be made between these two circumstances of il- legality. Too much willful lawbreaking takes place, with temporary visas simply a means to permanent immigra- tion — and being an intending immigrant is reason to deny someone a visa. Most nonimmigrants (such as students, H-1B workers, L-1 intracompany transfers, etc.) should not be accompanied by dependents. Half a nonimmigrant’s time should be spent in the home country, and visa terms should be no longer than one year. For instance, if a work visa allows six months in the United States, the next six months should be in the home country. Time in the United States on a typical nonimmigrant visa should be matched by an equal period out of the country. Nor should nonimmigrants be allowed to adjust status to another nonimmigrant category or to immi-
  • 16. 16 Center for Immigration Studies grant within the United States. Adjustment of status should become something that only takes place abroad, and only following rigorous investigation and complete assurance that previous visa terms have been honored and that all requirements for the new visa are met. “Birthright citizenship” should be eliminated.51 This would remove one more means of fraud and abuse from our immigration system. Ending the ability of illegal aliens or nonimmigrants to birth an automatic U.S. citizen baby here would take away an important means of gaming the system. Enlist foreign governments’ cooperation. Immigra- tion to the United States by a foreign nation’s citizens may benefit that government, principally by monetary remittances. Some foreign governments, most notably Mexico, foster illegal immigration to unlawfully maxi- mize those benefits. Such governments should be forced to curb illegal immigration. Adopting a policy such as Rep. David Weldon’s Truth in Immigration, or TRIM, Act (H.R. 4317) would effect such an incentive. This legislation would require an annual estimate of the illegal alien popula- tion using Census Bureau data, by nation of origin, and restrict a sending nation’s legal immigration by a corre- sponding level. In combination with the recommended reductions in legal immigration, this approach would give foreign countries such as Mexico a huge incentive to keep their nationals from breaking America’s immi- gration laws. Other foreign policy tools, from foreign aid to trade agreements, should be conditioned on how thor- oughly a foreign government cooperates in U.S. immi- gration enforcement and repatriation and, importantly, how well it produces real results in cutting illegal im- migration from that nation. Go slow on any guestworker plans. The global econo- my has become more integrated, and more corporations are adopting business models that involve international labor flows. Yet, such private interests should hardly be allowed to dictate public policy. While a new guest- worker program may be conceivable in principle, it rep- resents a tenuous course with respect to its immigration and other consequences. Foremost, policymakers must keep in mind (and remind their corporate constituents) that America is much more than a market; she is a na- tion, a society, a body politic. The experience of guestworker programs, in the United States and elsewhere, has been fraught with un- intended consequences. In many cases, such programs have resulted in permanent residents (legal and illegal), not guests at all. The economic consequences have prov- en detrimental to the most vulnerable native-born work- ers. The social consequences have proven harmful, even dangerous, as with insurgent radical Islam in the United States, Great Britain, France, and other parts of the West in recent times. The risks of a massive new guestworker program should be fully considered before moving forward. The risks from hundreds of thousands more foreigners being processed for temporary visas by an already inept, out- manned, fraud-ridden immigration bureaucracy in the Departments of State and Homeland Security is folly. This bureaucracy could never handle the added work- load. At a minimum, legal immigration levels, both per- manent and temporary, should be scaled back by many more than the new program would admit for entry each year. Enforce the law. Faithful enforcement of all our immi- gration laws must be fully achieved. This certainly must happen and be in place for several years before any guest- worker program goes into effect. That is, every alien’s background must be checked, every alien’s eligibility for the immigration or other benefits for which he is apply- ing must be confirmed before benefits are accorded, ev- ery case of suspected fraud (immigration fraud, benefits fraud, welfare fraud, marriage fraud, document fraud, identity fraud) involving an alien must be vigorously and routinely investigated, absconders, visa overstayers, and failed applicants must face the real likelihood of capture and prosecution, all this and more must become the norm. This is necessary, with or without a new guest- worker program. Illegal aliens should expect punishment, not reward, for lawbreaking; thus, steadily increasing the level of immigration enforcement to the point of rou- tinization, as the 9/11 Commission recommended, is necessary and desirable. Since most illegal aliens pres- ent little national security risk, allowing their continued presence amidst continually building pressure and in- creasing likelihood of being caught will effect a gradual decrease of the illegal alien population by attrition, with little danger. The most promising solution for reducing the number of illegal aliens with the least impact on the economy — attrition — is the routine enforcement of all immigration laws. Also, the law should make plain that immi- gration offenses relating to illegal presence (e.g., entry without inspection, visa overstay) constitute continuing offenses.
  • 17. 17 Center for Immigration Studies No more amnesties. America’s experience with amnes- ties has shown that they only make things worse. Am- nesties beget more illegal immigration. Even politicians’ proposals of legalization prompt more illegal immigra- tion. The only conceivable type of amnesty that could remotely be justified is a limited “exit amnesty.” This would let illegal aliens leave the country, once and for all, without paying the full penalty due for their law- lessness (i.e., face criminal prosecution for immigration violations). Conclusion The data show that while legal immigration in the Unit- ed States has increased since 1965 at an exorbitant rate, illegal immigration has risen right alongside it. Further, the actual levels of illegal immigration are masked by a series of amnesties — the largest and most notorious one enacted in 1986 — and the documented experience of many immigrants who fail to abide by the law and come to the United States unlawfully before their turn for a green card arrives, but whose ultimate legalization shows up on the legal immigration ledger. Another compelling fact is that nations that send large numbers of immigrants to America tend also to send sizeable shares of the illegal alien population. Mexico is the most prominent example of this phenom- enon. However, other Western Hemisphere countries number among the largest sources of both legal and il- legal immigration. Eastern Hemisphere nations that account for high levels of legal immigration — China, the Philip- pines, India, Korea — also are responsible for much of America’s illegal immigration problem. Vietnam appears to be an exception, despite a post-Vietnam War spike in Vietnamese admissions. Because of the inextricable link between legal and illegal immigration, there is no way to continue massive legal immigration and reduce illegal immigra- tion. To cut illegal immigration, legal immigration must be curtailed. To assert otherwise attempts to maintain a fiction that is unsustainable, judging from fact and experience.
  • 18. 18 Center for Immigration Studies End Notes 1 See James G. Gimpel and James R. Edwards, Jr., The Congressional Politics of Immigration Reform, Boston: Al- lyn Bacon, 1999, pp. 1-4, for a sense of this senti- ment. 2 Roy Beck, The Case Against Immigration, New York: W.W. Norton, 1996, p. 16. 3 Carl W. Hampe, testimony at a hearing of the U.S. House Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Immi- gration and Claims, June 29, 1995, on H.R. 1915, Im- migration in the National Interest Act, p. 173. 4 Hampe, p. 173. 5 James R. Edwards, Jr., testimony at a hearing of the U.S. House Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Im- migration and Claims, March 25, 1999, on “The Ben- efits to the U.S. Economy of a More Highly Skilled Im- migrant Flow.” http://judiciary.house.gov/legacy/106- edwa.htm 6 The parents visa category serves to bring aged parents of adult immigrants; this category does not serve the reunification of minor children with parents on whom they are dependent. 7 See Gimpel and Edwards, chapters 4 and 5, particularly Tables 5.5 and 5.6. Also, see Beck, chapter 4, and James R. Edwards, Jr., “Changes in the Law,” pp. 181-185, in James Ciment, editor, Encyclopedia of America Immigra- tion, Vol. 1, Armonk, N.Y.: M.E. Sharpe, 2001. 8 Hampe, p. 172. 9 Steven M. Gillon, “That’s Not What We Meant to Do:” Reform and Its Unintended Consequences in Twentieth- Century America, New York: W.W. Norton Co., 2000, pp. 176-177. 10 Beck, pp. 40-41. 11 Committee on the Judiciary, U.S. House of Represen- tatives, Report on H.R. 2202, the Immigration in the National Interest Act, March 4, 1996, Report 104-469 Part 1, p. 134. 12 Gillon, p. 178. 13 Gimpel and Edwards, p. 264. 14 U.S. Commission on Immigration Reform, 1995 Re- port to Congress, “Legal Immigration: Setting Priori- ties,” Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, June 1995, pp. 45-46. 15 U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 46. 16 U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 65. 17 U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 73. 18 U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 75-77. 19 U.S. Commission, “Setting Priorities,” p. 76. 20 A Congressional Research Service report from 1977 in- dicates that INS estimates of the illegal alien population in the mid-1970s ranged from 1 million to 12 million. CRS cites a Cabinet-level task force, which concluded that “hard data on illegal aliens is virtually non-existent.” Many citations of the mid-20th century decades seemed to extrapolate from the number of deportable aliens ap- prehended. See Joyce Vialet, “Illegal Aliens: Analysis and Background,” (77-47 ED), Congressional Research Service, February 16, 1977. 21 Office of Policy and Planning, U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service, “Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United States: 1990 to 2000,” available http://uscis.gov/graphics/ shared/statistics/publications/Ill_Report_1211.pdf; INS Immigration Statistical Yearbooks for 1992, 1993, 1994, 1996, and 1998; Steven A. Camarota, “Immigrants at Mid-Decade: A Snapshot of America’s Foreign-Born Population in 2005,” Center for Immigration Studies Backgrounder, December 2005, p. 4. http://www.cis. org/articles/2005/back1405.html 22 See INS “Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Population Residing in the United States: 1990 to 2000,” pp. 9-10; and Douglas S. Massey and Nolan Malone, “Pathways to Legal Immigration,” Population Research and Policy Review, Vol. 21, No. 6, December 2002, which analyzed the initial New Immigrant Survey. Available at http://nis.princeton.edu/papers/pathways. pdf 23 Samuel P. Huntington, Who Are We?: The Challeng- es to America’s National Identity, New York: Simon Schuster, 2004, chapter 9. 24 Huntington, p. 222. Also, see Gillon, p. 188.
  • 19. 19 Center for Immigration Studies 25 Jeffrey S. Passel, “Unauthorized Migrants: Numbers and Characteristics,” Pew Hispanic Center background briefing, June 14, 2005, p. 37. http://pewhispanic.org/ reports/report.php?ReportID=46 26 Passel, p. 37; Huntington, p. 224. 27 Passel, p. 41. 28 Passel, p. 36. Also, see Huntington, pp. 225-226. 29 http://uscis.gov/graphics/shared/aboutus/statistics/ IRCA_REPORT/irca0114int.pdf; Gimpel and Ed- wards, pp. 12-13, 179. 30 Gimpel and Edwards, p. 179. 31 Gimpel and Edwards, pp. 11-14; Passel, p. 10. 32 Massey and Malone, p. 14. 33 Huntington, p. 225. 34 Committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 135. Also, see Massey and Malone. 35 Gillon, p. 185. See also Rep. Elton Gallegly’s ad- ditional views in the committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 514, which further explains this loophole, as well as Massey and Malone. 36 Steven A. Camarota, “Birth Rates Among Immigrants in America,” Center for Immigration Studies Back- grounder, October 2005, pp. 1, 6. http://www.cis.org/ articles/2005/back1105.html 37 Gimpel and Edwards, p. 89; U.S. Commission on Im- migration Reform, 1994 Report to Congress, “U.S. Im- migration Policy: Restoring Credibility,” Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, Sept. 1994, pp. 115ff. 38 Passel, pp. 17-20. 39 Massey and Malone, pp. 16-17. 40 Massey and Malone, p. 17. 41 Massey and Malone, p. 28. 42 INS “Estimates of the Unauthorized Immigrant Popu- lation Residing in the United States: 1990 to 2000,” p. 10. However, a portion of this increased U.S.-based adjustment of status in this period occurred under the controversial Section 245(i) policy, which INS favored because it generated revenue for the agency; politicians liked it because the process was effectively a form of am- nesty they could give. 43 Gimpel and Edwards, p. 81. Also, see the 1998 INS Statistical Yearbook, which estimated overstays at 41 percent of the illegal alien population. INS estimated that overstays accounted for 33 percent of illegal aliens in 2000, as stated in the 1990 to 2000 INS estimates. 44 Hampe, p. 228. 45 Committee report on H.R. 2202, pp. 108-109. 46 Committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 134. 47 Committee report on H.R. 2202, pp. 133-134. 48 See Edwards testimony, 1999. 49 See John Fonte, “Dual Allegiance: A Challenge to Im- migration Reform and Patriotic Assimilation,” Center for Immigration Studies Backgrounder, November 2005 http://www.cis.org/articles/2005/back1205.html; Stan- ley Renshon, Reforming Dual Citizenship in the United States: Integrating Immigrants into the American National Community, Center for Immigration Studies Paper, Oc- tober 2005. http://www.cis.org/articles/2005/dualciti- zenship.html 50 Committee report on H.R. 2202, p. 134. 51 See John C. Eastman, testimony at a hearing of the U.S. House Judiciary Committee, Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security, and Claims, September 29, 2005, on “Dual Citizenship, Birthright Citizenship, and the Meaning of Sovereignty” (http://judiciary.house. gov/media/pdfs/printers/109th/23690.pdf) and Charles Wood, “Losing Control of America’s Future -- The Cen- sus, Birthright Citizenship, and Illegal Aliens,” Harvard Journal of Law and Public Policy, Vol. 22, No. 2, Spring 1999, pp. 465-522.
  • 20. 20 Center for Immigration Studies Center for Immigration Studies 1522 K Street, NW, Suite 820 Washington, DC 20005-1202 (202) 466-8185 center@cis.org www.cis.org Backgrounder NON-PROFIT U.S. POSTAGE PAID PERMIT # 6117 WASHINGTON, DC CenterforImmigrationStudies 1522KStreet,NW,Suite820 Washington,DC20005-1202 (202)466-8185•(202)466-8076 center@cis.org•www.cis.org 1-06 TwoSidesoftheSameCoin TheConnectionBetweenLegalandIllegalImmigration ByJamesR.Edwards,Jr. Aremassivelegalimmigrationandmassiveillegalimmigrationrelated?Ifso, how?Manyinpolicycirclesholdaviewof“legalimmigration,good;illegal immigration,bad.”Thelogicalextensionsofsuchasimplisticperspectiveare toassumethattheoverallleveloflegalimmigrationdoesnotmatterandto underestimateanycorrelationtoillegalimmigration.Butthefactsshowa distinctconnectionexists. Inbrief,thisreportfinds: • Legalandillegalimmigrationareinextricablyrelated.Aslegalimmi- grationlevelshaverisenmarkedlysince1965,illegalimmigrationhas increasedwithit. • Theshareoftheforeign-bornpopulationwhoareillegalalienshasrisen steadily.Illegalaliensmadeup21percentoftheforeign-bornin1980, 25percentin2000,and28percentin2005. • Mexicoistheprimarysourcecountryofbothlegalandillegalimmi- grants.Mexicoaccountedforabout30percentoftheforeign-bornin 2000,andmorethanhalfofMexicansresidingintheUnitedStatesin 2000wereillegalaliens.