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Air Cargo Panel Istanbul 2015 TURTRANS 173

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The presentation made during the air cargo panel, which was conducted in the scope of COMCEC funded project. For more info do not hesitate to contact me.

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Air Cargo Panel Istanbul 2015 TURTRANS 173

  1. 1. Alper AKBAŞ Project Coordinator 2015 TURTRANS 173 2014 TURTRANS 045 PROJECT INTRODUCTION
  2. 2. CONNECTIVITY IS POWER 5th MOST CONNECTED CITY of theWORLD WELCOME TO ISTANBUL The Natural Hub of the World 1st Istanbul has the largest connectivity growth in last 5 years Source: Master Card Global Destination Cities Index 2014, 2015
  3. 3. WHY AVIATION?
  4. 4. Why we need to focus on aviation? CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT GLOBAL JOBS SUPPORTED IN THE WORLD58M TRILLION GDP$2.4 OF WORLD’S GDP%3.4 GLOBAL JOBS SUPPORTED IN THE WORLD 105M TRILLION GDP $6 TODAY IN 20 YEARS %4.1OF WORLD’S GDP As the second largest inter-governmental organization with 57 states over the continents,There is no doubt that we are influenced by “Civil Aviation’s Economic Impact” intensely.
  5. 5. q FINANCE CONSTRUCTION AUTOMOTIVE AVIATION $3.25 $2.9 $2.3 $1.4 $3.25$1 = CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - Multiplier Effect
  6. 6. Industries’ GDP Contributions CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT
  7. 7. 1971 2031 1965 2030 AirTransportation Center of Gravity is shifting into the Islamic World. Are we ready to embrace it and benefit from it? ? CENTER OF GRAVITY - AVIATION & ECONOMY Source: Airbus GMF 2012 & Oxford Economics Shift in Air Traffic Center of Gravity Between 1971-2031 Shift in Economic Center of Gravity Between 1965-2030
  8. 8. 10% increase in global connectivity $55 billion increase in global outputs each year If global airport capacity fails to keep up with travel demand 2 million jobs, 225 million pax, $110 billion revenue will be lost by 2035 If aviation were a country, it would rank 21st in size by GDP Why we need to focus on aviation? CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT
  9. 9. What happens If the demand&supply equilibrium of aviation / airports fails ?
  10. 10. 8.7 Millions DIRECT EMPLOYMENT 470 K AIRPORT OPERATORS 5% 58.1Supported Total Employment MILLION AIRLINES 2,3 Million 26% ANS 195 K2% Production & AeroSpace 1,2 Million14% OTHERS CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - EMPLOYMENT
  11. 11. 8.7 Millions DIRECT EMPLOYMENT 470 K AIRPORT OPERATORS 5% 58.1Supported Total Employment MILLION AIRLINES 2,3 Million 26% ANS 195 K2% Production & AeroSpace 1,2 Million14% OTHERS %26 Airline %5Airport Operators %16 ANS + Producers %53 ? %47 CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - EMPLOYMENT
  12. 12. 8.7 Millions DIRECT EMPLOYMENT 470 K AIRPORT OPERATORS 5% 58.1Supported Total Employment MILLION 53% 4,6 MILLIONS AIRLINES 2,3 Million 26% ANS 195 K2% Production & AeroSpace 1,2 Million14% OTHERS %26 Airline %5Airport Operators %16 ANS + Producers %53 ? %47 AIRPORTS OTHER CIVIL AVIATON’S ECONOMIC IMPACT - EMPLOYMENT
  13. 13. More than 55 Countries %70 of International Destinations with Narrow Body ISTANBUL
  14. 14. Global Connectivity Development (2014-2016) - İstanbul vs. Major European Hubs *Number of Direct Destinations (2014-2016)
  15. 15. Natural Hubs Are they enough to achieve more? OR ? Do we have to improve the processes? Do we have to / can we create Artificial Hubs?
  16. 16. Because…..!
  17. 17. 39 of 47 Aviation Mega Cities are schedule- constrained today. IATA WSG level 3: airports where conditions make it impossible to meet demand IATA WSG level 2: airports with potential for congestion IATA WSG level 1: airport infrastructure is adequate
  18. 18. In The Islamic Geography Leading Hubs and their feeders are already congested ! IATA WSG level 3: airports where conditions make it impossible to meet demand
  19. 19. Türk Hava Kurumu ÜniversitesiSivil Havacılık ve İstihdam EUROCONTROL: Challenges of Growth, 2013 With foreseen expansion planning taken into account, it is predicted that: • 12% of demand will be unaccommodated • 1.9 million flights • 237 million passengers EUROPEAN AIRPORTS 2035
  20. 20. Türk Hava Kurumu ÜniversitesiSivil Havacılık ve İstihdam EUROCONTROL: Challenges of Growth, 2013 With foreseen expansion planning taken into account, it is predicted that: • 12% of demand will be unaccommodated • 1.9 million flights • 237 million passengers EUROPEAN AIRPORTS If global airport capacity fails to keep up with travel demand 2 million jobs, 225 million pax, $110 billion revenue will be lost by 2035 $110Billion LOST 2035
  21. 21. Capacity Building in Airports Measuring and Benchmarking of “PMPI (Passenger Movement Performance Index)” among the OIC countries. 2014 045 TURTRANS
  22. 22. 160 More than 160 face to face surveys among departure passengers 398Passenger Reviews analyzed on skytrax.com 1200More than 1200 Observed and measured passengers DURINGall study visits 6 COUNTRIES , 6 STUDYVISITS, 6 MEETINGS
  23. 23. BENCHMARK SCALE AIRPORT IATA CODE BENCHMARK SCORE HAMAD INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT DOH 82 DUBAI INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT DXB 80 KUALA LUMPUR INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT KLIA 79 KUWAIT INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT KWI 78 ATATÜRK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IST 77 SOEKARNO-HATTA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT CGK 72 0 1005025 75 PMPI SCORES
  24. 24. PMPI PASSENGER MOVEMENT PERFORMANCE INDEX “ “
  25. 25. According to ACI, the five measures of airports’ performance are: • Passengers • Origination and destination passengers, • Aircraft movements, • Freight or mail loaded/unloaded • Destinations (non-stop) And today airports are the performance indicators of cities, countries and ECONOMIES…
  26. 26. Freight is important because…
  27. 27. $ 3 million $ 15 million Air Passenger Lines Air Cargo Lines 1 Frequency per week
  28. 28. Airports are more important than ever because…
  29. 29. 1/3 of World Population 4 Hours Flight 2/3 of World Population 8 Hours Flight 916 millions Export Market Population 25 Cities P>10millions 149 Cities P>1millions DirectConnection
  30. 30. Non GVC Trade GVC TradeGVC and non-GVC trade in goods and services, 1995 and 2011, billion USD. Source: IATA Value of Air Cargo, December 2016 NEW TREND OF GLOBAL TRADE :GLOBAL VALUE CHAINS GVC GVCs are complex, interlinked networks of cross-border and domestic flows of goods, services, and factors of production (capital, including knowledge capital, and labor).
  31. 31. KEEPINGTHE CENTER OF GRAVITY 21Passenger Traffic INCREASE Air Cargo Traffic INCREASE Passenger Flow Cargo Flow 2014TURTRANS045 2015TURTRANS173 Assessment and Enhancement of Air Cargo Interconnectivity
  32. 32. 2015 173 TURTRANS Assessment and Enhancement of Air Cargo Interconnectivity Among the OIC Member States: The Air Cargo Co-Modality Approach (ACCMA) to Facilitate INTRA- OIC Trade.
  33. 33. 35% Air transport carries around 35% of world trade by value. $Value of cargo handled by air 6.4 Trillion TOTAL AIR FREIGHTTRAFFIC GROWTH Airbus GMF 2015
  34. 34. Co-Modality Approach: ““efficient use of different modes on their own and in combination” Intermodal / Multimodal Transport: “movement of goods in one and the same loading unit or road vehicle, which uses successively two or more modes of transport without handling the goods themselves in changing modes” (train or ocean is obligatory) Combined Transport: “intermodal transport where the major part of the European journey is by rail, inland waterways or sea and any initial and/or final legs carried out by road are as short as possible” 2006 Before Air Cargo Co-Modality Approach: ““efficient use of different modes on their own and in combination” where the main mode is Air Cargo Transportation. 2016
  35. 35. To consolidate air freight (collected from catchment area) in an air cargo hub, To convey the consolidated higher amount of freight via long or medium haul flights operated by all cargo carriers or combined carriers to other regional airports or to other hubs in order to deploy to ending nodes. Air Cargo Hub and Spoke System fed by all transportation modes
  36. 36. THE METHODOLOGY - I Desk Based Studies • Detailed Analysis of air cargo flows and data: traffic, trade, capacity, commodities • State-of-Affairs & Due Diligence • Determination of the airports with high potential and strong catchment area METHODOLOGY Study Visits • Malaysia • Indonesia • Tunisia • Mozambique Cooperation Meeting in Istanbul • Share of findings • Participation of study countries • Cargo Facility Visits (THY & MNG) Final Report Online Tools
  37. 37. 0 5025 To provide an assessment and due-diligence of “Air Cargo Inter- Connectivity” level of OIC airports and world airports for comparison via “Air Cargo Interconnectivity Index”, To identify some of the most appropriate locations among OIC member states for the purpose of establishment of air cargo hubs and logistic centers in the context of Air Cargo Co-Modality Approach, To identify the challenges apropos regularity framework of air cargo transportation among OIC member states, and by doing so to facilitate the establishment of air cargo logistic centers, EXPECTED OUTPUTS
  38. 38. 0 5025 To develop practical recommendations regarding regularity framework by the preparation of an example “Multi-Literal Agreement” in order to create a collaboration platform opportunity among member states. To increase the awareness of decision makers of commercial entities recorded in member states about the existence of potential air cargo logistic centers. EXPECTED OUTPUTS The ultimate aim of the project is to create a common collaboration and cooperation platform among OIC member states and relevant commercial entities on air cargo transportation.
  39. 39. Opportunity for A New Cooperation and Collaboration Platform Increase in Air Cargo Connectivity Increase in Intra-OIC and OIC Trade A new revenue source for airports A COMMON COLLABORATION PLATFORM BECAUSE…
  40. 40. Gravity Center of Air Trade Gravity Center of Air Transport Capacity Tunisia Mozambique Malaysia Iran Study Countries Gravity Centers
  41. 41. Mozambique is of crucial importance with respect to its geo-strategic location and potential for growth. Recent decades in Mozambique witnessed significant projects of transportation infrastructure. In particularly, the Development Corridors of Mozambique and the Nampula Region (which has a brand new and modern airport, Nacala Airport) has been discussed in the case study. It is believed that any support given to Mozambique with respect to air cargo transportation will result in high benefits for the country and for intra-OIC trade.
  42. 42. Boeing GMF, 2015
  43. 43. Boeing GMF, 2015
  44. 44. Newly established Enfidha Hammamet International Airport and Express Air Cargo company have remarkably increased the potential ofTunisia. In addition to this, the ongoing port construction in Enfidha is another opportunity to boost air cargo traffic ofTunisia. This developments in Tunisia will make it possible to consolidate air cargo among Africa continent. A collaboration between Tunisian and OIC Member States air freight carriers is believed to result in high benefits in short term. Tunisia
  45. 45. Malaysia have proven its proficiency in civil aviation among the recent decades. In particularly, the recent project of “Aeropolis” is one of the world’s most outstanding aviation projects. The know-how of Malaysia which is one of the most collaborative member states can play a catalyst role in the development of other OIC Member States. “Aeropolis Project” will be elaborated in the case study section of the final project report, with precious support of Malaysia Airports Holding. It is believed that it is a very important example for other member states which are planning to establish efficient logistics centers.
  46. 46. TIME FOR FIGURES(15minutesofpresentationaproposoffindings via Tableau Software) (Not included in PDF copy)
  47. 47. THIS RESULT CAN BE ONLY ACHIEVABLE WITH OUR COLLABORATION and COOPERATION Increase in Air Cargo Connectivity Increase in Intra-OIC and OIC Trade A new revenue source for airports WE NEED TO COLLABORATE…
  48. 48. 2007
  49. 49. 2007 2007 2007 2007
  50. 50. ALPER AKBAŞ Project Coordinator THANKYOU alperakbas@aviationportal.org www.aviationportal.org

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