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PROBABILITYPROBABILITY
PROBABILITY
LO: DEFINE PROBABILITY
METHOD FOR CALCULATING PROBABILITY FOR
SIMPLE EVENTS
 Probability is a measure of how likely an
event is to occur.
example –
Today there is a 60% chance of rain.
The odds of winning the lottery are a
million to one.
PROBABILITY
 Probabilities are written as:
Fractions from 0 to 1
Decimals from 0 to 1
Percents from 0% to 100%
 If an event is certain to happen,
 then the probability of the event is 1 or
100%.
 If an event will NEVER happen,
 then the probability of the event is 0 or
0%.
 If an event is just as likely to happen as to
not happen,
 then the probability of the event is ½, 0.5
or 50%.
PROBABILITY
Impossible Unlikely Equal Chances Likely Certain
0 0.5 1
0% 50% 100%
½
 When a meteorologist states that the chance of
rain is 50%, the meteorologist is saying that it is
equally likely to rain or not to rain.
 If the chance of rain rises to 80%, it is more likely
to rain.
 If the chance drops to 20%, then it may rain, but
it probably will not rain.
PROBABILITY
 The probability of an event is written:
P(event) = Number of possible outcomes for the event
Total number of outcomes
 An outcome is a possible result of a
probability experiment
Ex.
When rolling a number cube, the possible
outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6
P(event) = number of ways event can occur
total number of outcomes
 An event is a specific result of a
probability experiment
Ex.
When rolling a number cube, the event of
rolling an even number is 3 (you could roll a 2,
4 or 6).
PROBABILITY
P(event) = number of ways event can occur
total number of outcomes
What is the probability of getting heads
when flipping a coin?
P(heads) = number of ways = 1 head on a coin = 1
total outcomes = 2 sides to a coin = 2
P(heads)= ½ = 0.5 = 50%
LEARN THE THEORY WELL AND
DO
TB PG 236
 Do rapid check 1 in A4 sized paper
 & EX 18.1 Q 1 to 4 in NB with Qns.
PROBABILITY by alston

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PROBABILITY by alston

  • 2. PROBABILITY LO: DEFINE PROBABILITY METHOD FOR CALCULATING PROBABILITY FOR SIMPLE EVENTS  Probability is a measure of how likely an event is to occur. example – Today there is a 60% chance of rain. The odds of winning the lottery are a million to one.
  • 3. PROBABILITY  Probabilities are written as: Fractions from 0 to 1 Decimals from 0 to 1 Percents from 0% to 100%
  • 4.  If an event is certain to happen,  then the probability of the event is 1 or 100%.  If an event will NEVER happen,  then the probability of the event is 0 or 0%.  If an event is just as likely to happen as to not happen,  then the probability of the event is ½, 0.5 or 50%.
  • 5. PROBABILITY Impossible Unlikely Equal Chances Likely Certain 0 0.5 1 0% 50% 100% ½
  • 6.  When a meteorologist states that the chance of rain is 50%, the meteorologist is saying that it is equally likely to rain or not to rain.  If the chance of rain rises to 80%, it is more likely to rain.  If the chance drops to 20%, then it may rain, but it probably will not rain. PROBABILITY
  • 7.  The probability of an event is written: P(event) = Number of possible outcomes for the event Total number of outcomes
  • 8.  An outcome is a possible result of a probability experiment Ex. When rolling a number cube, the possible outcomes are 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6
  • 9. P(event) = number of ways event can occur total number of outcomes  An event is a specific result of a probability experiment Ex. When rolling a number cube, the event of rolling an even number is 3 (you could roll a 2, 4 or 6).
  • 10. PROBABILITY P(event) = number of ways event can occur total number of outcomes What is the probability of getting heads when flipping a coin? P(heads) = number of ways = 1 head on a coin = 1 total outcomes = 2 sides to a coin = 2 P(heads)= ½ = 0.5 = 50%
  • 11. LEARN THE THEORY WELL AND DO TB PG 236  Do rapid check 1 in A4 sized paper  & EX 18.1 Q 1 to 4 in NB with Qns.